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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title>October</journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Adopting Learning Analytics in a Brazilian Higher Education Institution: Ideal and Predicted Expectations</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Samantha Garcia</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Elaine Marques</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Rafael Ferreira Mello</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Dragan Gašević</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Rodrigo Lins Rodrigues</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Taciana Pontual Falcão</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Centre for Learning Analytics, Faculty of Information Technology, Monash University</institution>
          ,
          <country country="AU">Australia</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>Cesar School</institution>
          ,
          <country country="BR">Brazil</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2">
          <label>2</label>
          <institution>Departamento de Computação, Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco</institution>
          ,
          <country country="BR">Brazil</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date>
        <year>2021</year>
      </pub-date>
      <volume>1</volume>
      <fpage>9</fpage>
      <lpage>21</lpage>
      <abstract>
        <p>Learning Analytics (LA) consists of using educational data to inform teaching strategies and management decisions, aiming to improve students' learning. The successful implementation of LA in Higher Education Institutions (HEIs) involves technical aspects and infrastructure but also stakeholders' acceptance. The SHEILA framework proposes instruments for diagnosis of HEIs for LA adoption, including stakeholders' views. In this paper, we present the results of the application of SHEILA's surveys to identify the highest and lowest expectations about LA adoption, in the views of students and instructors, and compare their ideal and realistic expectations. Results confirmed the high interest in using LA for improving the learning experience, but with ideal expectations higher than realistic expectations, and point out key challenges and opportunities for Latin American researchers to join eforts towards building solid evidence that can inform educational policy-makers and managers, and support the development of strategies for LA services in the region.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>eol&gt;Learning Analytics</kwd>
        <kwd>higher education</kwd>
        <kwd>student expectations</kwd>
        <kwd>instructor expectations</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <p>
        As the amount of educational data increases, and tools for analysis become more available,
Learning Analytics (LA) becomes more popular [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ]. LA is defined as the "measurement, collection,
analysis and reporting of data about learners and their contexts, for purposes of understanding
and optimizing learning and the environments in which it occurs" by the Society for Learning
Analytics Research. [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ]. The implementation of these educational analyses in higher education
institutions (HEIs) aims to optimize learning and its environments [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ]. The amount of data
available about students in HEIs is growing fast: exam grades, duration and frequency of
interactions with virtual learning environments, and discussions in forums, are some examples
of very useful data sources used in educational analysis. LA can potentially help to overcome
important educational challenges, such as student drop-out, failure, and personalized feedback
at scale [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        In Latin America (LATAM), LA adoption is still much lower than in North America and
Europe [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5 ref6">5, 6</xref>
        ]. Still, the amount of data currently available indicates that LATAM countries
have the possibility to implement LA strategies in order to improve educational systems [7],
addressing known problems in the region like student dropout and program quality [8]. In
Brazil, interest in LA is growing, along with the expansion and popularization of online and
blended learning, and the increasing use of Learning Management Systems (LMS) [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        ]. A large
amount of data is produced daily by HEIs students in Brazil, and the collection and analysis
of this educational data can be crucial for the development of new strategies for improving
teaching-learning processes.
      </p>
      <p>However, LA implementation is not straightforward, and is highly dependent on context
[9, 10]. Although interest in LA has grown considerably around the world [11, 9], few studies
specifically address the key role of contextual factors in implementing LA successfully at the
institutional level [8]. The SHEILA framework (Supporting Higher Education to Integrate
Learning Analytics) [12] is the main such initiative, providing instruments to build a diagnosis
of HEIs in terms of several aspects that impact on the successful adoption of LA. As SHEILA
is grounded in empirical research undertaken in the European context [12], the LALA project
(Learning Analytics in Latin America) [13] encourages local adaptations of its methods and
instruments, aiming at generating a corpus of knowledge and contextual evidence for the region.</p>
      <p>The SHEILA framework comprises dimensions that include political context, internal capacity,
engagement strategy and learning frameworks [12]. Perhaps most importantly, it recommends
the identification of key stakeholders and their needs and desires. As a matter of fact, stakeholder
engagement and buy-in is considered a challenge for successfully implementing LA, besides
pedagogical grounding, resources, and ethics and privacy [9]. As stakeholders diagnosis is
very particular to regional specificities, including for example culture, bureaucracy, and social
inequality, existing research based on SHEILA [12, 9] may not account for LATAM HEIs. There
is yet few findings about the impact of stakeholders’ opinions and behaviors for LA adoption in
Latin America.</p>
      <p>In this paper, we address this gap with empirical research in a Brazilian HEI, presenting
stakeholders’ opinions and perceptions that can help increase buy-in in the process of
implementing LA. Such collective efort in gathering empirical evidence has been pointed out by
other LATAM researchers [8]. Previous research performed through focus groups indicate
students and instructors’ interest in LA, in particular for improving the learning process,
providing and receiving personalized feedback, adapting teaching practices to students’ needs,
and making evidence-based pedagogical decisions [14, 15]. The present research complements
such qualitative findings with quantitative data from a survey using a questionnaire focused
on stakeholders’ ideal and predicted expectations [16, 10]. We aimed to answer the following
research questions: RQ1: What are the highest and lowest expectations regarding the adoption
of LA, in the views of students and instructors? RQ2:What are the diferences and similarities
between students’ and instructors’ ideal and predicted expectations about the adoption of LA?</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>2. Method</title>
      <sec id="sec-2-1">
        <title>2.1. Instrument</title>
        <p>The instrument used for data collection was based on SHEILA’s survey [16, 10], empirically
tested and aiming for a diagnosis of HEIs at scale, by providing a comparison between ideal and
predicted (or realistic) expectations from the main stakeholders groups (students and instructors).
