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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Through SNA and Cluster Analysis on Discussion Forum Data</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Pamella L. S. de Oliveira</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Gabriel C. da Silva</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Raphael A. Dourado</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Rodrigo L.</string-name>
          <email>rodrigomuribec@gmail.com</email>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Instituto Federal da Paraíba</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Campus Soledade, R. das Trincheiras, 275, João Pessoa, 58011-000</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="BR">Brasil</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Rua dom Manuel de Medeiros, s/n, Recife, 52171-900</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="BR">Brasil</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2">
          <label>2</label>
          <institution>Universidade Federal de Pernambuco</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Av. Prof. Moraes Rego, 1325, Recife, 50670-901</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="BR">Brasil</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>Given the increasing popularity of online education, it is important to understand how social interaction takes place in the discussion forums commonly used in the platforms that support these courses - the Virtual Learning Environments (VLEs). Since interaction and engagement are two intertwined phenomena in online learning, and the later influences academic performance, it is possible to identify students at risk of dropping out by analyzing their interaction patterns in the discussion forums. In this work, we applied Social Network Analysis (SNA) and cluster analysis to forum data to identify groups of students with different engagement profiles. We identified four profiles and, when analyzing the particularities of each one and relating them to students'grades, we found a connection between engagement profiles and academic performance. Therefore, the characteristics of each engagement profile identified in our work can help teachers and managers in defining strategies to increase student interaction in the virtual environment and thus prevent dropout. Distance education, social network analysis, cluster analysis, engagement, academic performance ORCID: 0000-0001-8251-0992 (A. 1);0000-0002-7470-8613 (A. 2); 0000-0001-6445-6590 (A. 3); 0000-0002-3598-5204 (A. 4)</p>
      </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <p>
        Despite the growing interest and acceptance of distance education, the lack of student-student and
student-teacher social interaction is still an open problem in this domain, which compromises
communication and causes a feeling of isolation among students [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">1</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        Interaction, dialogue and collaboration are factors that determine the nature of learning, since the
quality of distance learning courses is directly related to these factors [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ]. In addition, interaction fosters
student engagement [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ]; He [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ], for instance, found positive correlations between the number of
questions students send to the instructor and their final grades. In sum, the literature shows a relationship
between engagement and learning and its impact on academic performance, acquisition of knowledge,
and motivation.
      </p>
      <p>
        Social Network Analysis (SNA) has been used in previous studies to measure student interaction
and engagement. In [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        ], the authors show how the results from SNA analysis motivated teachers to look
LALA’21: IV LATIN AMERICAN CONFERENCE ON LEARNING ANALYTICS - 2021, October 19–21, 2021, Arequipa, Perú
      </p>
      <p>2020 Copyright for this paper by its authors.
for new ways to monitor their work and of their students’, thus improving collaboration and offering
personalized help to students.</p>
      <p>Although previous studies have used SNA to understand peer interaction, there is still a gap in the
literature when it comes to show how interaction between students can impact engagement and, as
a consequence, influence academic performance. Therefore, the goal of this work is to answer the
following questions: 1) Is it possible to find different engagement profiles on discussion forums using
SNA metrics?; and 2) What are the relationships between engagement profiles and students academic
performance? The remainder of this paper is divided into four sections: background (section 2),
methodology (section 3), results and discussions (section 4), and conclusion (section 5).</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>2. Background: Engagement and Social Networks Analysis</title>
      <p>
        Current literature offers three categories of definitions for educational engagement: (1) the cognitive,
which is related to the idea of effort; (2) the behavioral, which is usually measured from quantitative
aspects in relation to the actions of students; and (3) the emotional, which is associated with the feeling
of belonging to a group [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        In addition, collaboration is one of the social aspects that can be used to measure student engagement
in educational activities, since it can be estimated by the improvement in the volume and quality of
student involvement, satisfaction, engagement and learning [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">3</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        One of the research areas that seeks to understand and measure collaboration is Social Network
Analysis (SNA). According to Saqr et al. [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        ], SNA is a distinct type of analysis that can be used to map
the relationships and interactions between agents within groups in participatory environments. This
technique is widely used in the literature to measure the level of interaction between students and
student-teacher. In [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">2</xref>
        ], for instance, the authors used SNA to find interaction patterns in discussion
forums and, in this way, help instructors in the longstanding issue of following students’ learning
progress effectively.
