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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title>Plans and
Resource-Bounded Practical Reasoning” Computational
Intelligence</journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Arguments in Advertising</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Institute for Transport Studies University of Leeds</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Leeds</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="UK">UK</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date>
        <year>2017</year>
      </pub-date>
      <volume>4</volume>
      <issue>3</issue>
      <fpage>349</fpage>
      <lpage>355</lpage>
      <abstract>
        <p>In this paper I present some considerations regarding how we ought to use the tools of argumentation theory in the analysis of persuasive communication material, with implications for the way such material can be modelled for use with persuasive technology or artificial deliberative intelligences. I focus here on how a refined understanding of the underlying argumentative structure of a traditional TV commercial (in particular, the Danone Yoghurt commercial In Soviet Georgia, previously discussed by Douglas Walton (2010)), reveals some limitations on how far an argumentative analysis can take us in understanding the persuasive power of advertisements like this. Specifically, I will argue that understanding advertisements as arguments using standard analytical tools fails to capture their motivational force, and hence will fail to predict their effectiveness in achieving behaviour change in their audience. The issues raised, concerned with the way adverts of various kinds engage the desires of their audience, turn out to be especially relevant for understanding how advertisements and marketing material function effectively in achieving behaviour change in domains such as encouraging the use of sustainable transport, where persuading people to cut down on personal car use rests largely on making certain altruistic desires more relevant for their decision-making than other desires to, for instance, use the most convenient and efficient means of getting from A to B. If computational models of advertisements as instances of natural argument are to be used as a means of generating arguments to effect behaviour change in domains such as personal transport, it is necessary that they are able to correctly predict behavioural effects. As such, I argue in this paper that there is a need to develop a means to model the non-argumentative features of communication material that make certain desires more or less relevant to individuals' motivational frameworks.</p>
      </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>2.! Background: The ADAPT project and the</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>Sustainable Transport Communications</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Dataset (STCD)</title>
      <p>We know that the current level of private car use is unsustainable,
both in terms of the greenhouse gas emissions due to private car use
and the corresponding contribution to climate change, and in terms
of the strain the increasing number of private cars on the road places
on national infrastructure. There are many current and potential
government and non-governmental initiatives intended to address
these pressing issues, but the tools available to governments are
generally focused on managing the supply of unsustainable
transport options; that is, government may tax high polluting
vehicles more, impose congestion charges, increase fuel taxes and
so on, with the intention that the higher costs of using unsustainable
transport will result in correspondingly lower private car use.
Where such measures have been taken however, particularly in the
UK, they have not been effective in cutting private car use to a
sustainable level. This is not altogether surprising, since both the
price and income elasticity of demand for private transportation is
notoriously low. Additionally, the political pressure against
increasing taxes on private motorists are substantial, and as such it
would be politically difficult for a UK Government to implement
supply side transport policies to an extent that would bring private
car use to a sustainable level. In such cases, supply side measures
can only be expected to be of a limited effectiveness, and so we are
left with the question of what demand side measures might be used
as well. A demand side measure to decrease private car use could
take many forms, but will generally involve an attempt to change
the behaviour of transport users on an individual level, such that a
particular person will choose not to purchase a private car or not
use a private car for reasons other than that these modes of transport
are too expensive, or that person’s income cannot support private
car use (i.e., the reasons ascribable to a purely rationally
selfinterested economic agent).</p>
      <p>The ADAPT project is an attempt to harness the tools of
argumentation theory and other interdisciplinary research about the
best ways to influence individual behaviour change in order to
develop proposals for how we might reduce demand for private car
use. A key part of the ADAPT project is the construction of the
Sustainable Transport Communications Dataset (STCD), a
database consisting of persuasive communication material from
local and national Government, private companies, NGOs and
other bodies with an interest in persuading people to make more
sustainable transport choices (Wells &amp; Pangbourne, 2015). Each
entry in the STCD is analysed as a piece of argumentative discourse
and diagrammed using the specialist argument diagramming
software Araucaria (Reed et al., 2004). The STCD will be used
during further phases of the ADAPT project, among other things,
to analyse trends in communication about sustainable transport and
design experiments to test the effectiveness of particular kinds of
argument on different kinds of people.</p>
      <p>Figure 1 is an example from the STCD: a screengrab of the original
communication material from a local Scottish campaign, Go Smart,
encouraging the audience to take a number of steps to reduce their
CO2 emissions with regard to their transport choices. It is
accompanied by the diagrammed analyses of the material as an
informal argument.</p>
      <p>As with many of the entries currently in the STCD, the
argumentative structure in this piece of material is very straight
forward. This example features an argument from example (such
that buying cleaner, more fuel efficient cars, adopting eco driving
techniques and using alternative transport are all examples of ways
to save energy, carbon and money) and an example of practical
reasoning, such that if saving energy, carbon and money is a goal
that the audience has, then ‘going eco’ is a way to achieve it.
