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      <title-group>
        <article-title>Rational Interaction and the Pragmatics of the Slippery Slope and 'Guilt by Association'</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Gerhard Schaden</string-name>
          <email>gerhard.schaden@univ-lille3.fr</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Université Lille SHS CNRS UMR 8163 STL 59000 Lille Cedex</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>This paper proposes a pragmatic analysis of two so-called fallacies in argumentation, namely the 'Slippery Slope' and 'Guilt by Association'. I will examine their rational use, and argue that they exemplify at least partially non-cooperative, but still inference-based conversational moves.</p>
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      <title>-</title>
      <p>Pragmatic theories of the (neo|post)Gricean type
typically assume that conversation and inferences
can be modeled by the (rational) interaction of a
speaker and a hearer, and also, that pragmatic
inferences are based somehow on a cooperative
interaction between speaker and hearer.</p>
      <p>
        Both of these assumption have been challenged.
So-called ‘argumentative’ theories of pragmatics
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3 ref9">(Ducrot, 1980; Merin, 1999)</xref>
        provide a different
way of rationalizing pragmatic inferences, based
on the rational pursuit of opposing goals. And other
fields of the study of argumentation use a
considerably richer notion of ‘discourse participants’ than
the standard speaker vs. hearer dichotomy
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10 ref11 ref6">(Groarke
and Tindale, 2004; Tindale, 2007; Tindale, 2015)</xref>
        :
there is an ARGUER, advancing some argument,
which goes against the OPPONENT, and is directed
to convince an AUDIENCE.1;2 In this paper, I will
show that such a richer representation is required,
and that without it, deciding issues like the question
of the degree of cooperation involved in a verbal
exchange cannot be properly addressed.
      </p>
      <p>1And while it is not often developed, the audience in itself
can overlap to various degrees with the DECIDERS.</p>
      <p>2Levinson (1988) or Clark (1996) have proposed to
enrich the speaker-hearer dichotomy in other ways. Their move
is motivated by issues such as turn-taking and participation.
I — like the literature on argumentation — focus however
on strategic interaction. As far as I see, these proposals are
perfectly orthogonal.</p>
      <p>Gricean pragmatics operates within the
assumption that speaker and hearer are cooperative, as
embodied by the cooperative principle. While rarely
stated explicitly (but see Fox (2014) on this issue),
one implication one can draw from this idea is that
in non-cooperative contexts, there should not be
any pragmatic inference. The resulting
‘Kumbaya’pragmatics may not correspond to Grice’s
intentions, but it makes certain empirical predictions.
These predictions, however, rely on the fact that
the participants the speaker is cooperative with are
correctly identified.</p>
      <p>
        Argumentative communication provides a
testing ground for the idea that pragmatic inferences
necessarily necessitate cooperative interaction, or
necessarily involve a common ground
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">(see Clark,
1996)</xref>
        . In order for meaningful argumentation to be
possible, the issue argued about cannot be part of
the common ground (this would be ‘preaching to
the choir’). In many instances, argumentation will
include opposed preferences of the participants. In
extreme cases, like debates between candidates for
a presidential election, argumentation boils down
to a zero-sum game
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">(as assumed explicitly for all
kinds of linguistic interaction by Merin, 1999)</xref>
        :
whatever benefits one of the candidates will hurt the
other to the same extent. Yet, the audience of the
arguers is not their respective opponent, but rather
the electorate (or the part of it that is watching the
debate), and the arguer clearly would want to be
cooperative with respect to (at least parts of) that
audience. If we could show that argumentation in
such contexts is dependent on pragmatic inference,
and does not involve a fully cooperative setup even
with the audience, this would be a strong argument
against the Kumbaya-vision of pragmatics.
      </p>
      <p>Now, the idea that argumentative
communication is based on inference is not exactly new; it
can be traced back at least to Aristotle. He noted
that ‘normal’ argumentation does not contain
comprehensive and logically valid demonstrations, but
rather abbreviated versions of it. Aristotle points
out — in an explanation that has a Gricean ring
to it — that generally, speakers in argumentation
do not use full syllogisms, but rather the shorter
enthymemes:3</p>
      <p>The Enthymeme must consist of few propositions, fewer
often than those which make up the normal syllogism.
For if any of these propositions is a familiar fact, there
is no need even to mention it; the hearer adds it himself.
