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<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Optimization of Flows and Flexible Redistribution of Autonomous UAV Routes in Multilevel Airspace</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>National Aviation University</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Komarova av.</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Ukraine shmelova@ukr.net</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>ECM Space Technologies GmbH (ECM)</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Germany arnold.sterenharz@ecm-office.de</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>National Aviation University</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Komarova av., 1, 03058, Kiev</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="UA">Ukraine</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <fpage>0000</fpage>
      <lpage>0002</lpage>
      <abstract>
        <p>The authors present a problem of the performance of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV)'s flights (group or single flight) for the decision of different target tasks in the city using information air navigation technology and methods of mathematical modeling in Artificial Intelligence (graph theory, Expert Judgment Method, methods of decision making in risk and fuzzy-logic, dynamic programming, etc.). The configuration and optimization of group flight routes for UAVs depend on the type of "target task". The algorithm of estimation performance of UAVs flights in the smart-town, an illustrative example of the optimization of UAVs flights is presented in the article.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>Unmanned Aerial Vehicle</kwd>
        <kwd>Remotely Piloted Aircraft System</kwd>
        <kwd>Topology</kwd>
        <kwd>GRID-analyze</kwd>
        <kwd>Decision Making in Risk</kwd>
        <kwd>Dynamic Programming</kwd>
        <kwd>Smart City</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>-</title>
      <p>Remotely piloted aircraft systems (RPAS) are a new component of the aviation
system. They are based on cutting-edge developments in aerospace technologies, which
may open new applications; improve to the safety and efficiency of aviation [1; 2].</p>
      <p>
        Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV)'s have several advantages, namely low
operating cost, simplicity, availability, UAVs may be used in cases where the usage of
manned aircraft is impractical, expensive or dangerous [3; 4]. Nowadays using of
UAVs is effective for decision lot problems such as in monitoring forest fires; search
and rescue operations; for relay communications in those places - where the antenna
coverage cannot be set because of difficult terrain; in logistic as the safest, cheap and
fast method of movement of goods; for aerial photography; for controlling traffic; for
first aid to people under various extreme conditions, etc. [3; 4; 5]. Many of these tasks
decision for an urban locality and wherein effectively use single and group flight of
UAVs [6; 7]. The Forum "Urban Air Mobility" in November 2018 at Amsterdam
discussed the future of drones in cities. Looked at from the perspective of cities and
citizens, urban air mobility and the idea of Mobility as a Service (MaaS) provide a
fascinating view of a possible future where a daily commute could seamlessly include
a bicycle, train, and drone service all as part of an integrated public transportation
system [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
        ]. In this sense, the usage of group flights UAVs is more appropriate, for
example, for photo/video monitoring; group survey of large areas and patrol areas;
delivery of big number cargo and use of an unmanned taxi to move passengers, etc.
Noted additional useful properties such as faster coverage of big area fragment of
urban and minimal risk in the movement of UAVs in town as in “smart-city”.
Therefore, the disadvantages of UAV’s that include the limited capacity due to the small
size of UAV can be satisfied with the group flight usage [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>When planning UAV flights, it is important to comply with regulatory air
navigation requirements and effective methods for flight operations [1; 2; 9]. The documents
of ICAO are including the requirements and UAV management rules such as UAV
certification and operator certification; UAV registration; rules for UAV operations;
communication with the UAV; training of personnel for the operation of the UAV;
emergency situations with UAV and flight safety; legal issues to ensure the possibility
of performing safe, coordinated and effectively integrated flights UAVs [1; 2].</p>
      <p>The purposes of the work are:
 building an Expert system (ES) as Artificial Intelligence (AI) for estimation
of the performance of UAVs flights (group and single) for the decision of
different target tasks in an urban locality;
 definition safe and minimal cost ways UAVs movement in town.
2</p>
      <p>Flexible redistribution of autonomous Unmanned Aircraft
routes in multilevel airspace
2.1</p>
      <p>Expert systems for estimation performance of UAVs flights in smart-town
The concept of “smart city” is characterized by using the new achievements for the
effective organization of life in a town. This is using AI as UAVs and Expert systems;
Internet technologies in order to monitor the state of urban infrastructure facilities,
their control, and based on the data obtained because of monitoring, optimal
allocation of resources and ensuring the safety of citizens. Such objects include bridges and
tunnels, roads and railways, communication systems, water supply, and drainage
systems, power supply systems, and various large industrial facilities, airports, rail
railway stations, seaports, etc. [4; 9].</p>
      <p>
        The effectiveness of presenting using UAVs for a modern town as a “smart city”
has some problems: the presence of buildings, roads, construction, recreation areas,
and natural areas, etc.; availability of specific flight orders - target use of drones [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        ];
air navigation requirements [1; 2] for flight operations of the manned and unmanned
aircraft, etc. The “smart city” is an aggregate of several information and
communication technologies, mathematical methods and AI. The usage of UAVs in the smart city
concept will help solve such tasks: traffic jams monitoring; search and rescue tasks;
photo/video monitoring; the mobile point of Wi-Fi retranslating; the movement of
goods; taxing operations; ambulance operations, etc.
