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<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Thermal infrared imaging and artificial intelligence techniques can support mild Alzheimer disease diagnosis</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Chiara Filippini</string-name>
          <email>chiara.filippini@unich.it</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">3</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>David Perpetuini</string-name>
          <email>david.perpetuini@unich.it</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">3</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Daniela Cardone</string-name>
          <email>d.cardone@unich.it</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">3</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Antonio</string-name>
          <email>antonio.chiarelli@unich.it</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">3</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Arcangelo Merla</string-name>
          <email>arcangelo.merla@unich.it</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">3</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Mental State Exam</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">3</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Alzheimer disease, Thermal Infrared Imaging</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, Mini-</addr-line>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>Department of Neurosciences, Imaging and Clinical Sciences (DNISC), University G. d'Annunzio of Chieti-</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2">
          <label>2</label>
          <institution>Next2U s.r.l.</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Pescara, 65127</addr-line>
          <country country="IT">Italy</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff3">
          <label>3</label>
          <institution>Pescara</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Chieti, 66100</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="IT">Italy</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a form of dementia that affects memory, thinking and behavior, and whose symptoms gradually worsen over time. Moreover, AD can be accompanied by autonomic system alterations, which mainly affect the psychophysiological state of the individual as well as the thermoregulatory activity. The goal of this study is to investigate differences in autonomic activity between mild AD patients and healthy controls (HC) during the execution of cognitive assessment tests in order to support the early diagnosis of the disease. Those differences were investigated by applying artificial intelligence (AI) techniques to thermal infrared imaging (IRI) data. Indeed, IRI allows contactless monitoring of autonomic activity and its thermoregulatory expression without interfering with the psychophysiological state of the subject, thus preserving free interaction with the doctor. Multivariate IRI signal analysis based on partial least square regression and support vector regression allowed to differentiate AD patient from HC with an overall accuracy of the two methods of 80% and 85% respectively. This study demonstrated the capabilities of IRI and AI to discriminate AD patients from HC, paving the way for a potential novel tool able to assess cognitive failures from physiological indices, easily employed in clinical practice.</p>
      </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <p>
        Alzheimer’s Disease (AD) is a progressive, degenerative disease that attacks brain's nerve cells,
resulting in loss of memory, thinking and language skills, and behavioral changes [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ]. It is the most
common cause of dementia, mostly affects people over 65 years old [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ]. AD typically progresses slowly
in three general stages, mild, moderate, and severe [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ]. In mild AD, the person may feel as if he/she is
having memory lapses, such as forgetting familiar words or the location of everyday objects [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ]. AD
symptoms are occasionally recognized by the patients themselves, but in the vast majority of cases, the
caregivers or the familiars are the ones who realize the behavioral and cognitive changes suffered by
the AD patients [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        ]. The severity of these symptoms is not always easy to notice. In fact, AD symptoms
are often confused with a normal ageing process, hence leading to a late diagnosis of the disease [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ].
By contrast, early detection of AD is of great importance because treatments are most effective if
performed during the earliest stages [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ], [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">7</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        According to the latest National Institute on Aging and Alzheimer’s Association workgroup, initial
screening procedure is generally based on the administration of cognitive/memory test [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
        ]. The most
commonly used test employed to assess cognitive abilities of the patients is the Mini-Mental State
Examination (MMSE) [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        ]. The MMSE is a relatively simple practical method of grading cognitive
impairment [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
        ] with a maximum score of 30 and with lower scores indicating more severe cognitive
deficits. During the MMSE, a health professional asks a patient a series of questions covering six
categories; orientation (10 points); registration (3 points); attention and calculation (5 points); recall (3
points); language (8 points); and copying (1 point) [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
        ]. Although the MMSE was never intended as a
ORCID: XXXX-XXXX-XXXX-XXXX (A. 1); XXXX-XXXX-XXXX-XXXX (A. 2); XXXX-XXXX-XXXX-XXXX (A. 3)
      </p>
      <p>
        2020 Copyright for this paper by its authors.
diagnostic tool, it has been extensively employed for scoring dementia and mild AD [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">12</xref>
        ]. Yet this test
could be a cause of anxiety and stress for both AD and healthy control (HC) participants, as anxiety and
stress may be associated with the execution of cognitive tasks [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">13</xref>
        ]. Furthermore, it is known that the
emotional state could affect the well-functioning of the attentional system and the performance of tasks,
especially under test conditions [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14">14</xref>
        ]. It is therefore relevant to explore the effect of the autonomic
nervous system (ANS) on the subjects' performance, as well as investigating the autonomic activity
modulation in order to infer whether the execution of cognitive test elicits different psychophysiological
involvement in AD patients with respect to HC.
