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    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>The Learner Data Institute-Conceptualization: A Progress Report</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Vasile Rus</string-name>
          <email>vrus@memphis.edu</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Stephen E. Fancsali</string-name>
          <email>sfancsali@caregielearning.com</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Philip Pavlik</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Deepak Venugopal</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Arthur C. Graesser</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Steve Ritter</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Dale Bowman</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>The LDI Team</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Carnegie Learning, Inc</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>The University of Memphis</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>This paper provides a progress report on the first 18 months of Phase 1, the conceptualization phase, of the Learner Data Institute (LDI; www.learnerdatainstitute.org). LDI is currently in Phase 1, the conceptualization phase, to be followed by Phase 2, the institute or convergence phase. The current 2-year conceptualization phase has two major goals: (1) develop, implement, evaluate, and refine a framework for data-intensive science and engineering for the future institute, and (2) use the framework to provide prototype solutions, based on data, data science, and science convergence, to a number of core challenges in learning science and engineering. By targeting a critical mass of key challenges that are at a tipping point, LDI aims to start a chain reaction that will transform the whole learning ecosystem. We will emphasize here the key elements of the LDI science convergence framework that our team developed, implemented, and now is in the process of evaluating and refining. We highlight important outcomes of the convergence framework and related processes, including a 5-year plan for the institute phase and data-intensive prototype solutions to transform the learning ecosystem.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>big data in education</kwd>
        <kwd>science convergence</kwd>
        <kwd>learning engineering</kwd>
        <kwd>adaptive instructional systems</kwd>
        <kwd>intelligent tutoring systems</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. INTRODUCTION</title>
      <p>This paper provides a progress report on the first 18 months of the
two-year conceptualization phase of the Learner Data Institute
(LDI; www.learnerdatainstitute.org). The present work updates
that of Rus et al. (2020), which provided an introduction to LDI and
early activities and outcomes. We emphasize here the
developments of the past 12 months (since the 2020 paper),
focusing on the key elements of the science convergence
framework, its development, implementation, evaluation, and
refinement, and key outcomes such as the 5-year plan of the future
institute and data-intensive prototype solutions to address key
challenges in the learning ecosystem.</p>
      <p>
        The LDI is a “frameworks” project funded by the United States’
National Science Foundation (NSF) under the Data-intensive
Research in Science and Engineering (DIRSE) program to make
the learning ecosystem more effective, efficient, engaging,
equitable, relevant, and affordable. It is part of the NSF’s
Harnessing the Data Revolution1 (HDR) Institutes effort. “HDR
Institutes… enable breakthroughs in science and engineering
through collaborative, co-designed programs to formulate
innovative data-intensive approaches to address critical national
challenges”
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref26">(NSF-HDR, 2021)</xref>
        . LDI focuses on data-intensive
approaches to developing and improving learning environments
that include adaptive instructional systems as a means to address
the challenge of offering access to high-quality education to
everyone—no matter what neighborhood they live in, and
regardless of gender, race, national origin, native language,
personal interests, or any other factor that might limit such access
and educational opportunity.
      </p>
      <p>There is a twofold focus during the current 2-year conceptualization
phase: (1) develop, implement, evaluate, and refine a framework
for data-intensive science and engineering, and (2) use the
framework to provide prototype solutions, based on data, data
science, and science convergence, to a number of core challenges
in learning science and engineering. The institute or convergence
phase would build on results realized and insights gained from this
conceptualization phase. By targeting a critical mass of key
challenges that are at a tipping point (i.e., targeting challenges for
which timely investment in data-intensive approaches has the
maximum potential for a transformative effect), LDI will start a
chain reaction that will transform the whole learning ecosystem,
lifting it to a qualitatively higher state that is more effective,
engaging, equitable, relevant, and affordable. Indeed, since the
learning ecosystem is a complex web of interrelated elements,
improvements in key aspects will percolate throughout the whole
learning ecosystem.</p>
      <p>LDI has brought together a team which currently consists of 60+
researchers, developers, and practitioners from three continents
spanning many disciplines and backgrounds. Team members are</p>
      <sec id="sec-1-1">
        <title>1 https://www.nsf.gov/cise/harnessingdata/</title>
        <p>drawn from institution and organizations representing academia,
government, and industry.</p>
        <p>Together, we intend a rigorous test of the hypothesis that emerging
learning ecologies that incorporate adaptive instructional systems
(AISs) are capable of providing affordable, effective, efficient,
equitable, and engaging individualized assistance for both learners
and instructors, and that the characteristics, parameters, and
impacts of these systems, for example, effectiveness (in terms of
learning gains), can be improved over time given sufficient
attention to evidence, captured as data, and expertise, provided by
teams of interdisciplinary researchers like ours.</p>
        <p>
          The idea that AISs and data science have the potential to radically
transform existing learning ecosystems is based on the following:
(1) evidence suggesting that individualized instruction is generally
more effective than traditional classroom instruction where
monitoring and tailored support to each individual learner is not
possible
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10 ref12 ref48 ref7">(Bloom, 1984; Chi, Roy, &amp; Hausmann, 2008; Cohen,
Kulik, &amp; Kulik, 1982; VanLehn et al., 2007)</xref>
          ; (2) the capability of
modern technologies to collect, store, and access vast and rich
learner data; (3) incentive-based mechanisms to share goods such
as education data using online market places
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref27 ref28">(Hartline, 2012;
Hartline et al., 2019)</xref>
          and secure and privacy preserving ways to
access and process data based on differential privacy and
multiparty computation
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16 ref52">(Dwork, 2008; Wang, Ranellucci, &amp; Katz,
2017)</xref>
          ; (4) promising new advances in data science, including
powerful machine learning and statistical methods such as deep
neural networks, statistical relational learning, causal modelling,
and probabilistic temporal graphs, for extracting useful knowledge
from massive educational data sets
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref37 ref4 ref45">(Spirtes, Glymour, &amp; Scheines,
2001; LeCun, Bengio, &amp; Hinton, 2015; Schmidhuber,
2015; Bach, Broecheler, Huang, &amp; Getoor, 2017; Pearl &amp;
Mackenzie, 2018)</xref>
          ; and (5) recently available access to affordable,
powerful, and scalable cloud-based computing resources for
processing big data
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2 ref29">(Hellerstein et al., 2019; Atwal, 2020)</xref>
          .