The instrument itself prompts participants to rate their expectations in two separate 7-point
Likert scales: ideal and predicted (explained in the instrument). In this paper, ideal expectations
are desired outcomes based on the hope stakeholders have, while predicted expectations are
realistic beliefs about what is perceived as viable to be implemented. By analyzing these two
kinds of expectations, a deeper understanding of stakeholders’ perspectives can be reached,
identifying main areas to focus. Generally speaking, topics that receive the highest ratings
in realistic expectations are considered priority in service planning [16]. We translated the
questionnaire to Brazilian Portuguese, making small semantic adaptations to fit the context
of Brazilian HEIs. We also removed a question about sharing the students data for a third
party company as in Brazil it is not possible for public universities to share data with private
companies. Questions from the adapted questionnaire for the instructors were maintained.</p>
        <p>The questionnaire included a brief introduction to LA and the purpose of the study, asking for
informed consent for participation. We also collected demographic information, such as age and
gender, and educational data (course, study field, degree, among other information). The themes
addressed by the survey were: (i) Data Privacy (4 items for students): Whether the university is
allowed to collect, use and analyze the data obtained from the students and for what purpose the
institution may use these data. (ii) Academic Progress (6 items for instructors, 2 for students):
What kind of information could benefit students and instructors helping to check on students’
progress in the courses. (iii) Feedback (4 items for instructors, 3 for students): How students
would like to receive feedback / what are the ways of giving feedback that instructors find
the most appropriate. (iv) Decision-making (2 items for instructors, 1 for students): How
educational data can help students and instructors take action upon problematic situations
identified. (v) Intervention (1 item for instructors, 1 for students): Whether the instructors
or the institution should intervene when being notified by the system of a student at risk, and
how this should be approached. (vi) Training (3 items for instructors): What kind of training
for instructors will be provided for them to be capable of analyzing data efectively.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-2">
        <title>2.2. Context and Participants</title>
        <p>This study was undertaken in a HEI that ofers face-to-face and online courses, with access
to the same LMS (Moodle). While online courses occur fully through this platform, in the
face-to-face courses the LMS is used as support to share materials, submit assignments and
interact in online discussions.</p>
        <p>The questionnaires were created using Google Forms, and sent through the university oficial
communication channels, including social networks and emails lists from departments and
direct contact with course coordinators. The survey had 241 participants from the HEI (192
students and 49 instructors), from several areas of knowledge and courses (online and
face-toface) (Tables 1 and 2). The higher number of participants from Information Technology (IT)
courses is due to the authors’ belonging to this area thus having better reach.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-3">
        <title>2.3. Data Analysis</title>
        <p>The quantitative analysis adopted to answer the first research question focused on the description
of the survey results into two boxplots, which include the median rating score of each item for
ideal and predicted expectations, and the outliers for each scale.</p>
        <p>In order to address RQ2, we compared ideal and realistic expectations from students and
instructors. For this analysis, only participants inclined to agreement were considered, i.e. those
who answered 5 to 7 in the Likert scale. We performed statistical analysis over this sample and
we assessed the percentage of agreement in instructors’ and students’ responses (separately)
and the comparison between ideal and realistic expectation. More specifically, we applied the
McNemar test [17] that performs a statistical comparison of two related samples. In this analysis,
we aimed to reach 95% of reliability.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>3. Results</title>
      <sec id="sec-3-1">
        <title>3.1. Highest and lowest expectations regarding the adoption of LA</title>
        <p>Instructors’ responses are shown in the boxplot in Figure 1, where the vertical lines mark the
lowest, median and highest values; the outer limit of the boxes show the first and third quartiles;
and the dots correspond to outliers. So for instance, in Q4, about visualizing students’ progress,
almost all instructors rated their ideal expectations as 7 (with 3 outliers only); but regarding
realistic expectations the answers ranged mainly from 5 to 7 (being 2 the lowest rating).</p>
        <p>Instructors had high ideal expectations about their institution adopting LA, but were less
optimistic about the viability (median rating scores between 5 and 6). The items with almost
unanimous highest ideal expectations were: access to students’ progress (Q4-I and Q5-I),