      </p>
      <p>To this end, contactless technologies that are able to detect psychophysiological states and preserve
the ecological condition under which the tests are administered in the clinical routine are preferable. By
contrast, classical technologies used for monitoring physiological parameters and ANS activity (e.g.
heart rate variability, skin conductance level) typically require contact sensors, which cause
manipulation of the subjects’ body, potentially biasing the measurement of
psychophysiological/emotional states.</p>
      <p>
        IRI is one of the most suitable techniques to be considered for this purpose. In fact, it is a contactless
and non-invasive technique used to measure the peripheral ANS activity through the modulation of the
cutaneous temperature [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">15</xref>
        ], [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16">16</xref>
        ]. Indeed, the skin temperature oscillations are related to the
vasodilatation and vasoconstriction regulated by the ANS which is also responsible for the human body
homeostasis and the physiological responses to emotional stimuli[17], [18]. IRI has been widely used
to study the effect of workload [19], learning process [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">13</xref>
        ] on the facial skin temperature, and recently
to assess indices of peripheral ANS activity in AD patients [20], [21]. IRI analysis is usually performed
by imaging the subject’s face and, in particular, the tip of the nose has been shown to be the most
reliable region for the detection of the ANS activity [21].
      </p>
      <p>In this paper, the autonomic modulations in AD and HC subjects during the execution of cognitive
assessment tests were investigated by means of IRI and supervised learning methods. Supervised
machine learning approaches are part of Artificial Intelligence (AI) algorithms, able to automatically
learn functions that map an input to an output based on known input–output pairs (training dataset) [22].
They can be further grouped into regression and classification algorithms. Both algorithms aim to
develop a model that can predict the value of the output variable from the input ones. The difference
between the two algorithms relies on the dependent variable which is numerical for regression and
categorical for classification. In this study two different supervised regression algorithm were used to
estimate the MMSE score based on the autonomic modulation inferred through key features of the
extracted thermal signal. The regression algorithms used were the partial least square regression (PLSR)
and the support vector regression (SVR). To test the generalization performances of both models, a
leave-one-subject-out cross-validation was utilized. After the cross-validation process, the estimated
MMSE score from both regression approaches was used to classify AD patients from HC.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>2. Materials and Methods</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>2.1. Participants</title>
      <p>31 participants were recruited in this study. The sample population was composed of 21 healthy
subjects (mean age ± standard deviation (SD): 67.3 ± 7.7 years; M/F: 9/12) and 10 mild AD patients
(mean age ± SD: 72.3 ± 4.9 years; M/F: 6/4). The AD patients had a diagnosis of mild probable
Alzheimer’s disease, according to the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 5th edition
(DSM-5, APA 2003). The participants selection was performed in the geriatric ward of the university
hospital of Chieti, Italy.</p>
      <p>This study was conducted according to the Declaration of Helsinki and it was approved by the
Research Ethics Board of the University of Chieti-Pescara. Before the experiment, every participant
signed the informed consent, and they could withdraw from it at any time. All sessions were scheduled
at the same time of day to minimize possible effects related to circadian rhythm fluctuation.
