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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Interest in Scientific and Technological Careers in Peruvian School Students</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Alvaro Darcourt</string-name>
          <email>adarcourt@pucp.pe</email>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Sadith Ramos</string-name>
          <email>sramos@minedu.gob.pe</email>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Giovanna Moreano</string-name>
          <email>gmoreano@minedu.gob.pe</email>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Wilmer Hernández</string-name>
        </contrib>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>The present study analyzed Peruvian students' expectations to get involved in scientific and technological careers and factors associated with those expectations through the analysis of PISA 2015 data. The expectancy-value theory was taken as framework to analyze science career expectations since it considers individuals' motivation, self-beliefs and attitudes, variables that have been proved to be influential in career choice. Analytical procedures included confirmatory factor analysis and binary logistic regression. Findings confirmed the importance of gender roles, socioeconomic status and scientific capital in the formation of interest in scientific or technological careers as well as attitudinal and motivational factors, as argued by the expectation-value theory.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>Science</kwd>
        <kwd>technology</kwd>
        <kwd>career</kwd>
        <kwd>expectancy-value theory</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1 Introduction</title>
      <p>
        Scientific knowledge provides the most comprehensive and reliable explanations about the
material world [29]. Also, many of the most important global challenges today (e.g., global
warming) require scientific knowledge for proper conceptualization and the search for effective
solutions [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">17</xref>
        ]. Therefore, it is crucial for countries to have citizens who, from an early age,
develop interest and willingness for choosing careers related to science and technology.
However, numerous evidences suggest a growing lack of interest in school science among
students [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ], [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">17</xref>
        ], [27]. In Peru, according to the II National University Census 2010, of the
total undergraduate students enrolled that year, 23% studied basic sciences, engineering and
technology; while, in graduate school, this proportion decreased to 6% [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
        ]. This panorama
Copyright c 2019 for this paper by its authors. Use permitted under Creative Commons
shows limitations in the availability of professionals involved in science, technology and
innovation.
      </p>
      <p>PISA 2015 addressed this concern and raised, as part of its conceptual evaluation framework,
that science interest is also part of scientific competence, in the same way as scientific skills,
knowledge and beliefs supporting scientific work are [24]. Specifically, PISA 2015 examined
the interest showed by 15-year-old students towards scientific and technological careers. The
present study used PISA 2015 data to analyze Peruvian students’ expectations to get involved
in scientific and technological careers and to identify factors related to those expectations.</p>
      <sec id="sec-1-1">
        <title>1.1 Factors Influencing Scientific and Technological Careers Choice</title>
        <p>
          Career choice is based on sociocultural issues related to the construction of identity, especially
in late modern societies [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">7</xref>
          ]. In these contexts, individuals have greater freedom in its
construction and can articulate in that process interests, goals and personal values [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">15</xref>
          ]. The
importance of family and socioeconomic background has been emphasized [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
          ]. Thus,
Aschbacher, Li and Roth [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
          ] found that science high-achieving students used to come from
high income families. Similarly, Archer, DeWitt and Willis [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
          ] argued that the probability that
a child expresses and maintains his interest in science will be strongly associated with his
family scientific capital (e.g., having parents graduated or working in science matters). Another
relevant aspect is age; evidence suggests that science interest arising from a very early stage
might influence science vocational choices [27].
        </p>
        <p>
          Another relevant factor for scientific careers choice involves gender roles. Thus, women are
usually more interested in medical, biological and health sciences [30] than in mathematics,
engineering and computer science, careers that draw more attention among males [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">13</xref>
          ]. These
differences might be explained by the influence of cultural beliefs and patterns related to gender
on students’ career expectations [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">17</xref>
          ]. For example, there is evidence that women are more willing
to make professional sacrifices than men, to assure their family’s wellbeing [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">12</xref>
          ]. In addition,
they perceive that scientific careers will not allow them to harmonize between their work and
personal life [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16">16</xref>
          ]. Similarly, women, unlike men, often prefer careers that allow them to interact
and develop altruistic and reciprocal relationships with others [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">12</xref>
          ]. Overall, these findings
suggest that choosing certain careers might be influenced by cultural values associated with them,
as well as gender-related role expectations.
