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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Proceedings of STPIS'18 Choosing agile or plan-driven enterprise resource planning (ERP) implementations - A study on 21 implementations from 20 companies</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Lucas Gren</string-name>
          <email>lucas.gren@gu.se</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Alexander Wong</string-name>
          <email>alex.wong@gu.se</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Erik Kristo↵ersson</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Chalmers University of Technology and the University of Gothenburg SE-412 96 Gothenburg</institution>
          ,
          <country country="SE">Sweden</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>University of Gothenburg, School of Business</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Economics, and Law. SE-405 30 Gothenburg</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="SE">Sweden</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <fpage>40</fpage>
      <lpage>55</lpage>
      <abstract>
        <p>Agile methods have gotten a good reputation for managing projects in many di↵erent sectors. A challenge among practitioners in the ERP (Enterprise Resource Planning) domain, is to decide if an agile method is suitable or not for new projects. This study investigates how decision-makers select between agile and plan-driven ERP implementation projects in relation to known factors from previous research. We selected projects that the decision-makers assessed as successful, but borderline, agile and plan-driven projects already implemented and let project managers fill out a survey consisting of key agile or plan-driven characteristics. We found that the assessment made by decision-makers did not di↵er on any aspects except higher executive buy-in for process change, and the prioritization of low cost in the agile projects. This study highlights the diculty in selecting implementation strategy for a large part of the ERP implementations, and the data show that the decisionmakers could not make such a decision at an early point in time without contextual knowledge.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>agile project management</kwd>
        <kwd>strategic decision making</kwd>
        <kwd>empirical study</kwd>
        <kwd>enterprise resource planning systems</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>-</title>
      <p>
        Plan-driven methods encourage detailed planning from the beginning of a project.
Its most well known instantiation is the waterfall process. The waterfall process
typically enables good performance when requirements are predictable,
technologies are feasible, and plans are irrevocable [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ]. However, when this is not
the case, the most logical solution is to simply evolve the product as the client’s
needs change along the project development process. This shows the need for a
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>Proceedings of STPIS'18</title>
      <p>
        method to be more flexible than a formal waterfall approach. Hence the shifting
trend to the more iterative or incremental style of agile methods [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        Another reason to why firms adopt agile methods is the rapidly changing
market situation of today. Agile methods o↵er a combination of disciplined
execution and innovation. Irrespective if companies are selling products or
consulting services, meeting the market’s demand becomes increasingly important.
The embedded incremental approach in agile methods makes it easier to meet
market demand and adapt to its change. What was set as a requirement a year
ago, can become obsolete when it reaches the market. When working with
plandriven project methods one face a risk that time and resources are invested in
the wrong things. Agile methods reduce this risk [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        What makes agile methods interesting is that they seem successful. The IT
industry is in general enthusiastic about agile methods and it is one of the
most important trends. In academic literature agile methods are describes as
“examples of apparently major success stories” [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ]. Qumer et al. [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        ] claim that
the phenomenon has meant “unprecedented changes to the software engineering
field”. A recent large empirical study from 2015 including 1002 projects shows
that agility does contribute to project success (mainly eciency and overall
stakeholder satisfaction) [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ]. At the same time, Agerfalk et al. [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ] as well as
Dingsoyr et al. [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">7</xref>
        ], have emphasized that research yet has not answered the
questions of how, why and in which contexts agile methods truly work. This
creates challenges for managers who shall decide if to apply a plan-driven or
agile project method. Research on agile methods is, in general, weak in theory
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">7</xref>
        ], hence no dominant theoretical perspective on the understanding of agile
methods has been established, such as when to apply an agile project method
instead of a traditional plan-driven method, such as Waterfall.
      </p>
      <p>
        Most companies which claim to manage projects according to an agile method,
are in practice applying a mixture of agile and plan-driven methods [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
        ]. This
mixture is not necessarily bad as e.g. organizational context may be less adapted to a
pure agile method. There are many factors which impact whether a plan-driven
or an agile method is best suited for a certain project, but none of the ones found
in the public domain has any empirical validation presented in connection to it.
