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<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Process Model to Predict Nondeterministic Behavior of IoT Systems</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Yeongbok Choe</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Moonkun Lee</string-name>
          <email>moonkun@jbnu.ac.kr</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Chonbuk National University 567 Baekje-daero Deokjin-gu Jeonju-si Jeonbuk 54896</institution>
          ,
          <country>Republic of Korea</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>Process algebra is one of the best suitable formal methods to model IoT systems, supporting formal specification and analysis. However when IoT systems are under certain uncertainty, it is necessary to model their unpredictability based on the uncertainty. In other words, process algebra should provide specific features to model predictable behaviors to cover this kind of uncertainty, based on probability concept. There have been several process algebras with probability, such as, PAROMA, PACSR, etc. However they are not well suitable for the smart IoT with complex uncertainty, since they are simply based only on discrete model or exponential model. Consequently, they allows only simple or targeted probability to be specified and analyzed, and they only reveal simple or targeted behaviors of the IoT systems. In order to handle such limitations, the paper presents a new formal method, called dTP-Calculus, extended from the existing dT-Calculus with the discrete, normal, exponential, and the uniform probability models. It provides all the possible probability features for the smart IoT system with complex uncertainty. The specification of the modeling will be simulated statistically for the IoT systems, and further the simulation results will be analyzed for probabilistic properties of the systems. In order to demonstrate practicality of the approach, a tool set for the calculus has been implemented in the SAVE tool set, developed on the ADOxx Meta-Modeling Platform, including Specifier, Analyzer and Verifier. It can be considered as one of the most innovative methods with the practical tools.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>dTP-Calculus</kwd>
        <kwd>process algebra</kwd>
        <kwd>probability</kwd>
        <kwd>SAVE</kwd>
        <kwd>ADOxx</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>-</title>
      <p>Internet of Things (IoT) is one of the most important requirements for Industry 4.0.
Especially, Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) requires correctness and safety of
system operations performed by people, in order to guarantee expected industrial
production output, as well as to provide safety protection to the people [1]. In addition, it is
necessary to provide the capability to predict a variety of system behaviors for the
safety protection, detectable from probabilistic system analysis. In order to verify
formally such safety requirements of the systems with respect to the characteristics of
IoT or IIoT, it is desirable to apply formal methods to the IoT or IIoT systems for
formal specification and analysis.</p>
      <p>Formal methods are used to verify various properties of the IoT systems, for example,
communication protocols and security of the systems [2, 3, 4]. However there is lack
of research to verify behavior of the systems in terms of movements of the IoT
devices. In order to guarantee safety of the systems, verification of the behavior, as well as
of security, is strongly required [5]. Therefore process algebra can be used to verify
the IoT systems with the properties of distributedness, mobility and real-time.
Generally, it is very difficult to predict various system behaviors with process algebra
because of its nondeterministic choice operations. In order to overcome the limitation,
a new type of process algebras, such as, PAROMA [6] and PACSR [7], were defined
based on the notion of probability. However these process algebras have limitations to
specify and analyze very complex systems like IoT or IIoT, since PACSR is capable
of specifying probabilistic choice operations in only one form of probability model,
that is, discrete model and PAROMA is only based on exponential distribution model.
In the IoT systems, various behaviors cannot be predicted from the explicitly fixed or
exponentially distributed only probabilistic branch of choice operations, since the
systems behave differently according to different specification and requirements.
Therefore it is necessary to apply various probabilistic models based on normal,
exponential, or other distributions in order to predict various behaviors, instead of being
on the fixed or exponential models.</p>
      <p>In order to handle this kind of limitations, this paper proposes dTP-Calculus, a
probabilistic process algebra extended from dT-Calculus [8] with a set of probability
models, in order to specify and analyze probabilistic behaviors of the IoT systems. Note
that dT-Calculus was originally designed by the authors to specify a variety of timed
movements of processes on virtual geographical space.</p>
      <p>Practically, in order to demonstrate the feasibility and applicability of the calculus to
the IoT systems, a set of tools, known as SAVE, have been developed on the ADOxx
Meta-Modeling Platform. SAVE consists of Specifier, Analyzer and Verifier. And an
example, known as Smart Emergency Evacuation System (SEES), has been applied to
SAVE for specification and analysis in the calculus. It can be considered one of the
most practical tools applied to the IoT system for Industry 4.0.</p>
      <p>The paper is organized as follows. The basic definition of dTP-Calculus is described
in Section 2. The probabilistic models in the calculus are defined and analyzed with
the example in Section 3, and the SAVE tool set [9] to model the calculus is described
in Section 4. Finally conclusions and future research will be discussed in Section 5.
