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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Towards Semantic Digital Twins for Social Networks</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Rafael Berlanga</string-name>
          <email>berlanga@uji.es</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Lledo Museros</string-name>
          <email>museros@uji.es</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Dolores M. Llido</string-name>
          <email>dllido@uji.es</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Ismael Sanz</string-name>
          <email>isanz@uji.es</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Mar a J. Aramburu</string-name>
          <email>aramburu@uji.es</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Dep. de Enginyeria i Ciencia dels Computadors, Universitat Jaume I</institution>
          ,
          <country country="ES">Spain</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>Dep. de Llenguatges i Sistemes Informatics, Universitat Jaume I</institution>
          ,
          <country country="ES">Spain</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>This position paper proposes a platform for the creation of digital twins for social networks as semantic digital twins for people. These are mainly aimed at simulating human behavior from a cognitive point of view. The proposal relies on a semantic data infrastructure aimed at analytical purposes, which is directly fed with real data from social networks. Summarized data and data generation methods are then combined to produce new data streams according to the analyst requirements. All these data are stored in a dynamic knowledge graph, which plays a central role in the design of the digital twins. First experiments will be conducted on two scenarios where semantic data is already available, namely: Tourism and Fashion.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>Digital Twins</kwd>
        <kwd>Data Generation</kwd>
        <kwd>Knowledge Graphs</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>-</title>
      <p>
        Digital Twins (DT) [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ] can be de ned as (physical and/or virtual) machines or
computer-based models that are simulating, emulating, mirroring, or \twinning"
the life of a physical entity, which may be an object, a process, a human, or a
human-related feature. DTs allow simulations and what-if models of analysis
in order to optimize resources and processes that would otherwise take a long
time to implement in the real environment. The main requirement of a DT is
the massive collection of data from the physical environment to build models
and algorithms that emulate its behavior. In the case of a business environment,
DTs can be created thanks to the digitization of companies, and these DTs are
able to emulate the processes of the company and optimize them in the best
possible way. Arti cial Intelligence (AI) also plays a very important role both in
the creation of the DT and its subsequent predictive analysis. To support their
creation, AI techniques such as generative learning models and cognitive models
of the people who take part of the organization are key for a correct de nition of
a DT. For predictive analysis, the modeling of data streams and the analysis of
the time series generated by the DT are the main approach to decision making
and the optimization of the processes involved.
      </p>
      <p>Copyright © 2021 for this paper by its authors. Use permitted under Creative
Commons License Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0).</p>
      <p>
        DTs are starting to be general-purpose tools, but the adoption of AI and DT
is hardly visible these days. In fact, Gartner market research predicted that by
2022 [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        ], more than two-thirds of companies that have implemented IoT will have
deployed at least one DT in production. At the moment, DTs are widely used
in manufacturing to optimize asset performance, improve process e ciency, and
minimize time and costs. DT is also increasingly nding applications in health
care [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ], construction [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">7</xref>
        ] and smart cities [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
        ]. Extrapolating smart capabilities
from a DT approach to other sectors is challenging, not only from an
implementation perspective but also from an ethical and social point of view.
      </p>
      <p>In this position paper, we present our approach for developing a platform that
enables the de nition of DTs from cognitive and social network data as semantic
digital twins for people. The main aim of the intended DTs is to simulate human
behavior from a cognitive/social point of view. More speci cally, these DTs will
rely on AI cognitive models which will be derived from social networks data.
As a result, we will be able to simulate di erent situations and analyze the
e ectiveness of decisions taken (what-if analysis). The proposed platform will be
applied to two verticals, namely: Tourism and Fashions.
2</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>Related Work</title>
      <p>
        In this section recent work related to the development of DTs and Cognitive DTs
are presented, including DTs for social media. The proposal of this paper will
follow this last trend, developing a Social and Cognitive DT. For developing the
new cognitive and social digital twins it is necessary to capture and analyse data
from di erent platforms and sources which might be heterogeneous in syntax,
schema, or semantics, making data integration di cult. Therefore, the new DT
will make use of the dynamic SLOD-BI platform [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ] for capturing and analysing
the social data needed for the DT construction. An overview of this platform is
also introduced in this section. Finally, for the DT creation generative models
are needed, therefore recent work on them are also introduced.
2.1
      </p>
      <sec id="sec-2-1">
        <title>Cognitive Digital Twins</title>
        <p>
          The paper [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">13</xref>
          ] de ned a Cognitive Digital Twin as a \digital representation,
augmentation, and intelligent companion of its physical twin as a whole, including
its subsystems and across all of its life cycles and evolution phases". Cognitive
Digital Physical Twins (CDPT) will continue optimizing their cognitive, digital
and physical design and capabilities over time based on the data they will
collect and the experience they will gain, not only based on models and data we
gave to them or they inherited. Cognitive Digital Twins will have the abilities
of physical and digital self-diagnostic and self-healing systems. CDPT will use
di erent techniques to extrapolate and generate their own version of the reality
based on parameters and rules such as time, experience, context, situation, and
self and/or environmental awareness - machine perception.
