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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Measuring Persuasiveness in Behaviour Change Support Systems</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Dominic De Franco</string-name>
          <email>d.f.defranco@dundee.ac.uk</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Alison Pease</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Mark Snaith</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Centre for Argument Technology University of Dundee Dundee</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>DD1 4HN</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="UK">UK</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <fpage>41</fpage>
      <lpage>47</lpage>
      <abstract>
        <p>In order to guide, measure and record progress in BCSS's a framework which outlines relevant aspects and methods by which they may be measured must be agreed. In this paper we introduce relevant criteria from argumentation: argument mode, initial position, belief entrenchment and incremental persuasion and show how these apply to a real world example of behaviour change. We finish by proposing a preliminary evaluation matrix which places our new criteria into context with existing criteria. This has three dimensions: (i) the type of persuasion, (ii) the person being persuaded and (iii) the type of evaluation.</p>
      </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1 Introduction</title>
      <p>In order to guide, measure and record progress in BCSS’s a framework which outlines
relevant aspects and methods by which they may be measured should be agreed.
Evaluation is often by questionnaire, which aims to measure belief and/or behaviour change.
For instance, the Perceived Persuasiveness Questionnaire (PPQ) [10] administered after
a persuasive interaction with a BCSS, asks users to scale such factors as trustworthiness,
influence and relevance; or by an evaluation task [3] in which users rank their
preferences before and after a persuasive interaction. A measure of persuasion is constructed
and normalised from the difference between the two rankings. In addition to
evaluating belief-change, standard quantitative experiments are performed in some contexts to
measure behaviour-change, such as measuring the effect that placing different products
by a cash register has on consumer behaviour [9]. Here we see an interplay between
conscious belief and unconscious choice [6], with the relationship between these two
still very unclear.</p>
      <p>Both of these types of evaluation are limited in that they cannot explain the processes by
which a participant was persuaded, and nor can they be administered during a
persuasive interaction, in order to inform real-time strategies employed by a persuader. In this
paper we draw on theories from argumentation to propose ways in which existing
measures could be enhanced to overcome these two issues. We envisage that future BCSS’s
will use the extensive data generated by tracking user behaviour during a persuasive
interaction to inform persuasive strategies in real-time.</p>
      <p>The paper is organised as follows, in S2 we give a real-world example of persuasion
between three participants in a motivational interviewing setting. In S3 we analyse
the example from an argumentation perspective and suggest ways in which persuasion
could be measured during a persuasive interaction and the processes by which it occurs
could be explained. In S4 we use the theories from argumentation to introduce our
preliminary evaluation matrix for BCSS, which we plan to expand to include further
metrics. We conclude in S5.
2</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>A Case Study in Motivational Interviewing</title>
      <p>
        We conducted a series of video and audio-recorded interviews between patients and
healthcare professionals1 in the context of the Council of Coaches project [1]. Our goal
was to see how multiple healthcare professionals might interact with a patient to
support them in behaviour change. Here, we present an excerpt from a session in which the
patient (Kate) is a lawyer, who has recently been diagnosed with diabetes and is
experiencing difficulties with low blood glucose. Kate is talking to a motivational interviewer
(Colin) and a dietician (Barbara)2, who suggest that Kate could manage her blood
glucose by increasing her intake of carbohydrates. Kate is very reluctant to do this as she
is on a low carb diet for weight reasons, preferring instead to change her medication.
Kate: Is this your way of trying to get me to take carbs? (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        )
Colin: I guess the bottom line is, that nobody can make you do anything. (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        )
Barbara: You’re your own person. (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        )
Colin: So, it’s up to you what you decide to do. (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        )
Kate: Well, to encourage me. (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        )
Colin: What I would like to do, is to provide you with information that comes from the same
sources you would use for your work, in other words, someone who has spent their career
developing their knowledge and their skill, to understand diet and how that relates to diabetes. And
that is perhaps what I was trying to get to, not to try to get you to do something you don’t want
to do. (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        )
Kate: I see. I see where you’re coming from. (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">7</xref>
        )
Colin: And I just wonder whether it might be useful to have a thought about that, and think
whether that might be a conversation worth having, where we can have that open discussion, and
you can understand where Barbara, as a dietician, is coming from. (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
        )
Kate: Well, I’m certainly open to listening. (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        )
Colin: Okay. (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
        )
Kate: I’m not making any promises. (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
        )
Colin: That would be a useful place to go forward from then? (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">12</xref>
        )
Kate: Yes, I’ll be open to listening anyway. (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">13</xref>
        )
Colin: Thank you, okay, yeah. Barbara, what would you add to the conversation around about
carbohydrates and the affect on your bodies in relation to diabetes? (14)
Barbara: Okay. So maybe more focus should be put on the types of carbohydrates that we’re
having, rather than whether we have them in our diet or not. Because it’s absolutely true, I think,
as a population, we include more of the less healthy carbohydrates in our diet, so things that are
1 In order to comply with ethical standards the role of the patient was played by an actor, with
personas and scenarios developed prior to the interviews.
