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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Opportunities to study the characteristics of information systems and manage them using modern technologies</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Alexander V. Dushkin Doctor of Technical Sciences, Associate Professor National Research University of Electronic Technology Shokin Square</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>1, Zelenograd, Moscow, Russia, 124498</addr-line>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>Igor V. Goncharov Candidate of Technical Sciences, Associate Professor National Research University of Electronic Technology Shokin Square</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>1, Zelenograd, Moscow, Russia, 124498</addr-line>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2">
          <label>2</label>
          <institution>Nikita I. Goncharov National Research University of Electronic Technology Shokin Square</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>1, Zelenograd, Moscow, Russia, 124498</addr-line>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff3">
          <label>3</label>
          <institution>Pavel A. Parinov National Research University of Electronic Technology Shokin Square</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>1, Zelenograd, Moscow, Russia, 124498</addr-line>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date>
        <year>2019</year>
      </pub-date>
      <fpage>95</fpage>
      <lpage>105</lpage>
      <abstract>
        <p>In the conditions of the modern functioning of information and computing systems, including as objects of informatization, the task of proper management and timely decision-making by the operator (network administrator) is urgent. In this paper, as part of expanding the capabilities of the adaptive response module, an approach to the analysis of the presentation and state of the information-computing system using neural networks and wavelet transforms with the aim of adaptive control of the corresponding characteristics is proposed.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>information computer system</kwd>
        <kwd>neural network</kwd>
        <kwd>wavelet transform</kwd>
        <kwd>external influence</kwd>
        <kwd>modeling</kwd>
        <kwd>adaptive response</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>Introduction</title>
      <p>
        It is first necessary to determine a typical model of conflict interaction between an information system and an intruder. We
suggest a model based on hybrid automata formalism that is used to determine the ratios for approximate estimate of
probability of security violation and the lower bound of probability of security violation in the IS. The model uses the most
basic parameters such as mathematical expectation and variance for the duration of each of the discrete states of the IS and
the intruder. The main features of hybrid automata and their application in simulating conflict interaction of systems were
considered in the earlier works by the authors [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1 ref2 ref3 ref4 ref5">1-5</xref>
        ].
1 Simulating conflict interaction between information systems and intruders
Let us suppose that one of the parties (Party A) of the conflict is an information system (IS). The IS operates successfully, if
it ensures the security of the information within itself in a set period of time 0  t  T . The IS itself is constantly in one of
the states typical for its operation and functioning under normal conditions. The IS fails, if the security of the information
within it is violated, at which point the system transfers to a corresponding critical state. The other party (Party B) of the
conflict is an intruder system that aims to violate the security of the information within the IS and thus transfer the IS into
the critical state within a set period of time. The intruder system succeeds, if it manages to reach this target. Party B fails, if
it does not manage to violate the security of the information within the set period of time 0  t  T .
      </p>
      <p>Fig. 1 presents two hybrid automata (HA) functioning simultaneously: automaton A and automaton B . For these
automata the set of discrete variables S D  {sa , sb } , which describe the most common states, is presented by two variables,
each taking the values sa  QA  {LA , DA} , sb  QB  {LB , DB } . State LA represents the functioning of A until the moment
when the intruder takes advantage of the existing vulnerabilities, which results in security violation and transition of the IS
to the critical state DA (“failure” A ). State LB represents the functioning of B that aims to interfere with the operation of
A , and lasts for a set period of time after which the intruder fails to breach the security of the information system (“failure”
B ) and transfers to the state DB . Transition to DA and DB proceeds abruptly and is influenced by attack _ B and t  T ,
leading to failure for A and B respectively.</p>
      <p>
        To detail the operation of both parties of the conflict, it is necessary to consider the inner states of the set L  {LA , LB} as
embedded hybrid automata which we will refer to as hybrid automata of active elements (HA AE).