      </p>
      <p>
        Agile development processes have spread to most aspects of software
engineering and systems development. Also, at a larger company, such as SAP AG,
the implementation of agile principles seem to increase customer satisfaction,
give better results, and project also report e↵ort savings of up to 20%,
according to an internal report [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        ]. The agile method says that smaller teams perform
better and should not be more than five to nine members. Just like any big
projects, SAP implementations need multiple small teams and interaction that
fit the more classical standard SAP implementation milestones around the agile
project [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        ]. This means that SAP implementations need more of a
Water-ScrumFall process and keep their heritage of good architectural planing and rigorous
testing. Many companies adapt the “agile methods” to their own context in such
a way today [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
        ].
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Proceedings of STPIS'18</title>
      <p>
        At SAP AG they have experimented with using the agile method Scrum in
the development phase of implementation projects since 2011. SAP divided the
project types in three delivery models: 1. Assemble-to-Order Projects, 2.
DesignBased Projects, and 3. Industrialized Projects, at the time of this research. The
first one used an agile method as default due to the preferences of these types
of project. The last one needed a rigorous planned approach and could leverage
agile in some enhancements only. The tricky part was to know and navigate
through the middle type of project, i.e. the Design-Based ones. The
DesignBased projects could be helped by an agile method if the project had emerging
requirements and were innovative. It would therefore be interesting to see if/
decision-makers distinguish between projects that already have selected an agile
method from projects that did not on a set of characteristics defined in previous
research. This study put together agile discontinuing factors based on previous
research (on agile potential [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
        ], discontinuing factors [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
        ], and agile/plan-driven
risks [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">12</xref>
        ]) together with expert opinions from SAP practitioners involved in the
projects, to see if the two types of project are assessed di↵erently by the project
managers on any of the items in the measurements. Since the decision of which
method to use is at an early stage in the planning process (i.e. on a strategic
level), the experts assessed which of the items (and added more if necessary to
them) in the tool that could be assessed at the project stage they are in when
they are forced make the decision.
      </p>
      <p>Hence, the aim of the research is to investigate if decision-makers can
distinguish how agile and plan-driven projects di↵er in their strategic characteristics
in the ERP domain by having the decision-makers assess the projects on a set
of typical characteristics taken from previous research, and also let them assess
the appropriateness of the selected implementation type.</p>
      <p>Research Question
– “Can decision-makers separate between how agile and plan-driven good-fit
projects di↵er in their strategic characteristics in the ERP domain?
2
2.1</p>
      <sec id="sec-3-1">
        <title>Agile Project Management</title>
        <sec id="sec-3-1-1">
          <title>Agility – The Strategic Perspective</title>
          <p>
            Even though the word agile is not present in the traditional management
literature the underlying meaning of the concept is not new. The early organizational
theorists, such as Taylor, Fayol, and Ford planned on the basis of a fundamental
view that the world is predictable and therefore planning is essential [
            <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">13</xref>
            ]. After
their great days of management in the early 1900s, the management literature
moved increasingly towards the notion of greater flexibility.
          </p>
          <p>
            [
            <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14">14</xref>
            ] argues that strategic planning does not work and advocates strategic
thinking for companies who want to be successful. The argument is that the
outside world is not possible to predict, i.e., there is no single best way. Instead,
the author claims that a strategy that is flexible and adaptable is beneficial. [
            <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">15</xref>
            ]
          </p>
          <p>
            Proceedings of STPIS'18
have congruent ideas and specifies “bricolage” (do-it-yourself) skills as a valuable
asset; the belief being that a successful employee should have the ability to act on
his/her own, when necessary. In various articles and books Weick (e.g., [
            <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15 ref16">16, 15</xref>
            ])
gives examples of people and situations in which this quality proved successful.
