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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Agile Stylized Approach to Manage Complex Project</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Mikhail Belov</string-name>
          <email>mbelov@ibs.ru</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Deputy Chief Executive Officer</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>IBS</addr-line>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date>
        <year>2013</year>
      </pub-date>
      <fpage>33</fpage>
      <lpage>43</lpage>
      <abstract>
        <p>The paper is devoted to one of the practical approaches to manage complex projects. A case study of complex project management is described. This concerns transforming a Russian IT-company into an enterprise system and system of systems (ES/SoS) at the same time. Main elements of the transformation the goal, solution, structure, and relations among constituents of ES/SoS, ES/SoS engineering process, and results - are represented. The analysis of the project -environment, constraints, risks, opportunities, and uncertainty - is considered. It is found that it is exactly uncertainty that causes grave problems in complex project management and that is responsible for the main challenges facing the governing body. An “agile stylized approach” to complex project management which was successfully used in the case study is described. The applicability of this approach to manage other complex projects and further research prospects are discussed.</p>
      </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <p>
        The traditional project management domain has been very well developed during the
last several decades. The PMBOK@Guide [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ] and other handbooks and documents
of this area provide good theoretical and practical information background to initiate
a project, to schedule project activities, to plan and allocate resources, to monitor
work, to manage risks, etc. The traditional approach works perfectly in huge numbers
of projects in practically any area of business or social life, thereby demonstrating its
applicability and efficiency.
      </p>
      <p>
        But the absolute insufficiency of this approach has shown up in some cases – in
complex projects, those involving enterprises or other complex systems as well as
projects dealing with new product development. Global business environment
sophistication (enterprises, products, services, their interrelations, etc.) causes the
complexity of the projects, so the complex project management theme has become more
and more topical in recent years [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ].
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>2. Exemplary complex project</title>
      <p>
        The exemplary project [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ] represents the transformation of complex ES/SoS
encompassing different types of constituents, interlinked by different and sophisticated
relationships, with “soft” and variable boundaries and complex ES/SoS engineering
processes. Together these characteristics give rise to really “wicked” problems [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        ]
and make the project truly complex.
      </p>
      <p>In 2001 the top management of the IBS company initiated a fundamental
transformation to change the company’s strategy and business model. The company was one
of the biggest Russian IT systems integrator at that time, with about 900 employees.
Annual revenues of around $80M were mainly generated by IT infrastructure
projects (complex computing systems, multiservice networks, etc.), hardware and
software distribution.</p>
      <p>IBS management forecasted considerable growth of the Russian IT services and
consulting market based on the fast growing Russian economy . The economy was
rapidly recovering from the national financial crisis of 1998. The largest corporations
started overseas expansion and borrowed from international markets to finance this
growth. IBS predicted corresponding growth in the complexity of business processes
and their associated software and hardware systems all of which should require more
consulting and IT services.</p>
      <p>Based on this forecast, IBS established a strategy goal to double the share (in annual
revenue) of IT services and consulting from 25% to 50% over one year. Further
growth in this business was planned as a long term trend. The consulting and IT
services business is very complex technologically and organizationally and dramatically
differs from IBS’s former infrastructure focus. Thus, a fundamental transformation
was required, and it was executed during 2002.</p>
      <p>To achieve this strategy goal, the company’s management defined new capabilities
required to sell and execute large, complex, and multi-disciplinary consulting and
services projects. They thought sales and execution processes should be treated as
absolutely standardized, regular, and routine procedures. Accordingly they defined
five major groups of focused capabilities:
1. Deliver consulting and services.
2. Sell complex consulting projects.
3. Execute and deliver complex multi-discipline consulting projects as very
effective and highly standardized processes.
4. Manage human resources effectively. (Highly skilled and experienced
employees are the key performing engine of the consulting business.)
5. Measure and account for projects’, business units’ (BUs’) and employees’
performance. (The target business model is very dynamic, so on-line measurement
and forecasting of key performance indicators is critically important.)
The IBS structure consists of a corporate governing center (CGC) and autonomous
business units (BUs), figure 1.</p>
      <p>Different BUs execute the sales function, deliver the products and services through
project execution, and provide back-office support for other BUs. In reality BUs
serve as the resources pool that form project teams. The same employee may play
different roles in different projects. For example, a BU head is often assigned as
director of one project and an architect in another project. The BUs are independent to
each other. There is no direct relationship between any two BUs (constituents); they
are linked via their employees’ participation in joint project teams. The CGC consists
of the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) and his deputies who run the company; they
supervise and coordinate BUs’ activities rather than controlling them by directives.
