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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>A Computational Model of the Evolution of Antipredator Behavior in Situations with Temporal Variation of Danger using Simulated Robots</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Daniela Pacella</string-name>
          <email>pacelladaniela@gmail.com</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Michela Ponticorvo</string-name>
          <email>michela.ponticorvo@unina.it</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Onofrio Gigliotta</string-name>
          <email>onofrio.gigliotta@unina.it</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Orazio Miglino</string-name>
          <email>orazio.miglino@unina.it</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Plymouth University, Centre for Robotics and Neural Systems</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Plymouth</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="UK">United Kingdom</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>University of Naples Federico II</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Natural and Artificial Cognition Laboratory, Naples</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="IT">Italy</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>The threat-sensitive predator avoidance hypothesis states that preys are able to assess the level of danger of the environment by using direct and indirect predator cues. The existence of a neural system which determines this ability has been studied in many animal species like minnows, mosquitoes and wood frogs. What is still under debate is the role of evolution and learning for the emergence of this assessment system. We propose a bio-inspired computing model of how risk management can arise as a result of both factors and prove its impact on fitness in simulated robotic agents equipped with recurrent neural networks and evolved with genetic algorithm. The agents are trained and tested in environments with different level of danger and their performances are analyzed and compared.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd />
        <kwd>Risk assessment</kwd>
        <kwd>Threat sensitivity</kwd>
        <kwd>Bio-inspired computing</kwd>
        <kwd>Recurrent Neural Networks</kwd>
        <kwd>Evolution</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>-</title>
      <p>
        Potential threats are signaled by uncertain or ambiguous cues and differ from active
threats in that they do not require an immediate interaction with their source but
graded behavioral adjustments. However, once the state of vigilance has been heightened,
there is no positive evidence that the risk was eliminated [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        The presence of a defensive system that allows organisms to detect and assess
potential threats has been extensively studied by ethological psychologists, ethologists
and neuroscientists, and it has been labeled in different ways, like "security
motivation system" [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ], "hazard management system" [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ] or "risk assessment system" [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ].
This mechanism is thought to have been shaped throughout the evolution in order to
allow individual preys to respond appropriately to the degree of predatory threat. As
stated by the threat-sensitive predator avoidance hypothesis, animals need to trade-off
antipredator responses against other activities such as feeding or territorial defense
and they can do so by altering their avoidance behavior according to the magnitude of
the danger [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        ]. Animals are also able to detect temporal variation in the risk of
predation. These changes over time can occur seasonally, daily or periodically and affect
the prey’s adaptation and fitness. The idea that preys are able to optimally adjust their
behavior across different states of threat is called “risk allocation hypothesis” [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        The cues of the presence of a danger can be direct (such as visual, tactile or
auditory) or indirect (e.g. odor); while the former type signals unambiguously that the threat
is near, the latter needs to be carefully processed by the animal in order to allow the
right behavioral decision [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">7</xref>
        ]. The absence of direct cues does not constitute a proof of
the absence of a threat. As Woody proposes, only an internal signal of security – or, in
humans, a subjective conviction or feeling – can allow the termination of defensive
behaviors [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
        ][
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ].
1.1
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>Antipredator Behavior and Uncertainty</title>
      <p>
        The ability of preys to respond appropriately to dangerous situations and to specific
predators is fundamental for the species’ survival and adaptation. Since animals
experience a huge variety of situations, the debate about how they learn to recognize
potential predators is still open. Many studies proved the existence of an innate
recognition mechanism for predators in mammals, amphibians and fishes, but other species
exhibited it only as a result of learning [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        ]. Scheurer, in his study, proved that
steelhead trout who had no experience of their common predator Dolly Varden for 15
generations, exhibited genetic threat responses when exposed to their odor again [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
        ].
An evidence of the importance of learning for other species, instead, is represented by
the case of goldfish, as showed by Zhao and colleagues. [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
        ]. In their study, groups of
goldfishes were conditioned to the presence of predator with different concentrations
of its odor. Those which were conditioned in the most dangerous environment
(highest concentration) resulted in a an overall higher survivability when compared with
other groups.
      </p>
      <p>
        The assessment of predation risk is complicated by the variability of danger across
space and time, and of the predator itself. The threat level may vary according to the
day/night shift, seasonal changes, growth or environment [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ][
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">12</xref>
        ]. This leads to a high
level of uncertainty that preys need to face when assessing the risk and deciding
behavior. Ferrari et al. showed that fathead minnows are able to continuously update
their perception of risk based on their most recent experience with the predator,
disproving the hypothesis that they may average the risk of their past learning
experiences [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13 ref14">13,14</xref>
        ]. This species, in fact, used only the last information acquired to shape the
intensity of their threat response. Wood frogs, as demonstrated by Ferrari et al., are
also able to associate the level of risk with the time of day: the defensive response
towards the specific predators was significantly higher when the hours of the
exposition were matching those of the conditioning [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15 ref16">15,16</xref>
        ].
