=Paper=
{{Paper
|id=Vol-3179/Short_5.pdf
|storemode=property
|title=Information Technology for Forecasting and Guaranteeing of Software-Hardware Complexes Information Security Indicators
|pdfUrl=https://ceur-ws.org/Vol-3179/Short_5.pdf
|volume=Vol-3179
|authors=Victoriia Mironova,Mykola Pyroh,Iryna Harko
|dblpUrl=https://dblp.org/rec/conf/iti2/MironovaPH21
}}
==Information Technology for Forecasting and Guaranteeing of Software-Hardware Complexes Information Security Indicators==
https://ceur-ws.org/Vol-3179/Short_5.pdf
Information Technology for Forecasting and Guaranteeing of
Software-Hardware Complexes Information Security Indicators
Victoriia Mironovaa, Mykola Pyroha and Iryna Harkoa,b
a
Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Bohdana Havrylyshyna St, 24, Kyiv, 04116, Ukraine
b
National Technical University of Ukraine “Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute”, Politekhnichna St, 41,
Academic building № 18, Kyiv, 03056, Ukraine
Abstract
The information technology of polyergatic organizations for forecasting and guaranteeing
information security of software and hardware complexes is developed. The dependence of the
final report document on changes in the processes of information activity forms knowledge
with the active use of innovative technical and technological decisions is proved. The structural
and functional support of each system intellectual agent computer integration efforts is
proposed to ensure synergistic multicriteria efficiency and safety of the software and hardware
complexes functioning in conditions of increased risk of cyber-attacks. The goal of this article
is to develop the methodological and theoretical principles of system integration of
heterogeneous technological processes based on the awareness of the future state of improving
information security through the innovative development of the software-hardware complexes
nowadays. Methods of analysis and synthesis of complex dynamic systems with fixation of
role participation of each intellectual agent are described in accordance with the principles of
Agile for development and construction and the fundamental contribution of procedures for
measuring, predicting, testing and making step-by-step solutions. The result is displayed in the
form of tables and a block diagram of hierarchical cyclic interactions for the purpose.
Fundamental metrization of key concepts and system-forming processes provides the
functional stability of future technological and technological solutions to the predicted
interval of global awareness of space-time phenomena in the universe. Our proposed
technology in the distributed hierarchical information analytical complex team in advance
raises public awareness of certain trends in the external environment.
Keywords1
information security, engineering knowledge, measurement, testing forecasting, innovations,
security technology.
1. Introduction
Ensuring the development of machinery and technology to improve information security depends
on the development of science and engineering knowledge aimed on the future [1-3]. Aspects of the
relationship between probable prediction and reliable existence of the predicted change in the processes
information activities forms with cognition with the use of innovative technical and technological
solutions [4-6]. Polyergatic production organizations of scientific and critical direction, for software
and hardware complexes in open information systems implement acts of action. These acts record the
transitions from known to unknown, from safe operation to volatile situations in non-stationary
conditions of numerous environmental influences with significant changes in information and analytical
parameters [7].
The purpose of the work is to develop methodological and theoretical principles of heterogeneous
technological processes system integration based on awareness of the future information security
improvement state through nowadays software and hardware innovative development.
Information technology and implementation (IT&I-2021), December 1–3, 2021, Kyiv, Ukraine
EMAIL: vicky.mironova@gmail.com (V. Mironova); mykola.pyroh@yahoo.com (M. Pyroh); garko.iryna@gmail.com (I. Harko)
ORCID: 0000-0002-0878-0967 (V. Mironova); 0000-0003-2588-6066 (M. Pyroh); 0000-0003-0671-6336 (I. Harko)
©️ 2022 Copyright for this paper by its authors.
Use permitted under Creative Commons License Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0).
CEUR Workshop Proceedings (CEUR-WS.org)
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The set scientific task is achieved by solving partial goals.
1. Formalization of the terminological basis for predicting and forecasting the software and
hardware complexes safety indicators.
2. Determining the conditions for the technical and technological solutions integration of modern
intelligent technologies and methodologies for the functional stability management on the basis
of innovative information analytical complex tools.
3. Guaranteeing the quality and efficiency of polyergatic means for the measurement processes
controlling, forecasting, testing, generalization of thus formed technical and technological
solutions.
