=Paper= {{Paper |id=Vol-3049/paper16 |storemode=property |title=Exploring ICT Expenditures and Their Relationship with e-Maturity. The Case of Italian Local Governments |pdfUrl=https://ceur-ws.org/Vol-3049/Paper16.pdf |volume=Vol-3049 |authors=Luca Tangi,Marco Gaeta,Michele Benedetti,Giuliano Noci |dblpUrl=https://dblp.org/rec/conf/egov/TangiGBN21 }} ==Exploring ICT Expenditures and Their Relationship with e-Maturity. The Case of Italian Local Governments== https://ceur-ws.org/Vol-3049/Paper16.pdf
Exploring ICT Expenditures and Their Relationship
with e-Maturity. The Case of Italian Local
Governments

Luca Tangi*, Marco Gaeta**, Michele Benedetti***, Giuliano
Noci****
*Joint Research Centre, European Commission. Via E. Fermi, 2749, 21027 Ispra VA, (Italy),
luca.tangi@ec.europa.eu.
**EasyGov solutions s.r.l, Via Comina, 39 – 20831 Seregno (MB) Italy, marco.gaeta@easygov.it
***Politecnico di Milano, Department of Management, Economics and Industrial Engineering, via
Lambruschini 4b building BL26b 20156 Milan, Italy, michele.benedetti@polimi.it
****Politecnico di Milano, Department of Management, Economics and Industrial Engineering, via
Lambruschini 4b building BL26b 20156 Milan, Italy, giuliano.noci@polimi.it


Abstract: The article undertakes a quantitative approach to investigate the relationship between
ICT expenditures and e-maturity in local governments. We rely on data belonging to a unique
database on 7106 Italian local governments. We propose a way of assessing e-maturity on a large
scale, and we test the relation between e-maturity and ICT expenditures. Results partially
confirm the existence of a statistically significant relationship between the two factors. In
particular, we observe different patterns depending on the size of the organisation. For small
local governments, e-maturity is related with ICT expenditures, meaning that the how (the
decision on money allocation) is more important than the how many (the total amount of money
spent). On the contrary, for medium and large municipalities, this relation exists, hence a higher
e-maturity level is associated with higher ICT expenditures.

Keywords: e-government, e-maturity, ICT, expenditures, local government


1. Introduction
Online service provision, digital transformation, and the need for tailored investments in
Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) in public administration have gained
momentum in recent decades. In particular, since early 2000, scholars start looking at the best way
for defining digital maturity (hereinafter e-maturity), defined as the extent to which a public
organization is using digital technologies and online channels in order to manage and deliver its
public services (Andersen et al., 2020). After more than two decades of research, scholars are still
debating on e-maturity. Moreover, in the current body of literature, often scholars focus on
theoretical models (Andersen et al., 2020) or specific case studies, leaving a gap of quantitative
studies (Budding et al., 2018 & Tangi and Soncin, 2021). Finally, in looking at e-maturity and its



Copyright ©2021 for this paper by its authors. Use permitted under Creative Commons License Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0).
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determinants, scholars rarely take into consideration its relation with ICT expenditures (Ashaye and
Irani, 2019). The latter is becoming an extremely up-to-date topic due to COVID-19: governments
are called to manage a huge amount of resources (the NextGenerationEU) to rebuild a post-COVID-
19 Europe, also fostering the digitization of the public sector.

   Our research aims at answering the following research question: are ICT expenditures positively
related to e-maturity in local governments? In the concept of ICT expenditures, we include the entire
amount of money spent in ICT in a year. The answer to this research question is investigated thanks
to an original database on Italian local governments (or municipalities, the two terms are used as
synonyms) that collects data from 7106 municipalities regarding the adoption of digital services. In
order to answer to the question, we also introduce a novel quantitative measure of e-maturity based
on the level of adoption of digital services.


2. Literature Review
The first model that traces the path of the research concerning e-maturity was proposed by Layne
and Lee (2001). From that time on, several different models were identified (Andersen et al., 2020).
All those models are conceived as stepwise subsequent stages. Recently several criticisms has been
made on the existing e-maturity models (Andersen et al., 2020). The main criticism is related to the
existence of an optimal e-maturity level, that all public organizations are called to reach, and that is
independent from the context a public organization is embedded in (Andersen et al., 2020 & Tangi
and Soncin, 2021). Moreover, the majority of the models are administration-centered, thus they look
at the presence and the quality of the digital service. This perspective is restrictive because it does
not take into account the effective usage of the service by the final users (Andersen et al., 2020 &
Tangi, Benedetti et al., 2021).

