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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Tracing Research Paradigm Change Using Terminological Methods A Pilot Study on “Machine Translation” in the ACL Anthology Reference Corpus</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Anne-Kathrin Schumann</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date>
        <year>2015</year>
      </pub-date>
      <fpage>115</fpage>
      <lpage>122</lpage>
      <abstract>
        <p>This paper explores the use of terminology extraction methods for detecting paradigmatic changes in scientific articles. We use a statistical method for identifying salient nouns and adjectives that signal these paradigmatic changes. We then employ the extracted lexical units for discovering terms that are assumed to be central in characterising paradigm shifts. To assess the method's performance, in this pilot study, we work on “machine translation” (MT) research articles sampled from the ACL anthology reference corpus. We analyse this corpus to check whether the proposed approach can trace the dramatic changes that machine translation research has experienced in the last decades: from transformational rule-based methods to statistical machine learning-based techniques.</p>
      </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>-</title>
      <p>Research in computational terminology
traditionally focuses on static models of knowledge
acquisition and representation. Corpus-based
approaches have led to an increased interest in the
automatic extraction and semantic categorisation
of terms with many successful applications.
However, progress in the empirical description and
computational modelling of terminological
dynamics has been rather slow.</p>
      <p>This paper suggests that terminological
methods and principles can be employed in empirical
investigations of diachronic knowledge evolution.
In particular, terminological methods can provide
new insights into problems of diachrony since they
can be used to trace (a) how terminologies come
into being, and (b) how they develop over time as
the scientific field itself evolves. Empirical work
on the creation and development of terminologies
is especially relevant for investigations into the
history of science. Furthermore, studies of this
kind are also likely to benefit terminology as a
discipline, since they might provide insights into the
driving forces of terminological development and
knowledge organization.</p>
      <p>The method proposed here identifies lexical
units the importance of which increases or
decreases upon the transition from an earlier period
to a more recent one. In other words, we approach
history of science in the form of a trend analysis
task. Formally, this task consists of two sub-tasks,
namely:
(a) the detection of those periods in time when a
paradigm change is taking place (e.g., as
signalled by terminological dynamics in a
domain);
(b) the extraction of terms that are indicative of a
declining or rising paradigm.</p>
      <p>The pilot study described in this paper relates
only to the extraction of terms signalling paradigm
shift (i.e., sub-task (b)). The material for our
analysis consists of research articles dealing with
“machine translation”. These articles are
sampled from the ACL Anthology Reference Corpus
(ACL ARC)—introduced in Bird et al. (2008).</p>
      <p>Linguistically, the proposed method is inspired
by studies on register.1 Register linguistics
approaches linguistic variation as the description of
1See Cabre´ (1998) for an elaboration of terminological
aspects of register. Also, see Teich et al. (2015) for an applied
perspective.
changing configurations of linguistic features on
the textual level. One of the relevant
dimensions for this type of study certainly is the
lexicon. Accordingly, we hypothesise that
paradigmatic changes in a field of knowledge are the
cause of terminological dynamics. These
dynamics are expressed in the form of the rise or
decline of not just isolated terms but whole groups
of terms.</p>
      <p>We conclude that terms extracted by our method
are salient if they are able to depict the
paradigmatic change that the MT field has undergone in
the last decades—that is, the advent of statistical
methods in contrast to symbolic approaches that
were in use earlier. The remainder of this paper
is structured as follows. Section 2 briefly
summarises relevant previous work. Section 3 outlines
our extraction method. Section 4 reports the
results of our pilot study, followed by an evaluation
in Section 5. Section 6 discusses obtained results
and concludes this paper.
