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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title>March</journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Exploring How to Personalize Travel Mode Recommendations For Urban Transportation</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Shiwali Mohan</string-name>
          <email>shiwali.mohan@parc.com</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Mat Klenk</string-name>
          <email>matthew.klenk@parc.com</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Victoria Belloti</string-name>
          <email>vbellotti@lyft.com</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Lyft</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>San Francisco, California</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="US">USA</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>Palo Alto Research Center</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Palo Alto, California</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="US">USA</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date>
        <year>2019</year>
      </pub-date>
      <volume>20</volume>
      <issue>2019</issue>
      <abstract>
        <p>hTe diverse transportation services of today's cities pose a significant opportunity for personalizing route planning user's experiences. To understand what people are taking into account in mobility decisions, we present a pair of human studies. First, we conducted interviews to explore what factors people consider to make decisions about their travel. Then, we designed, ran, and analyzed a survey to study which of those factors are crucial to model for understanding mobility decisions and behavior. Our analysis indicates that people's mobility decisions incorporate considerably more information than current applications support. Also, diferences in people's experience, personality, and requirements significantly impact their mode choice preferences. We close with a discussion about how these findings go beyond trip planning to other potential smart cities problems.</p>
      </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>CCS CONCEPTS</title>
      <p>• Human-centered computing → Empirical studies in
collaborative and social computing; User centered design; • Applied
computing → Transportation.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>INTRODUCTION</title>
      <p>hTe last decade has seen explosive growth in mobility oferings.
Ridehail, rideshare, carshare, bikeshare and dockless scooter
services all compliment the personal vehicle and existing public
transit. To aggregate these oferings, companies (e.g., TripGo and Moovel)
have been developing applications to enable trip planning and
payment across these services. The diversity of oferings and
population travel needs present a challenge for creating personalized
IUI Workshops’19, March 20, 2019, Los Angeles, USA
© 2019 Copyright for the individual papers by the papers’ authors. Copying permited
for private and academic purposes. This volume is published and copyrighted by its
editors.
interfaces that help people make transportation decisions. An
important component of generating good recommendation is
understanding a person’s trip context so that a relevant mode from a set
of alternatives can be suggested.</p>
      <p>As an example, consider Jane who wants to commute to her
ofifce and uses a travel application on her phone to figure out how
to get there. The travel app suggests walking to the bus stop and
taking the direct bus to ofice - chosen from all available route
alternatives. This recommended trip has been personalized to Jane’s
trip context. The app makes this suggestion by considering that
the bus route is direct and has frequent service, the bus stop is
nearby, the weather is pleasant, and that she values that she can
work while traveling on the bus.</p>
      <p>hTis paper studies what constitutes a person’s trip context that
is useful in generating recommendations as in the example above.
In this paper, we approach the problem of characterizing an
individual’s trip context as follows:
we leverage previous transportation research and
psychological research of personality traits to generate an an initial
set of factors;
we conducted 20 traveler interviews to support the initial
set of factors as well as generate new ones;
we conducted a survey study with 235 participants from
urban locations in the US to statistically validate factors
generated in the previous steps.
hTrough this approach, we identified a significantly expanded set
of trip context factors grouped into two categories below:
Static: Factors that do not change day to day
– Network: Factors related to the transportation local
transportation options
– Personal: Factors related to an individual’s perception and
experience with various transportation options
– Personal traits: Factors related to an individual’s
personality
Dynamic context: Factors related to the trips purpose, the
weather, and transportation network that vary from day to
day.
hTe rest of this paper is organized as follows. We begin by briefly
summarizing prior work on understanding traveler context in
Section 2. We describe our user interview methodology and results
in Section 3. Then in Section 4, we present our survey and
highlight factors of potential value for personalization. We close with
a discussion of implications for smart cities in Section 5.
2</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>RELATED WORK</title>
      <p>
        Researchers from diverse backgrounds have provided partial
answers to this question. Transportation mode choice research
typically focuses on travel time and cost with more complex models
including additional factors for income, auto ownership, and
purpose [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">12</xref>
        ]. These models characterize the utility of taking a specific
mode for travel using a linear combination of measurable factors
(e.g, travel time, travel cost, walk distance, personal income)
collected through public surveys [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">15</xref>
        ]. The likelihood of a traveler
taking a specific mode is based on its measured utility. Meanwhile, AI
route planning algorithms focus largely on time and cost [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ] with a
few exceptions (e.g., energy [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">7</xref>
        ], number of transfers [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ], reliability
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ]). Others [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16">16</xref>
        ] have studied the association between personality
and transportation decisions in urban environments. City-wide
deployment of sensors and collection of personal data significantly
expands the space of measurable factors enabling the opportunity
for greater personalization. Our research takes a step beyond these
isolated strands of research and determines a comprehensive set of
factors that can be used for personalizing travel recommendations.