        </p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>2. DATA SCIENCE AND AISs — A</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>TRANSFORMATIVE MIX FOR THE</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>LEARNING ECOSYSTEM</title>
      <p>The LDI is founded on the key observation that data science and
AISs are a powerful mix with potentially transformative impact on
the learning ecosystem.</p>
      <p>Big educational data (edu-data) create tremendous opportunities to
reveal facets along which learner experiences can be tailored or
adapted in ways heretofore impossible. A particular learning
environment may result in different learning outcomes for different
(groups of) students because of students’ idiosyncratic prior
knowledge, experience(s), interest(s) and motivation(s). A small
minority of students, for example, that approach a problem in a
unique way could be overlooked in a small dataset, but larger
datasets give us the possibility to detect and account for individual
differences in learning. To this end, our mission is to harness the
data revolution to further our understanding of how people learn.
AISs can monitor and scaffold learners at a fine level of granularity
(e.g., capturing every single step during instructional activities) and
with respect to many aspects of learning (e.g., cognitive,
behavioral, affective, social, motivational facets of learning) at
scale (i.e., for millions of learners and teachers and across many
topics and domains) and across time periods (e.g., across
gradelevels). Such rich data, when collected, can be characterized as deep
(many data instances from millions of learners), wide (capturing
many aspects of the learning process at a fine granularity level), and
long (longitudinal, i.e., across time and grade levels). Such big
edudata, together with advanced data science methods, are likely to
offer insights about learning and instruction and lead to the
development of effective and affordable instructional tools that
were not possible before. This is promising enough to believe that
the learning ecosystem is at a tipping-point to be transformed.
Indeed, LDI is built on the belief that AISs constitute a necessary
catalyst to enable the transformation of the learning ecosystem
through harnessing the data revolution because, as noted earlier,
AISs can monitor and scaffold learners at a very fine granularity
level, at scale, and across time. It should be noted that much of
education data, (e.g., currently collected by schools), relies on a set
of predefined competencies or standards to monitor student
progress. Such data only reveal what students know or mastered
and what they don’t know (didn’t master yet), but such data often
do not reveal much about the learning and instructional process.
That is, much of the school data focus on “where the student is” but
not what they do during instructional activities. Fundamentally,
teachers and schools in general lack the capacity to monitor and
store data about all students at every single step of the learning and
instruction process. LDI will thus offer schools a new powerful
framework to understand, monitor, and intervene at a fine-grain
level with potentially transformative effects on the learning
ecosystem.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>3. FRAMEWORK FOR SCIENCE</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>CONVERGENCE</title>
      <p>A major goal of LDI conceptualization phase is to develop,
implement, test, and refine a framework for data-intensive research
in science and engineering enabling science convergence, aligning
with the Growing Convergence Research (GCR) “big idea”
identified by the National Science Foundation.</p>
      <p>
        According to NSF, “convergence research is a means of solving
vexing research problems, in particular, complex problems
focusing on societal needs. It entails integrating knowledge,
methods, and expertise from different disciplines and forming
novel frameworks to catalyze scientific discovery and innovation."
Also, “convergence is a deeper, more intentional approach to the
integration of knowledge, techniques, and expertise from multiple
disciplines in order to address the most compelling scientific and
societal challenges”
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref24">(NSF-GCR, 2020)</xref>
        .
      </p>
      <p>NSF identifies Convergence Research as having two primary
characteristics:


“Research driven by a specific and compelling problem.
Convergence Research is generally inspired by the need to
address a specific challenge or opportunity, whether it arises
from deep scientific questions or pressing societal needs.”
“Deep integration across disciplines. As experts from
different disciplines pursue common research challenges, their
knowledge, theories, methods, data, research communities and
languages become increasingly intermingled or integrated.
New frameworks, paradigms or even disciplines can form
sustained interactions across multiple communities”
NSF(GCR, 2020).</p>
      <p>LDI’s compelling problem is making the learning ecosystem more
effective, engaging, equitable, efficient, relevant, and affordable.
To foster deep integration across scientific disciplines, we have put
in place a convergence framework, comprising a diverse team,
organizational structures, processes, mechanisms, activities, and
tools, meant to encourage broad participation, coordination,
collaboration, and diffusion and integration of knowledge across
disciplines.</p>
      <p>
        LDI has intentionally sought, from its inception, to follow NSF’s
characterization of convergence research by “intentionally
bring[ing] together [from the inception] intellectually diverse
researchers and stakeholders to frame … research questions,
develop effective ways of communicating across disciplines and
sectors, adopt common frameworks for their solution, and, when
appropriate, develop a new scientific vocabulary.”
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref24">(NSF-GCR,
2020)</xref>
        The LDI team seeks, where possible, to develop “sustainable
relationships that may not only create solutions to the problem that
engendered the collaboration, but also develop novel ways of
framing related research questions and open new research vistas”
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref24">(NSF-GCR, 2020)</xref>
        .
      </p>
      <p>
        To make these intentions a reality, LDI’s leadership team and
participants have designed, prototyped, and tested a process and a
corresponding set of tools designed to transform what is currently
a loosely coupled group of research centers, AIS commercial
providers, and governments research labs engaged in similar but
disparate research and development efforts into a set of interacting
teams
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref33 ref5">(Berry, 2011; Lilian, 2014)</xref>
        , in aggregate constituting a
physical and virtual community of practice
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref32">(Lave &amp; Wenger,
1991)</xref>
        . We have not and will not attempt to “tighten” the coupling
between participating research centers. As Weik (1991) has argued
in respect to educational systems, loosely coupled systems have
several advantages over tightly coupled ones—not least flexibility,
survivability (with dysfunction in individual nodes tolerable), and
increased likelihood of beneficial “mutations.” Rather, LDI’s
leadership has intended to design and test a set of processes and
tools that will support the independent work of the participating
research centers, facilitate the flow of information and ideas within
and across these centers, and help to keep participants focused on
common problems without the need for direct intervention (e.g., in
the form of a top-down, tightly controlled research agenda).
LDI’s team structure and processes enable the harnessing and
diffusion of expertise from various areas in an efficient and
effective way while fostering individual initiative and interests. For
example, LDI team members were encouraged in the
conceptualization phase to propose prototyping tasks that they are
interested in and which fit the LDI mission statement (see more
details later). Organizational structures and processes are
intentionally open, flexible, and scalable to enable the LDI to grow
and transform based on emerging findings and partnerships with
other NSF-supported HDR teams.