2</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>Related Work</title>
      <p>The term “paradigm” in the sense intended here
goes back to Kuhn (1962). According to Kuhn, a
paradigm emerges from a generally acknowledged
scientific contribution to a research field. The
significance of the paradigm consists in its
ability to propose research problems and solutions to
these problems to the relevant community. Some
of Kuhn’s arguments can be traced back to Fleck
(1935). Fleck describes scientific communities as
communities of thought (“Denkkollektive”) who
share habits in their way of perceiving and solving
scientific problems (“Denkstil”, literally “style of
thought”). What is important here for our research
question is that paradigms are coupled not only
with specific types of problems and research
methods, but also with terminologies: they constitute
the inventory of lexical units used to refer to
concepts that are central for a given paradigm.
Consequently, they are subject to change whenever the
conceptual outline of the discipline changes.</p>
      <p>Terminological dynamics have been
approached by terminology proper from various
perspectives. Relevant to our study are the
articles by Kristiansen (2011) and Picton (2011).
Kristiansen (2011) provides a detailed account
of external motivating factors of conceptual
and, eventually, terminological dynamics. Picton
(2011) elaborates a typology for the description
of short-term term evolution patterns such as
neology–necrology (i.e., appearance–disappearance
of terms), term migration, and topic
centrality–disappearance. Both papers, unfortunately, do
not provide any methodology for the automatic
detection of these dynamics.</p>
      <p>
        In computational linguistics, trend analysis is
usually approached by computing topic centrality
and/or community influence measures and
plotting them on a timeline. An example is the work
by Hall et al. (2008) who try to trace the
“development of research ideas over time”. They
employ the standard Latent Dirichlet Allocation
(LDA) algorithm
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">(Blei et al., 2003)</xref>
        —a
term-bydocument model—for identifying “topic clusters”.
The method involves manual selection of relevant
topics and seed words in multiple runs of the LDA
algorithm. Probabilities derived from the LDA
model are then used for the identification of rising
and declining topics. Similar to our work, the
authors report experiments over the ACL ARC,
using publications from 1978–2006.
      </p>
      <p>
        A term-based approach to topic and trend
analysis is proposed by Mariani et al. (2014). The
analysis is conducted on the ELRA Anthology of LREC
publications starting in 1998. A term extraction
method, namely TermoStat
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">(Drouin, 2004)</xref>
        , is
employed to extract “topic keywords”. For each year,
terms and their variants are grouped into synsets
and the most frequent terms are found. Finally,
the authors study the rank development for the 50
most frequent terms in order to extract
information on whether topics designated by these terms
have risen, declined, or stayed stable over the
period under analysis. Relevant co-occurrences of
terms are also listed.
      </p>
      <p>Gupta and Manning (2011) stress that for the
purpose of detailed investigations into the history
of science “. . . an understanding of more than just
the ’topics’ of discussion . . . ” is necessary. They
extract semantic information for the categories
FOCUS (i.e., the main contribution of an article),
TECHNIQUE, and DOMAIN from the title and
abstract sentences of research papers using a set of
bootstrapped patterns. They then identify
communities using the LDA algorithm. An influence
measure is defined and calculated for
communities based on the number of times their FOCUS,
DOMAIN, or TECHNIQUE have been adopted by
other communities. Finally, results obtained from
the ACL ARC are projected onto a timeline.</p>
      <p>The work listed above has a number of
shortcomings, amongst them are:</p>
      <p>Approaches based on topic modeling do not
always provide readily interpretable topics.
While many of the induced topics are
convincing in terms of their lexical outline, we
believe that the use of terminology, as
proposed by Mariani et al. (2014), can provide
more targeted information.</p>
      <p>For any detailed understanding of the
history of a given discipline, it is insufficient
to measure how “central” or “popular”
certain topics were at different periods in time.
Instead, the internal, fine-grained dynamics
of the field such as paradigms and paradigm
shifts need to be understood. To our
knowledge, the work by Mariani et al. (2014) is the
only one that includes a study of the lexical
context of terminological units; however, this
analysis is not carried out systematically. We
believe that a systematic study of how groups
of terms change over time can provide rich
information for users that are interested in the
history of a given scientific discipline (e.g.,
see Figure 2).