2.2.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Experimental Design</title>
      <p>Prior to testing, each subject was left in the experimental room for about 10 minutes in order to allow
participants to achieve proper acclimatization to the room’s environmental conditions and the baseline
skin temperature to stabilize [23]. Participants were seated comfortably on a chair during
acclimatization and measurement periods. During the administration of the test, the participants, and
the examiner (i.e. the doctor) were seated in front of each other and they had to interact. The
experimental paradigm consisted of an initial period of rest in which the participants were requested to
stay still for a few minutes without performing any task. Soon after, the MMSE test was administered
by the doctor. The test consisted of a 30-point questionnaire that included simple questions and
problems in a number of areas, such as the time and place of the test, repeating lists of words, arithmetic
calculation, language use and comprehension, and basic motor skills. The administration of the test was
conducted in accordance to [24] and lasted about 8 minutes. The experimental paradigm is described in
figure 1.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Functional infrared imaging acquisition</title>
      <p>The subject’s psychophysiological response was inferred through his/her facial cutaneous
temperature changes over time, recorded by thermal camera FLIR SC660. The camera was equipped
with a Focal Plane Array of 640 × 480 detectors, 0.02-s time resolution, 0.03 K temperature
sensitivity/Noise Equivalent Temperature Difference, and the capability of collecting the thermal
radiation in the 7.5–14μm band. The thermal camera response was blackbody-calibrated in order to
remove noise-effects related to the sensor drift/shift dynamics and optical artifacts [25]. The sampling
rate for thermal imaging was set at 5 frames/s. All the observations were made in a climate-controlled
room according to the International Academy of Thermology (IACT) guidelines [26]. The room
temperature was set at 23 ± 1 °C; relative humidity at 50–55% with no direct ventilation on the subject
and no direct sunlight. The camera was placed at 60 cm from the participant and focused on the subject’s
face. Other than thermal imaging, visible imaging was also recorded trough the Logitech C920 HD Pro
webcam with 1920 x 1080 video resolution.
2.4.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>Functional infrared imaging processing and analysis</title>
      <p>
        For all participants, the time series of facial thermal images were visually inspected to ensure
adequate quality of the recordings. Variations in cutaneous temperature of facial regions of interest
were then analyzed using customized Matlab programs. The nasal tip (NT) area was selected as a region
of interest (ROI) which is known to be sensitive to autonomic activity [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16">16</xref>
        ], [25] (figure 2a). Because
the participants were allowed to move their head without any restriction, a soft-tissue tracking algorithm
was used to track the NT areas throughout all the images of the time-series, in order to accurately
compute the NT temperature from each facial thermogram. The tracking algorithm, based on a facial
landmark detection over time, was developed in Matlab and validated by Cardone et al (2020) [22]. It
relied on the following three different processes:
      </p>
      <p>Facial landmarks’ automatic recognition in the visible domain using the OpenFace library.
OpenFace is an open source tool, able to detect facial landmarks, estimate head pose, recognize
facial action units and estimate eye-gaze on standard RGB images [27].</p>
      <p>ROI identification with respect to the facial landmarks.</p>
      <p>Co-registration of the ROI in the visible video with the corresponding ROI in the thermal video.
The co-registration was performed by applying a geometric transformation of the visible
coordinates (calculated based on different field of view), resolution, and position.</p>
      <p>For each subject, the tracking algorithm permitted to obtain the pattern of the NT average
temperatures across all episodes of the experimental paradigm. The thermal signal was further corrected
from residual motion artifacts. Motion errors were identified and replaced using a linear interpolation
of the value neighboring the artifact. Figure 2b shows an example of a subject’s NT temperature time
course after being visually inspected and corrected for motion artifacts. The temperature time courses
during the experimental condition were normalized with respect to the resting condition by subtracting
the average temperature value of the rest.</p>
      <p>From the normalized thermal signal four representative feature were computed:
1. Average value
2. Standard deviation
3. Slope evaluated as:

= ( max⁡ −  
)⁄

−
(1)
4. Difference between the average of the signal in the first 5 s and in the last 5 s.</p>
      <p>These features resulted to be the most used in thermal signal analysis studies and were therefore chosen
in the present study.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-7">
      <title>2.4.1. Application of Supervised Machine Learning</title>
      <p>Firstly, a machine learning approach was utilized to predict the MMSE score assigned by the doctor,