The IBS business structure is more than just “BUs + CGC”. Projects, project teams,
and employees also play considerable roles. Employees as well as project teams and
BUs are key business-agents of the company.</p>
      <p>
        Almost always complex consulting projects are executed by joint teams which
include employees of the consulting company (IBS), as well as its partners and
customers. Thus the company forms an “extended enterprise” by involving employees of
other firms in projects, and the transformation scope covered both IBS and its
extended enterprise. Joint project teams are temporal objects (team lifetime equals
project duration); so the boundaries of ES/SoS transformed are variable and temporal.
The extended enterprise significantly differs from IBS company: the average
supplement of “virtual” constituents is around twice or more (estimation of [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ]).
In general the relationships inside an extended enterprise form a very complex
network like that depicted in Fig. 1 which connects BUs, projects, and employees by
different links (administrative or operational; project management; supervising; etc.).
The relationships are realized in practice by means of integrated processes of project
management and accounting covering joint project teams formed of employees of
different firms. The CGC is not the top root of a control hierarchy; rather it is at the
center of a “star” of autonomous BUs.
      </p>
      <p>A systems engineering (SE) task was established to develop the required capabilities
for IBS to become an ES/SoS company. The SE process of the transformation
consists of:
1.
2.</p>
      <p>Mission analysis. In the initial analysis the mission was translated to capabilities.
The transformation team found that capabilities might not be directly translated
to any business-agent: neither BUs (resource pools), nor projects (temporal
elements), nor employees might realize necessary capabilities.</p>
      <p>Key areas definition. Realizing 1 above the transformation team defined several
key areas of company’s operations which were supposed to be changed to form
new capabilities. Five key areas of operations or activities were defined: core
technologies area – consulting and services area; project implementation area;
BU growth area (hiring and newcomer integration); motivation of the employees
area; and management accounting area.</p>
      <p>New capabilities support systems development with pilot implementations and
roll-outs (for each key area). In each of the areas the engineering and
implementation of the systems to support new capabilities was planned. The support
systems (procedures, guides, documents, and software systems) were implemented
initially in pilot zones and later rolled out to the full extended enterprise.
Processes and rules were developed as “end-to-end” and “crossing” ones to
integrate all BUs, project teams, and employees.</p>
      <p>Operational performance assessment.</p>
      <p>As is now seen the Russian IT services and consulting market grew by more than a
factor of five during 2001-2010, and IBS has been leading this growth, getting the
main market share for the years 2009-2012.
• The mission was accomplished: new capabilities of BUs and the company as the
whole were formed in areas of sales and delivery of complex projects; the
business model and company strategy dramatically changed.
• Specially developed auxiliary and supporting systems serve as the tools to support
new capabilities; the systems formed exactly the corporate infrastructure of new
business model.
• The Extended enterprise was formed around the company through integration of
employees of clients and partners into project teams.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>3. Analysis</title>
      <p>The main factors (and their origins) which caused wicked problems for the project
governing body and project team in an exemplar project are studied and analyzed in
this section.
Any project (or even any kind of human activity) might be characterized by the
following shortages, limitations, or uncertainties which are absolutely universal ones:
• Recourses (finance, material, human, etc.);
• Time (schedule limits);
• Knowledge/information.</p>
      <p>The importance and influence of each of these factors is best illustrated with a
concrete case. Resource and time restrictions play key roles in repeatable or typical
activities; here uncertainty is insignificant and might even be ignored. On the contrary
in the exemplar transformation project as well as in other complex projects
uncertainty is the most influencing factor; it should be considered very seriously in project
management activities.</p>
      <sec id="sec-3-1">
        <title>External factors affecting complex projects</title>
        <p>The IBS company, as an ES/SoS, operates in a very sophisticated external
environment that combines policy and law, economy, society and culture, technology, and
even nature. ES/SoS’s elements and environment interact on several different levels:
IBS as the whole; BUs; projects; and employees. And not only does the environment
affect ES/SoS but also ES/SoS influences the environment.</p>
        <p>Besides generic external factors mentioned above national and industrial factors
affected the transformation:
• The Worldwide Internet boom created very high business expectations of IT
sector growth and attracted investors; also new technologies appeared very rapidly
which expanded the IT market very fast. These factors forced IT companies (IBS
as well) to spent resources to try to capture a niche in the growing market. For
example, IBS management at that time established several BUs (customer
relationship management systems, internet technologies, etc.), and some of them were
reformed or closed later.
• The after crisis factor (after national crisis of 1998) – fast economic recovery,
devaluated currency, and international expansion of Russian firms, on the one
hand, initiated and pushed the transformation, and on the other hand, was
embarrassing due to the fast growing labor cost which is the main cost component of a
consulting and IT firm.
• The post-Soviet legacy played a considerable role in society (even now).
