=Paper= {{Paper |id=Vol-1419/section0013 |storemode=property |title=None |pdfUrl=https://ceur-ws.org/Vol-1419/section0013.pdf |volume=Vol-1419 }} ==None== https://ceur-ws.org/Vol-1419/section0013.pdf
                             High-level inference through mental simulation
                                                            Chairperson
                                                      Robert Mackiewicz
                           Department of Psychology, University of Social Science and Humanities,
                                               PL - 03815 Warsaw, Poland.
                                                  rmackiew@swps.edu.pl

                                                             Discussant
                                                       Sangeet Khemlani
                   Navy Center for Applied Research in Artificial Intelligence, Naval Research Laboratory
                                              Washington, DC 20375 USA
                                                  skhemlani@gmail.com

                                                              Speakers

                                                        Philipp Koralus
                                          Faculty of Philosophy, University of Oxford
                                                    Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
                                             philipp.koralus@philosophy.ox.ac.uk

                                                      Robert Mackiewicz
                           Department of Psychology, University of Social Science and Humanities
                                               PL - 03815 Warsaw, Poland
                                                  rmackiew@swps.edu.pl

                                                        Walter Schaeken
                                       Laboratory for Experimental Psychology, KU Leuven
                                                    B - 3000 Leuven, Belgium
                                               Walter.Schaeken@ppw.kuleuven.be

                                                           Marco Ragni
                                       Center for Cognitive Science, University of Freiburg
                                                   D-79098 Freiburg, Germany
                                                ragni@informatik.uni-freiburg.de



   Reasoners without any background in logic can make                     Despite considerable theoretical development in the last
valid deductions. They can reason about sentences and                   30 years, open questions remain: how does simulation
relations (Mackiewicz & Johnson-Laird, 2012), ascribe                   synthesize deductive, inductive, and abductive reasoning?
culpability and causality (Bucciarelli et al., 2008), creatively        How does it develop? How do reasoners incorporate
generate algorithms to solve tasks (Khemlani et al., 2013),             uncertainty into their simulations? Do simulations arise in
make inferences about mechanisms and physical scenes                    non-linguistic contexts? Researchers have begun to
(Hegarty, 2004; Battaglia et al., 2013), and construct                  investigate each of these outstanding issues. This
explanations to cope with inconsistencies (Johnson-Laird et             symposium highlights recent insights from the last five
al., 2004). Recent evidence implicates mental simulation as             years into the pivotal role that mental simulation plays
the conceptual foundation of all these behaviors (Johnson-              across a broad swathe of high-level reasoning behavior.
Laird & Khemlani, 2014). People appear to build small-                  Discussants will highlight developmental trends,
scale discrete mental simulations that mimic the relations of           computational models, and new data that provide
what they represent, and Craik (1943) was the first to                  converging progress toward a unified theory of human
explore their importance in thinking. The idea can be used              reasoning based on mental simulation.
to predict reasoning difficulty: the more simulations
reasoners have to build for a given problem, the harder that
problem will be.




