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    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Green Cover Analysis using Tree Census Data to Optimize the Biodiversity in Pune Municipal Development Area</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Anita Kane</string-name>
          <email>anitamkane@gmail.com</email>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Viswanath Kumar Ganesan</string-name>
          <email>viswanath.ganesan@tcs.com</email>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Milind Sardesai</string-name>
          <email>mmsardesai@unipune.ac.in</email>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Mahesh Shindikar</string-name>
        </contrib>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>In this work, we study the scope and opportunities available in Pune to understand the temporal and spatial status of the green cover across the municipal limits that help improve the scenario in view of maintaining and optimizing the biodiversity. We do review the conversion of land usage due to urbanization over last three decades as well as evaluate the collected census data to provide deeper insights into how the data can be used to create a decision support system by Pune Municipal Corporation to address the expectation of improvements of green cover across the city. A set of metrics is introduced to evaluate the green cover across the city divisions/zones/wards and propose a model to bring in colorful aesthetics as well as maintain balanced floral biodiversity in the ecosystem going forward into the future. It is proposed to plant about 200,000 to 500,000 saplings over next couple of years across the city by bringing in sponsors for saplings to maintain the green stretches in the city.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>smart city∙open data∙tree census∙bio-diversity</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>-</title>
      <p>
        The motivation of people to concentrate and build larger cities has generated both
positive and negative effects at global level [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ]. This has enabled shift in cultural trends
with more livelihood opportunities to work together with improved economic
conditions. At the same time, it has put challenges to energy and infrastructure
development, waste collection, disposal and treatment, use of natural resources such as
water and land, etc., as well as management of vehicular traffic, and carbon dioxide
emissions.
      </p>
      <p>Copyright © 2020 for this paper by its authors. Use permitted under Creative
Commons License Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0).</p>
      <p>
        Pune, once known as Poona, situated 160 km south-east of the most economically
important city of Mumbai used to offer few decades back higher quality of life and was
less connected to global growth and development. Pune is the eighth largest urban
agglomeration (ninth largest municipality) with 5 million inhabitants in 2011 [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ]. The
economic liberalization before and around 2000s resulted in emergence of numerous
Information Technology and Bio-tech Parks and brining in good amount of immigrants
into the city. The Special Economic Zone (SEZ) policy introduced by the State Govt.
of Maharashtra and the Jawaharlal Nehru Urban Renewal Mission (JNURM) of the
Government of India, did provide the necessary impetus and the Pune is more now seen
with more of cosmopolitan population.
      </p>
      <p>
        Pune was once known for dense tree cover with good ambience for greenery but the
urbanization has taken toll on many parameters. From 1973 till early 1990s, an increase
in built-up area of 38.5 sq km was witnessed with an expansion rate of 2 sq km per year.
Subsequently, further after till 2013, the city had expanded by about 82.5 sq km at an
expansion rate of 3.9 sq km [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ]. The areas in the city green cover can be classified
under four categories viz., agricultural land (43 sq km), grassland (33 sq km), woodland
(18.2 sq km) and shrub land (7.5 sq km). Pune witnessed a loss of 18 sq km of green
cover due to urbanization (residential and traffic flows in the decade ending 2001. The
city lost about 52 sq km of land between 2001 and 2013. The population increase and
growth of multi-national companies has placed larger demands on commercial
infrastructure and residential accommodation which has counterintuitive implications
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        Air quality (PM 10 levels) is Pune is around 91 as against the expected value of 60.
Biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) levels is between 50 and 80 in Mula-Mutha River
due to discharge of untreated sewage. Sound pollution due to traffic and congestion is
quite high and has open spaces at 7% levels compared to the benchmark values of 15%.
Recent citizen survey with Punekars mentioned that clean rivers and water bodies were
ranked among the high priority items. A short term goal to develop 3.5 km of riverfront
has been taken up under the Smart City Mission as a pilot project and is expected to be
replicated based on further inputs [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        ]. Pune Municipal Corporation (PMC) has garnered
support from the National River Conservation Fund to the tune of 900 Cr for river
cleaning [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ]. This will fund the development of sewage and sanitation related
infrastructure along Mula-Mutha river.