relying on features extracted from thermal signals. Specifically, two type of supervised learning
algorithm were tested for this specific task. Supervised learning uses labeled training data to learn the
mapping function that turns input variables (X) into the output variable (Y). In other words, it solves
for f in the following equation:</p>
      <p>Y = f (X)
(2)</p>
      <p>This allows us to accurately generate outputs when given new inputs. As a type of supervised
learning, regression algorithms were employed to predict the MMSE score. In details, a partial least
square regression (PLSR) and a support vector regression (SVR) with linear kernel were used. Linear
regression algorithms were chosen rather than the non-linear ones because of the small sample size and
a possible over-fitting effect. The PLSR method is a widely used regression techniques that generalizes
and combines features from principal component analysis and multiple regression. The goal of PLSR
is to predict Y from X and to describe the common structure underlying the two variables. Indeed, it
creates orthogonal components by using the existing correlations between explanatory variables and
corresponding outputs while also keeping most of the variance of explanatory variables [28]. On the
other hand, SVR is an extension of the well-known support vector machine algorithm. Unlike other
regression methods that try to minimize the error between the real and predicted value, the SVR tries
to fit the error inside a certain threshold, which means that it attempt to approximate the best value
within a given margin [29].</p>
      <p>Both PLSR and SVR were employed for MMSE score evaluation and then for the AD and HC
classification. Both procedures were performed in Matlab environment. In detail, PLSR algorithm was
implemented using number of components equal to 4, whilst the SVR procedure was performed using
a linear kernel with automatic scale and standardized training data. The MMSE score was employed as
the regression output. Because of the multivariate (4 regressors) approach, in-sample performance of
the procedure did not reliably estimate the out-of-sample performance. Therefore, to avoid any
overfitting, the procedure performance was estimated with a leave-one-subject-out cross-validation: the
algorithm was trained using data from all subjects but one, and then was tested on the left-out subject,
providing unbiased estimations of the regression for small datasets [30]. This procedure was iterated
for all the subjects, and further statistical analyses were performed on the out-of-training-sample
estimation of MMSE score. The PLSR algorithm prediction outcome was called MMSE_PLSR whilst
the one from SVR was called MMSE_SVR.</p>
      <p>Secondly, the MMSE_PLSR and MMSE_SVR were used to provide a classification between AD
patients and HC. The two classes (AD and HC) were a priori assigned based on the doctor’s diagnosis.
Since the two classes did not have an equal number of samples, a bootstrap procedure was implemented
to test classification performance on balanced classes [31]. The performances of the classification were
evaluated by means of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis [32]. Figure 3 shows the flow
chart related to the described machine learning approaches.
employed as regression algorithms. A leave-one-subject-out cross-validation was performed to test
the generalization of the regression. The results of the regressions (MMSE_PLSR resulted from PLSR
algorithm and MMSE_SVR from SVR) were then individually used to perform a two-level classification
of the subjects i.e. AD patient or Healthy control. Since the two classes were not balanced, a bootstrap
procedure was implemented. The classification was performed using ROC analysis.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-8">
      <title>3. Results</title>
      <p>A significant correlation between the MMSE score and the predicted output from both PLSR and
SVR algorithm were obtained (r = 0.480, p = 0.006 and r=0.390, p=0.032, respectively) demonstrating
a good performance of the multivariate analysis.</p>
      <p>Concerning the classification process Figure 4a reports the among iterations average ROC curves
(bootstrap performed for n = 1000 iterations) obtained by the MMSE_PLSR and MMSE_SVR
respectively. The average area under curve (AUC) related to the MMSE_PLSR and MMSE_SVR
classification was 0.77 and 0.81 with standard deviation of 0.045 and 0.053, respectively. The
distribution of the two AUC obtained after the bootstrap are reported in Figure 4b.</p>
      <p>By choosing a specific threshold for MMSE_PLSR and MMSE_SVR respectively, the sensitivity,
specificity, and accuracy values of both classification procedures were obtained as reported in the
confusion matrix (Table 1). The confusion matrix shows balanced classes as obtained by bootstrap
procedure. In detail, MMSE_PLSR resulted in a classification sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of
80% whilst MMSE_SVR in a sensitivity of 90%, specificity of 80% and accuracy of 85%.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-9">
      <title>4. Discussion</title>
      <p>AD is a widely studied disorder with research focusing on cognitive and functional impairments,
behavioral and psychological symptoms. Despite the importance of autonomic dysfunctions which are
common in dementia, they have received less attention in systematic studies [33]. The aim of this study
