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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>An Optimisation Strategy for the Catalytic Transformation of Bioethanol into Olefins Using Computational Intelligence</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Gorka Sorrosal</string-name>
          <email>gsorrosal@deusto.es</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Cristina Martin</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Cruz E. Borges</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Ana M. Macarulla</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Ainhoa Alonso-Vicario</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Deusto Institute of Technology - DeustoTech Energy, University of Deusto</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Avda. Universidades 24, 48007 Bilbao</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="ES">Spain</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date>
        <year>2015</year>
      </pub-date>
      <fpage>115</fpage>
      <lpage>120</lpage>
      <abstract>
        <p>This paper presents a strategy for the optimisation of the operational conditions of the catalytic transformation of Bioethanol into Olefins (BTO) process. The variables to optimise are the main operating variables of the process (temperature, space-time and water content in the feed), and the objective function is to maximise the total production of olefins. The proposed strategy is based on evolutionary algorithms guided by surrogate models used to simulate the process behaviour under different experimental conditions. This paper compares the optimisation results of the BTO process obtained using an existing mechanistic model with those obtained with a surrogate model. The results suggest that the proposed methodology achieves similar results than those using mechanistic models but 43 times faster. This is a preliminary study where only constant set points have been tested; further research will include dynamic optimisation of the operational conditions by testing expected dynamic trajectories for each operating variable.</p>
      </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>-</title>
      <p>
        Nowadays, we are becoming aware that crude oil is a finite
source of energy and raw material. Therefore, our society
begins to impulse the sustainable development using
alternative sources of energy and raw materials, such as coal
or biomass. In nature, being 170 billions tones of biomass
annually produced, only the 3-4 % is exploited. Thus, there
is a huge quantity of biomass available for its valorization
as raw material to obtain biofuels and other chemical
products [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ]. Consequently, the scientific developments in this
field are very important in order to advance in a future
post-petroleum society and to reduce our dependency from
the petroleum and its derivatives. The development of new
tools to study the optimal operation of biomass
transformation processes for a future scaling up to industrial level is a
new interesting research line.
      </p>
      <p>An important biomass transformation process is the
Bioethanol-To-Olefins (BTO) process. The use of biomass
as raw material has a great interest as an alternative to
the petrochemistry for the production of light olefins like
ethylene and propylene. The use of the computational
intelligence in this research field can improve the optimisation
procedures and allow faster developments in the design and
optimal operation of the production processes.</p>
      <p>The optimal control laws of biorefinery production
processes are mainly unknown. Therefore, it is necessary to
test several operational conditions over the whole
operational range to study the influence of each manipulated
variable on the final production objectives.</p>
      <p>One of the key points for the implementation of the
BTO process is to perform an advanced control strategy
by adjusting the operating variables to maintain product
quality while extending the lifespan of the catalyst. Due
to the influence of multiple variables simultaneously over
the reaction kinetics and the catalyst deactivation, it is
necessary to develop advanced optimisation strategies of the
operational conditions that guarantee specific production
objectives without exceeding the operation limits to avoid
an irreversible deactivation of the catalyst.</p>
      <p>
        Therefore, the search of the parameters and operational
conditions that allow to reach those production objectives
give rise to optimisation problems in which the
calculation of an analytic solution can present some difficulties
with conventional search techniques [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">19</xref>
        ]. While these
techniques require characteristics of the process or from the
optimisation problem, such as gradients, Hessians or
linearities, to calculate the next points; there are stochastic search
techniques as the Evolutionary Algorithms (EA) that solve
the optimisation problems only with stochastic rules.
