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<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>A Method for Formalizing Knowledge About Planning UAV Flight Routes in Conditions of Uncertainty</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Aleksandr Tymochko</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Natalia Korolyuk</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Аnastasia Korolyuk</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Elena Korshets</string-name>
          <email>korshets_l@ukr.net</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Ivan ChernyakhovskyNational Defense University</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Povitroflotskyi Avenue, 28, Kyiv 03049</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="UA">Ukraine</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>Vasil Karazin Kharkiv National University</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>4 Svobody Sq., Kharkiv, 61022</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="UA">Ukraine</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>It is advisable to use heuristic methods for the task of planning the flight routes of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) at the planning stage of monitoring and reconnaissance. With their help they look for solutions within some subspace of possible acceptable solutions. They are the best in terms of taking into account the practice, experience, intuition, knowledge of the decision maker. The values of individual predicted factors should be represented using the mathematical apparatus of fuzzy sets. A method of formalizing knowledge about UAV flight route planning has been developed. It is based on interval fuzzy sets. In conditions of uncertainty, they allow to formalize the factors that take into account the conditions of monitoring, search, detection and destruction of objects, the impact of the external environment on the range of UAVs. This effect is manifested in the form of linguistic and interval-estimated parameters for each option, which allow to take into account the uncertainty. The developed method allows to form the area of definition of linguistic variables. These variables are used to describe the conditions for monitoring, reconnaissance and the impact of the environment on the range of UAVs. Such variables are also used to form from the set of the most important objects of monitoring, exploration of the most significant ground objects on the basis of an assessment of the degree of non-dominance of elements. The proposed approach provides a formalization of UAV flight route options for each possible scenario of the location of objects, the impact of the external environment. The result of formalization is fuzzy production rules, where fuzzy linguistic utterances are used as the antecedent and consequent.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>1 Unmanned aerial vehicle</kwd>
        <kwd>production rules</kwd>
        <kwd>fuzzy linguistic statements</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <p>The most important task of the Armed Forces
(AF) of Ukraine in the defense nature of military
doctrine is the constant monitoring of the enemy.
Monitoring should ensure a timely and organized
transition of troops from peacetime to martial law.
The main role is played by monitoring and
intelligence. Their tasks are to provide the
leadership and headquarters in a timely manner
with complete and reliable information about the
enemy. Among the available technical means
capable of quickly and efficiently collecting the
necessary information, one can single out
unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs). When
monitoring the area, UAVs fly over the area of
interest and collect the necessary data.</p>
      <p>Thus, UAVs can be used to monitor forests,
fields, borders, for environmental and
meteorological monitoring, search and rescue
missions, for military purposes, etc. The presence
of large potential capabilities of UAVs does not
guarantee the achievement of the specified
efficiency of reconnaissance and monitoring. Its
increase can be achieved by intelligently
predicting the behavior of UAVs. This takes into
account the influence of environmental factors,
the behavioral nature of the objects of monitoring,
knowledge and experience of UAV operators.</p>
      <p>
        The experience of practical application of
UAVs [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1 ref2 ref3">1-3</xref>
        ] in performing field monitoring tasks
in real combat conditions revealed the difficulty
in making an informed decision on the selection
and construction of rational flight routes.
Managing UAVs for monitoring, searching,
detecting, and destroying objects is a complex,
poorly formalized task. It is resolved under the
condition of opposition of the opposite party
(conflict) and requires the use of methods in the
field of artificial intelligence. First of all, it
concerns decision support systems, methods of
presentation and formalization of knowledge,
models of fuzzy sets.
      </p>
      <p>At present, the combination of stochastic and
non-stochastic uncertainty factors influencing this
process is insufficiently taken into account when
selecting appropriate options for the UAV flight
route. Factors of non-stochastic uncertainty have
the nature of behavioral uncertainty. Therefore, it
is necessary to adapt pre-designed
decisionmaking models to change many possible
situations.</p>
      <p>
        Tasks of this class require increasing the level
of automation of their solution. The reason for this
is the dynamism, ephemerality and high degree of
uncertainty of the air and ground conditions, time
constraints. But the task of automating the
planning of UAV flight routes is complicated by
the need to take into account the experience of
decision makers (DM). This requires formalizing
one's own knowledge and experience in ATS. To
work with knowledge, including its formalization,
it is necessary to improve mathematical support
and software (MSS). Trends in the development
of MSS show the need for the introduction of
modern information technology (IT), including
intelligent IT. They are aimed at creating and
using the knowledge bases (KB) of the UAV
control system (CS) [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13 ref14 ref15 ref16 ref22">13-16, 22</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>
        The knowledge base is a set of rules, facts,
derivation mechanisms and software that describe
a subject area and are designed to represent the
accumulated knowledge in it [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">17</xref>
        ]. The most
difficult stage of creating a database is the
formalization of knowledge in a given subject
area.
