=Paper= {{Paper |id=Vol-1830/Paper91 |storemode=property |title=Traffic Congestion Analysis in Mobile Macrocells |pdfUrl=https://ceur-ws.org/Vol-1830/Paper91.pdf |volume=Vol-1830 |authors=Aliyu Ozovehe,Okpo U. Okereke,Anene E. C.,Abraham U. Usman }} ==Traffic Congestion Analysis in Mobile Macrocells== https://ceur-ws.org/Vol-1830/Paper91.pdf
                     International Conference on Information and Communication Technology and Its Applications
                                                            (ICTA 2016)
                                                    Federal University of Technology, Minna, Nigeria
                                                                  November 28 – 30, 2016



                          Traffic Congestion Analysis in Mobile Macrocells


                     Aliyu Ozovehe1, Okpo U. Okereke2, Anene E. C.2, and Abraham U. Usman3
                                         1
                                         Trifield Technology Limited, Abuja, Nigeria
        2
         Department of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, Abubakar Tafawa Balewa University, Bauchi, Nigeria
          3
            Department of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, Federal University of Technology, Minna, Nigeria
                                                   1
                                                     aliyu123oz@gmail.com

Abstract—Traffic congestion during busy hour (BH)                       pattern of busy hour traffic is considered for congestion
deteriorates the overall performance of cellular network and            evaluation [5] using key performance indicators (KPIs).
may become unmanageable unless effective and efficient                      These KPIs are defined for different interfaces and
methods of congestion control are developed through real live           network elements of GSM/GPRS. To cater for subscriber
traffic data measurement and analysis. In this work, real live          demand, radio frequency (RF) optimization teams use the
traffic data from integrated GSM/GPRS network is used for               KPIs to generate quality of service (QoS) reports to ensure
traffic congestion analysis. The analysis was carried out on 10         minimal congestion over all the interfaces and network
congesting cells using network management system (NMS)                  elements in order to avoid QoS degradation by maintaining
statistics data that span three years period. Correlation test
                                                                        the KPIs under pre-defined threshold [6].
was used to show that TCH congestion depend only on call
setup success rate (CSSR) and BH traffic at cell level. An
                                                                            Network congestion leads to poor QoS which affect
average correlation coefficient value of 0.9 was observed               grade of service (GoS) of the network, particularly during the
between TCH congestion and CSSR while 0.6 was observed                  busy hour of the day [7]. In a loss system, the GoS describes
between TCH congestion and BH traffic. The correlation test is          that proportion of calls that are lost due to congestion in the
important when selecting input for congestion prediction                busy hour and can be measured using equation (1):
modeling.
                                                                                       Number _ of _ lost _ calls
   Keywords-traffic congestion; GSM; GPRS; macrocells                         GoS                                           (1)
                                                                                      Number _ of _ offered _ calls
                     I.    INTRODUCTION
                                                                            While a whole range of services of GSM technology are
    All over the world, cellular network operators are faced            in use in Nigeria, it is obvious that the network performance
with the challenges of improving the quality of service (QoS)           in terms of QoS are degrading which proved that GSM
while increasing capacity and rolling out new services. This            network is either over utilized or under dimensioned. Hence
has resulted in many congested networks and consequently                the need for this analysis to identify the cells that are
degradation of QoS due to inadequate provision of the                   responsible for congestion during busy hour by statistically
needed resources or underutilisation of the available                   analyzing traffic data of a live network in order to establish
resources.                                                              the presence or absence of congestion.
    To cope with subscriber demands and meet Regulator
standards, cellular network providers dimension network
elements on continuous based using network management                                      II.   LITERATURE REVIEW
system (NMS) statistics, drive test trailing and customer
feedbacks.                                                                  Traffic analysis is important for evaluating the
    However, Nigerian Communication Commission (NCC)                    performance of existing networks and network optimization.
quarterly audit reports of GSM network performance had                  The events that occur in BTS trigger different counters in the
consistently shown that the operators have not been able to             BSC and MSC memory that are used for performance
meet the set standards [1] due to network congestion [2]. If            monitoring and network evaluation. Various KPIs that are
there is no hardware fault, network congestion usually occurs           used to measure network performances are derived with the
due to insufficient number of radio channels in access                  help of these counters using different formulations [7]. In
network elements [3].                                                   practice, the performance can be monitored at different
    This work used busy hour traffic data of access network             sections of the network [8] and in this work the network
from a live network to analyse traffic congestion in some               performance is evaluated at cell levels in terms of resource
macrocells of GSM/GPRS network. The busy hour of a                      allocation and resource utilization.
network is the time when the network processes the                          Some of the early works on GSM network elements
highest traffic in a day and it is used to measure network              performance were done mostly on access part of the network
performance, determine the robustness of a network and its              particularly at BTS level. For example, [9] proposed a traffic
dimension [4]. To measure the network performance, the                  model for mobile network, using Markov chain to determine