Finally, the argument engages in prolepsis, by way of pre-empting
a critical question (to the effect that reducing fuel consumption is
difficult without advice), and answering that question (diagrammed
above by a double-refutation) by noting that advice is available. As
has been noted by others (in particular, Walton (2010)), analysing
advertisements, marketing material and similar forms of
communication which aim at eliciting some kind of behaviour from
its audience (often behaviour to the effect that a consumer spends
money on this or that product), frequently reveals a pattern of
practical reasoning; that is to say, reasoning from some existing
goal of an agent, to some action which constitutes a means of
realising that goal, to a conclusion that those means should be
undertaken in order that the goal should be realised. The example
from the STCD above includes a form of practical reasoning, as do
the majority of entries from the STCD so far analysed (some 70
pieces of communicative material). This is unsurprising: if my aim
is to change your behaviour through argument, then my argument
is likely to include a normative conclusion (that you ought to φ),
and the best way to make an inference to a normative conclusion of
that kind is to show that it accords with or enables the realisation of
some pre-existing goal of yours.</p>
      <p>In what follows I will discuss a previously analysed example of
practical reasoning drawn from an advertisement, different in form
but similar in function to many entries in the STCD (which seek to
change behaviour by engaging in practical reasoning), and show
44
how a peculiar feature of that example (the Danone Yoghurt advert
In Soviet Georgia) shows us some interesting things about the
particular uses, and limitations, of argument analysis when it comes
to understanding the argumentative strategies and effects of
adverts.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>3.! Adverts as Argument: Walton’s Analysis of</title>
      <p>In Soviet Georgia
Perhaps unsurprisingly, argumentation theorists are often keen to
broaden the class of things that can be considered ‘arguments’. It
has been claimed before that some advertisements, specifically
consumer-directed adverts for medications, constitute arguments
(Walton 2010), and as such the claim that advertisements should
count as arguments will not be a novel one. Indeed, material such
as the examples above are among the kinds of marketing and
advertising communication which is most amenable to analysis as
argumentation, since they are composed of clear linguistic
propositions in the form of premises and conclusions, with the aim
of persuading their audience to adopt a belief or take some action.
When Douglas Walton analysed the successful TV advert for
Dannon yoghurt, In Soviet Georgia, as an argument, he correctly
stated that, analysed as such, this advert followed the practical
reasoning scheme (Walton 2010, p. 8). Walton was concerned to
show that analysing adverts such as this (in particular,
consumertargeted health product ads) as instances of practical reasoning was
preferable to analysing them as almost invariably fallacious
instances of standard deduction (as suggested by Groarke (2009)).