      </p>
      <p>Global trends in research in the field of control
theory are concentrated in two areas – artificial
intelligence and machine learning, robotics and
decision theory. Artificial intelligence
technologies are actively used in the military
sphere. Work is being actively carried out to
increase the autonomy of the functioning of
combat systems.</p>
      <p>
        The article [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">4</xref>
        ] considers the principles of
construction of the distributed external and
onboard components of the control system of a
group of reconnaissance and strike unmanned
aerial vehicles.
      </p>
      <p>
        In [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">5</xref>
        ] the models of collective control of
manned and unmanned aerial vehicles are
presented. Methodical support of training of
aircraft control operators and engineers of air
navigation systems is offered.
      </p>
      <p>
        In the article [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ] the analysis of an estimation
of efficiency and criteria of reliability of group
flights of UAVs is carried out. The algorithm of
search of the central repeater of group of UAV for
ensuring transfer of a control signal in group is
developed.
      </p>
      <p>
        The article [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">7</xref>
        ] discusses the advantages and
disadvantages of centralized and decentralized
architecture of UAV group management, presents
tables of the dependence of the level of onboard
automation and the number of UAVs in the group.
      </p>
      <p>
        The article [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
        ] developed a method of planning
the flight path of UAVs to search for a dynamic
object in the forest-steppe area, taking into
account possible options for its movement.
      </p>
      <p>
        The article [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        ] is devoted to the development
of a meta-model of a multi-agent system for
searching and influencing a ground object by a
group of unmanned aerial vehicles under a
centralized control variant. The base of rules of
logical inference for agents according to the
solved tasks and a role of the agent in group which
is based on use of production model is developed.
      </p>
      <p>
        The work [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
        ] is devoted to the development
of a method of UAV route planning when
performing missions to search for a stationary
object. The method allows to take into account the
distribution of probabilities of importance of the
area of the task.
      </p>
      <p>
        In [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
        ] a method of substantiation of the
optimal route of air reconnaissance was
developed. The paper proposes indicators and
criteria for the effectiveness of the search for a
dynamic object.
      </p>
      <p>
        In [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">12</xref>
        ] the issue of efficiency of decentralized
control of UAV group and operator load when
 ̃ = {( ,  ,   ̃ ( ,  ))|∀ ∈  , ∀ ∈  
The discrete  ̃ can be represented as
external environment are considered, which, in
turn, make changes in the initial result of UAV
flight planning. These factors are taken into
account with a high degree of subjectivity of the
person planning the flight route. In [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14 ref15">14, 15</xref>
        ]
mathematical models are considered, which aim
to increase the efficiency of
monitoring. To
determine the optimal flight route, it is necessary
to
calculate
the
probability
of
performing
reconnaissance tasks. However, the experience of
using UAVs in local conflicts shows the need to
take into account the factors that affect the
effectiveness of monitoring and reconnaissance
operations with UAVs. It is necessary to take into
account the threats and limitations of natural and
technical nature [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16 ref17">16, 17</xref>
        ], which significantly
affect the final result of the flight task.