2
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>Review of Literature</title>
      <p>
        Urban forest effects on carbon sequestration and carbon capture have been widely
studied across the world, despite the heavy focus on North America [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7 ref8 ref9">7,8,9</xref>
        ]. Several of
these studies have proven that trees in urban environments remove carbon dioxide from
the atmosphere by storing carbon in roots, stems and branches through growth and
photosynthesis. Beyond directly reducing carbon, trees also indirectly reduce carbon
emissions by decreasing energy production [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
        ]. They do so by reducing the energy
consumed by buildings for cooling internal temperatures since they provide added
shade and bring down the overall temperature at a certain level of tree cover. Despite
its stated benefits, in order to create a successful model for urban tree cover, there are
a series of contingencies that need to be accounted for. Namely, carbon release from
tree mortality, biomass and biodiversity [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11 ref12">11, 12</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        Firstly, tree mortality. Compared to natural forests, urban forests typically store less
carbon per hectare in trees due to the relatively low tree cover – 25.1 tons of carbon per
hectare (tC/ha) for urban forests to 53.5 tC/ha for natural forests. However, if we are to
disaggregate carbon capture at the per unit tree cover level, urban forest trees are more
effective [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">13</xref>
        ]. This is primarily due to the carbon release from a larger number of
decomposing trees in forests. In urban areas, it is thus imperative to account for
extended mortality when selecting tree saplings for increased coverage.
      </p>
      <p>
        Secondly, the model must account for biomass. In urban areas, especially Pune, one
of the largest concerns is physical space limitations to plant trees. With ever expanding
residential areas and commercial buildings, it is difficult to find areas to create enough
tree cover for carbon sequestration to be effective – this problem has persisted in
multiple cities in the United States as well [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14">14</xref>
        ]. In order to circumvent the issue of
space, it might be useful to refer to tree species which have a higher root-to-shoot ratio.
On average, the root-to-shoot ratio is 0.26 [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">15</xref>
        ]. In Pune, the newer tree saplings planted
should aim to have a higher root-to-shoot ratio in order to isolate the majority of the
biomass underground.
      </p>
      <p>
        Thirdly, and most importantly, the group of species of trees selected for planting
must include native species and account for biodiversity. Blindly planting trees in a
homogenous pattern has shown to potentially slow the sequestration of the
accumulation of atmospheric carbon [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16">16</xref>
        ]. Pune, being a part of Western Ghats (an
identified biodiversity rich area), contribution in increasing the diversity of tree species
becomes an essential effort for effective capturing of carbon. Operationalizing the
measurement of biodiversity in an urban environment though is not standardized. There
is limited scientific consensus on biodiversity indices standardizing measurement in
general [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">17</xref>
        ]. The difficulty in establishing an index, primarily originates from the
complex nature of biodiversity – biodiversity can be defined in terms of composition,
structure and/or function at multiple levels [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">18</xref>
        ]. Despite that, there are organizations
around the world which deal with biodiversity targets who have commissioned the
creation of multiple biodiversity indices for measurement.
      </p>
      <p>
        The most prominent is perhaps the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD)
which adopted a target of reducing the rate of biodiversity loss by 2010 [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">19</xref>
        ]. There has
been a plethora of biodiversity indices which have popped up to attempt to meet the
requirements to operationalize the targets of the CBD, although none had adequately
done so [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20 ref21">20, 21</xref>
        ].
3
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Improving Green Cover</title>
      <p>Trees contribute to their environment by various ways viz. providing oxygen, improving
an air quality, climate amelioration, conserving water, preserving soil, and supporting
wildlife. During the process of photosynthesis, plants absorb carbon dioxide and
produce the oxygen we breathe. Some tree species are providing food for particular
birds and vice versa birds are spreading seeds throughout the area with their behaviors.