To take In Soviet Georgia as an example, if we analyse the content
of the ad as following a standard deduction scheme (as per
Groarke1), we come out with the following:</p>
      <p>Explicit Premise: Eating a lot of yoghurt causes people to live
a very long time.</p>
      <sec id="sec-4-1">
        <title>Implicit Premise: You want to live a very long time.</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-2">
        <title>Conclusion: You should eat a lot of yoghurt</title>
        <p>This argument commits the fallacy of affirming the consequent, and
as such is deductively invalid.</p>
        <p>Walton suggests that we are better off analysing ads like this as
instances of practical reasoning (in this case, chained with an
argument from correlation to cause), and offers the following
analysis:
Implicit premise 1: The eating of the yogurt is causing the people
in Soviet Georgia to live past 100.</p>
        <p>Implicit conclusion 1: If you want to live longer, you should eat
yogurt.</p>
        <p>Implicit premise 2: You want to live longer.</p>
        <p>Implicit Conclusion 2: You should eat yogurt.</p>
        <p>(Walton 2010, p8)
Walton claims that this kind of analysis is more helpful because,
although this ad is in his view still fallacious in the end, it provides
a framework according to which the advert may not be fallacious.
On final analysis, Walton notes that In Soviet Georgia, as analysed
above, commits the post hoc fallacy (presenting an unwarranted
inference from correlation to cause), because it falls foul of one of
the critical questions appropriate to the argument from correlation
to cause implied by implicit premise 1 (specifically, “C5: If there
are intervening variables, can it be shown that the causal
relationship between A and B is indirect (mediated through other
causes)?” (Walton et al. 2008, p174)); put plainly, it is likely that
there are factors besides eating a lot of yoghurt that play a, perhaps
greater, causal role in the longevity of residents of Soviet Georgia.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>4.! Adverts as Argument: A Critique of</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>Walton’s Analysis of In Soviet Georgia</title>
      <p>I agree with Walton that this is a preferable form of analysis to that
offered by Groarke. It does greater justice to the likely intentions
of the creator of the advert (to persuade the audience to take a
certain action, for which purposes practical reasoning is the most
obvious scheme to adopt); it better reflects the reasoning process
that audiences may go through if they decide to assess the advert as
an argument (they will be likely to ask questions about, for instance,
how likely it is that the advertised products will meet their needs);
and, it is also a far more charitable interpretation, in that whether or
not the argument comes out as informally valid will depend on
whether the advert provides sufficient information to answer the
relevant critical questions, rather than just failing in virtue of its
argumentative structure. Indeed, Walton’s main point in his 2010
paper is that, in many cases of advertising and marketing material,
since they tend to follow the argumentative scheme of practical
reasoning, the major question for both audiences and argument
theorists when making judgements on the adverts’ informal validity
is in whether they provide sufficient supporting information to
answer common Critical Questions appropriate to practical
reasoning such as the following:
CQ1: What other goals that I have that might conflict with the [goal
at issue,] G should be considered?
CQ2: What alternative actions to my bringing about [suggested
action,] A that would also bring about G should be considered?
CQ3: Among bringing about A and these alternative actions, which
is arguably the most efficient?
CQ4: What grounds are there for arguing that it is practically
possible for me to bring about A?
CQ5: What consequences of me bringing about A should also be
taken into account?
(Walton et al. 2008, p322)
The upshot is that, assessing arguments such as In Soviet Georgia,
as well as the above examples from the STCD, will often come
down to a) deciding what counts as sufficient information for the
audience to answer the critical questions appropriate to (for the
1 It should be noted that Groarke does not offer an analysis of In
Soviet Georgia, but I am assuming that, given the relevant
similarities in the two cases, he would offer an analysis of In
Soviet Georgia along the lines I suggest.
most part) practical reasoning and b) deciding whether the adverts
in question supply that information.</p>
      <p>Explicit Premise 4: Danone is a natural, wholesome food that does
supply many nutrients
Although these remarks about the approach we should take to
adverts, and the analysis of In Soviet Georgia as written are, as far
as they go, perfectly reasonable, there is a fascinating discrepancy
between the original advert as aired and Walton’s analysis. Walton
claims that the advert makes an argument from correlation to cause,
and that the insufficiency of material provided to answer critical
questions concerning the directness of the correlation between
eating yoghurt and longevity constitutes a post hoc fallacy on the
part of the advert. However, if we examine the original advert as it
aired, this conclusion becomes suspect. Below is a transcription of
the narration of the advert in full:
In Soviet Georgia, there are two curious things about the people.
