=Paper= {{Paper |id=Vol-2585/paper14 |storemode=property |title=Big data techniques to discover kidney problems at early stages: a prospective study |pdfUrl=https://ceur-ws.org/Vol-2585/paper14.pdf |volume=Vol-2585 |authors=Omar García-González,Ivan E. Villalon-Turrubiates,Pilar Pozos-Parra |dblpUrl=https://dblp.org/rec/conf/lanmr/Garcia-Gonzalez19 }} ==Big data techniques to discover kidney problems at early stages: a prospective study== https://ceur-ws.org/Vol-2585/paper14.pdf
    Big data techniques to discover kidney problems at early
                   stages: a prospective study

        Omar García-González1, Ivan E. Villalon-Turrubiates1 and Pilar Pozos-Parra2
             1Instituto Tecnológico y de Estudios Superiores de Occidente (ITESO)

        Periférico Sur Manuel Gómez Morín 8585, 45604 Tlaquepaque, Jalisco, México
                           2Universidad Autónoma de Baja California

                    Calzada Universidad 14418, 22424 Tijuana, B.C, México
     ng724433@iteso.mx, villalon@iteso.mx, maria.pozos@uabc.edu.mx



        Abstract. Chronic Kidney Disease is a decrease in the kidney function, which can
        eventually derive in the cessation of the total function. It affects around 10 to 15% of
        the adults globally. This number is expected to grow as the diabetes disease is grow-
        ing, and kidney disease is one of the consequences of diabetes. Some computational
        tools and techniques related to big data, machine learning, clustering, signal and im-
        age processing, and data mining among others, promises huge benefits for medical
        research through technologies that can provide a better categorization of the infor-
        mation, which will derive on an easier way to analyze data and convert it into valuable
        information for decision-making. This paper presents an analysis of the state of the
        art, and previous advances of the use of technology for discovering the presence of
        kidney diseases. This will lead to alternative and novel ways to detect the disease on
        its initial stages, with the aim of supporting the medical decision-making process.

        Keywords: engineering in medicine, big data applications, machine learning


1       Introduction

As referred by Mayer [1], the purpose of the analysis of data is no longer simply answering
existing questions but generating new hypotheses. Using the power of well-organized abun-
dant information, guides us to the creation of knowledge in a faster ratio than we ever im-
agined. Some none invasive techniques are being used to predict kidney malfunction.
   There are three key areas, where Big Data differentiates from any existing conventional
analyses of a given data sample:
1. Data is being captured in a more comprehensive way.
2. Inclusion of new techniques like machine learning, which according to Murphy [2] is the
   set of methods that can automatically help us by detecting patterns in data, which we can
   use to predict future data, or to perform decision making under uncertainty.
3. Creation of new hypotheses.




    Copyright © 2019 for this paper by its authors. Use permitted under Creative Commons License
    Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)


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    This takes us to the conclusion that if we take advantage of the benefits of Big Data, we
can accelerate the research in any field; medicine is not an exception.


2      The big data paradigm

2.1    Historical Review
The growth rate in the volume of data, popularly known as the “information explosion” [3]
was first used according to the Oxford English Dictionary in 1941. Since then, multiple
major milestones in the history of the big volumes of data have been reached:

1. On 1944, Fremont Rider [4] (Wesleyan University Librarian) estimated that the Ameri-
   can university libraries, were doubling the size of their amount of information every six-
   teen years.
2. On April 1980, Tjomsland [5] said that the large amounts of data are being retained,
   because the users involved have no way of identifying obsolete data, besides the fact that
   the consequences associated for storing obsolete data, are less than the ones associated
   to discard potentially useful data.
3. On October 1998, Coffman [6] concluded that the growth rate of traffic on the public
   Internet was about 100% per year; data traffic overtook voice traffic on the U.S. by 2002.
4. On March 2007, Gantz [7] estimated that the information added year by year to the digital
   universe, will increase more than six-fold to 988 Exabyte’s, doubling every 18 months.
   (On a follow up release of the same study, that forecast was surpassed reaching 1227
   Exabyte’s in 2010, and getting to 2837 Exabyte’s in 2012).
5. On February 2011, Hilbert [8] estimated that in the year of 1986, 99.2% of the storage
   capacity was analog, while in 2007 94% was digital (it was on 2002, that digital infor-
   mation surpassed the non-digital for the first time).


2.2    Big Data Definition


Despite the fact that there is not a simple and widely accepted definition of the term Big
Data, multiple authors and data engineer experts uses three V’s to approach a definition
(volume, velocity and variety).
   Volume refers to the amount of data, variety to the different types and sources of data,
and velocity to the speed needed to process it. The increase of the volume of data, as well
as the variety of data sources and formats is exponentially growing year by year, while the
users are demanding an increase in the velocity to access and/or process the data.




