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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Combining Inductive Generalization and Factual Abduction</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Mathieu Beirlaen</string-name>
          <email>mathieubeirlaen@gmail.com</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Ruhr University Bochum Heinrich Heine University Dusseldorf</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>The aim of this paper is to outline a rst-order model for ampliative reasoning that fruitfully combines the inference patterns of inductive generalization and factual abduction. The pattern of inductive generalization is the archetype pattern of inductive inference by which we arrive at a universally quanti ed statement (All P s are Q) given one or more instances (Some P s are Q). In factual abduction, we reason from a universally quanti ed statement (All P s are Q) and an instance of its consequent (object a is Q) to an instance of its antecedent (object a is P ). It is shown how these patterns can be combined in such a way that inductively inferred generalizations can be used as premises in abductive inferences, and that conclusions of abductive inferences in turn can be used to inductively infer new generalizations. This process is formally explicated within the adaptive logics framework in terms of a preferential model semantics.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>induction</kwd>
        <kwd>abduction</kwd>
        <kwd>non-monotonic logic</kwd>
        <kwd>ampliative reasoning</kwd>
        <kwd>adaptive logics</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>-</title>
      <p>This is an exploratory investigation into combinations of ampliative reasoning
patterns. Ampliative reasoning occurs whenever we draw inferences the
conclusions of which cannot be deduced from the available premises by means of one's
preferred standard of deduction. Examples of ampliative reasoning patterns
include inductive generalization, abduction or inference to the best explanation,
causal discovery, and reasoning by analogy. The study of these patterns is of
interest to philosophers investigating the foundations of defeasible reasoning, to
logicians investigating the formalization of defeasible reasoning, to computer
scientists investigating the automation of defeasible reasoning, and to psychologists
investigating defeasible reasoning in the wild.</p>
      <p>The focus of this paper is on the formalization of two speci c patterns of
ampliative reasoning and their combination. The rst is that of inductive
generalization, the archetype pattern of inductive inference by which we reason to
a universally quanti ed statement (\All P s are Q") given one or more instances
of it. The second pattern is that of factual abduction, by which we reason from
a universally quanti ed statement (\All P s are Q") and an instance of its
consequent (\a is Q") to an instance of its antecedent (\a is P "). The inference
patterns studied here are sub-patterns of the larger classes of inductive
inferences and abductive inferences. For a comprehensive taxonomy of patterns of
inductive inference, see [17]. For a comprehensive taxonomy of patterns of
abductive inference, see [19]. The pattern of factual abduction is also known as
simple abduction [23] or plain abduction [1].</p>
      <p>The technical implementation and combination of inductive generalization
and factual abduction is realized within the adaptive logics framework for
modelling patterns of defeasible reasoning. There are two main reasons for choosing
this framework. The rst is that both inductive generalization and factual
abduction are well-studied within this framework { see [8, 6, 7, 9, 12, 14, 16]. The
second is that di erent means are available for combining adaptive logics { see
[24, 25, 21].</p>
      <p>Section 3 provides a short introduction to the adaptive logics framework,
tailored to the aim of this paper. In Section 4 the logic for inductive generalization
LIr from [4, 6, 8] is presented and illustrated. In Section 5 the logic for factual
abduction FAr is introduced. The latter system is a close cousin of an adaptive
logic for factual abduction de ned within the framework of [7] (see footnote 9
below). The logics presented in Sections 4 and 5 are then sequentially combined
(Section 6), resulting in the system SIAr.</p>
      <p>The modest contribution of this paper is that it provides a full formal
explication of how inductive generalization and factual abduction can be combined
within a single system, and that this combination is fruitful in the following sense:
inductively obtained conclusions can be used as premises in abductive inferences,
and vice versa. From this, no conclusions should be drawn yet regarding the
normative or descriptive adequacy of this system: more work remains to be done.
For instance, an adequate formalization of these inference patterns and their
combination requires a detailed study of their alternative logical
characterizations, and a richer formal language. Some of these alternatives and enrichments
are discussed in Section 7, alongside a number of design choices which are best
motivated after de ning SIAr.
2</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>Notational Conventions</title>
      <p>Let L be a rst-order language built using a set P of unary predicates, a set C
of individual constants, a set V of individual variables, and the logical symbols
&gt;; ?; :; _; ^; ; ; 9; 8. In what follows, CL refers to rst-order classical logic
without identity, and restricted to L (no n-ary predicates for n &gt; 1, no function
symbols).</p>
      <p>Upper case letters P; Q; R, etc., lower case letters a; b; c, etc., respectively
lower case letters x; y; z, denote members of P; C, respectively V . For all 2
C [ V, L = f ; : j 2 Pg, and F is the set of truth-functions of formulas
in L . For instance, P a 2 La and :P x _ (Qx Rx) 2 F x. Where 2 C [ V,
A( ); B( ), etc. denote members of F , unless further speci ed.</p>
      <p>Where M is a CL-model, A 2 L and L, M A means that M veri es
A; M is a model of i M A for all A 2 . Relative to a logic L, ML( )
denotes the set of L-models of , and L A means that A is veri ed by all
M 2 ML( ). CnL( ) is the set of L-consequences of .