A large part of their diet is yoghurt, and a large number of them
live past a hundred. Of course, many things affect longevity, and
we’re not saying Danone yoghurt will help you live longer. But
Danone is a natural, wholesome food that does supply many
nutrients. By the way, eighty nine year old Bagrat Tabaghua liked
Danone so much, he ate two cups! That pleased his mother very
much.2
The crucial sentence is highlighted in bold. The narrator of the
advert states, explicitly, that no causal claim is being made about
the connection between eating [Danone] yoghurt and longevity.
So, in fact, even though the argument as stated by Walton does
indeed commit the post hoc fallacy, it is very much open to question
whether the advert as aired commits this fallacy, since it explicitly
denies that it is making any such claim. In fact, not only the TV
commercials, but various print advertisements during the same
campaign also made the same refutative point in both banner
headlines and small print (Gabrichidze 2015).</p>
      <p>There is a simple measure we could take to ‘fix’ Walton’s analysis,
noting that although the advert denies that it is making an argument
from correlation to cause, it does make claims about the health
benefits of Danone yoghurt (that it is a ‘natural, wholesome food
that does supply many nutrients’) and that someone who is in a
position to know good yoghurt likes Danone (‘eighty nine year old
Bagrat Tabaghua [who is from Soviet Georgia, where they eat a lot
of yoghurt] liked Danone so much, he ate two cups!). We could
therefore reconstruct the argument in the ad in something like the
following way:
Explicit Premise 1: In Soviet Georgia, they eat a lot of yoghurt
Explicit Premise 2: In Soviet Georgia, a large number of people
live past a hundred.</p>
      <p>Implicit Premise 1: If you eat a lot of yoghurt, you will live past a
hundred</p>
      <sec id="sec-6-1">
        <title>Implicit Premise 2: You want to live past a hundred</title>
        <p>Explicit Premise 3: We are not saying that eating yoghurt will help
you live longer
Implicit conclusion 1: Eating yoghurt is not an optimal means to
satisfy the desire of living past a hundred.</p>
        <p>Implicit Premise 3: You ought to eat natural, wholesome foods
that supply many nutrients
Implicit Premise 4: You ought only eat natural wholesome foods
when they are enjoyable.</p>
        <p>Explicit Premise 5: Eighty-nine year old Bagrat Tabaghua [who
lives in Soviet Georgia, where they eat a lot of yoghurt], liked
Danone so much he ate two cups!
Implicit Premise 5: Somebody in a position to know good yoghurt,
thinks Danone is enjoyable.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-6-2">
        <title>Implied Conclusion 2: You ought to eat Danone yoghurt.</title>
        <p>The above, as a rough outline of the argumentative structure of the
advert as aired, seems a) a fair reflection of the literal meaning
expressed and implied by the advert and b) informally valid.
However, what is fascinating about the case of the In Soviet
Georgia advert is that Walton is not the only person to have
understood this advert as making a (potentially specious) assertion
of a causal link between eating yoghurt and longevity. An article
in the Georgian Journal, for instance, states that “The implied
message of the advertisement was clear: Eat yoghurt because it
promotes vitality and longevity!”3 Furthermore, the advertising
campaign was famously successful, held as being principally
responsible for the reversal of fortune of the previously faltering
Danone company as well as a precipitous rise in the consumption
of yoghurt in the US that lasted until the early 1990s (King, 1998).
Taken together, and given that merely mentioning the putative
wholesomeness and tastiness of a food is hardly the stuff of
groundbreaking advertising, it is prima facie plausible that the audience of
these adverts did in fact take them to be making a claim about the
connection between eating yoghurt and longevity, and furthermore
that this claim motivated them to eat more yoghurt.</p>
        <p>How are we to make sense of this possibility? One potential answer
is that the text of the advert does in fact make an argument from
correlation to cause, but that the argument is not explicit but
implicated; that is, the advert intends that the audience should
understand it to be making that argument, even though that
argument is not expressed or entailed by its explicit contents.