dTP-Calculus</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>Syntax</title>
      <p>dTP-Calculus is a process algebra extended from existing dT-Calculus in order to
define probabilistic behavioral property of processes on the choice operations. Note
that dT-Calculus is the process algebra originally designed by the authors of the paper
in order to specify and analyze various timed movements of processes on virtual
geographical space. The syntax of dTP-calculus is shown in Fig. 1.
10) Exception: P will be executed. But E will be executed in case that P is out of
timeout or deadline.
11) Sequence: P follows after action A.
12) Empty: No action.
13) Send/Receive: Communication between processes, exchanging a message by a
channel r.
14) Movement request: Requests for movement. p and k represent priority and key,
respectively.
15) Movement permission: Permissions for movement.
16) Create process: Creation of a new internal process. The new process cannot
have a higher priority than its creator.
17) Kill process: Termination of other processes. The terminator should have the
higher priority than that of the terminatee.
18) Exit process: Termination of its own process. All internal processes will be ter
minated at the same time.
2.2</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Probability</title>
      <p>There are 4 types of probabilistic models to specify probabilistic choice as follows.
Each model may require variables to be used to define probability:
1) Discrete distribution: It is a probabilistic model without variable. It simply
defines specific value of probability for each branch of the choice operation.
There are some restrictions. For example, the summation of the probability
branches cannot be over 100%.
2) Normal distribution: It is a probabilistic model based on the normal
distribution with the mean value of  and the standard deviation of  , whose density
function is defined by  √12 exp (− ( 2− 2)2).
3) Exponential distribution: This is a probabilistic model based on the
exponential distribution with frequency of  , whose density function is defined by
λe− .
4)
tion is defined by { 1</p>
      <p>−
Uniform distribution: This is a probabilistic model based on the uniform
distribution with the lower bound  and the upper bound  , whose density
func0
( ≤  ≤  ).</p>
      <p>
        Once a model is defined, the conditions for the selection of the branches should be
specified. There are differences in the specifications for the conditions in the models.
In the discrete distribution, the values of the probabilities are specified directly in the
condition as shown in Expression (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ).
      </p>
      <p>
        {0.7}+  {0.3}
(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        )
In other cases, that is, other distribution models, such as, normal, exponential and
uniform, a set of specific ranges are to be specified in the conditions. The following
Expressions (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ), (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ) and (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ) are the examples for normal distribution, exponential
distribution and uniform distribution, respectively.
      </p>
      <p>
        ( &gt; 52)+ (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">50,5</xref>
        ) ( ≤ 52)
 ( &gt; 2.5)+ (0.33) ( ≤ 2.5)
 ( &gt; 5)+ (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3 ref7">3,7</xref>
        ) ( ≤ 5)
(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        )
(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        )
(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        )
During the specification, it is very important to check that the summation of the
probabilities in the conditions on the braches should be less than or equal to 1. In the
discrete distribution, the summation should be 1, since the values are specified directly.
However, in other case, such as, normal, exponential and uniform distributions, the
conjunction of all the ranges in the condition on the braches should be the set of the
real numbers, since the ranges are specified in the conditions. Note that the restriction
on is based on the facts that, if the summation is less than 1, it is possible for no
branch to be selected, and, if it is greater than 1, it is possible for some branches to be
selected at the same time, violating the notion of selection on the choice.
3
      </p>
      <sec id="sec-3-1">
        <title>Example</title>
        <p>3.1</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Specification</title>
      <p>This section demonstrates the applicability of dTP-Calculus to the IoT systems with
an example, known as Smart Emergency Evacuation System (SEES).
Fig 2 shows the specification of the SEES example in dTP-Calculus. The processes in
the example as follows:
1) Control System: The main process to control other processes in case of fire.
2) Sensor: The process to sense fires on Stair A and Stair B.
3) Building: The process to represent the building where the fire occurs. It
contains all the related processes in the building, except 911.
