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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Encouraging Metacognition &amp; Self-Regulation in MOOCs through Increased Learner Feedback</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Demonstration</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="editor">
          <string-name>Learner Feedback, Learning Analytics, Self-Regulated Learn-
ing, Study Planning</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Dan Davis</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Guanliang Chen</addr-line>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>Learning analytics for learners has the ability to greatly improve learners' self-regulation. Current learner dashboards are mostly providing learners with an isolated view of their learning behavior, while we believe learners will gain more from a comparison of their own behavior with that of successful peer learners. In this work-in-progress demonstration we describe our design of a Learning Tracker widget that provides MOOC learners with timely and goal-oriented (i.e. towards passing the course) feedback in a manner that encourages re ection and self-regulation. We also present some preliminary ndings which show how exposure to feedback can signi cantly increase student success and engagement.</p>
      </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. INTRODUCTION</title>
      <p>
        The asynchronous, open nature of MOOCs presents
students with a profound sense of exibility and freedom in
their learning experience compared to the traditional
classroom setting. They may study what they want, where they
want, and whenever they want. However, along with these
ostensibly-positive a ordances come major challenges. In
order to be successful in such a learning environment|with
no pressure from teachers/parents, no nancial obligations,
and no academic credit on the line|students must stay
incredibly disciplined in both the planning and following of
their study habits. Dropout rates of around 95% in the
average MOOC [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">8</xref>
        ] are a testimony to the challenge learners
face in this environment.
      </p>
      <p>The discipline for planning and following a self-imposed
schedule does not come naturally to many learners; rather
it is a learned skill. And while merely releasing open
educational resources to the world for consumption is a great
start, the next step in the Open Learning movement ought
to equip learners with the cognitive toolset they need to
effectively self-regulate their learning experience.</p>
      <p>Currently, universities, instructors, and researchers are
the chief handlers of educational data generated from MOOCs.
Learners do not yet form an important part of this data
The author's research is supported by the
Leiden-DelftErasmus Centre for Education and Learning.
yThe author's research is supported by the Extension School
of the Delft University of Technology.
ow ecosystem. We believe that MOOC learners can
signi cantly bene t from a timely and goal-oriented feedback
of their study habits in MOOCs. Currently, major MOOC
platforms provide rather generic learner feedback as seen in
Figure 1 and Figure 2, which { while being timely { does
not enable learners to judge their learning behavior in
absolute terms: are they on track to succeed in (i.e. pass) this
course? Are they nearly on track? Are they missing a key
ingredient to being successful?</p>
      <p>We believe that instead of providing a general overview of
learner behavior, learners will be able to self-regulate better
if we provide them with a comparison of their own learning
behavior against that of previous successful (in the sense
that they passed the course) students. We have developed a
rst learner widget that re ects this vision, enabling learners
to compare themselves to successful learners and thus
empowering them to re ect on and adapt their study behavior
in a goal-oriented fashion.</p>
      <p>Not only does this ease the burden of instructors (the
learners decide how to react to and interpret the information
shown to them), it also creates a heightened awareness in
learners that they can keep with them beyond just this one
course and apply in future professional or academic contexts.</p>
      <p>The following research question guides our line of inquiry
into the topic:
Can a comparison to previously successful learners serve as
a helpful form of feedback to increase MOOC learners'
engagement and success?
In this paper, we describe our prototype widget, the design
decisions behind it, the setup we are currently employing in
our experiments, and a preliminary analysis of the results.</p>
      <p>We nd that indeed, our implemented feedback has a
signi cant positive e ect on the success of the learners (in terms
of grading) as well as on two out of six evaluated engagement
metrics.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>RELATED WORK</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Search Dashboard</title>
      <p>
        The main inspiration for this research comes from
Bateman et al. [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ] who, in the context of Web search, created
a \Search Dashboard" that provides an interface for search
engine users to see and re ect on their search behavior and,
furthermore, a comparison of this data against \archetypal
expert pro les." Their approach is very similar to ours in
that they outline searching as something people have come
to depend on in every day life, but rarely do people consider
searching as a skill that may be developed and improved.
