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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title>Spatial Knowledge and Information Canada</journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Exploratory spatial analysis of comorbidities prevalence in people with osteoarthritis</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>XIAOXIAO LIU A</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>RIZWAN SHAHID B</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>STEFANIA BERTAZZON B</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>NIGEL WATERS B</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>ALKA B PATEL A</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>CLAIRE EH BARBER A</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>PETER FARIS I</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>TERRENCE MCDONALD F</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>JUDY E SEIDEL A</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>RAJRISHI SHARMA G</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>TOM BRIGGS H</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>DEBORAH A MARSHALL A</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Applied Research and Evaluation Services, Alberta Health Services</institution>
          ,
          <country country="CA">Canada</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>Department of Community Health Science, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary</institution>
          ,
          <country country="CA">Canada</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2">
          <label>2</label>
          <institution>Department of Family Medicine, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary</institution>
          ,
          <country country="CA">Canada</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff3">
          <label>3</label>
          <institution>Department of Geography, University of Calgary</institution>
          ,
          <country country="CA">Canada</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff4">
          <label>4</label>
          <institution>Department of History</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Archaeology, Geography</addr-line>
          ,
          <institution>Fine &amp; Performing Arts, University of Florence</institution>
          ,
          <country country="IT">Italy</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff5">
          <label>5</label>
          <institution>Department of Medicine, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary</institution>
          ,
          <country country="CA">Canada</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date>
        <year>2019</year>
      </pub-date>
      <volume>7</volume>
      <issue>7</issue>
      <abstract>
        <p>There is limited evidence on the geographical variation in the prevalence of comorbidities in people with osteoarthritis in Alberta. Our study explores the spatial pattern of osteoarthritis comorbidities along the rural-urban continuum. The results showed a pattern of higher age-sex standardized prevalence rate of osteoarthritis comorbidities in the north and rural areas compared to the south and urban areas, respectively. Hot spots were identified in the north remote area for osteoarthritis with two or more comorbidities, and osteoarthritis with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. This study provides information for health care planning to support access to health care services.</p>
      </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <p>
        Osteoarthritis (OA) is the most common
form of arthritis affecting 10% to 15% of
Canadian population and is the leading
cause of hip and knee joint replacement
surgery
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">(Birtwhistle et al., 2015)</xref>
        . The
prevalence of OA is expected to continue
rising due to an aging population and
increasing rates of obesity, a leading risk
factor for OA
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17 ref21">(Kopec et al., 2008; Rahman
et al., 2014)</xref>
        Comorbidities are commonly
associated with musculoskeletal conditions
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">(Briggs et al., 2018)</xref>
        , especially among the
elderly
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">(Guisado-Clavero et al., 2018)</xref>
        , which
greatly increases the disease burden of OA
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">(Briggs et al., 2018)</xref>
        . Comorbidities have the
potential to influence routine clinical
practice, healthcare utilization and costs of
OA patients
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10 ref16 ref8">(Duffield et al., 2017; Cimmino
et al., 2013; Kim et al., 2011)</xref>
        .
      </p>
      <p>
        The Canadian Medical Association (CMA)
and Alberta Health Services (AHS) have a
goal to achieve equitable access to OA care,
with a focus on patients in rural and remote
areas
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14 ref7">(Canadian Medical Association, 2013;
Government of Alberta, 2008)</xref>
        . Albertans
live across urban, rural and remote areas,
creating potential difference in access to
health care. It is of great importance to
examine the geographic variation of
comorbidities among people with OA. Our
study aims to explore the spatial pattern of
comorbidities along the rural-urban
continuum, and identify the areas with hot
spots of comorbidities.
