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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Beyond Aggregations: Understanding Count Information for Question Answering</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Shrestha Ghosh</string-name>
          <email>ghoshs@mpi-inf.mpg.de</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Max Planck Institute for Informatics</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>66123 Saarbruecken</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="DE">Germany</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>General-purpose knowledge bases (KBs), like DBpedia and Wikidata, contain billions of facts but, are still incomplete, use messy redundant relations and have inconsistent data. These pitfalls manifest themselves in applications like question answering (QA), where, the state-of-the-art commercial search engines answer popular user queries in information cards and carousels when the answers are available in the KBs. However, the moment a query concerns a lesser known entity, the system defaults to the classical web search and information retrieval with text highlighting. In this work we focus on the aspect of count information. Understanding count information on a semantic level is important not only for back-end data curation but also user-end applications like QA. The end goal being to move beyond aggregations into a more systematic approach to dealing with count information. Even though count information is found abundantly in text sources, extraction is non-trivial since it does not follow the general subject-predicate-object principle (Obama has two children ! hObama, children, 2i instead of hObama, has, 2 childreni). Count information can be modelled as integers as in the previous sentence or through entity enumerations (Obama's children are Sasha and Malia.). We define and model count information and address its role in data curation and QA.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>Count information</kwd>
        <kwd>Question answering</kwd>
        <kwd>Semantic web</kwd>
        <kwd>Knowledge base</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>-</title>
      <p>Understanding data on a semantic level is essential not only for data curation,
like forming KBs with class hierarchies and property constraints, but also user
end applications like QA. We focus on the aspect of count information in the
form of set-valued predicates, which conceptually model the relationship between
an entity and a set of entities. Set predicates come in two variants, as i)
enumerating predicates listing individual objects for a given subject and as ii) counting
predicates giving the total object counts, where, both enumerating and counting
variants complement each other. The major challenge lies in consolidation of
count information obtained from di↵erent forms (as enumerations and counts)
and facets (through multiple interpretations).</p>
      <p>As an example, information such as “the children of Barack Obama” can be
represented as a count 2 and as a list of entities comprising his two children.
Sometimes, the count is more readily available with a few enumerations due to
data privacy. For instance, for “approximately 150,000 employees of Microsoft”,
we may have enumeration data only on the more prominent entities (CEO or
others holding important positions at Microsoft) which are publicly available.
Other times, when both count and enumerations are available, say in the case of
“songs by the Beatles”, a comprehensive approach is presenting both the count
(“213 songs”) and enumerations.</p>
      <p>We formulate our problem statement in the domain of QA as
“Given a natural language count query, provide a correct, informative and
explainable answer.”</p>
      <p>A count query can be defined as a query regarding a set predicate -
children, employees, songs - of an entity such that a natural language count query is
structured as “How many .. ?” or “What is the number of .. ?”. We define three
requirements for the answer to a count query in the backdrop of the
aforementioned query regarding songs by The Beatles.
1. Correct. Provide a reasonable estimate or the exact true value measured via
precision, such that both the answers, The Beatles have 213 songs, or, 227
songs are considered correct but in varying degrees.
2. Informative. Provide all or representative enumerations of the set predicate
measured via precision and recall. Songs by The Beatles include ‘Hey Jude’
and ‘Here Comes the Sun’.
3. Explainable. Provide relevant context used to derive the count and
enumerations, such as a Wikipedia excerpt - “The group’s main catalogue .. consists
of 213 songs: 188 originals and 25 covers ..”. The quality of explanation could
then be judged through human annotators.