3</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Adaptive logics</title>
      <p>Adaptive logics are tools for explicating defeasible reasoning patterns. They were
originally developed by Batens, who also de ned a standard format for adaptive
logics [3, 5, 7]. Systems de ned within this format are equipped with a dynamic
proof theory and a selection semantics in the vein of Shoham's preferred
models [20], KLM's preferential models [13], or Makinson's default valuations [15,
Ch. 3].1 For conciseness of presentation, the adaptive logics presented here are
de ned only from a semantic point of view.</p>
      <p>Adaptive logics strengthen a core logic called the lower limit logic. The
adaptive semantics is a mechanism for selecting a preferred subset among the models
of the lower limit logic relative to a premise set. The selected set contains models
that are minimal with respect to a set of abnormalities : a set of formulas
characterized by some logical form. The exact way in which an adaptive logic minimizes
abnormalities veri ed by its lower limit models varies with the adaptive strategy
used. Depending on the strategy used in the minimization process, di erent sets
of lower limit models may be selected relative to a premise set, giving rise to
possibly di erent sets of logical consequences. An adaptive logic de ned within
the standard format is fully characterized in terms of three elements: a lower
limit logic, a set of abnormalities, and an adaptive strategy.</p>
      <p>Below two adaptive logics will be presented: the logic for inductive
generalization LIr, and the logic of factual abduction FAr. These logics have CL as
their lower limit logic. They di er with respect to their respective sets of
abnormalities. The superscript r is the rst letter of the adaptive strategy used by
these logics: the reliability strategy.</p>
      <p>Adaptive logics provide a exible framework for studying di erent types of
defeasible reasoning patterns and their combinations. This makes them very
suitable for the present exploration of combining inductive generalization and
factual abduction. The format for combination used here is that of sequential
superposition [21, Ch. 3], [22].</p>
      <p>
        Given a premise set L, the logics LIr and FAr are sequentially combined
in the following way:
: : : CnFAr (CnLIr (CnFAr (CnLIr ( )))) : : :
(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        )
1For the sake of historical accuracy: the semantics for adaptive logics { rst
presented in [2] for the minimal abnormality strategy (cfr. infra) { was developed
independently of the accounts of Shoham, KLM, and Makinson.
      </p>
      <p>In a rst step, LIr is applied to check which generalizations can be inferred
from the premise set . Next, FAr is applied to infer new predictions via
factual abduction. These new predictions can in turn be used to check for new
generalizations by means of LIr, and so on.
4</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Inductive Generalization</title>
      <p>The adaptive logic LIr strengthens its lower limit logic, CL, by interpreting the
world `as uniformly as possible'. It does so by taking as its set of abnormalities
a set of falsi ed universally quanti ed statements, so that its least abnormal
models are those in which these universally quanti ed statements hold true. The
set i of LIr-abnormalities is de ned as follows:2
i = f:8 (A1( ) _ : : : _ An( )) j
2 V; A1( ); : : : ; An( ) 2 L g
In the remainder the term generalization refers to formulas of the form 8 (A1( )_
: : : _ An( )), so that i is the set of negated generalizations.</p>
      <p>To complete the characterization of LIr, a mechanism is needed for selecting
a `preferred' subset of the CL-models of a given premise set relative to the set
i. This mechanism is provided by the reliability strategy, which selects a set
Mir( ) of i-reliable models of L. The characterization of this set requires
some more terminology. `Dab' is an acronym for `disjunction of abnormalities'.