3</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Detection of Lexical Rank Shifts: The</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Method</title>
      <p>Our work differs from previous studies in that
we exploit the notion of rank shifts for
detecting fine-grained shifts rather than measuring topic
centrality or popularity. The comparison of rank
shifts between two lists of sorted lexical items
is an established research method in the field of
quantitative historical linguistics (e.g., c.f. Arapov
and Cherc (1974)) and we believe that it can be
adapted to our purposes.</p>
      <p>In essence, our approach to the detection of
terminological dynamics revealing a paradigm
change is two-fold. Firstly, we extract lemmas
that experience a change in their ranks upon the
transition from older publications to more
recent ones. We believe that these lemmas are
either paradigmatic terms themselves or can be
used to extract paradigmatic terms. We restrict
word classes to nouns and adjectives since we
believe that they are the most characteristic units
for a given research paradigm. Secondly, we
use extracted lemmas for identifying paradigmatic
terms.</p>
      <p>The first step (i.e., extraction of lemmas)
consists of three sub-processes:
1. extraction of frequency per document
information for all nouns and adjectives in the two
sub-corpora under analysis and removal of
strings containing non-alpha-numeric
characters;
2. ranking of lexemes obtained for the two time
periods using the method explained below;
3. comparison of the two ranked lists in order to
identify those lexemes that have undergone
relevant rank-shifts.</p>
      <p>
        Frequency and document-related information is
extracted using the IMS Open Corpus Workbench
(CWB) loaded with our data
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7 ref9">(Evert and Hardie,
2011)</xref>
        . For ranking, we employ the measure for
calculating domain consensus proposed by Sclano
and Velardi (2007). This measure—DC Di (t)—is
defined as follows:
      </p>
      <p>DC Di (t) =</p>
      <p>X nf (t; dk) log(nf (t; dk)); (1)
dk2Di
where dk denotes the kth document in domain Di,
and nf is the normalised frequency of term t in
dk 2 Di. DC Di (t) goes beyond the use of raw
frequencies (e.g., as used by Mariani et al. (2014)).
Instead, DC Di (t) favors lexemes that are evenly
distributed over all the texts in the two sub-corpora
as opposed to candidates that are frequent just in
a small number of texts. The process results in
ranked lists of lexemes for the two time periods
that we want to compare. Each lexeme either
occurs in only one of the two lists or in both of them.
To detect major rank shifts RS for a lexeme t that
occurs in both lists, we use the following formula:
RS (t) =</p>
      <p>1</p>
      <sec id="sec-4-1">
        <title>RNew (t)</title>
        <p>1</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-2">
        <title>ROld (t)</title>
        <p>;
(2)
where R(t) denotes the rank of t in the two ranked
lists New (recent publications) and Old (early
publications).</p>
        <p>In the next step, the lemmas with highest rank
shifts are employed to build partly lexicalised term
extraction patterns for identifying paradigmatic
terms. PoS sequence patterns are taken from the
Pattern CWB query
adjective + [pos=”JJ.*”]
noun [lemma=”lexicon”]
past participle [pos=”VVN”]
+ noun [lemma=”lexicon”]
noun + noun [pos=”N.*”]</p>
        <p>
          [lemma=”lexicon”]
noun + noun + [pos=”N.*”] [pos=”N.*”]
noun [lemma=”lexicon”]
noun + prepo- [pos=”N.*”] [pos=”IN”]
sition + noun [lemma=”lexicon”]
adjective + ad- [pos=”JJ.*”] [pos=”JJ.*”]
jective + noun [lemma=”lexicon”]
multilingual term extraction tool TTC TermSuite
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">(Daille and Blancafort, 2013)</xref>
          2. Table 1 provides
examples of these patterns.
