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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>ImageCLEFmed Tuberculosis 2019: Predicting CT Scans Severity Scores using Stage-Wise Boosting in Low-Resource Environments</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Augustus Tabarcea</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Valentin Rosca</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Adrian Iftene</string-name>
          <email>adifteneg@info.uaic.ro</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>"Alexandru Ioan Cuza" University</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Iasi</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="RO">Romania</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>Tuberculosis (TB) still remains in our days a persistent threat and a leading cause of death worldwide. The di erent types of TB require di erent treatments, usually with antibiotics, and therefore the detection of the TB type and the evaluation of the severity stage are very important. In the ImageCLEF 2019 Tuberculosis, our group submitted a solution that addresses the problem of tuberculosis' severity prediction in low-resource environments by attempting to minimize the information required from the CT scan using a regularized variant of the SAMME.R algorithm.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>Tuberculosis</kwd>
        <kwd>Boosting</kwd>
        <kwd>ImageCLEF</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>Introduction</title>
      <p>The CT report task is a binary multi-class classi cation problem that addresses
the presence of calci cation, presence of caverns, presence of TB in the right
lung, presence of TB in the left lung, pleurisy and lung capacity decrease. The
Severity scoring task is a binary classi cation problem centered around labeling
the TB severity as being "HIGH" or "LOW". Each instance of training data is
labelled into one of 5 classes, where 1, 2 and 3 represents "HIGH" severity and
labels 4 and 5 represents "LOW" severity.</p>
      <p>The dataset provided by ImageCLEFmed Tuberculosis is composed of 218
patients CT scans for training and 117 for the test, each with a collection of
metadata regarding the respective patient. The metadata is supplied, for better
classi cation, in consideration to the elaborated process a doctor conducts to
give a diagnostic. Each CT scan is made of slices (Section 1, that number varies
from 50 to 400 and every slice has a dimension of 512 x 512.</p>
      <p>Considering the need for a rapid and reliable TB treatment regimens, that
is also cost e ective, we investigate for the best learning algorithm that quali es
our requirements and outputs the patient condition's severity.</p>
      <p>Our solution addresses the problem of tuberculosis severity prediction in
lowresource environments by attempting to minimize the information required from
the CT scan. This approach is bene c for low-buget medical organizations and
small practices as they may not have access to high-end computational resources
needed for a computer aided diagnosis.
2</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>State of the art</title>
      <p>
        A number of di erent approaches were proposed for the task of severity
prediction. More notably, in the second edition of ImageCLEFmed TB 2018 [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        ][
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">12</xref>
        ],
the team UIIP BioMed [14] managed to obtain the highest kappa score, 0.2312,
with an accuracy of 0.4227 and root mean squared error of 0.7840. Furthermore,
the team MedGift [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ] scored 0.7708 in terms of ROC AUC, the highest in that
year.
      </p>
      <p>The methods used by the two teams consisted of a Deep Convolutional
Neural Networks model submitted by UIIP BioMed and an SVM with RBF kernel
submitted by MedGift team. It is suitable to state that each of the two teams
had completely di erent pre-processing procedures.</p>
      <p>
        Correlation of better outcomes given more clinical data and also the CT scans
of patients were studied before in [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">13</xref>
        ], as a result in 2019 more metadata about
the patients were given. In the edition of 2019, the best Accuracy was given also
by UIIP BioMed, with a score of 0.7350.
      </p>
      <p>
        Our experience in prediction algorithms comes from prediction of
cryptocurrency market [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ] and in predicting of user activities using GPS Collections [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ]. In
the same time, we experienced with image processing in medical domain [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">7</xref>
        ], in
photo annotation task of CLEF2010 [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
        ], and in combining semantic resources
for image retrieval [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        ], [19].
3
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Architecture</title>
      <p>3.1</p>
      <sec id="sec-3-1">
        <title>Data pre-processing</title>
        <p>The CT scans were preprocessed trough methods whose foundation relies upon
[21]. Depending on the procedure and device that was used to make the CT
scans, the slices' pixel spacing vary and, as a result, their number diverge for
each patient.</p>
        <p>To simplify the process of learning we resampled the images slices number
to their mean across patients, that implying approximately 130 vertical slices.
