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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Using Machine Learning to Predict Bone Mineral Density from Dual-energy X-ray Absorptiometry Images of the Lumbar Spine</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Nikola Kirilov</string-name>
          <email>kirilov_9@abv.bg</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Elena Kirilova</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Evgeniy Krastev</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Faculty of Mathematics and Informatics, University of Sofia St. Kliment Ohridsky</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>5 James Bourchier Blvd., 1164 Sofia</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="BG">Bulgaria</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>Medical Faculty, Medical University of Pleven</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>5800</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="BG">Bulgaria</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2">
          <label>2</label>
          <institution>Medical Faculty, University Prof Dr Assen Zlatarov</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>1 Prof Yakimov Blvd., 8010 Burgas</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="BG">Bulgaria</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <fpage>220</fpage>
      <lpage>226</lpage>
      <abstract>
        <p>Machine learning is widely used nowadays in many fields of science. Of particular interest is its application in the image processing for image classification and prediction. Image data is extensively used and generated in medicine and healthcare, especially by radiological and medical imaging examinations. Bone mineral density (BMD) is a value, which is acquired through dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry scans (DEXA) of the lumbar spine using low energy x-ray beams. The objective of this paper is to create a convolutional neuronal network model using popular open-source machine learning frameworks like TensorFlow in Python to predict BMD values from DEXA images of the lumbar spine. The machine learning neuronal network is trained with a large set of image data and tested with a testing split, assessing its accuracy through mean absolute error and the standard deviation of absolute error. Furthermore, the predicted values are correlated to the actual ones in order to examine the predictive accuracy of the model.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>Machine Learning</kwd>
        <kwd>Convolutional Neuronal Network</kwd>
        <kwd>Image Processing</kwd>
        <kwd>Dual-Energy X-Ray Absorptiometry</kwd>
        <kwd>Bone Mineral Density</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>Introduction</title>
      <p>
        Nowadays machine learning has been used in large variety of scientific fields.
With the advancement of computer power it becomes even more incorporated
into everyday life. One of the most interesting areas, which have a potential
to take advantage of this new technology, are medicine and healthcare. The
brightest examples of such an application are the automated interpretation of
electrocardiograms, disease identification and diagnosis, personalized treatment,
drug discovery etc. [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        Probably, one of the most astonishing use of machine learning is in the
Radiology and Medical imaging. This problem could be compared with the plain
application of machine learning in the image processing, given the fact how much
image data is being generated everyday worldwide [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ]. The main tasks of the
computer are to classify images into groups or to be able to predict continuous
values after analyzing an image. This is accomplished with artificial neuronal
networks (ANN) and most frequently convolutional neural network (CNN). CNN is
a class of deep neural networks used to analyze image data, which are multilayer
and fully connected. Each neuron is connected to all neurons in the next layer, a
fact that makes them susceptible to over-fitting data. CNN’s are a crucial part of
the sub-field of machine learning called deep learning [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ]. The neuronal networks
are included in a model with several layers. The last one are then trained with a
training dataset and tested using a testing dataset to inspect its predictive
accuracy. There are many open-source frameworks available for the implantation of
such models including Keras and TensorFlow [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        In Radiology, deep learning supplies the research and diagnostic process
with state-of-the-art detection, segmentation, classification, and prediction
facilitating the work of physicians and scientists [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5 ref6">5, 6</xref>
        ]. Radiology and Medical
imaging includes broad spectrum of methods: x-ray, computed tomography, magnetic
resonance tomography, ultrasound etc. One of the subjects of this clinical
specialty is the measurement of the bone density, quality and fracture risk [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">7</xref>
        ]. There
are several approaches for the accomplishment of this assessment, namely,
dualenergy x-ray absorptiometry (DEXA), quantitative computed tomography and
ultrasound [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10 ref8 ref9">8, 9, 10</xref>
        ]. The “gold-standard” for bone density measurement is the
DEXA, which uses a low dose beam to acquire images of the lumbar spine and
to compute the bone mineral density (BMD) values [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11 ref12 ref13">11, 12, 13</xref>
        ]. Previous authors
have studied if BMD could be predicted from CT images using deep learning and
CNN, acquiring promising results [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14">14</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>In this paper, we are going to demonstrate the use of machine learning to
predict the BMD values from DEXA images of the lumbar spine. The purpose
of Section 2 is to provide the materials and methods used to create CNNs, which
we train and consequently test using a significantly large dataset. In Section 3,
we study the results and performance of the CNN in predicting the BMD values,
which shows a strong correlation to the actual values.