4) Floor: The process to represent the floors in the building. There are two
floors: 1st Floor and 2nd Floor. And two persons, P1 and P2, in 2nd Floor.
5) Stair: The process to represent stairs. There are two stairs: Stair A and Stair</p>
      <p>B. A fire occurs at one of the stairs.
6) Person: The processes to represent the persons in the building: P1 and P2.
7) 911: The process to perform fire extinction and people rescue.</p>
      <p>SEES performs its mission in order as follows:
1) A fire occurs on 1st Floor or the 2nd Floor.
2) Sensor detects the fire and sends a signal to Control System.
3) Control System informs Person of the fire and shows the escape route. And
it sends the signal to 911.</p>
      <p>
        4) Each Person may get out of Building safely, or be confined on 2nd Floor.
5) Building detects the escape of Person, and sends the information of the
escaped to Control System.
6) Control System sends the information of the confined to 911.
7) 911 enters Building, extinguishes the fire on 2nd Floor, and rescues Person.
A fire occurs at Stair A or Stair B in Building, and each Person may or may not
escape from Building. In SEES, three kinds of probabilistic choices are specified.
Expressions (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        ), (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ) and (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">7</xref>
        ) are the probabilistic choices of Building, P1 and P2,
respectively - refer the underlined segments of the code in Fig. 2.
      </p>
      <p>(̅̅̅̅̅̅){0.5}+</p>
      <p>
        (̅̅̅̅̅̅){0.5}
∅ … { &lt; 2.5}+ (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3 ref5">5,3</xref>
        )
∅ … { &lt; 2.5}+ (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5 ref8">5,8</xref>
        )
2
2
… { ≥ 2.5}
… { ≥ 2.5}
(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        )
(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        )
(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">7</xref>
        )
Building is of discrete distribution, and P1 and P2 are of normal distribution. The
range of the choices in P1 and P2 are same, but the values of σ are different. It
implies that the escape and the non-escape, that is, confinement, of each Person are
specified in the probabilistic choices, and different probabilistic values are applied to
each Person.
3.2
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Analysis</title>
      <p>It is possible to analyze the probability of each occurrence of behaviors, that is,
escaping or rescuing, by extracting the system behaviors from the SEES example. Even
though it is possible to calculate the probability of each occurrence mathematically, in
dTP-Calculus, the probability is obtained and analyzed by simulating a significant
amount of trials for each occurrences based on the specifications.
From the specification, it is possible to analyze all the possible execution paths from
the example, as Fig. 3 shows. There are total 8 possible paths, and no system fault,
including deadlock, does occur in each cases.</p>
      <p>
        Each path implies each possible system behavior, as shown in Table 1, based on the
following meanings:
1) Fire: The location where the fire occurred.
2) In: P1 and P2, confined in Building.
3) Out: P1 and P2, escaped from Building.
Now it is possible to perform probabilistic analysis mathematically for each path. The
probability in Building is specified directly in the condition of its probabilistic choice,
but the probabilities in P1 and P2 are to be calculated from their distributions.
According to the normal distribution density function, Expression (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ) and (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">7</xref>
        ) can be
changed to Expression (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
        ) and (
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        ), respectively.
      </p>
      <p>
        ∅ … {0.2023}+ 
∅ … {0.3773}+ 
2
2
… {0.7977}
… {0.6227}
(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
        )
(
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        )
Consequently the probability for each path can be determined to be those shown in
Table 2.
Even if the probabilities are determined, it is necessary to analyze if the system works
according to the probabilities, in order to predict the execution of the system. For that
purpose, simulation can be performed for each path of the execution. In our approach,
Path Analysis of the ADOxx Meta-Modeling Platform [10] was utilized for the
simulation. In simulation, it is possible to define a number of trials for the execution path
in order to analyze its probability. Fig. 4 shows probabilistic analysis by simulation on
the 8th path.
Finally, Table 3 shows the result of the simulation in the tool. The table shows
different values for different trails. The value of the probability changes with respect to the
number of simulation trials. It can be noticed that the value of the probability becomes
close to that of the probability in Table 2, as the number increases. Through the
simulation, it can be checked whether the real system can execute properly according to
the specified probabilities.
