Vol-1564⫷ Vol-1565 ⫸Vol-1566
urn:nbn:de:0074-1565-4

Copyright © 2015 for the individual papers by the papers' authors. Copying permitted for private and academic purposes. This volume is published and copyrighted by its editors.

BMAW 2015
Bayesian Modeling Applications Workshop

Proceedings of the Twelfth UAI Bayesian Modeling Applications Workshop (BMAW 2015)
co-located with the 31st Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence ( UAI 2015 )

Amsterdam, The Netherlands, July 16, 2015 .

Edited by

John Mark Agosta *
Rommel Novaes Carvalho **

* Microsoft , Principal Data Scientist, Microsoft Azure ML, Mountain View, CA, USA
** University of Brasilia , Professor, Department of Computer Science, Brasilia, DF, Brazil
** Brazil's Office of the Comptroller General , Chief Data Scientist, Observatory of Public Spending at the Department of Research and Strategic Information, Brasilia, DF, Brazil

Table of Contents

Preface

Session 1: Risk, Ivestment, and Tool

Project Cost, Benefit and Risk Analysis using Bayesian Networks (extended abstract) 1
Barbaros Yet , Anthony Constantinou , Norman Fenton , Martin Neil , Eike Luedeling , Keith Shepherd
Bayesian Optimisation of Gated Bayesian Networks for Algorithmic Trading 2-11
Marcus Bendtsen
A Tool for Visualising the Output of a DBN for Fog Forecasting (extended abstract) 12-13
Tal Boneh , Xuhui Zhang , Ann Nicholson , Kevin Korb

Session 2: Education

An IRT-based Parameterization for Conditional Probability Tables 14-23
Russell Almond
Bayesian Network Models for Adaptive Testing 24-33
Martin Plajner , Jirka Vomlel
Computer Adaptive Testing Using the Same-Decision Probability 34-43
Suming Chen , Arthur Choi , Adnan Darwiche

Session 3: Vehicle and Aircraft Applications

Influence Diagrams for the Optimization of a Vehicle Speed Profile 44-53
Václav Kratochvíl , Jirka Vomlel
Bayesian Predictive Modelling: Application to Aircraft Short-Term Conflict Alert System 54-61
Vitaly Schetinin , Livija Jakaite , Wojtek Krzanowski

Additional Material

We offer a BibTeX file for citing papers of this workshop from LaTeX.

2016-03-13: submitted by Rommel Novaes Carvalho, metadata incl. bibliographic data published under Creative Commons CC0
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