Because we were limited by the available resources we decreased the size of each
slice from 512 x 512 to 256 x 256. Each pixel is a signal on the Houns eld Unit
(HU) scale (Table 1), hence, we memorize each pixel as a oat16 type to spare
memory and aid in accelerated learning (Figure 2).</p>
        <p>The HU signals for bones can reach up to 3000+ units, starting from around
400 units. Figure 3a shows merged slices of a patient for a more reliable overview
of the patient bones section (HU signal values representing bones on axial view
were plotted in Figure 3b).</p>
        <p>
          The pixels representing bones, whose value is greater than 400, were replaced
by those representing air for a better focus on the tissue of the lungs, both
affected and healthy, so any classi er could distinguish among those two categories.
Afterward, we normalized the values between [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">0, 1</xref>
          ].
(a) Axial slice overview of bones
structure
(b) Maximal HU pixel value in each
axial point
        </p>
        <p>Fig. 3: Axial slice overview (left) and Maximal HU pixel value (right)
To summarize the pre-processing of our data, these steps were applied:
resample the height of the lung voxel (number of slices per patient);
resample the width and height of the lung voxel (all slices of each patient);
converting the signals to oat16 type (by doing so no information is lost);
replace pixels representing bones structure from the lung voxel;
normalize the pixel values.
3.2</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-2">
        <title>Further propossed pre-processing methods</title>
        <p>Further pre-processing methods were conceptualized although they weren't
exploited because of a lack of time and scarce computational resources. It is proper
to acknowledge the future use of these methods for possible better results.</p>
        <p>One such method is the application of a mask over the lung voxel to focus
on the tissue within the lung (Figure 4c) where the tuberculosis is located. This
mask [21], computes the connected regions of the voxel (Figure 4a), by labeling all
connected pixel with the same value. The same mask further computes the lung
with no internal structure by computing for every slice the maximum connected
pixels, those being the lung frontier if that slice contains lungs, or none otherwise
(Figure 4b).</p>
        <p>(a) Lung voxel
(b) Voxel of lung without (c) Lung internal
internal structures structure
Instead of training a binary classi er for severity LOW and HIGH, we instead
used the original severity score from 1 to 5 found in the patient's metadata.
For the nal prediction, we added the probabilities estimated by our model for
severity scores 1, 2 and 3 to obtain the probability of HIGH severity.</p>
        <p>As previously stated in the introduction, the objective of our paper is to
explore methods that minimize the amount of resources used for the prediction.
This implies nding a way to reduce the amount of information used during the
prediction. Our idea is to use a model capable of selecting the most important
features. We consider each pixel as a feature for our model. In this way, by
selecting a subset of the features, we are actually restricting the information we
need from the CT to make predictions. Moreover, we would like to supply an
upper bound for the number of utilized pixels.</p>
        <p>
          A good choice for such a model is the Decision Tree algorithm described
at [18]. A simple variant for limiting the number of nodes is by stopping the
algorithm when the number of nodes reaches the threshold. Another method
for building decision trees with a maximum number of nodes is provided by [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
          ],
where they introduce constraints into the building phase of the algorithm. By
setting a size constraint on the decision tree, the best nodes will be selected
within that constraint.
        </p>
        <p>Boosting algorithms use a linear combination of weak classi ers to make
predictions. They learn the coe cients of each linear classi er in a stage-wise
fashion by rst training a weak learner and then selecting the weight as to
minimize a loss function. If the weak learner utilizes only a limited number of
di erent features, an upper bound of the boosting algorithm is the number of
weak learners times the number of di erent features. This motivates our choice
of using a boosting algorithm with decision tree as weak classi ers. To improve
on this, consider the small number of instances (&lt;400). By using a boosting
algorithm, we try to prevent over tting while also being able to limit the number
of features our algorithm is allowed to use for the prediction.</p>
        <p>For the original severity scoring prediction, the ability to supply
probabilities is required. A boosting algorithm that can estimate probabilities in a
multilabeling setting is described at [20], called SAMME.R. This particular algorithm
is able to provide class probability estimates for the prediction. For the weak
learners, we used decision stumps. The major problem that we faced while
training the model was over tting. To mitigate this problem, we used four di erent
approaches.</p>
        <p>The rst technique we used is limiting the number of features a weak learner
trains on. For each boosting iteration, we limited the training of the weak learner
to 1,000-10,000 pixels sampled at random from an uniform distribution. By
using this method the training runtime was also decreased drastically, making
possible to train the classi er in low-resource environments, while also reducing
over tting.</p>
        <p>
          Another method that has been used was regularization of decision stumps.