university support on data analysis (Q7-I), understanding of data (Q11-I), learning profile (Q12-I)
and visualization of learning performance (Q16-I). Some of these also had the highest median
ratings of perceived feasibility (Q4-I, Q5-I, Q11-I, Q12-I and Q16-I). The item about university
support on data analysis (Q7-I) oscillated between agreement and neutrality, with the biggest
interval (answers between 3 and 7).</p>
        <p>Students had high ideal expectations as well, but lower than instructors’ expectations (Figure
2). The items with highest realistic expectations had the median rating scores between 5 and
7, i.e., higher values than those expressed by the instructors. Students’ highest expectations
regarded consent for use of their educational data (Q2-S) and use of data for other purposes
(Q5-S); accessing their educational progress (Q3-S) and educational goals (Q7-S). The biggest
gap between median ratings (3-7) was found in Q10-S, regarding intervention based on LA
indicating that a student is at-risk of failing or dropping out.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-2">
        <title>3.2. Ideal versus realistic expectations</title>
        <p>Table 3 shows the results of the analysis of instructors’ answers, where "n" refers to the number
of participants inclined to agree with the item (having answered 5-7 in the Likert scale) and
"%" is the percentage of the total number of participant instructors. There were significant
diferences between instructors’ ideal and realistic expectations for the majority of items, but
ideal expectations were higher. Q4-I and Q5-I were the only two items with similarity between
expectation and reality, with high levels of agreement. These items were about instructors
accessing students’ data on courses they are teaching or have taught previously, indicating that
they think that this is viable in their present context. It was not necessary to perform Bonferroni
adjustment, as all statistical tests had significance values less than or equal to 0.01.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>4. Discussion</title>
      <p>In this section, we discuss the survey results considering research in other countries using the
same instrument [8, 10, 16], as well as our previous qualitative results from the same HEI using
the SHEILA instruments for focus groups to investigate similar themes [18, 15].</p>
      <p>Data analysis showed that instructors and students had positive views about the adoption of
LA in their institution, which confirms results from other contexts [ 10, 16], and our previous
ifndings [ 18, 15]. The survey results add that these stakeholders have ideal expectations higher
than realistic expectations, i.e. they wish for LA to be implemented, but are unsure about its
viability in a foreseeable future, considering the context of their institution. Previous research
using the same survey instrument in other HEIs [10, 16] also showed ideal expectations scale
with a ceiling efect, with ideal expectations higher than the realistic, reinforcing the tendency
of stakeholders’ uncertainty about what can be achieved in their present context.</p>
      <p>According to the survey, instructors are particularly interested in visualizing students’
progress, learning profiles and performance, consonant with findings from the focus groups
[18, 15] previously performed, which indicated instructors’ particular interest in: decreasing
students’ dropout; improving students’ learning and their own teaching; and viewing students’
progress. Although in the focus groups, instructors were somewhat reluctant about the access
to and use of students’ data (in line with other research findings [ 10]), fearing that this could
become intrusive, the survey shows that they consider access to student data viable, even at
present (items related to this topic – Q4-I and Q5-I – showed similarity between ideal and
realistic expectations). Meanwhile, they were less optimistic about the support they can get
from HEIs to help them analyze and understand this data, and act upon it (Q7-I) (also previously
identified in the literature as an important challenge [10]).</p>
      <p>According to the survey, students were also especially interested in visualizing their progress
and keeping track of their learning goals. This is in line with qualitative findings, which indicate
that students particularly support the adoption of LA with the purpose of improving their
learning experience. The use of such educational data was of little concern for students in the
focus groups [18, 15], but the survey indicates very high ideal expectations that the HEIs will
keep this data safe (Q2-S) (reinforced by previous similar results [16]). As for the use of personal
data, students were more cautious, which was confirmed by the survey results, where asking for
consent to use their data (Q1-S) appeared as an important aspect, and one that they considered
rather feasible in their present context.</p>
      <p>In the focus groups, students were interested in better feedback through the identification
of weaknesses in their learning and suggestions to improve it (confirming findings in [ 8]),
which is aligned with previous evidence that students need meaningful information about their
progress to motivate them to improve and remain engaged [16]. Students were in favor of