4
        </p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Experiment</title>
      <p>As stated earlier, we used the ACL ARC as a
dataset. The corpus contains research articles on
the topic of human language technology dating
back as far as 1965. In our experiments, we
use the preprocessed segmented version of the
ACL ARC (i.e., the ACL RD-TEC) provided by
QasemiZadeh and Handschuh (2014). Our pilot
study is limited to the research publications in the
domain of MT. Given our knowledge that MT
re2http://code.google.com/p/ttc-project/
Up terms Down terms
machine translation natural language
language model deep structure
translation system phrase structure
word sense transformational rule
training datum syntactic analysis
test set surface structure
mt system sentence structure
translation model physics problem
sentence pair semantic theory
statistical machine translation transformational grammar
machine translation system phrase structure grammar
bleu score average number
parallel corpus linguistic theory
training set conversion rule
english word source language
search has undergone a major paradigm shift since
the late 1980s, we want to examine whether our
method is able to capture and characterise this
paradigm shift.</p>
      <p>To prepare the data for experiments, we
extract nouns and adjectives from papers
containing either the string “machine translation” or
“automatic translation”. We divide the corpus into
two sets of articles: Old (1960s–70s) and New
(1980s onwards). Since New is substantially
larger than Old , we randomly reduce the size of
the New set in order to make it more comparable
to Old . Despite this effort, the two sub-corpora
still have a different size and structure—New
contains 290,337 nouns and adjectives whereas Old
contains only 79,247.</p>
      <p>The extracted lemmas are weighted using
Equations 1 and 2. Consequently, four sets of words are
generated:
words that occur only in New (ONLY NEW);
words that occur only in Old (ONLY OLD);
words whose rank increases upon the
transition from Old to New (UP);
words whose rank decreases upon the
transition from Old to New (DOWN).</p>
      <p>The first set—items that occur only in New—is
comparatively large and contains 14,347
adjectives and nouns. Old, on the other hand, has
ion 0:6
s
i
c
reP 0:4
0:2</p>
      <p>UP</p>
      <p>DOWN
050
100
150 200
Top n term
250
300
7,094 unique adjectives and nouns. 1,023
lemmas have an increased rank over time, and 2,880
words are subject to rank decrease. Table 2
details the results by showing the top 15 items in
each set of generated words. Table 2a shows
words that occur only in New or only in Old.
Table 2b, however, shows common words with the
largest rank shifts. Note that ONLY NEW and
ONLY OLD have been ranked by their assigned
DC score (Equation 1), whereas Up and Down
are sorted according to the score computed using
Equation 2.</p>
      <p>In the second step, we select the top 30
plausible noun lemmas from the UP list (shown in
Table 2b) and use them for building term extraction
patterns (as exemplified in Table 1). This
process is also repeated for the top 30 nouns from
the DOWN list. The two obtained sets of
patterns are employed to extract terms from the New
and the Old sub-corpora, respectively. Table 3
provides an overview over the 15 most frequent
candidate terms extracted by this method.
Figure 1 reports the precision for the first 300 Up and
Down paradigmatic term candidates obtained by
automatically comparing them to terms annotated
in the ACL RD-TEC by QasemiZadeh and
Handschuh (2014).
5</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>Evaluation</title>
      <p>The 15 lemmas listed in Table 2b (i.e., DCDi
(t)ranked lemmas) are presented to 5 researchers in
the area of machine translation. The evaluators are
asked whether
(a) the individual lemmas in Table 2b are salient
for the period they are supposed to represent
(New and Old); and,</p>
      <p>To investigate (a), participants make binary
distinctions (i.e., in each of the Up and Down lists, a
lemma is marked either as relevant or irrelevant).
To investigate (b), participants are asked to
provide a grade indicating the relevance of the lists of
terms on a scale from 1 (“list is irrelevant”) to 5
(“relevant”).</p>
      <p>In order to assess whether the DCDi (t)
ranking mechanism proposed in this paper (i.e.,
Equations 1 and 2) outperforms simpler ranking
methods, we also construct a baseline data-set: nouns
and adjectives in New and Old are sorted by their
frequency and then evaluated by the differences in
their ranks. The resulting baseline data is given in
Table 4. Evaluators are asked to repeat the
abovementioned assessment also for this baseline
without being aware of how both data-sets were
produced. Table 5 summarizss the results of this
evaluation.</p>
      <p>Each row of the Sub-Tables 5 summarises the
input from each of the expert evaluators. The
first and the second column in each sub-table
show the sum of positively marked Up and Down
items—that is, the sum of those lemmas (out
of 15) that were found salient for either the
1960s–1970s or the 1980s–2000s (sub-task (a)).