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call blocking and handoff failure probabilities when no                standalone computer and exported to Microsoft Excel
queuing of new or handover calls is performed while [10]               environment.
modeled the effect of user mobility on the performance of                  The network is composed of 742 cells, 262 BTSs.
mobile networks using office hours traffic data. Location              Measurements were taken from November, 2012 to
updates were analyzed to evaluate the probability of call              September, 2014. Correlation test was used to choose only
dropping when handover is needed. Likewise, [11] analyzed              KPIs that have significant effect on TCH congestion during
seventy eight traffic channels and showed that a single                busy hour.
dedicated channel is enough for good QoS. [12] investigated                Correlation coefficient is defined as a number or function
GSM/GPRS system performance using dedicated number of                  indicating the degree of correlation between two variables
GPRS channels and some idle periods between voice calls                like X and Y. In this work, the variables are busy hour traffic
for GPRS data packet transfers. Reservation of more                    and CSSR, HOSR, DCR, SDCCH and TCH Congestions as
channels brings handover failure and dropped call                      KPIs to measure the network performance. Equation (2)
probability to very small values but lack of ordinary channels         defines correlation coefficient as:
produces a larger new calls blocking probability.
    The work of [13] presented the results of study of
DCS1800 Um-interface using daily traffic measurement                       Correl ( X , Y ) 
                                                                                                    x  x  y  y             (2)
data. The performance indicators used are Traffic, CSSR,
                                                                                                   x  x    y  y 
                                                                                                               2              2
handover success rate (HOSR), standalone dedicated control
channel (SDCCH) and traffic channel (TCH) congestion.
The analysis shows the limitations of the system to                        Microsoft excel statistical tools was used for the
accommodate extreme offered traffic without adding more                correlation analysis.
resources. A model combining simulations for paging,
signaling and traffic channels was developed by [14] to
investigate the optimal dimensioning of a finite physical                     IV.   BTS DAILY BUSY HOUR TRAFFIC ANALYSIS
resource allocated across multiple logical channels with
multiple traffic types.                                                    The busy hour traffic data showed that 154 cells
    Reference [15] evaluated the performance of GSM1900                experienced congestion out of 742 cells during the period
Um-interface of two different vendors using daily                      under investigation. In the cell KPIs analysis, 10 worst
measurement data for one week. The performance indicators              congesting cells were chosen for BH TCH congestion
used are peak hour traffic; CSSR; Handover Failure;                    analysis [19].The ten most congested cells is shown in Table
congestion on control channels (SDCCH blocking rate);                  1, Table 2 presents the maximum and average daily BH
congestion on traffic channels (TCH blocking Rate); drop on            traffic of the ten most congested cells over the period.
traffic channels; drop on control channels; cells with TCH
congestion rate exceeding 2% and TCH Mean Holding
Time.                                                                    V.    BTS TCH CONGESTION CORRELATION TEST ANALYSIS
    In another work, [3] analyzed traffic data from a trunked              Using the BTS KPIs and BH traffic, the correlation test
radio network operated by Ecomm in UK using OPNET                      showed that the ten worst cells behaved differently in terms
model. The findings indicated that traditional Erlang models           of KPIs that have strong correlation with TCH congestion
for voice traffic may not be suitable for evaluating the               during busy hour which implied that they must be
performance of trunked radio networks. In a related work,              investigated differently based on their correlation results.
[16] formulated a dynamic channel allocation model using               However, we selected 4 cells to know which KPI has strong
Markov chain technique as an improvement on [17]. There is             correlation with TCH congestion at cell level. The result of
one problem common to all these works at BTS level,                    the test for the four cells is summarised in Table 3.
exclusive handover channels were employed for easy                         Table 3 shows that BH TCH congestion has strong
compliance of QoS standards for ongoing calls and handover             correlation with CSSR and busy hour traffic for the four
failure reduction. However, the disadvantage is that new               cells.
calls blocking increase as a result of the reduction of                    Given the result of the correlation test, the maximum
available ordinary channels. The solution should have been             daily BH traffic carried by the ten cells and it impact on
that resources should be added to maintain GoS of the                  CSSR and TCH congestion is shown in Figure 2 and Figure
network as put forward by [18] and supported by the work of            3.
[13].                                                                      From Figure 2 and 3, most of the cells CSSR and TCH
                                                                       CONG degraded when they carried maximum traffic while
                    III.   METHODOLOGY                                 Cell 396B, 393C and 301C suffered worst KPIs degradation.
   The setup for data collection in GSM/GPRS network                       The behaviour of the ten worst cells when they
comprises of base station subsystem (BSS) and network                  experienced worst TCH CONG and the effect on other KPIs
subsystem (NSS) connected to standalone system called                  during the period is shown in Figure 4 to 6.
NMS as shown in Figure 1.                                                  All the cells CSSR degraded and their ability to carry
   NMS is the functional entity from which the service                 traffic is limited when they experienced worst TCH CONG
provider monitors and controls the entire network. The data            while Cell 496B, 430C, 396B and 038B recorded worst KPIs
used in this work was extracted from the NMS with the help             degradation. This shows that traffic channel of these cells are
of Ericsson Business intelligent (BI) tools installed on the           not properly dimensioned.