      </p>
      <p>The key elements of the LDI convergence framework are listed
below.</p>
      <sec id="sec-6-1">
        <title>Mission/Common Goal</title>
        <p>An intellectually diverse team with stakeholder representation
(researchers, developers, practitioners including school and
teachers’ representatives)</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-6-2">
        <title>An effective and efficient team structure and processes that foster cross-discipline</title>
        <p>Processes, mechanisms, and tools to nurture collaboration,
broad participation, diffusion and integration of knowledge
across disciplines, and coordination
Resources, in terms of funding, student support, travel, and
access to big edu-data and other cyber-infrastructure resources
Incentives for team members to proactively and deeply engage
in convergent activities and working towards accomplishing
the goal/mission of the team which is to solve the compelling
problem:
o
o
o
o
o</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-6-3">
        <title>Resources</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-6-4">
        <title>Freedom to propose research tasks that fit their own interests and align with the LDI mission</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-6-5">
        <title>Bottom-up and top-down strategies for agenda setting</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-6-6">
        <title>Semi-autonomous teams/groups</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-6-7">
        <title>Flexible, open structure</title>
        <p>Progress monitoring and refinement of the convergence
framework
Our framework will enable team members to develop a shared
vision and language, which over time should lead to effective and
meaningful cross-discipline, collaborations, i.e., science
convergence. Such mutual sense- making, science convergence,
and R&amp;D efforts are likely to incubate solutions to complex
problems to enable effective, efficient, engaging, equitable, and
affordable learning experiences for everyone. We detail next the
main components of our science convergence framework.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-7">
      <title>3.1 LDI’s Mission and Vision</title>
      <p>LDI’s mission is to harness the data revolution (HDR) to further
our understanding of how people learn, how to improve adaptive
instructional systems (AISs), and how to make emerging learning
ecologies that include online and blended learning with AISs more
effective, efficient, engaging, equitable, relevant, and affordable.
Our vision is for LDI to: (i) serve as a hub to identify investment
opportunities for data-intensive approaches to core learning science
and engineering challenges to accelerate progress toward equitable
learning and achievement in education; (ii) foster, support, and
build a portfolio of inter-related, inter-disciplinary prototyping or
“Scale-up Projects” to research, develop, and disseminate
dataintensive solutions across multiple academic and non-academic
communities that currently cannot easily communicate with each
other, embodying a process of science convergence; (iii) bridge the
HDR ecosystem with the educational data science and learning
engineering community and the broader education world, and, in
particular, serve as the education &amp; training hub for the HDR
ecosystem, assisting other teams with developing data science
training platforms for their communities.</p>
      <p>LDI will forge new HDR frontiers by:
furthering our understanding of learning and instructional
processes and environments;
developing data science infrastructure for the education and
the HDR ecosystem;
improving AISs and scale them up both horizontally and
vertically;
advancing research at the human-technology frontier in future
learning ecologies that involve AISs;
transforming communities of practice (e.g., triggering a
culture shift in teacher training programs);
exploring how data science can address equity, ethics,
diversity, and inclusion aspects of education.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-8">
      <title>3.2 LDI’s Team and Team Structure</title>
      <p>
        LDI’s team evolved and grew from 45+ members
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref41">(see Rus et al.,
2020)</xref>
        to over 60 as of this writing. In preparation for the
longerterm “convergence” or institute phase (LDI Phase 2), we have
extended our interdisciplinary team to include additional
researchers and personnel from academia, K-12 schools, industry,
and government, giving us access to the necessary stakeholders,
infrastructure, expertise, and learning data to pursue targeted
investment opportunities.
      </p>
      <p>LDI is led by the Institute of Intelligent Systems at The University
of Memphis and main corporate partner Carnegie Learning,
developer of commercial-grade AISs serving over 500,000 students
in 2,000+ school districts. The assembled team now spans 14 main
organizations on 3 continents, including NSF-funded partners such
as the Institute for Data, Econometrics, Algorithms, and Learning
(IDEAL; NSF HDR TRIPODS project led by researchers at
Northwestern University) and LearnSphere: Building a Scalable
Infrastructure for Data-Driven Discovery and Innovation in
Education (NSF DIBBs project; Carnegie Mellon University lead).
In addition, partners include researchers, practitioners, and other
stakeholders from the US Army’s Generalized Intelligent
Framework for Tutoring project (Sottilare et al, 2016) and 6
additional corporate partners, 3 laboratory schools (The Early
Learning &amp; Research Center, Campus Elementary School, and
University Middle School in Memphis, TN), 3 K-12 school districts
- Shelby County Schools (Memphis, TN area; 200 schools, 100,000
students), Brockton Public Schools (Boston, MA area; 24 schools,
15,000 students), Val Verde Unified School District (Los Angeles,
California area; 21 schools, 20,000 students), and one teacher
training program at Christian Brothers University.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-9">
      <title>3.3 Team Structure</title>
      <p>The team structure consists of a leadership team, domain-oriented
Expert Panels, and task-oriented groups that in the
conceptualization phase have driven prototyping projects for very
concrete, well-defined tasks, hence called concrete tasks.
The LDI Core Leadership Team is responsible for overseeing and
coordinating LDI activities, making sure those activities align with
the mission of the institute and offering necessary support for
cohesiveness of activities. The Leadership Team consists of Lead
Principal Investigator (PI) Dr. Vasile Rus, Carnegie Learning
Principal Investigator Dr. Stephen Fancsali (co-PI), and co-PIs
from University of Memphis: Dr. Dale Bowman, Dr. Philip Pavlik,
and Dr. Deepak Venugopal. Project coordinator Jody Cockroft,
Senior Research Scientist Dr. Donald Morrison, Dr. Arthur
Graesser, a Professor Emeritus at The University of Memphis
round out the Leadership Team.</p>
      <p>LDI Expert Panels are homogeneous in terms of expertise in order
to maximize intellectual coverage of particular research areas, as
individual researchers are specialized in different subareas of a
relatively broad area such as Data Science or Learning Science.
Expert Panels were composed in this homogenous way to
encourage meaningful discussions from the start leading to more
efficient and engaging conversations early on, benefitting team
building and engagement. Cross-domain interactions are more
challenging. One major purpose of LDI is to engage our team
members (including Expert Panels) in cross-domain interactions
that develop shared sense making, a common language, and
mission-driven culture over time.</p>
      <p>The role of the Expert Panels is twofold: (1) to provide solid
(breadth and depth) input from an area of expertise to all LDI
efforts such as concrete prototyping tasks that are being carried out
in the Phase 1 conceptualization and (2) to help shape the 5-year
plan for Phase 2 by identifying opportunities for investment (i.e.,
promising developments in one area that could benefit the other
areas or specific activities of the institute).</p>
      <p>The following Expert Panels were initially formed: Data Science,
K-12 Education, Learning Sciences, Learning Systems
Engineering, Ethics &amp; Equity, and Human-Technology Frontier.
