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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Detecting Signatures of Early-stage Dementia with Behavioural Models Derived from Sensor Data</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Rafael Poyiadzi</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Weisong Yang</string-name>
          <email>ws.yang@bristol.ac.uk</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Yoav Ben-Shlomo</string-name>
          <email>y.ben-shlomo@bristol.ac.uk</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Ian Craddock</string-name>
          <email>ian.craddock@bristol.ac.uk</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Liz Coulthard</string-name>
          <email>elizabeth.coulthard@bristol.ac.uk</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Raul Santos-Rodriguez</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>James Selwood</string-name>
          <email>james.selwood@bristol.ac.uk</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Niall Twomey</string-name>
          <email>twomey@cookpad.com</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Copyright © 2020 for this paper by its authors. Use permitted under Creative Commons License Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0). This volume is published and copyrighted by its editors. Advances in Artificial Intelligence for Healthcare</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>There is a pressing need to automatically understand the state and progression of chronic neurological diseases such as dementia. The emergence of state-of-the-art sensing platforms offers unprecedented opportunities for indirect and automatic evaluation of disease state through the lens of behavioural monitoring. This paper specifically seeks to characterise behavioural signatures of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and Alzheimer's disease (AD) in the early stages of the disease. We introduce bespoke behavioural models and analyses of key symptoms and deploy these on a novel dataset of longitudinal sensor data from persons with MCI and AD. We present preliminary findings that show the relationship between levels of sleep quality and wandering can be subtly different between patients in the early stages of dementia and healthy cohabiting controls.</p>
      </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>-</title>
      <p>
        Dementia is a progressive neurological condition affecting cognition
and behaviour with a significant impact on activities of daily living. It
is one of the major causes of disability and dependency among elderly
population with approximately 50 million people with the disease
world wide. Alzheimer’s disease (AD) is the most common cause of
dementia. Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) refers to a decline that
has minimal impact on activities of daily living [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">13</xref>
        ]. Patients with
MCI can continue to live independently [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref26">26</xref>
        ]. Not all patients with
MCI will convert to dementia, but they are at increased risk. MCI has
an annual conversion rate to AD of between 5 and 10% [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref27">27</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>Making an accurate, reliable diagnosis of dementia is a challenge.
Patients may find cognitive tests stressful, which impacts their
performance. This may be exacerbated in a new, unknown, clinical
environment with an unfamiliar clinician. Performance on cognitive tests also
does not give an indication of how someone is managing in the real
world. Although diagnosis may include bio-markers measurement,
in addition to this being invasive and expensive, these do not have
adequate temporal resolution to understand disease progression and
deterioration since AD has high variance across patients.</p>
      <p>
        Some symptoms are prevalent across dementias. Confusion can
lead to unpredictable behaviour and activity abandonment during
normal daily routines. Interestingly, behavioural interactions between
persons with dementia (PwD) and their carers/family are also affected
by disease progression and efforts by PwD to allay confusion and
uncertainty often result in them persistently seeking the company of
persons whom they trust. In this work we intend to address shadowing
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref23">23</xref>
        ] (persistently staying in the company of a trusted carer/family),
wandering [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref24">24</xref>
        ] (going from room to room with nonspecific intent)
and disturbed sleep [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">15</xref>
        ] (a common symptom for PwD).
      </p>
      <p>
        Progression of dementia and MCI are characterised by an increase
in symptoms that will affect normal daily activity and behaviour. It is
important to remember that these symptoms affect normal daily
activity and behaviour. In understanding the dependence between normal
behaviour and the expression of symptoms, an opportunity to
understand and quantify disease state indirectly via behavioural change is
exposed. Modern sensing technology offers promise in monitoring
daily behaviour, extracting symptom expression rates and
measurement of state and progression of the disease [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref30 ref7">7, 30</xref>
        ]. In contrast to
normal clinical evaluation that occur in foreign environments, ours is
achieved from the patients’ residences.
