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      <title-group>
        <article-title>What if: robots create novel goals? Ethics based on social value systems</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Matthias Rolf</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Nigel Crook</string-name>
          <email>ncrookg@brookes.ac.uk</email>
        </contrib>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>Future personal robots might possess the capability to autonomously generate novel goals that exceed their initial programming as well as their past experience. We discuss the ethical challenges involved in such a scenario, ranging from the construction of ethics into such machines to the standard of ethics we could actually demand from such machines. We argue that we might have to accept those machines committing human-like ethical failures if they should ever reach human-level autonomy and intentionality. We base our discussion on recent ideas that novel goals could be originated from agents' value system that express a subjective goodness of world or internal states. Novel goals could then be generated by extrapolating what future states would be good to achieve. Ethics could be built into such systems not just by simple utilitarian measures but also by constructing a value for the expected social acceptance of a the agent's conduct.</p>
      </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>-</title>
      <p>Goal-driven behavior has a long and venerable history in Artificial
Intelligence and robotics. Goals are frequently used to model high
level decision making and to guide low level motor control. In the
field of robotics, goals have played an important part in creating
robots capable of complex interactions with the environment and
with humans. In the vast majority of cases, the goals which direct the
behavior of robots are predefined or tightly parameterized by their
designers. The practice of predefining the goals that drive robot
behavior gives designers the ability to ensure that this behavior remains
within agreed ethical norms. As robots become more autonomous
and as they operate in increasingly complex environments, however,
it becomes impractical to attempt to predefine the complete set of
robot goals that will cover every possible circumstance the robot
finds itself in. If intelligent and adaptive behavior is required of an
autonomous robot in unpredictable new circumstances, then the robot
will need to be equipped with the ability to create its own novel goals.
This then begs the question, if a robot can create its own novel goals,
how can designers ensure that these goals lead to ethical behavior
from the robot? In this paper we propose an approach to novel goal
creation which is based on social value systems and which, we
believe, offers the best hope of generating goals that will lead to morally
acceptable behavior from a robot.</p>
      <p>To illustrate the ethical issues that arise with novel goal creation,
we will briefly consider three typical robot applications: household
service robots, personal assistant robots, and robot pets. The physical
and software design of robots for each of these cases will be directed
towards the creation of application specific behavior that the
designers anticipate will be expected of their robots. So household service
robots might be expected to clean, personal assistant robots could be
required to liaise with clients, and robot pets might be required to
entertain children.</p>
      <p>In each of these application areas there are two general
circumstances under which robots could create their own novel goals. The
first is when the owner of the robot issues an instruction to the robot
which requires new behavior. The household robot, which is
designed for a home environment, might, for example, be requested
to go and get some cash out of the ATM at the local bank. To comply
with this request the robot will need to create new goals for getting
itself to the bank, including safely crossing roads, perhaps negotiating
a path through crowds of people, etc. It will also need to create new
goals for getting cash out of the ATM, which might include queuing
up for the machine, interacting with the machine, retrieving the cash,
and getting itself and the cash safely back to the home. There are
complex ethical considerations (e.g. safety, social norms of
morality) involved the creation of each of these goals.</p>
      <p>Similar examples can be found for the other robotic applications;
the robot pet might need to react to another new pet (real or artificial),
the personal assistant might be invited to join the company’s social
event (e.g. soccer match). These instructions or new requirements
each involve the creation of novel goals in contexts where there are
complex ethical considerations to take into account.</p>
      <p>A significant challenge for the designers of robots that are
capable of generating novel goals in response to instruction or external
circumstantial requirements is in evaluating the ethical implications
of those instructions or requirements. Contrast, for example, the
instruction to “get cash from the bank” with “steal cash from the bank”.