2 Names have been changed to protect anonymity.
really high in refined, added sugar, so cakes and biscuits and sweeties. So yes, they all have
carbohydrates, however they’ve also got a lot of fat, a lot of calories, which can contribute to weight
gain. But actually there’s lots of healthy types of carbohydrates. Have you heard of something
called the glycaemic index before? (15)
Kate: No, that’s not something I’ve come across. (16)
Barbara: No? So, the glycaemic index is a measurement really, it goes from zero to 100. The
highest food you’ll get for a glycaemic index is pure sugar. Because that raises your blood sugar
the quickest. Yeah? So, anything lower in the glycaemic index, will raise your blood sugar much
slower, it’ll keep you feeling fuller for longer, and those are the types of carbohydrates that we
really should be focusing more on, and as a population, we could all do with include more low
GI foods in our diet. (17)
Kate: Aha. (18)
Barbara: So, types of low GI foods are things like wholemeal granary breads, wholemeal pasta,
wholemeal rice, beans and pulses as well. (19)
Kate: Now, that’s something I would try. I’m really not keen on the bread and the pasta and the
rice, but beans and pulses, I could incorporate into a vegetable based meal. (20)
Barbara: Beans and pulses are a really good source or soluble fibre, so they’ll help your digestive
system working well, also a good source of protein and iron, so they’ve got lots of other nutrients
in there. Not only that, they do count as one of your five a day. (21)
Kate: Oh do they? (22)
Barbara: They do, yeah. So, if you’re having a lovely vegetable based meal, with your beans and
pulses, you could potentially have two or three of your five a day in that one meal. (23)
Kate: Right okay. (24)
Barbara: And also that means, from this conversation, we are including that small amount of
carbohydrate, which hopefully will stop your blood sugar coming down, maybe later on, after
your meal. (25)
Kate: Right okay, that’s interesting. (26)
While this is an excerpt from a conversation between people on behaviour change, we
are aiming to develop a vitual coaching system in which the healthcare professionals
are virtual agents, forming a BCSS. In the following section we discuss how we might
evaluate persuasiveness during the conversation, and ways in which argumentation can
elucidate how the process of belief change occurs.
3
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Case study analysis</title>
      <p>
        Argument Mode. Aristotle identified three modes of persuasion: ethos, concerned with
the personal character of the speaker; pathos, eliciting certain emotions from the
audience; and logos, using logical arguments and supportive evidence [4]. Here we see all
three in evidence: in appealing to Barbara’s expertise in (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ), Colin uses ethos; Barbara
uses logos when she builds up a logical argument in (21) that beans and pulses are
healthy carbs, shown as an argument map in figure 1; and in (23), Barbara uses pathos
when she refers to a “lovely vegetable based meal”.
Argument Schemes. Walton et al [12] identify over a hundred patterns of reasoning
that are used in everyday arguments. We see two examples in this excerpt: argument
from analogy, in which Colin compares the importance of expert sources in the domain
of nutrition to those in Kate’s work in (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ): “What I would like to do, is to provide you
with information that comes from the same sources you would use for your work”.
This uses analogy to move from properties which the persuadee already accepts about a
source domain which is familiar to them (knowing about the law), to similar properties
in a target domain (knowing about nutrition), in the persuasive step. We also see Colin
establishing an argument from authority in (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
        ), where he says “you can understand
where Barbara, as a dietician, is coming from.” For each argument pattern, Walton et al
characterise critical questions, such as whether the two domains are similar in a relevant
way, or whether the “authority” has really made a certain claim. These provide a useful
guide for anticipating what a persuadee might ask.