      </p>
      <p>This paper outlines novel computational behavioural analysis
algorithms for modelling disease state and progression. The potential
for detecting unseen behavioural bio-markers of the early stages of
dementia is exposed by analysis on the longitudinal, in-home sensor
data. Section 2 reviews prior work on smart homes and dementia. Our
data collection and modelling procedures are outlined in Section 3.
Results are presented in Section 4 and we conclude in Section 5.
2</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>Related Work</title>
      <p>
        Numerous smart systems have been designed and developed to
monitor the well-being and health status of elders, such as the GATOR Tech
Smart House [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14">14</xref>
        ], the AWARE home [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ], the Microsoft’s EasyLiving
project [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ] and the MavHome Project [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ]. In the dementia domain,
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref22">22</xref>
        ] introduced a support system to aid doctors diagnosing dementia.
Participants only needed to perform a selection of Instrumental
Activities of Daily Living (IADL) in a smart home environment. However,
the main limitation is that this approach relies on data collected in a
laboratory environment and not in a real world setting.
      </p>
      <p>
        Along these lines, [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ] undertook a study on data acquired by The
ORegon Centre for Aging and TECHnology (ORCATECH) at the
Oregon Health and Science University, that investigated the walking
speed and general activity in the homes of participants in order to
detect dementia. The extension presented in [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ] modelled the
presence of the participants in different rooms using Poisson processes to
demonstrate statistical differences between different states of
cognition. Localisation has been found to be a common ground for different
works. For instance [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">18</xref>
        ] and [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref29">29</xref>
        ] use an Ultra Wideband device to try
to measure wandering behaviours. However, Radio Frequency (RF)
identification may be limited by its detection range since unpowered
RF devices operate only over a meter’s distance. Also, [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
        ] uses a
relatively complex sensor network consisted of RF tracking and
motion and heading sensors for monitoring and studying behavioural
patterns of patients with dementia.
      </p>
      <p>We build upon the existing literature by focusing on data collected
in the wild that, while more challenging to analyse, also provides
a richer and pervasive perspective on the subjects’ behaviour.
Additionally, our aim is to automatically detect behavioural symptoms that
may suggest early dementia. Finally, we want go beyond the analysis
of a single participant and incorporate the monitoring of interactions
within the home environment as a key element to understand the
progression of the disease.
3</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Methods 3.1</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Data collection</title>
      <p>
        This section introduces our data collection and modelling pipelines.
Ethical approval was secured from the Carmarthen Research Ethics
Committee and the Health Research Authority (HRA) to record sensor
data from the homes of people who have received a diagnosis of
dementia or have MCI for up to 12 months using the SPHERE [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref35 ref36 ref8">36,
35, 8</xref>
        ] system. Informed consent was obtained to analyse this data to
determine links between behavioural patterns, residents of the home
and disease state. Participants are recruited from North Bristol NHS
Trust, the Dementia Wellbeing Service in Bristol and the Research
Institute for the Care of Older People (RICE) Centre in Bath. The
SPHERE sensor system is installed into their homes [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref35 ref36">36, 35</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        The key sensors that we use in the analysis of this work are
accelerometers [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11 ref12 ref34">11, 12, 34</xref>
        ]. These are set record at a rate of 20 Hz. This
data is broadcast to gateways by means of radio links. Six gateways are
installed in every house. These simultaneously record accelerometer
readings and the Received Signal Strength Intensity (RSSI).
      </p>
      <p>
        In-home localisation is a key task in this work that leverages the
RSSI data [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19 ref20 ref5">20, 5, 19</xref>
        ]. Labelled data are acquired from a ‘walkthrough’
script that is performed by the technician upon installation. Each room
is visited while holding the wearables and RSSI and wearable data
are simultaneously recorded. The real-time location of the technician
is recorded with an annotation app.
      </p>
      <p>
        To regress from sensor data to localisation and activity predictions,
we extract basic features from windowed data (5 seconds length with
overlap of 250 seconds following [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref33">33</xref>
        ]). Features include: mean,
standard deviation (std), max, min, diff (first-order difference operator)
and the count of missing values.