2</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>Importance</title>
      <p>In QA, count queries are often processed ad-hoc by aggregating the entities in
the answer in the absence of matching counting predicate. This is driven by the
fact that there is only one true correct answer possible. While this assumption
works perfectly well for popular entities and relations, instances with less
popular entities su↵er. We approach this problem by exploiting the redundancy of
relevant information in the web for consolidation and present information more
comprehensively through enumerations and counts.</p>
      <p>Therefore, for a query on the “number of songs by The Beatles”, which has
contentious answers (213, 227, 185) based on whether they were originals, covers,
released and so on, only providing a list of popular songs, which is a gross
underestimation of the actual number, or only the count of songs, which naturally
leads to the next question regarding the constituent entities, an answer supported
by enumerations and counts with explainable context is more comprehensive.</p>
      <p>Measurement information such as height, length, temperature, is out of scope
of count information since they do not form a relation between an entity and a set
of entities. Unlike count queries regarding non-entities, such as “number of floors
in Burj Khalifa” or “number of votes in 2016 US Election”, enumerating entities
of set predicates support and enhance the count. Count information semantics
can enhance the available knowledge by giving it more structure. For instance,
“number of languages in India” is not just a statistic “121” but descriptive - “22
scheduled and 99 non-scheduled” or “21 Indo-European, 17 Dravidian, ..”.
3</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Related Work</title>
      <p>
        This research comes close to ontology matching, count information modelling in
description logics and KBs. Ontology matching focuses on alignment of entities
and relations across KBs as a part of data integration [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref27">27</xref>
        ] where the additional
challenge lies in adhering to the taxonomies and ontological constraints [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref32 ref9">9,32</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        Description logics models count information through qualifying number and
role restrictions [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15 ref4">15,4</xref>
        ]. Count information in the OWL standard [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref21">21</xref>
        ] is
modelled in cardinality assertions, lower bounds and upper bounds, which comes
at a complexity trade-o↵ in both ontology ontology [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14 ref3">14,3</xref>
        ] as well as query
language [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10 ref25 ref5">10,25,5</xref>
        ]. The construct of the ontological modelling languages restricts
these constraints and restrictions to be relation-specific, such that limited
systematic inter-relation connections exist (hierarchical or inverse relations) but
enumerating and counting predicates cannot be used to reinforce each other.
      </p>
      <p>
        Recall is an important measure for KB quality a↵ecting applications that
rely on KBs for the data [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref26">26</xref>
        ] and can be estimated statistically, using sample
overlap [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20">20</xref>
        ], digit distribution [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref33">33</xref>
        ] or association rules [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
        ]; relatively from related
entities [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16 ref33">16,33</xref>
        ]; and from text extractions [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref29 ref30">30,29</xref>
        ]. Our work on aligning counts
with entity enumerations complements these techniques.
      </p>
      <p>
        Count information in QA. Findings in [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref23">23</xref>
        ] report that 5% to 10% of the
questions in popular TREC QA datasets concern counts. KB QA systems like
AQQU [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ] and QAnswer [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">7</xref>
        ] evaluated on WebQuestions [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ] and LC-QuAD [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref35">35</xref>
        ]
benchmarks, perform ad-hoc special translations for typical count queries
starting with “How many ..?”. State-of-the-art systems like Google and Bing answer
count queries with both counts and enumerations, however, being limited to very
few popular entities with no observable systematic behaviour. Recent advances in
transformer networks [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18 ref6">6,18</xref>
        ], which have been applied to QA benchmark datasets
including SQuAD [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref28">28</xref>
        ] and DROP [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
        ], predict a single answer. There is still scope
for a more general setup of answer consolidation in QA over KB and texts.
      </p>
      <p>
        Count information in IE. In the context on numerical information,
conventional IE has focused on temporal [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">19</xref>
        ] and measurement information [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref31">31</xref>
        ].
Research also exists on detecting errors and outliers [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref36">36</xref>
        ] and organizing and
annotating measurement units [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref24 ref34">24,34</xref>
        ] in the numeric information, which is present in
considerable amount, in general-purpose KBs. Recent research on count IE [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref22 ref23">22,23</xref>
        ]
uses it to assess and improve KB recall [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref29 ref30">30,29</xref>
        ]. However, such extractions are
limited to manually identified count predicates.
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Research Questions</title>
      <p>From our guiding research question in Sec. 1, we derive the following questions.
(Q1.) How to identify and consolidate count information?</p>
      <p>Given the structured nature of KB, it is easier to identify set predicates by
analysing predicate domain, range and predicate value statistics. However,
extracting count information from text is more complex with ambiguity in
surface forms (integer or word representations, approximations and bounds),
interpretations (number of languages in a country may be derived
geographically, from ocial status or language families). Especially in the case of
multiple interpretations, consolidation becomes challenging.