[. . . ] we must not carry its reasoning too far back, or
the length of our argument will cause obscurity: nor must
we put in all the steps that lead to our conclusion, or we
shall waste words in saying what is manifest. 4
Avoid obscurity and be brief can be included in a
cooperative setup (as in Grice’s maxims of
manner), or they can be seen as self-interested, rational
ways of dealing with the (limited) attention span of
the audience. But crucially, these maneuvers entail
making use of inference by the audience. While
Aristotle seems to consider here essentially
inferences from the common ground, this is not always
the case. Consider “Make America great again.
Vote Trump.” Assuming this to be an instance of
argumentative communication, this relies (at least)
on the unstated proposition “Donald Trump can
make America great again”. This proposition is
arguably not part of the common ground of American
voters.</p>
      <p>My intention here is to follow up on remarks by
Volokh (2003), namely that mechanisms that are
generally considered by logicians to be fallacies
(for instance, ad hominem arguments) are better
conceived of as heuristics for real-time
decisionmaking by rationnally ignorant agents.5</p>
      <p>
        I will also assume that there are principles of
rational argumentation, such as giving the strongest
argument at the arguer’s disposal
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">(see, e.g.
Anscombre &amp; Ducrot, 1983)</xref>
        , and that the audience of an
argument interprets not only what has been said, but
also what could have been said. I will try to show
that these principles lead to inferences that can be
explained by the interaction of rational agents, and
therefore, that they remain in the realm of
pragmatics.
      </p>
      <p>More precisely, I will show with the examples of
the Slippery Slope and ‘Guilt by Association’ that
these are contexts where the notions of audience
3A enthymeme is often considered to be a truncated
syllogism — that is, a syllogism where one premise is lacking.</p>
      <p>4Aristotle, Rhetoric, 1357a 16, 1395b 25, as cited in
Hamblin (1970, 71); my emphasis.</p>
      <p>5Rational ignorance means that we often have to make
decisions while ignoring their precise outcome.
and opponent need to be kept apart, but where it
is doubtful that we face a fully cooperative setting
with either of these.
2</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>The Verbal Mechanisms of the</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Slippery Slope</title>
      <p>The argument of the slippery slope involves
advancing an argument against some proposition A based
not on the intrinsic merits or deficiences of A, but
rather on the assumption that once A is in place,
there would be no way of meaningfully opposing B,
which is assumed by the arguer to be undesirable.
Arguments of this kind often appear in discussions
concerning gay marriage (A), which is opposed not
as such, but which is argued to lead to a state where
one could not oppose further develo legalization of
adoption by gay couples, or even the legalization
of polygamy, incest, bestiality, etc. This argument
is fallacious (that is, in need of additional
inference), since there is no logical, entailment-based
link between, e.g., polygamy and gay marriage.6</p>
      <p>Volokh (2003) provides a very complete study
of the mechanism of the slippery slope, and makes
clear that at least in some cases, the risk of
going down a slippery slope is real. While his paper
contains many observations that are relevant to
linguists, his main problem — as a legal scholar — is
to identify how the slippery slope works in the real
world, which are the mechanisms of slippage, and
how it can be avoided. His article, however, does
not address directly the issue as to when the
argument of the slippery slope is rational or appropriate,
which is the focus of the present paper.</p>
      <p>Volokh identifies several mechanisms that can
cause slippery slopes, of which several entail mixed
motives (what Volokh calls “multi-peaked”
preferences). An example Volokh gives is the proposal to
install video surveillance in a town, where there
are in principle three alternatives: i) oppose it,
and remain in current state (note this 0); ii) vote
for a version where cameras are not connected to
facial-recognition software and tapes are rapidly
destroyed (A); or iii) vote for a version where
cameras are connected to facial-recognition software
and tapes are kept for a long time (B). In a context
where voters are not only motivated by concerns
6I take it that even the staunchest opponent of gay marriage
would have to concede that there might be, in principle, a
society which bans polygamy, but nevertheless allows gay
marriage. I furthermore take it that the disagreement hinges
on the question whether such a state of affairs is attainable and
maintainable for the real world, given the current state.
about privacy vs. security, but also by the
financial cost of the system, some people will oppose
video surveillance for cost-reasons, even if they
are in principle favorable. Therefore, there may be
no way of directly going to B from 0. However, if
A is enacted, the cost motive for opposing B will
be removed (since tapes and software are much
less costly than the installation of the cameras in
the first place), and in a subsequent vote, B could
be adopted. Therefore, people with a preference
profile of A &gt; 0 &gt; B should rationnally oppose the
move to A, even though it is their preferred
option, because they would end up with B, which they
strongly oppose.</p>
      <p>Let us come back to the issue of cooperativity.
