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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Targeting Model of HEI Video Marketing based on Classification Tree</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Begin</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Ternopil National Economic University</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Lvivska Str., 11, Ternopil, 46000</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="UA">Ukraine</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date>
        <year>1820</year>
      </pub-date>
      <fpage>0000</fpage>
      <lpage>0002</lpage>
      <abstract>
        <p>Modernization of higher education and increased competition in the educational services market require new ways of improving the efficiency of higher education institutions (HEI) management. The generalized structure of forming the HEI video marketing strategy is developed and a series of actions for achieving goals is presented. An algorithm for the targeted advertising forming based on classification tree using R language is proposed. The research methodology is described and HEI targeting model is developed employing the classification tree and contextual advertising campaign data on Facebook. The results of the pilot case study are presented, which confirm the practical usefulness of the proposed targeting model, which allows forming target groups.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>targeting model</kwd>
        <kwd>targeted advertising</kwd>
        <kwd>video marketing</kwd>
        <kwd>classification tree</kwd>
        <kwd>dendrogram</kwd>
        <kwd>Higher Education Institution</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>Introduction</title>
      <p>Today, marketing is a necessary attribute of every higher education institution (HEI).</p>
      <p>The new Law on Higher Education [28] in Ukraine causes changes in the field of
education: the competition between HEIs increases, the requirements and values of
consumers (target audiences) have changed significantly. All these factors stimulate the
need to organize effective HEI marketing advertising activities. Obviously, a similar
problem is relevant for the world education system.</p>
      <p>In order to promote education services advertising, HEIs must use modern
information and communication technologies, integrated into a well-designed and
strategically thought-out system.</p>
      <p>
        One such tool is video marketing, which might be an important part of the overall
HEI marketing strategy. For example, recent Ericsson data [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13 ref14">13, 14</xref>
        ] indicate that world
mobile Internet users consume more than half of million gigabytes of mobile data in
2020, and about two-thirds of this amount is used to transmit and download video
content. Almost 95% of teenagers have access to smart phones, and 45% of them say
they are “almost constantly” on the Internet [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">12</xref>
        ]. A Nielson study [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ] shows that
performance increases by 74% after 15 seconds of video viewing, and the intention to
Copyright © 2020 for this paper by its authors. Use permitted under Creative Commons License Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0).
make a purchase increases by 72% after 10 seconds of viewing. The number of daily
video views on Facebook exceeds 4 billion [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">15</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>Let us give you some statistics on how popular video marketing has become in recent
years [36]: video is projected to claim more than 80% of all web traffic; adding a video
to marketing emails can boost click-through rates by 200-300%; embedding videos in
landing pages can increase conversion rates by 80%; 90% of customers report that
product videos help them make purchasing decisions; 87% of online marketers are
currently using video content in their digital marketing strategies; a single minute of
video content is the equivalent of 1.8 million words.</p>
      <p>In this regard, we can assume that the development of HEI marketing strategy should
be focused on optimizing the work with the brand, effective use of advertising tools
and communication elements, including social networks [34], synthesis of innovative
marketing concepts in the field of education [27]. Thus, exploring ways to improve
video marketing performance is one of the most promising areas in HEI marketing
strategy.
2</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>Related Work</title>
      <p>Paper [33] focuses on the growing importance of online marketing, including research
of the state of the art through analysis of the data provided by numerous surveys. It also
contains brief description of the online marketing itself, basic strategies on the internet
nowadays. The study [22] evaluated the main content of YouTube videos of Spanish
brands that were included in the 2015 Interbrand rating. There were estimated 900
videos published by 30 Spanish brands belonging to different business sectors.</p>
      <p>
        The authors [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ] have patented that video clips are shown to persons who have a high
likelihood of video viewing. When one or more viewers of database saw new videoclip,
those viewers who have seen the new clip with positive results are compared to others
in the database that have not seen it yet.
      </p>
      <p>
        The authors [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ] have proposed a system and method for providing advertisements
targeted at media playlists. The method may include obtaining a user’s request for a
media item, identification of one or more media playlists. Work [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ] proposed a system
and method for determining promoter and viewer rewards for video promotion and
viewing, including a promoter definition based on matching the profile associated with
the video. Article [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        ] investigates combination of anthropogenic annotated features and
general video processing techniques to predict the effectiveness of estimates from
Youtube ads.