(Q2.) How to ensure an answer that is (A) correct, (B) informative and (C)
explainable? We design our evaluation metrics to test our proposals on these three
characteristics. We expand on our baselines and metrics in the Section 6.</p>
      <p>Our aim is to solve Q1 in both KB and text setting and to subsequently draw
on the strengths of each setting to finally answer a natural language count query
(Q2). We begin with a preliminary investigation of identifying count
information through set predicates in KBs (Q1) and aligning enumerating predicates
with counting predicates for subsequent purposes of KB recall and QA (Q2). In
the context of a KB which consists of subject-predicate-object (SPO) triples, a
set predicate that models sets via binary membership is called an enumerating
predicate. A set predicate whose values represent counts of entities modelled in
the given KB is called a counting predicate.</p>
      <p>In the text setting, we gather relevant documents by o✏oading the
information retrieval task to the available state-of-the-art and focus on dynamic
extraction and consolidation of count information from the text (Q1). We exploit
redundancy to predict the correct answer supported by confidence scores (Q2).
Time is another critical but tangential aspect and a full-fledged problem on its
own. Hence, we do not tackle time relevancy in our current work.
5</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Preliminary Results</title>
      <sec id="sec-5-1">
        <title>5.1 Count information in KBs</title>
        <p>
          To answer Q1 in the KB setting, we first conceptualize set predicates and the
enumerating and counting variants. We look into popular general-purpose KBs,
namely, two versions of DBPedia (raw and mapping-based extractions),
Wikidata and Freebase. We set up a methodology, named CounQER (short for
“Counting Quantifiers and Entity-valued PRedicates”), to identify set
predicate using supervised classification and rank set predicate alignments based on
statistical and lexical measures (Q1) [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">12</xref>
          ]. We provide the first step towards
answering count queries through our CounQER demonstrator1 on KB SPO triples
(Q2.B,C: informative and explainable) [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">13</xref>
          ] illustrated in Fig. 1 on a count query
        </p>
        <sec id="sec-5-1-1">
          <title>1 https://counqer.mpi-inf.mpg.de/spo</title>
          <p>
            which returns results including supporting evidence from semantically related
set predicates of the other variant. We highlight the main findings below. For
complete details refer to [
            <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">12</xref>
            ].
          </p>
          <p>Supervised Classification. We train two logistic classifiers for identifying
enumerating and counting predicates on a crowd-annotated dataset of 800 predicates
chosen from the four KBs. The classifiers use i) frequency-based textual features,
ii) predicate type information to encode the predicate domain and range, and iii)
KB statistics, to capture the observed functionality through descriptive statistics
and the overall datatype distribution.</p>
          <p>Our best performing model obtained an F1 score of 0.35 for counting
predicates and 0.55 for enumerating predicates. We observe that unbalanced data
distribution of counting predicates, which contains only 11% positive cases is a
reason why the counting classifier su↵ers from low precision score (0.23) despite
a high recall (0.71).</p>
          <p>
            Heuristic Predicate Alignment. We introduce three families of
unsupervised ranking metrics for predicate pairs (e, c), where e and c belong to the
predicted enumerating and counting predicate sets respectively. i) set predicate
co-occurrences, i.e., the number of KB subjects for which the pair (e, c)
cooccur, ii) set predicate value distribution, where we compare the distribution of
the number of objects e takes with the value of c for the co-occurring subjects,
and iii) linguistic similarity, where we measure the relatedness of the
humanreadable labels of e and c. We propose averaging the best-performing heuristic
from each family for final alignment scores as a trade-o↵ between robustness and
ensemble learning which requires larger evaluation data. We obtained an average
of 0.75 for NDCG [
            <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">17</xref>
            ] scores at positions 1 and 3.
          </p>
        </sec>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-5-2">
        <title>5.2 Count information in text</title>
        <p>As discussed in Sec. 4 we collect the top snippets returned by search engines for
a given query. The reason behind using snippets instead of the entire document
is that the relevant information is typically featured in snippets. Our method is
capable of supporting full text documents if required.