the system alerting instructors early if they were at-risk of failing a course or could improve,
but there were also reflections on their own responsibility for their learning. For their part,
instructors in the focus groups mostly agreed with the obligation for teaching staf and/or HEIs
to take action when dificulties in students’ learning are identified by LA methods, consonant
with [8]. However, in the survey, this same topic (Q14-I) presented a large diference between
instructors’ ideal and realistic expectations, and had the lowest ratings of agreement, indicating
that instructors were in fact unsure about this obligation, as also identified in [ 10]. Students
were also uncertain about the viability of instructors being obliged to take action when they
are identified as underperformers or at-risk (Q10-S, lowest percentage of agreement and larger
diference between ideal and realistic expectations). These somewhat contradictory findings
reflect the hot topic still open to discussion, about the moral obligation instructors would have
to act, versus students’ need to be autonomous and responsible for their learning [10, 19, 16].</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>5. Conclusions, limitations and research directions</title>
      <p>This study presented the findings of a survey aimed at investigating stakeholders’ expectations
on the adoption of LA in a Brazilian HEI, thus adding empirical evidence to the research eforts
towards guiding the development of LA services in LATAM [8]. Following qualitative research
undertaken previously through focus groups [18, 15], the present study aimed to complement
evidence with a quantitative analysis that included a larger number of participants and a
comparison between ideal and realistic expectations of key stakeholders.</p>
      <p>The main limitation of the research is the small size of the sample, given that in the HEI, the
population of the instructors and students is around 1.200 and 17.000, respectively. Additionally,
a large part of the responses were provided by students and instructors from IT related courses,
who are most likely to accept the use of new technologies in their context.</p>
      <p>Our evidences, taken in perspective along with other research within LALA and SHEILA
projects, in LATAM [8] and globally [16][10], reinforce the importance of stakeholder
engagement for a successful implementation of LA. Together, the empirical evidence collected so far by
researchers reveal convergent findings, such as: the need for HEIs to ensure all collected data is
safely kept, within a transparent process with stakeholders’ consent; the benefits that LA can
bring to the learning process by shedding light on students’ needs and making this visible for
them and for the instructors; the wish students have for timely and quality feedback; and the
need expressed by instructors for institutional support to help them understand data and take
efective action upon them.</p>
      <p>Our research and other surveys on the same topic and using the same instrument [10, 16]
show ideal expectations above realistic. The reasons for this disparity may vary substantially in
diferent contexts, including instructors’ self-eficacy, familiarity with technology and analytics,
institutional resources, bureaucracy, and data privacy legislation. Given the particularities of
Latin America since colonization, which led to deep socioeconomic inequality, lack of resources
and systemic institutional eficiency [ 8], stakeholders’ wishes may be more distant to their
actual beliefs than in other regions of Europe and North America. The lack of belief in the
country’s institutions, the lack of self-belief, and low levels of familiarity with technology can
be barriers to stakeholder buy-in, thus important aspect to be considered and addressed by
administrators.</p>
      <p>Another key topic, with divergent expectations in the literature, is about the responsibility to
act, once data become available. Instructors’ opinions vary about how much they should be
expected to take action, for example to contact and help students at-risk. Some researchers and
educators argue that the students, on being informed of their progress with rich information,
should take responsibility for their learning, with instructors’ support. In other words, who
should be the protagonist once data is visualized by all? Instructors’ "obligation to act" is still in
debate [19], along with discussions on the risk of discouraging students’ autonomy and creating
a culture of passivity. This involves complex pedagogical and political decisions that need to be
carefully considered, while maintaining instructors’ and students’ autonomy.</p>
      <p>
        For future work, we intend to broaden the survey and extend the study to managers and
institutional leaders, based on the SHEILA framework. Additionally, we want to establish
partnerships with other Brazilian and Latin American institutions, to run similar studies and
further compare the results. In this way, we hope to help creating evidence that reflects the
identity(ies) of Latin America [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6, 8</xref>
        ], and leads to efective strategies that promote the adoption
of LA in LATAM HEIs.
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