Even when the motivation for the creation of new goals comes from
an external source (e.g. the robot’s owner), an ethical basis for their
creation is still required.</p>
      <p>The second general circumstance under which robots could
create novel goals is when they are given the capacity to take the
initiative in a given situation. This could happen, for example, if
autonomous robots are endowed with the ability to recognize and
interpret their own needs and the needs of others around them, and make
autonomous decisions on how to meet those needs. The household
robot might, for example, recognize that a visitor is hungry and so
might decide to bake a cake for them. The robot pet might see that
their human companion is lonely and so might decide to invite the
companion’s friend over. These are all conveniently contrived
ethical responses to perceived needs. But it would be just as easy for
the robot to take the initiative to do something which, unknown to
them, would be quite unethical in response to a perceived need. The
well meaning household robot might, for example, decide to cook
beef burgers for their hungry visitor, who turns out to be vegetarian.
The robot pet might phone an escort service for their lonely
companion. The robot teacher, whilst attempting to avoid harm to one child,
might unwittingly put another child in danger.</p>
      <p>
        In all of these circumstances it will be expected that autonomous
robots that have the capacity to behave in novel ways, will also have
the capacity to recognize and take into account the ethical
implications of those novel behaviors. This requires a novel goal generation
mechanism that can evaluate the ethical consequences of acting on
those goals. In this paper we consider such robots to enter a
consumer market and this to get in contact with actual people. We
therefore consider the ethical dimension of this problem from a very
practical point of view on the overall socio-technical system [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ]: would
the actual conduct of the robot be considered ethical by the people
who interact with it, and the public at large? Only if we consider this
question we can arrive at practical robotic solutions that comply with
the will of people and possible future legislation.
2
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>Origination of Novel Goals</title>
      <p>
        Today’s artificial agents are still extremely limited in their
generation of truly novel behavior and novel goals. What even counts a
novel goal is a delicate question. We have extensively addressed the
very notion of goals across disciplines and what follows from those
notions in [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14 ref15">14, 15</xref>
        ]. In short, we refer to goals specifically as desired
end states of action – in contrast to, for instance, reward signals or
other to be optimized variables which refer to a good- or badness
of states without pointing to any particular state directly. This can
be seen from three different perspectives (see Fig. 1): we may
refer to the physical perspective of actual world states or objects they
are referring to (such as a cake), an outside observer’s teleological
perspective (such as the observer explaining a robot’s behavior by
thinking the robot is about to make a cake), or the agent’s internal,
intentional perspective (such as the agent having a representation of
making a cake as its goal).
      </p>
      <p>
        What makes a goal actually novel depends on this perspective
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">15</xref>
        ]. Novel physical goals simply refer to novel physical states or
objects, but which do not necessarily concur with any intention of the
agent. The teleological perspective is more relevant to our discussion.
Novel teleological goals refer to an agent’s behavior that requires a
new explanation, very similar to emergent behavior [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12 ref6">12, 6</xref>
        ]. Looking
through the eyes of a system’s engineer, this would be any unforeseen
or not explicitly designed behavior. This exactly describes the
example scenarios we initially introduced, in which robots would generate
behavior that is outside their initial design parameters. While the
teleological perspective describes behavior from the outside, the
intentional perspective must be considered for the agent’s internal
functioning, motivation, and eventually for its ethical sensitivity. Novel
intentional goals are novel representations that the agent generates
to steer its behavior. They describe the agent’s decision making. A
intentional goal could be novel because it generates an entirely new
representation of something just for this purpose, or because
something that has been represented already, but not immediately used for
behavior control, newly becomes a goal.
      </p>
      <p>
        Novel intentional goals are routinely created already in existing
AI planning systems that are given specific goal representations
from the start, and which are autonomously decomposed into
subgoals [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11 ref4">4, 11</xref>
        ]. Yet, such sub-goals necessarily stay within existing
design parameters due to the explicitly designed initial goal. The
autonomous creation of entirely novel intentional goals has been
linked to notions of reward [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10 ref2">2, 10</xref>
        ] and reinforcement learning [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13 ref8">13, 8</xref>
        ].
Agents could generate novel intentional goals by predicting which
states have the highest value (the prediction or future reward). This
is not limited to reward or cost functions in any strictly economic or
utilitarian way, but may concern “subjective” value function that
account for a variety of needs and desires. Such value functions provide
the basis for (subjectively) rational behavior [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18 ref7">18, 7</xref>
        ], and therefore the
selection of goals among known behaviors, but also allows to make
predictions and extrapolations to entirely novel states that the agent
has never experienced and that seem valuable.