[
            <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">17</xref>
            ] promoted the idea of double-loop learning as a positive, but dicult to
achieve, characteristic of an organization. By doing, evaluating, and doing again,
an organization can constantly advance in the production and learn from the
mistakes made. In the same context a successful Japanese management method
in the 1980s was produced, called Kaizen, emphasizing continuous improvement.
It was sprung from the successful Japanese automotive industry and had a high
impact on later management ideas [
            <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">13</xref>
            ].
          </p>
          <p>
            Agile methods emphasize the importance of employees to devote themselves
more towards the production and less to the documentation work. Daily
meetings and frequent customer contacts replaces a deliberate strategy and careful
planning. Congruent to the Kaizen or the double-loop learning methods, the
agile method can take di↵erent paths through a project. There is an acceptance for
changing the plan. Bricolage is valued and strong similarities with autonomous
groups can be observed. What possibly is new with the agile ideas is that the
product itself may evolve in several directions. Kaizen, autonomous groups and
Total Quality Management (TQM) are much about developing methods of
production and improve the quality, but do not focus (in the short time perspective)
on that the end product itself can take many di↵erent forms. In the software
industry, where the agile methods were first introduced, this is a fact today [
            <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">18</xref>
            ].
          </p>
          <p>
            The implications for working in an agile way are that you wish to receive
usable results quickly; the product should be functional in an early stage and then
developed continuously in collaboration with the client. According to [
            <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">18</xref>
            ] the
agile principles are usable when the project has undefined demands, or when the
client does not really know what she or he asks for. The principles are therefore
less suitable when the opposite situation occurs; agreements with a firm frame
that are extremely specified. [
            <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">19</xref>
            ] write that the biggest challenge for today’s
companies is to satisfy the demands of flexibility in a rapidly changing
environment. They claim that every company that manages to survive the start-up
process is optimized for eciency rather than strategic flexibility. They compare
a company’s management to an operative system (suitable to the agile theme)
that is optimized for a “day-to-day business”, but less adapted to the rapidly
changing environment. The reason why these types of methods have become so
popular in software engineering is probably because companies in that business
sector have to be agile or else they will die out and be replaced. In other sectors
in the corporate world organizations have not yet met the extreme conditions
and environment that exists in software engineering, but they are getting there.
That is probably why the “agile” thinking first surfaced in management, were
fully adopted by the software industry, and now spread back to management
under a di↵ erent name.
2.2
          </p>
        </sec>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Proceedings of STPIS'18</title>
      <sec id="sec-4-1">
        <title>Plan-Driven vs. Agile Method</title>
        <p>
          An agile method description is typically designed as a set of recommended
practical arrangements (e.g. roles, meeting procedures, documents and other
tangible organizational arrangements) which claims to have a positive impact on the
participant’s engagement, flexibility, and productivity. In agile methods, the
importance of the development team’s autonomy is stressed. The practical design
of roles, meeting procedures etc. should continuously be adapted to local needs,
both within the organization and in to the specific project, even during the
ongoing project. But without a solid explanation of how the agile arrangements
impact the participants, every local adaptation may become a conjecture
according to [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20">20</xref>
          ]. The adaptations are often based on fragmented experiences and
intuition, and with some bad luck they become ine↵ective or even counteract
their purpose. [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref21">21</xref>
          ] explain the di↵erences between the two methods in Table 1.
Systems are fully specifiable, High-quality, adaptive
softpredictable, and can be built ware can be developed by
through meticulous and ex- small teams using the
printensive planning. ciples of continuous design
improvement and testing
based on rapid feedback and
change.
