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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Using ArcSWAT to Predict Discharge in Ungauge Torrents of Thasos Island</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Paschalis Koutalakis</string-name>
          <email>koutalakis_p@yahoo.gr</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>George N. Zaimes</string-name>
          <email>zaimesgeorge@gmail.com</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Dimitrios Emmanouloudis</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Konstantinos Ioannou</string-name>
          <email>ioannou.konstantinos@gmail.com</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Valasia Iakovoglou</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Labaratory of Management and Control of Mountainous Waters (Lab of MCMW), Department of Forestry and Natural Environment Management, Eastern Macedonia and Thrace Institute of Technology (EMaTTECH)</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>1st km Drama, Mikrohoriou, Drama, Greece 66100</addr-line>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <fpage>154</fpage>
      <lpage>162</lpage>
      <abstract>
        <p>Water resources management requires the knowledge of the environmental conditions and hydrologic processes. The development of Geographic Information Systems (GIS) has allowed the use of spatially and physically based hydrologic models in order to simulate the hydrology in a complicated natural system. It is very important to use such tools especially in regions with limited available data. In this context, the objective of this study is to model the hydrologic conditions in the island of Thasos by using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) in a GIS environment. In order to understand the hydrologic processes, it was required to predict the water balance of the island and simulate the discharges of its ungauged torrents. The outputs of the model revealed the simulated values of the hydrologic phases, the torrent discharges and a map that identifies the watersheds with the highest discharges. The results could be used by experts and by every interested authority in order to manage the surface stream water for various purposes, such as suppression of forest fires.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>hydrologic modeling</kwd>
        <kwd>water balance</kwd>
        <kwd>GIS</kwd>
        <kwd>water management</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>-</title>
      <p>
        Surface water and especially stream and torrent flow is important for environmental
scopes including the sustainability of living organisms and habitats in and adjacent to
the stream and torrent but also for human purposes
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">(Arthurton et al., 2007)</xref>
        . The
proper management can combine these two scopes, mitigate any possible negative
influences on the environment but also utilize the stream water that is lost in larger
water bodies. Potential water beneficial uses could include agricultural irrigation,
production of hydro-electric energy, municipality water supply and wildfire
suppression.
      </p>
      <p>
        It is essential to determine the stream/torrent discharge in order to meet the above
objectives. A quick, widely and frequently used technique, but also efficient
application is to use hydrologic models
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">(Singh and Woolhiser, 2002)</xref>
        . This study
describes the implementation of Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) in order
to predict the torrent discharges and propose the necessary management plans to
utilize the water.
      </p>
      <p>
        The study area is the island of Thasos, located in northern Greece that belongs to
Kavala Prefecture. It is the northernmost Greek island and the 12th largest by area.
The surface of the island occupies about 378 km² while the shape of the island is
almost rounded and the perimeter is approximately 102 km
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">(Mallios et al., 2009)</xref>
        .
The terrain is mountainous; while the highest peak is Ypsarion with an elevation of
1203 m. The climate of the island is characterized as Mediterranean
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">(Vlachopoulou
and Emmanouloudis, 2014)</xref>
        . All of the streams are characterized as intermittent or
ephemeral torrents because they do not flow year around and even the major torrents
(intermittent) have no flow during the summer.
2
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>Materials and Methods</title>
      <sec id="sec-2-1">
        <title>2.1 SWAT Model Description</title>
        <p>
          The SWAT model is a physically based, semi-distributed model Neitsch et al.,
2011). The model predicts the impact of land management practices on water,
sediment and agricultural chemical yields. It can accomplish these takes in large
complex basins with varying soils, land-use and management conditions over long
periods of time
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">(Neitsch et al., 2011)</xref>
          . SWAT processes are separated in two main
components. The first one is the land phase where the hydrologic cycle in a basin is
simulated based on the water balance equation (Equation 1):
(1)
where t is the simulation period, SWt is the soil water content after the simulation
period, SW0 is the soil water content at the beginning of the simulation period, and
Rday, Qsurf, ETday, wday and Qgw are daily values (in millimeters) for precipitation,
runoff, evapotranspiration, infiltration and return flow, respectively.
        </p>
        <p>
          In the second phase the channel hydrology is simulated, more specifically the
loadings that are calculated earlier are routed through the stream network of the basin
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">(Neitsch et al., 2011)</xref>
          . The spatial configuration of SWAT is performed by dividing
the watershed into sub-watersheds based on topography. These are further
subdivided into a series of hydrologic response units (HRU) based on unique soil,
land use and slope characteristics.
        </p>
        <p>
          The major benefits of the model are that it is a free product, it is applicable with
the available data, it is documented well, it has good technical support through many
databases and assistance programs
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">(Gassman et al., 2007)</xref>
          and it has good integration
with the Geographic Information Systems (GIS) through ArcSWAT
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">(Winchell et al.,
2013)</xref>
          .