The same can be said about learning. Bateman et al. [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ]
found that people rarely change their search behavior no
matter the situation, but, once exposed to the dashboard,
they become more active, aware, and critical of their
searching habits|adapting them to be more in line with those of
the visualized expert searchers.
2.2
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Feedback to Encourage Metacognition</title>
      <p>
        The key processes underpinning our Learning Tracker
widget are that of (i) feedback prompting and (ii)
metacognition, which then results in (iii) more e ective self-regulated
(or self-directed) [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">7</xref>
        ] learning. Durall and Gros [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ] and
Verbert et al. [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">16</xref>
        ] also outline this process of providing
students with \self-knowledge" as being key to developing the
necessary metacognitive skills for self-regulated (or directed)
learning. And in order to ease the translation from data to
actionable knowledge, Heer and Agrawala [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">5</xref>
        ] found
information visualization to be an e ective sense-making tool due
to its ability to synthesize complex data in a way for viewers
to quickly understand and compare.
      </p>
      <p>
        An early example of instructions designed to empower
learners to shape their own learning experience dates back to
1965, where Keller [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">6</xref>
        ] introduces and documents the result of
a \go-at-your-own-pace" course. This resulted in an inverted
(U-shaped), polarized (highest concentrations for Grades 'A'
and 'F') grade distribution at the conclusion of the courses,
making clear the di erence between students who can and
cannot self-regulate e ectively. Increased learner feedback
and awareness could be the nudge some of these students
need to remain engaged and pass the course.
2.3
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Increasing Learner Efficiency</title>
      <p>
        Guo and Reinecke [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ] studied to what extent students in
MOOCs access the full o ering of learning materials.
Sampling from four edX MOOCs, they found that, on average,
certi cate-earning students do not access, or \ignore," 22%
of course materials [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ]. Although instructors and
instructional designers may not be too pleased by this nding, it has
the potential to make future students more e cient in their
learning. If there is certain content that students repeatedly
skip without having their grade su er, future students|
maybe low on time or extrinsically motivated|can re ne
their learning plan based on this information.
2.4
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>Open Learning Analytics</title>
      <p>
        The Learning Tracker realizes much of the personal-level,
student-facing dashboard envisioned in [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16">14</xref>
        ]. Along with the
three other views (educator, researcher, and institutional),
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16">14</xref>
        ] proposes a dashboard in which students can see metrics
ranging from progress compared to current peers, previous
students who took the course, their own past activities, and
instructor-de ned benchmarks. Siemens et al. [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16">14</xref>
        ] here also
suggest multiple levels of the dashboard, such as options for
\drilling down" into more detailed data visualisations.
      </p>
      <p>
        Siemens [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14">12</xref>
        ] calls for Personal Learner Knowledge Graphs
to boost awareness of a student's own current knowledge
state in a given topic. This idea then evolved into
Personal Learning Graphs [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">13</xref>
        ], which stress the \importance of
individuals owning their own learning representation" [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">13</xref>
        ].
While the present Learning Tracker widget is not owned
by the learner, it empowers MOOC students to assume a
more active role in shaping their own learning experience.
To our knowledge, these remain undeveloped and only
conceptualisations of what dashboards should be.
2.5
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-7">
      <title>Dashboards as Explorable Visual Narratives</title>
      <p>
        To see if learner feedback data visualisations can elicit
change in student behavior (similar to our research
question), Yousuf and Conlan [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">17</xref>
        ] implemented a dashboard
(VisEN) that intended to emphasize to the student viewers
a sort of \visual narrative" in the form of data
visualizations. There is no text-based narrative provided for the
students; rather, this dashboard, pictured in Figure 3, consists
of heavily-annotated data visualizations from which students
were expected to draw their own narrative arc. Findings
from their three studies, taking place over three years and
including 223 students, yielded a very strong Pearson
correlation coe cient between dashboard views and learner
engagement [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">17</xref>
        ]. A fundamental di erence between this approach
and our Learning Tracker presented here is that VisEN
incorporated tactics to directly encourage engagement such as
reminders and \bad or poor engagement noti cations". Our
Learning Tracker, on the other hand, stops short of any
direction-giving or motivation and merely presents the
learners with a comparative view of their own behavior and that
of successful learners. Furthermore, the Learning Tracker
dashboard operates at scale in MOOCs.
