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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Uncovering Learning Processes Using Competence-based Knowledge Structuring and Hasse Diagrams</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Michael D. Kickmeier-Rust</string-name>
          <email>michael.kickmeier-rust@tugraz.at</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Christina M. Steiner</string-name>
          <email>christina.steiner@tugraz.at</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Dietrich Albert</string-name>
          <email>dietrich.albert@tugraz.at</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Graz University of Technology, Knowledge Technologies Institute</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>8010 Graz, Austria, +43 316 873 30636</addr-line>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>Graz University of Technology, Knowledge Technologies Institute</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>8010 Graz, Austria, +43 316 873 30640</addr-line>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>Learning analytics means gathering a broad range of data, bringing the various sources together, and analyzing them. However, to draw educational insights from the results of the analyses, these results must be visualized and presented to the educators and learners. This task is often accomplished by using dashboards equipped with conventional and often simple visualizations such as bar charts or traffic lights. In this paper we want to introduce a method for utilizing the strengths of directed graphs, namely Hasse diagrams, and a competence-oriented approach of structuring knowledge and learning domains. After a brief theoretical introduction, this paper highlights and discusses potential advantages and gives an outlook to recent challenges for research.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>eol&gt;Learning analytics</kwd>
        <kwd>data visualization</kwd>
        <kwd>Hasse diagram</kwd>
        <kwd>Competence-based Knowledge Space Theory</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. INTRODUCTION</title>
      <p>
        Using methods and tools from Learning Analytics (LA) can be
considered best practice and is a key factor for making education
more personalized, adaptive, and effective. Analyzing a variety of
available data to uncover learning processes, strengths and
weaknesses, competence gaps undoubtedly is a prerequisite for a
formatively-inspired guidance, for changing and adjusting
educational measures and teaching, and not least for disclosing
and negotiating learner models [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ]. Usually, the benefits are seen
in the potential to reduce attrition through early risk identification,
improve learning performance and achievement levels, enable a
more effective use of teaching time, and improve learning design
and instructional design [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
        ]. On the basis of available data,
ideally large scale data sets, smart tools and systems are being
developed to provide teachers with effective, intuitive, and easy to
understand aggregations of data and the related visualizations.
There is a substantial amount of work going on this particular
field; visualization techniques and dashboards are broadly
available (cf. [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2 ref4 ref7">2,4,7</xref>
        ]), ranging from simple meter/gauge-based
techniques (e.g., in form of traffic lights, smiley, or bar charts) to
more sophisticated activity and network illustrations (e.g., radar
charts or hyperbolic network trees).
      </p>
      <p>However, LA operates in a delicate and complex area. On the one
hand, facing today’s classroom realities, we often find
technology-lean environments, which do not easily allow or
support recording the necessary data. Also, from a
sociopedagogical perspective, learning must be seen as a process of
social interaction that not always occurs in front of some
electronic. Thus, LA must be based on fewer data. On the other
hand, it is rather easy to visualize learning on a superficial level
using perhaps the aforementioned traffic lights or bar charts. The
added value to the teachers is likely of limited utility to them. To
provide a deeper and more formative insight into the learning
history and the current state of a learner (beyond the degree to
which a teacher might know it intuitively) requires finding and
presenting complex data aggregations. This, most often, bears the
significant downside that it is hard to understand. Challenges for
LA and its visualizations, for example, are to illustrate learning
progress (including learning paths) and - beyond the retrospective
view - to display the next meaningful learning steps/topics.
In this paper we introduce the method of directed graphs, the
socalled Hasse diagrams, for structuring learning domains and for
visualizing the progress of a learner through this domain.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>2. HASSE DIAGRAMS AND COMPE</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>TENCE-BASED KNOWLEDGE SPACES</title>
      <p>
        A Hasse diagram is a strict mathematical representation of a
socalled semi-order in form of a directed graph that reads from
bottom to top. A semi-order is a type of mathematical ordering of
a set of items with numerical values by identifying two items as
equal or comparable if the values are within a given interval of
error or noise. Semi-orders were introduced in mathematical
psychology by Duncan Luce in 1956 [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
        ] in human decision
research without the assumption that indifference is transitive.