2. Problem statement
At the same time, the real global problems of the state information security have a complex socio-
natural character. Therefore, futurological (futurum + logos) research for information-analytical
complex is performed in cooperation with experts of many countries and leading IT companies in order
to obtain plausible forecasts for 20-30 years ahead to future epochs. Scientific regional or local
predictions are aimed at basic knowledge of current situations, direct review trends, short (up to 5 years)
intervals. The main thing is to have the available resources to carry out alternate self-adjustment of the
plan, project and programs of management and acts of action implementation in accordance with the
agreed tasks of the information analytical complex in the face of cyber-attacks and uncertainty. Such
scientific and engineering forecasting of integrated technical and technological solutions allows to
reveal possible variants according to situations with definition of space-time continuum. Then to answer
the question "where, when, what awaits us (object) in the future?" it is necessary to implement step by
step rational management according to sound strategies, tactics and operations to ensure the functional
stability of a complex dynamic system [8].
3. Review of the literature
Current state of research in the area of information system security is quite wide and is developing
from year to year. Modern researchers concentrate their attention on ongoing security problems,
defending information and intellectual systems from external attacks and internal issues. Fundamental
challenges and vulnerabilities of computing systems are described and determined [1-3]. Security
mechanisms, indicators and techniques of control and monitor security of each type of distributed
information analytical complexes are described [4-5]. Approaches for monitoring, intrusion detections,
encrypting, distributing accesses and interfaces, authentication and authorization and more others give
opportunity to have a sufficient level of security and functional stability of nowadays existing
informational and intellectual systems [6-7]. On another hand, scientific literature from all over the
world gives researchers strong understanding that fast development and growing amount of information
technologies and systems requires from architectures, designers, and developers of such systems to
overtake this grow with the new approaches of new approaches to ensure the safety and stability of both
new and existing technical and technological solutions implementation [8]. All modern scientists agree
that scientific knowledge in the field of information systems security requires constant research and
expansion of scientific and technical approaches to ensure stability. Methodology of improving
functional stability of various distributed information systems should include all past experience in
models, methods and tools for automating the process for controlling ergatic innovative systems and
investigate new approaches such as agile methodology, function distribution and microservice
architecture to make system more robust and resistant to new vulnerabilities not known yet.
4. Presentation of the main research material
The paradigm of key concepts fundamental metrization is designed to ensure the functional stability
of the target resulting technical and technological solutions implementation in the yet unpredictable,
undescribed, unreasonable future.
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Intelligent system agent (IAS) [7,8] is a part of polyergatic production organizations’ information
analytical complex. Intelligent system agent competence - knowledge of technical sciences in the field
of informatization, engineering, technology, physics, dynamics, economic and intellectual security for
information analytical complex by means of guaranteeing system resilience to failures and cyberattacks.
Information spatial-situational awareness a set of security knowledge necessary and reliable for the
further development and management of the formation processes according to continuous successive
acts of action to transform the past-present into the future of information system software and hardware
complex under the influence of environment.
Collective awareness within polyergatic production organizations’ information analytical complex
presupposes the level of information spatial-situational awareness competence of each specialist (as
intelligent system agent, which has the ability according to its available resources and stocks) to perform
professional acts in current situations. Separation of functions and hierarchy of subordination within
polyergatic production organizations’ information analytical complex is clearly formalized and
structured in work regulations depending on operational situations. An example of architectural
construction (Table 1) is provided for future polyergatic production organizations’ information
analytical complex. Each of the system unit provides concrete actions and tasks to provide stability for
the whole system or for the system units separately. For example, ASSA keeps each intellectual agent
of the system informed about global cybersecurity and monitors possible vulnerabilities. Depending on
situation provides suggestion for system stabilization based on previous practical and theoretical
knowledge.
