=Paper= {{Paper |id=Vol-2399/paper06 |storemode=property |title=Pre-Estimation of Electric Vehicle Energy Consumption on Unfamiliar Roads and Actual Driving Experiments |pdfUrl=https://ceur-ws.org/Vol-2399/paper06.pdf |volume=Vol-2399 |authors=Toshiaki Uemura |dblpUrl=https://dblp.org/rec/conf/vldb/Uemura19 }} ==Pre-Estimation of Electric Vehicle Energy Consumption on Unfamiliar Roads and Actual Driving Experiments== https://ceur-ws.org/Vol-2399/paper06.pdf
                                                                                                           ceur-ws.org/Vol-2399/paper06.pdf




Pre-Estimation of Electric Vehicle Energy Consumption on
                    Unfamiliar Roads
             and Actual Driving Experiments

                                                            Toshiaki Uemura
                                                       supervised by Takashi Tomii
                                                      Yokohama National University
                                                    uemura-toshiaki-xh@ynu.jp

ABSTRACT                                                                   As described in this report, we propose a system that sup-
For this study, we constructed a system for pre-estimation               ports an EV user’s travel planning on unfamiliar roads. We
of electric vehicle (EV) energy consumption on unfamiliar                present a solution for pre-estimating the EV energy con-
roads. Drivers of EVs must make plans based on estimated                 sumption range: minimum energy consumption Emin and
energy consumption because they fear that an EV might run                maximum energy consumption Emax . We present Emin and
out of power and stop on the road. Our constructed system                Emax to assist planning. In addition, if Emin and Emax are
pre-estimates ranges at which an EV can be expected to                   correct, actual energy consumption Ereal is in the range of
be forced to stop on a road. The range is calculated using               Emin – Emax . Therefore, to evaluate the accuracy of the
EV driving simulation on a route that is input by a driver.              proposed system, we conducted EV driving experiments on
The driving simulation requires only map data and the EV                 roads with two conditions and confirmed that Ereal is in the
car specifications. Moreover, we assessed a system using a               range of Emin – Emax .
real EV. Results show that the system produced sufficiently
correct ranges on the roads used for experimentation. Ad-                2. RELATED WORKS
ditionally, we evaluated the accuracy of ranges output by                   Studies of many types have estimated EV energy con-
our system. For evaluation, we used numerous accumulated                 sumption and therefore the EV travel range. Using a mo-
daily driving logs for EVs.                                              tion equation model and actual driving logs collected by a
                                                                         probe car, most of these studies have produced methods to
                                                                         calculate EV energy consumption or travel range. Grubwin-
1.    INTRODUCTION                                                       kler et al. estimated EV energy consumption from statistical
   In recent years, energy-efficiency and CO2 emission re-               analysis of driving data generated from large amounts of col-
duction have become necessary worldwide because of cli-                  lected driving data[5]. Ito et al. estimated EV travel ranges
matic variation and scarcity of fossil fuels. Given that back-           from averaging energy consumption maps from a probe car
ground, electric vehicles (EVs) are attracting global atten-             database[6]. Zhang et al. proposed estimation of EV travel
tion. Reportedly, EVs present the benefit that so-called                 range using driving logs, traffic conditions, and weather[12].
well-to-wheels CO2 emissions are lower than those of in-                 Styler et al. proposed a means of controlling a Range EX-
ternal combustion vehicles (ICVs). In addition, EVs have                 tender (REX) EV more efficiently using estimated energy
no emissions when they are running. Many countries have                  consumption generated from probe car data[9]. Yang et al.
formulated EV deployment goals for the future. Therefore,                proposed a means of estimating energy consumption and
EVs are expected to penetrate markets gradually worldwide.               CO2 emissions from average speed and stop frequency data
   Nevertheless, many difficulties arise when a user operates            acquired by passage sensors at an intersection[11].
an EV. One is the difficulty of EV travel planning when                     Moreover, many studies have solved optimization prob-
a user navigates unfamiliar roads. Planning must be done                 lems of energy consumption and driving using motion equa-
while considering an EV travel range and when and where                  tions and other data. Karbowski et al. proposed a means
one might stop at a charging station. However, EV travel                 of controlling plug-in hybrid EVs (PHEVs) using an energy
ranges change drastically because of road gradients and traf-            consumption simulation generated from traffic, road maps,
fic conditions. Therefore, average users have difficulty mak-            and Markov Chain[7]. Kurtulus and Inalhan proposed a
ing a precise plan for unfamiliar routes.                                route decision algorithm for REXEV considering energy con-
                                                                         sumption calculated from traffic, weather, maps, and the
                                                                         destination[8]. De Souza et al. proposed a traffic assign-
                                                                         ment algorithm that minimizes EV travel time and energy
                                                                         consumption[1]. Felipe et al. estimated energy consump-
                                                                         tion using an artificial neural network into which driving
                                                                         styles and route features are input[4]. Fei et al. proposed
                                                                         hybrid models incorporating a motion equation model and
                                                                         a machine learning model[3]. Unlike these studies, we make
Proceedings of the VLDB 2019 PhD Workshop, August 26th, 2019. Los        our contribution by evaluating the practicality of our system
Angeles, California. Copyright (C) 2019 for this paper by its authors.   using large amounts of data acquired in di↵erent regions.
Copying permitted for private and academic purposes.
          Table 1: Variables of Expression (1)                                   Table 2: Experiment Trips
      Variable   Unit           Meaning      How to get                    Route ID    Distance   Type    Charging Spot
                            gravitational                                  kitami 1    163 km     Long    121 km point
         g       m/s2                          constant
                             acceleration                                  kitami 2    126 km     Long     67 km point
         ⇢       kg/m3        air density      constant                                                    85 km point
                                 rolling                                   kitami 10    163 km    Long
                                                                                                          121 km point
         µ         -           resistance      constant                     outward     27 km     Short    do not care
                              coefficient                                  homeward     24 km     Short    do not care
                            air resistance        car
        Cd         -
                              coefficient    specification
                             face area of         car
         A        m2
                              the vehicle    specification
                                mass of           car
        M         kg
                              the vehicle    specification
                           inertia mass of        car
        Mi        kg
                              the vehicle    specification
         ↵        rad       road gradient     map data
                                               constant
         v       m/s          velocity
                                             speed is set
                             conversion           car
         ⌘         -
                              efficiency     specification