SAVE is a suite of tools to specify and analyze the IoT systems with dTP-Calculus. It
is developed on the ADOxx Meta-Modeling Platform. Fig 5 shows the basic tools and
system architecture of SAVE on ADOxx.
SAVE consists of the basic three components: Specifier, Analyzer and Verifier.
Specifier, as shown in Fig. 6, is a tool to specify the IoT systems with dTP-Calculus,
visually in the diagrammatic representations [11]. The left side of Fig. 6 is the
In-theLarge (ITL) model, or system view, representing both inclusion relations among
components of the system and communication channels among them. The right side
of the figure is In-the-Small (ITS) models, or process view, representing a sequence
of the detailed actions, interactions and movements performed by a process.
Analyzer is a tool to generate the execution model from the specification in order to
explore all the possible execution paths or cases, as the left side of Fig.7 shows in the
form of a tree, and to perform trial-based simulation of each execution from the
execution model in order to analyze probabilistic behaviors of the specified system.
Verifier is a tool to verify a set of system requirements on the geo-temporal space
generated, as output, from each simulation for all the execution paths or cases in the
execution model, as the right side of Fig. 7 shows. This model allows both confirming
the behavior and movements of the system and comprehending the security of the
system by visualizing systems requirements and their verification results.
      </p>
      <sec id="sec-5-1">
        <title>Comparative Study</title>
        <p>The representative process algebras to specify probability properties of systems can
be PAROMA [6] and PACSR [7]. These process algebras allow specifying various
probability properties, but they have some limitations to the properties required by the
IoT systems. PAROMA allows specifying exponential distribution probability model
by using the λ parameter, at the time of defining location information of each agent.
Further it is suitable to analyze systems consisting of geographically distributed
agents by applying M2MAM (Multi-class, Multi-message Markovian Agent Models)
[12]. However, the location information is simply a parameter used for
communication, but mobility of the location cannot be expressed properly. PACSR is the process
algebra to express resources and probability. It allows specifying three properties of
resources, time and probability, as well as exceptional handling using time property,
but only simple form of probability using discrete distribution is allowed.
However dTP-Calculus allows specifying various properties of geographical space,
time and probabilities, suitable to the IoT environments. Geographical mobility, not
just simple geographical information, can be expressed, and various types of time
properties can be specified, too. More importantly, various probability properties can
be specified with 4 kinds of probability models, and change of probability from
change of the IoT environment can be more easily specified with probability density
function, not with specific predefined probability. In addition, complex probability
computation and simulation are automatically performed using the SAVE tool. The
analysis of the IoT systems through the simulation increases prediction of
nondeterministic behavior of the systems by showing whether the systems operate properly
according to the specified probability or not.
6</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-5-2">
        <title>Conclusion</title>
        <p>This paper presented a probabilistic process algebra, known as dTP-Calculus,
extended from dT-Calculus. It showed that the calculus allows 4 different types of
probabilistic models in order to specify and analyze the IoT systems. It demonstrated that the
calculus is capable of specifying and analyzing very complex probabilistic system
behaviors, like IoT, based on the probabilistic models.</p>
        <p>The paper, also, showed that a suite of tools, known as SAVE, has been developed on
ADOxx in order to apply the calculus to real industrial examples in Industry 4.0. It
also showed that SAVE can be used for real industrial examples based on different
probabilistic cases in order to generate trial-based simulation output, not from the
mathematical calculation. dTP-Calculus and SAVE can be considered as one of most
innovative modeling methods and tools to specify and analyze very complex system
behavior, like IoT, based on probability.
The future research will be development of requirements analysis and verification
methods for probabilities, and be application of dTP-Calculus and SAVE to real the
IoT examples for Industry 4.0 in order to show its efficiency and effectiveness.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-5-3">
        <title>Acknowledgment</title>
        <p>This work was supported by Basic Science Research Programs through the National Research
Foundation of Korea(NRF) funded by the Ministry of Education(2010-0023787), and Space
Core Technology Development Program through the NRF(National Research Foundation of
Korea) funded by the Ministry of Science, ICT and Future
Planning(NRF2014M1A3A3A02034792), and Basic Science Research Program through the National
Research Foundation of Korea(NRF) funded by the Ministry of
Education(NRF2015R1D1A3A01019282).</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
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