      </p>
      <p>The result of the literature analysis indicates
the relevance and prospects of research in the
direction of developing intelligent UAV control
systems. search, detection and destruction of
objects.</p>
      <p>Thus, a change in approaches to planning
UAV flight routes will make it possible to better
solve
the
problems of
observation, search,
detection and destruction of objects.</p>
      <p>The purpose of the study is to develop a
method of formalizing
knowledge about the
planning of UAV flight routes on the basis of
interval fuzzy sets in the
monitoring, search,
detection and destruction of objects in conditions
of uncertainty.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>2. Problem analysis (Main part)</title>
      <p>To formalize the knowledge of UAV flight
route planning, it is advisable to use interval fuzzy
sets of type 2 (IFST2). For IFST2, the values of
the membership functions of the second order are
constant. That is, the membership function is
unified (homogeneous) in contrast to the general
fuzzy sets of type 2 (FST2).</p>
      <p>
        Іnterval fuzzy sets of type 2 allow you to use
all the tools of interval calculations and are
expressed
by the
degree
of truth
  ̃ ( ,  ) ≤ 1,which is expressed
and  ∈   ⊆ [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">0,1</xref>
        ], 0 ≤
      </p>
      <p>
        If   ( ) = 1, ∀ ∈ [  ,  ̅] ⊆ [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">0,1</xref>
        ], then the
membership function of the second type   ̃ ( ,  )
is expressed by the lower membership function of
the first type
      </p>
      <p>
        ≡   ̃ ( ) and, accordingly, the
upper membership function of the first type  ̅ ≡
 ̅̃ ( ). Then IFST2 can be represented as
 ̃ =
⊆ [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">0,1</xref>
        ]
{
( ,  , 1)|∀ ∈  , ∀ ∈ [  ̃ ( ),  ̅̃ ( )]
}
(3)
      </p>
      <p>The article proposes the use of triangular fuzzy
numbers (TFN) and trapezoidal fuzzy intervals
(TFI). The expediency of their use is due to the
simplicity of operations on them and visual
graphical interpretation.</p>
      <p>In the general case, the fuzzy interval is called</p>
      <sec id="sec-2-1">
        <title>IFST2</title>
        <p>A
</p>
        <p>with convex upper and lower
membership functions, limiting the area of
uncertainty of this IFST2. The fuzzy number of</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-2">
        <title>IFST2 is called IFST2 with convex and</title>
        <p>A

unimodal upper and lower membership functions,
which limit the area of uncertainty of this IFST2.</p>
        <p>Features of the representation of TFN or TFI
in terms of IFST2 are as follows:</p>
        <p>– the left and right boundaries of fuzzy
quantities in terms of IFST2 are not points but
uncertainty intervals;
¯
– the
extreme</p>
        <p>values of the uncertainty
intervals, in turn, are the boundaries of the two
FST1. They are defined by the upper membership
function  ̅̃ and the lower membership function
  ̃ . These functions limit the occupied area of
uncertainty (FOU) TFNIFST2 or TFIIFST2 above
and below, respectively;</p>
        <p>– the upper  ̅̃ and lower   ̃ membership
functions determine the normal convex FST1 on a
non-empty carrier. Moreover, in the case of TFN
IFST2 it will be unimodal normal convex FST1.</p>
        <p>
          Thus, it is proposed to formally present the
¯
parameters [
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18 ref19 ref20 ref21 ref22">18-22</xref>
          ]
FOU TFNIFST2  ̃ in the form of a tuple with

( ̃ ) = 〈 ̅ ,   ,  ̅ ,   ,  ̅ ,   〉,
(4)
where  ̅ – left fuzzy coefficient  ̅̃ ∆;
¯
¯
¯
  – left fuzzy coefficient   ̃ ∆;
a

        </p>
        <p>– center (modal value)  ̅̃ ∆;
а
 – center (modal value)   ̃ ∆
 ̅ – right fuzzy coefficient  ̅̃ ∆;
  – right fuzzy coefficient   ̃ ∆.</p>
        <p>In this case, the triangular upper membership
function  ̅̃ ∆; 
unimodal convex FST1 on a nonempty carrier –
an open interval [ ̅ −  ̅ ,  ̅ +  ̅ ], and the
( ̃ ) generates a normal
triangular function   ̃ ∆ 
normal unimodal convex FST1 on a nonempty
carrier – open interval [  −   ,   +   ].</p>
        <p>It is also proposed to formally represent FOU
TFI IFST2 in the form of a tuple with the
¯
¯
¯
¯
following parameters:
( ̃ ) generates a
where  ̅ – left fuzzy coefficient  ̅̃п;
  – left fuzzy coefficient   ̃п;
 ̅ – lower modal value  ̅̃п;
  – lower modal value   ̃п;
 ̅ – upper modal value  ̅̃п;</p>
        <p>– upper modal value   ̃п;
 ̅ – right fuzzy coefficient  ̅̃п;
  – right fuzzy coefficient   ̃п.