This approach is also crucial for handling human learning and the
resulting performance that is prone to all sorts of errors and
peripheral aspects (perhaps failing in a test although the learner
holds the knowledge due to being tired). A Hasse diagram is one
way of displaying such ordering – in our case competences or
competency states (which is to be explained in the following
section). The technique was invented in the 60s of the last century
by Helmut Hasse. The diagram exists of entities (the nodes),
which are connected by relationships (indicated by edges).
The mathematical properties of a semi-order and the Hasse
diagrams are (i) reflexivity, (ii) anti-symmetry, and (iii)
transitivity. Reflexivity refers to the view that an item, perhaps a
competency, references itself in a cause/effect sense.
Antisymmetry demands that if one entity is a prerequisite of another,
this relationship is not invertible; as an example, if competency x
is a prerequisite to develop competency y, y cannot be the
perquisite of competency x. Finally, transitivity means that
whenever an element x is related to an element y, and y is in turn
related to an element z, then x is also related to z. In principle, the
direction of a graph is given by arrows of the edges; by
convention however, the representation is simplified by avoiding
the arrow heads, whereby the direction reads from bottom to top.
In addition, the arrows from one element to itself (reflexivity
property), as well as all arrows indicating transitivity are not
shown in Hasse diagrams. The following image (Figure 1)
illustrates such a diagram. Hasse diagrams enable a complete view
to (often huge) structures. Insofar, they appear to be ideal for
capturing the large competence or learning spaces occurring in the
context of assessment and learning recommendations (for
example, all the competencies involved in the math curriculum for
a specific age).
      </p>
      <p>In an educational context, a Hasse diagram can display the
nonlinear path through a learning domain starting from an origin at
the beginning of an educational episode (which may be a single
school lesson but could also be the entire semester). Moreover,
the elements in the diagram may refer to (latent) competencies, to
learning objects or test items. Figure 1 illustrates the simple
example of typical learning objects in a certain domain. The
beginning of a learning episode is usually shown as { } (the empty
set) at the bottom of the diagram. Now a learner might attend
three learning objects (K, P, H), which is indicated by the edges;
this, in essence, establishes three possible learning paths. After H,
as an example, this learner might attend K, or H but not T yet,
which in turn opens further three branches for the learning path
until reaching the final state, within which all learning objects
have been attended.</p>
      <p>
        As claimed initially, in the context of formative LA, a
competence-oriented approach is necessary. Thus, a Hasse
diagram can be used to identify and display the latent
competencies of a learner in the form of so-called competence
states. An elaborated theoretical approach to do so is
Competence-based Knowledge Space Theory (CbKST). The
approach originates from Jean-Paul Doignon and Jean-Claude
Falmagne [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5 ref6">5, 6</xref>
        ] and is a mathematical psychological, set-theoretic
framework for addressing the relations among problems (e.g., test
items). It provides a basis for structuring a domain of knowledge
and for representing the knowledge based on prerequisite
relations. While the original Knowledge Space Theory focuses
only on performance (the behavior; for example, solving a test
item), its extension CbKST [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ] introduces a separation of
observable performance and latent, unobservable competencies,
which determine the performance [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ]. This is a psychological
learning-theoretical approach, which highlights that competencies
(e.g., the ability to add two integers) are unobservable latent
constructs and which can only be observed or assessed indirectly.
      </p>
      <p>We interpret the performance of a learner (e.g., mastering an
addition task) in terms of holding or not holding the respective
competency. In addition, recent developments of the approach are
based on a probabilistic view of having or lacking certain
competencies. In our example, mastering one specific addition
task allows the conclusion that the person is able to add two
numbers (to hold this competency) only to a certain degree or
probability. When thinking of a multiple-choice item with two
alternatives, as another example, mastering this item allows only
to 50 percent that the person has the required competencies/
knowledge.</p>
      <p>On the basis of these fundamental views, CbKST is looking for
the involved entities of aptitude (the competencies) and a natural
structure, a natural course of learning in a given domain. For
example, it is reasonable to start with the basics (e.g., the
competency to add numbers) and increasingly advance in the
learning domain (to subtraction, multiplication, division, etc.). As
indicated above, this natural course is not necessary linear, which
bears significant advantages over other learning and test theories.