        </p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-2">
        <title>2.1 SWAT Model Set Up</title>
        <p>
          The data used in this study was the topographic map of Thasos that developed
based on the Military Geographic Service that had a scale of 1:50,000. This map was
used to create the Digital Elevation Model (DEM) in ArcGIS 10.1 by digitizing the
contour lines and the stream network (Figure 1.A.). The SWAT model requires the
DEM for the creation and delineation of watersheds. There is the possibility of
burning onto the hydrographic network for better results (Figure 1.B.). The next
process is to fill the sinks of the DEM and calculate the flow direction and flow
accumulation grids
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">(Winchell et al., 2013)</xref>
          . According to the properties of the DEM,
SWAT proposes a minimum threshold value which represents the area (in hectares)
for the establishment of the drainage area. In this study, the value of 100 hectares
was selected and the island of Thasos (entire basin) was divided in 145 smaller
subbasins. Each sub-basin (or watershed) includes a stream (reach), an outlet and the
simulated extension of the stream based on the DEM (longest path).
        </p>
        <p>
          Most watersheds are typically not homogenous as they consist of different soils
and land-uses. As it was mentioned, SWAT can divide the watershed into smaller
hydrologic response units (HRU) that are unique combinations of soil type, land
cover and slope category
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">(Arnold et al., 2012)</xref>
          . SWAT created 2415 HRU considered
all soils, land cover types and slope classes. The slope was produced based on the
statistics of the DEM and it was divided into five slope classes: i) 0-10 %, ii) 10-20
%, iii) 20-30 %, iv) 30-50 % and v) &gt;50 %.
        </p>
        <p>The soil map was downloaded from the European Soil Portal and the Harmonized
World Soil Database Viewer 2012 that had a scale of 1:1,000,000. In addition, the
geological map was digitized and the geological parent material was considered and
combined in order to create the final soil map (Table 1).</p>
        <p>The CORINE 2000 vector files by European Environment Agency were acquired
in order to display the land-cover of the island and had a scale of 1:100,000. The land
cover of CORINE was reclassified to the categories of land cover that already exist
in the SWAT database (Table 2). All of these maps were geo-referenced in the Greek
Geodetic System (D_GGRS_1987). Finally, the weather data were obtained by a
meteorological station located in the city of Limenas. The data concerned monthly
precipitation and temperature that covered the period from 1975-1997 (Figure 2).</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Results and Discussion</title>
      <p>The simulated outputs were printed in a monthly step. The average precipitation
was 844.7 mm. The results showed that most water becomes lateral flow (238.9 mm)
through the soil profile because of the highly permeable soils and parent material
such as marbles that allow the infiltration. The average surface runoff was about 70
mm and the groundwater flow 63 mm. These three phases consist the total water
yield of the area (371.26 mm). The average percolation in aquifers was about 72 mm.
There was also a high percentage of evapotranspiration (449 mm) due to the high
vegetation of the island.</p>
      <p>In addition, a map was produced (Figure 3) that identifies the average simulated
stream discharges based on the outputs of SWAT. The depiction is in the view of the
sub-basins/watersheds and shows which watersheds discharge had the highest
amount of water. Five categories were selected based on the statistics of the flows
and specifically they were divided in: i) 0-0.05, ii) 0.05-0.10, iii) 0.10-0.25, iv)
0.250.50 and v) 0.50-1.0 (the discharge values are in m3/sec).</p>
      <p>The average monthly water discharge of the major torrent is depicted in figure 4.
The upper part of this torrent is situated in central Thasos while its outlet is in
southeast region of the island. The specific outlet is also depicted in figure 3 as the
left red colored watershed. The simulated results showed that the discharge of the
specific torrent ranged between 0.04 to 1.2 m3/sec. The almost no flow period was
noted in the summer period, specifically in July and August, while the highest during
November and December.</p>
      <p>Main challenges of the study included the lack of important data. Specifically,
daily weather inputs were not available, only monthly statistics were used. Observed
field discharge data were not available for the calibration of the model. Also, an
extensive soil map would be very helpful for the parameterization. Finally, the land
cover concerns the 2000 period as Greece has not update the database. Any current
satellite images could be helpful for the classification of land cover because Thasos
has suffered by many fire disaster during the last 15 years.</p>
      <p>The results could be used for many purposes. The produced map could be a
practical guide for water managers and other scientists for water resources
management plans. Furthermore, future study could include the implementation of
Multi-Criteria Analysis to combine other information such as wildfire maps and road
network to identify best locations for water reservoirs to save water resources. The
properly managed and stored surface stream water could be utilize for agricultural
irrigation, the production hydro-electric power, water supply for municipalities
during the summer where problems arise due to tourism and for fire suppression.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>4 Conclusions</title>
      <p>This study was an attempt to predict the water balance and the stream discharges
of Thasos Island. For the specific scope, the hydrologic model SWAT was
implemented to simulate the hydrologic conditions. The data used were the
topographic map through the DEM, the soil map, the geological map, the land cover
map and monthly weather data of the meteorological station located in Limenas. The
produced results, maps and hydrographs have some limitation but could be used for
water resources management plans and especially to sustainably utilize the surface
torrent waters.</p>
      <p>Acknowledgments. This research has been co-financed by the European Union
(European Social Fund – ESF) and Greek national funds through the Operational
Program "Education and Lifelong Learning" of the National Strategic Reference
Framework (NSRF) – Research Funding Program: ARCHIMEDES III. Investing in
knowledge society through the European Social Fund.</p>
    </sec>
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