However, thinking in terms of argumentation theory this would not
explain the success of the advert. This is because if In Soviet
Georgia successfully made the argument from correlation to cause
via conversational implicature, the explicit denial of the conclusion
of that argument renders the argument as a whole self-refuting.
This would not just be a case of an audience being presented with
an argument that we, as argumentation theorists, can understand to
be fallacious, but which regular audiences may not have the tools
to recognise as such. Rather, this would be a case of an audience
acceding to a proposition argued for by implicature in the face of
an explicit refutation of that argument. This is, firstly, contrary to
the way we usually understand implicature of this kind working
(conversational implicature is by definition cancellable, meaning
that proposition is not implicated if it is accompanied by an explicit
statement contradicting it (Grice 1989, p. 39)). Secondly, even if
2 Marsteller Advertising Agency (1973) “Danone – In Soviet
Georgia” [https://youtu.be/J8AK7uX_La0] (accessed 19th April,
2017).
3 Gabrichidze (2015)
46
the audience didn’t reject the implicated argument, they have no
reason given in the text to reject the explicit refutation of the
implicated argument, and so we could still not explain the success
of the advert in terms of some feature of the argumentation. These
considerations also count against the idea that the refutation of the
argument from correlation to cause merely weakens that
conclusion, rather than denying it completely; the explicit denial
that the advert is even making the argument from correlation to
cause means that, applying even minimal standards of rationality,
an audience would not be licensed to believe that such an argument
was being made at all.</p>
        <p>Of course, there is more to most adverts than text, and the
propositions explicitly expressed or implicated by it. Some
theorists have argued that even those adverts featuring no linguistic
elements (such as adverts which are purely pictorial), or no obvious
argumentative structure (such as those featuring a picture with only
a single line of writing attached to it) can still be understood as
arguments (Birdsell and Groarke 1996). Although it is obviously
true that some adverts are wholly constituted by pictures, that many
others are largely pictorial, and that a great deal of communication
material that is not strictly advertisement relies on pictures for their
effects in the same way, I am very sceptical that the best way to
characterise the contribution of pictures is to claim that they
function as arguments. Absent a radical revision of what the basic
features of argument are (premise, inference and conclusion), it
seems clear that whether or not pictures can constitute arguments
will depend on whether pictures have propositional content, and
have propositional content that can be harnessed for argumentative
purposes. While there are some philosophers of pictures who
defend the former (Grzanowski 2014 is one of few examples),
nobody has, as far as I’m aware, established the latter. Indeed, one
of the areas of common ground in the debate about whether
pictorial content is propositional is the acceptance that there is no
pictorial way to represent negation (although there are of course
conventional and symbolic ways to approximate the effect of a
negation operator on depicted content, that does not mean that a
picture itself is capable of expressing a negated proposition)
(Sainsbury 2005). While this does not, by itself, establish that
pictures cannot avail themselves of a familiar argumentative
structure, it does mean that they could not express any argument
involving negation, which is a severe limitation. The same
observation may well go for other logical operators too, particular
examples that spring to mind are disjunction, identity and
counterfactuals (how can a picture express a counterfactual
proposition?). Even if we believed that pictorial content was
propositional it would be very difficult to suggest that pictures
could express arguments while accepting that they could not avail
themselves of so many familiar argumentative structures that
require the use of these operators. It might be plausible to suggest
that many adverts make use of non-pictorial, but still non-linguistic
features and techniques that have the same function as those
operators in a lot of cases (the familiar red circle with a line through
it, laid over the top of a picture, may well function as a negation
operator on the supposed propositional content of a picture).