As a result we have a set of competencies in a domain and
potential relationships between them. In terms of learning, the
relationships define the course of learning and thus which
competencies are learned before others. In CbKST such
relationships are called prerequisite relations or precedence
relations. On the basis of competencies and relationships, in a
next step, we can obtain a so-called competence space, the
ordered set of all meaningful competence states a learner can be
in. As an example, a learner might have none of the competencies,
or might be able to add and subtract numbers; other states, in turn,
are not included in this space, for example it is not reasonable to
assume that a learner holds the competency to multiply numbers
but not to add them. By the logic of CbKST, each learner is, with
certain likelihood, in one of the competence states.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>3. VISUALIZING COMPETENCE SPACES</title>
      <p>As claimed, Hasse diagrams are capable of holding a number of
important information for an educator to evaluate the learning
progress and also to make recommendations. In this paper we
want to highlight such advantages.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>3.1 Competence States and Levels</title>
      <p>As outlined, a competency space is the collection of meaningful
states a learner can be in. Depending on the domain, the amount
of possible states might be huge. The big advantage, however, is
that depending on the degree of structure in the domain, by far not
all possible combinations of competencies are reasonable and thus
part of the space. When zooming into the diagram, a teacher can
exactly identify the set of competencies that is most likely for the
learner, by zooming out color-coding can illustrate the most likely
locations of a learner within the space. When looking at the entire
space, it is obvious at first site at which completion level a learner
is approximately (rather at the beginning or almost finished).
These zoom levels are shown in Figure 2. Technically, there is a
variety of options to achieve the coding, for example, bolding,
greying, or color coding, whereas likely states are displayed more
distinctly than such with low probability.</p>
      <p>
        Equal to individual states, Hasse diagrams can represent group
distributions. Defined by a certain confidence interval of
probabilities those states and areas can be made more salient that
hold the highest percentage of learners of a group. By this means,
specific areas in the competency space become apparent within
which the most learners are and, in contrast also positive or
negative outliners pop out the diagram. A different method was
suggested by [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        ], who altered the size of the nodes to represent
the groups’ sizes; the larger a node the more learners hold a
particular state.
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>3.2 Learning Paths</title>
      <p>
        In addition to having insight into groups’ and individuals’ current
states of learning, the learning history, the so-called learning
paths, are of interested for educators; on the one hand for
planning future activities, on the other hand, for negotiation and
documenting the achievements of a learning episode (e.g., a
semester). Learning paths can be simply displayed by highlighting
the edges between the most likely state(s) over time. As for the
states, various probable paths can be realized by making more
likely paths more intensive (by color coding or line thickness).
Figure 3 shows a simple example. A key strength of presenting
learning paths, as indicated, is opening up the learner model to the
learners (perhaps parents) themselves [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        ] – to explain where they
started at the beginning of a course and how they proceeded
during the course and which competencies they hold today. This
perhaps can be complemented with comparisons to others or
groups. Not least, learning paths can unveil information about the
effectiveness and impact of certain learning activities, materials,
or the teacher herself.
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-7">
      <title>3.3 Tests and Recommendations</title>
      <p>Hasse diagram offers information about two very distinct
concepts, the inner and outer fringes. The inner fringe indicates
what a learner can do / knows at the moment. Mathematically it
refers to all sets of competencies, which hold all competencies of
the current state but one. This inner fringe is a clear hypothesis of
which test/assessment items this learner can master within the
margins of a certain probability. Such information may be used to
generate effective and individualized tests. The test generation can
be complemented with group information. If an educator has very
clear information in which competency areas of the space most of
the learners are, she can generate or select test item covering
exactly those competencies. The big advantage of such approach
is the effectiveness of a test for identifying competency states or
for ranking the learners can be maximized while the efforts for
this evaluation (e.g., the number of test items) can be minimized.
And of course the test can be optimized to differentiate different
learners and the individual capabilities.</p>
      <p>On the other hand, the outer fringes determine which
competencies should be addressed in a next educational step.
Mathematically is refers to all states which include all the
competencies of the current state plus one. These fringes provide
a clear set of recommendations about the most effective learning
activities for a specific individual or a specific group of learners.
