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    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>What's going to happen to Business Process Management?</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Matthias Lederer</string-name>
          <email>matthias.lederer@ism.de</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>ISM International School of Management Munich</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>Management</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Digitization</addr-line>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date>
        <year>2019</year>
      </pub-date>
      <abstract>
        <p>In recent years, business process management (BPM) has developed many concepts and methods for IT-supported cross-functional optimization within enterprises. The megatrend of digitization, however, raises the question of what significance the discipline currently and in the future still has. This article analyzes the general importance of BPM in science and research. From this, four theses on the future of the discipline are derived (including decreasing relevance of classical terms and commoditization of concepts), which can be used as an orientation for further BPM initiatives.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>Business Process Research community</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>CCS Concepts</title>
      <p>Applied computing ➝ Enterprise computing ➝
Business process management.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>1 Motivation</title>
      <p>The conference series of the S-BPM ONE exists
since 10 years. Conceptually, it can be
understood as a further development or
supplement to the original and traditional BPM
approaches. In the S-BPM community as well as
on many other process management platforms
(e.g., panels, workshops) discussions about the
current and future significance of BPM take
place.</p>
      <p>Thanks to new technologies, smarter IT systems,
the digitization of many processes, fully
automated business models and many other
trends, the BPM discipline, which has formerly
been described, becomes more diverse. Many
opportunities can arise from this, because process
orientation is a main paradigm in many
digitization initiatives. The built-up BPM
knowledge base can make many contributions –
this might only be the modeling, execution,
optimization or monitoring. At the same time, a
sense of loss of identity can be observed – for
example, when ideas from other disciplines
cannot be easily combined with the classical
teachings of BPM, when new digitization experts
are appearing on the field or when the term
"process management" is no longer used.
This contribution serves as a reflection paper to
encourage discussion at the conference on the
future of BPM, and probably of S-BPM in
particular.
First, selected developments of BPM in science
and practice are outlined. They do not claim to be
complete in their entirety, but provide insights
into the developments that can be observed in
BPM research and entrepreneurial practice. Since
this text is about general observations,
hypotheses, and interpretations, it explicitly does
not use any sources as evidences. The article
concludes with four theses, which are to be
understood as an assessment of the author. They
should serve as an introduction to an open
discussion at the conference.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>2 Collection of ongoing developments</title>
      <p>First, some observations from business practice
and science are collected.</p>
      <p>BPM in companies
Despite all the talk about the exact meaning,
GoogleTrends can certainly be used to derive the
general interest in topics. Figure 1 shows that
global interest in BPM (search requests) has been
falling slightly since 2009 and has remained at a
constant level for several years.
Digitization is usually addressed at two levels in
companies. First, it is about transferring analog
data or manual steps into digital information or
automated workflows. At this stage, classical
BPM has its beginnings, because processes
integrate data, functions and tasks in a company.
Nonetheless, these topics are nowadays
subsumed or specifically referred to as digital
business. For example data analytics, predictive
maintenance, data mining, industry 4.0, design
thinking, big data integration, AI for agents,
smart production or dynamic orchestration are
typical keywords for currently trendy concepts.
However, the BPM and S-BPM community is
providing contributions in these fields for years,
but under classic terms such as workflow, ERP,
activity-based analysis, formal languages,
business IT alignment, BPM software, automated
execution, process semantics and process
training. In summary, the classic BPM topics are
still under discussion and application - but under
different, modern or specific terminology.
On a second level, digitization means a holistic
transformation of companies (e.g., with their
business models, transactions and resources) and
also of the entire society (e.g., work 4.0,
generation Y). Many of the ideas are build on
digital processes (and the underlying available
data, tools, and competencies organized in
process models). In line with new technology,
more (especially structured) business processes
have been optimized (e.g., automated). This is
still happening today at the first level of
digitization. The focus of companies shifts
towards the second level with the available data
and IT services in flexible and strategic topics. IT
is used to (i) implement digital leadership, (ii)
digital products and services (innovations), (iii)
digital partnerships, and (iv) digital business
models. Often, however, a classic BPM basis is
needed for (i) roles, (ii) process data, (iii)
collaboration workflows, and (iv) reliable
transactions (= business processes).</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>BPM in science</title>
      <p>This trend can also be seen in science and
research, where there are still contributions,
findings and new results on classic BPM topics.