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    We define the big data management as the set of techniques and tools necessary to deal
with the increasing amount of information, which has the purpose of organizing and cate-
gorizing the information in a better way, so that we can extract valuable information from
huge data-bases, at the maximum possible speed.
    Besides the challenges that the volume, variety and velocity causes, big data is becoming
extremely valuable in the development of new knowledge for multiple business and indus-
tries.


3      Engineering for chronical kidney disease analysis

Multiple studies use technology to generate faster advances on a research. In the particular
case of Chronical Kidney Disease (CKD), there are several examples where the analysis of
data, has raised the interest of both medical and Big Data researches.


3.1    Medical Studies
A recent study analyses the early stage of kidney complication caused by Diabetes Mellitus
(DM) through the analysis of the iris image of the patient [9]. Iridology is a technique based
on the shape and structure inside the iris, which can picture the body system. According to
this technique, anything that happens in the body is reflected as a sign in the eye-iris.
   In his analysis, Prayitno [9] used 47 participants, from which 31 were preliminary diag-
nosed with DM, while 16 had no prior indication of DM or any kidney damage. They all
had their eye images captured and analyzed, and also a blood test was taken from them.
From the 47 patients, 36 of them (76%) were showing a broken tissue, related to the kidney
location on the iris. From the 31 participants that were preliminary diagnosed with DM, a
100% were reflecting broken tissue. This concludes that all patients with DM, showed any
type of complication with their kidney, and this was reflected in the image of their iris.
   According to a recent study [10] there are strong links between depression and anxiety
and CKD. Despite the fact that anxiety and depression in advanced stages sound logically
related, studies have demonstrated higher prevalence rates of depression in patients with
CKD than other chronic diseases.
   Depression is an emotional state, which is characterized by causing somatic and cogni-
tive symptoms like a constant feeling of sadness, sleeplessness, and in many occasions the
loss of appetite and sexual desire, and the lack of interest in common activities [10].
   Anxiety is an emotional state, which causes a person to feel intense fear, uncertainty, and
dread from anticipation of any given threating situation. When anxiety becomes a disorder
(in difference to brief anxiety states), remains at least 6 months, and can get worse if the
patient is not under treatment [10].
   According to Hedayati [11] and Cukor [12], patients with CKD have a ratio of depression
five times more compared with general population. The range is between 20% and 30% of




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patients with CKD, affected with depression. To prove this numbers, this was illustrated in
the analysis of 249 studies conducted by Palmer et al. [13]. The patients treated with dialysis
the rate of depression was 22.8% (this by using clinical interviews). But, when the technique
used for the measurement was self-rated questionnaires, the occurrences increased to
39.3%. According to a study made on 2007 [14], the prevalence rate of anxiety is estimated
to be between 12% and 52%; however, there is a limited number of studies, therefore the
exact rate is uncertain.
   As we can see, the exact rates of anxiety and depression is not well defined, but inde-
pendently if whether the reality resides in the upper or lower boundaries of the rates, the
levels are alarming, and there is a high correlation between CKD and these emotional states.


3.2    Algorithm Studies
On a different study, multiple factors for kidney dialysis such as creatinine, sodium and
urea play an important role in deciding the survival prediction of the patients [15]. Cluster-
ing the information is important to identify the influence of kidney dialysis parameters.
Using a simple K-means algorithm can help to determine the interaction between these pa-
rameters and patient survival.
   Table 1 shows the range of parameters that are used for prioritization (if the patient falls
into the high priority level, a kidney transplantation is needed), categorized in high, medium
and low, based on the clinician feedback that was gathered from the analysis of 230 datasets
taken from the Global Hospital Chennai [15].
   Data mining is the process of extracting hidden information from a huge dataset. When
choosing the appropriate data mining algorithms, in combination with applying a correct
procedure on dialysis data set, will derive in a survival prediction of patients with CKD. On
this analysis, the author used K-means. The study did not consider other parameters like
chloride and bicarbonate levels, those will be analyzed in a future research.
   On a different research, it was learned that using a support vector machine can help a
doctor to detect if a patient is showing a chronic condition or not, with an accuracy of
98.35% [16]. This technique is divided in two phases: the classification modeling (which is
in charge of finding rules and model in the classification of kidney disease) and the system
development (which uses the input data and applies machine-learning techniques to give a
result to the doctors).
   The use of a selector named OneR attribute [17] which helps to extract action rules de-
pending on the stages of the CKD condition, helps to prevent the advance of a chronical
renal disease to beyond stages. On table 2, we can see the 5 stages and the description of
each, depending on the level of GFR (glomerular filtration rate), which is the best way to
measure the level of kidney function, to determine the stage of a kidney disease. A Naïve
classifier uses the probability based on the Bayes theorem, with strong independence as-
sumptions between the features. The results after applying this method, is the reduction of
80% of the attributes in the dataset, while improving the accuracy by 12.5%.




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                Table 1. Range of Parameters for prioritization decision making.