      </p>
      <p>
        Many studies use the SNA to analyze social interaction and show how this type of analysis can
support teachers and administrators. In [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">7</xref>
        ], the authors use SNA metrics to build a system for tracking
interactions in forums. In the study of [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
        ], SNA techniques were used in conjunction with the Random
Forest prediction algorithm to predict and improve student performance, thus improving motivation and
providing individualized feedback, either by a teacher in a small course or by an automated system in
a massive course.
      </p>
      <p>
        In a previous work [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ], we show that grouping students by engagement profile can help teachers and
management staff reflect and adjust the course to prevent retention and dropouts. In the study of [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        ],
the authors used clustering techniques to analyze student participation in forums; they concluded that
such analysis is useful to identify groups with distinct behavioral characteristics, often imperceptible to
managers and teachers.
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>3. Methodology</title>
      <p>The methodology we used followed an iterative process consisting of eight phases: understanding
the problem, choosing the database, understanding the database, extracting SNA metrics, summarizing
and viewing SNA results, applying clustering algorithms, validating clustering algorithms, and
summarizing the resulting groups. The following sections describe some of these phases in detail.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>3.1. Choosing and understanding the database</title>
      <p>After collecting information from the students, in order to understand the two questions of this
research, it was necessary to search for articles in the literature that dealt with social network analysis
and engagement. Therefore, readings were made in systematic reviews that addressed engagement and
SNA.</p>
      <p>We used data from a Biology program offered online by Universidade de Pernambuco (a public
state university in Brazil) through the Moodle LMS platform. The collected data included grades of
webquest activities, graded posts in discussion forums, and face-to-face tests plus the interaction logs
of chat and discussion forums. We included in the analysis only the students that participated in the
four graded forums required by each course in the program, which totalled 616 students. The whole
Biology program is composed of fifteen courses and lasts eight semesters.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>3.2. Extracting SNA metrics and summarizing the results</title>
      <p>We extracted the SNA metrics for student engagement (measured by their interaction in the
discussion boards) using RStudio (https://www.rstudio.com/) and the igraph network analysis package
(https://igraph.org/). In this way, we obtained the values for the indegree, outdegree, degree, closeness
and betweenness metrics. To plot the graphs, we used Gephi (https://gephi.org/).</p>
      <sec id="sec-5-1">
        <title>Importance in the educational context</title>
        <p>Indicates how many connections the student received, thus
being useful to measure their popularity.</p>
        <p>Indicates how many connections the student has made, showing
each student's contribution to the others.</p>
        <p>Indicates whether the interaction is centralized in a small group
of students or evenly distributed in the network.</p>
        <p>Indicates the distance between students in the network.</p>
        <p>Therefore, those with higher values are considered isolated and
have received little information and influence from the network.</p>
        <p>Shows students who are responsible for distributing information
among students, and thereby connecting multiple groups.</p>
        <p>Table 1 describes the importance of each metric in the educational context. These metrics allow the
identification of isolated students, the popularity of each student, those who influence the network, and
those who are central to the dissemination of information in the network.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>3.3. Application and validation of clustering algorithms</title>
      <p>
        We used cluster analysis to search for engagement profiles in discussion boards. This technique is
useful to classify the data in different groups or categories initially unknown based on automatically
identified patterns found by manipulating the characteristics of the data [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>Initially, we used the Hopkins statistic to find the best subset in our data. Then, we used two
approaches to find the ideal number of clusters: the Elbow and hierarchical methods. Finally, we
validated the clusters using internal and external validations.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-7">
      <title>4. Results and Discussions</title>
      <p>In this section, we present the results from the SNA and cluster analysis. Subsections 4.1 to 4.4 detail
the results of each step in our analysis process and how each of them builds on the results of the previous
one. Subsection 4.5 discusses the relationships we found between engagement profiles and academic
performance. Finally, Subsection 4.6 characterizes the four engagement profiles identified in our work.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-8">
      <title>4.1. Extraction of SNA metrics</title>
      <p>Figure 1 shows the graphical representation for four SNA metrics: (a) indegree, (b) outdegree, (c)
closeness e (d) betweenness, generated with Gephi. Each node represents a unique student, each edge
represents the interaction between two students, and the size and color of the nodes represents the level
of interaction for the student --- the greener and bigger the node, the higher that student interaction was.