Where i, Dabi( ) = W .3 Dabi( ) is a Dabi-consequence of i</p>
      <p>
        CL Dabi( ), and Dabi( ) is a minimal Dabi-consequence of i Dabi( )
is a Dabi-consequence of and there is no 0 such that Dabi( 0) is a
Dabi-consequence of . Where Dabi(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ); Dabi(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ); : : : are the minimal
Dabiconsequences of , Ui( ) = 1 [ 2 [ : : : is the set of i-unreliable formulas of
. Where Abi(M ) = fA 2 i j M Ag:
      </p>
      <p>r
Mi ( ) = fM 2 MCL( ) j Abi(M )</p>
      <p>Ui( )g</p>
      <sec id="sec-4-1">
        <title>De nition 1.</title>
        <p>LIr A i</p>
        <p>M</p>
        <p>r</p>
        <p>A for all M 2 Mi ( ).</p>
        <p>As an illustration of the workings of LIr, consider the premise set 1 = fP a ^
Qa ^ :Ra ^ :Sa; Qb ^ Rb; P b :Sb; :P c ^ :Qc ^ :Rc ^ Sc; :P d ^ Qd ^ :Rd ^
Sd; :P e ^ :Qe ^ :Re ^ :Se; P f ^ Qf ^ :Rf ^ Sf; P g ^ Qg ^ Rg; :P h ^ :Qh ^
Rh; :P i ^ Qi ^ Ri; :P j ^ Qj ^ :Rj ^ :Sjg.</p>
        <p>For future reference, it is convenient to list all i-abnormalities that can be
formed using only the four predicates occurring in 1 (see Table 1).</p>
        <p>The set of Dabi-consequences of 1 contains, amongst others, all
disjunctions between formulas listed in Table 1 that are CL-derivable from 1,
including `single-disjunct' disjunctions. The minimal Dabi-consequences of 1 are all
minimal such disjunctions. They include</p>
        <p>2In [26, Sec. 4.2.2] it is shown that the same logic is obtained if i is de ned as the
set of formulas of the form :8 A( ), where 2 V and A( ) 2 F .</p>
        <p>3If is a singleton fAg, Dabi( ) = A.
1. :8x(P x) 28. :8x(:Qx _ :Sx) 55. :8x(:P x _ :Rx _ Sx)
2. :8x(:P x) 29. :8x(Rx _ Sx) 56. :8x(:P x _ :Rx _ :Sx)
3. :8x(Qx) 30. :8x(Rx _ :Sx) 57. :8x(Qx _ Rx _ Sx)
4. :8x(:Qx) 31. :8x(:Rx _ Sx) 58. :8x(Qx _ Rx _ :Sx)
5. :8x(Rx) 32. :8x(:Rx _ :Sx) 59. :8x(Qx _ :Rx _ Sx)
6. :8x(:Rx) 33. :8x(P x _ Qx _ Rx) 60. :8x(Qx _ :Rx _ :Sx)
7. :8x(Sx) 34. :8x(P x _ Qx _ :Rx) 61. :8x(:Qx _ Rx _ Sx)
8. :8x(:Sx) 35. :8x(P x _ :Qx _ Rx) 62. :8x(:Qx _ Rx _ :Sx)
9. :8x(P x _ Qx) 36. :8x(P x _ :Qx _ :Rx) 63. :8x(:Qx _ :Rx _ Sx)
10. :8x(P x _ :Qx) 37. :8x(:P x _ Qx _ Rx) 64. :8x(:Qx _ :Rx _ :Sx)
11. :8x(:P x _ Qx) 38. :8x(:P x _ Qx _ :Rx) 65. :8x(P x _ Qx _ Rx _ Sx)
12. :8x(:P x _ :Qx) 39. :8x(:P x _ :Qx _ Rx) 66. :8x(P x _ Qx _ Rx _ :Sx)
13. :8x(P x _ Rx) 40. :8x(:P x_:Qx_:Rx) 67. :8x(P x _ Qx _ :Rx _ Sx)
14. :8x(P x _ :Rx) 41. :8x(P x _ Qx _ Sx) 68. :8x(P x _ Qx _ :Rx _ :Sx)
15. :8x(:P x _ Rx) 42. :8x(P x _ Qx _ :Sx) 69. :8x(P x _ :Qx _ Rx _ Sx)
16. :8x(:P x _ :Rx) 43. :8x(P x _ :Qx _ Sx) 70. :8x(P x _ :Qx _ Rx _ :Sx)
17. :8x(P x _ Sx) 44. :8x(P x _ :Qx _ :Sx) 71. :8x(P x _ :Qx _ :Rx _ Sx)
18. :8x(P x _ :Sx) 45. :8x(:P x _ Qx _ Sx) 72. :8x(P x _ :Qx _ :Rx _ :Sx)
19. :8x(:P x _ Sx) 46. :8x(:P x _ Qx _ :Sx) 73. :8x(:P x _ Qx _ Rx _ Sx)
20. :8x(:P x _ :Sx) 47. :8x(:P x _ :Qx _ Sx) 74. :8x(:P x _ Qx _ Rx _ :Sx)
21. :8x(Qx _ Rx) 48. :8x(:P x_:Qx_:Sx) 75. :8x(:P x _ Qx _ :Rx _ Sx)
22. :8x(Qx _ :Rx) 49. :8x(P x _ Rx _ Sx) 76. :8x(:P x _ Qx _ :Rx _ :Sx)
23. :8x(:Qx _ Rx) 50. :8x(P x _ Rx _ :Sx) 77. :8x(:P x _ :Qx _ Rx _ Sx)
24. :8x(:Qx _ :Rx) 51. :8x(P x _ :Rx _ Sx) 78. :8x(:P x _ :Qx _ Rx _ :Sx)
25. :8x(Qx _ Sx) 52. :8x(P x _ :Rx _ :Sx) 79. :8x(:P x _ :Qx _ :Rx _ Sx)
26. :8x(Qx _ :Sx) 53. :8x(:P x _ Rx _ Sx) 80. :8x(:P x_:Qx_:Rx_:Sx)
27. :8x(:Qx _ Sx) 54. :8x(:P x _ Rx _ :Sx)
{ the abnormalities 1{10, 12{30, 33{36, 39{44, 47{50, 53, 54, 57, 58, 61, 62,
65, 66, 69, 70, 77, and 78 from Table 1, and
{ the disjunctions listed in Table 2.4</p>
        <p>
          Importantly, the abnormalities 11, 37, 38, 45, 46, 73{76 do not occur as disjuncts