The subset of symbols consists of the symbol of the state that is responsible for getting system A into
operation. The subset of symbols represents the system's operation under normal conditions. The symbols
are embedded into general state A1, which means that “system A is secure from all known vulnerabilities”. The subset of
symbols represents the functioning of the system after a new vulnerability was found or appeared. The
symbols are embedded into general state A2, which means that “system A is insecure from a known vulnerability”. The
transition from state A1 to state A2 is influenced by the event “vulnerability” under the condition that this vulnerability
appears in the period of time [t,T), set for conflict interaction between systems. To describe the way new vulnerabilities
appear, we used a model of external random flow of events. Transition from state A2 back to state A1 is possible, if the
system manages to eliminate the vulnerability in A2. For active elements of party B the following states and transitions
should be introduced when modelling the events of a typical conflict. The subset of symbols consists of the
symbol of the state that is responsible for getting system B into operation. The preparatory actions do not repeat. The subset
of symbols represents the states of system B when it searches for and identifies the vulnerabilities, system
A being in state A1 (system A is secure from all known vulnerabilities). State B11 determines the functioning of the system
aimed at gathering information about system A (analysis of the organisation principles, technical tools, and software, and
rights and qualifications of the users and operating personnel). State B12 determines the way system B searches for
vulnerabilities when system A operates under normal conditions. Probability PB12 is set by the operator of local behaviour
as the probability of identification of a vulnerability when system A operates under normal conditions. It is
timeindependent. The model shown in Fig. 1 describes the main transition type as well as another type of transition from B12
into the following group of discrete states. The latter is determined by the event “vulnerability” (identification of a new
vulnerability) happening in the period of time [t , T ) . We assume that systems A and B receive the information about a new
vulnerability at the same time. The subset of symbols represents the functioning of system B after a new
vulnerability was detected. State B21 determines the actions performed to analyse the detected vulnerability and utilise it.
The state is limited in time. State B22 activates the utilisation of the vulnerability in order to violate the security of system A.
The subset of symbols consists of the symbol of the state when the security of information in system A is
successfully violated. The transition to the critical state is followed by the event attack_A, which transfers the HA of party
A from state LA into eigen state DA. State Bv is absorbing for this model. Transition from state B22 back to state B12 is
performed, if system B fails to utilise the detected vulnerability.
2 Assessing the probability of information security violation
Here we present the analytical relations obtained in the analysis of the probability of success of party B [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1 ref2 ref3 ref4 ref5">1-5</xref>
        ] in a situation
when it does not receive any external information about new vulnerabilities.
      </p>
      <p>Analytical relation based on Gaussian approximation for a random variable  b,1 :</p>
      <p>1 x
F ( x)   N (v, 0,1)dv .</p>
      <p>2 
where N(u, m, d) is the Gaussian probability density distribution with corresponding parameters.</p>
      <p>
        To estimate the lower probability of security violation, Chebyshev's inequality can be used [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1 ref2 ref3 ref4 ref5">1-5</xref>
        ]. The estimate can also be
specified using the Vysochanskij-Petunin inequality, assuming that the distribution density of composition is unimodal:
PBvp  Pr  B,1  T   Pr  B,1  mB,1  T  mB,1  
      </p>
      <p>
 Pr  B,1  mB,1 
</p>
      <p>T  mB,1
dB,1</p>
      <p>
dB,1  </p>
      <p>
security violation, the higher the probability of security breach in the observed information system. This means that for
preventive influence, time is more important than the probability of failure at the later stages of vulnerability search and
utilisation.</p>
      <p>
        As a special case of determining changes in the parameters of an information system that is under the influence of
external influences, modelling of information-psychological impact (IPI) using neural networks in [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1 ref2 ref3 ref4 ref5 ref6 ref7 ref8 ref9">1-9</xref>
        ] is considered. The
use of a neural network algorithm is an effective tool for modelling and studying an information system that is under the
influence of external factors [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10 ref11">10-15</xref>
        ]. Depending on the tasks to be solved, information systems can have numerous
parameters and characteristics [16-21]. In [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6 ref7 ref8 ref9">6-9</xref>
        ], an approach was considered for predicting the parameters and
characteristics of an information system using a wavelet transform.