        </p>
        <p>Process centric
Command-and-control
Explicit</p>
        <p>People centric
Leadership-andcollaboration
Tacit
Fundamental
Assumptions
Control
Management
Style
Knowledge
Management
Role
ment</p>
        <p>Assign- Individual – favors special- Self-organizing teams –
enization courage role
interchangeability
Communication Formal
Customer’s Role Important
Informal
Critical
Project Cycle
Development
Model</p>
        <p>Guided by tasks or activities Guided by product features
Life-cycle model (Waterfall, The evolutionary delivery</p>
        <p>Spiral, or some variation) model
Desired Organi- Mechanistic (bureaucratic Organic (flexible and
particzational Form / with high formalization) ipative encouraging
cooperaStructure tive social action)
Technology</p>
        <p>No restriction</p>
        <p>Favors object-oriented
technology</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Proceedings of STPIS'18</title>
      <sec id="sec-5-1">
        <title>Research on success factors for ERP implementations</title>
        <p>
          An enterprise resource planning (ERP) system is an information system that
today is enterprise-wide. It is a software used to e↵ectively plan and manage
all resources of the organization. The initial use of IT in production was to
plan and manage material and were therefore initially called material
requirements planning (MRP) systems. The demand for integrated information
systems and increased competitiveness made ERP vendors extend their software
to more aspects of the enterprise and renamed their software to ERPs
(enterprise resource planning). An even further demand to also cover supply chain
management (SCM), supplier relationship management (SRM) and customer
relationship management (CRM) lead to calling the systems ERPII systems
[
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref22">22</xref>
          ].
        </p>
        <p>
          There has been some studies conducted to explain what factors that make
an ERP implementation successful. Koh et al. [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref22">22</xref>
          ] conclude that the strategic
partnership between the vendor and the customer is the key success factor for
any enterprise-wide implementation.
        </p>
        <p>
          Bradley [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref23">23</xref>
          ] investigated project success in relation to previously suggested
factors in relation to ERP implementations. The factors that di↵erentiated
between successful and less successful projects were: (1) choosing the right full time
project manager, (2) training of personnel, and (3) the presence of a champion.
Unsupported di↵erentiators were (1) the use of consultants, (2) the role of
management to reduce user resistance, (3) the use of a steering committee to control
the project, (4) integration of ERP planning with business planning, (5)
reporting level of the project manager, (6) active participation of the CEO beyond
project approvals, (7) resource allocation, and (8) occasional project review.
        </p>
        <p>
          To summarize, the related work found is in relation to plan-driven project
management and we found no rigorous academic studies on the agile approach
to ERP projects, only smaller statements on the existing integration of agile
ideas into ERP software (see e.g. [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref24">24</xref>
          ]).
4
        </p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-5-2">
        <title>Agile Fit Tools</title>
        <p>The following section presents three di↵erent tools, that have been suggested
by researchers, to evaluate the suitability of an agile approach on a strategic
level. The reason for selecting these three tools was that they were the only
ones found with a high-level approach to agility included. We looked for overall
characteristics to assess the suitable project approach at an early point in time.
4.1</p>
        <sec id="sec-5-2-1">
          <title>Agility Measurement Index</title>
          <p>
            Datta [
            <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
            ] describes an Agility Measurement Index as an indicator for
determining which method of Waterfall, Unified Software Development Process (UP), or
eXtreme Programming (XP) should be used. Where Waterfall is plan-driven,
UP is considered to be in the middle, and XP is an agile method. The author
          </p>
          <p>Proceedings of STPIS'18
suggests five dimensions of a software development project that should be taken
into account:
– Duration (D): How far ahead the deadline is.
– Risk (R): The impact of the project deliverable when it is in use, and it
malfunctions.
– Novelty (N): If it is a brand new context for this type of product.
– E↵ort (E): Time the customer is willing to put into the project.
– Interaction (I): The amount of interaction between group members and
customers during the project.</p>
          <p>Each dimension is given a minimum x score and a maximum y score according
to how complex the di↵erent aspects are in each organization. After this an actual
score a is set for the specific project (based on the range between x and y). The
Agility Measurement Index AMI is then defined as,</p>
          <p>AMI =</p>
          <p>P ai
P yi
(1)</p>
          <p>
            A low score means that the project has short duration, low risk, etc. and
thus a Waterfall approach is suggested [
            <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
            ].
