=Paper= {{Paper |id=Vol-1839/MIT2016-p08 |storemode=property |title= The method of selection of the key geodynamic objects |pdfUrl=https://ceur-ws.org/Vol-1839/MIT2016-p08.pdf |volume=Vol-1839 |authors=Anastasia Grecheneva,Vladimir Eremenko,Oleg Kuzichkin,Nicolay Dorofeev }} == The method of selection of the key geodynamic objects== https://ceur-ws.org/Vol-1839/MIT2016-p08.pdf
            Mathematical and Information Technologies, MIT-2016 β€” Information technologies

          The Method of Selection of the Key
                Geodynamic Objects

       Anastasia Grecheneva, Vladimir Eremenko, Oleg Kuzichkin, and
                             Nicolay Dorofeev

                 Belgorod National Research University, Belgorod,
                          308015, 85 Pobedy st., Russia
                              1155464@bsu.edu.ru
                          http://www.bsu.edu.ru/bsu



      Abstract. In this paper as an indicator manifestations of geodynamic
      processes in a large area are invited to select the most sensitive and
      informative geological structures to the appearance of endogenous and
      exogenous factors that contribute to the development of geodynamic pro-
      cesses and negative changes in the geological section. Such places are key
      geodynamic objects that can provide early warning of the beginning of
      the development of destructive geological processes that have no exter-
      nal signs of existence. Watching the local geodynamic key objects and
      with the involvement of the hydrology data, geology, meteorology and
      geo-information technologies, it is possible to form a forward-looking as-
      sessment of destructive geological processes over a large area. The paper
      proposes a method for detecting the key geodynamic objects, including
      the distributed processing algorithms informative sections of heteroge-
      neous data, the temperature and the hydrological correction of the mea-
      surement results. The proposed approach is based not only on statistical
      methods and morphological analysis of the territory, but also on the use
      of mathematical models of the interaction of hydrological, geological and
      man-made environments.

      Keywords: geoelectrical monitoring of geodynamic object, forecasting,
      localization of objects, key objects.


1   Introduction
It is known that the development of suffusion processes intensity of geodynamic
changes of local sites of geological environment characterized by much greater
performance than that of the total of its variations. Consequently, information
about the occurrence of destructive processes through the use of selective geody-
namic control can be obtained much earlier than in the monitoring geodynamic
environment in general. Therefore, the practical use of geomonitoring systems
built on the basis of geoelectric sounding methods is appropriate for monitor-
ing the bearing capacity of overlying and underlying soil during the operation
of industrial facilities, as well as to ensure the protection of natural and man-
made objects from the possible consequences of accidents at suffusion danger [1,

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2]. Such systems through the application of information processing algorithms
for heterogeneous monitoring data allow to register changes in the geodynamic
control objects and obtain forecasts of the possibility of man-made disasters [3].
    In this article, the example of suffusion processes the technique of construct-
ing a regression geoelectric monitoring data processing algorithms with key ge-
ological objects in order to create predictive assessments of geodynamic.


2    The geological features of the site and the selection of
     the geodynamic control zones

Geodynamic monitoring carried out at the site of the alleged construction of
Nizhny Novgorod NPP, which is located in the basin of the lower reaches of
the river Oka (Figure 1a). The presence of low-mineralized water in the alluvial
layer, lying in the valley r. Oka close to the surface, as well as the dominant
stratum of carbonate and sulfate rocks, is the cause of the dynamics of the karst
valley. Herewith, man-made increase in groundwater levels is the cause of the
rapid process of karst formation and increase the risk of catastrophic situations
at nuclear power plants.
    The organization of the geodynamic control should take into account that
there are two main types of geodynamic movements karst environment. This
cyclic variation with varying intensity and duration of the period, characterized
by cyclical changes in the structure of the medium, as well as the trend of
variation which are of a pronounced character and having a constant direction
for a long time, with the result that they are the main source of mechanisms of
technological disasters [4]. Therefore, based on geological data it was determined
optimum geoelectric zone control which will be geodynamic more pronounced
than in other areas, for the same man-caused load. Monitoring of the local area
will provide more accurate forecasts of geodynamic activity surrounding area
(Figure 1b).
    In addition geoelectric monitoring data by supplemented of stationary obser-
vations, including the monitoring of hydrogeological regime fracture-karst aquifer
and overlying and geodetic monitoring of surface subsidence, changes in morpho-
metric characteristics of the relief, the failures and deformations.