      </p>
      <p>If an agent makes such an extrapolation to a presumably value
state, it takes the initiative to some new goal without explicit
instruction. However, a novel goal (with respect to the agent’s initial
design) might also come in via an instruction such as a verbal
command. In both cases, ethical considerations must take place. A robot
should neither generate an unethical goal autonomously, nor adopt an
instruction without ethical evaluation. In order to discuss this
complex of novel goals and ethics in this article, we consider the
ethical dimension to be embedded in the shaping of the value functions.
Hence, we consider value functions that contain components of
ethical goodness and badness of agents’ conduct.
3</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>The need for speculation</title>
      <p>Future robotic or AI systems that could actually generate entirely
novel goals or adopt entirely goals by instruction pose a substantial
challenge to machine ethics. In this article we are therefore not
arguing that such machines should be built, but rather discuss possible
ethical mechanisms and consequences if they would be built.</p>
      <p>
        The challenge is that, by definition, novel goals take an agent into
unknown territory. It has been emphasized that autonomous ethical
agents first of all need to be able to predict the consequences of their
behavior [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">17</xref>
        ] for instance by means of internal models [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">19</xref>
        ]. When
agents actually enter new territory such predictions can be grounded
on general knowledge but cannot be perfectly accurate. Rather, the
agent has to make informed guesses what might follow from its
conduct. In human terms, it has to speculate. However, predicting the
bare consequences of action is not the only problem. Also the ethical
value of entirely novel behavior might not be known or at least not
perfectly known to the system. When an agent enters domains that
have neither be thought about at design time nor have been previously
experienced by the agent, it might simply misjudge what constitutes
as good or bad behavior. Again, the agent would have to make an
informed guess.
      </p>
      <p>No example we could give could actually prove the existence of
cases in which ethical rules necessary for some behavior could not
have been pre-programmed at design time — the fact that we bring
up the example shows that at least we might have considered the case
during design. Yet, one might doubt that programming an entirely
comprehensive and universal ethics engine is possible. In any way,
we think that the examples we discuss here show cases in which it is
very plausible that a system built for some purpose does not possess
ethical competences with respect to novel domains.</p>
      <p>In the example of a household robot being ordered to get cash from
an ATM we can clearly see how such a system might lack proper
prediction skills about the consequences of its action. The robot might
not even have been designed to go outside and navigate there. In such
a new environment it might lack skills to predict pedestrian
movement or eventually the behavior of the ATM interface itself. This
scenario might also come with a lack of ethical sensitivity: general
ethics rules of moving through traffic and public spaces might not
have been given to such a system. Even if they were given – common
sense might suggest so – a purely domestic robot might not have a
concept of possession and the ethical rules around it. If it is not able
to withdraw cash from the ATM it might not consider it mischievous
to steal it (let alone to rob it), since within its single household
environment it might just take any object its owner desires.</p>
      <p>Also the scenario of a personal assistant robot that is asked to
participate in a soccer game comprises both difficulties: both the
particular world dynamics of soccer as well as ethics and morals of team
sports might not be known to such a system. In particular the moral
dynamics of such matches are highly non-trivial: the agent would be
required to cooperate with individuals on its team, but work against
the other team while still complying to sports specific rules.</p>
      <p>Similarly, robots that take the initiative face uncertainties and
may mis-predict both the immediate consequences as and the
ethical aspects of their proactive behavior. A household robot that
autonomously decides to make a cake because cakes make his owner
happy might use ingredients the owner wanted to use differently, or
even use ingredients a visitor is allergic to. Conversely, the robot
might observe how displeased his owner is about the neighbors’
barking dog, and pro-actively decide to make his owner happy by shutting
the dog up – maybe injuring or killing the dog due to misjudgment
of immediate consequences of its action or the ethical implications.