3
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>TRAVELER INTERVIEWS</title>
      <p>
        Our approach to understanding a traveler’s trip context begins by
supplementing existing social science research [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ][
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">19</xref>
        ] with
interviews. These open-ended, semi-structured interviews serve to both
ground the application of existing research in our seting and
generate new hypotheses to explore.
3.1
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Method</title>
      <p>To elicit information relevant to mode choices, we developed a
guide to conduct 30 minute, semi-structured interviews with
participants. The guide contained probes detailing information of
interest that were not be read aloud. The interview began with the
participant signing an informed consent form that provided details
about the overall project. The interviewer and the participant were
instructed to not use the participant’s name or any other
identifying information about them. Then, the participants were asked
to provide details about themselves, including age, gender,
occupation, as well as accessibility of various transportation at their home,
ofice, and regular shopping location. The interviewer guided
participants to describe their mobility routines including the locations
they regularly visited and how flexible time to reach there was.
Participants were asked to provide details about their usual travel
(to work, shopping, social outing, other outings), available
alternatives, and circumstances under which they would consider an
alternative. The interviewer probed about how the participant would
change their commute if they were recommended an alternative
that would help congestion. Interviewer also asked about what
effortful activity a participant did because it was good for the
environment. Participants described their atitudes towards public
transit. Additionally, participants also discussed the information
they would like to know if they were recommended an
alternative. The interview ended with a general open-ended conversation
about travelling in Los Angeles and an appreciation for the
participant’s time.</p>
      <p>Using the guide, we interviewed 20 people (7 women, 13 men)
in the age range 21-79 (mean 37:5, standard deviation 16:8) in
Los Angeles. For their eforts, the participants were paid $40 using
Amazon gift-cards or checks based on their preference.
3.2</p>
      <p>Data Analysis and Results
hTe interviews were recorded and transcribed. One author
highlighted the content which containted information about mode choice
in the transcripts. In a separate meeting and through an interactive
process, the authors categorized and grouped factors. Through this
process, we developed a comprehensive taxonomy of factors that
underlie a person’s choice of mode for their commute.
3.2.1 Understanding mode choice behavior. Collectively, participants
reported a variety of modes that they use for their weekly commute
including private non-motorized modes - walking and biking,
public transit options - bus and train, ride hailing - Uber/Lyft/Taxi , and
shared rides - carpools, and private motorized modes - driving.
Participants varied in terms of their commute with 8 people
expressing a strict preference for driving regardless of where they were
going. 2 people expressed a preference for working from home and
driving for non-work related trips. 4 people expressed a clear
preference for taking public transit, 3 for walking/biking, 2 for a ride
service or carpool, and 1 for driving/biking. A few people
undertook multi-modal trips that included taking a rideshare to a train
station.
3.2.2 What underlies mode choice? Our analysis uncovered a large
set of factors when they decided how to travel to their destination.
hTese mode choice factors can be organized in a taxonomy as
follows:
(1) Static factors: This grouping contains factors that do not
change from trip to trip and are a property of the
transportation network that a person is embedded in due to where they
reside and work, to their personal situation including
education and income, as well as atributes of their personality.
(a) Network factors: Many participants corroborated the
factors transportation researchers use by highlighting the
cost and time trade-of they must make: P 4 - It’s really
time convenience and cost are the things that we would…
and The first issue I think would be eficiency, the time of
route. Others highlighted the accessibility of public
transit as an important factor: P 12 - … and since it is so close to
me, my nearest transit stop, like I said, is :2 miles away, it’s
prety much a no-brainer . Participants also reported what
value diferent modes provided to them: P 12 - (about
public transit) Yeah. I do it because it’s stress-free. This is Los
Angeles. It is just trafic 24/7. There is no quiet time on the
roads anymore…, P 13 - While you’re on the bus or on the
train you can do other stuf rather than just focusing on
driving. Time spent driving is basically lost time., P 05 - I love
my car because I really enjoy listening to the radio, NPR, or
music and both.