Moreover, outer fringes, together with learning paths, allow
specifically planning the most effective ways of reaching a
specific learning goal (which not necessarily is the final stage of
the competence space, the full set, and which is not necessarily
the same goal for all individual learners).</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-8">
      <title>3.4 Costs and Pace</title>
      <p>
        When supporting teachers with information about learning
processes, the concept of costs or learning pace (sometimes
referred to as learning trajectories) is of distinct importance. Cost
and pace can be considered as the time or any other measure of
effort it takes to proceed from one competence state to another. In
a Hasse diagram this information can be displayed by varying the
length of the edges accordingly. If an educational leap requires a
lot of efforts or time the edges are displayed proportionally longer
than such that happens rather quickly. This method was
introduced initially by [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        ]; an example is shown in Figure 4. Such
information unveils criteria for the effectiveness of certain
learning materials or acts of teaching. Particular outliers obviously
pop out of the diagram and call educators to action to adapt
teaching or teaching materials for a specific individual or a group.
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-9">
      <title>3.5 Subordinate Concepts and General</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-10">
      <title>Notions of Achievement, Bottlenecks</title>
      <p>
        A further important aspect in the context of LA is aligning the
rather fine grained and low level approach to view competencies
on a deeper level of granularity to more general concepts or rather
superordinate notions of achievement. A general concept can be
considered a higher level cluster of competencies; for example,
sub-dividing mathematics into clusters like linear equations,
nonlinear equations, and vector arithmetic. Lower level competencies
can be linked to one or more of those ‘chapters’. Equally, one
might view learning processes in a domain in terms of maturity.
For example, writing skills can be on a low level of maturity,
involving certain competencies and abilities, and on a higher one.
Such approach is given, for example, in the CEFR language skills
(cf. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Common_European_Framework
_of_Reference_for_Languages). Finally, teaching might involve
the achievement of certain milestones, which should be reached
step by step. Hasse diagrams allow identifying such milestones
even if they were unclear or unknown initially. Considering that
milestones as bottlenecks, i.e. unique competence states, each
learning must pass, such bottlenecks immediately pop out in of
the diagram. In a formative sense, it is easy for an educator to
located their learners in their approach to or exceeding of such
milestones (cf. Figure 2). A slightly different variant was
introduced by [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        ] who used additional graphical elements (e.g.,
intersecting lines) to separate certain levels of maturity (whereas
these authors used the CMMI1 method; cf. Figure 5).
1 CMMI refers to the so-called Capability Maturity Model
Integration approach which models development processes
(e.g., in production) on different predefined levels [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ].
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-11">
      <title>4. WHERE DO DATA COME FROM?</title>
      <p>
        The features of Hasse diagrams and the arising advantages for LA
appear all well and good. However, the key question is, where do
they data for computing the probabilities of competence states
come from. And everything stands or falls with this question. As
for all techniques of LA, it depends on a data rich approach to
education, the more and the better data exist, the better is the
quality of LA conclusions. CbKST and Hasse diagrams are no
exception to that. However, the approach of separating latent
competencies, which more or less develop and exist in the black
box ‘human brain’, and the performance they determine, bears
particular advantages. On the one hand, performance, e.g. test
scores, classroom participation, homework, etc., is not only
determined by competencies or aptitude; there is a variety of
aspects contributing to a certain performance, e.g., motivation,
daily constitution, tiredness, external distractors, nutrition, health
status, etc. On the other hand, CbKST-ish competence spaces are
rather stable, once set up and validated properly. The advantage
lays in the fact that performance such as test results, behaviors,
achievements, etc. is considered as probability-based indicators
for certain competencies. Mathematically this relationship is
established in form of interpretation and representation functions
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ], which links an arbitrary set of performances/behaviors to one
or more competencies, either in an increasing or in a decreasing
sense. This, in the end, allows linking all available and perhaps
changing data sources to one and the same competence space. It’s
not about a single test, it’s about all available information we can
gather, even it is considered being of little importance, all sorts of
information may contribute to strengthen the model, the view of
the learner. In case the amount or quality of data is weak, CbKST
allows conservative interpretations, based on the arising
probability distributions, in case there is a richer data basis, the
probability distributions are more reliable, valid, and robust. For
the educator, and this is important, the uncertainty is mirrored in
the degree of likelihood. On a weak data basis, the probabilities of
competence states differ substantially less than on the basis of
richer data. Such information, however, can change the educator’s
view and evaluation of a student’s achievements. In the end, this
approach supports a fairer and more substantiated approach to
grading or providing formatively inspired feedback.