Destruction of entrepreneurship during the Soviet period dramatically lowered business
activities for the majority of employees, and this complicated necessary changes.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-2">
        <title>Specific corporate constraints and challenge</title>
        <p>During the transformation period IBS management faced very specific corporate
constraints.</p>
        <p>The lack of experience in ES/SoS transformation, engineering, and the running of a
consulting and IT services company (even the lack of any textbooks or guides in
those areas) were the major challenges which IBS management faced. The task to be
solved did not impact organizational changes (a well-developed and described area)
but did belong to ES/SoS engineering. In spite of IBS’s lack of the experience it was
decided to prepare and execute the transformation based on the companies’
employees without external consultants’ involvement. The following arguments supported
the decision:
• The task to be solved was not typical, so there was no widely used and well tested
algorithm, and there were few consultants exactly experienced in such things. So
only consultants with similar experience (strategy consulting and organizational
management) might be hired.
• In 2001-2002 the Russian consulting industry was not developed, so Russian
consultants with appropriate experience might not be hired at all. Only foreign
professionals were available but they would have needed first of all to study Russian
economic specifics. Such study, naturally, would have increased time and cost of
the transformation.
• Also, it was evident, that a joint team of IBS management and employees would
have to be formed,: management would have to be interviewed and involved in
decision making; and all employees would have to participate in change
implementations.
• External consultants are “external people”; they are not stakeholders; so their level
of interest in success might not be very high, and their output also might not be
outstanding.
• Unwillingness to open professional secrets to direct competitors and other
intellectual property issues limited external consultants hiring.</p>
        <p>The final decision was made based on the comparison of pros and cons: to execute
the transformation without involvement of external consulting resources. A special
back-office unit (BoU) responsible for business processes development was
established, and an “agile-stylized” program management approach was applied to take
the challenges, pursue opportunities, and to mitigate risks.</p>
        <p>Another challenge dealt with the transformation objective: a very high complexity
IBS as an ES/SoS. Management recognized that the company was very complex,
with a lot different agents, constituents, and inter-relationships, and that ES/SoS
might become even more complex after the transformation. This complexification
happened due to the company becoming an extended enterprise, with governing
hierarchies weakening, and relationships increasing in sophistication.</p>
        <p>One more business challenge was the risk of a mistaken forecast of IT market
development: expected growth of the consulting and services market might have not
happened, and in this case the transformation would have been senseless, this challenge
generated additional emotional stress for management.</p>
        <p>These specific corporate constraints engendered the shortage of knowledge – the
uncertainty in the project, which created main challenges for the governing body.
Time and resource limitations also existed: as with requirements to move as soon as
possible, do not interrupt on-going business, and avoid external expenses, but
time/resources restrictions did not play key role.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-3">
        <title>Sources of uncertainty, opportunities and risks</title>
        <p>The ES/SoS opportunities were attractive but the lack of experience and knowledge
were very serious concerns that induced considerable risks that needed to be
managed. The ambiguity of the exemplar transformation might be expressed by whether:
• The implementation of auxiliary supporting systems and the completion of project
activities would really create required capabilities;
• New capabilities would ensure the capturing of a considerable consulting market
share;
• The prediction of dramatic growth of consulting and IT services demand would be
correct.</p>
        <p>To synthesize these issues we may conclude, that the main opportunities and risks
were whether the:
1.
2.
3.
4.</p>
        <p>System (ES/SoS) of interest being created (its architecture, design, properties,
etc.) would get the required, functions, capabilities, etc.;
Technologies and approaches would be appropriate to create the system of
interest;
System would be efficient in interaction with the environment;</p>
        <p>Prediction of the status of the environment would turn to be correct.</p>
        <p>The first and second aspects above are biased or specific ones – both of them might
be avoided (theoretically, at least) by hiring external consultants. But the third and
fourth aspects are inevitable ones – nobody knows the future.</p>
        <p>Further, the fourth aspect relates to the lack of knowledge about the environment and
its variability that engenders changeability of the requirements. This is a very natural
characteristic of the complex projects focusing on ES/SoS development,
transformation, or modernization.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-4">
        <title>Analytical summary</title>
        <p>The following conclusions based on the analysis of the exemplar complex project are
more or less common for the whole complex project domain:
• Generic, industrial, and national external factors intensify time and resources
shortages and also reinforce uncertainty.
• Specific project constraints mainly (and very heavily) engender the shortage of
knowledge – the uncertainty in the project.
• Rampant uncertainty causes wicked problems in complex project management
and creates main challenges for the governing body. The four fundamental
opportunities and risks listed above exemplify the core uncertainties of complex
projects. All deal with the system of interest, but not with the project activities.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>4. Agile stylized approach</title>
      <p>
        The transformation team developed and used an approach which is very similar to the
Agile Development approach of [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ] to address the uncertainties.