      </p>
      <p>
        Using graph theory can determine the effectiveness of different structures
(topologies) in UAV’s group formation. To control a group of drones from RPAS suggested
choosing and using a Central Drone Repeater (CDR) to connect to the operator on the
ground and control the other of the UAVs using the method of server selection in
local computer networks [6; 10]. For planning and flight control UAV developed a
Distributed Decision Support System (DDSS), which represents a complex system
with complex interactions geographically distributed local Remote piloted aircraft
(RPA). During the flight UAVs may be controlled by remote piloting station (RPS).
At any given time ti k-UAV must piloted by only one j-th RPS, if necessary, at time
ti+1 to be transmitted to the control (j + 1)-th RPS (fig. 1). This transfer flight control
of the j-th RPS to (j + 1)-th RPS to be safe and effective, which is provided through
the local operators UAV. To coordinate interaction and exchange of information
between remoted pilots developed a database of local RPS NoSQL [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        The authors have developed computer programs for DDSS of the unmanned
aircraft pilot, “Remote Expert Air Traffic Management System “Decision making (DM)
in a common environment FF-ICE (Flight &amp; Flow Information for a Collaborative
Environment (FF-ICE)” presented decentralized-distributed UAVs control system
using blockchain technology for connection between RPS and RPA (Fig.1).
Blockchain technology is ideal as a new infrastructure to secure, share, and verify learning
achievements and Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) too. For today, the key to
ensuring the safety of flights is the problem of the organization of CDM by all the
operational partners based on general information on the flight process and ground
handling of the manned and unmanned aircraft [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
        ]. There are many advantages of
this approach such as enhanced security, security, big data analysis, and record
keeping, real-time constant data exchange, etc.
      </p>
      <p>For the management of the UAV, a system for managing single or a group of the
UAV’s is proposed, depending on the purpose of the UAV (“target task”). Taking into
account the limited and dependence of the use of the UAV group on its intended
purpose were analysed the network topology indicators for the implementation of the
group flight. The Algorithm of building an Expert system (ES) for estimation of the
performance of UAVs flights (group and single) for the decision of different target
tasks in an urban locality:</p>
      <p>1. The estimation effectiveness performance the target task of using the next
systems: the group of separate UAVs with controls from separate operators; the UAVs
group with control from CDR-UAV; single UAV with control single operator. If there
is the UAV group with control from CDR need:
a. Decomposition of the complex system on subsystems “network
topologies - the target tasks”, description of the characteristics of
subsystems, and estimation of effectiveness of network topologies for
performance the specific target task.
b. The effectiveness of network topologies for performance the target
task and definition of criteria estimation (definition the corresponding
weight coefficients of the efficiency of the topology).
c. Estimation of network topologies of the UAV group for the specific
target task using Expert Judgment Method (EJM) (definition of system
preferences and coordination of experts’ opinions too).</p>
      <p>2. Estimation of urban locality using GRID analyses of sector UAV flight,
fuzzylogic or EJM for estimation of risk/safety of UAV flight.</p>
      <p>3. Aggregation of subsystems to the new system (additive or multiplicative
aggregation depend on the type of "target task").</p>
      <p>4. Graphical presentation of results for Expert System (group UAV, single UAV
or group of single UAVs), for example, estimation of effectiveness of network
topologies for performance the target task “monitoring" by UAVs group” (Fig.2).</p>
      <p>
        To evaluation, the safety of UAVs flights in town, need to obtain quantitative
values of risks of flights in different segments of the territory of the town using methods
for evaluating risk/safety (EJM or Fuzzy logic) [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">13</xref>
        ] and according to air navigation
requirements [1; 2].