   Previous research led to different and sometimes opposing results in understanding which
factors influence e-maturity. Those factors can be divided into socio-economic factors (for example
income per capita), environmental factors (for example population), and organizational factors (for
example political motivation) (Budding et al., 2018 & Tangi, Janssen et al., 2020). Despite the
controversial results obtained by previous research, the population is the only influencing factor for
which scholars came to an agreement (Budding et al., 2018). Moreover, the relation between e-
maturity and ICT expenditures was never tested on a large scale, even though scholars often argued
that the implementation of digital services initiatives requires a strong effort in terms of needed
investments (Dahiya and Mathew, 2018). On the opposite, the topic is broadly discussed in the
private sector literature (see for example Aral and Weill, 2007).

   Given these premises, the main contribution of this paper is the test of the following hypothesis:

   Hp: ICT expenditures by local governments is positively associated with e-maturity.

   We focus on local governments because they are in charge of the delivery of the majority of public
services. Thus, they are the optimal sample for assessing e-maturity.
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3. Methodology

3.1 Data
The database used for this study is an official, public database that is the results of a survey delivered
by the Italian Supreme Audit Institution (‘Corte dei Conti’) to all Italian public organizations, and
represents an official, complete and reliable data source. Data are self-declared by the organizations.
The survey compilation was compulsory and remained active for almost one year until 30th October
2019. The survey is divided into thirteen sections. We consider a subset of two sections, related to
digital services supply and ICT expenditures.

   The first section addresses the topic of digital services supply. The survey considers a sample of
23 services overall. For our study, we select a sub-sample because not all the services were delivered
by all the Italian local governments (for example if a local government does not have a school, it
does not provide any school-related service). We select the following 10 services: (i) Registry
certificate, (ii) Change of residence, (iii) Electoral card, (iv) Disability placard, (v) Building
authorization, (vi) Land registry, (vii) Contraventions, (viii) Garbage fee, (ix) Land occupation fee,
and (x) Properties fee. For each service, local governments declared whether they were delivering it
through the digital channel and the percentage of requests that were issued online out of the total
number of requests received by the organization in one year. Hereinafter the latter percentage value
is labelled as “penetration”. In the second section, local governments had to declare their
expenditures in ICT in the time frame ranging from 2016 and 2018. Overall, 7.153 local governments
have answered to the survey, and, after data cleaning, 7.106 answers, which consists of almost 90%
of the total Italian local governments, represent the sample of the analysis. The size of the sample
ensures representativeness.


3.2 Data Cleaning and Analysis
E-maturity is assessed based on the declared penetration. First, for each service, we calculate the
descriptive statistics: mean, standard deviation, first and third quartiles. In doing that, we deleted
47 anomalous responses. Second, for each observation, we substitute penetration with a replacing
value, as reported in Table 1. This substitution allows to look at penetration in relative terms, thus
taking into consideration the overall distribution of the indicator for each service. Third, for each
municipality, we calculate the e-maturity score. The score is the arithmetical sum of the replacing
values. For the municipalities that do not provide any digital service, the e-maturity score is equal
to 0.


Table 1: Assignment of replacing values according to penetration values

                       Penetration ≥         Penetration <         Replacing Value

                       0%                    1%                    0

                       1%                    Q1                    0,1

                       Q1                    Mean                  0,3
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                        Penetration ≥         Penetration <     Replacing Value

                        Mean                  Q3                0,6

                        Q3                    100 %             1

  Finally, we segment the sample into five different clusters according to the e-maturity score and
we label the clusters accordingly (Table 2).


Table 2: Definition of maturity clusters

                Cluster      Replacing value ≥     Replacing value <   Label

                    1                                 0%               No Digitals

                    2          0%                     Q1               Beginners

                    3          Q1                     Mean             Moderates

                    4          Mean                   Q3               Believers

                    5          Q3                                      Champions

    As the second and more important step, we look at ICT expenditures. We consider the average
of the three years of expenditures declared (2016-2018) and we calculate the expenditures per capita
by dividing for the population. In this phase, we perform a data check that results in the elimination
of 804 answers due to data unavailability.

   Finally, for testing the hypothesis, we perform linear regression analyses. First, we divide the
sample into 7 categories considering the population. In fact, there is a significant difference between
small and big municipalities, thus it was not possible to include all the items in the same regression
analysis. Second, for each category, we perform a linear regression analysis between the three-year
average ICT expenditures per capita and the identified clusters. The only exception is the cluster
that includes municipalities with more than 250k inhabitants.


4. Results
Table 3 summarizes the results given by the separation into clusters. First, we notice that the biggest
class is represented by the No Digitals, that account for almost 42% of the Italian municipalities.
Only a few municipalities (13%) reach a high e-maturity level. Second, the level of e-maturity is
strictly related to the size of a municipality. Small municipalities have more difficulties in reaching
a high e-maturity level.