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Illusory inferences and the erotetic theory of                      difficulty by the initial mental model and the possible
reasoning                                                           number of models. In this talk I will first introduce
                                                                    prominent theories for relational reasoning. In a second step
                                                                    I will analyze their predictions for cognitive complexity and
Philipp Koralus
                                                                    discuss if measures from artificial intelligence can provide
                                                                    additional insights.
Human reasoners are subject to fallacious inferences from
very simple premises that have been described as
tantamount to cognitive illusions (Walsh & Johnson-Laird,           Training of Spatial Reasoning
2004; Khemlani & Johnson-Laird, 2009). We present new
experiments that show that these phenomena are much more            Walter Schaeken
general and systematic than has previously been thought,
including inferences from disjunctive premises and premises         The mental models theory of relational reasoning postulates
involving quantifiers. The novel illusory inferences we             that individuals reason by constructing the possible models
present are predicted by the erotetic theory of reasoning           of the situation described by the premises. The present
(Koralus and Mascarenhas, 2013). The key idea is that, by           article reports two experiments about spatial relational
default, we reason by interpreting successive premises as           reasoning and focuses on the possibility of training In
questions and maximally strong answers to those questions,          Experiment 1, we compared two different training methods,
which generates the observed fallacies.                             one in line with the mental models theory and one in line
                                                                    with the rule-based account Both accuracy and training data
                                                                    supported the mental models theory. In Experiment 2, we
Kinematic mental simulations in childrens’                          compared different training methods for children. Again,
                                                                    results were in line with the mental models theory. Hence,
abduction of algorithms
                                                                    training both children and adults in small-scale discrete
                                                                    mental simulations that mimic the relations expressed by the
Robert Mackiewicz                                                   premises enhances the reasoning performance.
The theory of mental models postulates that the creation of
algorithms depends on kinematic mental simulations. We
                                                                                           References
present three experiments with children whose task was to
devise informal algorithms to rearrange the order of cars in        Battaglia, P. W., Hamrick, J. B., & Tenenbaum, J. B.
trains (using a siding). Children were able to solve                  (2013). Simulation as an engine of physical scene
rearrangements of trains containing six cars and the minimal          understanding. Proceedings of the National Academy of
theoretical number of moves predicted the difficulty of               Sciences, 110, 18327-18332.
rearrangement (Experiment 1). When children were asked to           Bucciarelli, M., Khemlani, S., & Johnson-Laird, P.N.
create and verbally describe algorithms for rearrangements,           (2008). The Psychology of Moral Reasoning. Judgment
the difficulty of the task depended not on the number of              and Decision Making, 3, 121-139.
moves but on the theoretical complexity of the algorithm            Craik, K. (1943). The Nature of Explanation. Cambridge:
(Experiment 2). Children used many gestures mimicking                 Cambridge University Press.
actual moves in formulating their algorithms. Gestures              Hegarty, M. (2004). Mechanical reasoning by mental
obviate verbal identifications of cars and descriptions of            simulation. Trends in Cognitive Sciences, 8, 280-285.
their moves. A final study supported this hypothesis:               Johnson-Laird, P.N. & Khemlani, S.S. (2014). Toward a
children formulated accurate algorithms on 13% more trials            unified theory of reasoning. Psychology of Learning and
when they were able to gesture than when they were unable             Motivation, 59, 1-42.
to gesture (Experiment 3).                                          Johnson-Laird, P.N., Girotto, V., Legrenzi, P. (2004).
                                                                      Reasoning      from    inconsistency    to    consistency.
Tracing Cognitive Complexity in Relational                            Psychological Review, 111, 640-661.
                                                                    Khemlani, S.S. & Johnson-Laird, P.N. (2009). Disjunctive
Reasoning
                                                                      illusory inferences and how to eliminate them. Memory &
                                                                      Cognition, 37, 615 – 623.
Marco Ragni
                                                                    Khemlani, S.S., Mackiewicz, R., Bucciarelli, M., &
                                                                      Johnson-Laird, P.N. (2013). Kinematic mental
The core interest from a cognitive modeling perspective is
                                                                      simulations in abduction and deduction. Proceedings of
to find theory inherent predictions for human reasoning
                                                                      the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of
difficulty typically measured by error rates or response
                                                                      America, 110, 16766-16771.
times. The theory of mental logic, for instance, claims that
                                                                    Koralus, P. & Mascarenhas, S. (2013). The erotetic theory
reasoning difficulty depends on the number and kind of
                                                                      of reasoning: Bridges between formal semantics and the
rules that need to be applied to derive a conclusion. In
                                                                      psychology of deductive inference. Philosophical
contrast the mental model theory explains reasoning
                                                                      Perspectives, 27, 312-365.



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Mackiewicz, R. & Johnson-Laird, P.N. (2012). Reasoning
 from connectives and relations between entities. Memory
 & Cognition, 40, 266-279.
Walsh, C.R. & Johnson-Laird, P.N. (2004). Co-reference
 and reasoning. Memory & Cognition, 32, 96-106.




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