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>2. Methods and Data</title>
      <sec id="sec-2-1">
        <title>2.1 Data sources and case definition</title>
        <p>
          Records were extracted from five
administrative health databases - Alberta
Health Care Insurance Plan (AHCIP)
population registry, Discharge Abstract
Database (DAD), Physician Claims Database
(claims), Ambulatory Care Classification
System (ACCS), and Alberta National
Ambulatory Care Reporting System
(NACRS)
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">(Marshall et al., 2015)</xref>
          . Records
across the five databases were linked using a
unique patient identifier. The ninth and
tenth revisions of the International
Classification of Disease (ICD) codes were
used to identify OA-related visits. We
defined OA cases by applying a validated OA
case definition - at least one OA
hospitalization (DAD), or at least two OA
physician visits (claims) within two years, or
at least two OA-related ambulatory care
visits (ACCS/NACRS) within two years,
assuming none of the physicians or
ambulatory care visits had occurred on the
same day
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12 ref17 ref18 ref23">(Lix et al., 2006; Widdifield et al.,
2013; Kopec et al., 2008; Felson et al.,
2000)</xref>
          .
        </p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-2">
        <title>2.2 Definitions of comorbidities in people with OA</title>
        <p>
          Based on the literature and expert guidance
from clinicians, we included a list of 8
chronic conditions for analysis:
hypertension (HTN), depression (DEP),
chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
(COPD), diabetes (DIAB), peripheral
vascular disease (PVD), cerebrovascular
disease (stroke) (CEVD), myocardial
infarction (MI), and congestive heart failure
(CHF). Validated algorithms for each of the
selected comorbid conditions were applied
to identify comorbidities
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref22">(Tonelli et al.,
2015)</xref>
          .
        </p>
        <p>The OA cases were grouped by the number
of comorbidities: OA with none of these
comorbidities, OA with one of these
comorbidities, OA with two or more of these
comorbidities. With respect to the OA cases
with only one comorbidity, we further
categorized this group by the type of
comorbidity: OA with only HTN, OA with
only DEP, OA with only COPD, OA with
only DIAB, OA with only CHF, OA with only
PVD, OA with only MI, and OA with only
CEVD.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-3">
        <title>2.3 Age-sex standardized OAcomorbidity rate</title>
        <p>
          The OA cases were stratified by sex and age
group (18-35, 35-44, 45-54, 55-65, 65-74,
75-85, and &gt;=85 years of age). Direct
standardization method was applied to
calculate the age-sex standardized OA
comorbidity rates
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">(Boyle &amp; Parkin, 1991)</xref>
          .
The Alberta OA prevalence population in
2013 were selected as standard population.
        </p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-4">
        <title>2.3 Geographic area</title>
        <p>
          Alberta Health Services created 5
geographic zones for directing operational
issues, and 7 rural-urban continuum for the
purposes of analysis and planning. The
rural-urban continuum were created based
on population density and distance from
urban centres, including Metro (Calgary and
Edmonton), Moderate Metro influence,
Urban (Grand Prairie, Fort McMurray, Red
Deer, Lethbridge and Medicine Hat),
Moderate Urban influence, Rural Centre
(Brooks, Canmore et al.), Rural, and Rural
Remote. By stratifying the rural-urban
continuum by the 5 geographic zones, we
identified 20 geographic sub-areas (Figure
1) in order to capture potential variation
associated with both zone and rural-urban
continuum
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">(Alberta Health Services and
Alberta Health, 2017)</xref>
          . The six-digit postal
codes reflecting patient residence were
extracted for spatial analysis.
        </p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-5">
        <title>2.4 Spatial analysis</title>
        <p>
          The latitude and longitude of each postal
code was obtained by linking the OA data
and the Postal Code Translator Files
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">(Alberta Health, 2013)</xref>
          . Spatial analysis in
this study included global Moran’s I
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20">(Moran, 1950)</xref>
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">(Cliff &amp; Ord, 1973)</xref>
          ,
incremental spatial autocorrelation
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">(Esri,
2017)</xref>
          , and hot spot analysis
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13 ref3">(Getis &amp; Ord,
1992; Anselin, 1995)</xref>
          . Moran’s I is a basic
measure of spatial autocorrelation, which
produces a spatial autocorrelation index
ranging from 1 (positive spatial
autocorrelation) to -1 (negative spatial
autocorrelation). Incremental spatial
autocorrelation measures the strength of
spatial autocorrelation by different distance
band. Hot spot analysis based on the
GetisOrd Gi* statistic detects spatial patterns of
hot spots. The conceptualization of spatial
relationship between postal codes in both
urban and rural areas were captured by
spatial weight matrix with a fixed distance
band and a minimum number of nearest
neighbors. The critical value of plus or
minus 1.96 for Z scores and a p value =0.05
were applied to make decisions regarding
accepting or rejecting the null hypothesis.