Extraction of relevant count values (Q1). For each query we get the top
50 search snippets. Given a text snippet we identify all noun phrases containing
a count value. We use SpaCy’s2 dependency parser to identify noun phrases and
NER tagger to identify counts (labelled as cardinals). We then map the cardinals
to the corresponding noun phrases keeping only those i) which contain a cardinal
and ii) whose head noun matches the query noun. A head noun is considered
a match if the maximum path similarity, i.e., the shortest path, between the
synsets of the two nouns in the WordNet3, is above a threshold.</p>
        <p>In our present proposal we predict the final answer as the median of all
the identified counts in noun phrases with matching head nouns. This method
already predicts 7 exact and 5 approximate answers (48%) of the simple queries
and, 1 exact and 4 approximate answers (20%) of the complex queries.
6</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>Evaluation</title>
      <p>Dataset. Generating or gathering data is of utmost importance in order to
conduct a proper evaluation. In our experiments on analysing count information
in KBs, annotated data for training and evaluating the alignment rankings were
based on human judgements collected from crowd annotations since there exist
no known datasets in this regard. The natural language count queries is a
diverse but small dataset of 25 simple, which have straightforward answers, and 25
complex questions, which have approximations, bounds and compositions. We
expect to create a larger dataset of around 10k queries by scraping
autocomplete suggestions from search engine APIs using query prompts such as “How
many &lt;prefix&gt;” with varying prefixes. We would further automate the answer
annotation by scraping the search engine answer box. Some manual intervention
required would be for quality control - checking if queries are regarding at least
one entity and a predicate. While our current focus is on queries with one count
answer, we will eventually consider complex compositions.</p>
      <p>
        Baselines. We set two baselines, i) first match, the first count, with head
noun matching the query, that we encounter in the snippets and ii) transformer
prediction which returns a median of the answers extracted from the snippets by
pre-trained BERT models fine-tuned on the SQuAD2.0 dataset. The first match
baseline as reflected in its performance has an unfair advantage due to internal
ranking (heavily influenced by click feedback) performed by the search engine.
Metrics. We measure correctness (Q2.A) using the metrics - (i) Precision, a
binary indicator which is true only when the answer matches the gold answer,
(ii) Proximity, a ratio of the minimum of the two answers (system and gold)
to the maximum, measuring the closeness of the system’s answer to the gold
answer, and (iii) Confidence interval, which gives the range of the 95% confidence
interval of the system’s answer. We use proximity to calculate relaxed precision
by setting a tolerance level between [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">0, 1</xref>
        ]. Measuring informativeness (Q2.B)
      </p>
      <sec id="sec-6-1">
        <title>2 https://spacy.io/usage/linguistic-features 3 https://www.nltk.org/howto/wordnet.html</title>
        <p>of enumerations is quite subjective and dicult to measure quantitatively. We
have two proposals i) enumerate all entities if the count is within a threshold,
say 100 else provide a list of 100 most representative enumerations and ii) get
crowd-judgements on the quality of enumerations. The 95% confidence intervals
provide some explanation (Q2.C) of the predicted answer which can be further
supplemented by providing the count distribution. A qualitative measure could
include highlighting parts of the snippets from which the counts are derived.
7</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-7">
      <title>Discussion and Future Work</title>
      <p>Based on preliminary results of median and first match predictions, we are
aiming to develop a learning-to-rank model which takes into consideration various
factors such as head-noun match, snippet rank and positive identification by
transformer networks. Another path worth exploring is to fine-tune BERT with
the signals mentioned above in order to predict the final answer. We aim to
deal with facet consolidation in the future for dealing with popular counts and
multiple interpretations. Popular count values, which when di↵erent from the
true count, a↵ects the final outcome. For example, the query “number of books
written by J.K. Rowling”, returns multiple occurrences of the count 7, which
corresponds to the popular Harry Potter series thereby overshadowing her 15
other works. Similarly, multiple surface form interpretations, such as “number
of translations of the Bible” which can mean translations of the multiple texts
(the Old/New Testament), or their types (dynamic, formal, idiomatic), leads to
multiple correct answers.</p>
      <p>Acknowledgement. I would like to thank my supervisors Simon Razniewski
and Gerhard Weikum for their invaluable support and inputs.</p>
    </sec>
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