3.    PRE-ESTIMATION SYSTEM
   To pre-estimate EV energy consumption, the EV user in-
puts only an origin and a destination and anticipated stop
locations (sightseeing spots or stores, etc.) during a trip.
Next, the system generates origin-destination (OD) trip sim-
ulation logs running on candidate routes at a constant speed       Figure 1:     Altitude and Distance of Experiment
vc from these inputs. Trip simulation logs are normalized          Trips.
by time. We set speed vc in advance, for example, a speed
limit on a road.                                                   accelerates and decelerates when stopping at every stop lo-
   Then, trip simulation logs are input to an EV energy con-       cation and every signal, assuming bad conversion efficiency
sumption model. We use a model based on a motion equa-             during acceleration and deceleration.”
tion[2]. Then Emin and Emax are calculated from outputs               Therefore, we define Emax as shown in Expression (3)
of the EV energy consumption model.                                because we want to express it easily. Eacc is described in
                                                                   Expression (4). Additionally, N stands for the number of
3.1    Emin Calculation                                            stops when an EV stops at every stop location and every
                                                                   signal.
  This subsection presents a description of minimum energy
Emin calculation. For this report, Emin is defined as “energy
consumption when an EV runs at constant speed vc and does                       Emax = Emin + Eacc [kW h]                    (3)
not stop.”
  First, an EV energy consumption log is calculated every
second by inputting a trip simulation log into the EV en-                               1                1
                                                                           Eacc = N ⇥     (M + Mi )vc2 ⇥   [kW h]            (4)
ergy consumption model. Expression (1) represents the EV                                2                ⌘
energy consumption model. Table 1 presents variables of               In Eacc , we consider two situations. First, an EV makes no
Expression (1), in which c represents 1/3600/1000 J/kW h,          gains from kinetic energy through regenerative braking when
and t denotes a time.                                              slowing the vehicle. Second, we chose ⌘ = 0.7 empirically
                    1                                              for estimating the worst conversion efficiency.
        et   =   c(( ⇢Cd Av 2 + µM g cos ↵ + M g sin ↵
                    2
                             dv   1                                4.   EXPERIMENT
                 +(M + Mi ) ) ⇥ ⇥ v) [kW h]                  (1)
                             dt   ⌘                                   This section presents comparison of Emin and Emax with
                                                                   Ereal . The actual energy consumption was Ereal for our
  Finally, Emin is calculated as the summation of et (Ex-          experiment. We used trips of two types for experimenta-
pression (2)). Also, n represents the number of simulation         tion: long trips and short trips (Table 2). Figure 1 presents
logs of an OD trip.                                                the altitude and distance of experiment trips. We ignored
                           n
                           X                                       charging spots on short trips because the trip distance is
                  Emin =         et [kW h]                   (2)   sufficiently short that additional charging is not required.
                           t=0
                                                                   4.1 Long trips
3.2    Emax Calculation
   This subsection presents our description of how to calcu-       4.1.1    Experiment conditions
late maximum energy Emax . We define Emax as “energy                We conducted EV driving experiments for long trips in
consumption when an EV runs at constant speed vc , and             Hokkaido in 2017 and 2018. Hokkaido has an area that
Figure 2: Experiment Routes in Hokkaido in 2017.