2</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>Materials and methods</title>
      <p>In our study, we used 4,894 images of the lumbar spine acquired from a DEXA
densitometer. These images were used to train a CNN to predict the BMD value
of a scan image. CNN is a type of neural networks commonly used for analyzing
image data, which has many advantages over other network types. TensorFlow
is a free and open-source Python library, which could easily implement CNNs
and in combination with another Python’s libraries like Open Source Computer
Vision Library (OpenCV) could be used for the purpose of our study.</p>
      <p>The image data was converted to the PNG format with resolution 800x800
pixels, which were subsequently resized to 256 x 256 pixels before being fed to
the model (see Fig.1).</p>
      <p>Each image’s actual measured BMD was recorded in a CSV file. The
image paths and their corresponding BMD values were put in two lists in Python.
The paths list has been looped. Next, images have been loaded and resized with
OpenCV. The chosen resolution of 256 x 256 pixels for the training data was
found as optimal due to reduced predictive accuracy using lower resolution and
extreme process time using resolutions higher than 256 pixels. The data used for
training was 75% and the remaining 25% of the data was used for testing the
model. Partitioning the data into training and testing splits was done using the
Scikit-learn library.</p>
      <p>The input data was a multi-dimensional array with size 4894 x 256 x 256 x
3 (image count, height, width, input channels), which is a cornerstone in machine
learning called a tensor. The CNN consisted of three layers with filter numbers
respectively (32, 64, 128) suited to the image resolution. The first layer learned 32
filters, the second 64 and the last 128, increasing while approaching the output.
The use of more filters did not show any benefit, but increased processing time.
The tensor was passed through each convolutional layer of our CNN in order
to abstract the image to a feature map, convoluting it with a (5, 5) kernels. The
kernel size was chosen according to the input resolution of the image. Rectified
Linear Unit (ReLu) was used as an activation function (see Fig.2).</p>
      <p>A regression was performed with mean absolute error (MAE) as a loss
function. To optimize the training process of the CNN we used Adam’s optimization
algorithm instead of the classical stochastic gradient descent procedure, which
improved the training speed greatly. The model’s prediction accuracy was then
assessed by the MAE and the standard deviation of absolute error (STD of AE) of
the testing set. Additionally the predicted values were correlated with the actual
values and Pearson’s correlation coefficient was calculated.
3</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Results</title>
      <p>From all the 4,894 images 3,670 of them were used to train the model in 15
epochs. The training loss and validation loss percentages decreased significantly
after the first 3 epochs and kept doing so until the 10th epoch where some
overfitting started to appear (see Fig.3). After then the training loss kept declining
while validation loss showed abrupt increase. As a result, no further iterations
were carried out. In the final epoch, the model calculated loss of 9.5 % and
validation loss of 6.75 %.</p>
      <p>The testing was done using the remaining 1,224 of total 4,894 images. It
yielded MAE of 8.19 % and STD of AE 6.75%, meaning that the network had
a maximum deviation of 6.75 % off the actual BMD values. All 1,224 predicted
values were correlated to the actual BMD values. A Pearson’s correlation
coefficient was calculated to assess their relationship (see Table 1). There was a
positive correlation between the two variables, r = 0.818, n = 1,224, p = 0.000, which
could be considered a strong positive correlation as seen on Fig. 4.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Conclusion</title>
      <p>Machine learning is a powerful technique, which finds application in many
fields of science, including medicine and medical image analysis. Open-source
frameworks like TensorFlow make algorithms available and easy to use. Our study
showed that CNNs could be trained to predict BMD values from DEXA images
of the lumbar spine showing good accuracy and great potential. The results were
strong correlated to the actual data, which supported the statement furthermore.
5</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Acknowledgment</title>
      <p>This research is supported by the National Scientific Program еHealth in Bulgaria.</p>
    </sec>
  </body>
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