(5)</p>
        <p>In this case, the trapezoidal upper membership
function  ̅̃п 
( ̃ )
generates a
normal
convex FST1 on a nonempty carrier – an open
interval [ ̅ −  ̅ ,  ̅ +  ̅ ], and the trapezoidal
lower function   ̃п</p>
        <p>( ̃ ) generates a normal
unimodal convex FST1 on a non-empty carrier –
open interval.</p>
        <p>In this case, the set of fuzzy production rules
will be called the base of rules (BR). It is intended
for
• by the structure of fuzzy production rules:
SISO – a structure that implements one input and
one output; MISO – a structure that implements
many inputs and one output; MIMO is a structure
that implements many inputs and many outputs.</p>
        <p>When
formalizing
knowledge
about
the
process of planning the route of the UAV flight in
the form of a fuzzy production rule that describes
a predetermined version of the UAV routes, we
will use the rules with MISO-structure.</p>
        <p>These conditions are factors that take into
account the conditions of monitoring, the impact
of the external environment, and the conclusions
– recommendations on the appropriate route of the</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-3">
        <title>UAV flight in specific conditions.</title>
        <p>When developing a method of formalizing
knowledge about the planning of UAV flight
routes on the basis of interval fuzzy sets, the
following limitations and assumptions are taken
into account:</p>
        <p>- issues related to the assessment of the
adequacy and informativeness of the parameters
used to describe the
projected situation are
considered resolved and are not considered in this
study;</p>
        <p>- construction of membership functions for
conditions and conclusions of fuzzy production
rules begins with the use of the simplest forms of
membership
functions
–
piecewise
linear
functions. Subsequently, their nature can be
clarified and taken into account during the
adjustment of the rules (for example, at the stage
of learning a fuzzy logical system);</p>
        <p>- issues of ensuring the completeness and
consistency of a set of fuzzy production rules in
this study are not considered.</p>
        <p>The method of formalizing knowledge about
the process of planning a reconnaissance flight of
a UAV based on IFST2 includes the following
main stages:</p>
        <p>- presentation of factors that take into account
the
conditions
of
monitoring,
exploration,
environmental impact in the form of linguistic
variables for each projected option;
- formation
objects of monitoring, intelligence based on the
assessment of the degree of non-dominance of the
elements;</p>
        <p>- presentation of options for the location of
ground objects, the impact of the external
environment, the appropriate variant of the UAV
flight route in the form of fuzzy production rules,
where as an antecedent, a follower use fuzzy
linguistic statements.</p>
        <p>Thus, it is investigated that for the task of UAV
flight route planning at the planning and
reconnaissance planning stage it is expedient to
use heuristic methods. They are looking for
solutions within some subspace of possible
acceptable solutions. They are the best in terms of
taking into account the practice, experience,
intuition, knowledge of ATS. The values of
individual predicted factors should be represented
using the mathematical apparatus of fuzzy sets. A
method for formalizing knowledge about UAV
flight route planning based on interval fuzzy sets
in conditions of uncertainty has been developed.
With its help it is possible to formalize the factors
that take into account the conditions of
monitoring, search, detection and destruction of
objects, the impact of the external environment on
the range of UAVs.</p>
        <p>They are presented in the form of linguistic
and interval-estimated parameters for each option.
This approach allows:
- take into account uncertainty;
- to form the area of definition of linguistic
variables that are used to describe the conditions
of monitoring, reconnaissance and the impact of
the external environment on the range of UAVs;
- to form from a set of the most important
objects of monitoring, reconnaissance of the most
significant ground objects on the basis of an
estimation of a degree of non-dominance of
elements;</p>
        <p>- to formalize the flight options of the UAV for
each possible variant of the location of objects, the
influence of the external environment in the form
of fuzzy production rules, where fuzzy linguistic
statements are used as an antecedent, a
consequent.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>3. Conclusions</title>
      <p>The calculation of the mathematical
expectation of the time to perform individual
operations in the construction of UAV flight
routes at the planning stage is carried out.</p>
      <p>
        In the traditional approach, the time for
information preparation and direct planning of
UAV routes is up to 66% of the total time for
making a decision [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10 ref19 ref22">10, 19, 22</xref>
        ].
      </p>
      <p>The mathematical expectation of the total time
for making a decision is  ∗[ ̅ ]=211,59 s; the
time spent on entering the initial data –
 ∗[ ̅ ]=67 s (up to 31% from  ∗[ ̅ ]) the waiting
time for the result of solving the problem –
 ∗[ ̅ ]=73,63 s (up to 35% from  ∗[ ̅ ]).
Efficiency of decision-making by a
decisionmaker at the stage of planning UAV flight routes
may turn out to be unacceptably low (P=0.47 ...
0.9). To increase the efficiency of
decisionmaking, it is necessary to reduce the time for
preparation and the direct solution of the problem.</p>
      <p>In the proposed approach to planning the
routes of the UAV reconnaissance flight, the
mathematical expectation of the total time for
making a decision was  ∗[ ̅ ]=103,59 s, the time
spent by the decision-maker for entering the initial
data was –  ∗[ ̅ ]=13,74 s (up to 13%
from  ∗[ ̅ ]), the waiting time for the decision
result was –  ∗[ ̅ ]=33,71 s (up to 32% from
 ∗[ ̅ ]).</p>
      <p>The proposed approach to planning UAV
flight routes under conditions of uncertainty
makes it possible to reduce the total
decisionmaking time by up to 2 times.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>4. References</title>
    </sec>
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