However, this can hardly account for all instances of pictures in
advertising, and there is no evidence that such techniques are at
play in the case at hand.</p>
        <p>None of this is to say that pictures don’t make an important
contribution to the arguments made by advertisements, marketing
and other kinds of communication material, only to say that we
might be better off understanding the contributions of pictures to
these arguments as non-argumentative, but instead merely
rhetorical. Some might wish to deny that there is a hard line
between what counts as argument and what counts as rhetoric, and
I wouldn’t necessarily disagree. However, for our purposes, it is
beneficial to limit our sense of what counts as argumentation only
to that which we can understand and diagram using the tools of
informal logic, and thereby those which express premises and
conclusions as propositions, and plausibly imply the validity of
inferences from one to the other.</p>
        <p>A further possible explanation is that the context of the statements
in adverts, presented as they as a part of advertising campaigns,
which consumers know full well are designed to try to sell them
things, has a dramatic effect on the way they are taken up by the
audience (Walton 2010, p. 11). Making explicitly contradictory or
absurd claims is a not infrequent advertising tactic, using such
claims as an instrument for humour (as in the famous claim from
Carlsberg lager that they make “probably the best lager in the
world”). It is possible that In Soviet Georgia could have been
constructed so as to make use of this technique (by having the
voiceover read their lines in a sarcastic tone, for instance), but there
is little in the campaign that suggests that this was the aim. What
humour is in the advert consists largely of a somewhat patronizing
wryness targeted at the simplicity and joy of its subjects which, if
anything, would seem to support the alternative reading of the
advert that I proposed above, and would not obviously do anything
to suggest to the audience that they should not take their avowed
denial of making a causal claim at face value.</p>
        <p>If we are to be sceptical that the pictorial, humourous or other
contextual elements of the advert make supplementary arguments
that might serve to refute the refutation of the argument from
correlation to cause, then does there remain a way to understand the
non-linguistic elements of the advert as contributing to its success?
I think there does, and in a way which helpfully illuminates the role
that argumentation theory ought to play in understanding the
mechanisms at play and the effectiveness of advertisements,
particularly for those comprising the STCD. I will explore this
more fully in the next section, but in brief my proposal is that
although we can fruitfully understand the majority of arguments as
exhibiting an argumentative structure, to account for the
effectiveness of advertisements, because of the kinds of
argumentative structure they typically exhibit, we must appeal to
criteria beyond the scope of traditional argumentation theory.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-7">
      <title>5.! Argument and Motivation</title>
      <p>To explain, let me first point to some obvious things about
arguments and their ultimate and proximate goals. Argumentation
in general can be undertaken with several different kinds of
ultimate goal: I can make an argument with the aim of getting you
to believe a proposition, to desire a state of affairs, to commit to
doing something or even with the aim of having you take some
action in the world. Importantly, while the proximate goal of
somebody making an argument (if we understand arguments in the
traditional way) will always be to have their interlocutor accede to
some proposition (if we are following the highest epistemic
standards of rational argument, then the aim will be to have their
interlocutor accede to a proposition because it follows from valid
inferences connecting true premises), the ultimate goal of making
an argument will in many circumstances be broader than merely
having somebody accede to a proposition for the right reasons. If I
make a legal argument, it is because I want the judge to rule in my
favour; if I present an argument to my boss to the effect that I ought
to be able to take a week off, I want her to give me the week off
(not just accede to the proposition that I ought to have the week
off). Similarly, if we are to understand advertisements and
marketing as a form of argument, then we ought to understand the
47
aims of such argument not merely as having an interlocutor accede
to a proposition, but having the interlocutor (usually) behave in a
certain way. In particular, the examples found in the STCD aim at
achieving a substantial and long lasting change in the behaviour of
their audience; specifically, a change in their preferred modes of
transportation.</p>
      <p>Understanding that the goals of an argument might be ultimately to
do with something other than merely having an audience accede to
a proposition necessitates that we consider the link between rational
persuasion and motivation to act, and also that we re-evaluate some
of the traditional aims and methods of argumentation theory in
order to make the approach maximally beneficial to us here. The
still dominant philosophical account of the way rationality interacts
with motivation is owed to David Hume. According to the Humean
picture of motivation, belief is insufficient for motivation, which
always requires the presence of a desire. Thus, it is insufficient to
explain my eating yoghurt just in terms of the relevant beliefs I have
(that there is yoghurt in the fridge, that I am hungry, that eating
yoghurt will satisfy my hunger, etc.). An explanation of why I ate
