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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Using Fuzzy Logic for Decision Support in Vital Signs Monitoring</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Shohas Dutta</string-name>
          <email>shohas6@gmail.com</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Anthony Maeder</string-name>
          <email>a.maeder@uws.edu.au</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Jim Basilakis</string-name>
          <email>j.basilakis@uws.edu.au</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>School of Computing, Engineering &amp; Mathematics, Telehealth Research &amp; Innovation Laboratory University of Western Sydney Private Bag 1797</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Penrith 2751, NSW</addr-line>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date>
        <year>2013</year>
      </pub-date>
      <abstract>
        <p>This research investigated whether a fuzzy logic rulebased decision support system could be used to detect potentially abnormal health conditions, by processing physiological data collected from vital signs monitoring devices. An application of the system to predict postural status of a person was demonstrated using real data, to mimic the effects of body position changes while doing certain normal daily activities. The results gathered in this experiment achieved accuracies of &gt;85%. Applying this type of fuzzy logic approach, a decision system could be constructed to inform necessary actions by caregivers or for a person themself to make simple care decisions to manage their health situation. .</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>fuzzy logic</kwd>
        <kwd>patient monitoring</kwd>
        <kwd>decision support</kwd>
        <kwd>assistive technologies</kwd>
        <kwd>care management</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>-</title>
      <p>Current trends in health within our society include the
move towards an ageing population profile, and increased
needs for complex care management for people with
chronic diseases and multiple co-morbidities. These are
fast growing segments of the population; and so is the
need for covering their broad ranging and diverse care
requirements. External support to manage high-risk (or
unsafe) health situations is often needed for them to
continue their everyday living routines. This support is
typically given by both professional and informal
caregivers.</p>
      <p>Due to technological advances in wireless data
communication systems in the last decade, the application
of wireless-based vital sign monitoring devices for patient
monitoring has gained increasing attention in the clinical
arena. Patient health status can be determined based on
the acquisition of basic physiological vital signs,
suggesting that a system providing wireless monitoring of
vital signs has potential benefits for clinical care
management of independently living patients as well as
their carers. A patient’s physiological state, which
includes heart rate, blood pressure, body temperature etc.,
can be monitored continuously using wearable medical
body sensor devices. The remaining challenge is to gain
sufficient understanding of this data to assist in health
care needs.</p>
      <p>The overall aim of this research was to utilise information
gathered from personal vital signs monitoring in a
laboratory-based smart home environment, and to assist
with clinical care decisions using a fuzzy logic rule-based
clinical decision support system. Fuzzy logic has benefits
over other algorithmic approaches, as it has the potential
to incorporate values from ordinal, nominal and
continuous datasets within its rules, and can capture the
knowledge associated with these rules in ways that are
more intuitive to humans.
2</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>Vital Signs Monitoring Concepts</title>
      <p>
        There are numerous examples in literature describing
how monitoring of basic vital signs (i.e. heart rate, blood
pressure, temperature and respiration rate) can play a key
role in health care, e.g.
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">Norris (2006)</xref>
        [39]. This approach
requires software to discover patterns and irregularities as
well as to make predictions. By collecting and analysing
vital signs continuously it can be shown how well the
vital organs of the body are working, e.g. heart and lungs
(Harries et al. 2009) [40].
      </p>
      <p>
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">Lockwood et al. (2004)</xref>
        [30] provided a review of the
clinical usage of vital signs, including monitoring
purpose, limitations, frequency and importance of vital
signs measurements. They suggested that vital signs
monitoring should become a routine procedure in chronic
disease patients’ care.
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">Bentzen (2009)</xref>
        [43] defined
chronic diseases as:
“diseases which are long in duration, having long term
clinical course with no definite cure, gradually change
over time, and having asynchronous evolution and
heterogeneity in population susceptibility.”
Living with a chronic disease, which increases in severity
with age, has a significant impact on a person’s quality of
life and on their family. Chronic disease patients would
be able to play a more active role in managing their own
health by taking vital signs measurements daily and
participating in meaningful electronic information
exchanges with clinicians.
      </p>
      <p>
        A number of authors have suggested that using smart
homes for health monitoring is a promising area for
health care.
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">Chan et al. (2009)</xref>
        [2] in their review paper
described the smart home as a promising and
costeffective way to improve home care for elderly people
and people suffering with different chronic diseases.