      </p>
      <p>
        In the field of chemical engineering, there are several
applications where these algorithms have been employed
for the design, optimisation and optimal control of
chemical reactors and plants [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1 ref8">8, 1</xref>
        ], such as in fermentation
processes with fed-batch reactors [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">19</xref>
        ] or to optimise the
operational conditions of industrial scale reactor [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">18</xref>
        ] or chemical
plants [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16">16</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        To perform a dynamic optimisation of a process or
reactor, one of the problems is that each cost function
evaluation may require from minutes to hours of calculation time,
and when using EA hundreds of evaluations are generally
needed [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14">14</xref>
        ]. Therefore, as knowledge models use to be
non linear (and hence difficult to be solved, even
numerically), surrogate models are commonly used to simulate
the real process during its optimisation [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10 ref13">13, 10</xref>
        ]. Thanks
to their characteristics, Artificial Neural Networks (ANN)
are being increasingly used as a modelling technique for
process simulation using evolutionary optimisation
techniques [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2 ref5">2, 5</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        ANN attempt to mimic the structural principles of the
biologic brains to learn the existing relations inside
inputoutput datasets. They have been able to successfully model
any type of complex models and chemical reactors, such
as batch reactors [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12 ref7">7, 12</xref>
        ], laboratory or industrial scale
reactors [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">15</xref>
        ] or even catalytic reactions as in the case of the
BTO process [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        The present work has the objective of performing an
optimisation of the Bioethanol-To-Olefins (BTO) process
in order to maximise the olefins total production while
extending the catalyst lifespan. The BTO process, as other
biomass transformation processes, uses a specific catalyst
to stimulate the formation of a specific product at the
reactor output. This catalyst is deactivated with time depending
on the operational conditions. Therefore, in the design
and optimisation of new catalytic transformation processes,
such as the BTO process, there are two aspects to take into
account in order to maximise the production of the desired
product: the composition of the catalyst and the operational
conditions. In the first case, different approaches based
on soft computing techniques have been proposed to
optimise the catalyst composition [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">17</xref>
        ]. For the operational
conditions, we can find some studies for different processes
but without catalyst deactivation [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16">16</xref>
        ] or only in a discrete
way [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        ]. In this work, we proposed a strategy to study the
optimal dynamic operational conditions (with a specific
catalyst composition) to achieve the optimal production
results, taking into account the catalyst deactivation to
design an optimal operation policy that not only maximise
the production objectives but it is also able to counteract
the catalyst deactivation.
      </p>
      <p>This paper presents the preliminary results for the
optimisation of constant operation set points. The optimisation
objectives are the operating conditions that govern the BTO
process. The optimisation process has been implemented
using computational intelligence algorithms. An EA
explores the possible optimal solutions guided by a surrogate
model of the process based on ANN that is integrated in its
evaluation function.</p>
      <p>The paper is organized as follows: Section 2 presents
the BTO process. Next, Section 3 describes the proposed
methodology for the optimisation of the BTO process.
Section 4 presents the obtained results. The conclusions and
future works are finally summarized in Section 5.
2</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>BTO Process</title>
      <p>The BTO process consists in the catalytic transformation
of bioethanol into olefins over an acid catalyst. This is a
key process in the concept of sustainable refinery,
incorporating biomass or derivatives as an alternative feedstock
to petroleum. This process uses a very selective catalyst
to maximise the olefins conversion rate (XO). However,
this catalyst is deactivated due to the accumulation of coke.
Therefore, when the catalyst reaches a minimum activity
value, it is necessary to stop the production step and carry
out the catalyst regeneration phase. In addition, the
regeneration does not achieve the total catalyst recovery, so the
number of possible cycles of production-regeneration is
also limited. Depending on the operational conditions, both
the production and the catalyst deactivation reversibility
will be affected.</p>
      <p>Therefore it is necessary to explore experimentally those
operational conditions that fulfill the desired objectives,
which would be very costly and complicated. The use
of EA and surrogate models to explore those operational
conditions is much more practical and reasonable.</p>
      <p>The following variables are the main operating variables
that govern the behaviour of the BTO process:
• Operating variables:</p>
      <sec id="sec-2-1">
        <title>T : reaction temperature (K).</title>
        <p>Xw: mass fraction of water based on the equivalent
mass of ethylene in the reactor feed gwaterg−1 .
W FE−O1: space-time gcatalyst h−1(gethanol ) .
• Activity level:
a: catalyst activity. The activity has been
considered as a disturbance that quantifies the rate of
catalyst deactivation by coke.</p>
        <p>
          In previous works, experimental runs of this process
were carried out in an automated device equipped with an
isothermal laboratory scale fixed bed reactor connected
online to a gas chromatograph and a micro-GC for the analysis
of the reaction product (see Figure 1). Details about the
reaction equipment, catalyst preparation and experimental
methodology can be found in previous works [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3 ref4">3, 4</xref>
          ].