the yoghurt must also include some desire on my part, to the effect
that, for instance, I desired to sate my hunger.</p>
      <p>While arguments made in law courts or to employers take place in
a context wherein the audience can be expected to hold some quite
specific background desires (the judge: a desire to act in accordance
with principles of law and justice; the employer; a desire to act in
accordance with the best interests of the company, etc.), and within
a framework where the specific beliefs that the argument aims at
producing in the audience are closely connected with the desired
action. This means that, in the legal case for instance, we have
every reason to expect that once I have persuaded the judge that my
case is supported by the law, the judge will rule in my favour, with
very little possibility of any countervailing desires acting on their
motivation. Adverts, on the other hand, can operate with no such
certainty. This is partly because, to a large extent, advertisers
cannot predict what countervailing desires may weigh upon the
motivational framework of the audience such that, even if they
accede to the conclusion of the argument presented, they will be
motivated to act on it.</p>
      <p>What is interesting about many adverts is that the practical
reasoning employed assumes goals and values broad enough that
the vast majority of their potential audience will share them to some
degree. A huge majority of us desire to be healthy, to save money,
to eat good food, to live long lives and to not cause more damage
to the world than necessary. Why then do these arguments not all
work on all of us all the time? Simply put, it is because the desires
invoked by the adverts in question do not turn out to be the one that,
for whatever reason, is currently the most effective in forming
motivations to act. Indeed, although Walton notes that for success
in advertising, the designer of an advert using practical reasoning
“needs to base it on what he takes to be the commitments of the
reader, including the reader’s presumed goals and values.” (Walton
2010, p6), the larger question is, having established that the goals
presumed by the advert are likely to be ones shared by the audience,
how can the designer of an advert ensure that the desires assumed
by the advert will be prominent enough in the audience’s
motivational framework to make it likely that the audience will act
as the advert intends? This is particularly relevant for
understanding the success and failure of advertising campaigns
such as those featuring in the STCD, where the more altruistic
desires that may prompt one to live a more eco-friendly lifestyle
often take a backseat to desires for convenient, cheap and efficient
transport.</p>
      <p>48
The answer to this question is complex, and it is beyond the scope
of this paper to provide any detailed account (I am rather concerned
to instead spell out how investigation of this issue relates to the
analysis of the argumentative strategies of advertisements). I can,
however, offer some considerations on how we might begin to
approach the issue. The question is best expressed, I think, as one
of salience; that is, how does an advert make certain background
desires salient (i.e. relevant, prominent or important) for an agent
in forming motivations to act? There will certainly be many
features in advertising that contribute to this, but I would suggest
that vanishingly few of them will be revealed through the analysis
of those adverts’ argumentative structures. To reiterate, this is not
to say that there is no value in analysing the argumentative structure
of adverts such as In Soviet Georgia and those found in the STCD;
there is enormous value in that enterprise. Firstly, because
enormous quantities of adverts clearly adopt the rhetorical form of
arguments, whether to providing genuine rational support for their
aims, or to add the illusion of rational support with the rhetorical
trappings of argumentation. In such cases it is very valuable to be
able to adjudicate on whether those adverts actually provide the
rational support for their aims that they might appear to. Secondly,
argumentative analysis provides a powerful, standardised form of
analysis that can be helpful in designing and implementing
deliberative Artificial Intelligences (Bratman, Israel and Pollack,
1988), although as I have illustrated, those Artificial Intelligences
will be unable to accurately account for the behavioural effects of
those arguments unless they can determine the ways those
arguments make specific background desires salient for motivation
to act.</p>
      <p>One of the principal observations I want to make here is that just
because advertisements can be fruitfully analysed as arguments,
that does not mean that they necessarily function as arguments to
their audience. As such, if we are concerned to investigate the
effectiveness of different kinds of argument in advertising we may
not need to be overly concerned with establishing the fallaciousness
or validity of any particular example of argument. As we saw in
the In Soviet Georgia example, the argument expressed by the
advert is at best fallacious, and at worst self-refuting, but the advert
itself is famously successful in its aim of achieving changes in
behaviour. It is highly likely, therefore, that the persuasive force of
adverts such as In Soviet Georgia is located in places other than the
strength of the argument presented.</p>
      <p>As mentioned, I suggest that one of the principle places we might
look for the success of adverts such as these is in how they make
common background desires salient for motivation to act. It has
been suggested that this can be achieved through further iterations
of modelling practical reasoning (Atkinson et. al , 2006 p.186).