1.2
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Neural Circuits of Threat Sensitivity</title>
      <p>The circuit of threat perception in the brain has been extensively studied in both
humans and animals. Potential and active threats, in fact, are processed by the same
regions and antipredator behavior is often associated with the emotion of fear. Fear
has been the most studied affective state, due to the simplicity of eliciting it in rodents
and other animals. There is also a strong similarity in the response patterns to threats
among mammalians.</p>
      <p>
        The structures primarily involved in the activation of responses to threatening
stimuli are the amygdala, crucial for processing every aspect of the emotion of fear
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17 ref18">17,18</xref>
        ] and its connection to the hippocampus, which links threat sensation to
episodic memory determining the association [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">19</xref>
        ]. These direct and immediate signals from
the amygdala are also responsible of the incredibly fast processing and response of the
organisms to fearful stimuli, allowing higher chance of survival. The conscious
perception of danger is mediated by the medial prefrontal cortex while physiological
responses are a result of the activation of the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis,
which controls the level of ADH and ACTH, determining the secretion of cortisol
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20">20</xref>
        ].
1.3
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Threat Sensitivity and Psychopathology</title>
      <p>
        The importance of the risk assessment system and sensitivity to danger is extremely
high in terms of adaptation, especially since this mechanism plays a key role for the
presentation of anxious arousal and heightened vigilance. The prolonged activation of
behavioral defense circuits can, in fact, result in a pathological response to threat,
causing the birth of disorders as generalized anxiety and depression [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref21">21</xref>
        ]. Attentional
biases to threat stimuli can be the trigger of anxiety disorders since these cognitive
distortions can lead to hyper-arousability and overestimation of the harmfulness of the
environment [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref22 ref23">22,23</xref>
        ]. For example, anxious individuals detect threatening cues and
stimuli faster than controls [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref24">24</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        Defensive behavior is not cost free for humans and animals, and, in particular,
avoidance behaviors can cause restricted or limited access to fundamental resources
like food, social activity, exploration [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20">20</xref>
        ]. Therefore, a persistent activation of a
system designed for a short-term response is considered a maladaptive strategy [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref21">21</xref>
        ].
Chronic stress is also related to permanent damage to the hippocampus [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref25">25</xref>
        ].
1.4
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Risk Allocation and Minimum Behavioral Response Threshold</title>
      <p>
        In juvenile cichlids, the defensive response is a function of the concentration of
predator cues experienced. Brown et al., in fact, demonstrated that the intensity of the
defensive behavior was stronger if the alarm cue concentration was higher and weaker if
this concentration was lower. Other than that, the minimum stimulus concentration
able to evoke the antipredator behavior was lower if the cichlids had been exposed to
higher concentration in the days before the test, and higher if the cichlids had been
previously exposed to a lower concentration, therefore showing a higher tolerance to
the alarm cues. These results support both the risk allocation and the threat sensitive
predator avoidance hypothesis. The minimum concentration needed to elicit an overt
response was labeled “minimum behavioral response threshold” [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref26">26</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>In our study we aim at investigating the emergence of threat sensitivity by using
simulated robots embedded with a recurrent neural network (RNN) and evolved with
standard genetic algorithm. The neural network architecture allows the agents to
collect information from the environment and try to determine whether is safe or not.
Other than that, we test the risk allocation hypothesis by varying the level of danger
throughout both generations and single trials, analyzing the difference in behavior of
the robots in each condition.
2</p>
      <sec id="sec-5-1">
        <title>Materials and Methods</title>
        <p>
          The framework we used for carrying out the robot simulations represents a
modification of the experimental setting described in a preliminary study [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref27">27</xref>
          ]. Simulated
agents equipped with different neural network architectures were evolved to learn to
discriminate dangerous stimuli from safe ones on a whiteboard in different conditions.
We showed the effectiveness of the methodology and analyzed the avoiding behavior
exhibited by the robots in terms of fitness and performance.