Figure 2 shows 8.914 BPM-related publications
of three databases over the last years (see Figure
2).</p>
      <p>Although some methodological approaches have
been used in the sample and analysis, they are not
described here – this article focuses on reflection
rather than the exact measurement methodology.
At first glance, the number of general textbooks
and general publications (here SpringerLink) has
increased slightly since 2009. On the one hand, in
more management-oriented databases (here
EbscoHOST), a strong increase in peer-reviewed
journal contributions can be observed. Technical
contributions to BPM (here IEEE) decline on the
other hand.</p>
      <p>However, looking at the relative proportions of
these samples (see Table 1), it becomes clear that
BPM publications only grow significantly in the
management world. Perhaps this can be
explained by the fact that IT, data and technology
related issues have always been relevant to
engineers, but have now arrived in management
as well (e.g. functions such as online marketing,
digital HR, automated finance, automated
administration, transactions such as
eprocurement and e-commerce). In the mainstream
(SpringerLink), however, other keywords seem to
become more relevant, even if BPM publications
continue to have equal shares.
If one looks at classical conferences in the field
of information systems (see Table 2), BPM is
now completely seen as interdisciplinary field
between business and IT. Shown are the track
names in which researchers were/are invited to
submit BPM-related papers. The track names
from previous years and the ones form the current
year are shown in the rows.</p>
      <p>It is noticeable that in the past either
BPMrelevant topics were explicitly mentioned in the
track name or BPM was discussed in the context
of organizational questions. At current
conferences, only one track has actually BPM in
the title. As with business practice, BPM topics
are mentioned in many different tracks (under
new categories) in Call for Papers but not in the
title anymore (no longer an own category).
This allows three initial conclusions: (i) Process
management concepts are the content of various
cross-cutting issues and topics of the future (such
as, digital transformation, artificial intelligence).
(ii) The special or modern names are more
popular than BPM. (iii) Knowledge from the
BPM discipline is welcome in many tracks (e.g.,
modeling, IT alignment), but more as a useful
foundation and not as key driver (e.g. digital
transformation).</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>3 Theses for discussion</title>
      <p>Based on the – not scientifically complete
objective – findings on the state of BPM in
business practice and research, this paper
presents four theses on the development of
process management, which should be used in the
(S-)BPM community as a conference discussion.
Thesis 1: The importance of BPM as a concept is
decreasing.</p>
      <p>The (sometimes only felt) status of homelessness
of classical BPM scientists is certainly there
because of a shift in the naming of classical
process and information systems terms. Instead
of known terms (e.g., IT, process), (i) other
generic concepts (e.g., digital transformation that
often includes BPM), (ii) concrete techniques
(e.g., cyber-physical systems) or (iii) trendy
terms (e.g., predictive maintenance) are in vogue.
In practice and science, the value of data (e.g.,
Business Intelligence, Data Science, Data
Analytics) is heavily highlighted, but its use in
processes/workflows is called different (e.g.
Process Mining).</p>
      <p>This opens up the opportunity for BPM to
transfer existing knowledge into many other
domains, functions, and divisions – even though
the term process may not be needed in the end.
The big risk is that new fields (e.g., business
functions, scientific tracks) cannot build on the
abundant knowledge. Many digital panels discuss
conceptual topics that have been worked on (or
even solved!) in the BPM community for years.
By the way, a similar development is to be
observed in the classical knowledge management
discipline. This community had already on the
WI2019 an open panel about their loss of identity
(freely interpreted under the thesis "Is the
classical knowledge management still alive?").
Thesis 2: The importance of process management
as a discipline decreases.