(b) Personal factors: Participants reported that the nature of
their employment along with the flexibility it afords was
a big factor in how they chose modes. P 07 - When I as
working I would have taken almost any suggested mode of
transportation. That would not have been an issue because
I had a destination and I had an arrival destination
approximate and I had a routine that could be duplicated, P 17
I create my own schedule so I try to always travel of peak
actually.
(c) Personality: As explored previously by other researcher,
our analysis showed that people’s personality atributes
such as openness, commitment etc. may afect their mode
choice. Some participants expressed an openness to try
new things P 25 - would be willing to try almost anything
once, to be honest. That just may be my personal outlook
on life and P 02 - ”When I was teaching I would sometimes
drive and sometimes take the train and [I would out of
conscience] try to take the train”.
(2) Dynamic context: This grouping includes factors that may
change from trip-trip.
(a) Parking: P 4 - Yeah, I feel like Trader Joe’s there’s always
that time when the parking lot’s packed and you can’t get
a parking space and the store is sold out of stuf.
(b) Weather: P 17 - Also, the weather here, it’s super hot a lot
of the time and super sunny. I don’t want to be out walking
around on the hot streets.
(c) Trafic: P 7 - I would stay away from high trafic times. If
I’m going to go I’m going to usually leave before four o’clock
to be on my way home by five or six when trafic becomes
a litle more congested.
(d) Trip purpose: P 19 - Specifically to shopping. If I were
going to a mall for some reason, which I don’t do particularly
often, I wouldn’t want to be taking a bus there just because I
wouldn’t want to be lugging around things that I’m buying
on and of the bus.
3.2.3 Utility of personalized travel planning. Several of the
participants talked about the cognitive load of planning a trip which
especially afects the decision of choosing an alternative route: P 01
- I certainly see congestion over on the Sepulveda parallel to the 405.
Very, very, heavy. Puts almost an extra hour on the bus trip, but I
don’t really know what the solution is.. This suggests that a travel
assistant that could personalize trips to a person’s context would be
useful in travel planning. More importantly, participants expressed
that they would be interested in diferent ways to make their trip
if it was suggested without them having to invest time thinking:
P 03 - If you were to tell me there was a diferent way, I would
probably take it. If you were to say this is a beter way to travel or more
eficient way, then yeah I would be open to that. and P 19 - So, as
much information as you can take into account, I would be in favor
of using that…I want as much intel as possible.
4</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>TRAVEL BEHAVIOR SURVEY</title>
      <p>hTe traveler interviews above uncovered a wide range of factors
that underlie the decision to take a specific mode for a given trip.
However, the interviewed sample only had 20 people and was
limited to the Los Angeles region. In a large population, all factors may
not be significant in predicting mode choice and consequently, not
all factors are equally valuable personalizing travel
recommendations. To determine which factors mater for a larger population
sample, we designed and ran a traveler behavior survey study. We
used insights from previous research and traveler interviews to
generate a large set of factors that may have a role in mode choice.
hTe study had 112 questions that measured peoples’ mode choice
travel behavior (via self-reports). It also recorded their mode choice
context by measuring factors determined in the interview
analysis and included public transportation availability and proximity,
availability of other transportation modes, and evaluation of
different modes as well as several dimensions of personality.
4.1</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-7">
      <title>Method</title>
      <p>We deployed the travel behavior survey via Qualtrics 1 to 677
participants from urban areas in contiguous US. The participants were
recruited by a local recruiting company that were tasked to find
commuters in Los Angeles county. After eliminating responses
that were completed in less than a reasonable threshold time,
included repetitive responses, or contained contradictory responses,
we obtained 235 responses (128 women &amp; 106 men; age 18-79,
mean 46:51, sd 13:5) for further analysis. The participants were
paid $20 using Amazon gift-cards or checks based on their
preference. These data were analyzed as described in the following
sections.
4.2</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-8">
      <title>Analysis: Static Factors</title>
      <p>We were interested in exploring how various static mode choice
factors determined from previous research and traveler interviews
impact mode choice behavior in our population sample. All
questions were framed as multiple-choice questions.