        </p>
        <p>
          The software used for simulating the environment and the robots is Evorobot*, an
open source simulator which allows to train and test neural networks embedded in
physical robots and then to transfer the result of the simulation in a real environment
[
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref28">28</xref>
          ]. The agent structure we selected takes its features from the iCub, a humanoid
robot commonly used for experiments in the fields of cognitive science and modeled
to reproduce the behavior of a three-years old child. In our case, we integrated in our
system just its visual apparatus and pointing abilities. The visual system of the robot
is composed by a pan-tilt camera, and its simulated version is based on the prototype
of an artificial retina described by Floreano et al. [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref29">29</xref>
          ]. The camera is able to perceive
an area of 100x100px, discriminating stimuli of different luminance, and is allowed to
integrate an additional 12 d.o.f zooming feature which we disabled for our task. The
environment is composed of a squared whiteboard (400x400px) which the robot is
free to explore during each trial. On the board, there are 16 randomly positioned
stimuli, represented by red circles, which can be dangerous or safe to touch, according to
the condition. The robot is allowed to perform 2 actions with its hand: touch – which
should be used only to pick up a safe stimulus – or swipe – to discard a dangerous
stimulus. If it makes the right action expected on the stimulus presented, it gains
fitness; if it does not, it loses time in terms of life steps.
        </p>
        <p>The architecture of the fully connected RNN is shown in Fig 1. The input layer is
composed by: 1) a 7x7 grid of 49 visual neurons responsible for the perception of the
squared area of the retina (the retina does not have any foveal vision); 2) a sigmoidal
unit signaling the accumulation of information regarding the safety of the situation; 3)
a sigmoidal unit signaling the perceived danger in the environment; 3) a sigmoidal
unit which signals the perception of time and increases its value as a function of the
time steps inside each trial. The three sigmoidal units follow the function below:</p>
        <p>In the case of safe and danger sensation units, X represents the total number of
stimuli inside the board (maximum value X = 16), and x respectively the number of
correct actions performed (discard the dangerous stimuli or pick the safe one) in the
safe sensation unit or the incorrect actions performed (pick the dangerous stimuli or
discard the safe one) in the danger sensation unit. The maximum value of x depends
on the percentage of dangerous and safe stimuli in each trial. The parameters β and α
are chosen so that F(0) ≈ 0, F(16) ≈ 1, and their value is β = 10, α = 3.</p>
        <p>In the case of time perception unit, X represents the total number of life steps T for
each trial (maximum value X = 1000) , x represents the current life step t, and the
parameters so that F(0) ≈ 0, F(1000) ≈ 1 are β = 10 and α = 3.</p>
        <p>The hidden layer is composed of 20 sigmoidal recurrent units while the output
layer consists of: 1) 2 neural units which control the pan/tilt movements of the visual
exploration; 2) a motor unit for the “pick” action; 3) a motor unit for the “discard”
action.</p>
        <p>The RNNs used in this experiment are trained using standard genetic algorithm
with 2% mutation rate. For each condition, 10 populations of robots were evolved for
5000 generations and each of these generations was trained on 30 trials. Three
different conditions were selected to evolve the simulated robots: 1) a high risk/high reward
condition; 2) medium risk/medium reward condition; 3) balanced risk and reward. In
the high risk/high reward condition, the trials could contain either 100% dangerous
stimuli or 100% safe stimuli. Half the generations (2500) contained 10 triplets
composed by 1/3 of 100% dangerous trials and 2/3 of 100% safe trials and the other half
contained 10 triplets composed by 1/3 of 100% safe trials and 2/3 of 100% dangerous
trials. In the medium risk/medium reward condition, the trials could contain 75%
dangerous stimuli or 75% safe stimuli. Half the generations (2500) contained 10
triplets composed by 1/3 of 75% dangerous trials and 2/3 of 75% safe trials and the
other half contained 10 triplets composed by 1/3 of 75% safe trials and 2/3 of 75%
dangerous trials. In the balanced condition, each trial contained 50% dangerous
stimuli.</p>
        <p>During each trial, the robot could explore the board for a total T of 1000 time steps.
In case it perceived a target, there were four possible outcomes: if the activation of the
“pick” unit was over a threshold of 0.7, the stimulus was picked, the robot had a loss
of 1 time step (t = t +1) and the stimulus disappeared; if the activation of the “discard”
unit reached at least 0.7, the stimulus was discarded, the robot had a loss of 1 time
step and the stimulus disappeared; if both the action units were over the threshold, the
robot lost 1 time step; if none of the action units was activated, the stimulus was
considered ignored. For each action unit over the threshold, if no target was perceived,
the robot had a loss of one time step.</p>
        <p>If the robot performed the correct action on a stimulus, he gained a reward G as in
(2), where β = 10 and α = 4.
(2)</p>
        <p>Since the reward was a function of the current step t, the robots needed to learn to
recognize both the condition and the time when to perform the right action, trying to
estimate the level of danger but also wait for the optimal time t to act on the stimuli.