3    Key geological objects

For geodynamic control used multipolar equipotential electrical installation, de-
veloped together with IPE RAS. It is designed to monitor of the geodynamics
of surface irregularities in the cases of the need provided increased sensitivity
to the specific changes in the object of investigation. High efficiency is achieved
by increasing the sensitivity of the measuring system,and the initial installa-
tion and operational positioning of the installation by controlling the sources of
probing signals [5]. Operation is based on the fact that the source of the probing
signals in the test environment is created in accordance with the principle of

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Fig. 1. Geological features of the site and the selection of zones and geodynamic control
a) area of alleged placement of Nizhny Novgorod NPP; b) the geoelectric monitoring
zone


superposition of a spatially-distributed signal forming a total zero signals in the
measurement sensors of geoelectric field.
   In this case the control signals of initial setting and positioning of geoelectric
measuring systems, be formed in accordance:

                             ¯𝑖 (𝑑0 ) = πΉπ‘ˆ (𝑀𝑆𝑖 , π‘ˆ
                             π‘ˆ                    Β― * (𝑑0 )),                          (1)

where πΉπ‘ˆ the option forming of primary positioning on the control vector, by
system π‘ˆΒ― * (𝑑) of space-time processing data control at start time 𝑑 = 𝑑0 ,𝑀𝑆𝑖 a
vector of model parameters.
   Later the geoelectric measuring system is functions, directly, in the semi-
automatic mode using the following algorithm:

               ¯𝑖 (𝑑) = π‘ˆ
               π‘ˆ        ¯𝑖 (𝑑0 ) + π›₯π‘ˆ (𝑀𝑆𝑖 , π›₯Β―                 Β― * (𝑑)),
                                              π‘Žπ‘– ) + πΉπ‘ˆ (π›₯𝑀𝑆𝑖 , π‘ˆ                      (2)

where π›₯π‘ˆ (𝑀𝑆𝑖 , π›₯Β―  π‘Žπ‘– ) the ongoing management of the positioning of the electrical
installation of the vector of geodynamic variationsπ›₯Β―       π‘Žπ‘– ; π›₯𝑀𝑆𝑖 the correction
model.
    Increase of sensitivity leads to an increase in noise level caused by thermal and
tidal deformation effects. In addition, operational management of electrolocation
signals is the presence of the trend component in the recorded signals, which is
determined by the structural changes of the object [6].
    Geoelectrical control method is based on the principle of linear and stationary
of the geoelectric section, the transfer function π›₯𝐻𝑖𝑗 (𝑝, 𝛼1 , ..., 𝛼𝑙 ) is determined
by a system of spatial functions of control object πœ“π‘–π‘— (𝑝) with nominal geodynamic

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parameters𝛼0𝑖 :
                                             𝑛
                                            βˆ‘οΈ
                                  π›₯π‘ˆπ‘– =            π›₯𝐻𝑖𝑗 (𝑝)𝐼𝑗 (𝑝),                               (3)
                                            𝑗=1