The tree cover/flowering &amp; fruiting is of interest to ornithologists. The Pune Municipal
Corporation (PMC) has recently completed a GIS enabled tree census of about 4
Million trees. The Pune Municipal Development Area has 14 administrative wards and
the total of 40,09,623 trees as recorded in the census data. The ward-wise tree count is
depicted in the chart in figure 1.</p>
      <p>This data would be extremely useful to the Government authorities including PMC
Department staff, Ecologists/Ornithologists/Botanists as well as citizens. This project
focuses on statistical as well as geo-spatial analysis of this BIG dataset.
4</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Scope of the Study</title>
      <p>We attempt as a first step using the census data to analyze and visualize the geo-spatial
spread of the trees across Pune estimating the following factors: trees per sq km,
biodiversity of the wards, percentage of native species and tree cover area per ward. The
flowering calendar of the trees using bio-diversity analysis can be generated to improve
the aesthetics and colorful beauty of the across the city.</p>
      <p>The model depicting the “fall” from trees, on the basis the tree species and its current
canopy can be used for ward/prabhag wise “Fall” calendar. This input to be used by
Solid waste Management / Health Department for planning their “garden waste
clearance” activity. Palm type trees are a special case as the tree fall is non-compostable
and shredding capacity is required</p>
      <p>It is intended to define and present a Model for CO2 absorption capacity for various
administrative wards. Using the ward-wise population figures, we can determine the
“gap” in “required trees” taking into account the saplings planted in 2017-19 as well as
the growth in tree foliage, shrubs, etc. The heat-map of the green cover is expected to
be used identify and prioritize where new tree plantation is required and come up with
suggested locations for new saplings. In the Pune Municipal Corporation’s proposed
development plan, certain areas have been identified as “Bio-Diversity Parks”. For ex.
certain birds are attracted to certain types of trees. The specifications to be articulated
by ecologists/ornithologists/botanists for the areas earmarked as bio-diversity parks
abating the issue of deceased tree propagation. The work focuses on following aspects:
1. Improving the green cover of the city by analyzing the existing data sets to figure
out the gaps in coverage as well as open spaces.
2. Identifying sponsors to care for saplings of required types to simultaneously
improve the green cover as well as the aesthetics and colorful beauty of the
across the city.</p>
      <p>The study uses evidence-based analytical methods for selecting sapling varieties and
greenery improvement opportunities. The insights and perspectives from the analytical
study produced are validated against the data observed from field visits, detailed
government-stakeholder consultation and a collective approach on greenery analysis of
zone/ward-wise interventions in various Municipal divisions of Pune City. The
interesting part of the study is that all the collected data on tree census is made available
on open data portal of the PMC.
5</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Biodiversity of Trees in the Pune Municipal Corporation</title>
      <p>
        There are three indices which fit the requirements stated above. They are the simple
biodiversity index, the Biodiversity Intactness Index (BII) and the original Natural
Capital Index (NCI) implemented in the Netherlands [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref22 ref23">22, 23</xref>
        ]. The NCI accounts for
ecosystem quantity and ecosystem quality, requires a baseline and time-series data [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref23">23</xref>
        ].
Applications of NCI in Hungary and Mexico, however reveal shortcomings in its
applicability to urban areas like Pune [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref24 ref25">24,25</xref>
        ]. NCI as an indicator is not optimized for
urban use since it is primarily aimed at conservation of rare species. That is not usually
a priority issue in urban areas for municipal corporations. Further NCI’s requirement
of time-series data constricts us since the PMC’s tree census does not have time-series
data. The BII, on the other hand seems more appropriate.