TIC
This section presents the proposed dynamic optimisation
strategy using Soft Computing techniques. An EA guided
Liq. feed
        </p>
        <p>FT1 FIC1
N2/He
FT2 FIC2</p>
        <p>Air
FT3 FIC3
Aux. gases
FT4 FIC4
H2/He</p>
        <p>H2/He
exhaust
LIC</p>
        <p>TIC</p>
        <p>
          PC
by an ANN based surrogate model of the process is
proposed. The surrogate models are used in the evaluation
operator to simulate the process behaviour under each
operational condition proposed by the EA. The results will be
validated with an existing mechanistic model (MECH) [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3 ref4">3, 4</xref>
          ],
since the experimental validation is not technical or
economically viable.
        </p>
        <p>The EA and the BTO process models (both the MECH
and the surrogate) have been implemented using the
programming package MATLABTM (version 8.0, 2012b,
Mathworks Company). Simulation and optimisation have been
carried out in an PC with an Intel R CoreTM i5-2467M
CPU at 1.6 GHz and 4.0 GB of physical memory (RAM).
3.1</p>
        <sec id="sec-2-1-1">
          <title>Surrogate Model</title>
          <p>
            Chemical knowledge models are generally computationally
very demanding to be used in evolutionary approaches [
            <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14">14</xref>
            ].
Thus, in this work, an ANN based surrogate model is
proposed to dynamically simulate the process behaviour.
          </p>
          <p>A nonlinear autoregressive with exogeneous inputs
(NARX) neural network topology has been selected to
model the BTO process. The developed ANN model
estimates the olefins conversion rate at the reactor output (XO)
using as inputs the previously mentioned process
operating variables (T , XW ,W FE−O1), the catalyst activity level (a)
and the previously estimated output values in a recursive
loop (XˆO).</p>
          <p>An iterative methodology modifying the number of
layers and neurons in each layer has been carried out in order
to select the neural model structure that better fits the
process using the Leave-One-Out Cross-Validation (LOOCV)
technique. This technique consists of setting aside a set of
experiments (representing unique operational conditions)
from the model training phase and only using them for
the validation phase. The process is repeated until every
single set of experiments is used in the validation stage.
These type of techniques test the generalization capability
of a model structure.</p>
          <p>Consequently, the available data are divided into training,
validation and test datasets. The training and validation
datasets are used in the model structure selection. The
first ones are used to train several models with different
structures. Aspects such as the number of hidden layers, the
neurons in each layer or the connections between neurons
are iteratively modified. The performance of each model is
tested and compared following the LOOCV procedure.</p>
          <p>Once the neural model structure is selected, the final
model is trained with all the available data except from
the test dataset which is used to validate the fitted model.
The Levenberg-Marquardt Algorithm has been used for the
training and the main comparison criterion has been the
Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of the model
(Equation (1)).</p>
          <p>RMSE :=
s 1 n</p>
          <p>∑(XO − XˆO)2.
n i=1
(1)</p>
          <p>A first ANN model, trained only with experimental data,
was able to describe correctly the process behaviour for the
experimentally tested operating conditions (see Section 4).
However, for optimisation purposes, it is necessary to test
several operating conditions where limited experimental
data are available. In particular, the dataset does not contain
any experiment describing the dynamic behaviour of XW
and W FE−O1. To provide the ANN with the required
information about the process behaviour in the whole operating
range, some experiments were simulated with the MECH
model and introduced in the training dataset.
3.2</p>
        </sec>
        <sec id="sec-2-1-2">
          <title>Optimisation Problem</title>
          <p>The aim of this optimisation problem is to obtain the
operational conditions that achieve the best production results
per amount of catalyst needed. Due to the catalyst
deactivation, is important to bear in mind the deactivation rate,
keeping in the whole simulation time the catalyst activity
and the olefins production rate over the established
minimum value of 0.10. Therefore, the Equation (2) defines the
objective function in order to maximise the total production
of olefins.</p>
          <p>max
T,Xw,W FE−O1</p>
          <p>Z τ
0</p>
          <p>XO T, Xw,W FE−O1 dt</p>
          <p>W FE−O1
.</p>
          <p>(2)
Please note that there are two stopping criteria (τ constant
in the upper bound of the integral):
• The catalyst involves a major process cost. Therefore,
to maximise the production per amount of catalyst
we have set a lower bound on the activity in order to
reduce the total production costs. This bound has been
set to 0.10 (a &lt; 0.10).