        </p>
        <p>
          Regarding school variables, the quality of teaching has shown a significant influence on
participation and good performance in science courses [32]. Thus, a study carried out in USA
with university students found that one of the most relevant predictors of good performance in
these courses was high school education [31]. In contrast, transition from primary to secondary
school, low levels of experimental work in class, as well as the lack of references from the
scientific field might cause adverse dispositions towards science in school [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
          ].
The expectation-value theory states that individual differences in decision making, involvement
and persistence in certain activities can be explained based on attitudes related to how well one
can perform in these activities and the assessment attributed to that task [34]. Attitudes can be
defined as individuals’ feelings and appraisals towards certain objects [27], to that extent, they
precede and guide behavior in various life domains. Attitudes have cognitive, affective and
behavioral components, and vary according to their content (e.g. attitudes toward science),
direction (positive, negative or neutral) and intensity (e.g. agree/disagree). Regarding attitudes
towards science, they are defined as students’ affections, beliefs and values towards school
science, specific scientific topics and science implications for society and daily life [32].
Among these attitudes, achievement-related emotions can have a positive (such as science
enjoyment) or negative effect (such as science anxiety) on behavior [29].
        </p>
        <p>
          Motivational orientations, which are closely related to emotions, can be divided into intrinsic
and instrumental. Thus, it has been found that students with high levels of interest (intrinsic
motivation) are able to acquire new knowledge, persevere and meet goals, get involved in
scientific activities, etc. [20]. In addition, empirical research is consistent in pointing out that
science interest is crucial for scientific careers choice especially when it is acquired in early
stages of schooling [22]. Instead, instrumental motivation is related to the expected outcomes
and consequences of behaviors, rather than the joyful of learning itself, and to students' beliefs
that science learning will be useful in the future [29]. Another relevant aspect has to do with
self-efficacy, which reflects subjective beliefs about one's ability for performing optimally in
specific science tasks, and is based on previous mastery experiences, vicarious experiences,
social persuasion and physiological activation [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
          ], [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14">14</xref>
          ], [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">18</xref>
          ], [21], [29].
        </p>
        <p>The present study examined the role of background, expectations, motivation, self-beliefs and
attitudes in the development of interest in choosing scientific and technological careers in
Peruvian students. Specifically, the study poses the following research questions: What are the
students’ scientific and technological career expectations? Which factors are associated with
students’ science and technological-related career expectations? Are there interactions in the
relationship between expectation-value variables and scientific career choice according to
student characteristics, specifically according to sex and SES?</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>2 Method</title>
      <sec id="sec-2-1">
        <title>2.1 Sample</title>
        <p>The Peruvian sample evaluated in PISA 2015 consisted of 6971 students (50.2% male, 49.7%
female) from 281 educational institutions, aged between 15 and 16 (M = 15.66, S.D. = 0.47),
selected through a probabilistic, stratified, two-stage cluster sampling [25]. Ninety-three
percent of the participants had Spanish as their primary language, while 6% and 1% had an
indigenous language and a foreign language, respectively. Seventy-six percent attended upper
secondary education (timely enrollment), while 24% attended secondary education (school
backwardness).</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-2">
        <title>2.2 Variables</title>
        <p>Except for SES, the variables used in this study come from the PISA 2015 student questionnaire
[28]. The student socioeconomic status (SES) index was constructed by the Office of Learning
Quality Measurement of the Ministry of Education of Peru and has proven to be a valid and
reliable measure in Peruvian educational contexts [23].</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-3">
        <title>2.3 Analytical strategy</title>
        <p>
          Binary logistic regression models were estimated in order to explore the relationship between
different variables and the probability that students were interested in ST careers. These
variables were introduced in blocks and sequentially in nested models. In addition, the presence
of moderation effects (according to gender and SES) was also tested. In the case of SES, this
variable was converted to a categorical one to classify students according to their SES level:
high, medium, low and very low [23]. The fit of the final model was assessed through the
Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) as well as for its capacity to classify the observed data.