        </p>
        <p>
          In [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
          ], the challenges of the Cognitive Digital Twins for the Process Industry
are presented. In [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
          ] the authors propose an architecture for the implementation
of Hybrid (HT) and Cognitive Twins (CT). A CT is a hybrid, self-learning, and
proactive system that will optimize its own cognitive capabilities over time based
on the data it will collect and experience it will gain.
        </p>
        <p>
          [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20">20</xref>
          ] focuses on DT for reproducing human cognitive processes in
cybersimulation. They de ne Cognition DT as a model that monitors, and predicts a
person's cognitive status through the processing of di erent type of information.
        </p>
        <p>
          Finally, on the context of social media, [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
          ] the DT paradigm has been
considered to establish a link among social media data analysis for a virtual product.
Being able to know the level of intensity of the sentiment of customers for a
new product gives higher con dence to the companies and rms when
designing a product. This research has attempted to use AI tools to categorize the
sentiment trends and ll the gap for the relationship between user emotions
and product design. Most of the research on Social Media has been focused on
developing algorithmic methods using data-driven approaches. In [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">12</xref>
          ], authors
propose PHONY, an automatic system for creating fake news datasets suitable
for machine learning algorithms.
2.2
        </p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-2">
        <title>Dynamic SLOD-BI</title>
        <p>
          The main motivation behind SLOD-BI (Sentiment Linked Open Data for
Business Intelligence) was to build a data infrastructure aimed at sharing extracted
sentiment data from social networks [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
          ]. SLOD-BI provides the necessary
vocabularies and ontologies to express social network data as well as the analysis
patterns for business intelligence (BI) tasks. For example, the concept U serF act
accounts for all the observed facts around user accounts, regarding its metrics
(e.g. followers), their interactions with other users, as well as their inferred
proles. SocialF act regards the sentiment data generated by these users with
respect to some product/service described in the infrastructure. SLOD-BI datasets
are intended to cover distinct vertical domains (e.g., automotive, medicine, etc.)
so that the corresponding community can fetch queries, gather analytical data
and perform analytical queries.
        </p>
        <p>
          The main drawback of SLOD-BI is that it focused on generating static
datasets like other LOD projects. However, social networks are extremely
dynamic which are not well suited for LOD nor BI tools. Instead, social data
must be regarded as a continuous stream where dimensions continuously change.
Thus, we proposed Dynamic SLOD-BI [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
          ], where every element was modelled as
a stream. In this scenario, semantic data is stored in a knowledge graph (KG)
that is continuously updated. Fig. 1 shows the main entities and BI patterns
proposed for (Dynamic) SLOD-BI.
        </p>
        <p>
          In this paper, the main goal is adapting this infrastructure in order to build
digital twins of social network streams. More speci cally, we aim at re-using
semantic and summarized data from SLOD-BI to simulate new data streams
coping with some speci c constraints and parameters.
Generative models are machine learning methods that estimate the join
distribution of target and training data. This learned distribution can be used to
generate new data similar to the data the models were trained on. The current
methods have matured to the point in which they are able to generate very high
quality data, text and images. They have produced many practical applications,
including highly visible ones such as the generation of photo-realistic images,
and they have also been used for non-image data such as time series [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">15</xref>
          ].
        </p>
        <p>
          Current techniques are almost universally based on Deep Learning. Neural
approaches for the development of generative models including Deep Belief
Networks Boltzmann Machines, Variational Autoencoders and transformers, which
are used for text generation [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14">14</xref>
          ]. A particularly important class of methods are
Generative Adversarial Networks, or GANs, which are based on the interplay
between two neural networks (a generator which generates candidate data, and
a discriminator which evaluates it). This technique is behind many currently
state-of-the-art results. Deep generative models are starting to be recognized
as a relevant tool for the construction of Digital Twins. In recent works they
have been applied in an industrial context [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">17</xref>
          ] and also to COVID-19 pandemic
modeling [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16">16</xref>
          ].
        </p>
        <p>The main challenge in this project is how to adapt existing techniques to the
speci c needs of a social network DT.
3</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Overview of the proposal</title>
      <p>
        The knowledge graph (KG) includes all existing vocabularies for SLOD-BI as well
the new required vocabularies for designing DTs. Parameters and probabilistic
distributions will be taken from the SLOD-BI infrastructure, since they regard
the elements analysts targeted to. Gathered streamed data in SLOD-BI will serve
as a basis for estimating all required distributions that will guide the generation
of the new data streams. The KG must be extended in order to regard DT
generative methods and how they are linked to SLOD-BI concepts. This will
allow designers to choose the most appropriate generative methods depending
on the parameter settings. We will adopt a similar approach to that of BigOWL
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ] where machine learning methods are represented as semantic data in order
to choose the most appropriate methods in a speci c Big Data scenario.