Expert Panel membership is flexible; LDI participants may belong
to more than one Expert Panel but must be actively engaged in at
least one. Expert Panels have co-leaders who are responsible for
ensuring that the panels successfully reach milestones (e.g.,
reviewing concrete tasks).</p>
      <p>Concrete tasks or “Scale-Up Projects” are prototyping endeavors
led by individual researchers (see the section on Building
Prototypes for Concrete Tasks later). Examples of concrete tasks
include projects directed at scaling data-driven domain model
refinement, using auto-encoders for student assessment, and
datadriven instructional strategy discovery.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-10">
      <title>3.4 Stakeholder Representation</title>
      <p>
        Our team includes representatives of various communities with an
invested interest in the learning ecosystem such as researchers,
developers, practitioners, government, policymakers, and funders.
Nevertheless, there are gaps in LDI’s expertise. For instance, we do
not currently have representatives from domains including
neuroscience, the law, and social and moral philosophy, primarily
due to Phase 2 budget constraints. We hope to account for such
expertise through ad-hoc engagement with appropriate experts
(e.g., reviewing and feedback from targeted experts in those areas).
While diverse opinions and perspectives are represented within the
team and make possible greater organizational learning and
synergy, interdisciplinary teams also deal with the pull of
competing loyalties and demands
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">(Berry, 2011)</xref>
        . Sense-making of
the beliefs or actions of others (here, disparate experts) is a constant
struggle in team environments
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref25">(Guribye, Andressen, &amp; Wasson,
2003)</xref>
        , and this difficulty can be exacerbated by the greater
intellectual diversity of the team. Shared goals and shared
understandings are required, and negotiation of these common
goals is an intrinsic part of the team-building process. Effective
social relationships are a required constant for effective
collaborative work, virtual or face to face, and it may occur more
slowly at first
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref49 ref51">(Vroman &amp; Kovachich, 2002; Walther, 1995)</xref>
        .
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-11">
      <title>3.5 Convergence Processes</title>
      <p>A key element of the LDI convergence framework is a set of
processes, mechanisms, and tools to foster collaboration, broad
participation, diffusion and integration of knowledge across
disciplines, and coordination.</p>
      <p>
        LDI has implemented an iterative process of idea and solution
generation and refinement that includes internal (from other LDI
members) and external (paid, external ad-hoc reviewers) feedback
loops. Furthermore, we have set in place synchronous and
asynchronous, face-to-face and virtual coordination, collaboration,
and communication channels supported by adequate processes that
will facilitate exchange of ideas across disciplines. Processes that
enable broad participation and input from everyone were designed
and implemented, including the use of NGT
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">(Nominal Group
Technique; Delbecq &amp; Van de Ven, 1971)</xref>
        process for meetings to
ensure everyone’s voice is heard and accounted for. Other
processes such as SWOT analysis (to identify strengths,
weaknesses, opportunities, threats) and “pre-mortem” analysis
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref31">(Klein, 2007)</xref>
        (i.e., identifying possible points of failure
prospectively rather than retrospectively, by imagining a future
situation in which a project has failed and considering how that
imaginary failure might have occurred) were used as well.
Processes implemented were intended to grow science convergence
among our large team of interdisciplinary experts. Within- and
cross-domain interaction and collaboration processes were
designed among subgroups of our team as well as all-team
interactions and communications (e.g., whole-team meetings,
mailing lists, website) in order to develop a common vision and
language and to ensure cohesiveness and clarity with respect to the
mission of the LDI, responsibility for various tasks, and engaging
the community for assistance when needed.













      </p>
      <p>An abbreviated list of activities, tools, and structures LDI
implemented to realize the above iterative idea and solution
generation and broad and deep collaborations include: An
iterative process of ideas and solution generation and
refinement that includes internal (from other team members)
and external (paid, external ad-hoc reviewers) feedback loops
asynchronous and synchronous, face-to-face and virtual
coordination, collaboration, and communication channels
supported by adequate processes that will facilitate exchange
of ideas across disciplines
A federation of semi-autonomous groups (e.g., Expert Panels,
concrete task teams) coordinated by a Leadership Team
Regular virtual meetings of the Core Leadership Team (as the
conceptualization phase has largely taken place during the
global pandemic)
Two full-team or “all-hands” virtual meetings each year
Two workshops (in 2020 and 2021) at the International
Conference on Educational Data Mining (to which this piece
contributes) to engage with a broader international community
of scholars
Meetings at major conferences that our team members attend
Quarterly updates and Requests-for-Comments from Expert
Panels
Mini-workshops in the form of full-day brainstorming
sessions on a particular task
Transformative app ideation at “all-hands” meetings
Email, cloud-shared documents, wikis, Slack, and other
collaboration tools for collaboratively drafting and refining
ideas, solutions, and processes
Software repository managed with the version control
software, e.g., github or SVN
Project management software to keep track of task progress
and major milestone deadlines and deliverables</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-12">
      <title>3.6 New Shared Vocabulary</title>
      <p>LDI participants have started to develop an emerging shared
vocabulary and language, which enables more effective and
efficient communication and collaboration across disciplines and
which constitutes a key ingredient of convergence research. For
instance, new vocabulary includes introducing many team
members to the notion of convergence research, concrete tasks or
“Scale-Up Projects,” “learner model,” “cloud continuum,”
scalingup AISs “horizontally” and “vertically,” and AISs-teacher
partnership models. The vocabulary is dynamic and evolving. For
instance, we have been using the term “concrete task” to indicate
prototyping tasks led by researchers in LDI Phase 1 which would
result in some kind of data science prototype or deliverable (e.g., a
significant dataset and/or peer-reviewed publications). In this work,
we use the term “concrete task” and “Scale-Up Project” essentially
interchangeably as the latter reflects our intent for each concrete
task to scale up in some dimension in Phase 2.</p>
      <p>Synchronous and asynchronous interactions and activities have
enabled better communication and understanding of various
domain-specific terms by team members with limited initial
expertise or understanding of those terms (e.g., “model parameters”
in machine learning/data science, “domain model” in learning
engineering, or the meaning and importance of the socio-cultural
aspects of human learning). We expect the development and
emergence of a shared vocabulary and language to continue and
stabilize over time.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-13">
      <title>3.7 New Research Vistas—Investment</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-14">
      <title>Opportunities in the 5-year Institute Plan</title>
      <p>Our strategy to accomplish the LDI mission of transforming the
learning ecosystems, in a proposed 5-year institute, is to focus on a
number of carefully selected research priorities, targeting key
aspects of the learning ecosystem which we believe are at a “tipping
