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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Models As or For Knowledge Bases</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Simon Razniewski</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Andrew Yates</string-name>
          <email>ayates@mpi-inf.mpg.de</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Nora Kassner</string-name>
          <email>kassner@cis.lmu.de</email>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Gerhard Weikum</string-name>
          <email>weikum@mpi-inf.mpg.de</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Max Planck Institute for Informatics</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>Pre-trained language models (LMs) have recently gained attention for their potential as an alternative to (or proxy for) explicit knowledge bases (KBs). In this position paper, we examine this hypothesis, identify strengths and limitations of both LMs and KBs, and discuss the complementary nature of the two paradigms. In particular, we ofer qualitative arguments that latent LMs are not suitable as a substitute for explicit KBs, but could play a major role for augmenting and curating KBs.</p>
      </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <p>
        [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14">14</xref>
        ] or questioned their quantitative performance [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">15</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>This paper discusses the potential of LMs as KBs and its “softer” variation of LMs for KBs.</p>
      <p>Construction
Schema
Maintenance
- adding facts
- correcting/deleting
Knows what it knows
Entity disambiguation
Provenance
Self/Unsupervised
Open-ended
Dificult, unpredictable side efects
Dificult
No, assigns probability to everything
No/limited
No</p>
      <p>Structured KB
Manual or semi-automatic
Typically fixed
Easy
Easy
Yes, content enumerable
Common
Common</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>2. Background</title>
      <p>
        LM-as-KB refers to eforts to use an LM as a source of world knowledge, as proposed by
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        ]. The knowledge representation is inherently latent, given by the entirety of the neural
network’s parameter values (in the billions). LMs in general have greatly advanced tasks like
text classification, machine translation, information retrieval, and question answering (see, e.g.,
survey [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16">16</xref>
        ]).
      </p>
      <p>
        KBs, on the other hand, have been steadily advanced since the mid 2000s (with early works
like DBpedia, Freebase and Yago) [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">17</xref>
        ]. They represent knowledge in the form of
subjectpredicate-object (SPO) triples along with qualifiers for non-binary statements. KBs have become
key assets in major industry applications [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18 ref19">18, 19</xref>
        ], including search engines. A major issue for
ongoing KB research is quality assurance as the KB is grown and maintained. This includes
human-in-the-loop approaches throughout the KB life-cycle [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20 ref21">20, 21, 22</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        All LM-as-KB examples that follow are based on the GPT-3 daVinci model [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ], one of the
largest pre-trained LMs as of October 2021.
3. LM-as-KB
      </p>
      <sec id="sec-2-1">
        <title>3.1. Intrinsic Considerations</title>
        <p>The following are principal diferences between LMs-as-KBs and structured KBs.
Predictions vs. lookups: While content of structured KBs can be explicitly looked up, LMs
have a latent representation and output probabilities at probing time. This has the advantage of
not requiring any schema design upfront. However, it implies that it is not possible to enumerate
the knowledge stored in an LM, nor can we look up whether a certain fact is contained or not.
For predictions with very high confidence scores, this is still viable. However, even top-ranked
predictions often have low scores and near-ties. Properly calibrating scores and thresholding is
a black art.</p>
        <p>Example: GPT-3 does not have tangible knowledge that Alan Turing was born in London; it
merely assigns this a high confidence of 83%. Yann LeCun, on the other hand, is given medium
confidence in being a citizen of France and Canada (67% and 26%), but he actually has French and
USA citizenship, not Canadian. The LM assigns USA a very low score. The Wikidata KB, on the
other hand, only states his French citizenship, not USA. Wikidata is incomplete, but it does not
contain any errors.</p>
        <p>
          Statistical correlations vs. explicit knowledge: Errors made by LMs-as-KBs are not random,
but exhibit systematic biases [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">23, 15</xref>
          ] due to frequent values and co-occurrences (including
indirect co-occurrences captured latently).