3</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-5-2">
        <title>Results and discussion</title>
        <p>The evolution of the fitness curves of the best individual on 10 belonging to each of
the three different conditions (high gain/risk, medium gain/risk and balanced
gain/risk) is displayed in Figure 2. As shown, the highest reward was gained by the
RNN trained in the high risk/gain condition. Of all the conditions, in fact, this was the
only to provide the robot a certainty about the level of threat after a single encounter
with the stimulus. Thanks to this certainty, robots did not refrain from continuing their
exploration and activity like picking the safe stimuli. When the environmental cues
are clear and unambiguous, the ability to discriminate dangerous from safe situation
can get the best performance. The difference between the fitness curve of the certainty
situation is significantly different than the other two (p = ,000 ), as shown in Table 1.</p>
        <p>Further investigation will try to test the “minimum behavioral response threshold”
for the agents to determine the uncertainty which triggers the defensive behavior.</p>
        <p>In the test phase, we analyzed the performance of the best individual for each of
the conditions on 1000 trials, of which 50% belonged to the safe condition (with a
percentage of safe items respectively of 100%, 75% and 50%) and 50% belonged to
the dangerous condition (with a percentage of dangerous items respectively of 100%,
75% and 50%). We aimed at investigating the difference in the response pattern
among different time steps range. Therefore, we divided the 1000 time steps for each
of the trial into 20 intervals of 50 steps and conducted LSD post hoc MANOVA on
the means of correct and incorrect action performed on each stimuli of the 1000 trials
for all the 50 intervals. We take in consideration for the analysis a comparison
between early steps (t between 150 and 200) and late steps (t between 750 and 800).</p>
        <p>Supporting theories on animal species, the robots used earlier steps, in which the
risk/gain was dramatically lower, to explore the environment, and as soon as the time
steps increased a behavioral strategy emerged to face the danger. There is a strong
pattern difference in the actions performed by the robots evolved in the situation of
high risk and those evolved in the situation of medium risk.</p>
        <p>As shown in Table 2 and Table 3, robots evolved and tested in the situation of high
risk tended to activate the same neuron (pick) at the beginning, determining a
nonsignificant difference between the means of the safe stimuli picked and of the
dangerous stimuli picked and vice versa between the dangerous stimuli discarded and the
safe stimuli discarded (p &gt; ,005). This data suggests that this population of robots
began each trial by trying the same strategy and determining the outcome in order to
disambiguate between safe and threatening situation. This pattern is absent in robots
evolved in the uncertainty condition (medium risk), and we can explain this as a
reduction of exploration steps.</p>
        <p>Analyzing the differences between late steps, we can see that while robots evolved
in the situation of certainty inverted their activity patterns showing a correlation
between the means of correct actions on dangerous stimuli and correct actions on safe
stimuli, in the case of robots evolved in medium risk all the means are significantly
different, apart from the difference between the means of the correct actions on safe
stimuli and incorrect actions on dangerous stimuli, which can be interpreted as an
effort to try to gain as much fitness as possible when encountering stimuli against a
reduced exploration behavior.</p>
        <p>
          A final analysis was conducted by testing the best individual evolved in the
certainty condition in an environment with medium risk. The results of the LSD post hoc
MANOVA are summarized in Table 4. The results indicated that the genetically
evolved response patterns showed in the high risk environment was maintained, and
the increased sensitivity towards the danger lead to a better performance, giving an
evidence of the impact of an high arousal to danger in terms of fitness. This result is
in accordance with the previously mentioned study conducted by Zhao et al. [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
          ].
        </p>
        <p>Further research will be addressed to find the danger threshold under which the
environment stops eliciting the robots’ genetically learned pattern which lead to
adaptation in their environment. We aim also to find out the effect of the most recent
environment experienced by the robot on its defensive behavior.</p>
        <p>Finally, robots evolved with a danger level of 50% did not show any learned
pattern at all, since there was no cue on which to rely to try to disambiguate dangerous
from safe environments and determine the potential presence of a threat. Post hoc
analysis, which are not reported here for brevity, did not show any significant
difference between correct/incorrect actions on safe/dangerous stimuli in each of the time
step interval.
4</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-5-3">
        <title>Conclusion</title>
        <p>We proposed a computational model of the evolution of antipredator behavior in
situations with various degree of danger using simulated robots embedded with RNNs
and evolved with standard genetic algorithm. We demonstrated the importance of
both innate and genetic factors for the emergence of an effective antipredator
behavior and higher survivability. We tested the threat-sensitive predator avoidance
hypothesis by evolving virtual robots in conditions of high risk/gain, medium risk/gain and
balanced risk/gain, proving that in situation of uncertainty the agents refrained from
exploring the environment and limited their actions on the environment.</p>
        <p>We also tested the risk allocation hypothesis, by testing robots in experimental
conditions with a shift of threat/reward between the early steps of the trial and the late
ones, proving that the agents evolved in the high risk environment were able to learn
and adapt to this temporal shift.</p>
        <p>Finally, we compared the performance of agents evolved in certainty and
uncertainty conditions in a medium risk/gain environment, analyzing their differences.
5</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
  </body>
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