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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Recent Developments in City Scale Modelling, Monitoring and Performance Information Delivery</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Joe Clarke</string-name>
          <email>joe@esru.strath.ac.uk</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Energy Systems Research Unit University of Strathclyde</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>This paper corresponds to a presentation delivered at the SmarTABCD'15 workshop on Smart Technologies and Applications in Buildings, Cities and Districts organised within the framework of the 11th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications and Innovations. It reports outcomes from recent research that established a means to deliver, rapidly and at low cost, energy-related apps corresponding to discrete issues such as inappropriate HVAC system regulation, occupant discomfort avoidance, energy use reporting, upgrade quality assurance and the like.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>pervasive sensing</kwd>
        <kwd>data processing</kwd>
        <kwd>energy services</kwd>
        <kwd>building performance simulation</kwd>
        <kwd>benchmarking</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>-</title>
      <p>Many technologies and systems are routinely mooted as potential solutions for low
energy/carbon cities. Examples include innovative insulation products, advanced
glazing, context-aware smart control, combined heat and power plant, heat pumps,
solar thermal/electric systems, fuel cells, urban wind power, low energy lighting,
smart grids and biomass/district heating. Given the complexity of the problem
domain, it is unlikely that fiscal measures alone will bring about solutions comprising
effective blends of such technologies. This notion gives rise to two aphorisms.
1. If a proposal is not simulated at the design stage then it is unlikely to deliver the
required performance when built.
2. If post occupancy performance is not routinely monitored then the present gap
between operational performance and design intent will persist.</p>
      <p>
        These issues may best be addressed by a data-centric approach whereby estate
simulation and monitoring is routinely applied; a means to blend the virtual and real
outcome data established; and transformation techniques applied to this blend to yield
information that may be acted upon by interested stakeholders, including designers,
planners, property managers and citizens. Ensuring such a whole-systems approach to
the design, commissioning and operation of single or groups of buildings is the intent
of the recently launched Hit2Gap project [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ] as funded under the European
Commission’s Horizon 2020 R&amp;D programme.
2
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>Data-centric Approach</title>
      <p>Pervasive
performance</p>
      <p>data
Virtual
data:
scenario
simula</p>
      <p>Real data: estate
monitoring</p>
      <p>Sustainability indicators, e.g.:
• energy use profiling;
• fuel poverty distribution;
• CHP feasibility;
• district heating feasibility;
• renewable resource access;
• areas of opportunity.</p>
      <p>Timely service delivery, e.g.:
• alarms &amp; timely alerts;
• conditions monitoring;
• remote control;
• health-related services;
• performance feedback;
• trend analysis.</p>
      <p>Information for government,
local authorities, institutions,
facility managers, industry,
utilities, designers and citizens.</p>
      <p>
        As depicted in Figure 2, a significant feature of the simulation approach [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ] is its
ability to generate disaggregated demand profiles at high resolution (per property,
technical system or connected estate for example) for building stock models generated
automatically on the basis of rules derived from stock survey [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        The significant point is that the approach respects the underlying thermodynamic
complexity, links energy use considerations to wider issues such as comfort, air
quality, emissions etc., enables life cycle assessment, and accommodates uncertainty – all
while providing an integrated view of the overall, multi-variate performance as
depicted in Figure 3. Within the present work, the ESP-r system has been modified to
these ends and made compatible with the EnTrak data management system [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <sec id="sec-2-1">
        <title>Disaggregated profiles per property</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-2">
        <title>City of Glasgow</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-3">
        <title>Equivalent stock model</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-4">
        <title>Simulation results</title>
        <p>
          This notion of a virtual reality approach to building performance assessment is
encapsulated in the future vision statement as published by the International Building
Performance Simulation Association [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
          ] and portends a future wherein proposals may
be pre-tested under conditions that emulate the likely future reality.
        </p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Estate Monitoring</title>
      <p>
        While it may be expected that building energy management systems are able to
provide a portion of the required estate performance information, it is unlikely that the
required dataset will be complete in several important respects. Because the focus will
be on HVAC system state measurement and control, issues such as occupancy
presence and behaviour, the spatial distribution of indoor conditions, disaggregation of
load profiles, and local weather will typically be omitted. It is for these reasons that
the BuildAX monitoring system, as depicted in Figure 4, was developed within a
project funded by the UK Science and Engineering Research Council (project
EP/I000739/1) [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>The environmental monitor integrates sensors for temperature, relative humidity,
movement, illuminance, contact (e.g. door/window opening), and battery state. These
data are broadcast to the logger/router wirelessly at 2.4 GHz from whence they may
be collected by remote agents as described below. The technology is open and has an
established supplied chain. The logger/router encapsulates a Web server that enables
immediate display of the monitored data as depicted in Figure 5 for the case of a
deployment of 6 monitors at locations throughout an office as shown.</p>
      <p>Fig. 5. BuildAX data superimposed on a plan view alongside a graph of the environment state
data.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Energy Service Definition</title>
      <p>
        Whether the collected data are real or virtual, they must be transformed to useful
information. This requires the imposition of data processing rules that depend on the
service being enacted. This transformation is performed by the EnTrak system [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">7</xref>
        ] via
a three stage process as follows.