4.2.1 Dependent variables. We define a participant’s mode choice
behavior as the proportion of all local trips for which they use each
mode. We measured a participants mode usage via self-reports for
8 modes: walking or wheelchair, bicycle, bus or shutle, train or
subway or tram, ride services - Taxi, Uber, Lyft etc, carpools,
private automobile, and motorcycle or scooter. Mode usage was
measured on an ordinal scale:</p>
      <p>
        1: 0-5%, 2: 5-25%, 3:25-50%, 4: 50-75%, 5: 75-95%, 6: 95-100%
Together, 8 ordinal measurements on the scale above (one for each
mode) characterize a participant’s mode choice behavior.
4.2.2 Independent variables. We measured participants on various
types of static factors: network factors, personal factors, and
personality using a variety of Likert and ordinal scales. An an example,
we measured accessibility of bus by having people report:
(1) Distance from a bus stop: How long does it take to walk to
the nearest bus stop/train station?
1: Don’t know, 2: No local service, 3: 31-60 minutes, 4: 21-30
minutes, 5: 11-20 minutes, 6: 6-10 minutes, 7: 5 minutes or less
(2) Frequency of bus or shutle: During rush hours, how often
do public transit services depart from your nearest stop/station?
1: Don’t know, 2: No local service, 3: Over an hour, 4: 31-60
minutes, 5: 21:30 minutes, 6: 11-20 minutes, 7: 6-10 minutes, 8:
Every five minutes or less.
4.2.3 Multi-variate, multiple linear regression. As there are several
dependent variables which together characterize mode choice
behavior, we performed multi-variate, multiple linear regression
analyses [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
        ]. The regression model is of the form:
      </p>
      <p>
        where Y is s a matrix of n observations on m dependent
variables; X is a model matrix with columns for p independent
variables, typically including an initial column of 1s for the regression
constant; B is a matrix of regression coeficients, one column for
1htps://www.qualtrics.com/
each independent variable; and E is a matrix of errors. We consider
the regression coeficients, their significance level, and standard
errors to understand the relationship between independent and
dependent variables. Additionally, for each independent variable we
consider type-II MANOVA’s test - Pillai’s statistic [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        ]. This statistic
is useful in rejecting the null hypothesis that means of dependent
variables are identical for the independent variable of interest.
Intuitively, this test captures how useful an independent variable is
in diferentiating the dependent response variables.
      </p>
      <p>An example of this analysis is in Table 1. The column vector
corresponds to mode usage dependent variable while the rows
contain independent variables. The analysis shows that both distance
and frequency are useful in diferentiating between various modes.
hTis interpretation is based on the significant type-II MANOVA
test reported in parenthesis underneath them in the table. Further,
we see that closer the nearest bus stop is, the more likely it is that
the person will walk. And, higher frequency of bus service greatly
improves the usage of public transport. Both independent variables
are negatively correlated with driving, as expected. In the
following sections, we report on only the overall significance of factors
due to space constraints.
4.3</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-9">
      <title>Results: Static Factors</title>
      <p>
        Static factors are the aspects of the transportation network, the
individuals interaction with diferent modes, and their personality
that do not vary from day to day.
4.3.1 Network factors. Network factors concern the transportation
network around the home and workplace of the individual. Table
2 lists the factors by if they are significantly impact individuals
mode choice. In agreement with existing literature, the number of
transportation options available to an individual and the distance
and frequency of nearby transit were all important for
determining which modes people prefer. Other positive results that are less
obvious in the literature is that peoples’ mode choice is afected by
their beliefs concerning the possibility of cycling to their typical
destination. This belief was measured using a 7 point Likert
agreement to the statement - Cycling would be possible for at least part
of my typical trips/commute (considering fitness, time required, road
safety, space of bicycle on transit, and place to safely park a bike).
hTe Likert measurement can be considered a proxy for the how
accessible bicycling is in the participant’s transportation network.
4.3.2 Personal Factors. Personal factors pertain to the individual
and how they perceive and interact with the transportation
network they are embedded in. Personal factors include the time and
distance of peoples commutes, their previous experience with
different modes, and how they value diferent characteristics of
various modes. Table 3 lists the factors by if they supported as to being
important for transportation mode choice. In agreement with
previous research, the distance and time to work were both predictive
of overall mode preferences. Also, the familiarity with the public
transport system and knowledge of other options were important
for predicting mode preferences. Individuals considerations of the
health benefits, working en route, and parking also impacted their
mode choice. We were surprised to see no efect from peoples
atitudes toward sustainability, reliability and flexibility.
