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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Informing Residents to Natural Disasters: the Case Study Results from Northern Evros, Greece</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Paraskevi Karanikola</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Stilianos Tampakis</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Vasileios Drosos</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Nikolaos Varlamis</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Department of Forestry and Management of the Environment and Natural Resources, School of Agriculture and Forestry, Democritus University of Thrace</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Orestiada</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="GR">Greece</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <fpage>107</fpage>
      <lpage>116</lpage>
      <abstract>
        <p>Greece is a country which is often affected by catastrophic natural phenomena (especially forest fires, floods and earthquakes).The study aimed to identify the information provided to residents of Northern Evros, concerning natural disasters. Primarily, residents were asked to express their opinion about the importance of recording their views via questionnaire and to evaluate natural disasters depending on their risk degree. Moreover, it was investigated whether the residents were informed for the recovering actions from a natural disaster, if they were aware about the role and the responsibilities of the Civil Protection Service and which sources of information they used. They were also asked about the way the information about the real size of a natural disaster should be formed by the media and the reason why scientists talked to the media after a catastrophic natural disaster. Furthermore, the views of the residents were analyzed regarding operations that would be done temporally, after a catastrophic risk for recovery and from which shared state services in their region, for every kind of natural disaster separately.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>Natural hazards</kwd>
        <kwd>risk perception</kwd>
        <kwd>risk awareness</kwd>
        <kwd>information</kwd>
        <kwd>Media</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1 Introduction</title>
      <p>
        Natural disasters are the impact of oversized natural phenomena
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref21 ref7">(Ye et al., 2012;
Karanikola et al., 2014)</xref>
        . A disaster refers to a relatively unexpected event which
typically overwhelms existing resources and threatens life or property
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12 ref2 ref3">(Gasparotti
and Rusu 2012; Georghiu et al., 2013)</xref>
        . People are unequally affected by extreme
natural events in terms of mortality, morbidity and financial losses
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20 ref23">(Teodorescu and
Cristin, 2002; Werg et al., 2013)</xref>
        .
      </p>
      <p>
        When a region is vulnerable to natural disasters, the citizens should be sufficiently
informed about the problem with the correct and adequate information
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">(Singer and
Endreny, 1994)</xref>
        . In this way the consequences of the phenomenon will be reduced the
number of victims or the injured
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">(Papatheodorou et al., 2014)</xref>
        . However, when a
natural disaster happens the citizens should be informed about the actions they
should take before, during, or after a natural disaster
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">(Alesch et al., 2012)</xref>
        . In such
conditions the participation and the cooperation of all public and private entities are
quite important providing citizens with information are of course essential, but it is
not sufficient
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14 ref18">(Pearch, 2003; Mercer, 2010)</xref>
        . Each incident in which emergency
managers disseminate risk information to the news media should be followed by a
thorough critique of performance
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">(Lindell and Perry, 1992)</xref>
        .
      </p>
      <p>
        Information and communication present significant advances in disaster
prevention and crisis management
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12 ref2">(Martin and Rice 2012)</xref>
        . Knowledge about the
citizens’ expectations from the authorities and the community, it is important
information for the management of natural disasters. This information can be used in
the phase of the organization in order to develop the necessary structures in order to
satisfy the people’s needs. Disaster management and community planning via public
participation have become top priority for authorities, organizations and stakeholders
in many countries all over the world
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12 ref14 ref18 ref2">(Pearch, 2003; Mercer, 2010; Martin and Rice,
2012)</xref>
        . In European Countries there are a few papers on this subject
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11 ref22 ref4">(Mansourian et
al., 2006; Fleischauer et al., 2012; Wachinger, 2013)</xref>
        .
      </p>
      <p>The study focuses on the perceptions and knowledge of the residents of Northern
Evros about natural disasters. In particular the citizens evaluate natural disasters
proportionally with their hazard degree, the actions that residents should take in order
to face a natural disaster, the role of stakeholders and specifically the role of the Civil
Protection. Also, they evaluated the different sources of information about natural
hazards and comment on the role of the broadcast media and scientific community.
2</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>Research Methodology</title>
      <p>
        The research was carried out with the application of a face to face structured
questionnaire. The research area of this paper was Northern Evros (967.5km2) the
northernmost regional unit of Greece that includes the city of Orestiada and the 33
around villages with total population 39,485 (under the national census of 2011). It
borders with Turkey to the east, across the river Evros, and it borders with Bulgaria
to the north and the northwest)
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">(Municipality of Orestiada, 2015)</xref>
        .