All statistical and graphical analysis were carried out using the R 3.6.1 language [26] and the
following packages: ‘intsvy’ [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
          ], ‘glmm’ [19] and ‘ggplot2’ [33].
        </p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>3 Results</title>
      <sec id="sec-3-1">
        <title>3.1 Descriptive analysis</title>
        <p>Source: OECD. PISA 2015 data. Own elaboration.</p>
        <p>Students who showed a greater willingness to opt for engineering careers were male students,
as well as those with higher socioeconomic status and higher performance in the PISA science
test. On the contrary, women were more interested in health careers.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-2">
        <title>3.2 Binary logistic regression models</title>
        <p>Table 3 reports the results of the binary logistic regression models. In model 1, women were
associated with decreased odds of interest in ST careers (b = 0.664, p &lt; .05), compared to men.
Also, having an indigenous (b = 0.852, p &lt; .05) or foreign native language (b = 0.771, p &lt; .05)
were associated with decreased odds of interest in these careers, compared to Spanish native
language. On the contrary, greater student (b = 1.174, p &lt; .05) and school SES (b = 1.051, p &lt;
.05), as well as having timely enrollment (b = 1.363, p &lt; .05), were associated with increased
odds of choosing a ST career. On the other hand, having at least one parent dedicated to a
scientific or technological occupation was related with greater odds of interest in these types of
occupations (b = 1.733, p &lt; .05).</p>
        <p>In model 2 after controlling for the base model variables effects, instrumental motivation (b =
1.377, p &lt; .05), achievement motivation (b = 1.209, p &lt; .05), involvement in scientific activities
(b = 1.139, p &lt; .05) and interest in science (b = 1.271, p &lt; .05) were all positively associated
with increased odds of interest in a ST career. On the other hand, no significant results were
found for test anxiety, science self-efficacy, enjoyment of science and emotional support of
parents. Additionally, in model 3 a greater frequency in the use of pedagogical strategies based
on inquiry was associated with decreased odds of showing interest in careers of this type (b =
0.878, p &lt; .05).</p>
        <p>Interaction effects were modeled in order to verify if relationships found differed according to
strata (models 4, 5, 6 and 7). Thus, it was found that the relationship between anxiety and
scientific aspirations depended on the student’s gender (model 6). In this way, at higher anxiety
scores, women had a greater chance of being interested in ST careers than men (b = 1.336, p &lt;
.05). It was also found that the association between instrumental motivation and occupational
interest in science varied according to the student SES level (model 7). Therefore, as
instrumental motivation scores increased, students with a higher SES had a greater chance of
aspiring to pursue a career in science or technology (b = 1.139, p &lt; .05). Finally, although at
first there was no significant interaction effect between socioeconomic status and inquiry-based
science teaching (model 5), this effect became significant in the final model (model 8). All
significant interactions included in the final model appear graphically in Figure 1.</p>
        <p>The final model (8) integrates information from previous models. Here, most of the trends
observed in partial models remained, except for those described below. Native language
(indigenous and foreign), school SES and inquiry-based science teaching ceased to be
significant after controlling for the rest of the variable’s effects included in the final model. On
the other hand, the effect of interaction between inquiry and SES (model 5) became significant
in the final model. This effect, however, was not consistent with its graphic representation in
Figure 1 and may not be reliable (therefore, it will not be discussed in the final section of the
article). Finally, the final model showed a better fit to the data (BIC = 6235.7) than a null model
without predictive variables (BIC = 9305.4). In addition, the final model adequately classified
63.4% of the data.</p>
        <p>Variables
Gender(Female)
Language(Indigenous)2
Language(Foreign)2
Student SES
School SES
Timely Enrollment
Science-related parent
occupation
Instrumental
motivation
Test anxiety
Achievement
motivation
Science self-efficacy
Science activities
Enjoyment of science
Interest in science
Parents support
Inquiry-based science</p>
        <p>teaching
Female x Inquiry
SES x Inquiry
Female x Anxiety</p>
        <p>(1)
SES x Inst. Motivation
Intercept/Constant
N(Students)
*p &lt; .05. 1For each model, the exponential coefficients (odds ratios) associated with the predictors are reported. For
one unit change, an odds ratio above 1 reflects a greater probability that the student is interested in a ST career,
while an odds ratio below 1 reflects a decrease in this probability. 2 Reference = Spanish language.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>4 Discussion</title>
      <p>
        The study aimed to (1) to explore the scientific and technological career expectations shown
by Peruvian students; (2) to explore the factors associated to interest in this type of careers; and
(3) to analyze the existence of moderation effects in the relationship between affective and