4.3.3 Personality Factors. Following recent work that suggests that
personality may be inferred from online behavior [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">13</xref>
        ] and may
influence transportation choices [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
        ], we also included three
standard personality scales: TIPI [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
        ], responsibility for events in their
lives 2, and susceptibility to persuasion [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>hTe majority of the dimensions of personality traits did not have
support for predicting mode choice. We did not see an expected
relationship between extroversion and public modes of
transportation. Nor did we see any relationship between openness to new
experiences and mode choice. The only Big 5 dimension that was
predictive was conscientiousness (eficient v. easy-going). This was
also supported in the responsibility dimensions with the only
significant traits being anticipating the needs of others and taking
others interest into account. Finally, the only supported dimensions of
persuasion include reciprocity and consensus, but the findings for
these were mixed with some versions of these traits showing no
efect.
2http://ipip.ori.org/</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-10">
      <title>Analysis: Dynamic Factors</title>
      <p>Our traveler interview analysis suggests that dynamic factors such
as purpose of the trip, weather, trafic etc. cause people to change
mode preferences. Here we validate this finding as well as study
how these factors afect mode preferences in a larger population
sample. We extracted various scenarios from the traveler
interviews that can have an impact on the mode choice for a trip. Our
collection included: heavy trafic, heavy rain/snow fall, expecting
alcohol consumption, accompanying child or infant, urgency,
traveling while dark, planned grocery/shopping diversion, expecting
parking problems, spare the air day, have an important
appointment, hot weather, and pleasant weather. For each of these
scenarios, we asked participants if they were more than 50% likely
to select a mode to make a trip. The participant could pick
multiple modes for each scenario. Additionally, mode usage (from
previous sections) captures each participant does in the normal scenario.
hTe scenarios are independent variables in our analysis and mode
selection is the dependent variable.
4.5</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-11">
      <title>Results: Dynamic Factors</title>
      <p>We tabulated our data in a contingency table as shown in Figure
1. The horizontal axis has all the scenarios and the vertical axis
has various modes. Each cell in the table represents the number of
people who said that they will consider taking the corresponding
mode under given scenario. As expected, most of the surveyed
population drives in the normal scenario. This distribution changes as
scenarios change. A Pearson’s χ 2 test on this contingency table
was significant with a p-value &lt; 0:005 suggesting that mode
selection is impacted by dynamic factors. Weather has a big impact;
we see that people consider shifting to manual modes of transport
in pleasant weather while snowy/rainy and hot weather shift the
distribution towards private motorized modes. Similarly, concerns
about parking and expected alcohol consumption tends to shift the
distribution toward public transit and mobility services.
5</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-12">
      <title>CONCLUSIONS AND DISCUSSION</title>
      <p>Rapid worldwide urbanization coupled with new technologies from
smart phones to dockless scooters to autonomous vehicles
entering the marketplace creates a need for travel assistants. In this
work, we present a framework for identifying what factors should
drive the personalization of future traveler assistants. By first
conducting open-ended qualitative interviews, we identify factors
outside of existing literature. To test if these factor afect traveler
behavior, we conducted a survey study whose results indicate the
importance of static network, static personal, and static
personality factors. Furthermore, we identified a set of dynamic factors (i.e.,
those that change from trip to trip) that impact mode choice. This
study indicates that future travel assistants would benefit from
personalization along a wider variety of dimensions than currently
considered in the research community and the marketplace.</p>
      <p>
        In addition to helping individuals navigate their environment,
understanding how people make transportation decisions could
have a significant impact on a critical societal problem.
Transportation is one of the largest consumers of energy in the world - in
the United States, it accounted for 29% of energy consumption in
20163. Many areas of urban transportation networks are
underutilized while other areas are congested. Congestion alone in the
United States wastes 6:9 billion hours and 3:1 billion gallons of fuel
per year [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">17</xref>
        ]. Recent work has begun looking at personalized
incentives and routing recommendations to reduce energy
consumption across regions [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20">20</xref>
        ][
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ][
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">18</xref>
        ][
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14">14</xref>
        ]. By incorporating the factors
we identify here, personalized mobility assistants could influence
urban travelers to reduce congestion and conserve energy while
promoting civic well being.
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-13">
      <title>ACKNOWLEDGMENTS</title>
      <p>hTis work was funded by the Advanced Research Projects
AgencyEnergy (ARPA-e) under award number DE-AR0000612. The authors
would also like to thank the anonymous reviwers of
HUMANIZE19 whose detailed feedback greatly contributed to this paper.</p>
    </sec>
  </body>
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