      </p>
      <p>Random sampling was applied. The population ratio that is also the impartial
evaluation of the real ratio of the population p and the assessment of the standard
error of the population ratio of the sp without correction of the finite population as the
sampling fraction is small, has been calculated using the formulae of simple random
sampling.</p>
      <p>
        To calculate the size of the sample we thought it would be necessary to conduct
pre-sampling with a sample size of 50 individuals. The size of this sample was
calculated based on the formulae of simple random sampling (where t = 1.96 and e =
0.048) (Μatis, 2001). Even though simple random sampling without off reset was
used, the correction of the finite population can be omitted as the sample size n is
small in relation to the population size N
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16">(Pagano et al., 2000)</xref>
        . More specifically, the
sample size was determined to 400 individuals. The data collection was carried out
during the second semester of 2014.
      </p>
      <p>
        The total of questions which were reported to the possible sources of information
constitutes a multi-theme variable on which reliability analysis is applied. In
particular, in order to find out the internal reliability of a questionnaire
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">(Frangos
2004)</xref>
        , i.e. if our data have the tendency to measure the same thing we used the alpha
co-efficient (or reliability co-efficient a-Cronbach). If the alpha co-efficient is 0.70 or
bigger it is regarded satisfactory
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">(Howitt et al., 2003)</xref>
        and if it is bigger than 0.80 it is
regarded very satisfactory. In practice, it is frequent that smaller reliability
coefficients, that is with values no bigger than 0.60, are also accepted.
      </p>
      <p>
        However, the checking must not only be reliable, it must also be credible and this
is done through the application of factor analysis (Sharma, 1996). In particular, we
used the method of principal components which is based on the spectral analysis of
the variance table (correlation). Regarding the significance of the principal
components, the criterion which was used was the one suggested by Guttman and
Kaiser
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">(Frangos, 2004)</xref>
        , according to which, the limit for the collection of the
appropriate number of the principal components is determined by the values of
typical roots which are equal or higher to one. Furthermore, we also used the matrix
rotation of the main factors applying the Kaiser’s method of maximum variance
rotation.
3
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Results and Discussion</title>
      <p>Primarily, the residents of Northern Evros were asked about how important it is to
record their view about natural disasters through the questionnaire. The residents
considered that it was important (35.8%), very important (27%) and most important
(21%) their surveying through the questionnaire (Fig. 1).</p>
      <p>Important,  
35.8%,  
sp=0.0240  </p>
      <p>Very  
important,  
27.0%,  
sp=0.0222  </p>
      <p>Little  
important,  
12.8%,  
sp=0.0167  </p>
      <p>Not  important,  </p>
      <p>3.5%,  
sp=0.0092  </p>
      <p>Most  
important,  
21.0%,  
sp=0.0204  </p>
      <p>During the interviews residents were asked to evaluate natural disasters according
to the degree of risk (Table 1). As very significant characterized from the citizens
natural disasters as earthquakes (70.8%), tsunami (57.8%), forest fires (56%), the
floods (44.8%) and the volcanic eruptions (45.2%). However, people characterize a
natural disaster more dangerous, regardless of the probability of occurrence, unless
the negative impact that poses, e.g. the possibility of tsunami in the region is too
small, but the disaster that will be caused is huge.</p>
      <p>Informing people plays an important role as it contributes to minimize the
catastrophic effects that a natural disaster can bring about, and it can generally reduce
human losses. Table 2 presents the degree of which residents of Northern Evros were
informed of the actions they should take in case of natural disasters. It was found that
the residents were not very informed about the relevant actions that should be taken
in case of natural disasters.</p>
      <p>According to figure 2 the knowledge of the role and responsibilities of the Civil
Protection Agency is rather mediocre.</p>
      <p>Table 3 presents the sources of natural disaster information that residents consider
as most important. It was found that the internet and education were the most
important; however, the internet had a relatively large percentage of negative
answers due to the fact that it was not used by older people.</p>
      <p>In the above variables reliability analysis was applied, after the appropriate
checks. Reliability co-efficient alfa is 0.750 and this result constitutes strong
evidence that the grades of the scale are logically consistent, i.e. our data have the
tendency to measure the same thing.</p>
      <p>Moreover, before we moved on with the application of factor analysis the
necessary checks were done. In Table 4 we can see that the factors that were
extracted were three and they all have a characteristic root bigger than 1.