was to assess possible differences in the autonomic activity between AD and HC during the
performance of MMSE. Consequently, the capability of IRI and AI to classify AD from HC subjects
based on their autonomic activity was investigated. The leading hypothesis of the study was that
performing cognitive tasks, such as the MMSE, designed to assess specific impairments typical of AD,
could raise a different state of stress or anxiety in AD patients compared to HC. In fact, the performance
in cognitive tasks could amplify the autonomic dysregulation of AD patients and thus the differences
from HC.</p>
      <p>However, in order to avoid the effect of contact-sensor instrumentation on the subjects’ performance,
it would be advisable to control the autonomic and psychophysiological state of the participants in a
non-invasive manner. To this end, IRI appears to be one of the most suitable tools, thanks to its
contactless and non-invasive features. This technique is widely used to measure the modulation of the
cutaneous temperature to infer the ANS activity.</p>
      <p>Multivariate machine learning approaches based on PLSR and SVR were employed to estimate the
MMSE score through peculiar thermal features extracted from facial ROI. The regression outcome
resulted in a significant correlation between the MMSE score and the score predicted by both PLSR
and SVR algorithm, named MMSE_PLSR and MMSE_SVR (r = 0.480, p = 0.006 and r=0.390,
p=0.032, respectively). The results showed a moderate estimation [34] of the MMSE score through the
considered thermal features. MMSE_PLSR and MMSE_SVR were then used to perform the
classification between mild AD and HC subjects. The ROC analysis showed a good performance of
both classifier with an average AUC of 0.77 and 0.81 for MMSE_PLSR and MMSE_SVR respectively.
Specifically, the classification based on MMSE_PLSR showed an accuracy of 80% (sensitivity =80%
specificity = 80%) whereas MMSE_SVR exhibited an accuracy of 85% (specificity =80% and
sensitivity = 90%). It is worth noting that the cross-validation and the bootstrap procedures provided
the generalization performances of the model, testing its applicability to a wide cohort of subjects. The
results demonstrated the capabilities of this approach to detect the cognitive decline associated to AD.
Although IRI has been already used to highlight difference in the autonomic activity of AD with respect
to HC subjects, to the best of our knowledge this is the first time that AI approaches have been used for
thermal signal analysis and AD classification. This approach could pave the way for novel and effective
diagnostic tools designed to support early AD diagnosis. Moreover, this method could easily be
employed in outpatient environment in routinely clinical practice. Further work may be performed to
better characterize the underlying physiological alterations that could explain our findings. Moreover,
despite the high classification performance, the purpose of further studies would be to increase the
sample size in order to corroborate these results. Increasing the sample size may permit further increase
of the performance by decreasing a possible in-sample overfitting effect of the classifier. However,
although the study dataset can be considered rather small, the investigation was conducted employing
a leave-one-out cross-validation procedure, thus intrinsically evaluating the out of sample performance.
Therefore, the results obtained are indeed generalizable.</p>
      <p>Importantly, it may be worth investigating the capability of this AI framework to discriminate the
cognitive decline associated with different kind of dementia. Hence, further study should be performed
including in the sample size patients affected by other degenerative cognitive pathologies. It could be
also interesting to combine IRI recordings with other physiological measurements of autonomic activity
(i.e. heart rate, galvanic skin response) as well as to combine it with functional neuroimaging techniques
to assess the relationship between the autonomic and central nervous system activity.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-10">
      <title>5. Conclusions</title>
      <p>In this study an innovative method to assess autonomic activity during the execution of cognitive
test and classify mild AD patients was presented. The autonomic activity was investigated in a
completely ecological manner, by means of IRI technique and AI algorithms. The cognitive test used
was the MMSE which is commonly employed in clinical settings for cognitive impairment evaluation.
By using AI approaches, it was possible to classify mild AD patients with a good level of accuracy.
Thus, providing a physiological hint that might serve as an indicator of mild AD, aimed at supporting
the clinical diagnosis of this dementia not only based on the cognitive score or behavioral analysis, but
also from a psychophysiological perspective.</p>
      <p>This study opens the possibility of using novel data-driven approaches for IRI signal analysis, in
order to improve its diagnostic capabilities and to extend its application field.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-11">
      <title>6. Acknowledgements</title>
      <p>This research was funded by PON MIUR SI-ROBOTICS, ARS01_01120.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-12">
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