        </p>
        <p>Example: When prompting GPT-3 for awards won by Alan Turing, its top-confidence prediction
is the Turing Award, and lower-ranked outputs include “Nobel Prize” and “the war” (none of them
correct).</p>
        <p>Awareness of limits: In KBs, absence of facts is explicit and easy to assert. Wikidata even
supports a way of stating non-existence (no-value statements) to impose a local-closed-world
view while following a general open-world assumption [24]. LM’s latent representations
inherently lack awareness of cases where no object exist, and so they easily produce non-zero
or even high scores for incorrect assertions.</p>
        <p>Example: Alan Turing was homosexual and never married. When prompting GPT-3 with the
phrase “Alan Turing married”, the top prediction is “Sara Lavington” with score 21%, and for the
prompt “Alan Turing and his wife” it is “Sara Turing” (his mother’s name). This is a case of LM
hallucination [25, 26]. In contrast, Wikidata has an explicit statement ⟨ Alan Turing, spouse, no
value ⟩ denoting that he was unmarried.</p>
        <p>Coverage: The scope of KBs is usually limited by the fixed set of predicates specified in the
KB schema. These can be hundreds (or even a few thousands) of interesting relations, but will
hardly ever be complete. In particular, “non-standard relations”, such as worked with colleague,
song is about person (or event), movie based on person’s biography, are missing in all of the major
KBs. LMs, on the other hand, latently tap into the full text of Wikipedia, books, news, and more,
and are thus able to capture some of these predicates.</p>
        <p>Example: Creatively prompting GPT-3 can yield impressive nuggets of knowledge: the input
phrases “Turing’s colleague” and “Turing worked with” result in outputs like John Womersley, Hugh
Alexander, Gordon Welchman (all correct). Likewise, the prompt “The Imitation Game film is about
the life of” is completed with the high-confidence output Alan Turing. These anecdotes indicate the
great power of LMs to go beyond the current scope and coverage of explicit KBs.
Curatability: In structured KBs, a knowledge curator can correct, add or remove assertions. For
LMs, this is an open challenge, as these operations require major (non-monotonic) re-training,
or the addition of explicit exceptions, which means reverting to a KB [27, 28].</p>
        <p>Example: For the prompt “Alan Turing died in the town of”, GPT-3 returns the top prediction
“Warrington”, which is wrong (he died in Wilmslow). The LM does not provide any hint on how to
ifx this (e.g., by changing the training corpus or parameters), and a knowledge curator has no way
to tackle such errors.</p>
        <p>Provenance: LMs have no ability to trace their outputs back to specific source documents
(and passages) in the training data. KBs, on the other hand, consider reference sources as an
indispensable pillar of scrutable veracity. Provenance is crucial for giving explanations to users,
including knowledge engineers who maintain the KB and end-users in downstream applications.
Also, without provenance, LMs have no way of pinpointing an incorrect prediction’s root cause
and correcting the underlying corpus (e.g., removing misleading documents).</p>
        <p>Example: Reconsider the previous example of predicting “Warrington” as Turing’s death place.
The LM itself does not give any cue where this comes from. A diligent and smart Google user could
detect a possible origin, namely, news and other reports about a memorial plaque at 2 Warrington
Crescent in Maida Vale, London, which is near Turing’s birth place. However, the knowledge
engineer cannot be certain that this is indeed the culprit.</p>
        <p>Correctly predicted facts need explanations, too. For example, the assertion that Turing was engaged
with Joan Clarke may appear puzzling given his homosexuality. Pointing to explicit provenance is
crucial evidence.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-2">
        <title>3.2. Pragmatic Considerations</title>
        <p>
          Entity disambiguation: Although LMs are lauded for their ability to disambiguate words
based on context, this happens latently, and there is no easy way to explicitly build this into
probing procedures [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6 ref9">9, 6</xref>
          ]. Consequently, LMs mix up facts from distinct entities that share
surface forms. Although structured KBs cannot perform disambiguation on their own either,
they can correctly separate assertions.
        </p>
        <p>Example: GPT-3 completes “Turing was a famous” with “mathematician”, “computer”, “code”
etc., stemming from very diferent entities (including the Turing Machine).</p>
        <p>Numbers and singletons: LMs are good at latently capturing knowledge about predicates
with few possible object values, such as nationality or language-spoken. However, when the
object values are rarely occurring values or even singletons (i.e., occurring only with a single
subject), the latent representation is bound to produce errors, and explicit KB storage is superior.