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                       VI.     CONCLUSION                                 BH traffic has an average correlation coefficient of 0.9 and
    The analysis of traffic channels in an network existing               0.6 respectively for the cells. The strong correlation showed
showed that TCH congestion beyond the acceptable 2%                       that the knowledge of CSSR and busy traffic can be used to
threshold for traffic channel (TCH) occurred in 154 cells out             predict TCH congestion which is crucial for cellular network
of 742 cells investigated.                                                optimization and resource management.
    The busy hour TCH congestion analysis showed that the
congestion depends on CSSR and BH traffic. The CSSR and




                                                 Figure 1. System for collecting traffic data




                                               TABLE I.       TEN WORST CONGESTING CELLS

                                                                        Cell Ids
      Dates
               FC0396B       FC0301C   FC0362C     FC0385B      FC0393C       FC0430C      FC0494B   FC0496B    FC0038B      FC0725C
      Jan-13   3.98          60.18     80.01       2.14         4.35          78.95        46.04     69.59      3.7          -

      Feb-13   14.44         46.81     23.86       27.91        13.83         24.64        19.92     -          14.67        -

      Mar-13   50.87         3.96      62.71       -            -             -            -         20.4       2.41         44.16

      Apr-13   20.78         30.47     50.41       32.12        19.74         24.28        55.9      -          7.53         -

      Jun-13   15.31         48.24     59.02       9.39         21.63         28.87        33.77     10.23      2.39         -

      Jul-13   10.02         53.61     69.77       4.11         14.72         13.31        17.12     7.65       -            30.85

      Aug-13   7.15          37.83     67.51       2.17         18.28         18.13        16.78     3.19       -            38.36

      Sep-13   10.18         33.95     65.27       -            19.57         5.26         14.01     1.86       -            16.22

      Oct-13   9.99          52.04     61.52       3.1          21.07         12.43        21.69     6.05       16.97        2.76

      Nov-13   13.8          58.28     63.61       3.03         11.34         3.68         36.6      4.32       -            -

      Dec-13   3.42          74.94     84.54       13.31        18.45         9.28         31.63     32.65      -            -