Today, many self-appointed experts are
discussing IT topics under the umbrella of
digitization. "Data Scientist" or "Digital
Transformation Consultant" are currently popular
titles on business cards (or at the end of an
email).</p>
      <p>Classical BPM knowledge, is needed on a lower
level - one could say that processes take a
development as described by Carr (“IT
[Processes?] doesn’t matter”). Traditional
questions of the community (process strategy,
modeling, execution, controlling) are standard
today. However, BPM experts should not share
the same fate as the quality experts in the 90s:
Although they developed an immense body of
knowledge, they are often no longer welcome as
experts in many companies, because their ideas
seem to be old, formal and not trendy.</p>
      <p>If we want to continue to be modern and in
demand as a BPM community, we need to open
ourselves with bridges to new technologies (e.g.,
blockchain, virtual leadership). This is necessary
in the discussion of contents and consequently
also in the naming. Actually, BPM is ready,
because the concepts have been around for a long
time. Now we are in the lucky position to have
the data and IT systems we often asked for to
tackle great ideas like integration, media breaks
and data-based optimization. Or do we just have
concepts and as soon as we should become
operational, we let others take precedence? BPM
knowledge must not be lost, but live as a
crosssectional function in other fields.
Thesis 3: BPM is becoming more
managementoriented and less technical.</p>
      <p>Along with thesis 2, BPM topics are often
discussed even more by managers (e.g. Chief
Digital Officers) today. IT and technology in
general has arrived in almost all processes (first
stage of digitization, see above). Thus, in the
executive floors, the (perceived) competence to
participate in IT-supported processes grows.
Efficient processes are required to talk about
business models and digital strategies. The
figures from the analysis show that digital
business topics become a top priority. Industry
4.0 is, for example, actually a topic of data- and
IT-supported process optimization, but is heavily
discussed by managers under the business term of
value networks. Engineers focus on technical
terms such as smart devices.</p>
      <p>This would have to be a great opportunity for
BPM, because formal (or “nerdy”) BPM ideas are
actually hip and modern in the top management.
However, benefits of this liberal and visionary
trend are other communities that are frolicking
around under the large umbrella of digitization or
are building up data and business models. A pity
for BPM, but true!
Thesis 4: Subject orientation is a paradigm of
many trends, but is called different.</p>
      <p>Subject orientation is understood by people
outside of the community as a human-centered
(business experts) or agent-based (engineering
experts) idea of BPM. As we know in the
community, S-BPM is very powerful and can
cover many fields. Individualization is a big
driver in digitization – if we just think of ways to
use personalized information efficiently and
effectively (e.g., Google, Facebook, Netflix). The
concept of the subject might not, like BPM as a
whole, fit the hip and trendy themes of the time.
Design thinking, user-generated content, social
media, intelligent agents, autonomous cars, smart
devices, machine learning, artificial intelligence,
language assistants do not talk about subjects.
Nevertheless, all of the topics described above
can certainly be modeled/supported using
SBPM. It is probably similar to thesis 2 and 3.
In the first digital wave, especially B2C
transaction processes (in the broader sense
marketing processes) were discussed. Here are
U.S. company pioneer. In a next wave, B2B and
internal manufacturing processes are to be
digitally transformed. This is an opportunity for
S-BPM, as engineers and IT experts will
appreciate the formal and accurate scientific
contributions of S-BPM. However, this can only
happen if S-BPM profiles itself with real topics in
manufacturing processes and inter-organizational
optimization.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>4 Summary</title>
      <p>Like other traditional disciplines from
information systems, BPM is changing. This is
due to digitization, which holistically covers
many areas.</p>
      <p>This reflection paper has no final result or
solution on how the BPM community should
react to these developments. Convert? Support?
Rename? Keep it up? The thoughts of the paper
should serve the discussion at the conference.
The author concludes that a significant
contribution from S-BPM must be in the
production of relevant results. Scientifically
founded findings with a practical relevance are
essential even if the three theses are taken into
account. Where other information systems
conferences today increasingly show
metastudies, gather only existing literature (systematic
literature review) and merely reproduce known
opinions, S-BPM should develop pragmatic
approaches. Descriptive examinations may be
simpler to “investigate” digitization. However,
design science and case study research may be
the commandment of the hour in order to
strengthen a BPM community.</p>
    </sec>
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