4.2
          </p>
        </sec>
        <sec id="sec-5-2-2">
          <title>Using Risk to Balance Agile and Plan-Driven Methods</title>
          <p>
            Another useful way of looking at these di↵erent types of projects is to look at the
risks of using one or the other for a specific project. Their first step is to apply
risk analysis to see if the project fits any of the agile or plan-driven home-grounds
[
            <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref25">25</xref>
            ]. The dimensions used for this assessment are:
          </p>
          <p>Regarding aspect 1 the agile home-ground is rapid value and responding to
change. The plan-driven home-ground is in that case predictability, stability,
and high assurance. Agile projects should also have smaller teams compared to
good plan-driven fits. The environment is also turbulent with a high change rate
and more focused on the own project. Aspect 2 includes that the customer
relations in agile is intimate and focused on prioritized increments while plan-driven
has as-needed customer interactions and focus on contracts. The planning and
control mechanisms are more qualitative in agile projects and more
quantitative in plan-driven ones. Regarding communications, the agile project is seen
to have tacit interpersonal knowledge while the plan-driven has explicit
documented knowledge. The technical aspects of point 3 is that requirements are
more informal rapidly changing user stories in agile and built on an extensive
design with a foreseeable requirements evolution in plan-driven. The development</p>
        </sec>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>Proceedings of STPIS'18</title>
      <p>
        of agile is short increments and under the assumption the re-factoring is cheap.
The plan-driven home-ground has documented test plans and procedures, which
agile has not. Aspect 4 states that agile projects has collocated customers that
are dedicated and the developers are much more technically skilled and a
culture of comfort, empowerment with many degrees of freedom. Pure plan-driven
project thrive on order and have comfort and empowerment via framework of
policies and procedures [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref25">25</xref>
        ].
4.3
      </p>
      <sec id="sec-6-1">
        <title>Agile Adoption Framework</title>
        <p>
          In order to define which agile methods an organization is ready to use, Sidky [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
          ]
suggests a method he calls the Agile Adoption Framework. He motivates its use
by arguing that even though there are many success stories in agile development,
they are not really generalizable. Sidky [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
          ] then criticizes the framework created
by [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref25">25</xref>
          ] presented above, since it addresses agility in its generic form and not
the actual practices. The transition to agile principles is tricky on a number of
aspects, according to Sidky [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
          ]. These are to:
1. Introduce structure in a complex and unpredictable process like that of agile
development.
2. Measure and assess agility independent of agile methods.
3. Accommodate project and organizational characteristics influencing agile
adoption e↵orts.
4. Ensure that the framework guides adoption e↵ort in an e cient and e↵ective
manner.
        </p>
        <p>
          Sidky [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
          ] then makes claims that his approach deals with all these points.
The approach is based on a tool that has two parts. The first part is called the
Agile Measurement Index (it is the same name as Datta [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
          ] uses, but it is a
di↵erent tool) and serves the purpose of being:
– A tool for measuring and assessing the agile potential of an organization
independent of any particular agile method.
– A scale for identifying the agile target level.
– Helpful when organizing and grouping the agile practices in a structured
manner based on essential agile qualities and business values.
– Able to provide a hierarchy of measurable indicators used to determine the
agility of an organization.
        </p>
        <p>The second part is the use of the Agile Measurement Index through a
fourstage process that will assess, firstly, if there are discontinuing factors, secondly,
an assessment at project level, thirdly, an organizational readiness assessment,
and lastly, a reconciliation phase. In this study we are interested in the high-level
discontinuing factors.</p>
        <p>The discontinuing factors (or deal breakers or showstoppers) are critical
overall aspects that need to be in place for agile software development to have a
chance at working well. These are:</p>
        <p>Proceedings of STPIS'18
– Inappropriate Need for Agility
• Historical Project Schedules and Budgets
• Challenges with current software process
• Rate of Change of Project Requirements
• Time to Market Needed for Project
– Lack of Sucient Funds</p>
        <p>• Availability of Funds
– Absence of Executive Support</p>
        <p>• Executive Management Buy-in</p>
        <p>The three tools suggested in this section were synthesized into the survey
used in this study, which is described in more detail in the next section.