                                           𝑙 [οΈ‚                         ]οΈ‚
                                   𝐾(𝑝) βˆ‘οΈ πœ•πœ“π‘–π‘— (𝑝, 𝛼10 , ..., 𝛼𝑙0 )
         π›₯𝐻𝑖𝑗 (𝑝, 𝛼1 , ..., 𝛼𝑙 ) =                                   π›₯π›Όπ‘˜ ,                       (4)
                                   𝑆𝑖 (𝑝) π‘˜=1     πœ•π›Όπ‘˜
where 𝐼𝑖 probe signal of 𝑖-th source; π›₯π‘ˆπ‘– the response of 𝑖-th source; 𝐾(𝑝)
Contrast Ratio of environs; 𝑆𝑖 (𝑝) the dependence of the measurement channel
gain.
     These relations (1-4) makes it possible to solve the inverse problem - selection
of properties of the local geodynamic object by adjusting the parameters of
sensing sources, which is a key aspect of the organization of geodynamic control
[7].
     Monitoring of the key geological objects - places with an active geodynamics
and the most sensitive to endogenous and exogenous factors, and further predict-
ing of geodynamics on the entire territory requires a change in the structure of
the geodynamic system of forecasting described in [7]. The main changes relate
to the prediction block, its structure shown in Figure 2.


                       Data of electric survey               Geological map    Map of engineering
                         and monitoring                                            structures
                            equipment




                              Geoelectric                     Geological           The ground
                                section                        section            loading map
     Karst map



    Data from key           Prediction function of               Soil               The ground
  geodynamic object        geodynamics assessment            compressibility       tension map
                                                                 map



     Failures map         Hydrological           Metrological data
                             map


                      Fig. 2. Structural blocks of the prediction unit


    Obviously, the key geodynamic objects for example, the suffusion processes ,
be chosen from the condition of the probability of the process itself: the presence
of soluble species, and the solvent approach, removal of soluble species. Identify
key geodynamic objects possible in rose histogram (Figure 2), which characterize
the direction of the formation and propagation of failures, faults, the dominant

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             Mathematical and Information Technologies, MIT-2016 β€” Information technologies

structure of the network of cracks, etc. The diagram shows not only the direction
of education failures, but also their concentration on the area.

                                             90




                            180                            0




                                            270



                                  Fig. 3. Rose histogram


    Expression (4) defines the principle of superposition of the probing signals
by which to judge the possibility of providing separate characteristics of the
environment (the object) by controlling the parameters of the source. This is one
of the most important aspects of the organization of monitoring of geodynamic
objects [10].
    Based on the provisions described in this article, it is proposed to carry
out the processing of heterogeneous data through specialized algorithms. Block
diagram of the Information Technology Services of Geodynamic control system
reflects the principle of joint processing of hydro-geological data (Figure 4).
    The physical layer describes the physical methods of obtaining information
that may be required to detect errors πœ€π‘– and measurement errors in data analysis.
On the same level a scheme of placing primary transducers (sensors, measuring
tools and devices) are described. The main objective of this level is acquisition
(measurement) of raw data Di . This level is the hardware and hardware-software
(in the case of digital sensors). Such devices as sensing devices, sensors, blocks of
a positioning in space that define the coordinates Xi , Yi , Zi measuring devices
function in this level.
    The link layer is represented by all kinds of measuring complexes, systems
and instrumentation, and is a hardware-software. A modules and services related
to prior and primary data processing, presentation and storage of primary Di
and processed Diβ€² data, supporting information: methods of measurement and
processing, a model of locative level, required Xiβ€² , Yiβ€² , Ziβ€² and fixed Xi , Yi , Zi
positions of the primary converters in space are working in this level.
    The link layer describes the working of the geographic information-analytical
systems regulation and control (GIASC) of natural-technical systems (NTS) at
the locative level, so there are also function modules and forecasting services,
and the development of administrative decisions at the locative level. A con-
trol solutions are formed on the basis of received predictive estimates of f and
functioning models of natural, technical, natural-technical and social systems.

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Mathematical and Information Technologies, MIT-2016 β€” Information technologies

A errors e forecasting and regulation at the NTS of the locative level are trans-
ferred network layer and serve as the basis for the correction components of
operating at the link layer.