      </p>
      <p>We can complement labelled data by introducing domain
knowledge into the analysis by suggesting reasonable locations based on
calculable context. For example, if predicting ‘sleep’ at 3AM it is
likely that the resident is in the bedroom.
3.2
3.2.1</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Modelling considerations</title>
      <sec id="sec-5-1">
        <title>Covariate Shift</title>
        <p>
          We account for our expectations of covariate shift (due to disease
progression) with Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">17</xref>
          ]. In
mathematical terms we assume that training and testing
distributions differ, i.e. %CA ¹Gº &lt; %C4 ¹Gº, but that conditional distributions
remain the same %CA ¹HjGº = %C4 ¹HjGº. MMD offers an elegant
approach to quantify and match distributional shift and we follow the
methodology outlined by [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">17</xref>
          ] in our work.
3.2.2
        </p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-5-2">
        <title>Semi-Supervised Learning</title>
        <p>
          Since only a small portion of labelled data are available, we leverage
supervised (L(! ) semi-supervised (L((! ) objectives to make
efficient use of data. The supervised objective (L(! ) is the traditional
conditional log-likelihood that one optimises for in Conditional
Random Fields (CRF) [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref31">31</xref>
          ]. The data and labels for this are obtained from
the walkthrough that was introduced in the previous section. CRF
model sequence probabilities as:
)
% \0 ¹ yj ^º = / ¹ ^º 1 exp Õ
qC ¹GC  HC  HC 1º
        </p>
        <p>!
C=1
where qC are the log-potentials and / ¹ ^º is the partition function. In
our case the log-potentials decompose, to emission function and
transition function, as follows: qC ¹GC  HC  HC 1º = D ¹GC  HC º g˜ ¹HC  HC 1º,
where:
g˜ ¹HC  HC 1º =
g ¹HC  HC 1º
IHC =HC 1 </p>
        <p>U¹Cº ¡= n 0
otherwise
where U¹Cº is the activity level of the participant at time C (calculated
as the average absolute jerk of the tri-axial signals) and n 0 denotes a
threshold, below which we assume there is no movement. This forbids
location transitions unless a certain activity potential is surpassed.</p>
        <p>
          The emission potentials are modelled with a 4-layer
fullyconnected neural network, D ¹G Hº = ¹GºH , i.e. the H-th element
of ¹Gº. The semi-supervised objective (L((! ) constructed by
iteratively using the most likely label sequence as temporary targets, i.e.
y = arg maxy 2Y %¹ yj ^º [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref28">28</xref>
          ].
4
        </p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>Findings</title>
      <p>In this section we present findings relevant to sleeping disturbance,
wandering and shadowing. We illustrate the analysis using 2 different
houses that are inhabited by either a PwD, or by someone who has
been founds to have MCI, and one partner. Data collection is ongoing,
so these are preliminary findings and some houses have significantly
more data than others. The analyses below result from localisation
and activity level predictions that were trained and validated on the
walkthrough data.
4.1</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-7">
      <title>Shadowing</title>
      <p>
        The mutual information (MI) between the location of the two
residents in each house is measured to estimate shadowing, following a
similar approach to that described in [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref32">32</xref>
        ]. Additionally, in our
analysis we stratify MI by time of the day in order to understand whether
significant MI is confined to particular intervals, e.g. morning Fig.1.
      </p>
      <p>
        Temporal lags were introduced in order to allow for short delays in
shadowing, with no significant change, and are therefore not included
in this work. This is likely due to the fact that the lag interval is
significantly shorter than the analysis window. Looking at Fig.1, in the
case of house B there is no trend of increasing/decreasing correlation.
Even though in the case of house A, there is a slight increase over
time, stronger conclusions will be drawn when more data arrives.
(1)
(2)
0.015
0.010
0.005
Our data collection is ongoing, and as it grows we will identify finer,
more informative signals of disease state. Time lags are likely to
become more relevant with finer and more targeted analysis that may
be motivated by changes in behaviour as the disease progresses.