These graphs reinforce the uniformity in students’ interaction levels shown in Table 2: while some
students interact a lot (the greener nodes), most of the others show low interaction levels.</p>
      <p>Therefore, given that interaction in the discussion boards does not occur uniformly, teachers can
benefit from knowing the different engagement profiles to personalize their practice accordingly.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-9">
      <title>4.2. Clustering of SNA metrics</title>
      <p>
        After extracting and visualizing the SNA metrics, we further analyzed them using clustering
techniques to look for different engagement profiles and understand how they relate to students'
academic performance. First, we used the Hopkins statistic to find the best set or metrics for clustering.
This statistic evaluates the grouping tendency of a dataset; according to Kassambara [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
        ], the closer the
Hopkins statistic result is to zero, the greater is the possibility of finding significant clusters in the
dataset. We tested five combinations and the one that yielded the best results (Hopkins’ statistic closest
to zero) was the mean of the SNA metrics “indegree”, “outdegree”, “degree”, and “closeness”
calculated for each of the four forums available in the course. Therefore, we adopted this combination.
      </p>
      <p>
        Then, we used two methods to find the ideal number of clusters: Elbow and Hierarchical. The Elbow
method tests the data variance in relation to the number of clusters; it finds the optimal number of
clusters (cut-off point) when an increase in this number does not result in a significant gain value [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ].
The hierarchical method, on the other hand, works by successively grouping or dividing elements, in
which elements are aggregated or disaggregated in order to build a hierarchy of clusters. The result of
the hierarchical grouping is represented through a cluster tree, also called Dendrogram [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
        ]. In both
methods, the results indicated that the optimal number of clusters for our dataset was four.
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-10">
      <title>4.3. Cluster validation measures</title>
      <p>
        To evaluate the quality of our clusters, we ran two types of validation: internal and external. For
internal validation, we used the Dunn index and the Silhouette Coefficient methods. The Dunn index is
useful for identifying compact and well-separated clusters, which is the case when the distance between
the clusters is large and their diameter is small. Thus, large values for the Dunn index indicate the
presence of compact and well-separated clusters [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">12</xref>
        ]. The Silhouette Coefficient returns a value
between -1 and 1; a value close to 1 indicates a good clustering. The tests were performed using the
KMeans algorithm with values varying from two to six for K. The respective results for K considering
the Dunn index are: 1.19, 0.63, 0.56, 0.52, 0.64. As for the silhouette coefficient, they were: 0.49, 0.45,
0.49, 0.50, 0.52.
      </p>
      <p>The value six for K presented the best result for the silhouette coefficient and the second best for the
Dunn index. However, the results from the hierarchical and Elbow method indicated an optimal number
of four clusters. Therefore, it was necessary to run an external validation to decide between using 4 or
6 clusters.</p>
      <p>
        For external validation, we used the Rand index, which provides a measure to assess the similarity
between two randomly fitted partitions. This index ranges from -1 (no agreement) to 1 (perfect
agreement) [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
        ]. We then used it to verify the difference of the grouping with values of four and six for
K. The test returned a value of 0.94, indicating that there was a perfect agreement between these groups,
which allowed the choice of either one.
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-11">
      <title>4.4. Graphical representation of the clusters</title>
      <p>Finally, as the Rand index indicated an agreement between the values of 4 and 6 for the number of
clusters, we analyzed the balance of the clusters to make a decision. In the 4-cluster scenario, the size
of each cluster was, respectively,: 282, 89, 13, and 232 students. In the 6-cluster scenario, the sizes
were: 225, 8, 271, 22, 85, and 5. Therefore, the 4-cluster scenario resulted in more balanced clusters,
which led us to choose this option to proceed with the study.</p>
      <p>
        The choice of the K-Means algorithm was because it is considered the most used non-hierarchical
algorithm and when compared to the hierarchical method, this method is faster [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
        ]. The graph in Figure
2 shows the cluster formed by the K-Means algorithm. It is possible to see in the graph that the four
groups have small intersections between them, indicating that some observations are very close to
groups different from yours. However, most observations are distant from other groups, indicating that
they actually belong to the group in which they are found.
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-12">
      <title>4.5. Linking SNA metrics and academic performance</title>
      <p>In this section, we analyze the clusters behavior in relation to SNA metrics and students’ average
grades in the webquest activities, exams, and graded forum posts. These results are shown in Figures 3
and 4 through boxplots, which allow the identification of central tendencies, variability, and outliers.