      </p>
      <p>Consider a model of the process of detecting changes in the states of an information system using neural networks and
wavelet transform.</p>
      <p>
        If the information system is located under external influences, the effects are directly on its components (subjects, nodes,
etc.). The process of exposure to an information system includes the following components: impact on components,
providing the functions of an information system, determining a result of an impact, analysis of a result of an impact,
response to a result of an impact [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6 ref7 ref8 ref9">6-9</xref>
        ]. Figure 3 shows a model of the process of influencing the components of an
information system.
Consider the components of the model of the process of influence on the information system.
      </p>
      <p>
        The block of influence shown in Figure 4 on the components of the information system is a single-layer perceptron [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2 ref3 ref4 ref5 ref6 ref7 ref8 ref9">2-9</xref>
        ].
As an input signal, the characteristics of the means that affect are taken. We represent the input vector as
S  S , S ,..., S  , where the weights correspond to the effectiveness of the means of action. Artificial neuron, for
1 2 l
property Subi (Charm ) , calculates a weighted sum of input signals. With an artificial neuron, the means of influence are
compared with weight Efi,m, j weighted sum of input signals. Then an output signal is generated. resi,m , by comparing the
result with a threshold value P , which is generally different for each property [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2 ref3 ref4 ref5 ref6 ref7 ref8 ref9">2-9</xref>
        ]. Thus, we obtain the output vector
OUTB  res1,1, res1,2 ,..., resn,k  , which forms the meaning of the impact. The vector is calculated by the
expressions: NETB  S T  Ef ,
where f (NETВ ) represents a threshold function:
      </p>
      <p>OUTВ</p>
      <p> f ( NETВ ) ,
f (NETВ )  resi0,,mес,леислNиENTВETВP P .</p>
      <p>
        Presented in Figure 4, the information system function support block is a single-layer perceptron, which works similarly
to the perceptron of the block of influence on information system components. We represent the input signal as a vector
B  B1, B2 ,..., Bр  , where weights correspond to the efficiencies Efi,'m, j means of providing functions Efi,m, j information
system for properties Subi (Charm ) . Then the output signal is formed (measures to eliminate the effects) resi',m , by
comparing the result with a threshold value P' [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2 ref3 ref4 ref5 ref6 ref7 ref8 ref9">2-9</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        Matrix Rel reflects the relationship of impact and functions solved by the components of information systems and
describes the presence of dangerous effects on the information system. Vector values B are determined by the matrix Rel .
Matrix Columns Rel define sets of means of influence, which are intended for the properties of the components of the
information system. The lines reflect the inclusion or deactivation of the means of ensuring the functions of the information
1 0 
system. For example, the matrix Re l  1 1  means that when affecting a property Sub1(Char1) funds included B1 и B2 ,
but on the property Sub1 (Char2 ) – only B2 [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2 ref3 ref4 ref5 ref6 ref7 ref8 ref9">2-9</xref>
        ]. So the output vector OUTОИБ of the system for ensuring the functions of
the information system will be determined by the following expressions:
      </p>
      <p>B  OUTОИБ  Re l , NETОИБ  BT  Ef ' , OUTОИБ  f ' (NETОИБ ) ,</p>
      <p>resi',m , если NETОИБ  P'
f ' (NETОИБ )  
 0, если NETОИБ  P'</p>
      <p>.
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      <p>
        In general, the operation of artificial neurons depends on threshold functions P(t) and P (t ) . Figure 5 presents a model
of the impact process on an information system based on a recurrent neural network, taking into account the work of the
adaptive control unit [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2 ref3 ref4 ref5 ref6 ref7 ref8 ref9">2-9</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        The adaptive response unit serves to determine the prerequisites for changes in the state of the information system and
activates the means to eliminate or compensate for these prerequisites or directly the changes themselves. Thus, the input of
the adaptive response unit receives signals about the prerequisites for changes, and the output of this unit generates signals
to enable the appropriate means to eliminate or compensate for these prerequisites or directly the changes in the information
system [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2 ref3 ref4 ref5 ref6 ref7 ref8 ref9">2-9</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>Using the mathematical apparatus of the wavelet transform, it is possible to control the regulation of changes in the states
of the information system.</p>
      <p>
        Imagine the state of an information system using a state function that describes its properties at a certain point in time.