point” (i.e., a point at which timely investment in data-intensive
approaches focusing on those critical aspects has the maximum
potential for a transformative effect).</p>
      <p>The identified research priorities were the result of an intense
science convergence process involving a number of activities (e.g.,
brainstorming sessions or “ideas labs” followed by iterative
discussions for ranking and selection at “all-hands” virtual
meetings, engagement with Expert Panels, etc.). Processes and
activities engaged all LDI team members across many disciplines
(e.g., educators, education researchers, computer scientists,
statisticians, cognitive scientists), developers (Carnegie Learning,
Age of Learning, Gooru), school districts (Shelby County Schools,
Brockton Public Schools), as well as researchers from other
projects funded by NSF (e.g., Northwestern’s TRIPODS Cohort II
project: IDEAL - The Institute for Data, Econometrics, Algorithms,
and Learning; CMU’s DIBBS LearnSphere: Building a Scalable
Infrastructure for Data-Driven Discovery and Innovation in
Education; and the University of Memphis NSF project: Advancing
the Science of Learning Data Science with Adaptive Learning for
Future Workforce Development). That is, the identified research
priorities reflect our collective interdisciplinary wisdom that timely
investment in data-intensive approaches will have the maximum
potential for a transformative effect.The identified investment
opportunities (or research priorities) constitute the central focus of
the 5-year plan for the LDI. It should be noted that we also
generated a 10-year plan such that the impacts of the LDI Institute
will propagate and evolve beyond the lifetime of the award and
beyond our own team thus acting as an agent of change for how
research questions are conceived and addressed through
interdisciplinary collaboration.</p>
      <p>Identified key investment opportunity areas or thrusts include:


</p>
      <sec id="sec-14-1">
        <title>Investment Opportunity Area 1: Scaling Up Access To</title>
        <p>Learning Data – From Impoverished Datasets To Learning
Data Convergence To Comprehensive Learner Models</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-14-2">
        <title>Investment Opportunity Area 2: Novel, Richer, More</title>
        <p>Powerful, Scalable, and Accurate Data-intensive Solutions to
Core Education Tasks</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-14-3">
        <title>Investment Opportunity Area 3: Human Technology</title>
        <p>Frontier – Pushing For Wider Adoption and Integration Of
AISs</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-14-4">
        <title>Investment Opportunity Area 1: Scaling Up Access To Learning</title>
        <p>Data. To enable data science, there must be data and in particular
“big” education data (big edu-data). To this end, a key long term
goal of LDI is learning data convergence, i.e., collecting and
aligning (more) comprehensive data about the same learner(s)
across skills, disciplines, and modalities (cognitive, meta-cognitive,
emotional, motivational, behavioral, social) and across time (e.g.,
K-12 grade-levels), as well as data about the learning process and
environment.</p>
        <p>
          Prior efforts such as LearnSphere/DataShop have made progress
towards building data infrastructure and capacity in education
contexts, but slow data convergence is a critical issue that hinders
realizing the full potential of data and data science to transform the
learning ecosystem. For instance, the DataShop metric reports
show that most of the data is composed of datasets in the standard
DataShop format, of which there are about 3500
(https://pslcdatashop.web.cmu.edu/MetricsReport). While
accumulating this many datasets is no small feat, the average
number of observations per student is less than 400. A large number
of students, greater than 800,000, is spread across more than 3000
datasets, resulting in less than 260 students per dataset. Similary,
the recently released EduNet
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">(Choi et al., 2020)</xref>
          contains data from
784,309 students preparing for the Test of English for International
Communication at an average of 400.2 interactions per student.
Despite progress in building edu-data repositories, there is an
“impoverished datasets” challenge in education.
        </p>
        <p>Ideally, big edu-data would include data about millions of learners
that are fine-grain (e.g., step/substep level information or detailed
process data), rich (capturing cognitive, affective, motivational,
behavioral, social, and epistemic facets of learning), and
longitudinal (across many grades). That is, big edu-data should be
deep (e.g., about many learners), wide (e.g., capture as many
learning relevant aspects as possible), and long (being longitudinal,
across many grades or even a learner’s lifetime). Convergence
efforts will seek to “deepen” samples and “lengthen” timeframes of
datasets that are (sometimes, but not always, already) “wide” in
terms of features captured.</p>
        <p>Using these concepts, our goal can be re-stated as enabling the
collection of deep, wide, and long education data which could then
be analyzed using emerging, state-of-the-art data science methods
capable of learning patterns from such massive collections of data
and also accounting for input from diverse domain experts with the
ultimate goal of transforming the learning ecosystem.
In order to fully harness the data revolution to transform the
learning ecosystem we need: (1) improved, at-scale data collection
and (near) real-time access to big edu-data (i.e., addressing the
“impoverished datasets” challenge) in ways that account for
security, privacy, and ownership and (2) infrastructure to process
learner data at scale using distributed computing (e.g., leveraging
the cloud-continuum), scalable algorithms, and richer/more
powerful algorithms (e.g., emerging neuro-symbolic approaches).
Indeed, access to data at scale is a more critical, upstream challenge
that needs to be addressed first as before being able to process
learning data, one must have access to the data and have permission
to share it. LDI adopts the principle that data owners (e.g., learner/
parent/ guardian/ teacher/ school/ developer/ etc.) should be given
a spectrum of options with respect to data sharing or, if deciding
not to share, with respect to providing access to data. The spectrum
of options should accommodate all attitudes that learners/learning
data owners may have towards data ownership, security, and
privacy. Indeed, access to learner data is a complex issue due to
privacy, security, ownership, and regulatory concerns.
We are aware that full data convergence would be hard to achieve
for various reasons. However, our goal is to push the limits of what
is possible, understand those limits, and act accordingly.
Understanding the limits of data convergence will allow us to
understand the limits of technology, what teachers can do to
compensate for those limitations, and how to best orchestrate the
learner-teacher-AISs partnership.</p>
        <p>
          Our data convergence activity focuses on concrete examples from
math and computer science (STEAM+C) as well as literacy and
leverage prior efforts in the area of building data infrastructure and
capacity, contributing and expanding on those previous efforts to
move us closer to the goal of full data convergence. Specifically,
one major goals is to build a fine-grain, large, and diverse (deep,
wide, long) dataset that will enable LDI to explore the potential of
data science methods to better model learners and the learner
process. We announced and started the process of building
LearnerNet in Fall 2019 as part of LDI Phase 1 (see Rus, 2019 –
ADL Directors’ meeting talk). Indeed, we have called for the
development of LearnerNet
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref41">(Rus et al., 2020)</xref>
          , an “ImageNet”
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref46">(Su,
Deng, &amp; Fei-Fei, 2012)</xref>
          for learner modeling which could enable a
transformation of our modelling and understanding of how learners
learn, of how AISs can be made more capable of adapting to diverse
learners, and fueling a better understanding of the learning
ecosystem as a whole.