      </p>
      <p>
        Paper [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ] addresses the problem of video ad performance optimizing with smart
technologies that improve the advertising relevance to the target audience. A study [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">7</xref>
        ]
describes how to compare at first viewers’ reactions to skippable video formats and
then to non-skippable formats in terms of recall on brand and economic performance.
      </p>
      <p>
        The results of the study [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
        ] show that in 2019 digital marketing tools were most
actively used: artificial intelligence, augmented reality, machine learning, video
marketing, chats, virtual assistants. Article [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        ] shows which groups of Latin American
Facebook users were involved in targeted videos of Hillary Clinton's auto-play during
the 2015/2016 primary election season, which elements in those videos best encouraged
these people to like the video.
      </p>
      <p>
        The purpose of [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
        ] is researching video as potential trigger for consumer behavior.
Therefore, the authors applied trigger theory and media to learn about enhancing the
effectiveness of mobile marketing videos regarding participants' behavioral intentions.
The results show that the consumer's position in the information search was the most
important factor. The results obtained in [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
        ] indicate that peripheral ways to persuade
have a stronger influence on individual information acceptance than central ways. Paper
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16">16</xref>
        ] reviews video crowdfunding activities from the leading crowdfunding website and
shows that the proposed measures have an explanatory effect on project financing
results.
      </p>
      <p>
        The attention in [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">17</xref>
        ] is focused on empirical targeting models. The paper argues that
the general practice of developing such models does not sufficiently take into account
the business goals. The results of a comprehensive empirical study confirm that it is
recommended significantly more profitable target groups. Article [25] addresses these
issues and provides fresh empirical data on video marketing and its role in nowadays
business environment. It also provides insights into video marketing trends and
opportunities that are considered crucial in the near future.
      </p>
      <p>
        The work [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">18</xref>
        ] is the first to investigate the long-term effects of entrepreneurial
marketing on social media. Using structural equation modeling, the long-term effect of
Facebook-based celebrity endorsement among 234 long-wave Facebook fan
community members was also explored. The authors of [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">19</xref>
        ] use content analysis to
examine topics and formats of 5932 Facebook posts from leading US colleges and
universities. Article [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20">20</xref>
        ] combines the substantive characteristics of a short video
marketing model with the relevant theories of intention to purchase and propose a
research model.
      </p>
      <p>Article [21] examines a technology adoption model to assist the inventor of an online
video marketing platform in assessing the behavioral intention to use special online
video marketing platforms for small and medium-sized businesses. Article [23]
examines the problem of social media marketing of user-created instant music videos.
A hybrid variable scale clustering algorithm (HVSC) is proposed to analyze user
features using text and video content. A study [24] offers critical managerial
perceptions of social media marketing on how to use both FGC and UGC in managing
the marketing funnel and brand reputation.</p>
      <p>Work [26] analyzed the general evolution of this modern advertising type, which
conveys sociocultural values and creates school identity, examines different ways of
use, norms, and diversity of the images offered by some educational institutions. The
study [30] investigates how to enhance geographical targeting by a suite of other
targeting strategies, including behavioral targeting, temporal targeting, and use of
discount in an online-to-offline commerce context, to form a more comprehensive
contextual targeting strategy. However, there is no specification of this study results.</p>
      <p>Work [31] proposes a two-step method based on the Gaussian filter and decision
tree (M-GFDT). The Gaussian filter corrects the business data distribution in the first
stage, and classifies the decision tree. The decision tree is a widespread approach to
identifying and visualizing of logical patterns in data. The decision tree construction
algorithm, first proposed by Quinlan [37], operates on the principle of recursive
partitioning of the dataset and incremental tree construction [29].</p>
      <p>
        Multifaceted marketing ads include a look-alike model that reads data on user
behavior in networks. For example, in [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ] it is patented that video clips are shown to
people who have a high likelihood of video viewing, but now Facebook is already doing
so during an advertising campaign that simplifies the work [32].