      </p>
      <p>As shown in Figure 6, the first stage involves the formal definition of the entities
being monitored – here buildings on the Strathclyde University campus. In another
application an entity might be a utility meter, a vehicle, a plant component etc., or any
heterogeneous mix of such objects.</p>
      <p>Entities are defined in terms of descriptive and time series attributes, where each
attribute is a tuple comprising a tag/value pair. Typically, attribution is restricted to
only those data required to enact the targeted service, i.e. EnTrak should not be
considered as a general building database system. Each time series attribute has an
associate data location definition, such as collection by file exchange with a remote server
or by the direct querying of monitoring devices deployed in the field, e.g. a BuildAX
logger/router. The required fetch frequency is then specified per attribute and a test
connection made; at some later time, usually after completion of stage 2, the overall
data monitoring scheme is commenced with all data stored in a mySQL database.</p>
      <p>In the second stage, services are established by associating actions with all or part
of the data schema as required. For example, in the upper part of Figure 7 an
operational Energy Performance Certificate (EPC) has been defined by applying a set of
actions to electricity and gas meter readings, while in the lower portion a high
temperature alert is defined by range checking all dynamic attributes with tag
‘Temperature’ and value ‘Lecture Hall’.</p>
      <p>In the third stage, individual services are started and run at the required frequency
(e.g. monthly for the EPC service, 5 minutely for the temperature alert service). This
results in the repetitive application of the stage rules to the incoming monitored data
until the service is stopped. As shown in Figure 8, the final outcome is delivered as an
xml file in order to support alternative delivery formats, styles and devices. In the
example shown here, the final delivery platform is a smart phone app developed by a
company, who are partnering the university in trial deployments of EnTrak.</p>
      <p>To support ‘what-if’ studies, it is possible to replace the incoming data from field
monitoring with prediction time series emanating from simulation, or to mix real and
virtual data. In relation to the first service defined in Figure 7, one service may then
deliver an operational EPC based on actual performance, while another service
delivers a virtual EPC corresponding to some post-upgrade scenario. The difference then
quantifies the potential to inform the upgrade decision-making process.</p>
      <p>
        The EnTrak system, including its BuildAX and ESP-r components, has been
applied to 75 homes as part of the Innovate UK Future Cities Demonstrator project [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
        ].
Based on the monitoring of energy use, indoor conditions and weather parameters,
and stock simulation to generate benchmarks, a service was established to assure the
quality of insulation upgrades applied to hard-to-heat homes. Figure 9 depicts the
service outcome as delivered to the housing department of Glasgow City Council.
      </p>
      <p>Other deployments include 15 commercial buildings undertaken as part of the
EPSRC’s digital transformation programme targeting digitally mediated occupant
negotiation in facilities management; large building stock performance reporting in
support of energy action planning and policy formulation; scenario appraisal for
future network resilience assessment and active network control in smart grids; and</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Acknowledgements References</title>
      <p>online assessment of novel building designs and systems as deployed within the BRE
Innovation Park network.
5</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>Conclusions</title>
      <p>This paper corresponds to a presentation on the EnTrak/BuildAX/ESP-r
technologies delivered at the SmarTABCD’15 workshop on Smart Technologies and
Applications in Buildings, Cities and Districts delivered at the AIAI’15 conference. The
approach, as described, portends a future where the building energy management and
performance reporting process is atomised into discrete services, with timely
outcomes delivered to a range of stakeholders. The integration of estate monitoring and
building performance simulation will allow the data analytics being applied to
monitored data to be underpinned by a model of the process that delivers information on
the ideal performance target. One goal of the Hit2Gap project is to evolve low cost,
open hardware and highly functional simulation tools for performance monitoring,
options assessment and new information delivery.</p>
      <p>I am indebted to my ESRU colleagues, who have made crucial inputs to the ESP-r,
EnTrak and BuildAX projects, and to colleagues at the University of Newcastle’s
Culture Lab, who fabricated the BuildAX devices within the above-mentioned
EPSRC project.
6
7</p>
    </sec>
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