        </p>
        <p>Investment Opportunity Area 2: Novel, Richer, More Powerful,
Scalable, and Accurate Data-intensive Solutions to Core Education
Tasks.</p>
        <p>This investment opportunity area focuses on improving existing
methods and models with respect to their scaling and extension
using big edu-data and developing novel, richer, more powerful,
scalable, and accurate computational models for a number of core
educational tasks such as prediction and assessment of learner
mastery of knowledge components (KCs; micro-competencies or
skills), domain model refinement (i.e., improving models of what
learners need to learn to acquire mastery of a domain), and inferring
optimal strategies to coordinate the behavior of AISs for how and
when to optimally implement guidance to promote student
learning. The goal is to improve our understanding of how learners
learn, improve the effectiveness and efficiency of AISs, make AISs
more affordable and scalable horizontally (across topics and
domains), and scale AISs vertically (offering training on
higherlevel skills such as deep conceptual understanding and
collaborative problem solving).</p>
        <p>One major opportunity from a learning engineering perspective is
the automation of the development and refinement of AISs and
adaptive instructional content. Making progress towards
automating the authoring of AISs should begin to enable better
scalability across topics and domains (horizontal scalability), which
currently is a major stumbling block for a wider adoption of such
systems. Expert-driven approaches to developing domain models,
learner models, and instructional strategies for new topics and
domains are expensive, tedious, and time-consuming. Automated
or semi-automated approaches to discovering domains models,
inferring learner models, and discovering instructional strategies
are much needed. For instance, we intend to use neuro-symbolic
approaches to automatically extract from both structured, e.g.,
student performance data, and semi-structured data, i.e., text in
textbooks, domain models.</p>
        <p>
          A second major opportunity within this thrust involves AISs for
collaborative learning with intelligent discourse components.
Widely deployed, commercial AISs largely do not target advanced
topics such as collaborative problem solving. Collaborative work
and collaborative problem-solving skills are much needed in the
21st century
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3 ref8">(Autor, Levy, &amp; Murnane, 2003; Carnevale &amp; Smith,
2013)</xref>
          , and learning activities fostering the acquisition of such skills
must be adopted by learning ecologies of the future in order to make
such ecologies more effective and equitable for all learners and
more relevant to emerging needs and new realities. Our goal is to
scale up AISs vertically, to offer training opportunities for such
advanced skills. The strategy is to extend AISs such as those
offered by Carnegie Learning and Age of Learning with language
through discourse components.
        </p>
        <p>
          Language and discourse play a central role in learning
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref50">(Vygotsky,
1978)</xref>
          , particularly for the acquisition of difficult topics that require
deep comprehension, reasoning, problem solving, and
collaboration that are required for higher paying jobs in the 21st
century
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3 ref8">(Autor, Levy, &amp; Murnane, 2003; Carnevale &amp; Smith,
2013)</xref>
          . Language and discourse are essential for developing
argumentation skills
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">(Ferretti &amp; de la Paz, 2011)</xref>
          , disciplinary
literacy
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref21 ref42 ref43">(Goldman et al., 2016; Shanahan &amp; Shanahan, 2008;
Shaffer, 2017)</xref>
          , reasoning associated with mental models (Graesser,
2020), and formulating explanations of complex systems in science
(Chi et al., 1989; Graesser, 2015), math
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">(Fancsali et al., 2016)</xref>
          , and
computer code (Lasang et al., 2021).
        </p>
        <p>
          Language and discourse is not only essential for learning within
individuals but also learning in group contexts. Problems have
dramatically increased in complexity, requiring collaborative
problem solving by people with disparate expertise and
perspectives
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref22 ref36 ref8">(Carnevale &amp; Smith, 2013; Graesser et al., 2018;
OECD, 2017)</xref>
          .
        </p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-14-5">
        <title>Investment Opportunity Area 3: Human Technology Frontier –</title>
        <p>
          Pushing For Wider Adoption and Integration Of AISs
This investment opportunity fosters a portfolio of efforts to push
for wider adoption and integration of AISs with school-based and
teacher-led learning activities at the Human-Technology Frontier,
one other of NSF’s ten Big Ideas for Future Investment.
Many teachers are overwhelmed by the many duties and tasks they
have to handle, resulting in burnout and reduced teacher job
satisfaction and retention rates
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref23 ref38">(Grayson &amp; Alvarez, 2007; Rhodes,
Nevill, and Allan, 2004)</xref>
          . To assist teachers, major goals and
corresponding Scale-up Projects include: (1) to help teachers better
understand the potential of using AISs and data science to
transform education including their job performance and
satisfaction; (2) to propose and investigate learner-teacher-AISs
collaboration models and interfaces including the validation of a
framework for learning experience design; and (3) to design and
develop dashboards for teachers to learn from, interpret, and make
decisions based upon fine-grained, comprehensive learning data.
Helping teachers, parents, and other stakeholders understand the
potential of data science and AISs is important for LDI’s
transforming communities of practice effort. To this end, we plan
to develop new curricula for data literacy to be used by teacher
training programs.
        </p>
        <p>
          Models of Learner-Teacher-AISs Partnership. Finding the best
learner-teacher-AISs partnerships could have transformative
impact on the learning ecosystem such as freeing teachers from
certain duties that AISs can do in an autonomous manner thus
allowing them to focus on higher level tasks such as designing new
instructional materials or novel tailored interventions for students,
, motivational support, and other tasks for which AISs are not ideal
This better distribution of duties and coordination between teachers
and AISs should lead to a more effective, efficient, engaging, and
equitable learning ecosystem. We will study four levels of AISs
autonomy with respect to how teachers may use AISs (see later).
Detect and Mitigate Issues Related to Ethics, Equity, Inclusion, and
Diversity in Education. As a general principle, all LDI activities
will be informed and guided by our goal of using data science and
AISs to promote ethics and equity in education
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14 ref20 ref39">(Riddle et al., 2015;
Corbett-Davies &amp; Goel, 2018; Gardner, Brooks, &amp; Baker, 2019)</xref>
          .
At the same time, the Ethics and Equity Expert Panel will review
all LDI efforts to ensure ethics and equity aspects are properly
addressed. Furthermore, our institute 5-year plan includes a set of
activities focusing on ethics and equity which fall into three
categories: (1) using data and data science to further our
understanding of biases and achievement gaps in the learning
ecosystem; (2) understanding and mitigating ethics and equity
throughout the data lifecycle with a focus on algorithmic bias and
developing tools to address these issues throughout the work of the
LDI; and (3) increasing diversity and inclusion during collaborative
learning activities.