4</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Social Value Systems for Ethics</title>
      <p>Simple rule-based approaches to ensuring that the novel goals
generated by autonomous robots result in ethically acceptable behavior are
impractical for three reasons. The first is that hand-crafting a set of
ethical rules that could anticipate every circumstance in which novel
goals might be created by a robot is equivalent to the problem of
trying to predefine a complete set of robot goals at design stage, which
is against the basic premise of this paper as we have already argued.</p>
      <p>
        The second reason for asserting that the rule-based ethics approach
is impractical for novel goal creation is that “simple” ethical rule
sets do not work well in situations where all possible actions have
negative ethical consequences. The so-called ‘Trolley problem’ [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16">16</xref>
        ],
which describes a scenario in which any behavioral option involves
the death of humans, illustrates this issue very well. Also the
examples for novel goals in this paper are full of subtleties (possession,
fair-play in sports, animal rights) that can barely be stated in any
compact form. The third reason that simple rule-based approaches
are impractical is that as the ethical rule set increases to cover the
widening set of circumstances, it becomes ever more challenging to
avoid internal conflict and ensure consistency between the rules.
      </p>
      <p>There are broader issues with attempting to ‘design in’ or hard
code an ethical system for a robot when that robot may be expected
to handle novel domains autonomously. One issue is that predefined
ethical systems may reflect more of the ethical preferences of the
designers rather than those of people who end up being subject to
the robot’s actions. This is especially true in cases where novel robot
actions take it into new circumstances and amongst different groups
of people who have distinct cultural expectations that were not
anticipated by the designers. Robotics and AI literature nowadays
routinely talks about agents’ adaptation and learning for the prediction
of unknown environments and mastering of novel skills. Then, we
think it is natural that an agent must also be able to acquire novel
ethical concepts and values along with those environments and skills.</p>
      <p>
        All of this leads to the question - how can a robot autonomously
acquire a sense of ethics for novel domains? If robots are to be
‘ethical’ in the eyes of those who interact with them, then they will need
to be able to adapt to unwritten, socially evolved ethical preferences
of the communities in which they find themselves. Human moral
development provides a precedent for such adaptation [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ]. We propose
that novel goals along with ethics be generated on the basis of an
adaptive social value system (see Fig. 2). This system is founded
on both predefined egocentric motivators (e.g. self sustenance, pain,
intrinsic motivation) and adaptable social motivators (e.g. empathy,
the need for social acceptance) that are activated by changes in state
space. The social motivators are shaped (‘learnt’) through interaction
with the robot’s social partner(s) such that the robot is educated to the
ethical judgment of its social surrounding. This goes beyond simple
reinforcers such as reward objects or pain, but makes social relation
a direct object of internal reward signals. Hence, like humans, robots
could be repelled from conducting behavior that would repel
important social partners from them – and increase behavior which results
in positive reactions from the social environment. The value of the
activated egocentric and social motivators is estimated through an
expectation of future reward signals. In the case where the robot is
taking the initiative, the motivators with the highest estimated future
value would be selected to form the novel goal. A household robot
that has run out of instructed tasks thus might predict a happy and
grateful owner, thus a positive social interaction, if only there was a
cake.
      </p>
      <p>
        In the case of an instruction from the social partner, the value of the
proposed candidate goal would be generated from the same
mechanism of evaluating expectation of future reward of that goal on the
basis of currently activated egocentric and social motivators. In this
case, one of the social motivators might be obedience. We think this
approach could provide a very powerful mechanism to (i) capture
the subtleties of what humans perceive to be ethical conduct and (ii)
allow for the acquisition of novel ethical aspects along with new
environments and tasks. This would reflect a level of autonomy,
capability, and adaptivity that is indeed comparable to human
achievement. However, such an adaptive social approach would be subject to
the same ethical flaws as have been shown to exist in humans.
Classic experiments like the Milgram Experiment [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        ] and the Stanford
Prison experiment [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        ] have well shown how humans can adopt or
autonomously generate unethical conduct in certain social contexts.
      </p>
      <p>If we ever want to – or will – bring robots to human-comparable
autonomy, capability, and adaptivity, we may have to face them
having human-comparable flaws. As long as universal and verifiably
comprehensive rules of ethics are not in sight, we may not rule out
this possibility.</p>
    </sec>
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