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-12">
      <title>5. CONCLUSIONS AND OUTLOOK</title>
      <p>There is little doubt that frameworks, techniques, and tools for LA
will increasingly be part of a teacher’s professional life in the near
future. The benefits are convincing – using the (partly massive)
amount of available data from the students in a smart, automated,
and effective way, supported by intelligent systems in order to
have all the relevant information available just in time and at first
sight. The ultimate goal is to formatively evaluate individual
achievements and competencies and provide the learners with the
best possible individual support and teaching. Great. The idea of
formative assessment and educational data mining is not new but
the hype over recent years resulted in scientific sound and robust
approaches becoming available, and usable software products
appeared. However, when surveying the educational landscape, at
least that of the EU, the educational daily routines are different.
We face technology-lean classrooms and schools, we face a lack
of proper teacher education in using ICT in schools – not
mentioning of using techniques of LA in schools. We face a
certain aloofness to use breaking educational technologies and a
well-founded pedagogical view that learning ideally is analogous
and socially embedded and doesn’t occur in front of some kind of
electronic device. These are all experiences and results of a large
scale European research project named Next-Tell
(www.nexttell.eu) that was looking into educationally practices across
Europe and that intended to support teachers where exactly they
are today with suitable ICT as effective and as appropriately as
possible.</p>
      <p>The framework of CbKST offers a rigorously competence-based,
probabilistic, and multi-source approach that accounts for the
latent and holistic abilities of learners and therefore accounts for
the recent conceptual change in Europe’s educational systems
towards a more competence-oriented education including
multisubject competencies and superordinate 21st century (soft) skills.
No matter if data are rich or lean, a teacher is supported to the
best possible degree and with a variety of important information
about individual and group-based learning processes and
performances and not least about the performance of learners and
about the educator’s own performance. The probabilistic
dimension allows teachers to have a more cautious view of
individual achievements – it might well be that a learner has a
competency but fails in a test; vice versa, a student might luckily
guess an answer.</p>
      <p>From an application perspective, in the context of European
projects we developed and evaluated tools that cover the
techniques and approaches described in this paper. In the
NextTell project, for example, we developed a software tool named
ProNIFA, which allowed linking multiple sources of evidence of
learning and building CbKST-based learner models. We piloted
various school studies and gathered feedback from teachers. In the
end, and this can be considered an outlook for future
developments, we had to find out that the ‘massive’ Hasse
diagrams are overburdening teachers’ understanding and mental
models about individual and class-based learning. Moreover, in
order to understand the classical Hasse diagrams, it required (too)
massive efforts in training teachers to fully utilize the potentials of
those diagrams. Large scale surveys yielded that most educators
still prefer simple but information-wise shallow visualizations
such as traffic lights or bar charts significantly over more
information-rich approaches such as Hasse diagrams or, just to
mention another interesting approach, parallel coordinates .
Therefore, recent efforts, e.g., in the LEA’s BOX
(www.leasbox.eu) project, seek to adjust and advance the classical Hasse
diagrams to such visualizations that are intuitively understood by
educators and, at the same time, hold the same density of
information. In particular, focus of research is on an advancement
of Hasse diagrams towards specific mental models teachers may
hold, such as a starry night sky or organic, biological structures
such as cells of a living being. Also, abstraction and simplification
techniques are investigated, e.g., fisheye lenses or streamgraphs.
In conclusion, the utility of CbKST-ish approaches to LA,
involving a separation of latent competencies and observable
behaviors/performance, as well as having a conservative,
probabilistic, multi-source approach appears to be a striking
classroom-oriented, next-level contribution to LA, learner
modelling, and model negotiations.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-13">
      <title>6. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS</title>
      <p>This work is based on the finalized project Next-Tell, which was
supported by the European Commission (EC) under the
Information Society Technology priority of the 7th Framework
Programme for research and development as well as the running
LEA’s BOX project, contracted under number 619762, of the 7th
Framework Programme. This document does not represent the
opinion of the EC and the EC is not responsible for any use that
might be made of its content.</p>
    </sec>
  </body>
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