        </p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-15">
      <title>3.8 Evaluation and Refinement</title>
      <p>Evaluation and analysis are key elements of the LDI convergence
framework to both demonstrate its effectiveness and provide a way
to identify opportunities for improvement and refinement. We
focus on quantitative and qualitative metrics for LDI community
building and engagement efforts, identifying investment
opportunities priorities, and development and refinement of
prototyping concrete task or Scale-Up Project activities. For
quantitative metrics, to account for different perspectives, we will
report how many experts and from how many different disciplines
contribute to specific tasks (e.g., identification of data requirements
for Investment Opportunity Area 1, above). For each expert, we can
monitor their individual contributions in terms of content (e.g.,
word counts), comments, and revisions to others’ contributions (by
using shared documents that track such metrics). More
qualitatively, each member’s contributions will be assessed in
terms of the depth of their contributions. A researcher might
identify that a particular expert’s contribution initiated the
development of a novel solution that could improve the detections
of learners’ emotions in a classroom context.</p>
      <p>Furthermore, we report the scientific and societal impact of the
proposed convergence framework. Scientific impact can be
reported in terms of the number of publications, presentations,
tutorials, meetings, email exchanges and other forms of direct
communication (among LDI members and the broader research
community) as well as improvements of prototype solutions over
existing solutions. Other scientific success measures can monitor
longer term impact such as how many citations the products of this
project generate and how many research groups integrate the
proposed solutions (e.g., user adoption of analysis toolkits
developed).</p>
      <p>Societal impact can be assessed through impact on learners and
teachers as well as impact on the learning ecosystem (e.g., in terms
of how LDI efforts have made aspects of the learning ecosystem
more effective, engaging, equitable, efficient, relevant, and
affordable, as well as other outcomes such as transforming
educators’ community of practice).</p>
      <p>An important requirement for the evaluation process is
documentation of the various elements of the convergence
framework. For this purpose, for instance, all meetings of the
leadership team were recorded (key metric: hours of meetings and
interactions; volume of those interactions). Other processes and
activities have been documented in various ways such as Google
docs, meeting recording, and Slack asynchronous discussions. For
instance, the convergence process implemented to generate the
5year institute plan has been well documented through other records
such as spreadsheets used in NGT processes employed by the
various Expert Panels to generate and rank ideas for investment
opportunities to be included in the 5-year plan.</p>
      <p>We will illustrate how we have been evaluating the effectiveness of
convergence framework holistically as well as from the perspective
of Expert Panels. For brevity, we illustrate the evaluation of the
convergence process from the perspective of the Learning
Engineering Expert Panel.</p>
      <p>The LDI’s Learning Engineering Expert Panel comprised a diverse
group of researchers and developers with vast experience in
research and development of learning systems. The 10-member
expert panel was drawn from the academe, government, and
industry.</p>
      <p>The Learning Engineering Expert Panel, like other LDI expert
panels, engaged in two major activities that contribute to the LDI
Phase 1 project:</p>
      <p>Provide input to each of the concrete tasks (forward-looking
“Scale-Up Projects”) addressing various challenges in the
learning ecosystem with the goal of converging to solutions to
those challenges that account for input from many domains.
Identify, rank, and propose investment opportunities for the
5year plan of the convergence or institute phase (LDI Phase 2)
The concrete task reviewing and feedback process involved
significant expert time (see Table 2, which presents a summary of
the quantitative evaluation of the initial cycle of the review and
feedback process by the Learning Engineering Expert Panel).
In addition to this quantitative summary of the convergence process
related to concrete tasks, we also developed a 5-stage model to
characterize the maturity of concrete tasks: (1) ideation or initial
idea, (2) conceptualization and convergence of a data science
solution with input from experts from many domains, (3)
implementation &amp; refinement, (4) product release (e.g., an
emerging data science prototype or dataset release), (5) impact, in
which the product from stage 4 is adopted by or integrated into
external research projects or a learning environment, having some
external impact on the research landscape or on the learning
ecosystem. Work of LDI participants during the conceptualization
phase has centered primarily on concrete tasks in the first four
phases (ideation, conceptualization and convergence, and product
release). Ideally, the transition from concrete task to “Scale-Up
Projects” in LDI Phase 2 will reflect progression to later stages of
this model.</p>
      <p>The other major task of each Expert Panel was to identify
investment opportunities for the 5-year plan of the LDI institute
phase (Phase 2). Expert panels had the freedom to adopt different
internal processes to identify investment opportunities.</p>
      <sec id="sec-15-1">
        <title>Expert Panel Reviewer Pool</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-15-2">
        <title>Participation rate</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-15-3">
        <title>Concrete Tasks Reviewed</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-15-4">
        <title>Total Concrete Task Reviews</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-15-5">
        <title>Number of Reviews Per Member</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-15-6">
        <title>Total Expert Time</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-15-7">
        <title>Expert Panelist Time per Concrete Task</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-15-8">
        <title>Panel</title>
        <p>Summary
Word Count
9 (1 of 10 Expert Panel members left LDI
after assignment to Expert Panel.)
7 / 9 (Two members were assigned reviews
but did not submit any reviews.)
17
34 (17 task x 2 reviews/task)
3.3 (average over the 7 reviewers submitting
at least one review; min: 2; max: 7)
(34 x 2) + (7 x 2) = 82 hours of expert time
(assuming 2 hours spent per concrete task
review and 2 hours of Expert Panel meeting
to summarize the reviews for each concrete
task)
4.82 hours (82 total hours / 17 concrete
tasks)
279 words per task (average); 4,749 total






</p>
        <p>This policy was adopted for two main reasons: (i) offer autonomy
to each expert panel to self-organize and (ii) explore different
collaboration processes in order to discover the best one (e.g., in
terms of member engagement, effectiveness, and efficiency) or
identify from each expert panel a set of best practices for later
adoption. In the case of the Learning Engineering Expert Panel,
investment opportunity ideas were solicited via e-mail from the
Expert Panel by the Co-Leads. A brief summary of candidate
opportunities is provided below:</p>
        <p>Improving and scaling up AISs horizontally across topics and
domains
Scaling up AISs vertically targeting advanced skills such as
collaborative problem solving and deep conceptual
understanding of complex STEAM+C topics
(More) Comprehensive learner models
Pushing for wider adoption and integration of AISs in
schoolbased and teacher-led instruction (Human-Tech Frontier)</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-15-9">
        <title>Models of Teacher - AISs inter-operation</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-15-10">
        <title>Causal modeling for learning engineering</title>
        <p>Inclusive learning engineering R&amp;D (ethics, equity, inclusion,
and diversity)
This list was further discussed and the initial investment
opportunities were ranked by all expert panel members. A
recommendation of the most important investment opportunities
was put forward to the whole LDI team for further debate and
refinement by other Expert Panels and paid, ad-hoc external
reviewers and the public at large. Many of the proposed investment
opportunities that originated in the Learning Engineering Expert
Panel are part of the 5-year institute plan adopted by the broader
LDI community.</p>
        <p>Holistically, the LDI convergence framework can be evaluated in
terms of the level of engagement of a diverse team of researchers,
developers, practitioners, and other stakeholders as well as its key
outcome, which is the 5-year plan for the institute or convergence
phase which was described and submitted as a proposal to NSF.