The hot spot maps were generated by
interpolating Z scores with the Inverse
Distance Weighting Interpolation.
        </p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-6">
        <title>3. Results</title>
        <p>We identified 359,638 OA cases in Alberta
in 2013 (Table 1), of which 52% had at least
one comorbidity (n=186,350), and 18% had
two or more comorbidities (n=120,936).
Comorbidities were more frequent in
females in all comorbidity groups,
compared to males (23% vs 20% for OA
with at least one of these comorbidities; 8%
vs 7% for OA with two or more
comorbidities).</p>
        <p>Among OA cases with only one comorbidity,
HTN was the most frequent comorbid
condition, accounting for 13% (n=46,871) of
total OA cases, followed by DEP (10.6%,
n=38,248), COPD (7%, n=25,495) and
diabetes (2%, n=7,794). CHF, PVD, MI and
CEVD were identified to be the least
frequent comorbid conditions in OA cases,
with the percentage of OA cases ranging
from 0.3% for CHF to 0.04% for CEVD.
Comorbidities with a frequency lower than
3% were excluded from spatial analysis due
to limited number of cases.</p>
        <p>By rural-urban continuum, the age-sex
standardized prevalence rate for OA with
one comorbidity ranged from 321 per 1,000
(Urban-North) to 269 per 1,000
(RuralCentre-North) and for OA with two or more
comorbidities from 152 per 1,000 (Moderate
Urban-North) to 263 per 1,000 (Rural
Centre-South). For OA with HTN only, rates
ranged from 101 per 1,000
(Rural-CentreCalgary) to 142 per 1,000
(Moderate-MetroCalgary), for DEP only 81 per 1,000
(RuralRemote-North) to 143 per 1,000
(RuralCentre-Calgary), and for COPD 61 per 1,000
(Rural-Centre-South) to 126 per 1,000
(Rural-Centre-North). In general, the
prevalence rates for OA with comorbidities
tend to be higher in the north, compared to
OA without comorbidities (Figure 2). The
rate of OA with HTN and OA with DEP was
higher in the south. OA with COPD only was
observed to be higher in the north.</p>
        <p>Global Moran’s I suggested a statistically
significant spatial autocorrelation for all
comorbidity groups. A spatial weight matrix
with a fixed distance of 6 km and at least 8
nearest neighbors was generated to model
the spatial relationship of postal codes in
both rural and urban areas. Hot spots
analysis identified hot spots of OA with one
comorbidity in both Rural-North and
RuralSouth (Figure 3). OA with HTN showed hot
spots in the Moderate Urban area, in both
south and north, and Rural Remote –
Northwest. While for OA with COPD only,
we identified hot spots mostly in Rural
Centre-North, Rural Remote –North, and
Rural Remote –Northwest.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>4. Conclusion</title>
      <p>We explored the geographic variation in OA
comorbidities and showed that higher rates
of comorbidities in people with OA tend to
be observed in the north rural areas. The
findings provide valuable information for
planning healthcare delivery and informing
equitable access to health care. Further
research will explore the driving factors
influencing this observed variation.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Acknowledgements</title>
      <p>Acknowledge funders.</p>
      <p>This work was supported by the Canadian
Institute of Health Research and the Arthur
J.E. Child Chair in Rheumatology Research.</p>
    </sec>
  </body>
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