in any minimal Dabi-consequence of 1. Indeed, for any Dabi-consequence of 1
containing one of these abnormalities as one of its disjuncts, there is a strictly
shorter disjunction which is a minimal Dabi-consequence of 1 and which does
not contain the abnormality in question as one of its disjuncts. Thus the set
Ui(
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
          ) of i-abnormalities that behave unreliably with respect to 1 contains all
abnormalities in Table 1 except for 11, 37, 38, 45, 46, 73{76. This means that
the set Mir(
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
          ) of i-reliable models of 1 contains no models which verify any
of these abnormalities. So the negations of 11, 37, 38, 45, 46, 73{76 hold true in
all i-reliable models of 1. By De nition 1:
1 LIr 8x(:P x _ Qx)
(
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
          )
Clearly, the negations of 37, 38, 45, 46, 73{76, which are CL-consequences of
8x(:P x _ Qx), are also among the LIr-consequences of 1.
        </p>
        <p>The logic LIr, like all adaptive logics de ned within the standard format,
inherits a number of meta-theoretical properties such as
{ CnCL(CnLIr ( )) = CnLIr ( ) (CL-closure)
{ CnLIr (CnLIr ( )) = CnLIr ( ) ( xed point)
{ If M 2 MCL( ) n Mir( ), then there is an M 0 2</p>
        <p>Abi(M 0) Abi(M ) (smoothness)
MLIr ( ) such that
For the generic proofs of these properties for adaptive logics in standard format,
see [5, Sec. 6-8]. For a slower-paced introduction to LIr, and for more illustrations
of its workings, see [4, 8].
5</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Factual Abduction</title>
      <p>The inference pattern of factual abduction is a defeasible version of the backward
modus ponens (BMP) rule. Where 2 V, 2 C, A( ); B( ) 2 F , A( ); B( ) 2
4The tedious exercise of verifying that 1 has no minimal Dabi-consequences of
three or more disjuncts is safely left to the interested reader.</p>
      <p>F :
In order to prevent that the adaptive logic FAr over- or undergenerates abductive
consequences, a number of further technical requirements must be imposed on
inferences of the form (BMP), as the following examples illustrate.5
Example 1. Let 2 = f8x(Sx Qx); 8x(Rx P x); P a; Qag. Sa is derivable
by (BMP) applied to 8x(Sx Qx) and Qa. But 8x(Rx P x) CL 8x((Rx ^
:Sx) P x), so by the same token (BMP) can be applied to 8x((Rx ^ :Sx)
P x) and P a so as to infer Ra ^ :Sa, which contradicts the earlier inference of
Sa.</p>
      <p>This example motivates a restriction according to which (BMP) is not
applicable to universally quanti ed conditionals the antecedents of which have been
strengthened, such as 8x((Rx ^ :Sx) P x).</p>
      <p>Example 2. Let 3 = f8x(P x Qx); Rag. One would not expect P a to be
derivable via (BMP). But 8x(P x Qx) CL 8x(P x (Qx _ Rx)) and Ra CL
Qa _ Ra. So P a can be inferred by applying (BMP) to 8x(P x (Qx _ Rx)) and
Qa _ Ra. The resulting logic overgenerates.</p>
      <p>This example motivates a restriction according to which (BMP) is not
applicable to universally quanti ed conditionals the consequents of which have been
weakened, such as 8x(P x (Qx _ Rx)).</p>
      <p>A single technical requirement su ces to ensure that the problems in Examples
1 and 2 are avoided. Note that the universally quanti ed conditional in
arguments of the form (BMP) can be expressed equivalently as a (conjunction of)
universally quanti ed disjunction(s). For instance, 8x(P x Qx), respectively
8x((P x _ Rx) Qx, 8x(P x (Qx ^ Rx)) are equivalent to 8x(:P x _ Qx),
respectively 8x(:P x _ Qx) ^ 8x(:Rx _ Qx), 8x(:P x _ Qx) ^ 8x(:P x _ Rx).