5</p>
        <sec id="sec-6-1-1">
          <title>Method</title>
          <p>To investigate if decision-makers assess agile or plan-driven projects di↵erently,
we used the Agile Fit Tools presented in the previous section to develop a survey
to be filled out by project managers for existing implementations, i.e. we collected
real project data from current and past agile and plan-driven implementation
projects. We were looking at good agile fits or good traditional fits only, i.e.
we were only looking for the projects that are ideal at each side of the agile/
traditional plan-based spectrum.
5.1</p>
        </sec>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-6-2">
        <title>Subjects</title>
        <p>The research subjects, SAP customers, were selected by implementation experts
within SAP. The selected companies were appointed by the regional agile
implementation responsible from those continents, and the assessments were done
by a person with an overview of the project on the SAP-side. The persons
responsible for the continents were the ones giving feedback on the first version of
the survey, and we received data from 6 organizations in North America, 3 in
the Asia-Pacific region, 7 from Europe, and 5 from Latin America. The sample
in this study was 21 projects from 20 companies (two project from the same
company), and the 10 agile projects in this study were close to the only ones
existing in the world within SAP (we know about a few more we did not get any
response from). This means that the data in this study reflect almost the whole
current population, and the industries represented in out data. Figure 5.1 shows
the distribution of industries for the given sample.
5.2</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-6-3">
        <title>Data Collection</title>
        <p>The initial feedback from the persons responsible for each continent, except
Western Asia and Africa, (N = 4) were either via email or teleconference. The
feedback regarded their experience in connection to what to alter or add/remove
from the survey. The survey was then sent to the 21 managers involved in each</p>
        <p>Business Areas
Automotive
Banking
Chemicals
Eng, Constr &amp; Op
IEnddu,cM&amp;aRcheisneearryc,hcomp
Insurance
Oil&amp;Gas
Public sector
Retail
Sports &amp; ent</p>
        <p>Utilities
2
Utilities
9.52%
project. Ten of them were stating that their projects were a good agile fit and
eleven stated that their project was a good fit for the plan-driven approach.
However, they were all design-based projects, which means they were all what
was considered the middle-ground by SAP. The surveys were collected via an
emailed o✏ine spreadsheet.
5.3</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-6-4">
        <title>Survey</title>
        <p>Page 1
When creating the survey we first summarized all categories included in the
methods presented under the Agile Fit Tools section and the feedback received
from the agile experts within SAP (the “agile process” responsible for each
continent). We then compared them to each other and made sure all characteristics
were covered in our own survey items. After this, the survey questions were
tweaked to fit the SAP-specific context. The complete survey is shown in
Table 3 shows the items as they are stated in related work and not the SAP-specific
version. One critical di↵erence between ERP implementations and many other
projects is that they are always carried out at the customer-site. Therefore,
critical questions about customer contact were left out due to the fact that these
types of projects are always run within the customer organization.</p>
        <p>
          The questions from Sidky [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
          ] regarding Executive management buy-in were
initially included but later removed from the discussion because all these items
(items 17, 18, 19, 20, and 22 seen in Table 3) included the words “agile” or
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    <sec id="sec-7">
      <title>Proceedings of STPIS'18</title>
      <p>“agility”. It is evident that traditional projects get lower scores on items
including this vocabulary and are therefore not very useful to analyze.
Depending on the type of variable we conducted di↵erent analyses. Since we want
to test if the survey items are di↵erent when it comes to chosen approach (agile
or plan-driven) our dependent variable is categorical. Some of our independent
variables were also categorical and with such a small sample size we also have the
issue of not being able to assume normality, so we can not use Pearson’s 2 test
for example. Therefore we used a Fisher’s Exact Test or an Exact Contingency
Table (i.e. randomization tests) for categorical variables and the Mann-Whitney
U Test for the independent variables measured on an interval scale.
