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      <title-group>
        <article-title>Measuring Belief in Fake News in Real-Time? Invited Talk - Extended Abstract</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Kevin Aslett</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>William Godel</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">3</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Zeve Sanderson</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Nathaniel Persily</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Jonathan Nagler</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">3</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Richard Bonneau</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Joshua A Tucker</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">3</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Center for Genomics and Systems Biology, New York University</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>New York NY 10003</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="US">USA</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>Center for Social Media and Politics, New York University</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>New York NY 10011</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="US">USA</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2">
          <label>2</label>
          <institution>Stanford Law School, Stanford University</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Stanford CA 94305</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="US">USA</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff3">
          <label>3</label>
          <institution>Wilf Family Department of Politics, New York University</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>New York NY 10012</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="US">USA</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>Interest in the spread of fake news and misinformation online has increased dramatically since the 2016 US presidential election, and the relevance of misinformation to politics has only grown during the Covid-19 pandemic. However, we know little about levels of belief in fake news encountered shortly after publication, as well as what types of people are more likely to believe fake news. To address this gap in the literature, we elded two studies in which we repeatedly asked representative samples of Americans to evaluate popular articles from non-credible and credible sources within 24-48 hours of their publication. We nd that, on average, false or misleading articles are rated as true 33.2% of the time; moreover, approximately 90% of individuals coded at least one false or misleading article as true when given a set of four false or misleading articles. While most demographic characteristics co-vary only slightly with the likelihood of correctly identifying fake news stories, we nd a very strong relationship for ideological-congruence: both conservatives and liberals are much more likely to believe false/misleading information if it re ects their ideological perspectives than if it does not, and this e ect is stronger than previously measured in other studies. We also nd that older respondents are less likely to believe false/misleading information relative to younger respondents. This adds important context to the existing ndings that older Americans are more likely to share fake news on Facebook [4], suggesting that sharing behavior may be divorced from actual belief. Finally, using two di erent experiments, we tested whether a common prescription for lowering belief in fake news, encouraging news consumers to search for information about a fake news article, actually reduces belief in fake news. Paradoxically, we nd that encouraging respondents to search for information to inform one's evaluation of an article's veracity increases the likelihood that an individual believes that fake news article. Evidence from real-time Google</p>
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      <title>-</title>
      <p>searches suggests that this pattern is driven by the existence of similar
information elsewhere on the internet, even when the quality of that \supporting"
information is also low. In our two experiments, we nd that encouraging
respondents to search for information only increases belief in false/misleading stories
when Google search engines return information from low-quality sources that
corroborate claims made in that fake news article.</p>
      <p>When running a second study using the same survey instrument, but strictly
limiting our articles to those about Covid-19, we nd that slightly more
respondents believed popular fake news about Covid-19 than general fake news articles.
We also nd that the salience of partisan divisions remains. Both the strong
effect of ideological congruence and age identi ed in our rst study hold when we
focus our analysis strictly on fake news articles about Covid-19. Similarly, we
again nd that encouraging respondents to search for information about fake
news articles Covid-19 also increases their belief in this information. This
indicates that attempts by Google during the Covid-19 pandemic to remove or
mitigate data voids may not have been as successful as we might have hoped.</p>
      <p>
        These studies show that belief in online fake news is higher than previously
identi ed [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1 ref2 ref3 ref5 ref6 ref7">3, 6, 2, 7, 5, 1</xref>
        ] and suggests that e orts to encourage people to search
for corroborating information may be exacerbating this problem.
      </p>
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