      </p>
      <p>The air navigation rules for classification obstructions in town such as “Restricted”
and “Dangerous” areas, but they have nothing in common with ICAO’s official
definitions, this is an estimation of risks movement ways of UAVs in smart-city. The
"Restricted areas" in our case are such areas, where the risk of harming people is high,
the “Dangerous areas” - the risk of harming people is very high. Initial data for
estimation risk:</p>
      <p>a). Buildings. These are objects where people live and work (offices, factories,
markets) and public places. Potential risk after these area penetrations: for UAVs
very high; for people - moderate to high.</p>
      <p>b). Columns and wired communication. These objects are columns with its wires,
masts, pipes antennas, which may endanger life and health of people nearby in case of
breakdown. Potential risk after area penetration: for UAVs - moderate; for people
low to moderate.</p>
      <p>c). Trees and natural obstructions: These objects are trees, hills, mountains etc.
Potential risk after area penetration: for UAVs - high to very high; for people - very
low.</p>
      <p>d). Dangerous areas are classified on the basis of an application to the object of
“Restricted area”. “Dangerous areas” themselves are not hazardous, but permanent
residence increases the risk directly proportional to the residence time. Potential risk
at the moment of penetration: for UAVs - very low; for people - very low.</p>
      <p>e). The potential risk when UAVs is staying in any period of time is a very
complex task and depends on many factors, such as time, enclosing object, the previous
trajectory of flight, maneuverability of UAVs, aerodynamic aspects, environmental
conditions, etc.</p>
      <p>f). Track area. It is a part of the planned flight path after UAV flight in which
99.99% UAV is or will be located according to “Flight plan” data: for UAVs - high to
very high; for people - high to very high.</p>
      <p>g). Track conflict area: It is unplanned part of space around “Track area”: for
UAVs - high to very high; for people - high to very high.</p>
      <p>The results of values of risk/safety estimation of UAV flights in the city presented
in Table 1. For example, risk of UAV flight in a restricted area equal to ten
conventional units (multiplication the hazard/safety flight weight by the expected damage).</p>
      <p>
        Fuzzy logic methods have been applied to assess risk levels and is based on the
logical rules "IF (condition) - TO (conclusion)" [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">13</xref>
        ]. In this case, the corresponding
probabilities of events and the size of possible outcomes are considered as Fuzzy sets
Pj and Lij, membership functions (Pj ), (Lij ) . Risk R is determined as:
      </p>
      <p>R  (Pj )  (Lij )
The qualitative risk level indicator includes next characteristics of risk, namely:
1. “Very low risk” corresponds to the flight of UAV.
2. “Low risk” corresponds to restricted areas such as columns and wired
communication;
3. “Average risk” corresponds to restricted areas such as a building;
4. “High risk” corresponds to dangerous areas;
5. “Very high risk” corresponds to the tracks area by busy of UAV.</p>
      <p>The degree of belonging of a certain value determined as the ratio of the number of
responses in which the value of the linguistic variable occurs in a certain interval, to
the maximum value of this number in all intervals.</p>
      <p>Experts were interviewed by the Delphi method in two rounds. There are 35
experts attend the survey. The results of the survey are listed in Table 4. Units of
intervals – 1 for 0 - 0,1; 2 for 0,1- 0,2, 3 for 0,2- 0,3,etc.
cij </p>
      <p>The membership functions for estimation of risk were obtained based on
experimental data. Assume that the minimum risk level is zero units and the maximum is
100 units respectively. The fuzzy-logic functions of estimation in risk moving UAVs
in flight, track conflict area, track area, restricted area, and dangerous area in Fig.3
(after the first round of the poll).</p>
      <p>From the resulting diagrams, determined the quantitative indicators that
correspond to the values of the linguistic variable "risk level"(after the second round of the
poll):
“Very low risk” corresponds to the quantitative significance of the level of risk in 10.
“Low risk” corresponds to the quantitative significance of the level of risk in 35;
“Average risk” corresponds to the quantitative significance of the level of risk in 60;
“High risk” corresponds to the quantitative significance of the level of risk in 80;
“Very high risk” corresponds to the quantitative significance of the level of risk in
100.
2.2</p>
      <p>Definition minimal cost and safety of UAVs movement ways in town
The mathematical methods such as the Dynamic Programming (DP), EJM, and
fuzzy logic for estimation risks and minimal cost of ways of moving. For a definition,
minimal cost and safety of UAVs movement ways in smart-city of town may use
mathematical methods and modern air navigation rules. Estimation of an area in a
fragment of the territory in fig.4a. Algorithm of definition minimal cost and safety of
UAVs movement ways in town next:
1) Grid-analysis - cells are superimposing on a fragment of terrain (Fig.4b).