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">Vincent et al. (2002)</xref>
        [19] identified three research areas,
which combined to produce the concept of “health smart
home”. These three areas are medicine, information
systems, and home based automatic and remote control
devices. A smart home contributes to monitoring of the
patient’s health status continuously, taking into
consideration the patient’s personal needs and wishes in
addition to their specific medical requirements. The
information gathered through health status monitoring
systems can feed into an access controlled electronic
patient records system for further medical interpretation.
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">LoPresti et al. (2008)</xref>
        [21] identified different assistive
technologies which can be used in smart homes to reduce
the effect of disabilities and improve quality of life.
Wearable and portable devices are used which help to
monitor the vital signs or physiological behaviour of a
person living in a smart home. Those devices are worn by
the user or embedded in the smart home. They are wired
or wirelessly connected to a monitoring centre. Recently,
robotic technology has been developed to support basic
activities and mobility for elderly people too.
3
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Fuzzy Logic Concepts</title>
      <p>
        Fuzzy logic
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">(Zadeh 1990)</xref>
        [68] is a well established
computational method for implementing rules in
imprecise settings, where some adaptability for
prescribing the rules is necessary. A fuzzy system can be
used to match any set of input-output combinations.
Fuzzy logic can provide us with a simple way to draw
definite results from vague, ambiguous or imprecise
information. The rule inference system of the fuzzy
model
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">(Jang 1993)</xref>
        [67] consists of a number of
conditional IF-THEN rules. For the designer who
understands the system, these rules are easy to write, and
as many rules as are necessary can be supplied to describe
the system adequately.
      </p>
      <p>
        To improve clinician performance, fuzzy logic-based
expert systems have shown potential for imitating human
thought processes in the complex circumstances of
clinical decision support
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">(Pandey 2009)</xref>
        [75]. A key
advantage of using fuzzy logic in such situations is that
the fuzzy rules can be programmed easily, and as a result
they are easily understood by clinicians. It is different
from neural networks and other regression approaches,
where the system behaves more like a black box to
clinicians.
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">Schuh (2008)</xref>
        [73] found that fuzzy logic
holds great promise for increasing efficiency and
reliability in health care delivery situations requiring
decisions based on vital signs information. This has also
been observed in specialised situations such as intensive
care (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">Cicilia et al 2011</xref>
        ) [81].
      </p>
      <p>Fuzzy control is the core computational component of a
fuzzy logic system. It includes the processing of the
measured input values based on the fuzzy rules, and their
conversion into decisions with the help of fuzzy
combination logic. A full description of fuzzy control
principles is beyond the scope of this paper and can be
found in numerous fuzzy logic texts. The functional
elements of fuzzy control can be represented in a block
diagram in Figure 1, based on fuzzy membership
functions of variables of interest, as shown in Figure 2 for
the example of body temperature represented by the
variable T.</p>
      <p>The tilt table used was a motorized table with a metal
footboard. The subject’s feet were rested on the
footboard. Soft Velcro straps were placed across the body</p>
      <p>Fuzzification
Defuzzification
Rule Base
(Inference):
Aggregate
Activate</p>
      <p>Accumulate
This section will discuss the design of a laboratory
experiment to undertake validation of the approach, using
a longitudinal data set of physiological signals which
have been gathered from an experiment involving
monitoring of blood pressure and heart rate signals. It is
well known that changes to these vital signs will occur if
the body position is changed from vertical to horizontal.
The nature and rapidity of these changes mimics the
changes in vital signs that may occur with onset of some
exacerbated or acute health status in patients.</p>
      <p>The laboratory setup used a tilt table to generate changes
in heart rate and blood pressure measurements that were
correlated with the angle of the tilt table (Figure 3). These
physiological changes would be similar to changes one
would expect in circumstances such as changing health
status or other physiological stressors such as an infection
or blood loss. The result of the fuzzy logic analysis of
such data can be used to detect a change in physiological
state occurring when the vital signs measures are either
increasing or decreasing, compared to a steady state
where there are no longitudinal changes in the vital sign
measures. This output can be compared against the angle
of the tilt table, that will serve as a gold standard for
determining whether the system is in a steady state or not.