      </p>
      <p>
        where the population impact(#$% )is defined as the population of species group i
under land use activity k in ecosystem j relative to a reference population in the same
ecosystem type. And, where#$ = richness (number of species) of taxon i in ecosystem
j, and$% = area of land use k in ecosystem j [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref22">22</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        The BII is an aggregate index meant for overviews from public policy makers. It can
be disaggregated based on the specifics of the user of the mode: by ecosystem or
regions, land use activity, specie groups or functional types. It provides an average
richness and an area-weighted impact of the biodiversity. However, the PMC Tree
Census data lacks certain attributes for the BII and does not need the same level of
detail. The final index, the simple biodiversity index, on the other hand, accounts for
the number of species living in an area, divided by the total number of individuals [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref26">26</xref>
        ].
We need to further assess our carbon sequestration model to decide which biodiversity
index is most applicable.
      </p>
      <p>
        Accounting for the three contingencies stated above, there have been a series of
models which measure carbon sequestration. We need to create an adapted model which
can be extracted from geospatial data. To that end, there are three prominent models we
seek to evaluate for adaptation for the PMC: UFORE (Urban Forest Effects model),
CTCC (The Centre for Urban Forest Research’s Tree Carbon Calculator) and Russo et
al.’s adapted allometric model [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref27 ref28">27,28</xref>
        ]. All three account for specific mortality and
biomass concern.
      </p>
      <p>The tree data from Pune had 484 tree species with about 201 species being directly
identified to native category (either from India or Indian sub-continent) and rest
belonging to non-native category. Ecologically, the native species are those that
naturally occur in a given geographical area and are expected to be stable in their
habitat. While non-native species, also known as introduced, some of which can
become invasive in the local area. A total of 32,16,823 trees captured in the census
records 25% of the trees are native ones and 73% are non-native species. We could not
find classifications for about 2% of the population. We did find 342 nativity
classification across 484 species of which 124 classification were representing India
Geography with 201 species.</p>
      <p>The diversity of the trees when analyzed from economic and social utility
perspective can be classified into following categories: Edible oils, Essential oils,
Firewood, Fodders, Fruits, Medicinal, Ornamental, Paper industry, Rubber source,
Spice, Timber wood, and Vegetable types. The frequency distribution of classification
of trees is presented below figure 2.</p>
      <p>We do observe that 7% of the trees are evergreen and 93% of them are deciduous.
Deciduous in reference to trees and shrubs refer to seasonally shedding leaves after
flowering. The flowering seasonal definitions have been looked into across the year
various tree species and below chart in figure 3 gives the distribution of trees that have
flowering periods across the year. The theoretical maximal biodiversity value for all
the wards in Pune could maximally be defined between 1 and 0.00076 with the
assumption that each one of the wards does have all possible tree species variety when
the count of the trees are more than the number of individual trees or all trees are unique
of its kind when the count of the individual trees are less the number of species available
in Pune.</p>
      <p>It is essential that measure of biodiversity essentially considers not only count of
individual trees and number of species of trees but various other factors such as area of
shade provided, conditions of health of the trees as well as growth parameters such as
girth, height and canopy dimensions, socio-economic value provided and also
maintaining all-year-round nutrition. Trees provide soil and water conservation,
facilitate carbon sequestration, improve biodiversity and increase the number of
pollinators and natural pest predators, like birds. The genetic diversity is important for
landscape restoration efforts. The loss of genetic diversity of the main tree species
results in elimination of other species, like insects and fungi, that are specifically
associated with certain trees leaving the whole forest ecosystem biologically
impoverished. Many people in urban and rural localities depend on trees for fuel,
medicine, food, tools and containers, fodder for livestock, shade, and watershed
maintenance. In our work, we do propose to achieve an improvement of about 5% to
10% increase in the biodiversity of trees across various wards in Pune. Hence, the
diversity of the tree species need to be maintained across various localities of the city
considering the factors that are relevant each locality rather than considering all the
factors in one go.