The level of engagement can be summarized briefly by noting that
our 60+ strong team participated so far in 3 all-hands meeting each
for about 20 hours (2.5 days) resulting in 60 x 20 = 1,200 expert
hours of effort. Experts spent hundreds of additional hours spent in
other meetings and other activities. Most meetings were recorded
and transcribed. A more detailed, quantitative and qualitative
analysis is being conducted right now, and the results will be widely
disseminated.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-16">
      <title>4. EMERGING IDEAS</title>
      <p>We conclude this progress report by briefly presenting two
emerging ideas from the collective work of the LDI during its
conceptualization phase to date.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-17">
      <title>4.1 Policy Recommendations</title>
      <p>Our work so far also results in a number of policy
recommendations:</p>
      <p>Publicly funded education technologies similar to publicly
funded education adopted in the 19th and 20th century.
Learning data owners keep ownership of their data and have
decision power with respect to where their data is stored, how
the data is accessed, by whom and for what purposes, how
their data is used, and if their data can be shared, with whom,
and under what conditions and circumstances.</p>
      <p>Learning data infrastructure is needed to enable responsible
learning data collection, storage, access, sharing, and
processing.</p>
      <p>The need for a culture shift in teacher training programs and
data literacy curriculum for future teachers.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-18">
      <title>4.2 AISs Autonomy Levels or Teacher-AISs</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-19">
      <title>Partnership Models</title>
      <p>Finding the best teacher/learner-AISs partnerships could have
transformative impact on the learning ecosystem, potentially
freeing teachers from certain duties that AISs can do in an
autonomous manner and allowing teachers to focus on higher level
tasks such as tailored, individualized interventions for students,
motivational support, and other tasks for which AISs are not ideal.
This better distribution of duties and coordination between teachers
and AISs should lead to a more effective, efficient, engaging, and
equitable learning ecosystem.</p>
      <p>We defined and intend to study four levels of AISs’ “autonomy”
with respect to how teachers can use such AISs: (1) fully
autonomous – teachers need little (if any) training and have little (if
any) involvement in “tuning” AISs, (2) minimal teacher
involvement – teachers tune the parameters of the AISs with the
help of the AISs developer at the beginning of the school year or
semester (minimal teacher training with respect to the workings of
the AISs), (3) average teacher involvement – teachers require
training, and they work with the system on a weekly basis selecting
instructional tasks and receiving information from the AISs, (4)
teacher-driven – the teachers exerts full control of the AISs
including overriding decisions the AISs may take or suggest, the
teacher will interact almost daily with the AISs. There is in fact one
other level (level 0) which are self-improving, fully autonomous
AISs – they improve with experience with minimal or no developer
intervention. While we will explore as resources permit the role of
data science to enable such level 0, self-improving fully
autonomous AISs, from a teacher and learner perspective they are
similar to the fully autonomous level of AISs (level 1).
We plan to study and understand the trade-offs in terms of teacher
involvement in tuning AISs vs. levels of AIS autonomy. For
instance, teachers may choose a fully autonomous mode of
operation for an AIS meant for students working independently
with the system afterschool as supplemental instruction, whereas
for student interactions with the AIS during a class period (i.e., in a
blended-learning environment), the same teacher may choose to
control more the behavior of the AISs. Similarly, teachers may
decide to use/download a pre-trained learner model and update it
with data from her students, assuring data security and privacy and
maintaining full ownership of the data. They may decide to share a
sample of her own student data to benefit the pooled/pre-trained
models that everyone can download as default.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-20">
      <title>4.3 Transforming Communities of Practice</title>
      <p>LDI intends to serve as an agent of change for how research
questions are conceived and addressed through interdisciplinary
collaboration such that LDI’s impacts will propagate and evolve
beyond the lifetime of the award.</p>
      <p>More specifically, we have the explicit intent to start a culture shift
in teacher training programs through two specific actions: (1)
involve a few dozen teachers and pre-service teachers in our work
in order to co-design solutions and account for their input and
expose them to the potential of data science and AISs while also
introducing them to science convergence approaches to address key
challenges in education and (2) develop new curriculum
recommendations for teacher training programs as well as
accompanying training materials to build capacity for teachers and
other stakeholders to adopt AISs and data science approaches,
tools, and principles to improve learning and teaching.
Wider adoption of advanced data-driven science and engineering
approaches and tools such as AISs is still lacking for at least three
reasons: (1) Data science and education technology training is often
limited in teacher training programs. (2) The sophistication and
complexity of AISs often entail a significant effort to train teachers
to effectively use such advanced education technologies. (3) New
approaches are often developed with a lack of substantive
involvement of educators and schools.</p>
      <p>Involving educators will help to ensure that new approaches based
on data science to tackle various education challenges,
nextgeneration AISs, and learning environments that include AISs, are
designed to help eliminate biases and promote equity, inclusion,
and diversity, offering high quality education opportunities for all
learners. We will therefore push for schools, teacher training
programs, and instructors to collaborate more with data science and
educational technology researchers and developers to improve
learning and instruction. To this end, in addition to substantive
involvement of teachers and other stakeholders in LDI activities,
we will explore avenues for delivering professional learning,
including workshops for teachers, summer schools (e.g., by adding
a track to CMU’s LearnSphere summer school) for pre-service
teachers and Research Methods instructors in schools of education.
We are an expanding community of practice and promote Scale-Up
Projects that will ideally become bona fide research programs
beyond the award period, securing their own funding as they make
scientific progress. Furthermore, Scale-Up projects and research
thrusts will ideally result in career-long efforts for some younger
faculty members.</p>
      <p>To sum up, our strong team of interdisciplinary experts, developers,
and practitioners will work together during the 5-year LDI institute
project to move current practices beyond the small-scale studies to
bring the learning sciences into the era of big data and
interdisciplinary science convergence. The impact of LDI will be
felt far and wide, propagating and evolving beyond the lifetime of
the award and beyond our own team, acting as an agent of change
for how research questions are conceived and addressed through
interdisciplinary, collaboration, and co-designed research and
development. The proposed processes, methods, and studies pave
the way for taking these outcomes to other domains.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-21">
      <title>ACKNOWLEDGMENTS</title>
      <p>The Learner Data Institute is sponsored by the National Science
Foundation (NSF; award #1934745). The opinions, findings, and
results are solely the authors’ and do not reflect those of NSF.</p>
    </sec>
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