This technique was already applied for the AdaBoost algorithm in [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
          ]. We used
the same principle and changed the formula to adapt this method for SAMME.R.
Instead of minimizing the weighted training error w while searching for the best
split, we minimize the following objective function:
w +
(Pw(x &lt; s) Hw(x &lt; sjY ) + Pw(x &gt;= s) Hw(x &gt;= sjY )
(1)
where Hw is the weighted conditional entropy, Pw is the weighted probability
estimate, is the regularization factor and s is the split value.
        </p>
        <p>Our third method consists of splitting the training set further into an initial
training set and an extended training set. During training, starting from the
initial training set, some samples from the extended training set are added. The
sample's weight are then renormalized to accommodate the new samples and the
algorithm continues as normal. This method adapted for SAMME.R from [16].</p>
        <p>Our nal approach was removing weak classi ers. We start with only the
decision of the rst weak classi er and increasingly add weak learners in the
trained order. Then the con guration with the highest score on validation data
is chosen.
4</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Evaluation</title>
      <p>For the ImageCLEFmed Tuberculosis SVR prediction task we submitted a trained
model based on the SAMME.R algorithm with 1,600 weak learners, where each
weak learner is trained on 10,000 features (pixels and metadata) sampled
randomly from an uniform distribution at each iteration.</p>
      <p>At the time, we didn't yet conceptualize the methods described in the
training section and our algorithm su ered from over tting. This approach obtained
a ROC AUC (receiver operating characteristic area under the curve) score of
0.5692 and accuracy of 0.5556.</p>
      <p>In selecting the hyperparametes and the model we used 5-fold cross-validation
and ROC AUC, accuracy as metrics. To select the best model, we looked at each
fold and chose the most balanced one in terms of our metrics. These are our local
results at the time of our submission:</p>
      <p>The regularization factor used was 1 and the number of training samples used
at some iteration t was log t=log n, where n is the number of weak classi ers. It
can clearly be noticed that the model tested on rst fold did not over t on the
training data as badly as the other ones, having the lowest training accuracy and
the highest Test ROC AUC score. We also trained the model for 1000 iterations.
5</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Conclusion</title>
      <p>Recent work on tuberculosis severity prediction has been shown to be
progressing, ImageCLEFmed Tuberculosis 2019 edition yielding better results both in
terms of ROC AUC, as also in accuracy.</p>
      <p>Current ndings may be considered a further validation of the fact that
boosting, one of the modern machine learning approaches, still su ers from
severe over tting when applied on a very noisy dataset with a signi cantly higher
number of features than training instances. However, by employing various data
cleaning and novel regularization techniques, it was demonstrated that there
are still improvements that can be made to combat this problem. With each
improvement on the subject, the prediction of tuberculosis severity will be also
made more accessible in low-resources environments to be used by low-buget
medical organizations and small practices.
6</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>Future work</title>
      <p>Besides various pre-processing methods, described in the Architecture section,
we can make use of the pixels selected by the model to 3D render a helpful
voxel of the lung, with emphasis on the most important regions that contribute
to the tuberculosis prediction. The latter visualization of a patient data linked
with the low resource-demanding model makes it likely for improvement of the
tuberculosis investigations.
14. Liauchuk, V., Tarasau, A., Snezhko, E., Kovalev, V.: Imageclef 2018: Lesion-based
tb-descriptor for ct image analysis (09 2018)
15. McIntosh, J.: All you need to know about tuberculosis (2019)
16. Meijer, D.W.J., Tax, D.M.J.: Regularizing adaboost with validation sets of
increasing size. In: 2016 23rd International Conference on Pattern Recognition (ICPR).
pp. 192{197 (Dec 2016)
17. Organization, W.H.: Bcg vaccines: Who position paper february 2018 vaccins
bcg: Note de synthse de loms fvrier 2018. Weekly epidemiological record 93(08),
73{96 (Feb 2018)
18. Quinlan, J.R.: Induction of decision trees. Machine Learning 1(1), 81{106 (Mar
1986)
19. Serban, C., Siriteanu, A., Gheorghiu, C., Iftene, A., Alboaie, L., Breaban, M.:
Combining image retrieval, metadata processing and naive bayes classi cation at
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