Volokh (2003, 1034f.) makes the following
observation with respect to slippery slopes.</p>
      <p>Slippery slopes may occur even when a principled
distinction can be drawn between decisions A and B. The
question shouldn’t be “Can we draw the line between A
and B?”, but rather “Is it likely that other citizens, judges,
and legislators will draw the line there?” [. . . ] Societies
are composed of people who have different views, so
one person or group of people may want to oppose A for
fear of what others will do if A is accepted. And these
others need not constitute a majority of society: slippery
slopes can happen even if A will lead only a significant
minority of voters to support B, if that minority is the
swing vote.</p>
      <p>According to Volokh, thus, a slippery slope will
not occur if one can trust the deciders (the other
citizens, judges, and legislators). Therefore, an
argument of the slippery slope is a sign of lack of
trust, and not of principled and uncompromising
cooperation. In order to investigate when it is
rational to use an argument of the slippery slope, I will
try to make explicit the decision process in terms
of conditional probabilities, along what has been
done by Merin (1999).</p>
      <p>First of all, the argument of the slippery slope
is an indirect argument. Going down this route
should only be done if the direct approach — that is,
directly opposing A — does not appear to be viable.
This in itself is a sign of a weak position, and it is
rational only if — given the arguer’s information
state, there is a sufficient majority of deciders in
favor of A, such that the change towards A can be
enacted. Furthermore, in order for the argument
of the slippery slope to make sense, there are two
further requirements: first, it must be the case that
the probability of implementing B given A is higher
then the probability of implementing B. This can
be written as follows: P(Bji[A])7 &gt; P(Bji). This is
probably too weak a requirement, since it must be
also the case that the the deciders are in majority
opposed to B.</p>
      <p>Second, the slippage towards B will only work
as an argument if B is considered as sufficiently
repulsive to motivate a rejection of A even if if A
is the preferred option. Let us note the expected
utility of some action or state S EU (S). One way of
thinking about this is the following: The expected
utility for state A, given the probability of slippage
from A to B P(BjA), and the expected utility of B,
will be the expected utility of A plus the probability
of slippage multiplied by the expected utility of B.
(1)</p>
      <p>EU (A) + P(BjA)</p>
      <p>EU (B)
If (1) is negative, a rational agent should reject a
move to A. When will this be the case? The lower
the (positive) expected utility of A, and the higher
the risk of slippage and the (negative) expected
utility of B, the stronger the trend to rejection.</p>
      <p>Therefore, the slippery slope will be most
appropriate if A is too popular to be attacked directly, if
B is as repulsive as possible, and if, at the same
time the risk of slippage from A to B is considered
to be high among the audience. It seems obvious
that in most circumstances, these conditions will
not be met — especially if the passage from A to B
is under full control of the audience, and is not
impinged on by issues of applicability (possibly under
the control of third parties — like the justice or the
police). Hence, if the audience are the deciders, the
mere suggestion of the possibility of a slippage can
be interpreted as a vote of non-confidence towards
(at least) a majority of the deciders. Therefore, the
argument of the slippery slope can be detrimental
to the arguer and his thesis.</p>
      <p>Notice, though, that the argument of the slippery
slope can only work if there is a justifiable lack of
trust with respect to the deciders, and that it is
therefore not an argument that is built on unconditional
cooperation.