Table 1
Classification subsystems of information security indicators in the conditions of space-time continuum
risks from independent effects of EI in the future
Rand Defining subsystems of the future Symbol Purpose
information analytical complex
Competent knowledge of information
Global information situation of
1 security (Space Situational Awareness) ASSA
geo-relations for cybersecurity
Secure response tools (Shared Early
Early warning of attacks and
2 Warning) ASEW
threats
Navigation in the space-time continuum Local and global positioning of the
3 (Positioning Navigation Timing) PNT complex dynamic system and
environment region
space-time continuum sounding
reconnaissance (Intelligence Surveillance Observations and express analysis
4 ISR
and Reconnaissance) of the sounding field
Situational support in space-time
Distribution of functions,
5 continuum (Spare Situational Support) SSS
resources tasks
Telecommunications in networks (Internet
Network channels of hierarchical
6 Communications Transponder Tracking) ICTT
data exchange on request
Comprehensive special solutions (Space Scope of Application Coordination
7 Control and domain Enhancement) SCDE Control for information analytical
complex
The basic concept of functional stability of information intellectual system (characterizes the
synergistic property of a single complex dynamic system to guarantee a full range of operating modes
normalized, invariant level of the resulting efficiency of technological processes, due to a specialized
subsystem of intelligent agents, which are capable to accelerate procedures for recovery (compensation)
of partially lost functions in accidental extreme conditions. The traditional block-modular principle of
building an autonomous system involves the rigid consolidation of material, energy and information
resources between autonomous components. They interact with each other on a limited number of
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inputs and outputs of each multipole. If for any reason there is and there is a failure of a particular
component, then its resources do not work in such a system. Restoration is achieved by including
backup components that have so far only waited for the load.
The functions of each IAS within the life cycle of solving practical problems of professional activity
include the following stages:
Formation of internal motivation and interest in active actions, according to the idea
announced in the received request.
Collection, accumulation and specification of any data necessary to overcome the existing
uncertainty.
Solving the current problem using specially organized and existing or borrowed software and
hardware complexes.
Control and evaluation of the obtained results of intellectual activity (natural and artificial)
according to the agreed plans.
Decision-making with the help of expert systems and tools to support optimal decision-
making.
Activation of external communication with other IASs that evaluate the results obtained in
order to initiate further targeted actions within the joint program.
The spatio-temporal continuum - space-time continuum always determines the specified limited
share of ASSA. The future as a result of controlled and uncontrolled various processes, phenomena,
transformations is formed in the space-time continuum, where variables are determined on the basis of
two-parameter parameterization. They characterize the dimensions of the units and the similarity of the
corresponding distances between objects [8]. The actual geometric dimensions of the objects embedded
in the space-time continuum can correspond to nano (10-9), micro (10-6), macro (101-103), mega (106)
and tera (1012) units of scale of the phenomenon in the equivalent multidimensional space.
The above components are subsystems of a single integrated information technology based on
computer networks and telecommunications. They interact with each other at different levels of the
information analytical complex’s hierarchy. Each participant in the adaptation processes in the single
information space provides an active focus of collegial joint efforts through its own adaptive role (the
roles of each participant in the agile process). Such components development requires a clear and
formalized integration process, where each of its components is a separate discipline. Ignoring the
interaction between them sometimes leads to a fatal outcome. To a greater extent, this applies to the
process of coordinating the architecture of the system as a stable basis for the entire design solution.
Agile methodology [9-11] in the single information space provides (fast, situational, adaptive, early,
efficient, ergatic) interaction through typical interface equipment. Under IASі, i i, n management
the corresponding role software and hardware and information-analytical support of functioning quality
indicators Q0 S (quality of security) in the joint polyergatic production organization are activated.
Adaptive-collegial and simultaneously distributed in the single information space and space-time
continuum system of situational response IASi to multiple changes in the effects of environment factors
provides overcoming the great complexity of parallel events information analytical complex.
Guaranteed adaptive control of complex dynamic system software and hardware processes due to the
intelligent integration of heterogeneous technical and technological solutions according to the Agile
concept [9-11].
The unique result of the guaranteed level of information security in the conditions of risky operation
of open information systems arises as a result of large-scale combination of theoretical (scientific-
analytical) and practical (ASSA) knowledge on the basis of rapid development of technologies of
informatization of ergatic (human-computer) interaction. Each triangle generates a three-dimensional
tetrahedron (quadrilateral). This states that the volume prediction arises due to the integration of various
knowledge of specialists (experts Intelligent system agent). We are gaining experience in knowledge of
technical and technological solutions (information and analytical software in the memory of distributed
computers), as well as knowledge of the implementation of fast telecommunications messaging between
all participants of information analytical complex at different hierarchical levels (Table 1), which is
proposed. As a result of the Agile interaction methodology, the method of decomposition of complex
distributed system into particles (single information space into specific space-time continuums) and
synthesis of future product due to alternate (iterative, sequential, asymptotic) approximations from the
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current state to achievable goals with guaranteed prevention of disasters, accidents, catastrophes risks
of entire environment [8,9].
The success of Agile methodology [9-11] for the management of information analytical complex’
processes is formed on the postulates of information security practice:
Intelligent system agent collaboration has advantages over machines and tools.