6</p>
      <sec id="sec-7-1">
        <title>Results</title>
        <p>The result of building the survey was to exclude some items due to the feedback
received that such items can not be assessed at that strategic and early point
in time. They were therefore left out and only the ones stated as possible to
assess at an early stage were kept in the survey. Also, the questions regarding
the respondents view of agility (items 17, 18, 19, 20, and 22) were expected
to be significantly di↵erent since these items are about view of agility. These
are important to have in the analysis criteria but are not presented here since
they were obviously di↵erent for the collected samples (our statistical tests also
confirmed this).</p>
        <p>The wording is slightly changed here to protect the intellectual property of
the tool, but the meaning is the same however on a higher level of abstraction
than the specific SAP case.</p>
        <p>
          None of the Fisher’s Exact Tests were significant at ↵ = 0.05 (two-tailed
tests). We used the same method for the variable Priority of Time, Quality, and
Cost. This categorical variable has six levels and we therefore used a 2 ⇥ 6 Exact
Contingency Table (see Table 2). The sum of the probabilities of “unusual”
tables was p = 0.058 so we conclude that it is unlikely that we observed such a
table randomly, even if the value is slightly higher than 0.05, and we therefore
reject the null hypothesis of independence (see e.g. [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref26">26</xref>
          ] for more details on this
statistical method). To get an idea of the e↵ect size, we can see that there is
a 100% chance that an agile project would prioritize Cost first (before both
Quality and Time) for our sample. We can therefore reject the null hypothesis
of Cost being of equal priority with 94.2% probability in favor of the alternative
hypothesis of that cost was more of a priority for the agile projects.
        </p>
        <p>Only one of the items in an interval scale were statistically significant, i.e.
Insucient current development process, meaning that the previously used project
method was regarded as insucient by the customers. The mean rank for the
agile group was 12.79 and 7.41 in the plan-driven group (p = 0.035).</p>
        <p>We will now discuss the results and draw conclusions.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-8">
      <title>Proceedings of STPIS'18</title>
      <p>Table 2. Exact Contingency Table for item the prioritization of quality, time, and
cost.</p>
      <p>Q1T2C3 Q1T3C2 Q2T1C3 Q2T3C1 Q3T1C2 Q3T2C1 Total
Agile
Non-Agile</p>
      <p>Total
p for agile
1
5
6
.17
7</p>
      <p>Discussion
1
2
3
.33
1
3
4
.25
3
0
3
1
1
1
2
.5
3
0
3
1
10
11
21
This study set out to investigate if decision-makers can distinguish between good
agile and plan-driven fit projects on a set of survey items in order to see if such
decisions make sense at such an early point in time.</p>
      <p>
        The major finding is that we found little support in our data that the
decisionmakers can distinguish between agile and traditional projects the design-based
category. We found a significant di↵erence in that the projects had chosen an
agile approach to cut costs. This is generally not a good idea since a change in
process has a learning curve connected to it. An agile approach does not
necessarily cut costs, but increases customer satisfaction and project success instead
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ]. Nevertheless, the participating agile projects were assessed as having costs as
a higher priority then the plan-driven ones, a priority which can be explained by
the di↵erent commercial setups between plan-driven and agile projects. While
plan-based projects typically are fixed-price, and agile projects is more targeted
to “pay as you deliver,” the need for cost control increases in agile projects.
      </p>
      <p>
        A reason for trying a new implementation method could simply be to replace
one that is not satisfactory. The question is if a change is inherently good just
because it is a change, probably not always. The participating agile projects were
assessed as having a higher degree of discontent with the current implementation
method, meaning when the choice was made to implement the next one using
the agile modifications, which, on the other hand, is a prerequisite for successful
change, i.e. to believe the change is necessary [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref27">27</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        This study therefore confirms the conclusion made by Koh et al. [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref22">22</xref>
        ] that it
is very dicult for management to know, especially at an early stage, what will
make an ERP implementation succeed or fail. The only significant di↵erences
we managed to find were prioritizing costs over time and quality, and if the
customer see a need to change the current process of implementation. These are
very general aspects of any change e↵ort and we did not find that decision-makers
could assess any real process-related di↵erences between agile and plan-driven
design-based projects. Therefore, we conclude that, in the ERP domain, we know
which implementation strategy to choose in extreme cases (stable requirements
or unknown and/or changing ones), but in the middle, it is very dicult to assess
di↵erences when the decisions were actually made.