3</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Guilt By Association</title>
      <p>Guilt by association is an argumentative move
where the opponent’s position is rejected based
on the assertion that this position was also held
by other, less-than-recommendable people (noted
henceforth as bogeyman). For instance, reductio ad
Hitlerum is an instance of guilt by association, but
it englobes also red-baiting on the other end of the
7I note as i[A] the information state i augmented with A —
which may cause changes other than merely adding A.
political spectrum. Once again, this move is
classified as a fallacy, since the fact (or still less, the
assertion) that, say, Hitler held some view (against
smoking, or for vegetarianism, for instance) cannot
generally be taken as a reason for dismissing this
view without additional arguments (or contextual
inference, for that matter). More precisely, guilt by
association depends on a relevance-implicature.</p>
      <p>Now, when is such an argumentative move
rational? Notice that guilt by association may have
two different aims: first, if the opponent is (part of)
the audience, the opponent is to be shamed into
accepting the arguer’s view. Second, if the opponent
is not part of the audience, it aims to exclude the
opponent’s arguments from consideration by the
audience.</p>
      <p>Let us start by considering the first strategy. The
wished-for reaction in the opponent would be the
following: The arguer asserts that only bogeyman
would hold opinion f .8I asserted that position, but
I do not wish to be identified as bogeyman;
therefore, I (possibly publicly) abandon my position, and
adopt the position of my opponent.</p>
      <p>In the second scenario, where the opponent is
not a member of the audience, the basic process is
like above — but since members of the audience
have not brought forward any claim, they will not
have to publicly retract.</p>
      <p>Generally, the move is based on social
exclusion, and is intended to remove the opponent from
the people that are entitled to present
counterarguments with respect to some theme to the audience.
Therefore, the audience should assume that the
proportion of people holding the opinion is low
(whether this is true or not is another question) —
since otherwise, it will not provide a good means
of social stigmatization. If the stigmatized opinion
is widespread, and even if the bogeyman as such is
strongly rejected, guilt by association may backfire,
and provoke rejection towards the arguer.</p>
      <p>The latter thought process can be explicited as
follows: I hold opinion f , and I know that I am
not bogeyman. Furthermore, I know that a
considerable part of the audience hold opinion f , and
8This may appear as a unnecessary strengthening of an
argument of guilt by association, which is likely to go rather
like “bogeyman thought|said that, too”. However, even the
scariest bogeyman will have countless opinions that are
perfectly mainstream in the considered community, such as “It
is right to drive on the right hand side”, etc. Therefore, for
the argument even to be relevant, it has to be the case that that
particular kind of opinion must have some link to what makes
that bogeyman a bogeyman.
are no bogeymen. Therefore, the argument of the
arguer does not hold. The arguer could have
presented another type of argument, but he chose this
one. Therefore, this must be what he thinks to be
his strongest argument at that point. Since it is not
correct, the case must be dismissed.</p>
      <p>Guilt by association operates with a strongly
negative social emotion (which is the prototypical
noncooperative move), and pits that against whatever
evidence the opponent has for his position. If the
opponent thinks that that evidence holds up well, or
feels strongly against being publicly shamed, guilt
by association will fail.</p>
      <p>Finally, there is an intrinsic problem with guilt
by association arguments: the more evil bogeyman
in the opinion of the audience,9 the stronger the
argument. And as the bogeyman is evil, this implies
that the opponent’s argument should not even be
acknowledged. However, if the audience identifies
this as the intention behind the use of the guilt by
association argument — and if (at least a
considerable part of) the audience holds that opinion — it
will be received as a refusal to discuss that
particular issue, and communication may break down. In
any case, guilt by association is a highly polarizing
type of argument, whose aim is rather to mobilize
the own camp within the audience than to bring
around people holding the opponent’s view. So, if
the audience and the opponent are identical (or if
the opponent is a critical part of the audience), guilt
by association should in most cases be avoided.
4</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Conclusion</title>
      <p>I have tried to show that in argumentative discourse,
the familiar speaker-hearer dichotomy is too
simple to meaningfully describe the rational interaction
of discourse participants. I also tried to show that
there are inference-based discursive moves which
are clearly non-cooperative, not only with respect
to the opponent, but also with respect to parts of
the audience. In case of an argument of the slippery
slope, the basic outline of the argument is based
on the idea that the deciders cannot be sufficiently
trusted not to go down the slippery slope. In case
of guilt by association, I have argued that the
argument is based on (the threat of) social ostracism,
and therefore equally non-cooperative.</p>
      <p>9In an assembly of neonazis, the reductio ad Hitlerum
would obviously not qualify as an argument of guilt by
association, but rather as an argument by authority.
I would like to thank the three anonymous
reviewers for their comments and suggestions on a
previous version of this paper. All remaining errors are
mine alone.</p>
    </sec>
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