6</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>Fall Calendar</title>
      <p>The trees shed their petals typically after flowering season and the fall is the right
time to prepare the trees and shrubs for winter. Pruning of the branches of the trees in
fall periods of the year can help protect trees from subsequent cold winter season so
they bloom as vibrant as possible in the spring. The fall period provides us an
opportunity to see the tree’s branch structure visibility to evaluate and prevent the
spread of certain disease pathogens or insect infestations in the trees. The other
interesting part is the use of the fallen leaves for recycling to create rich farm manure.
We attempted to depict the fall calendar for the trees covered in the collected census
data and the figure 4 presents the count of the trees that could enter into fall periods
during the various months of the year. Nearly about 35% of the trees have the fall period
beginning in the month of July/August every year.
Existing tree data
in each locality
Season-wise tree sapling</p>
      <p>plan and schedules
Open Space and
constraints</p>
      <p>Maximizing CO2 absorption
and tree diversity</p>
      <p>Socio-economic
needs in each locality
The root to short ratio is an important measure that helps us in assessment of overall
health of the plants and trees. Each tree species has a normal root to shoot ratio and any
changes in from this normal level (either up or down) would be an indication of a
change in the overall health of the trees/plants. Apart from planning the planting of tree
saplings, it is also necessary to keep observations on what is happening with the
identified plants. The ratio of the amount of plant tissues that have supportive functions
to the amount of those that have growth functions is defined using root to shoot ratio.
Variations that are quite significant on root to shoot ratio values during a plant’s life
cycle is part of an intrinsic ontogeny, but growth rates of roots and shoots continually
adjust to resource availability with photo-assimilate (hence biomass). In herbaceous
plants, root to shoot ratios typically decrease with age (size) due to sustained investment
of carbon in above-ground structures. An unexpected shoot response to above-ground
conditions results in increase of the root biomass which is influenced by below-ground
conditions where low availability of either water or nutrients commonly leads to greater
root to shoot ratio.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-7">
      <title>8 Benefits and Implications to the Stakeholders and Need for</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-8">
      <title>Voluntary Contributors</title>
      <p>The involvement of various stakeholders and their contribution to improve the green
cover needs to be sustained over a period of time as well as going forward in future.
This necessitates bringing in motivation by highlighting the contribution of the
sponsors, communities and other stakeholders in the system to improvement of various
metrics relevant to air quality levels, BOD levels, etc. in the various print forms,
broadcasts and other mechanism. Subsequently in near future, the tree census data for
over 40 lakh trees and their numerous attributes can be measures and used for improving
the bio-diversity and preservation of bird/animal ecology quite effectively.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-9">
      <title>Conclusions</title>
      <p>In this paper, we do make an attempt to understand about 26 attributes of the trees
collected for the 40 lakh trees that have been capture in the city tree census data. We do
analyze to characterize the census data to classify the trees considering ward details,
socio-economic needs, flowering season for trees and various other information. We do
create a fall calendar for the trees across the Pune Municipal locality to understand the
quantum of leave that may fall during various months of the year to plan for recycling
and composting process. We propose to conceptualize a model for planting of new
samplings going forward in the future using CO2 absorption needs of various
wards/localities in Pune, availability of open spaces and expectations on
socioeconomic benefits. A systematic treatment to the data obtained through this exercise
would be beneficial for understanding the status of tree vegetation across the municipal
unit, recognizing the gaps in plantation schemes and projecting plants as a significant
resource for the citizens.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-10">
      <title>Acknowledgements</title>
      <p>We acknowledge Yash Chahande, Siddhartha Sengupta and Sanam Panjwani, the
graduate students from University of Toronto for working with us in preparation and
analysis of data as well providing valuable insights into the different perspectives of
problem definitions from academic perspectives. We warmly acknowledge Kishore
Padmanabhan, Tata Consultancy Services, Chennai India for providing us with research
directions and guidance in defining the scope of this work. We sincerely thank Devdatta
Tengshe, a freelance consultant and an open data enthusiast to help us creation of data
for our analysis. We would like to acknowledge the encouragements received from the
authorities of Savitribai Phule Pune University and College of Engineering Pune.</p>
    </sec>
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