     Physical layer                          Channel level                                                   Network lavel
                                                                                                                Algorithms for                    Algorithms
                               X’i,Y’i,Z’i                                     Management                         processing
        The layout of                        Measurement techniques                                                                             for distributed
                                                                              decisions at the                heterogeneous data
        transducers                                                              local level                                                      correction
                             Heterogeneous

       Primary converters
                             data
                                                                                Predictive                                Algorithms and              Forecasting
                             Di, Ξ΅i               The modules of the                                C’t         Key                                    algorithms
                                                                                 functions                                  methods of
                                                correction and detection
                                                                             at the local level                objects       detecting
                                                        of errors
                                                                                                                         hidden processes              Forecast
                                                                                       D’i, Ρ’i                                                       evaluation
                               Xi, Yi, Zi     Algorithms and methods
           Positioning                        of detection of mistakes          Algorithms of                 A model for the
                                                                                                  D’i, Ρ’i
                                             and errors at the local level   primary processing                  local and       D, Ξ΅, Crd, = {D’i, Ρ’i, Di, Ξ΅i, Xi, Yi, Zi}
                                                                                                               regional levels




Fig. 4. Block diagram of information and technical support geodynamic monitoring
system. πœ€π‘– the errors; πœ€β€²π‘– the compensation factor; 𝐷𝑖′ the raw data; 𝐷𝑖 the processed
data; 𝑋𝑖 , π‘Œπ‘– , 𝑍𝑖 the recorded position in space of the primary converters; 𝑋𝑖′ , π‘Œπ‘–β€² , 𝑍𝑖′
the desired position in space of the primary converters; 𝐢𝑑′ the synchronization signals
and control.


    One of the key factors determining the performance indicators of hemody-
namic assessment at the geoelectric monitoring are used the earth models and
models of geodynamic objects themselves. For a qualitative prediction of suffu-
sion processes necessary to carry out an assessment of the expected location of
displays and take into account their size, it is also necessary to take account of
spatial-temporal geodynamic parameters. Therefore, the forecast is built on the
basis of geomechanical models of different orders that can take into account the
mechanism of interaction with the technosphere suffusion processes and geolog-
ical conditions of its development.
    For reasons of forecasting by the geoelectric monitoring necessary step is
to establish the conformity of spatial functions in equation (4) for the transfer
function of the geoelectric section geomechanical conditions of formation of local
failures as described in [11,12].
    This ratio can be set by considering the problem of the distribution of the
geoelectric field of a point source field in the presence of a spherical in homo-
geneity, in which you can take as suffusion processes. The solution described
in [13, 14, 15] to determine the characteristics of the occurrence of the ball on
the observed distortions introduced them to the spatial distribution of potential
geoelectric field.
    The transfer function of the geoelectric section, which defines the displace-
ment of equipotent lines i-source in space, taking into account the double anoma-
lous component of the field is of the form:

                                                                                                                  π‘Ž3 π‘Ÿπ‘–π‘—
                            π›₯𝐻𝑖𝑗 (𝑝, π‘Ž, β„Ž) = 𝐾(𝑝)πœ“π‘–π‘— (π‘Ž, β„Ž) = 2𝐾(𝑝)                                            2 + β„Ž2 )3/2
                                                                                                                           ,                                               (5)
                                                                                                             (π‘Ÿπ‘–π‘—

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where β„Ž = 𝑧 + π‘Ž the depth of the sphere below the surface, π‘Ž the radius of the
sphere, π‘Ÿπ‘–π‘— the distance between the electrodes 𝑖 and 𝑗.
   Depth assessment of the changes occurrence spherical near-surface hetero-
geneity and its size can be made on the basis of (5), using it to forecast future
geodynamic suffusion processes as an assessment:
                                          βˆšοΈƒ √
                                          3 3
                                                 Λ† 2
                                               3π›₯π»β„Ž
                                     𝑅𝑧 =            ,                                    (6)
                                              2𝐾(𝑝)