Analyzing how interaction takes place within the discussion forums and identifying the different group
profiles is essential so that teachers can adopt methodologies based on the profile of each group.</p>
      <p>By observing the metrics for each cluster in Figures 3 and 4, we can spot several distinct
characteristics. In cluster 1, both the SNA metrics and grades’ average values coincide with the
median, indicating that students belonging to this group have an irregular interaction pattern, which
leads to also irregular grades. Cluster 2 shows good median results for the “outdegree” and “degree”
metrics as well as for the average grades; however, the median of “indegree” and ExamsAvgGrade are
not as good, which suggests that students in this group interact consistently in the forums but other
students do not interact back with them, thus explaining the low values for the ExamsAvgGrade metric.
Cluster 3 stood out among the four groups, since it is the only one that does not have any outlier and
shows the highest median value for the “betweenness” and WebquestsAvgGrade; this means that
students in this group interact with different groups, building bridges between them, which resulted in
the good grades shown for this group in Figure 4. Finally, cluster 4 showed the worst results, with
median values of zero for three out of the five interaction metrics and many outliers in the grades metrics
(Figure 4); therefore, students in this group show the lowest interaction levels and high variance in their
grades.</p>
      <p>
        Therefore, the results presented above suggest that there is a relationship between engagement,
interaction, and academic performance. This is in line with previous studies that suggest a correlation
between student engagement and successful learning outcomes, as discussed in [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">13</xref>
        ].
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-13">
      <title>4.6. Characterization of engagement profiles</title>
      <p>Table 3 describes the four engagement profiles identified in this work for students' interaction
in forums plus the particular characteristics of each group. In general, it can be concluded that group
1, the “sporadic” ones, are students who interact irregularly in the forums. Group 2, “socializer”,
represents the most active students in the forums, the ones who interact regularly. Group 3, “integrator”,
are the students who interact with different student profiles, building bridges in the class. Finally, group
4, “isolated”, are the ones with lower participation level.</p>
      <sec id="sec-13-1">
        <title>Name Characteristics</title>
        <p>It is a group made up of people who use the forum feature with irregular
periodicity. Students in this group are likely to be students who only try to
Sporadic interact when they have questions. In this way, they obtain average grades
that are a reflection of the irregularity in the interaction.</p>
        <p>It's a very active group in the forums. Students belonging to this group are
very communicative and are the ones who most seek to interact with other
Socializer students, even when their counterparts do not respond to these interaction
attempts. It is possible that these students interact mostly in an attempt to
have their questions about the course subjects answered by classmates.</p>
        <p>Students belonging to this group have the ability to interact with colleagues
from groups with different interaction profiles, building bridges between the
Integrator groups. As a result, these students are able to gain knowledge in different
ways and contribute to increase collaboration in the forums. This behavior
also leads to higher grades when comparing other groups.</p>
        <p>This is the group with the lowest level of engagement in forum discussions.</p>
        <p>Isolated Students in this group are the ones who rarely seek to interact with others.</p>
        <p>However, some students in this group are contacted by other students in
search of interaction.</p>
        <p>In sum, these results can change the perception of educators about how interaction happens in
forums, which may influence the way they plan and monitor such learning activities in search of
improving students’ interaction and engagement. Also, analyzing the particularities of the different
interaction profiles can help in adopting personalized pedagogical interventions for each group.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-14">
      <title>5. Conclusion</title>
      <p>This study aimed to examine the interaction in discussion forums using social network analysis to
find the values of the indegree, outdegree, degree, closeness and betweenness metrics. This allowed us
to confirm that the interaction in the forums does not happen in a uniform way. We then used cluster
analysis on the SNA metrics to identify the different student profiles, which revealed four groups:
sporadic, solicializer, integrator, and isolated.</p>
      <p>We also looked for relationships between engagement profiles and academic performance. For this
purpose, we analyzed the behavior of each group and the grades they obtained in the course activities,
which revealed a relationship between the SNA metrics and grades.Students in the 'Integrator' group
are seen as bridges between groups and obtain the best grades. The 'Socializers' group represents the
most communicative students, although there is a high variation in their grades. The ‘Sporadics’ group
shows an irregular participation in the forums and average grades. Finally, the group of ‘Isolated’
students is the one with the lowest interaction levels and also low grades.</p>
      <p>Overall, this study was able to show that 1) it is possible to find different engagement profiles
through SNA metrics, and 2) there is a relationship between engagement and academic performance.
Therefore, knowledge of these different engagement profiles can help educators in making decisions to
avoid student failure and dropout. As future work, we intend to apply the same analysis techniques used
in this work to other datasets (such as other courses or programs) and also test other EDM techniques
to discover new behaviors or predict student behaviors.</p>
    </sec>
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