      </p>
      <p>It should be noted the above-mentioned work mostly analyzes user actions in
response to video marketing. Besides a number of similar works require relatively
sophisticated tools for their implementations, that is, the question of simplifying the
formation process and, accordingly, making targeted management decisions in the
formation of video marketing strategy is still relevant.</p>
      <p>In this regard, a goal of this paper is to develop targeting models for HEI video
marketing based on the classification tree (dendrogram). Unlike analogues [30, 31], a
model of video marketing targeting based on dendrogram allows making changes by
dendrogram branches in the advertising campaign strategy by attributes, which the
objective function depends on. Moreover, the use of the rpart library in the R
programming language makes it possible to clean quickly and filter data, which makes
it easier to target groups forming compared to [31]. The novelty of the work is the
formation of the most favorable (in economic terms) target group for HEI video
marketing, which will reduce the advertising campaign cost.
3</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Materials and Methods</title>
      <sec id="sec-3-1">
        <title>3.1 Generalized Algorithmic Structure</title>
        <p>Based on the authors' experience in targeting the advertising of the admission campaign
and recommendations [33-35], a generalized algorithmic structure for forming HEI
video marketing strategy was developed (Fig. 1).</p>
        <p>In (Block 1), the HEI determines video marketing strategy for computer science (CS)
specialty. Block 2 involves evaluation of the state and potential of the existing HEI CS
video marketing, and then strategy objectives are specified (Block 3). In Block 4
planning actions take place. It is necessary to take into account the specificity of HEI
advertising, when client’s behavior is especially important. Strategy quasi-experiment
takes place in Block 5 verifying a proposed strategy in some practical case. Next, we
need to evaluate the expected efficiency (Block 6) because it is important for budget
redistribution. If this evaluation doesn’t satisfy then it is necessary to simulate video
marketing targeting for the advertising campaign to make changes during the formation
of the target group at the planning stage (Block 4).</p>
        <sec id="sec-3-1-1">
          <title>Determining the HEI video marketing strategy for computer science specialty 2 1</title>
        </sec>
        <sec id="sec-3-1-2">
          <title>Evaluating the state and potential</title>
        </sec>
        <sec id="sec-3-1-3">
          <title>Determining the strategic objectives</title>
          <p>No</p>
          <p>4</p>
          <p>Next, we need to evaluate the efficiency (Block 6) of the expected new video
marketing strategy for the computer science specialty, to perform automation at this
stage, because it takes a long time to process and is important for budget redistribution.</p>
          <p>When evaluating the efficiency of the expected strategy (Block 6), it is necessary to
simulate video marketing targeting for the advertising campaign of higher education
institutions, which will allow changes to be made during the formation of the target
group at the planning stage (Block 4).</p>
        </sec>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-2">
        <title>3.2 Technique of Experimental Research</title>
        <p>Data from Facebook advertising campaign results are used as a basis for the
experimental research methodology. As mentioned above, HEI targeted advertising
should be focused on customer behavior. Therefore, in the first step of the technique, it
is advisable to select the following four targeting options for Age, Sex, r, Vaverage
(Table 1).</p>
        <p>1</p>
        <p>Data preparation:
as.factor(Age, Sex, r)
Installation and run of libraries</p>
        <p>library(rpart)
library(rpart.plot)</p>
        <p>library(rattle)
library(RColorBrewer)</p>
        <p>library(caTools)
Creation of control sample.
split &lt;- sample.split(face$r,</p>
        <p>SplitRatio = 0.6)
3
4
5</p>
        <p>Return of vectors subset
Train &lt;- subset(face, split == TRUE)
Test &lt;- subset(face, split == FALSE)
Building of cp table.</p>
        <p>printcp(FaceTree)
View graph of error.</p>
        <p>
          plotcp(FaceTree)
with(FaceTree, {lines(cptable[
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">, 2</xref>
          ] + 1, cptable[
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">, 3</xref>
          ], type = "b", col = "red")
legend("topright", c(Error in learning", "Cross-Verification Error (CV)", "min(CV
        </p>
        <p>Error)+SE"),
lty = c(1, 1, 2), col = c("red", "black", "black"), bty = "n") })</p>
        <p>End
Fig. 2. Algorithm for targeting video marketing based on dendrogram using R language
F&lt;-Age+Sex+Vaverage</p>
        <p>Model building.</p>
        <p>FaceTree &lt;- rpart(r ~ F, data = Train,</p>
        <p>method = "class",
control=rpart.control(minsplit =1, cp =</p>
        <p>0.0005))
Graphic representation of decision trees
prp(FaceTree, box.palette=c("Greys"))</p>
        <p>fancyRpartPlot(FaceTree,
palettes=c("Greys"), type=2)
6</p>
        <p>In block 1, the data must be prepared and cleared for analysis (file with the extension
“*.xlsx”) (block 2), where the model parameters values are located in columns.