motivational variables with the interest in science careers. In general, the results allowed to
identify that approximately 40% of students expressed the intention of being involved in
scientific careers at 30 years old, with engineering and health careers as the ones that
concentrated greater interest. Evidence shows that career expectations are differentiated by
gender which correspond to the international trend: women prefer health careers while men
prefer engineering careers [30]. It is important to mention that gender differences in
socialization often take place both in educational and family contexts. It is likely that parents
and teachers are inclined to encourage and reinforce more intensely among male students the
active exploration of environments and the manipulation of objects, which constitute essential
features of scientific work. On the contrary, women might place a greater emphasis on activities
related to interpersonal care (e.g., health careers). In sum, gender stereotypes might generate
different routes in the development of vocational and occupational interests [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">12</xref>
        ].
The results also showed the importance of students’ background as well as motivational and
attitudinal aspects. Among variables related to students´ background, there was found a positive
relationship between science and technological careers expectations and student
socioeconomic status, timely enrollment, and having at least one parent working in science.
The latter would evidence the importance of the student's scientific capital in the construction
of identity related to science and, as Archer, DeWitt and Willis [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ] have suggested, would
support arguments about the early influence of scientific capital on the expression and
development of science interest. Thus, having parents involved in science-related jobs might
drive interest in scientific subjects and occupations, consumption of cultural products,
participation in out- of- school science activities, interaction with people involved in science,
as well as the development of favorable dispositions toward this field [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        In addition, the present study found that domains highlighted by the expectancy-value theory
showed to be important antecedents of interest in scientific and technological careers such as
instrumental motivation, achievement motivation, engagement in scientific activities and
interest in science topics. These results also coincide with previous evidence according to
which the persistence and effort to excel in science courses, the spontaneous participation in
science-related activities during free time, as well as the disposition for being informed on
science topics show a positive influence on interest in scientific and technological careers [20].
Henceforth, it was found that, besides students` background, there are subjective dispositions
favorable to science career expectations and that both factors might, very probably, interact
among them configuring processes of identity construction in which science plays an important
role. Regarding pedagogical practices, a negative association was found between interest in
scientific careers and inquiry- based teaching, even this relationship turned into a
nonsignificant one in the final model. Although these findings are counterintuitive since it would
be expected that inquiry nurture interest in science, they are consistent with studies reporting
that this teaching approach is negatively associated with science performance in standardized
tests [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>In relation to interaction effects, instrumental motivation was found to favor science career
choice, especially in those students with a higher SES. These students are likely to have a more
favorable environment (e.g., greater scientific capital) for the development of vocational paths
that reflect their expectations and interests, whether instrumental (as verified in the present
study) or intrinsic. Also, it was found that as anxiety increases in evaluation contexts, men are
more likely to give up their interest in science and technology careers. This may suggest a
greater women ability to persist in their goals, particularly in unfavorable conditions. It is also
likely that, in the presence of difficulties, men will have greater freedom to give up interests or
goals and opt for others.</p>
      <p>
        In general terms, the results of this study emphasize the importance of gender roles,
socioeconomic status and scientific capital in the formation of interest in studying a scientific
or technological career. In addition, attitudinal and motivational factors showed their
importance in science career expectation as postulated by the expectation-value theory [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">12</xref>
        ]. As
the main limitation of the study it is important to point out that, due to its cross-sectional design,
it is not possible to make causal inferences or to generate conclusions about the process of
development of interest in science and technology careers. Thereupon, the use of longitudinal
designs is recommended to track fluctuations of science interest and other associated variables.
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