The approach for modelling wandering is motivated by its antonym:
non-wandering is typified by low activity levels and persistent
location predictions. Thus we jointly compare the activity levels and the
location complexity of residents in this section. Specifically, in Fig.
2 we track the total activity per room, as well as the total activity of
the day, over the span of the data, and in Fig. 3 we track the
complexity of the localisation predictions, derived from the Lempel-Ziv [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref21">21</xref>
        ]
complexity measure. It is clear in Fig. 2b that the activity levels of the
patient are higher than that of the other participant in this house, and
Fig. 3b gives similar results, although in Fig. 2a and Fig. 3a it is less
obvious, for which there might be several reasons. One explanation
could be that the data we have so far for house A spans only a short
time period (less than 10 days). A second cause might be that the
patient in house A only has MCI, whose daily life only gets affected
to a mild degree compared to the participant with dementia in house
B.
      </p>
      <p>Additionally, Fig. 5 shows in detail the complexity of localisation
predictions in different time intervals over the experiment span in
house B. On every subplot, the number at the top-right is the average
number of times the patient has a higher complexity than the partner.
In this analysis, we only include house B, as the span is longer. In
the case of house A these averages are not so much in favour of the
patient - 58 segment as compared to 88 for house B.
4.3</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-8">
      <title>Sleep Disturbance</title>
      <p>
        In both houses, we observe that during the early hours of the day,
0-6 am, the participants have a higher activity levels, while the
control/carers have a more steady, and at most times, lower activity
levels. This might be an indication of the patients having a more uneasy
sleep. As a number of studies suggest [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15 ref25">25, 15</xref>
        ], people have MCI or
dementia will suffer from different levels of sleep disturbance. And
a community-based study [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16">16</xref>
        ] indicates that nearly one-third of their
subjects were reported as having been inappropriately active at night.
      </p>
      <p>As can be seen from Fig. 2b, the line representing the activity
levels in bedroom 2 of the participant with dementia is quite unstable
compared to that of the other participant during 0-6 am. Although
there is not a significant difference between activity levels in bedroom
1 of the two inhabitants during 0-6 am in Fig. 2a, it is because that the
person with MCI got up earlier than 6 am, especially on July 23rd,
24th and 25th, and started walking in the house while the partner was
sleeping, which may suggest the increased sleep disturbance in the
person with cognitive disorder from another angle.</p>
      <p>For reference, we also include a segment of the RSSI data in Fig. 4,
from House A, for both participants, from the early hours of the day.
It highlights the difference in sleeping quality, as observed through
RSSI. The step changes are a result of rotations during sleep. It also
shows how different sleeping positions can lead to missing values in
certain gateways, e.g. kitchen_1 at 02:00 and at 03:15.
5</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-9">
      <title>Conclusion and Future Work</title>
      <p>This paper presents our preliminary results and shows the
potential of detecting early symptoms of cognitive disorders automatically
by utilizing data acquired from patients’ daily activities and signal
processing methods equipped with machine learning techniques. We
build a machine learning pipeline that considers the difference in
training and testing distributions using MMD. We account for the
sequential nature of data using a CRF, and use our domain knowledge
to enhance our training data with data coming from the participants.</p>
      <p>One of the limitations of this study is that our localisation
precision can only reach room-level for now due to the configuration and
the deployment of our sensor system. Finer-grained localisation will
expose behavioural reactions to furniture placements across rooms.</p>
      <p>
        Potential directions for improvements include taking into
consideration environmental sensors, such as Passive Infrared and Video,
through machine learning techniques such as multi-modal data fusion
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        ]. Moreover, we will enhance our training data using clinical data
through our domain knowledge of activities of daily living.
      </p>
      <p>The paper as it stands establishes baseline activity, sleep and
colocalisation dependence that will be used after data collection
completed. That we see signals here is promising for our future data
collection, analysis and research.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-10">
      <title>Acknowledgements</title>
      <p>This research was funded by CUBOID (UK MRC Momentum grant
MC/PC/16029) and the SPHERE IRC (grant EP/K031910/1).</p>
    </sec>
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