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-9">
      <title>Proceedings of STPIS'18</title>
      <p>
        Of course we have other success factors of an agile method, e.g. team
capability, organizational culture, and empowerment of the team are important critical
success factors for example [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref28 ref29">28, 29</xref>
        ]. A collocated high performing team with
good leadership would also most likely have a better chance at succeeding with
an agile approach [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref23 ref30">30, 23</xref>
        ]. However, such information and in-depth analysis was
not known by the decision maker in our study that had to select implementation
method. Therefore, we conclude that the vendor needs deeper knowledge of the
customer in order to select between the agile and plan-driven implementation
strategies in many cases.
7.1
      </p>
      <sec id="sec-9-1">
        <title>Validity Threats</title>
        <p>The largest threat against this study is the small sample size. Even if it is almost
a full coverage of the intended population in the SAP context having data from
other software implementations would, of course, be advantageous. However, we
believe the interesting aspect in this case is the di↵erence between agile and
plandriven projects as assessed by the decision-makers, not di↵erence in software.
From this perspective the given data sample is diverse with 21 di↵erent projects
from four di↵erent continents of the world.</p>
        <p>Another threat is that the assessments were conducted by the project
responsible on the SAP-side. This means we only investigated the perception of the
vendor, which might di↵er somewhat from the customers’ perception of process
and project success. There is also a possibility that the assessment made by the
experts were not as informed as we hope. There might be other criteria in the
organizations that made the project at hand perceived as a good fit for an agile
or plan-driven approach. We also think that some items where we did not find
significant di↵erences should be more important for an agile approach, like the
stability of the teams, or changing or unknown requirements for example.
Perhaps, unstable teams and changing requirements cause as much trouble for both
plan-driven and agile middle-ground projects in the ERP context since even the
agile alternative should be seen as a hybrid.
8</p>
        <sec id="sec-9-1-1">
          <title>Conclusions and Future Work</title>
          <p>This paper set out to see if it is possible for decision-makers to assess the
difference (on a strategic level) between good-fit middle-ground projects using an
agile and plan-driven ERP implementation (i.e. no clear fit for either method)
on a set of survey items based on previous research. Through a statistical
analysis, we have found that these projects were not assessed as di↵erent on most
strategic aspects. The only significant di↵erences we found between these types
of project were that they were assessed as having an insucient current
development process, and a prioritization of costs over time and quality. We conclude
that it is relatively straight-forward which implementation strategy to choose
in extreme cases (stable requirements or highly innovative projects), but in the
middle, the decision-makers do not know at an early stage of an implementation</p>
          <p>Proceedings of STPIS'18
project. These findings are important contributions to practitioners planning
new projects as well as research by showing empirical data on the diculty of
knowing when to leverage agile implementations in the ERP domain. More
studies are needed in other businesses to see how the agile and plan-driven middle
ground projects might di↵er on other aspects than found in this study. We also
need larger studies with both more in-depth investigation and larger samples
(which will hopefully exist in the future).</p>
          <p>
            We would also like to stress that we only looked at how agile and plan-driven
projects perceived as successful in the organization di↵ered. However, the usual
definition of successful projects within SAP is in relation to the commonly used
aspect of organizational impact and on time and on budget project completion
[
            <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref23">23</xref>
            ].
          </p>
        </sec>
        <sec id="sec-9-1-2">
          <title>Acknowledgements</title>
          <p>This study was conducted with SAP AG (http://www.sap.com) and we would
like to thank all the customers who shared information.</p>
        </sec>
      </sec>
    </sec>
  </body>
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