To do this, we represent the totality of all the properties of an information system in the form of a convolution function of a
sequence of functions that are the properties of components [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2 ref3 ref4 ref5 ref6 ref7 ref8 ref9">2-9</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>Let us consider a simple case in which single rectangular pulses are functions of the properties. The amplitude of these
pulses will depend on the value of the corresponding properties of the component of the information system. The pulse
duration will be taken continuously for all subsequent representations. For example, the state of information system A
corresponds to a sequence of pulses, which is presented in Figure 6. The state function of information system A is shown in
Figure 7.</p>
      <p>
        Approximating this function, we can assume that the state function of the information system is a bell-shaped impulse in
a two-dimensional representation. This function takes place for information systems having at least three properties that can
be described by single rectangular pulses [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2 ref3 ref4 ref5 ref6 ref7 ref8 ref9">2-9</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        During the process of influencing the information system, its properties change, which leads to a change in the matrix of
its properties and, accordingly, to a change in the state function. The change in the state function reflects the sequence of
states that the information system receives at the appropriate time intervals during which the information system is exposed
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2 ref3 ref4 ref5 ref6 ref7 ref8 ref9">2-9</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        Imagine the transition of an information system from state A to the following states in the course of the impact on it,
which is a set of tools S1, S2 , S3 . This effect is gradually implemented by the enemy:
1.5 0 
 
1.3 1.3 
(ObjA , S1)   0

 0

 0
Using the wavelet transform, you can visualize an analysis of the state of the information system. Wavelet spectrum
S(a,b) is a function of two arguments, where is the time scale, which is similar to the period of oscillations, and b similar
to the signal offset along the time axis. At a  a0 the function characterizes the time dependence, with b  b0 the function
characterizes the frequency dependence (for b  b0 ). Since the studied signals in this work are single pulses, the wavelet
spectrum of a single pulse of duration , which is concentrated in a neighborhood of a point t  t0 has the greatest value in
the vicinity of the point with coordinates a   , b  t0 [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2 ref3 ref4 ref5 ref6 ref7 ref8 ref9">2-9</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>We calculate the wavelet spectrum of the state of the information system using the basic Mexican hat
  t  b 2    t  b 2 
wavelet. MHAT (t, a, b)  1  2  a    exp    a   , the analytical representation of the wavelet transform takes the

form</p>
      <p>S (a, b) 
1</p>
      <p>
  u(t)MHAT (t, a, b)dt .
a </p>
      <p>Figure 9 shows a graph of a two-parameter spectrum as a surface in three-dimensional space WSa,b  S (a, b) . In</p>
      <p>Figure 9 – Wavelet spectrum of the state change of an information system that is under the influence</p>
      <p>
        The values of the elements of the matrix of states of the information system, in real conditions, are functions that reflect
the properties of the system. Signals that correspond to the properties in this case will have a more complex form, this will
determine a new type of state function of the information system and other ways of obtaining the wavelet spectrum. This
may be applicable to the analysis of applied means of influence, to the result of changes in the states of the information
system [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2 ref3 ref4 ref5 ref6 ref7 ref8 ref9">2-9</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>The constructed dependency graphs will allow adequate control to be carried out according to a given criterion.</p>
      <p>The result of exposure to the information system Obj' will be determined by the function, which is the work of the
impact unit, the unit for ensuring the functions of the information system, the adaptive response unit and the initial state Obj
information system:</p>
      <p>An analysis of the state of the information system after exposure can be made, and a decision can be made, based on the
data obtained, on the need for further exposure, this makes the proposed neural network recursive, Figure 5.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>Conclusion References</title>
      <p>Thus, a possible approach to the study of the characteristics of the information system under influence and their
management using neural networks and wavelet transforms based on determining the relationship between the modified
state of the information system and the possibility of dynamic analysis of effects is considered.
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