The third column presents the overall evaluation
of the lists (i.e., sub-task (b)). Table 5a provides
the results for the list of lexical items that are
ranked using the DC Di (t) score (i.e., listed in
Table 2b). Table 5b provides the assessments for the
Up Down Overall
12 10 4:5
12 10 4:5
13 12 4:5
10 10 3:5
3 4 2:5
(a)
baseline list (i.e., listed in Table 4).</p>
      <p>As can be observed in Table 5, the evaluators
tend to prefer the DC Di (t)-ranked lexical items
over the baseline data-set. Except for one of the
annotators who suggests that the baseline method
provides more informative output (i.e., the last row
of Tables 5a and 5b), the evaluators consistently
prefer the ranking mechanism proposed in this
paper, assigning an overall grade of 3–4 (out of 5)
points to the output. However, the difference
remains but slight.</p>
      <p>Table 6 shows the 15 most frequent terms in
the Old and the New corpus, respectively. These
terms were collected using the manual annotations
in the ACL RD-TEC by QasemiZadeh and
Handschuh (2014). By comparing these terms to the
output of our method (Table 3), we observe
considerable differences. Evidently, for the detection
of paradigm shifts, terms extracted using
semilexicalised part-of-speech (PoS) patterns based on
our DC Di (t) method are better indicators of the
paradigm shift than terms ranked by their raw
frequencies.</p>
      <p>Figure 2 exemplifies some of the dynamics
detected by our method. For each year, the plot
shows the frequencies of terms normalised by the
sum of all term frequencies extracted from the
publications in that year. All plotted terms were
among the top items in our Up and Down lists.
Up paradigmatic terms are given in blue whereas
Down paradigmatic terms are plotted in black.</p>
      <p>Figure 2 illustrates what types of information
can be drawn from the analysis conducted here.
For example, we observe that “automatic
evaluation” rises synchronously with “Bleu score”
Sub-Corpus Old Sub-Corpus New
natural language machine translation
machine translation natural language
computational linguistics language processing
data base translation system
artificial intelligence target language
language processing computational linguistics
phrase structure natural language processing
syntactic analysis training data
translation system source language
automatic translation test set
natural languages information retrieval
information retrieval machine translation system
noun phrase language model
language understanding training corpus
noun phrases noun phrase
and is only slightly preceded by “statistical
machine translation” itself. We also find that, during
the 1980s, references to “linguistic‘theory” were
rather frequent, but they have largely vanished
since 1990. Themes such as generative
grammar or phrase structure grammar were not
dominant even in the earlier decades, but they exhibit
a constant decline at least since the 1990s.
Evidently, the plot confirms that our attribution of
terms to the categories Up and Down is justified.
Moreover, this plot supports our hypothesis that
paradigm shifts are lexically expressed by
dynamics of whole groups of related terms.