If we do the same in Examples 1 and 2, it is immediate that in the
undesirable applications of factual abduction the universally quanti ed premise results
from weakening a logically stronger generalization. In Example 1, the
generalization 8x(:Rx _ P x) was weakened to 8x(:Rx _ Sx _ P x). In Example 2, the
generalization 8x(:P x _ Qx) was weakened to 8x(:P x _ Qx _ Rx). These
weakened generalizations or their conditional equivalents cause trouble when used as
premises in abductive inferences. This motivates a restriction of applications of
factual abduction to generalizations from which no disjuncts can be removed.
Such generalizations will be called starred generalizations. They make use of a
starred quanti er `8', expressing that the generalization in question cannot be
shortened. Where 2 V and A1; : : : ; An; B1; : : : ; Bk 2 L :
8 (A1 _ : : : _ An) = 8 (A1 _ : : : _ An) ^ : _f8 (B1 _ : : : _ Bk) j
; =6 fB1; : : : ; Bkg
fA1; : : : ; Angg
5Both examples presuppose CL in the background. The rst example is adopted
from the technical appendix in [9]. The second example is by Frederik Van De Putte
(personal communication).</p>
      <p>The logic FAr allows for the defeasible application of the factual abduction
pattern to starred generalizations. More precisely, it implements a defeasible version
of the `backward disjunctive syllogism' rule obtained by replacing 8 (A( )
B( )) with 8 (:A( ) _ B( )) in (BMP).</p>
      <p>The lower limit logic of FAr is CL. Its set of abnormalities is the set
Where 2 V; 2 C; A1( ); : : : ; Ai( ); B1( ); : : : ; Bj ( ) 2 L ; i 1; j 1:
Given a premise set , a CL-model M of , and a set a, the sets Mra( ),
Daba( ), the set of (minimal) Daba-consequences of , and the set Ua( ) of
a-unreliable formulas of are de ned exactly like their inductive counterparts:
just replace subscripts `i' with `a' in their respective counterpart de nitions in
Section 4.</p>
      <sec id="sec-5-1">
        <title>De nition 2.</title>
        <p>FAr A i</p>
        <p>M</p>
        <p>r</p>
        <p>A for all M 2 Ma( ).</p>
        <p>
          Given a premise set , FAr selects the CL-models of which verify no
aabnormalities except for those in Ua( ), just like LIr would select the CL-models
of which verify no i-abnormalities except for those in Ui( ). By way of
illustration, let 4 = CnLIr (
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
          ). Recall that 8x(:P x _ Qx) 2 4, and note that
4 CL :8x:P x ^ :8xQx. Thus 4 CL 8x(:P x _ Qx). In fact, 8x(:P x _ Qx)
is the only starred generalization which is CL-derivable from 4: all other
generalizations are either not in the set of LIr-consequences of 4, or they are logically
weaker than 8x(:P x _ Qx). Generalizations which are not LIr-consequences of
4 include the negations of all i-abnormalities which are CL-derivable from 1,
as well as the negations of all i-abnormalities occurring as a disjunct in Table 2.
Generalizations which are CL-equivalent to a generalization which is logically
weaker than 8x(:P x _ Qx) include the negations of abnormalities 37, 38, 45, 46,
73{76 in Table 1.
        </p>
        <p>
          4 has three minimal Daba-consequences:
(
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
          )
(
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
          )
(
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
          )
(
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
          )
8x(:P x _ Qx) ^ :P d ^ Qd
8x(:P x _ Qx) ^ :P i ^ Qi
8x(:P x _ Qx) ^ :P j ^ Qj
Thus, Ua(
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
          ) = f8x(:P x _ Qx) ^ :P d ^ Qd; 8x(:P x _ Qx) ^ :P i ^ Qi; 8x(:P x _
r
Qx) ^ :P j ^ Qjg. Reliable CL-models of 4 { members of Ma(
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
          ) { verify no
further a-abnormalities. So they falsify the abnormality 8x(:P x_Qx)^:P b^Qb.
Since they verify both 8x(:P x _ Qx) and Qb, they must falsify :P b, so that:
        </p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>Iteration</title>
      <p>
        Let 5 = CnFAr (CnLIr (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        )). If LIr were applied to this premise set, would
that deliver new consequences on top of the members of 5? Note that since
P b 2 5, the i-abnormalities 31, 55, 63, and 79 are CL-consequences of 5.
Thus, a number of disjunctions in Table 2 are no longer minimal with respect to
5. In particular, the disjunctions 31_56, 31_80, 55_56, 55_80, 56_63, 56_79,
and 79_80 are no longer minimal. As a result, the abnormalities 56 and 80 no
longer occur as disjuncts in minimal Dab-consequences of 5. Because of this,
they do not belong to Ui(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        ), and they are falsi ed by all reliable models of 5.
As a result:
5 LIr 8x(:P x _ :Rx _ :Sx)
(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">7</xref>
        )
8x(:P x _ :Rx _ :Sx) 62 5, so a new generalization becomes derivable upon
applying LIr to CnFAr (CnLIr (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        )).