2) Risk assessment of Grid cells depending on the type of area (“Restricted” or
“Dangerous”).</p>
      <p>3) Finding the minimum cost path W1 for a UAV1 using the DP method for
planning a flight in a level L1:</p>
      <p>Wi (yi )  yi1(RA; BA; TA; TCA; FA)  min  yi (RA; BA; TA; TCA; FA)
a
b
Fig. 4 Fragment of the territory for estimation minimal cost and safety of UAVs movement
Assessing the path W1 (level L1) of the UAV1 as “Dangerous”;
4) Finding the minimum cost path W2 for a UAV2 using the DP method for
planning a flight in a level L1, if necessary, the transition to the level L2, etc.</p>
      <p>For example, estimation and finding the minimum cost path W1 for a UAV1 on
Fig.5, and the minimum cost path W1 for a UAV1 on Fig.6 (W1=39).</p>
      <p>The transfer of a UAV flight from level L1 to level L2 is shown in Figure 7 when
loading the first level.</p>
      <p>Flow optimization and flexible redistribution of autonomous UAV routes in
multilevel airspace is performed in accordance with air navigation rules. The documents of
ICAO include main recommendations for using UAVs, i.e. the operation of the UAV
should minimize the threat of harm to life or health of people, damage of property,
danger to other aircraft [1; 2; 11].
3</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>What is next?</title>
      <p>Further research should be directed to the solution of practical problems of actions
UAV’s operator in case of emergencies, software creation. The organization of CDM
by all aviation operators using collaborative DM models (CDMM) based on general
information on the flight process and ground handling of the UAVs. Models of flight
emergencies (FE) development and of DM in Risk and uncertainty by UAV’s in FE
will allow predicting the operator’s actions with the aid of the Informational-analytic
and Diagnostics complex for research UAV operator’s behavior in extreme situation.</p>
      <p>For example, the synthesis of models for DM in an emergency if is solving logistic
problem UAV flight in bad weather condition (emergency - "loss connection"). (in
Figure 7). In the process of analysis and synthesis of DM models of AI in emergency
tend to simplify models (stochastic, the neural network, fuzzy, the Markov network,
GERT-models, reflexion models to deterministic models).</p>
      <p>In order to simulate DM under conditions of an emergency, next steps: an analysis
of an emergency; intelligent data processing; analysis and identification of the
situation using stochastic models; decomposition of the situation as a complex situation
into subclasses and the formation of adapted deterministic models of AI actions are
made. The models for decision and predicting of EF using CDMM – technology
presented in Table 2.</p>
      <p>
        In cases of big and difficult data methods can be integrated into traditional and
next-generation hybrid DM systems by processing unsupervised situation data in the
deep landscape models, potentially at high data rates and in near real time, producing
a structured representation of input data with clusters that correspond to common
situation types [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16">16</xref>
        ]. Deterministic action model targeted to specific situation type.
Another benefit of these models is a potential ability of such systems to learn to
identify relationships between different types of situations.
Expert assessment of the complexity of the flight
stages (takeoff and climb, echelon, cargo discharge,
echelon reverse, descent and landing)
Neural Network Model to determine potential
alternative of the flight completion. Determination of
weight coefficients of neural network (probabilities
for the model – DM in risk) and effectiveness of
flight completion: {YG ;YGаеr;YGlf; W}.
      </p>
      <p>
        Fuzzy logic to determine quantitative estimates of
potential loss - functions of estimation risk R /
outcomes U for next models of DM in Risk and
Uncertainty-{gr}
DM in Risk. Stochastic models types’ tree, GERT’s
network (Graphical Evaluation and Review
Technique) for DM and FE developing. The optimal
solution is found by the criterion of an expected
value with the principle of risk - Adopt
DM in certainty using Network Planning method
and DM in Risk for each branch. Determined
models for an operators / AI with deterministic
procedure - ti; ;Тcr;Тmid;Тmin;Тmax
Optimal decision for action in EF (operator / AI
model). The authors have developed a computer
program for finding optimal solutions [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">17</xref>
        ].
4
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Conclusion</title>
      <p>It was presented a problem of the performance of UAV’s flight plans for group
flights or single flights for the decision of different target tasks in the city
(monitoring, data acquisition, transportations, urban survey, etc.) using information
technology, graph theory, and mathematical methods. The configuration and optimization of
group flight routes for UAVs depend on the "target task" and results of estimation
(cost/safety) territory for UAVs flights. The algorithms of building an ES for
estimation of the performance of UAVs flights (group and single) in an urban locality and
definition ways of minimal cost/safety of UAVs movement in town were presented.
Further research should be directed to the solution of practical problems of actions
UAV’s operator / AI models in case of emergencies and software creation according
to the target task. Next planned to use new methods for DM (Big Data, Blockchain
technology, AI models, next-generation hybrid DM systems; Data mining, etc.).</p>
    </sec>
  </body>
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