5</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Experimental Results</title>
      <p>The fuzzy logic rules were derived using the blood
pressure and heart rate signals from the first of the three
cycles. These signals were pre-processed to find a
smoothed curve of the recorded raw signals. In this
smoothing process, the averages of the values of heart
rate and blood pressure were calculated for every five
timestamps using non-overlapping windows. Then these
average values were used to plot a smooth curve of the
systolic blood pressure and peak-to-peak heart rate to
establish the trends. Figure 5 shows the training dataset.
for safety reasons, to secure the person when the table
was tilted during the test. When using the tilt table, it was
always tilted upright so that the head of the subject was
above his feet. Small, sticky patches containing
electrodes were placed on the subject’s chest. These
electrodes were connected to an electrocardiograph
monitor (ECG) to record the electrical activity of the
person heart to be shown as an ECG graph. The ECG
showed the heart rate and rhythm during the test, at a raw
sampling rate of 100Hz and an accuracy of 3%. A blood
pressure measuring device was also attached on the
subject’s finger. This was connected to monitors so that
the blood pressure could be observed during the test as
well as being recorded.</p>
      <p>At the very beginning of the test, the subject was laid flat
on his back on the tilt table. At that time his initial blood
pressure, ECG, and his position angle data were recorded.
After resting for few minutes, the test was started. The
blood pressure and ECG was constantly monitored
throughout the test and instantaneous readings of the data
stream were recorded every second for subsequent
analysis. The following protocol was applied for
changing the positioning of the tilt table:
1. Lying flat at rest for ~60 sec (to gain statistics of resting state)
2. Fast tilt upwards over ~10 sec
3. Very slow tilt downwards over ~30 sec
4. Lying flat resting state ~30 sec
5. Medium tilt upwards over ~20 sec
6. Upright resting state ~30 sec
7. Fast tilt downwards over ~10 sec
8. Lying flat resting state ~30 sec
9. Fast tilt upwards over ~10 sec
10. Upright resting state ~30 sec
11. Medium tilt downwards over ~20 sec
12. Lying flat resting state ~30 sec
A sample data set collected recorded using the above
protocol is shown in the graphs in Figure 4. Data sets
from three repetitions of the protocol were captured using
one of the investigators as the subject, as a pre-ethics
proof-of-concept exercise needed to justify a full human
research ethics application for extending the work for
recruited subjects in the future. Little variability was
observed in the three data sets, so it was considered
unnecessary to collect further test data.</p>
      <p>The fuzzy logic solution has two input variables and one
output variable. Using the mean and standard deviation
as a tolerance band for the input variables, three states
(Low, Normal, High) are defined. The two input variables
are combined by the AND (i.e. MAX) operator and valid
states inferred from the values for the tilt angle, as
represented in the decision matrix shown in Table 1.</p>
      <p>Input
Variable
2: Heart
Rate</p>
      <p>Low
High
Normal</p>
      <p>Static</p>
      <p>Static</p>
      <p>Lowering</p>
      <p>High</p>
      <p>Static
Lowering</p>
      <p>Raising
RULE 4: IF systolic IS normal AND heart_rate IS low THEN
physiological_status IS Unclassified;
RULE 5: IF systolic IS normal AND heart_rate IS normal THEN
physiological_status IS Static;
RULE 6: IF systolic IS normal AND heart_rate IS high THEN
physiological_status IS Lowering;
RULE 7: IF systolic IS high AND heart_rate IS low THEN
physiological_status IS Static;
RULE 8: IF systolic IS high AND heart_rate IS normal THEN
physiological_status IS Lowering;
RULE 9: IF systolic IS high AND heart_rate IS high THEN
physiological_status IS Raising;
The derived fuzzy rules were applied to the smoothed
data of the test set for the second and third cycles, to
determine the physiological status. By applying fuzzy
logic to these two cycles of testing data, different regions
in the data were classified into predicted statuses of
Static, Raising and Lowering. Figure 6 shows the results
with yellow indicating static status, grey indicating
lowering status and green indicating raising status.
In order to compare the fuzzy logic output to the gold
standard, statuses needed to be inferred from the angle of
the tilt table. The following protocol was established to
determine three different states categorised as: Static,
Raising and Lowering. Only changes of one or more
smoothing period timesteps (i.ee &gt;4 sec) were considered.