This is certainly a potentially powerful method for modelling the
way an ideal epistemic agent might order their preferences (and so
decide which desires ought to be prioritised in forming motivations
to act), but this is another case where it is unclear how much help
that would be in predicting the behavioural responses of agents in
the real world. Advertisers do not often introduce iterative chains
of practical reasoning intended to rationally persuade consumers,
but rather make use of emotive devices to help their advertisement,
and by proxy the product advertised, remain relevant to the
consumer long after the advert has aired (Mehta and Purvis, 2006,
Gordon 2006). Such emotional responses, if primed in the
audience, are a way of enabling the audience to directly perceive
the contents of the advert to be valuable to them; such is the role of
emotion in practical reasoning according to a dominant view of
emotions in philosophy (Helm 2010). This is plausibly a role that
pictures, and other non-argumentative rhetorical features of
advertisements frequently play in the way advertisements are
received by audiences. Pictures of smiling, happy centenarians
featuring throughout the In Soviet Georgia advert, for instance,
plausibly dispose their audiences to perceive those scenarios as
valuable, and thereby make salient the desire in audiences to be like
those people in certain respects (healthy, happy, living simple
fulfilling lives), and thereby making their recommendations (on
things like what kinds of food to eat) more relevant in forming
subsequent desires about food purchases. These suggestions are
supported by research into the persuasive power of fictional stories,
which show how argumentatively irrelevant features of a story,
such as how absorbing or immersive the story is, can enable a
change in both professed beliefs and measurable behaviour more
effectively than traditional argument (Green and Brock 2000).
Those who want to use the tools of argumentation theory to
understand the persuasive power of advertising should be mindful
of the fact that, although revealing the argumentative structure of
adverts can reveal very interesting features of those adverts,
nonargumentative elements of adverts, those which make certain
desires salient for motivation in the audience, are likely to be
significantly more important in explaining their behavioural effects
than the validity or fallaciousness of the arguments themselves. It
would certainly be a useful endeavour in argumentation theory to
attempt to formalise those motivation-enabling features of
arguments such as those found in advertisements, perhaps enabling
them to be integrated into the diagrams commonly used in the field
to describe how arguments function. Models which admitted
inclusion of such factors would, furthermore, greatly improve the
utility of datasets such as the STCD, allowing greater
understanding of how and why the included material succeeds or
fails in achieving behaviour change.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-8">
      <title>6.! REFERENCES</title>
      <p>[1]! Khatib, A., Wachsmuth, H., Matthias, Hagen, M., Kohler, J.,
Atkinson, K., Bench-Capon, T., McBurney, P. (2006)
“Computational Representation of Practical Argument”,
Synthese, 152: 157-206
[12]!Marsteller Advertising Agency (1973) “Danone – In Soviet
Georgia” [https://youtu.be/J8AK7uX_La0] (accessed 19th
April, 2017).</p>
    </sec>
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