Initial Position. Persuasion may reinforce, shape or change beliefs or behaviour. In
order to both evaluate the effect that a persuasive interaction has on a person and
tailor it to them, it is important to find out what their initial position is, if they have one.
Walton and Krabbe [13] elaborate persuasion dialogues which begin with the
participants holding conflicting points of view. The goal of this type of dialogue is to resolve
these conflicts, with each participant attempting to persuade the other. In our case study,
Kate’s initial position is a belief that carbs are unhealthy and that she should avoid them.
This conflict is signalled at the beginning of the excerpt, on (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ), with much of the
following conversation a negotiation of which carbs are healthy and which are unhealthy.
In other persuasion interactions - and indeed other parts of our excerpt, participants
might start from a neutral point of view. We see this in (16), where Kate has no initial
position on the glycaemic index, instead moving into an information-seeking dialogue.
      </p>
      <sec id="sec-3-1">
        <title>Belief Entrenchment and Incremental Persuasion. Belief entrenchment concerns the</title>
        <p>degree to which a persuadee holds a belief, and how connected that is to other beliefs.
In classic theories of belief revision, such as the AGM model [2] an agent (real or
virtual) places a qualitative entrenchment ordering over their beliefs. A persuadee is less
likely to give up beliefs that are more entrenched; conversely, less entrenched beliefs
are more susceptible to change or revision. Quantitative approaches to entrenchment
include the use of argument structure and acceptability to determine measurable effects
of giving up or revising a belief [11]. In approaches such as this, a value can be placed
on the persuadability of an agent based on the measurable effects of accommodating
the new, or conflicting, information in their knowledge base. This can also be used in
determining new methods of persuading an agent based on their willingness to accept
new information.</p>
        <p>Calculating belief entrenchment during a persuasive interaction is useful, since if a
belief is very deep then it may be more effective to use incremental methods of persuasion.
Calculating belief entrenchment – possibly via longitudinal studies – both before a
persuasive interaction to measure depth of initial position, and after, to measure depth of
the new persuaded position can be used to evaluate the power of a persuasive system.
We see examples of belief entrenchment in our case study in (15-26) where, having
realised that Kate’s beliefs about carbohydrates are deeply entrenched, Barbara employs
a much more incremental style of persuasion, building up to her overall conclusion. In
this case, each of Barbara’s individual sub-arguments represent a small enough change
that Kate is willing to accept.
4</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>A Preliminary Evaluation Matrix for BCSS’s</title>
      <p>In the above section we have applied ideas from argumentation to a case study in
motivational interviewing, and shown how they would be relevant in an evaluation of a
BCSS. One important pre-existing metric is the notion of persuadability – an
individuals’ susceptibility to persuasive strategies and principles [8]. This can be measured
prior to a persuasive interaction; for instance using the 7-item persuadability
questionnaire developed by Kaptein et al [7]. Busch et al [5] developed further methods by
which participants’ persuadability using specific strategies can be estimated and utlised
to make a BCSS more personalised and persuasive. We have combined this with the
argumentation measures and general evaluation metrics to form the following preliminary
evaluation matrix for BCSS’s.</p>
      <sec id="sec-4-1">
        <title>Persuasion Persuadee Evaluation</title>
        <p>Scheme: [see [12] ] Initial position: [degree] Method [qualitative, quantitative]
Mode: [ethos, pathos,logos] Belief Entr: [degree] When performed: [before, during, after]
Incremental: [degree] Persuadability: [degree] Who performs: [manually, automatically]</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Conclusions</title>
      <p>We have shown via a case study that argumentation can suggest useful ways of
measuring BCSS’s, and combined these with pre-existing metrics to suggest an evaluation
matrix. This is by no means complete or sufficiently detailed: future work will involve
developing it to include further metrics and practical guidance.</p>
      <p>Acknowledgements. We are indebted to the Council of Coaches team for their
assistance in conducting the interviews; in particular to Tessa Beinema and Harm op
den Akker for their development of personas and scenarios; to Catherine Pelachaud,
Reshmashree Bangalore Kantharaju and Gerwin Huizing for their advice on recording
equipment and setup, and to Nicholas Conway for organising and hosting the sessions.
We acknowledge the financial support of the European Commission for the H2020
Council of Coaches project, under Grant Agreement No. 769553.</p>
    </sec>
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  </back>
</article>