where π›₯𝐻   Λ† the maximum estimated offset value of the equipotent line. The re-
sults of the regression of processing time series are geodynamic background infor-
mation for predictive modeling underlying the decision of geodynamic processes
forecasting problem [16, 17].
    Geoelectric model of geodynamics suffusion processes can be represented by
a discrete linear system [11] defined by the difference equation:
                                      𝑛 βˆ‘οΈ
                                     βˆ‘οΈ  π‘š
                          π‘Œπ‘˜ [𝑖] +             π‘Žπ‘–π‘— π‘Œπ‘˜ [𝑖 βˆ’ 𝑗] = π‘†π‘˜ [𝑖],                   (7)
                                     𝑖=1 𝑗=1

where π‘Œπ‘˜ [𝑖] the counts recorded geodynamic process on π‘˜-th registration point;
π‘Žπ‘–π‘— the model coefficients; π‘†π‘˜ [𝑖] samples generated by a random process with
geodynamic parameters 𝑀 {π‘†π‘˜ [𝑖]} = 0, 𝑀 {π‘†π‘˜ [𝑖]π‘†π‘˜ [𝑗]} = πœŽπ‘˜2 𝛿𝑖𝑗 (𝛿𝑖𝑗 the weights
of the model).
    System regression of the original equations is formed on the basis of the
expression (7):

                              π‘Œ 𝑇 [𝑖] = πΉπ‘Ž [𝑖] + π‘Žπ‘‡ [𝑖] + 𝑠𝑇 [𝑖],                         (8)
where π‘Œ 𝑇 [𝑖] = [π‘Œ [π‘š + 1], ..., π‘Œ [𝑙]𝑇 ;
             ⎑                                                            ⎀
                βˆ’π‘Œ [π‘š] βˆ’π‘Œ [π‘š βˆ’ 1] Β· Β· Β·                    βˆ’π‘Œ [1]
             ⎒                                                            βŽ₯
             ⎒ βˆ’π‘Œ [π‘š + 1] βˆ’π‘Œ [π‘š] Β· Β· Β·                     βˆ’π‘Œ [2]         βŽ₯
    πΉπ‘Ž [𝑖] = ⎒
             ⎒     ..       ..    ..                         ..           βŽ₯;
                                                                          βŽ₯
             ⎣      .        .        .                       .           ⎦
                 βˆ’π‘Œ [𝑙 βˆ’ 1] βˆ’π‘Œ [𝑙 βˆ’ 2] Β· Β· Β· βˆ’π‘Œ [𝑙 βˆ’ π‘š]
    π‘Žπ‘‡ [𝑖] = [π‘Ž[1], ..., π‘Ž[π‘š]]𝑇 ; 𝑠𝑇 [𝑖] = [𝑠[π‘š + 1], ..., 𝑠[π‘š + 𝑙]]𝑇 ; 𝑙 the depth of predic-
tive estimates.
    Application in the analysis of suffusion processes predictive estimate of a
regression model (8) allows you to make predictions that take into account not
only the impact of cyclical planetary factors, but also man-made impacts. Figure
5 shows the preliminary interpretation of geological and geoelectric section in
the area of geodynamic control.
    On the basis of regime observations were interpreted registered signals geo-
dynamic variations. Figure 6 shows the variations registered geodynamic gain
bipolar equipotential geoelectric installation during the annual observations from
May 2013 to April 2014.

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                                                                                 Fig. 5. The preliminary interpretation of geological and geoelectric section in the area of geodynamic control




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Fig. 6. Time series of geodynamic variations of the transmission coefficient of a two-
pole equipotential geoelectric installation


4    Conclusions
The data are in good agreement with the hydrological observations of the water
level in the river Oka and calculated as the ratio of mineralized areas at the top
and bottom of the river.
    Based on these algorithms in this article was obtained prognosis estimation
of dip by models karst suffusion processes. As a result, it was found that the use
of these algorithms, the formation of forward-looking assessments in geoelectric
monitoring promotes the release of a high degree of reliability and the conditions
of dip karsting the development of suffusion processes. Increasing the depth of
predictive assessments and improving the efficiency of the proposed method is
achieved by increasing the number of sensing points of the geoelectric field and
the number of sounding sources.

Acknowledgments. This work was supported by grants of the President of
the Russian Federation    Β›
                       MK-7406.2015.8.


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