The same applies to many cases of numeric values, where the value distribution exhibits high
entropy.</p>
        <p>Example: For the input “The Turing Institute’s address in London is”, GPT-3 returns “Dilly’s Den”
or “the street called Dilly’s Den” (possibly derived from the famous Piccadilly Circus; the correct
value is British Library, 96 Euston Road, London NW1 2DB). Rephrasing the prompt does not lead
to success either.</p>
        <p>Subjects with zero or many objects: An important case where the brittleness of LM
predictions becomes a significant problem is when a subject entity has no object value for a given
predicate or has many distinct true values. The zero-value case often leads to the pitfall that the
LM must predict some value. In the many-values case, we could go deep in the ranking of the
LM output, but this would usually result in a wild mix of valid and spurious objects, and there
is no guideline for how deep we should go into the ranking.</p>
        <p>Example: To obtain a list of Turing Award winners, we could prompt GPT-3 with the phrase “the
Turing Award was won by” and receive various predictions like “Stuart Shieber”, “John Hopcroft”
and “Andrew Yao” (1 false, 2 correct). There are currently 73 winners, all captured in Wikidata. By
probing LMs, we would have to go very deep in the prediction ranking to see all of them, but only
in a confusing mix of true and false positives.</p>
        <p>As for zero-objects, the prompt for “the first woman on the moon was” returns Sally Ride, Eileen
Collins and others. These are astronauts, but unfortunately, none of them ever landed on the moon.
The ground-truth for this example is empty.</p>
        <p>
          We summarize the main diferences in Table 2.
4. LM-for-KB
Our view of how to harness the great potential of LMs is to leverage them for KB curation:
maintaining high quality as the KB grows throughout its life-cycle. This is a major pain point in
KB practice [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20 ref21">20, 21, 22</xref>
          ]. For example, when adding new entities, one needs to ensure that they
are not duplicates (with slightly diferent alias names) of existing entities. Likewise, keeping
the type system (aka ontology) clean while gradually extending it and ensuring the correctness
of new facts are never-ending challenges.
        </p>
        <p>The envisioned role of LMs is to scrutinize SPO assertions considered for augmenting the KB.
For example, a new fact such as ⟨ Leonardo da Vinci, has won, Turing Award ⟩ could be
“doublechecked” by prompting the LM as to whether it yields high-confidence predictions for this
candidate assertion. This is akin to the way knowledge graph embeddings [29] have been
considered for KB completion. However, the key diference is that KG embeddings draw from
the KG itself, and thus do not provide complementary evidence. LMs, on the other hand,
bring in a new and largely independent perspective, by tapping into text corpora (including
Wikipedia, but also news, books etc.). If the LM does not yield suficiently confident support for
the candidate fact, it should be refuted.</p>
        <p>The converse direction, using LMs to predict assertions and thus generate candidates for new
facts, is conceivable too. However, this needs major research to advance prediction accuracy.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>5. Conclusion</title>
      <p>
        In this paper we discussed the strengths and limitations of LMs as KBs in comparison to
structured KBs. We believe that LMs cannot broadly replace KBs as explicit repositories of
structured knowledge. While the probabilistic nature of LM-based predictions is suitable
for task-specific end-to-end learning, the inherent uncertainty of outputs does not meet the
quality standards of KBs. LMs cannot separate facts from correlations, and this entails major
impediments for KB maintenance. We advocate, on the other hand, that LMs can be valuable
assets for KB curation, by providing a “second opinion” on new fact candidates or, in the absence
of corroborated evidence, signal that the candidate should be refuted. Other ways of combining
the strengths of latent knowledge (LMs) and structured knowledge (KBs) could be promising as
well, such as “KB-for-LM” approaches that allow a LM to look up facts from an external memory
(e.g., [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">12, 30, 31, 32</xref>
        ]) and thus have the potential to combine the strengths of both approaches.
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