Crucial knowledge of technical and technological solutions is due to situational limitations;
Continuous monitoring and diagnostics minimize unnecessary costs.
a clear division of functions regulates the hierarchical priorities of polyergatic production
organizations.
Functional stability of the system due to adjustment, adaptation, coordination is maintained
(stabilized) due to operational changes of tasks (plans, directives, guidelines). We adjust the
current goals, criteria, standards, which no longer correspond to the processes, regimes and
phenomena of entire environment interaction and complex dynamic systems for the expected
end results of software and hardware.
Agile constructive engineering technology according to the needs of determining a rational future is
formed situationally in the single information space. The description of implementation operations in
each ergatic node IASi has the form of the following cyclic chain procedure (sprint). For a step we
integrate the 5 phases of activity: Plan, Design, Build, Test, Review. Activation of the IAS node begins
with the Plan procedure. The full cycle of a specific mode of solving an activated task is completed by
the Review procedure. Based on the change of time (ASSA situation) during interval a collegial
hierarchical decision “what to do next?” is made. If the data is received by telecommunication channels
by other IASj, j i whether to continue the next cycle (next + 1) to use the next step of interaction
in the single information space of new additional information on entire environment and complex
dynamic system. At each implementation of IASi ► IASj ► IASk messaging, interface tools
implement their own interaction checks.
Regulatory procedures are mandatory: access-transparency; diagnostics-control; conditions-
adaptation. Changing the needs of service markers (access, diagnostics, conditions-restrictions)
accordingly affects the subsequent roles, procedures and forms of response of individual intelligent
system agent. As seen from the Figure 1, besides the main functions of each IAS it’s also worth to
consider designing simple and stable interface for communication for each intellectual system agent.
This interface must ensure uninterrupted communication between agents to solve the general
problem of ensuring the security of the system. To ensure IASi ► IASj communication process it is
necessary to define structural and functional schemes of dialogues between communicators, as well as
well-defined access protocols and message formats that each student of the security process can
recognize [12-13].
Format of the communication packages as well as structure and form of the messages is not a part
of this scientific work and will be investigated in in subsequent studies. For current study, at the
moment, we propose to assume that the format of messages and protocols for their exchange is based
on generally accepted data formats of Transmission Control Protocol (TCP) transport layer of the web
systems OSI model, such as, XML, JSON, CSV etc. Choice of the message format and protocol depends
on the IAS interfaces and access protocols for each subsystem of information security indicators in the
conditions of space-time continuum risks from independent effects of EI. In general, Data is
disseminated through the formation of a special service focused on messaging (MOM - message-
oriented middleware). This message-oriented middleware service guarantees delivery of the message
from the AIS sender to the AIS recipient. A simpler mechanism is to copy the necessary data ESj and
send them through telecommunications channels to another place of distributed system.The structural
scheme of the formalized communication between the AISj (data file ESj) and the AISi (data file ESi)
is functioning thanks to the messaging service that works for each sender and recipient is as follows:
MOM(file) = ESj ⇔ netDIS ⇔ ESi (f ∗ ), (1)
where f ∗- data file (which generates the ESj source and sends the distributed information system’s
network to the ESi recipient), the content of which depends on certain МОМ (message-oriented
middleware - special service focused on messaging) events.
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Figure 1. Fragment of Intellectual system’s agents integration by means of message-oriented
middleware in scope of finding solution in concrete situation that influence information system
security and stability.
But each ergatic node, which performs its own work sprint on the list , implements messaging on a system-specific transport protocol at the end of such a cycle.
Specialized knowledge bases, data and information and analytical software (Table 2), integrate a
specific manipulations fund. Thanks to the thematic specialization and disclosure of the essence,
features and specifics of each activation phase according to the Agile methodology we will get 5 * 3 =
15 variable possibilities for each cycle of functioning of this competent specialist. According to the
communication plan each variable possibility is communicated to the proper recipient in considerable
format respecting chosen transportation protocol. An example of a slave interaction for 4 intelligent
system agents is shown in Figure 2. According to (Table 1,2), the origin of the future solution of the
information analytical complex security problem begins with the ASSA subsystem. It is from the
situational awareness of the fact of changes and threats in the factors of influence of entire environment
and complex dynamic system that structures the primary leading given system. Further in the
competitive software and hardware complex and information system the necessary decomposition and
formation of concrete subtasks is realized. Hierarchical deployment on subtask graphs is performed
quickly until typical trivial problems (TTPs) are obtained. In the opposite direction, situationally
defined TTPijk determine plans for the implementation of specific results by synthesis. According to
the Agile methodology, all available and designated IT resources have: the linguistic name of the object;
syntax, semantics, ontology and grammar of the rules of description of the information and analytical
software scope; acceptance criteria; quantitative and qualitative criteria for agreeing the deviation
degree; requirements for components and security modes of information security. Symbolization of all
components of IT allows the use of non-numerical methods of data processing. Various thematic,
object-oriented tables provide tasks: recognition, translation, simulation, identification, analysis,
synthesis, forecasting, planning, modeling, testing, evaluation, documentation in various forms of
knowledge.