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-8">
      <title>3. WIDGET DESIGN</title>
      <p>
        Based on prior works [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11 ref12 ref13 ref17">11, 10, 9, 15</xref>
        ] that have investigated
the factors impacting learner success in MOOCs and e
ective feedback strategies (such as the \simple design
principles" outlined in [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ]) and some subjective judgement on
our behalf, we identi ed six indicators that are related to
learner success and at the same time readily understandable
to learners:
      </p>
      <sec id="sec-8-1">
        <title>Time on the platform in seconds</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-8-2">
        <title>Time watching videos in seconds</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-8-3">
        <title>Fraction of time spent watching videos while on the platform: whereas the previous two give total time commitment measures, this provides feedback on how they allocate their time in the course</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-8-4">
        <title>Number of course videos watched</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-8-5">
        <title>Number of graded quiz answers submitted</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-8-6">
        <title>Timeliness of quiz answer submission: how early students submit answers relative to the deadline, to expose procrastinating behavior</title>
        <p>In order to enable learners to directly compare their
behavior to successful learners, we require a set of \gold
standard" successful learners. In MOOCs that are reruns (our
target in this work) we can simply consider all learners that
passed one or more of the MOOC's previous editions to make
up this set. These successful learners do not exhibit a
uniform behavior. However, if we consider the average or
median across all these learners for each indicator, we have a
relatively robust indicator. For each indicator, the values
that fall in the bottom 5% and the top 5% of the data range
are omitted.</p>
        <p>Having prototyped several di erent visualizations of our
indicators (including bar charts, gauges and calendar charts),
we settled on the use of a spider chart as shown in Figure 4.
Spider charts allow for (i) a concise visualisation of
numerous metrics in a small space, (ii) simple legibility|data are
shown as single points along straight lines, and (iii) a visual
depiction of one's coverage and consistency across all
metrics. To allow for a consistent representation in the same
graph, all metric values are scaled in a range from 0 to 10,
where 0 indicates no activity and 10 the maximum value
among the middle 90% of gold standard learners|thus the
value of the outer ring increases each week, and the zero
point remains constant.</p>
        <p>
          We aim to ensure that any actions learners take in
response to the widget are self-conceived. In order to do so, we
try to minimize any feelings of external judgment or
assessment from the visualisations by making them as \modest"
as possible|\simply making things visible that would
otherwise remain invisible" [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
          ]. There are no red \danger zones"
or green \in-the-clear zones" on the chart as are found in
other learning dashboards such as VisEN [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">17</xref>
          ] or Coursera
(Figure 2). Rather, we present a chart free of not only zones,
but also any numbers, similar to the \degraded information"
concept in [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
          ]. All students see is their relative position
compared to the set of successful learners on the same plane. It
is left up to the learners how to interpret it, what to learn
from it, and how to convert this information into actionable
knowledge.
4.
        </p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-9">
      <title>EXPERIMENTAL SETUP</title>
      <p>We deployed our widget in the TU Delft MOOC
Introduction to Drinking Water Treatment running in its second
edition on the edX platform between January 12 and March
29, 2016 (11 course weeks in total). The rst iteration of
the MOOC ran in 2014, with 10,695 registered learners of
whom 281 (2.6%) earned a passing grade.</p>
      <p>For this year's edition 10,943 users enrolled before the
ofcial start of the course and, in turn, participated in our
experiment. Using A/B testing, we presented the
Learning Tracker widget to 49.91% (5,462) of the learners. At
the start of every course week, the learners were shown on
the course page how they compared (up to that point in
the course) to our gold standard learners from last year.