6</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-7">
      <title>Discussion and future work</title>
      <p>For a detailed understanding of the dynamics of
science, it is insufficient to measure how “central”
or “popular” certain topics are at different periods
of time. Instead, those groups of terms that signal
paradigm changes must be detected—this is the
key idea that motivates the research presented in
this paper. The pilot study described here,
therefore, aims at showing that terminological methods
can be employed to serve this purpose, and to
provide information for understanding what is going
on in a scientific field at a given moment in time.</p>
      <p>An inspection of our method’s output
indicates that the renewal of vocabulary (happening by
some words falling from use and others being
instatistical machine translation
automatic evaluation
generative grammar
linguistic theory
bleu score</p>
      <p>test set
phrase structure grammar
1975</p>
      <p>1985 1990
Publication Year
1995
2000
2005
troduced) is considerable given the relatively short
time span under analysis in our experiments. We
observe that the content words shared by the two
data sets are, in fact, a minority. However, we also
observe that Only New (Table 2a) clearly
contains items that are indicative of more recent MT
research such as “alignment”, “n-gram” or
“decoder”. The items that are specific to Only Old ,
on the other hand, seem to be rather spurious and
low-frequent. These lexical units, rather
unsurprisingly, disappear upon the transition from Old
to New .</p>
      <p>Our evaluation also indicates that the lemmas
extracted by our method (Table 2b) are indicative
of the respective time periods, at least as far as the
top ranks are concerned. MT experts prefer the
output of our proposed method over the output of
the baseline method, perhaps due to the improved
coverage of the relevant Down lemmas.</p>
      <p>Moreover, the terminological evaluation of the
extracted paradigmatic terms (Figure 1) shows
that Up lemmas indeed help to extract valid
computational linguistics terms. Performance for
Down lemmas, however, is consistently worse.
This difference in performance, in our opinion, is
related to the higher productivity of the Up
lemmas from Table 2b: Up lemmas are used in a
growing number of more specific and more
frequent terms, whereas Down lemmas do not
experience a similar increase in frequency and
specificity. That is, it is harder to distinguish irrelevant
collocations containing Down terms from
collocations with terminological value. Hence, term
extraction performance for Down terms is worse.
We believe that, if this property can be shown to
hold in general, it is highly relevant as it can be
used for the extraction of emergent and
semantically related terms. Term extraction performance
itself can be further improved by integrating
standard practices such as stop-word filtering.</p>
      <p>Last not but not least, a timeline plot of Up
and Down paradigmatic terms indicates that Down
terms, as expected, do not exhibit the same
exponential growth as Up paradigmatic terms.
However, what we also observe is that many relevant
terms do not simply fall from use (e.g., the term
“linguistic theory”). They may even increase their
absolute frequency or become salient again in new
or unforeseen contexts.</p>
      <p>The local context of terms therefore remains an
unexplored factor in trend analysis research. If
we look more closely into our data, we find
unexpected formulations such as “the language model
in the human” or “translation model based on
semantic interpretation”. Future work will need to
address these kinds of dynamics in superficially
identical terms that are even more fine-grained
than the rank shifts observed in this pilot study.</p>
      <p>Several measures can be taken into
consideration for improving our current evaluation method.
Future work will also strive for a comparison of
multiple sub-corpora that represent time slices of
different granularity, perhaps of more similar size
and structure. The detection of time periods in
which paradigm shifts occur and a more precise
modelling of their interplay with terminological
dynamics are also important topics for future
research.</p>
      <p>
        Finally, we would like to mention that an
important observation about the dependence of
lexical dynamics on frequency has already been
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">made
by Arapov and Cherc (1974</xref>
        ) who explicitly refer
to Zipf:
      </p>
      <sec id="sec-7-1">
        <title>The speed of decay . . . can, in a way, be</title>
        <p>understood as the probability of decay.</p>
        <p>The higher the ordinal number (rank) of
a [word] group . . . , the lower the
frequency of the words belonging to that
group, the higher is the speed of decay
of this group.3
It is no surprise that term frequency does play a
role in term necrology. However, the formula that
we currently use for rank comparison (i.e.,
Equation 2) does not account for this aspect.
Furthermore, the question how to compare terms the
frequencies of which differ by sizes of magnitude
is also yet unresolved. Future work will address
these shortcomings.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-8">
      <title>Acknowledgements</title>
      <p>We thank Mihael Arcan, Iacer Calixto, Peyman
Passban, Liling Tan and colleagues for evaluating
our data. We would also like to thank Prof. Elke
Teich for her comments and advice. This research
has been supported by the Deutsche
Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research
Foundation) through the Cluster of Excellence
‘Multimodal Computing and Interaction’.</p>
      <sec id="sec-8-1">
        <title>3Translated from Russian.</title>
      </sec>
    </sec>
  </body>
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