Table 3: Composition of the clusters

      Population (inhabitants)      No Digitals Beginners     Moderates    Believers     Champions

 From 1 to 1999                        1434           845        189           288          319
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 From 2000 to 4999                                                      718             554              145                195         215

 From 5000 to 9999                                                      370             319              81                 144         145

 From 10000 to 19999                                                    171             214              65                 90          112

 From 20000 to 59999                                                    78              120              38                 64          94

 From 60000 to 249999                                                   13              19               11                 12          32

 Sum of observations                                                    2784            2071             529                799         923

   The distribution of ICT expenditures per capita varies according to the size. The smallest
municipalities (below 2.000 inhabitants) are the most expensive ones, characterized by a U-shape
that starts from 19,40€/person for the No Digitals, has the minimum in correspondence with the
Moderates cluster (18,05€/person) and finally raises until 20,60€/person for the Champions cluster.
Similarly, the biggest municipalities (more than 250k inhabitants) also have remarkably high
expenditures in ICT per capita (13,47€/person in the Believers cluster and 18,75€/person in the
Champions one). All the other municipalities in the range of population between 2k and 250k
inhabitants interact with growing clusters of maturity differently, as specifically disclosed in Figure
1. Municipalities with a higher e-maturity level, have higher ICT expenditures.


Figure 1: Focus of ICT expenditures per capita for population in range 2k – 250k inhabitants

                                    €9.00
      ICT EXPENDITURES PER CAPITA




                                    €8.00



                                    €7.00



                                    €6.00



                                    €5.00



                                    €4.00
                                            NO DIGITALS            BEGINNERS    MODERATES             BELIEVERS         CHAMPIONS


                                               From 2000 to 4999               From 5000 to 9999                  From 10000 to 19999
                                               From 20000 to 59999             From 60000 to 249999



  The linear regression (Table 4) confirms the results disclosed in Figure 1. The results confirm what
emerged from the first analysis and add statistical significance to previous considerations. Each
model of Table 4 corresponds to a subset related to the corresponding range of population.
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Table 4: Regression summaries per population subset.

                                                                 From          From           From
                      From 0 to    From 2000 From 5000                                                     From
      Model                                                     10000 to      20000 to      60000 to
                        1999        to 4999   to 9999                                                     250000
                                                                 19999         59999         249999
      Beginners         -0.367        0.285       0.689**        0.474        1.565***       0.455
                       (0.877)       (0.331)      (0.342)       (0.356)       (0.546)       (1.594)
      Moderates         -1.343        -0.050       0.333        1.188**       2.013***       1.917
                       (1.571)       (0.526)      (0.561)       (0.496)       (0.720)       (1.810)




                                                                                                            Not tested
      Believers         -0.595        -0.115       0.475        1.568***      1.984***       3.135*
                       (1.287)       (0.465)      (0.437)       (0.446)       (0.626)       (1.726)
      Champions          1.208        -0.215       0.438        1.431***      2.184***      3.685**
                       (1.250)       (0.448)      (0.445)       (0.417)       (0.570)       (1.437)
      Constant        19.396***      8.427***     6.941***      6.121***      4.657***      4.871***
                       (0.543)       (0.219)      (0.235)       (0.268)       (0.441)       (1.220)
      Obs.               2649          1678         982           572           327            82
      R2                 0.001         0.001       0.004         0.034         0.050         0.121
      Df                 2664          1673         977           567           322            77
      Res. Sd. Err.    18.816          5.578       4.323         3.208         3.268         4.228
      F Stat.            0.605         0.401       1.060        5.033***      4.265***      2.651**
      Signif. codes: ‘***’ 0.01; ‘**’ 0.05; ‘*’ 0.1
      Note: The “No Digitals” do not appear in the table, as it is the referring cluster in the models.


   For municipalities belonging to the first model (population lower than 2k inhabitants), the ICT
expenditures do not depend on maturity level, since associated coefficients result to be not
statistically significant. The same considerations can be applied to the second model (population
between 2k and 5k inhabitants), which differs from the previous one only in terms of scale of ICT
per capita, which are significantly lower than the first subset. Municipalities tested in the third model
(population between 5k and 10k inhabitants) start to behave differently. In particulars, the beginners
(thus municipalities with low e-maturity level), have significantly higher ICT expenditures. The
fourth model (population between 10k and 20k inhabitants) depicts a slightly different scenario. In
particular, it has almost all the coefficients statistically significant (except the one associated with
beginners) and remarkably different. Thus, higher e-maturity levels correspond to higher ICT
expenditures. The fifth model (population between 20k and 60k inhabitants) and the sixth model
(population between 60k and 250k inhabitants) report the same trend, that is statistically significant
for all the e-maturity clusters. The seventh model (population higher than 250k inhabitants) is not
tested because it includes only twelve municipalities that belong to the highest e-maturity clusters
(clusters 3 and 4), hence there are too few observations for regression analysis.