Alongside the visualisations (concrete examples of which are
shown in Figures 4 and 5) we also provided a short
explanatory text that included the following statement:
These graphs are not meant to be judgements or
assessments of your learning in any way; rather,
they are a source of feedback for you, the learner,
to make you more aware of your study habits and,
hopefully, help you change them for the better!</p>
      <p>This 11-week course consists of one introduction week, ve
weeks of content delivery, and two design assignments that
cover the remaining ve weeks. The material published in
each content delivery week included an assignment with ve
quiz questions. The video-lectures were complemented by a
total of 63 practice quiz questions that were not graded.
In order to graduate, learners had to earn a nal grade
higher than 60. We observe an increase in the percentage of
certi cate-earning learners compared to last year's edition
of the MOOC: 3.18% (348 out of 10,943 learners).
5.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-10">
      <title>RESULTS</title>
      <p>We now provide an overview of our preliminary ndings.
The results are based on all edX log traces up to and
including week 9 of the MOOC1. Due to the low number of
learners that visited the course material after the course
started (3,787 - 34.6% of enrolled) and the high drop-out
1The remaining course weeks are not included in the
analysis, as the log traces are not yet available.
rate in the rst week of the course (19.26% of enrolled did
not return after week one), the data distribution is highly
skewed. We analyzed active learners only, de ned by having
spent at least ve minutes in the platform.</p>
      <p>To explore whether our Learning Tracker widget had
any e ect on our learners, we ran a Mann-Whitney U test
(normal distributions not assumed) between the test
(widget shown) and control (widget not shown) groups. In all
analyses that follow we set = 0:05.</p>
      <p>We perform the following analyses on the six dimensions
shown in the Learning Tracker. We nd signi cant
differences between the two groups for the following two
dimensions (and no sig. di erences for the remaining four):
number of graded quiz answers submitted ;
the timeliness of the quiz answer submission.</p>
      <p>In Figure 6 we show the progression of both groups through
the course with respect to the number of learners that
submitted answers to graded quiz questions. Consistently, a
larger number of learners in the test group submit their
work. By week 9, 34.12% (550/1612) of the active users
in the test group submit graded quiz answers compared to
30.77% (485/1576) of learners in the control group. The
difference between the groups becomes visible in week 3, a week
after the rst Learning Tracker widget was made available
to the test group.</p>
      <p>In Figure 7 we present the timeliness of the two groups
with respect to the weekly quiz deadlines: the test group is
better able to self-regulate their behavior, with many
learners submitting their work well before the deadline, in
contrast to the learners of the control group.</p>
      <p>Graded Quiz Submitters By Week
Control</p>
      <p>Test
600
500
400
s
r
e
rna300
e
L
#200
100
0
1</p>
      <p>5</p>
      <p>Week #
2
3
4
6
7
8
9
0.0040
0.0035</p>
      <p>Lastly, there are di erences in the percentage of passing
learners per group as well: 13:17% among active learners
in the test group compared to 11:35% in the control group.
According to another Mann-Whitney U test, the di erences
between the nal grades attained by the active learners in
both groups are statistically signi cant with means of
14:4 for the test group and 12:7 for the control group. In
Figure 9 we plot the distributions of the nal course grades;
the test group exhibits a consistent, positive shift in grade
compared to the control group.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-11">
      <title>CONCLUSION &amp; FUTURE WORK</title>
      <p>We have described in this paper work-in-progress in which
300
0
20
80</p>
      <p>100
40 60
Final grade
we developed and deployed a Learning Tracker widget in
an edX MOOC with more than 10,000 learners. In an A/B
test setup, we found our widget to signi cantly increase
learner success (in terms of nal grade) and two of the six
speci ed measures of learner engagement (speci cally, more
timely assignment submissions and more assignment
submissions overall). We conclude that a dashboard like ours
enables learners to better self-regulate their learning
behavior based on a concrete anchor point for comparison (the
successful learners of the past).</p>
      <p>In future work, we plan to expand our experiments across
a number of MOOCs and a number of di erent
Learning Tracker designs with di erent levels of granularity and
study dimensions to answer the following research questions:
Can data visualization feedback elicit positive change
in MOOC learners' study habits?
How literate are learners of this type of feedback? Are
they able to draw their own insights from simple data
visualizations?</p>
    </sec>
  </body>
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