                Table 2. Five stages of CKD, based on glomerular filtration rate




   The system extracted the action rules, for any given chronical disease stage, so that the
specific treatment can be taken. To avoid the CKD to advance to the next stage.
   Over the last decades, the use of multiple data mining techniques to investigate diseases
have become essential for the health care industry, and therefore its use have exponentially
increased.
   As we can see in Fig. 1, classification, which is the approach that assigns objects into
groups that share common characteristics [18], has been the preferred method during the
last 15 years to investigate breast cancer, heart and kidney disease.




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  After analyzing the behavior of two different classification techniques: Artificial Neural
Network (ANN) and Naïve Bayes to predict and diagnose CKD [18], the conclusion is that
Bayes is the most accurate classifier with 100% of accuracy, against a 72.73% of accuracy
when using ANN.


3.3    The importance of Machine Learning
Besides the fact that machine learning and big data are closely related to each other, it is
important to understand about machine learning, because the algorithms commonly used by
it, determine how we are going to interpret and process big data.
    Machine learning can be defined as the application of artificial intelligence, with the
objective of providing a system the ability to automatically learn and improve from experi-
ence, without the need of being explicitly programmed [19].
    Almost 70 years ago, Alan Turing on his Computing Machinery and Intelligence paper
[20] asked the question: can machines think?
    On his paper, Turing refuted multiple objections opposed to his opinion. As highlights,
two of them can be addressed:

6. Theological objection: It argues that thinking is a unique function of man given by god
   through the soul. Hence animals and machines cannot think. Turing refuted this argu-
   ment stating that machines would not usurp God’s power more than humans do so when
   procreating children.




            Fig. 1. Data mining techniques used the last 15 years for disease detection

7. Mathematical objection: It argues that multiple logical mathematical results show that
   there are limitations to the power of discrete-state machines.

Even do Turing acknowledged that there are limits to the power of machines, his said that
it does not proof that the limits also apply to human intellect.




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   We cannot tell with 100% of certainty that a computer will be able to think, but no one
has been able to prove it wrong.
   A couple of popular examples of machine learning which are currently used:

8. Fraud detection on credit cards: the machine learning code that is embedded to the banks
   systems is capable to learn and become familiar with your spending patterns, so that
   when something unusual is detected on your account, an alert is triggered.
9. Customer service and support: nowadays it is possible that you call a company asking
   for support, and you end up talking with a computer without even noticing it. This be-
   cause a computer can follow scripts to reply most of the questions that a regular customer
   might have, plus new technology that can perfectly simulate a real-life person’s voice.

    If we manage to properly use machine learning algorithms for analyzing and processing
our data, we will have more and stronger tools to discover trends on the multiple variables
that we want to consider for detecting CKD on its initial stages.


4      Future work

Besides making regular invasive techniques to determine the presence of CKD on its mul-
tiple stages, there are studies that look to correlate the kidney condition with other variables.
We currently find efforts in iridology, emotional states (like anxiety and depression), data
mining algorithms (like K-means, vector machines and Naïve Bayes).
   We will also deeply use other computational tools and techniques related to big data,
machine learning, and signal and image processing.
   This research will focus in the discovery of the most adequate techniques and variables
for analyzing and diagnose CKD, making special emphasis on the initial stages of the dis-
ease. To achieve it, it is important to include the analysis of psychological variables and
their impact on the development of the disease. We will use real data of current patients,
from a public health system database.
   We will seek to find different ways of detecting CKD on initial stages, to develop alter-
native techniques that would help to prevent a fast deterioration of the kidneys, and start
treatment as early as possible to increase the life expectancy, together with a high quality
of life on patients affected with the condition.
   It is important to highlight the fact that we will have support from urologists and other
medical specialists during our investigation.




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5      Conclusions

The increase of the amount of information (especially in digital sources) developed the need
to create more optimal ways to store, process and analyze data. Big Data promises to be a
support for the scientific world (including medicine).
   Different methods are being used to show correlations of the deficiency of the kidney,
with alternative methods for its detection. Studies suggests that the CKD is strongly related
to other conditions like anxiety and depression.
   Apart from invasive classical methods, iridology and mathematical methods applied to
given sets of data from patients with CKD, such as K-means, Naïve Bayes and support
vector machine, helps with the classification and categorization of data for a better analysis,
and therefore become a tool that support doctors on decision making when deciding the best
treatment for patients with CKD.
   Machine learning techniques and algorithms will play an important role when deciding
how to process and analyze the collected information.
   The use of alternative techniques for the detection of malfunctioning of the kidneys and
the diagnosis of CKD on its initial stages, is not intended to replace the traditional methods,
but to provide the doctors with additional and valuable information so they can take a more
informed decision when deciding the best treatment for their patients.


Acknowledgment

The authors would like to thank the Instituto Tecnológico y de Estudios Superiores de
Occidente (ITESO) of Mexico for the resources provided for this research, and to the Mex-
ican National Council for Science and Technology (Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y
Tecnología CONACYT) for its support thru the scholarship number 498569 assigned to the
main author.


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