                                                                         Figure 4: Ereal in Outward Trips.




Figure 3: Experiment Routes in Hokkaido in 2018.

is the longest interval in Japan between charging stations.
In this area, a fundamental problem arises of whether an
EV can arrive at the next charging station after it leaves
a charging station. Therefore, we conducted experiments
on three routes to ascertain which route is best for an EV
driver.
   We simulated kitami 1 and kitami 2 using the system in               Figure 5: Ereal in Homeward Trips.
2017. Figure 2 shows kitami 1 and kitami 2 routes. We
designated charging points as CPs. The kitami 1 travel         4.2.1    Experiment conditions
distance is greater, but the elevation di↵erence is smaller.     After we accumulated EV energy consumption logs[10] in
Furthermore, the kitami 2 travel distance is shorter, but      a database, we evaluated the accuracy of Emin and Emax
the elevation di↵erence is greater. We simulated kitami 10     using EV energy consumption logs accumulated from daily
in 2018 (Fig. 3) because a new charging station is located     commuting. We therefore accumulated a large amount of
there.                                                         one commuter’s data. The total number of trips was 786:
                                                               outbound trips were 434, homeward trips were 352. There-
4.1.2    Experiment results                                    fore, we use these logs as Ereal . We then compare Emin and
  Table 3 shows the pre-estimated results. We conducted        Emax with Ereal to evaluate their accuracy.
EV driving experiments using a Nissan Leaf (Nissan Motor
Co. Ltd.) as the experiment EV in 2017 and 2018. We used       4.2.2    Experiment results
estimated energy consumption logs[10] calculated from GPS        Table 5 presents pre-estimated results. Figures 4 and 5
data as Ereal . In 2017, the experiment EV’s remaining bat-    portray histograms of Ereal values. These graphs show that
tery charge was the equivalent of 13.4 kWh when its battery    any Ereal values are always between Emin and Emax .
was 80% charged. That charge was achieved through charg-
ing time of 30 min. We selected and ran kitami 2 because       4.3 Overall experiment results
kitami 1 Emin was 15.27 kWh (greater than the 13.4 kWh
                                                                 As shown in Figure 6, we verified that any Ereal values are
@80%), as Table 3 shows. These calculations indicate that
                                                               always between Emin and Emax , even though EVs run on
the EV can run the whole kitami 10 route if the remaining
                                                               long trips or short trips. Ereal of outward and homeward
battery charge is greater than 15.01 kWh. The experiment
                                                               are mean values of numerous accumulated trips.
EV was 16.7 kWh @100% (more than 15.01 kWh). There-
fore, we chose the kitami 10 route for the 2018 experiment.
Table 4 shows Ereal for the actual driving experiments. We     5.   CONCLUSION
can infer that the system outputs “Emin and Emax ” are            As described in this report, we proposed a system for pre-
correct because Ereal is between Emin and Emax .               estimation of maximum and minimum electric vehicle (EV)
                                                               energy consumption for use with unfamiliar roads. We de-
4.2     Short trips                                            fined the minimum energy consumption is achieved when an
                                             Table 3: Emax and Emin in Long Trips
                               Origin       Origin        CP            CP             CP                CP
                 Route ID      to CP        to CP     to next CP   to next CP    to Destination     to Destination
                                Emax        Emin         Emax         Emin           Emax                Emin
                 kitami 1    19.17 kWh   15.27 kWh         -             -         6.62 kWh           5.88 kWh
                 kitami 2    12.20 kWh    9.18 kWh         -             -         5.95 kWh           5.75 kWh
                 kitami 10   15.01 kWh   11.98 kWh    4.16 kWh      3.29 kWh       6.62 kWh           5.88 kWh


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