5. Discussion and Conclusion
Despite the linearity and simplicity of the research question, results show a complex and fragmented
picture. Three insights are here further discussed: (i) local governments’ e-maturity; (ii) local
governments’ ICT expenditures and, most notably, (iii) the presence of a relation between the two.

   First, results confirm that e-maturity is extremely context-specific [1]. Several environmental
factors can influence the e-maturity level of local governments, in particular the dimension of the
municipality. Consequently, policymakers should reflect on how to implement a structural change
of course, that is even more urgent nowadays that the COVID-19 crisis is impeding (or at least
discouraging) people to physically go to the counter.
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   Second, per capita ICT expenditures assume a U-shaped trend: extremely small and large
municipalities have the highest expenditures. We can hypothesize that structural ICT expenditures
inefficiencies are embedded in those municipalities that are too small (less than 2k inhabitants) to
reach enough economies of scale. Thus, policymakers should reflect on how to support those
municipalities in diminishing their expenditures pro capita. For example, inter-municipal
collaboration (Ferro and Sorrentino, 2010) or shared services forms (Paagman and Furtmueller, 2013)
can be incentivized for creating economies of scale. On the opposite, for municipalities with more
than 250k inhabitants, the complexity of the organization (Tangi, Janssen et al., 2020) is probably the
reason behind higher expenditures.

   Finally, and most notably, the paper offers novel quantitative insights on the relation between e-
maturity and ICT expenditures. We observe that the relation between e-maturity and ICT
expenditures varies depending on the size of the municipality. For small municipalities, higher ICT
expenditures do not automatically correspond to higher e-maturity. Thus, policymakers should be
aware that the sole release of funds to those municipalities is not the proper solution for supporting
their digitization process. Rather e-maturity is more related to how administrators decide to spend
the money at their disposal. Moreover, small municipalities might need support in their digitization
process, for example by upper-tier organizations (such as regional governments). On the opposite,
a positive correlation between ICT expenditures and e-maturity is detected for medium and large
municipalities. For those municipalities, investing more in ICT is tightly linked to a higher e-
maturity level. This confirms and corroborates previous qualitative insights [4]. Moreover, it set the
boundaries of the validity of the relation clarifying that a positive relation between e-maturity and
ICT expenditures is to be expected only for medium and large municipalities. Policymakers should
consider that those municipalities have the capacity to properly use and invest money to grow in
terms of e-maturity.

   Further research shall keep on investigating in the same direction and overcome the existing
limitations. First, even though data were collected by a regulatory authority, they are self-declared
by the local governments, thus this circumstance opens to possible mistakes and misinterpretations.
Second, we limit to a subset of services and a linear way of assessing e-maturity. Further studies
should look also at other types of services and develop more quantitative and detailed models for
assessing e-maturity. Third, more efforts are required to obtain more granular and detailed data on
ICT expenditures, for example dividing between CAPEX and OPEX. Finally, we limit e-maturity
determinants to population and ICT expenditures. We do not include any other factors and, in
particular, any other organizational factors. We are aware that, within an organization, ICT
expenditures are only one of the aspects that can influence e-maturity. Thus, further studies should
identify a proper way for a better understanding of which organizational factors that may determine
e-maturity.


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About the Authors

Luca Tangi
Luca Tangi is a project officer at the Joint Research Centre (JRC) of the European Commission. He earned
a PhD in Management, Economics and Industrial Engineering at the Politecnico di Milano. His doctoral work
focused on understanding how ICTs are affecting public service delivery and transforming the way public
organisations are structured and organised. Since June 2021 he collaborates with the JRC carrying out
research on the introduction of new, cutting-edge technologies and in particular Artificial Intelligence in
public settings.

Marco Gaeta
Marco Gaeta is a researcher in the e-government field at the Department of Management, Economics and
Industrial Engineering of the Politecnico di Milano. Here, after his Master's degree in Management
Engineering, he started working as a researcher, following the focus and the research interests of his master
thesis concerning the digitalization of Italian local governments and innovation in the public sector.
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Michele Benedetti
Michele Benedetti is a research fellow and lecturer at the School of Management of the Politecnico di Milano.
Since 2001 he has carried out research on digital innovation in the public sector. He also gained almost
twenty years of experience in managing complex projects of public sector digital transformation. Since 2009
he has been director of the eGovernment Observatory of the School of Management of the Politecnico di
Milano and since 2017 also of the Digital Agenda Observatory.

Giuliano Noci
Giuliano Noci is full professor of Marketing at Politecnico di Milano. At present, he is also: Vice-Rector for
China at Politecnico di Milano, member of the Board CEO of Polimilano Educational Consulting Ltd – a
company deploying post graduate education and technology transfer projects in China –, member of the
Board of Directors of MIP Graduate School of Business and of the Board of Trustee of TongJi University. His
main research fields cover the following subjects: marketing, eBusiness, and eGovernment.