• In order to maintain the production, it is needed that
the olefins conversion rate does not decrease below
the 0.10 (XO &lt; 0.10).</p>
          <p>If any of the above criteria are passed over, we consider that
the production has reached its maximum span and should
be stopped to proceed with a catalyst regeneration phase.</p>
          <p>
            The operating variables to optimise are bounded based
on the physical-chemical properties of the process. In
fact, for the temperature (T ), 573K is the inferior bound
where the complete dehydration of the ethanol happens
and 673K is the upper bound to avoid the irreversible
deactivation of the catalyst. The variable XW will range
between [0.0821, 4.8889] and W FE−O1 will range between
[0.068, 1.525] respectively. Please note that those
intervals have been chosen as are the ones used to adjust the
mechanistic model [
            <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3 ref4">3, 4</xref>
            ].
          </p>
          <p>As previously stated, in order to solve the optimisation
problem an EA has been used. In particular we have
implemented a Genetic Algorithm (GA). Table 1 summarizes
the principal parameters of the EA used. The surrogate</p>
        </sec>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-2">
        <title>Parameter Value</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-3">
        <title>Individuals</title>
        <p>Population</p>
        <p>Generations
Fitness Operator</p>
        <p>Genesis Operator
Selection Operator
Crossover Operator
Mutation Operator</p>
        <p>Elitism</p>
        <p>Vector of real numbers
50 individuals
200 generations
Olefins Production
Random (uniform) initialization
4-Tournament
Arithmetic crossover
Adaptive mutation</p>
        <p>True
model previously developed will be used now to simulate
the temporal behaviour of the process under the operating
constant set points provided by the GA.
4</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Results</title>
      <p>In this section the results obtained for the modelling and
optimisation of the BTO process are shown. Following
the modelling procedure mentioned above, an ANN based
surrogate model, with the topology showed in the Figure 2,
has been implemented.</p>
      <p>Figure 3 represents the estimates of the process
behaviour calculated with both models for a test operational
conditions that were excluded for the training procedure.
The ANN model has been validated using the testing dataset
(see Section 3), obtaining a root mean squared error of
0.0323 gog−1 for the whole test experiments. These results
show the capacity of the ANN to properly assimilate and
reproduce the BTO process dynamics in the same way as
the mechanistic model.</p>
      <p>Once the surrogate model has been validated, the
evolutionary optimisation has been carried out. Table 3 shows
the mean production results obtained with the “optimal”
operational conditions generated by the EA. Being the
optimisation procedure stochastic, it has been launched several
times to guarantee its convergence to a local optimum.
Notice the small deviations repeating all the procedure 50 and
100 times for the mechanistic and surrogate approaches
respectively. Although the standard deviation using the
surrogate model doubles the deviation that results from
using the mechanistic model, in both cases they are still
very small. So we can conclude that the proposed approach
is converging to a local optimum.</p>
      <p>Finally, Figure 4 shows the behaviour of the process
under the optimum solution provided by the evolutionary
optimisation using the surrogate model. The maximum
production has been 68.05 gogc−a1talyst . Please note that the
maximum production using the surrogate model only differs
a 5.67 % over the optimisation carried out using the
mechanistic model, but with much less computation cost. This
maximum is reached by operating the reactor at 645K with
a high content of water in the feed (XW = 4.875gwaterg−1)
0.2
00
and a space-time of 1.293goh(gethanol )−1. This water
quantity attenuates the catalyst deactivation, which allows the
extension of the production phase.
5</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Conclusions</title>
      <p>An optimisation strategy for the catalytic transformation
of Bioethanol-To-Olefins (BTO) process based on
computational intelligence has been presented. The proposed
evolutionary optimisation guided by an Artificial Neural
Networks based surrogate models has been able to
optimise the process obtaining similar results than those
obtained when using a mechanistic model but 43 times faster.
A clear optimum has been defined. The optimum
operational conditions have shown to be, temperature: 645K;
water quantity in the feed: 4.875gwaterg−1; space-time:
1.293goh(gethanol )−1. These operational conditions allow
to extend the catalyst lifespan maximising the production
phase and hence the total production.</p>
      <p>The presented results are a preliminary study on the
optimisation of the BTO process looking only for constant
set points that maximise the production objectives. This
has been the first step for a more complex dynamic
optimisation of the process, in which the optimal dynamic
trajectory for each operating variable will be described. In
this line, several trajectory types will be defined for each
of the operating conditions to study the process dynamic
behaviour.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Acknowledgement</title>
      <p>The research team would like to thank the financial
support of the Basque Government by the research project
BIOTRANS (PI2013-40).</p>
    </sec>
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