The protocol used was as follows:</p>
      <p>If the change of angle is &lt; 5° and timestamp interval &gt;4 sec,
then the tilting table is in static state.</p>
      <p>If the change of angle (upward) is: 25°&lt; angle&lt;90° and
timestamp interval &gt;4 sec, then the tilting table is in
abnormal state and in the raising state.</p>
      <p>If the change of angle (downward) is: 25°&lt; angle&lt;90° and
timestamp interval &gt;4 sec, then the tilting table is in the
lowering state.</p>
      <p>The results using these steps are summarised in Table 2,
and the overall rate of positive and negative outcomes is
shown in Table 3. These outcomes were used to analyse
classifier performance using the following indicators:
Sensitivity = TP/(TP+FN) = Prob(+ve test)
Specificity = TN/(TN+FP) = Prob(-ve test)
Accuracy = (TP+TN)/total obs = Prob(correct)
Error = (FP+FN)/total obs = Prob(wrong)
The resulting indicator values were calculated as follows:
Across the three states, Sensitivity values ranged from
0.56 to 0.89, and Specificity values ranged from 0.75 to
0.97. The low Sensitivity values are related to the smaller
sample sizes for the Raising and Lowering states.
Accuracy rates ranged from 0.85 to 0.87, and Error rates
ranged from 0.13 to 0.15, indicating good performance.
In considering the performance of this approach, several
drawbacks affected the achievable accuracy negatively.
The first issue was the time lag in the dropping of the
vital sign values when changing the angle of the tilting
table. While the tilting table was moved rapidly, it took
several seconds for the physiological status of the human
body to adapt accordingly. As a result, this problem has
affected accuracy in determining the physiological status
of a person in FastUp or in FastDown status.</p>
      <p>Another problem was related to the error rate associated
with using the vital signs measurement equipment. When
the position of the tilt table was changed, small
movements of the body affected accurate measuring of
the physiological data by the monitoring devices. For
example, the blood pressure measuring device was
attached with the finger and due to the movement of the
body and fingers it sometimes gave erroneous readings.
The smoothing function that was applied was intended to
damp out such errors but there is some residual effect.
6</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Conclusion and Future Work</title>
      <p>We have described an efficient computational approach
to the problem of personal monitoring of vital signs, to
provide alerts under well defined abnormal health status
conditions which are caused by a known or anticipated
health situation. The purpose of such alerts is to provide
decision support inputs to carers, to prompt closer
observations or direct interventions to be performed to
help the subjects of care. This could be useful over a wide
range of situations such as elderly or disabled living
alone, or patients with chronic diseases or multiple
comorbidities.</p>
      <p>Fuzzy logic was chosen as an appropriate computational
approach due to its simplicity and ease of tuning to suit
relatively smoothly changing vital signs values. Then the
approach was implemented in software, providing a
multistage process for classifying the condition of a
subject using fuzzy functions for each of several observed
vital signs, and then combining these using rules to
determine the overall health status.</p>
      <p>Using this approach, a fuzzy logic rule-based decision
support system could, for example, be used to monitor
daily activities of living and detection of falls for smart
home residents, in combination with other technologies
that have more sensitivity in detecting sudden change of
body posture such as tri-axial accelerometers. Further
research is required to find out the usefulness of such a
fuzzy logic rule-based decision support system when a
combination of vital signs and acceleration data is used to
detect sudden changes in body posture.</p>
      <p>On the basis of this foundation work, fuzzy logic has
been shown to provide a plausible approach to the general
problem of classifying health status in situations of
abnormalities in vital signs patterns. It is anticipated that
a more extensive system could be built by including
further parameters and more complex rules, using the
same fundamental algorithm. The implementation
methodology using an SQL database and fixed form
parameter labelling functions for the fuzzy assignments,
provides a robust implementation environment and a
sufficiently simple rule specification mechanism to allow
users who are not IT experts to reconfigure the system to
suit a given vital signs classification problem.</p>
      <p>A worthwhile extension of this work would be to improve
the level of sophistication and automation of the threshold
values for the fuzzy logic classification process. Instead
of a simple statistical approach using a set of “normal”
observations, actual patterns could be captured and stored
which could be tested with greater severity than smooth
fuzzy functions. The work offers scope to increase the
amount of ambient intelligence which could be provided
in the “smart home” of the future, to help sustain
occupants’ health circumstances.
7</p>
    </sec>
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