3.2
      </p>
      <sec id="sec-3-1">
        <title>Data Stream Generators</title>
        <p>This component aims at designing and implementing a speci c DT for a speci c
scenario. The output of this component is a data stream simulating a real one but
conditioned to a series of parameters and constraints. This component consists
of three main modules, namely: (1) parameter setting, (2) a data generator
composer, and (3) a data validator.</p>
        <p>Parameter setting consists in de ning the shape of the distributions we aim
at for each of the entities involved in the DT. For example, we can de ne the
particular distribution of user pro les we want in the data stream, biasing towards
journalists or professionals.</p>
        <p>The generator composed will select the most appropriate methods to generate
the intended data stream according to the knowledge expressed in the
SLODDT subgraph. This part involves traditional distribution generators,
multimedia content generators (e.g., text and images) as well as time series generators.</p>
        <p>Probability distributions are taken by default from SLOD-BI data but it can be
changed in the parameter setting module.</p>
        <p>Due to the complexity of a social network stream, designing a DT requires
combining many di erent generative methods to simulate how users, topics,
events, posts, and so on occur in that data stream. SLOD-BI patterns can help
in de ning the order in which di erent entities are generated and how they
condition the other data to be generated. In Fig. 3 we show an example of a
composed data generator following the boilerplate notation. Parameters are
represented with and can be tuples of complex parameters. For example, post is
composed of the parameters for text, image, hashtag and mentions parameters.
In our approach, we will regard both traditional probabilistic generation models
and current state-of-the-art generators based on deep learning.
3.3</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-2">
        <title>Data Stream Validator</title>
        <p>As the data streams are randomly generated, we need to check that they do
not contain inconsistencies, impossible values and incoherent contents. For this
reason, we propose to apply consistency rules expressed in OWL2-RL to
validate the generated data. Inconsistent data will be removed or replaced till the
generated data stream becomes consistent and coherent. Examples of these
constraints are: the limit values for user and post metrics, a user can only give a
like or retweet once a post, and a user cannot interact to its own posts.
3.4</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-3">
        <title>Analytical and predictive tools</title>
        <p>There is a great variety of analytical tasks associated with social networks, for
example: bot/spam detection, community discovery, user pro ling, event detection,
identifying in uencers and checking data quality. Analytical tools aim at
visualizing and detecting anomalies in data whereas predictive analytics are aimed at
automatically classifying, predicting and recognising entities from data streams.
Predictive analytics mainly rely on data-driven machine learning methods, which
usually require many labeled examples. For both kinds of tools, the generation
of simulated data is crucial for evaluating them in new scenarios before they are
seen in real data streams. Dynamic SLOD-BI provides some of these tools which
could be tested on the DTs outputs.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-4">
        <title>Use cases</title>
        <p>
          A rst scenario we want to address is that of Tourism. The intended DTs are
mainly aimed at simulating the human behavior from a cognitive perspective.
These DTs should be anthropomorphic representations of people who interact
with tourist facilities and express their feelings about them. The internal
structure of DTs will be designed by taking into account both cognitive and social
aspects which must be also present in the KG. Currently, some cognitive data
as well as image generation methods have been tested in this domain [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">18</xref>
          ].
        </p>
        <p>
          A second scenario is that of tracking fashion trends in social media. In this
scenario we want to recreate the behaviour of coolhunters and the possible
reaction of followers, for example to predict the stock of a new season after a new
advertising campaign. The main idea is to develop a DT able to recreate new
situations where image colors and text contents can be tuned according to some
unseen trend. A preliminary work in this direction was presented in [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">19</xref>
          ].
4
        </p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Conclusions</title>
      <p>In this paper we propose a new paradigm for a semantic-driven de nition of
DTs for social networks. This proposal takes pro t from the summarized data
gathered from a Business Intelligence data infrastructure to set the parameters
of a DT following the analyst requirements.</p>
      <p>Semantic Web technology plays a relevant role in this approach since the
SLOD-BI data and DT parameters and constraints are expressed according to
the provided vocabularies and ontologies. Moreover, the approach relies on a
dynamic KG representation since social data are continuously changing. Data
generation algorithms are also expressed in the KG and linked to the concepts
and parameters that best suit them. In this way, the de nition and
implementation of a DT is fully driven by the KG.</p>
      <p>We plan to apply this proposal to some verticals already explored by the
authors within the SLOD-BI project (e.g., automotive and medicine), as well new
ones like Tourism and Fashion that would greatly bene t from social networks
DTs. Preliminary results are expected soon for those domains where a good
volume of data have been already gathered.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Acknowledgments</title>
      <p>This project has been funded by the Ministry of Economy and Commerce with
project contract TIN2016-88835-RET and by the Universitat Jaume I with
project contract UJI-B2020-15.</p>
      <p>Berlanga et al.</p>
    </sec>
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