      Feb-14   16.65         71.21     80.59       14.57        9.69          82.61        54.85     83.13      17.22        19.15




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TABLE II.              DAILY BH TRAFFIC (ERLANG) FOR THE TEN WORST                 TABLE III.      SUMMARY OF TCH CONGESTION CORRELATION TEST
                                   CELLS
                                                                                                          TCH Correlation
                     Cell     Max Traffic   Average Traffic
                                                                                                          C          H     SDC
                    FC0725C      25.6              15.01                                                  S    D     O      CH
                                                                                                          S    C     S     CON      Tra
                    FC0496B      43.93             18.11                                          Cell    R    R     R       G      ffic
                                                                                                          0.   0.    0.
                    FC0494B      21.68             13.61                                        FC0725C   9    2     1      0.4     0.5
                                                                                                          1.   0.    0.
                    FC0430C      64.03             37.9
                                                                                                FC0393C   0    1     4      0.1     0.6
                    FC0396B      21.59             12.75                                                  0.   0.    0.
                                                                                                FC0362C   9    7     1      0.0     0.7
                    FC0393C      19.82             13.85                                                  0.   0.    0.
                                                                                                FC0301C   7    6     1      0.4     0.6
                    FC0385B      47.65             13.08                                                  0.   0.    0.
                    FC0362C      27.66             15.77                                        Average   9    4     2      0.2     0.6

                    FC0301C      34.99             17.12

                    FC0038B      54.41             21.72




                    100.00                                                    98                                                      98

                     90.00

                     80.00

                     70.00
     CELL KPI [%]




                     60.00

                     50.00

                     40.00

                     30.00

                     20.00

                     10.00

                      0.00
                                                      CSSR                                                  HOSR
                                         FC0725C     FC0496B     FC0494B        FC0430C         FC0396B   FC0393C
                                         FC0385B     FC0362C     FC0301C        FC0038B         NCC


                                             Figure 2. CSSR and HOSR for ten worst Cells during Max. Traffic




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                 50.00


                 40.00
CELL KPI




                 30.00


                 20.00
[%]




                 10.00
                                                         2                                                                                  2
                                                                                                0.20
                  0.00
                                        DCR                               SDCCH CONG                                TCH CONG

                 FC0725C           FC0496B               FC0494B                FC0430C                FC0396B                FC0393C
                 FC0385B           FC0362C               FC0301C                FC0038B                NCC

                                  Figure 3. DCR, SDCCH CONG and TCH CONG for ten worst Cells during Max. Traffic




                         120.00

                                                                               98                                                      98
                         100.00

                          80.00
  CELL KPI [%]




                          60.00

                          40.00

                          20.00

                           0.00
                                                       CSSR                                                    HOSR


                                      FC0725C      FC0496B      FC0494B       FC0430C      FC0396B       FC0393C
                                      FC0385B      FC0362C      FC0301C       FC0038B      NCC

                                           Figure 4. CSSR and HOSR for the Cells during Worst TCH CONG




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                                       35.00

                                       30.00
CELL KPI [%]


                                       25.00

                                       20.00

                                       15.00

                                       10.00

                                        5.00                                             2
                                                                                                                                               0.20
                                        0.00
                                                                  DCR                                              SDCCH CONG


                                                FC0725C     FC0496B      FC0494B       FC0430C      FC0396B       FC0393C
                                                FC0385B     FC0362C      FC0301C       FC0038B      NCC

                                                   Figure 5. DCR and SDCCH CONG for the Cells during Worst TCH




                                        40.00

                                        35.00

                                        30.00
               CELL TRAFFIC [ERLANG]




                                        25.00

                                        20.00

                                        15.00

                                        10.00

                                         5.00

                                         0.00




                                                     TRAFFICC_WORST TCH CONG                   TRAFFIC_AVERAGE

                                                Figure 6. Traffic Average and Traffic Carried by the Cell worst TCH CONG




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                                                                                 [10] Y. C. Min, S. K. Tai, S. C. Ho and Dan, K. S. Modeling of Terminal
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