      </p>
      <p>
        The PMI defines a project as a “temporary group activity designed to produce a
unique product, service or result” [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ]. Previous analysis demonstrates, that main risks
might not be studied and explained based only on “activities”, there are other entities
which cause main risks and which should be seriously considered in complex project
management scope. The traditional approach is appropriate to manage the time and
resources constraints, but it is not focused on the system of interest’s uncertainty and
the shortage of knowledge. So traditional SE’s usability in complex domain is quite
limited. Fig. 2 represents core entities of a complex project domain.
      </p>
      <p>
        The left-hand portion of the figure represents the traditional project management area
– which is activities based: work, resources, teams, etc. All these entities are well
defined and described in traditional project management documents like PMBOK
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>The right-hand portion of the figure demonstrates the system of interest and external
environment, which really cause the uncertainties described above.</p>
      <p>The system (ES/SoS) of interest is represented by the system’s architecture and the
components (or constituents) which might be also complex entities or systems. The
external environment affects the complex project by the following threads:</p>
      <p>Direct influence on the system of interest;
2. Influence on the efficiency of the system operating in the environment;
3. Changes of the environment which causes changes of the requirement to the
system of interest.</p>
      <p>In this manner the left part corresponds to the resources and time constraints, and
right part, to the uncertainty constraint; both parts cover all complex constraints and
better (than traditional approach) represent complex project domain.</p>
      <p>The transformation was, in reality, a quite compact program of projects. The project
teams consisted of company’s employees, and the program was governed by the
CGC according to a single program plan. The transformation task did not look
complicated from a project or program management point of view. Organizational change
implementation was a quite standard activity with a well-known personnel resistance
problem and tested approaches to overcome this resistance. Deep involvement of top
management, headed by the CEO, guaranteed effective project management and
execution as well as organizational management implementation.</p>
      <p>The set of activities in all previously described key areas had to be executed to effect
the transformation. All those activities were conducted in parallel to save time and
resources. Integration and interoperability of the new capabilities’ support systems
(developed in key areas) required a thorough integration of parallel development
tasks So joint workgroups of employees were formed at levels below the officers.
CGC played the role of integrating the workgroups at the management level. In
effect, a multi-level integrated workgroup was formed.</p>
      <p>The major complexities and/or problems derived from the four uncertainties
described in Section 3. These uncertainties could not be controlled by means of
additional research and study – the ES/SoS team did not have time for that. Experiments
and tests also would not help – there was no testing or training area to check
solutions before implementation: all solutions were piloted within a working company.
The quick and effective creation of solutions and their practical testing is a very
natural and rational approach to manage such uncertainties: the main idea was to
accelerate the circle or loop, “define requirement–design-implement-validate”, when there
is no other way. Initial conditions and the approach mentioned led to plenty of
changes in the implementation process, so it’s necessary to manage them fast and
effectively.</p>
      <p>Based on the understanding of insufficiency traditional activity-based project
management, the management team formed a “project kernel” including the description
of core elements of the left- and right-hand portion of Fig. 2: &lt;work and resource
plan&gt; and &lt;architecture and core component solutions&gt;.</p>
      <p>Such a project kernel covers the whole complex project domain and enables the
management of uncertainties. Both elements of the kernel were used as an aggregate: not
only the plan but also the architecture description was used to monitor the progress,
to make changes, etc.
The following principles were used to manage the portfolio of projects in case of lack
of experience and ready-to-use algorithms and methods:
• Form solution as fast as possible (without regard to pure quality) and quickly test
it in practice;
• Failures are unavoidable, perceive them easily and react rationally;
• In case of failure analyze the situation, find a new solution, generate changes, and
update the plan;
• Work in parallel, verifying and coordinating intermediate results;
• The schedule might be corrected and updated but should not be violated due to
improper execution;
• Formulate and test the most critical and questionable solutions first;
• Start with pilots and then (if they seem to be working) roll them out to the cover
the whole scope;
• Use high level and high qualified management to control the piloting a developed
solution (but not additional aspects) to avoid waste of the resources.</p>
      <p>Following those principles, a quite strong executing discipline, a high level of the
sponsorship, and the involvement of all employees enabled the transformation to be
completed in time and without hiring consultants while keeping and developing
ongoing business.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>5. Conclusion</title>
      <p>The agile stylized approach represented in the paper made it possible to complete
complex project in quite short time period; complicated transformation of ES/SoS
was kept under full control during the execution period. And very importantly, this
transformation had good business results – the IBS company played the leading role
in the Russian consulting market during 2009-2012.</p>
      <p>The analysis showed that the majority of properties or characteristics of the exemplar
project are quite common to other complex projects dealing with ES/SoS. So the
main ideas of the approach (the information project kernel and the acceleration of the
loop “define requirement–design-implement-validate”) might be recommended for
practical usage in any complex project domain.</p>
      <p>Further research might be focused on the development of the agile complex project
methodologies or frameworks including models of project processes, manuals and
guidebooks, reporting templates, etc.</p>
    </sec>
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