Parameters are converted into data with factors value of (Age, Sex and r).</p>
        <p>Next, the libraries (Block 3) are run to build the model, control samples (Block 4)
are created and the vector r data is split into two groups in a predetermined ratio,
keeping the relative ratios of different labels in r. In addition, a subset (Block 5) of
vectors, matrices, or data frames that meet certain conditions are returned. In block 6,
a targeting model is constructed based on the recursive partition and regression tree,
taking into account the settings (Block 7) and the graphical representation of the
dendrogram (Block 8). Block 9 builds a cp table based on the tree Complexity
Parameter, and block 10 maps the model errors, details of which are described below
in Section 3.3.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-3">
        <title>3.3 Experimental Results and Discussion</title>
        <p>For implementation of the algorithm and the program (see Fig. 2) on the example of the
admission campaign for “Computer Science specialty” of Ternopil National Economic
University (Fig. 3) more than a thousand of indicators of advertising campaign on
Facebook according to the parameters (see a Table 1) were used.</p>
        <p>The resulting model of targeting based on dendrogram is presented in Fig. 4 and a
graphical representation of the model error is in Fig. 5. As it can be seen in Fig. 4 most
videos were viewed by male clients in the age of 18-25, 35-55.</p>
        <p>The ordinate axis (see Fig. 5) shows the X-val Relative Error and the abscissa axis
parameter of the complexity of the tree cp, which starts from the lower boundary point
(inf). Size of tree is determined by the number of branches 1… 9. As it can be seen in
Fig. 5, starting from branch 7 of the tree the result is stabilized and the subsequent
addition of branches has little effect on the tree learning error.</p>
        <p>The calculations showed that the parameter of the tree complexity, with a minimum
of relative error (min (SV error) + SE) at cross-checking is determined by the value of
cp = 0.0033 between branches 7 and 8 (see Fig. 5), where SV is Cross Validated and
SE – Standard Error for cross validation error.
To check the modeling results based on dendrogram (see Figs. 4, 5), a repeated
simulation of targeted advertising was conducted, where we select the following target
group for the ad: male in the age group 18-25, 35-55. As can be seen from the results
of the re-simulation (Fig. 6), the conversion cost for video ads decreased from $ 0.99
to $ 0.08 as of July 13, 2019 (with 113 conversions), which is about 24% better than
the first ad variant campaigns.</p>
        <p>Let’s keep in mind that the average of an ad is click-through rate – CTR increased
from 2.78 to 3.4.</p>
        <p>Unlike analogues [30, 31], the Targeted advertising model, based on dendrogram,
allows the tree branches making changes in the advertising campaign strategy for the
attributes, which the target function depends on. Moreover, the use of rpart library in
the R programming language makes it possible to quickly clean and filter data, which
simplifies the formation of target groups compared to [31].
4</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Conclusions</title>
      <p>A generalized algorithmic structure for HEI video marketing strategy forming is
proposed, which is focused on Targeted Advertising, to improve the effectiveness of
the admission campaign.</p>
      <p>A targeting model based on dendrogram and target group allocation has been
developed, which allows using tree branches to make changes in advertising campaign
strategy based on the attributes dependent on the target function. Moreover, the
proposed targeting model makes it possible to quickly clean and filter data, which
simplifies targeting.</p>
      <p>The results of the experimental research conducted on the example of HEI admission
campaign for computing major confirmed the effectiveness of the developed targeting
model, which is of practical importance in the formation of the Targeted Advertising
budget, as part of the formation of video marketing strategy.
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