      </p>
      <p>
        So far, new information was obtained at each `round' of application of the
logics LIr and FAr: 8x(:P x _ Qx) 2 CnLIr (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ) while 8x(:P x _ Qx) 62 CnCL(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ),
P b 2 CnFAr (CnLIr (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        )) while P b 62 CnLIr (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ), and 8x(:P x _ :Rx _ :Sx) 2
CnLIr (CnFAr (CnLIr (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ))) while 8x(:P x _ :Rx _ :Sx) 62 CnFAr (CnLIr (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        )).
What if FAr was applied to CnLIr (CnFAr (CnLIr (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        )))? Can new information be
abduced still? No. The inference pattern of factual abduction is only applicable
to starred generalizations. The only new generalization obtained in the previous
round was 8x(:P x _ :Rx _ :Sx), so the only way to obtain new information
by factual abduction is via the use of this generalization. But we cannot infer
its starred version.
      </p>
      <p>
        8x(:P x _ :Rx _ :Sx) 62 CnLIr (CnFAr (CnLIr (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        )))
(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
        )
The reason is that we cannot infer :8x(:Rx _ :Sx). Indeed, neither this
iabnormality nor its negation is a member of CnLIr (CnFAr (CnLIr (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ))).6 Since
we cannot infer any new starred generalizations from CnLIr (CnFAr (CnLIr (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ))),
nothing new can be abduced.
      </p>
      <p>The iterative process of applying inductive generalization and factual
abduction can be repeated ad in nitum. The consequence operation CnSIAr is de ned
as follows:</p>
      <p>
        CnSIAr ( ) = : : : CnFAr (CnLIr (CnFAr (CnLIr ( )))) : : :
(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        )
Alternatively, this operation can be described as follows. Given a premise set
, rst select the CL-models of (level 0). Next select the LIr-models of the
resulting set (level 1). Next, select the FAr-models (level 2), then again select
via LIr (level 3), and so on.
      </p>
      <p>
        6This i-abnormality is number 32 in Table 1. It is a member of
Ui(CnFAr (CnLIr (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ))) in view of the following minimal Dabi-consequences of
CnFAr (CnLIr (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        )): 32 _ 51, 32 _ 59, 32 _ 67, and 32 _ 71. In view of this, some but
not all reliable models of CnFAr (CnLIr (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        )) verify 8x(:Rx _ :Sx), while others falsify
this generalization.
      </p>
      <sec id="sec-6-1">
        <title>De nition 3. Where j</title>
        <p>1:
Mj ( ) =
M0( ) = MCL( )
8&gt;fM 2 Mj 1( ) j Abi(M ) Ui(fA j M 0
&gt;
&gt;&lt; for all M 0 2 Mj 1( )g)g if j is odd,
A
&gt;&gt;fM 2 Mj 1( ) j Aba(M ) Ua(fA j M 0
:&gt; for all M 0 2 Mj 1( )g)g if j is even.
A
De nition 4. Where j 2 N,</p>
        <sec id="sec-6-1-1">
          <title>SIAjr A i</title>
          <p>M</p>
          <p>A for all M 2 Mj ( ).</p>
          <p>
            It was shown generically (for adaptive logics using the reliability strategy) in
[21, Sec. 3.2.1] that, at each step in the construction, the resulting logics are
semantically adequate with respect to the sequence in (
            <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
            ): SIAr1 A i A 2
CnLIr ( ), SIAr2 A i A 2 CnFAr (CnLIr ( )), and so on. Next, we turn to
the limiting case.
          </p>
          <p>M1( ) = lijm!i1nf Mj ( ) = \ Mj ( )
j2N</p>
        </sec>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-6-2">
        <title>De nition 5.</title>
        <p>SIAr A i</p>
        <p>M</p>
        <p>A for all M 2 M1( ).</p>
        <p>
          In [24, Sec. 3.3.2] the generic semantic adequacy result from [21] is extended to
the in nite case. Applied to the present setting, (
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
          ) follows immediately:
        </p>
        <sec id="sec-6-2-1">
          <title>SIAr A i A 2 CnSIAr ( )</title>
          <p>For languages with a nite signature the logic SIAr is decidable. It remains an
open question whether this is also the case for languages of in nite signature.
Another open issue is that of determining the computational complexity of SIAr.
In [18] it was shown that for adaptive logics de ned within the standard format {
such as LIr and FAr { the complexity upper bound in the arithmetical hierarchy
is 30. There are currently no published results on the computational complexity
of sequentially combined adaptive logics such as SIAr.