Additionally, the second column shows the percentage of variation that is attributed
to every factor while the third column shows the percentage of variation that is
attributed to every factor after rotation. The bigger the loading of a variable the more
this factor is responsible for the total variation of the grades within the variable under
consideration. The variables that ‘belong’ to every factor are those for which the
loading (columns 1, 2, 3) is bigger (than 0.5) in this factor.</p>
      <p>significant
37.5%
0.0242
24.5%
0.0215
23.0%
0.0210
32.5%
0.0234
27.8%
0.0224
12.2%
0.0164
33.5%
0.0236
32.2%
0.0234
10.8%
0.0155
5.5%
0.0114
4.8%
0.0106
11.2%
0.0158
11.2%
0.0158
2.8%
0.0082
14.8%
0.0177
18.2%
0.0193</p>
      <p>Very
insignificant</p>
      <p>Factor 1 includes the variables ‘Television-radio’, ‘Newspapers -magazines’
‘internet’ and we can name it as ‘typical sources of information’.</p>
      <p>important</p>
      <p>Mediocre</p>
      <p>Factor 2 can be named as ‘alternative sources of information’ and includes the
variables ‘books- encyclopaedias’, ‘brochures’ and ‘Voluntary organizations’ could
also be included in this factor even if their figure is below 0.5. The second variable
with a same figure is also included in Factor 1. Therefore the two variables can be
considered to act as bridges between Factor 1 and Factor 2.</p>
      <p>Factor 3 includes the variables ‘Family and friends’ and ‘education’ and we can
name it as ‘information from the close environment’.</p>
      <p>The information provided to the public, after a natural disaster, should be
immediate and accurate (Lekkas, 2000). Unless accurate information is provided,
citizens will created the sense-perception that authorities are trying to conceal the
truth, while in the opposite case, when the information is disseminated and difficult
to understand. In this case, misunderstandings arise, that lead to influence of panic
prevails.</p>
      <p>The majority of the participants (61.0%) stated that the information concerning the
size of a natural disaster should be given quickly and in the real size (Figure 3). In
fact according to residents the information is given immediately but exaggerated in
size (Figure 4).</p>
      <p>With  delay  and  partial
with  delay  but  in  real  size</p>
      <p>immediately  but  partial
immediately  and  in  real  size
4.0%,  sp=0.0098  
6.5%,  sp=0.0123  
26.2%,  sp=0.0220  
no  significance  for  the  size  and  the  time
2.2%,  sp=0.0074  </p>
      <p>61.0%,  sp=0.0244  
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%</p>
      <p>
        Despite the importance of communication interaction between the media and the
public, it often turns out to be inaccurate. The inhabitants of Northern Evros were
asked to assess the information provided by the media. It is not coincidental, that
they believe in a percentage of 41.8% that the information is given quickly and with
exaggeration regarding the size and each reporter is trying to have the exclusivity of
the news of a natural disaster. It should be mentioned that in extreme conditions after
a catastrophic natural disaster is difficult to collect information, but this does not
justify the dramatization of the news. A way out in informing citizens is the
specialists’ involvement in the media. The scientist who deals with the mitigation
and prediction of disasters is an excellent source of information which can be
exploited from the journalists (Lekkas, 2000). Scientific community may tend to
believe that individuals and organizations underestimate the risks to which they are
exposed. On the other hand, many of these individuals and organizations believe that
the scientific community overestimates the risks. Scientists are often questioned
about their theories, as if scientific facts were no more than one group’s beliefs
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">(Alesch, 2012)</xref>
        .
      </p>
      <p>Finally, the inhabitants of Northern Evros were asked to assess the participation of
scientists in the media after a natural disaster (Table 5). Generally, the residents
believe that the scientists talk to the media after a natural disaster because they
usually want to promote themselves as scientists (44.5%), while they believe that
they often do so in order to inform the people (48%), to calm and support them
(45.2%), to inform them what they were not able to support it earlier (37%) and in
order to put the State under pressure for economic support during their research
(43.5%).</p>
      <p>The current work describes how the public is informed and responds to warnings
about natural disasters. According to the results of the research, residents consider
natural disasters as very significant, depending on their degree of risk, the
earthquakes, tsunamis, forest fires, floods and volcanic eruptions. Moreover, they are
better informed for the natural disasters that affect their region more often, such as
earthquakes and forest fires, snow and frost, while they are less informed on the role
and the responsibilities of the Civil Protection. Concerning the sources from which
they derive information on natural disasters, citizens consider the internet as the most
important source of information today.</p>
      <p>For the briefing on the size of a natural disaster, the majority of residents of
Northern Evros considered that it should be done immediately and with accuracy
regarding the size of the disaster. Unfortunately, the citizens affirmed that, although
public information on the natural disaster size was fast, it was exaggerated, thereby
causing confusion, stress and fear to the community. Even though scientists were the
most reliable source of information, the citizens believe that their appearance is not
only to calm, inform and support people but also to pressure the state for economic
support of their relevant research programs on natural hazards.</p>
      <p>Acknowledgments. This research has been co-financed by the European Union
(European Social Fund – ESF) and Greek national funds through the Operational
Program "Education and Lifelong Learning" of the National Strategic Reference
Framework (NSRF) - Research Funding Program: Thales. Investing in knowledge
society through the European Social Fund.</p>
    </sec>
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