The useful result of the joint work of IASi forms the expected future product for implementation
and safety and stability guaranteeing in information system’s software and hardware complex. In this
final parallel step, it receives the DoD (Definition of Done)[14, 15] ID of the officially completed
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document. In electronic form, it provides all the necessary forms of scientific and technological progress
of society for the next external steps to further improve the safety of today's software and hardware
complex. In such way we accumulate knowledge from the design, development, security and stability
of systems that already have proven effectiveness and create a container of knowledge base where data
will be entered into observations of this system, to analyze the decision in the dynamics of life.
Table 2
Similarity of the 5 chain K cyclic functions of Sprint of each ergatic intelligent system agent in the
integrated team of polyergatic production organizations’ information analytical complex, which
coordinates the measurement, prediction and testing of future technical and technological solutions
in software and hardware complex
Rand Defining The essence features of the 3-forms specifics of integral ASSA
subsystems of the
Strategic possibility Tactical capacity of Operational resonant
future information
of the future resource provision synergy of
analytical complex
performers
1 Plan Tasks, design of the Project programming Measuring modes of
space-time
2 Design Composition, Logical calculations Detailed expectation
architecture conditions> how>
3 Build Construction, Determination of Functional
system stages of stability realization of forms,
construction what situations>
4 Test Compliance control Determination of Accumulation of
expert plans complex dynamic experience and
stability measurement facts
5 Review A varied review of Critical analysis of Periodic check for
the future operating modes next sprint*
usefulness
* Each Sprint IASi has a task to start (begin) implementation of 5 step iterations of those K cycles
with 3 forms of completion (go end). Only then is it possible to address the report with the provision of
IT product and start (next + 1) Sprint implementation of this competence of the next task, which is
coordinated by polyergatic production organizations’ information analytical complex.
5. Conclusions
1. Ensuring the continuity and integration efficiency of information technologies that accompany
scientific and technological progress in the areas of forecasting, planning, design, development, testing,
information security indicators of innovative models of future software and hardware complexes,
requires the formation of an appropriate linguistic and terminological basis. This basis should be
enshrined in the relevant directories, regulations, guidelines, ISO standards. Globalization of conceptual
awareness of intellectual agents of polyergatic organizations of software and hardware complex
guarantees rational multicriteria definition - how it is possible to reform and move away from the usual,
traditional, unexpected threats and limitations in order to realistically and reliably overcome the
problems of information security of software packages in open systems.
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2. Necessary and sufficient conditions for highly effective integration of heterogeneous numerous
technical and technological solutions with promising acts of action are preserved by telecommunication
channels and Internet subnets. This means with the similarity of messaging functions form functional
stability, coordinated controllability and rational development of future software and hardware
complexes and information systems. Such approach can ensure informational and intellectual system’s
functional stability under influence of changing entire environments.
Figure 2: Conceptual scheme of team formation of synergistically adapted technical and technological
solutions of the managed future software and hardware complex.
3. Natural and social randomness and variability of a single space-time system during the
technological forecasting process of sequential and simultaneous cyclic iterative design, construction
and testing of materials, parts, assemblies, units and complexes of future information analytical
complex’s tools can not realize the level of safety and uncertainty of future modes of operation. The
proposed technology in the distributed hierarchical information analytical complex’s team in advance
raises public awareness ahead of knowledge of the patterns of certain trends in the external environment.
As well as propose new approach for collecting empirical knowledge that were got after applying one
or another solution.
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4. Communication between each information analytical complex’s team should be constructed
according to the interfaces and access protocols for each subsystem of information security indicators
in the conditions of space-time continuum risks from independent effects of entire environment. Format
of the communication packages should take more consideration as it can influence not only the speed
of response to the system but also its stability in general. This topic will be investigated in subsequent
studies.
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