7</p>
        </sec>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-7">
      <title>Discussion and Variation</title>
      <p>
        Here is a di erent way of writing the outcomes obtained for 1 in Sections 4-6:
(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
        )
(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
        )
(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">12</xref>
        )
(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">13</xref>
        )
(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14">14</xref>
        )
1 SIAr1 8x(:P x _ Qx)
      </p>
      <sec id="sec-7-1">
        <title>1 SIAr2 P b</title>
        <p>1 SIAr3 8x(:P x _ :Rx _ :Sx)
The example shows how information obtained via factual abduction can in
turn serve to inductively infer generalizations not previously derivable from the
premise set. Stretching things a bit, this example logically explicates and
conrms the view { revived by Douglas in [10] { that part of what makes (abduced)
explanations useful is their help in generating new predictions (in this case, via
inductive generalization). The `stretch' here concerns the use of the term
`explanation' for referring to formulas inferred via factual abduction. Arguably,
conclusions drawn via factual abduction classify at best as mere potential
explanations, and a richer formalism is needed to adequately represent their epistemic
status as opposed to e.g. observations in the premise set, cfr. infra. In this
respect, the logic SIAr oversimpli es matters.</p>
        <p>Besides factual abduction, the logic SIAr goes some way towards explicating
another `pattern' of abductive inference, namely the pattern of law-abduction,
which has the following logical form [19]:
Following an illustration given in [19], let P; Q; R denote respectively
`contains sugar', `tastes sweet', and `is a pineapple'. Our background knowledge
includes 8x(P x Qx). Some things contain sugar while others don't, and some
things taste sweet while others don't, so 8x(:P x _ Qx). The aim is to explain
8x(Rx Qx) { which we obtained by inductive generalization from a number of
instances Ra ^ Qa, Rb ^ Qb, etc. Via factual abduction applied to 8x(:P x _ Qx)
and Qa; Qb; : : :, the formulas P a; P b; : : : can be inferred. And by inductive
generalization applied to Ra ^ P a; Rb ^ P b, etc., we obtain 8x(Rx P x). When
asked why pineapples taste sweet, we can now answer by telling that pineapples
contain sugar.7</p>
        <p>An important design choice in the construction of SIAr is the preference
for a sequential combination of the patterns of inductive generalization and
factual abduction. As is clear from the characterization of SIAr-consequence in
De nitions 3 and 4, SIAr-models are selected sequentially or stepwise relative
to either Ui or Ua. At each step in the sequence we select either exclusively
with respect to i-unreliable formulas, or we select exclusively with respect to
a-unreliable formulas.</p>
        <p>
          A di erent, `parallel' rather than sequential, combination strategy would be
to look at both i-unreliable formulas and a-unreliable formulas in one single step.
To this end, we could de ne a unique set of abnormalities ia = i [ a. The
sets Mia, Dabia( ), Uia, etc. are then rede ned accordingly in terms of ia.
In the resulting logic, (minimal) Dabia-consequences may consist of disjunctions
between one or more members of i and/or one or more members of a. For
7Flach &amp; Kakas thought of law-abduction as a hybrid inference pattern combining
inductive generalization and factual abduction [11, pp. 21-22]. This view was criticized
by Schurz on the grounds that this decomposition of law-abduction is \somewhat
arti cial. Law-abductions are usually performed in one single conjectural step" [19,
p. 212]. For an adaptive logic explicating the latter view, see [12].
instance, the disjunction
:8x(:P x _ Qx) _ (8x(:P x _ Qx) ^ Qd ^ :P d)
(
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">15</xref>
          )
is a minimal Dabia-consequence of 1, since it is a CL-consequence of 1 and
neither of its disjuncts is a CL-consequence of 1. As a result, :8x(:P x _ Qx)
is a member of Uia(
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
          ), and 8x(:P x _ Qx) is not a logical consequence in the
resulting logic, so the resulting logic clearly di ers from SIAr.
        </p>
        <p>
          The disjunction in (
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">15</xref>
          ) serves to illustrate that the `parallel' combination
of inductive generalization and factual abduction is problematic. To see why,
note that this disjunction is a CL-consequence of fP a; Qa; :P c; :Qc; :P d; Qdg,
which is a proper subset of Cn(
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
          ). The instances a, c, and d all con rm the
generalization 8x(:P x_Qx). Still, we can infer (
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">15</xref>
          ) as a minimal Dabia-consequence
of this premise set, e ectively blocking the derivation of the con rmed
generalization 8x(:P x _ Qx).
        </p>
        <p>
          In SIAr the logic LIr is applied rst in the sequence in (
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
          ). Alternatively, a
logic could be de ned which applies FAr in the rst step of the sequence. In the
absence of quanti ers in the premise set, both approaches { `inductive
generalization rst' vs. `factual abduction rst' { would lead to the same consequence set,
since we need generalizations (and so we need to apply LIr) before we can
abduce further facts. If generalizations are already present in the premises, the two
approaches may lead to a di erent set of consequences, since in this case a
generalization step may be incompatible with an abductive step at the beginning of the
sequence. The premise set may contain, for instance, P a, Ra, and 8x(:Qx _ P x)
amongst its CL-consequences, so that the i-abnormality :8x(:Rx _ :Qx) is
true if Qa holds, while the a-abnormality 8x(:Qx _ P x) ^ P a ^ :Qa is true if
:Qa holds. An `inductive generalization rst' approach then prefers the falsity
of :8x(:Rx _ :Qx) (and the truth of :Qa) while a `factual abduction rst'
approach prefers the falsity of 8x(:Qx _ P x) ^ P a ^ :Qa (and the truth of Qa).
        </p>
        <p>There is a `chicken or egg' reason in favor of the `inductive generalization
rst' approach. Inductive generalization has priority over factual abduction in
the sense that we need to generalize before we can even start abducing (every
application of factual abduction requires a generalization among its premises).
A `factual abduction rst' approach would require some explanation as to how
generalizations are attained prior to abduction, if not by inductive generalization.
No such explanation is required in an `inductive generalization rst' approach of
the kind adopted here.</p>
        <p>The logic SIAr is instructive in explicating what a combination of the
inference patterns of inductive generalization and factual abduction could (and could
not) look like. It was used to show how these patterns of ampliative reasoning
can be fruitfully combined to infer new predictions and generalizations, and how
they can shed light on a di erent pattern, law-abduction. Still, it is too early to
make bold claims regarding the adequacy of SIAr in capturing these patterns,
for at least two reasons. First, there are many alternative ways to model these
ampliative inferences. And second, a fully adequate model requires additional
expressive resources.</p>
        <p>In [6] Batens considers a number of alternative ways of modeling inductive
generalization via an adaptive logic. Various roads for variation are open here.
A rst is to change the adaptive strategy.8 A second is to vary the set of
abnormalities. Instead of taking negated generalizations such as :8x(P x _ Qx)
as members of i, one could take, for example, conjunctions of instances and
counterinstances of a generalization, such as 9x(P x _ Qx) ^ 9x:(P x _ Qx). As
shown in [6], this gives rise to a slightly di erent logic. A third, unexplored, road
for variation is to change the lower limit logic from CL to some non-classical
logic. More complex variations still can be obtained by coupling these roads, or
even by moving to a combined adaptive logic for inductive generalization { see
[6] for some examples.</p>
        <p>The inference pattern of factual abduction too can be modeled in a variety
of ways. The technical issues discussed in in Examples 1 and 2 can be avoided
by means other than the restriction of applications of (BMP) to starred
generalizations.9 More generally, a richer framework with more expressive power is
required for suitably representing factual abduction. Inferred explanations do
not generally have the same epistemic status as observations in our premise set,
and generalizations used as premises in an application of factual abduction
often have a law-like status which separates them from mere regularities in the
explanatory framework. These distinctions are too subtle to make in the
rstorder language used in this paper. One of the main open research questions for
the present investigation is how we can enrich this formal language with
additional expressive resources while preserving the fruitful sequential application of
inductive generalization and factual abduction.</p>
        <p>Acknowledgments Research for this article was sponsored by a Humboldt
fellowship for postdoctoral researchers, and by a Sofja Kovalevskaja award, both
granted by the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation, funded by the German
Ministry for Education and Research. I am indebted to Frederik Van De Putte,
Diderik Batens, and two anonymous referees for valuable comments on an earlier
draft of this article.</p>
        <p>
          8Two strategies are currently de ned within the standard format for adaptive logics:
reliability and minimal abnormality. Using the minimal abnormality strategy for
sequential combinations of adaptive logics has the disadvantage that semantic adequacy
results as in (
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
          ) are not guaranteed { see [24, Sec. 3.3.3] for the details.
        </p>
        <p>9As mentioned in Section 1, FAr is closely related to the system AALr de ned in
[7]. In the latter logic, the technical issues discussed in Examples 1 and 2 are likewise
avoided by admitting only a restricted set of generalizations as candidate premises
for abductive inference: FAr admits only `starred' generalizations, while AALr
admits only universally quanti ed conditionals the antecedent [consequent] of which has
a restricted conjunctive [disjunctive] normal form. In FAr conclusions of abductive
inferences are members of L for some 2 C. In AALr conclusions of abductive
inferences are formulas of the form ( ) B 0( ) where ( ); 0( ) 2 L for some 2 C.</p>
        <p>
          ( ) B 0( ) denotes that ( ) is a `potential explanation' for 0( ).
24. F. Van De Putte. Generic Formats for Prioritized Adaptive Logics. With
Applications in Deontic Logic, Abduction and Belief Revision. PhD thesis, Ghent
University, 2012.
25. F. Van De Putte and C. Stra er. Three formats of prioritized adaptive logics: a
comparative study. Logic Journal of the IGPL, 21:127{159, 2013.
26. F. Van De Putte and C. Stra er. Adaptive logics: a parametric approach. Logic
Journal of the IGPL, 22(
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
          ):905{932, 2014.
        </p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
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