=Paper= {{Paper |id=Vol-3200/paper14 |storemode=property |title=Methods for Assessing the Risk of Approaching Ships as an Integral Part of the Vessel Traffic Control System |pdfUrl=https://ceur-ws.org/Vol-3200/paper14.pdf |volume=Vol-3200 |authors=Victor Strelbitskyi,Nataliia Punchenko,Oleksandra Tsyra }} ==Methods for Assessing the Risk of Approaching Ships as an Integral Part of the Vessel Traffic Control System == https://ceur-ws.org/Vol-3200/paper14.pdf
Methods for Assessing the Risk of Approaching Ships as an
Integral Part of the Vessel Traffic Control System
Victor Strelbitskyi 1, Nataliia Punchenko 2 and Oleksandra Tsyra 3
1
  Odessa National Maritime University, Odesa, Ukraine
2
  Odesa State Environmental University Odesa, Ukraine
3
  State University Of Intellectual Technologies And Communications Odesa, Ukraine

                  Abstract
                  The article presents a brief overview of methods for ensuring the navigation safety of vessel
                  traffic, which are divided into three categories: methods of early detection of the collision
                  possibility of ships, methods of maneuvering to avoid a collision and planning trajectory
                  methods of the ship. A detailed theoretical review of methods for assessing the risk of a
                  dangerous approach of ships, associated with ensuring the navigation safety of ship traffic, is
                  carried out in detail. The representation of ship domains is disclosed to assess the risk of a
                  dangerous approach of ships. The work provides links to sources that clarify the presented
                  material.

                  Keywords 1
                  Navigation safety, navigational control methods, risk assessment, ship convergence, "ship
                  domain"


1. Introduction                                                                               and internal factors accompanying navigation,
                                                                                              which will always be present regardless of the
                                                                                              human factor. The level of state and reliability of
    The science of ensuring safe navigation in the
                                                                                              navigation in modern conditions, the real
civil and military spheres is in the process of
                                                                                              accuracy of navigation and the quality of
improvement. A global issue in this scientific area
                                                                                              navigation problems is about twice worse than
is prevention of groundings and collisions of
                                                                                              expected. It follows that the complete elimination
ships. This science examines the aspect of the
                                                                                              of the accident rate of ships has no chance. But it
problem of navigation safety from all sides.
                                                                                              is quite possible to influence the number of
Navigation figure 1, since antiquity, as a result,
                                                                                              accidents with the help of various measures and
has created problems of navigation safety.
                                                                                              try to achieve its relative maximum reduction for
Ensuring navigational safety is a task that is a
                                                                                              a period that is limited. Such a drop in the accident
complex multi-level complex.
                                                                                              rate can be achieved up to a certain level, after
    To solve this problem, the forces are united:
                                                                                              which the accident rate will inevitably grow again
manufacturers of maritime navigation aids,
                                                                                              or temporarily stabilize [1]. This conclusion
international organizations, administrations of
                                                                                              follows from the realities of the present time,
states participating in world shipping. The
                                                                                              which can be characterized:
cooperation of these entities forms a system for
                                                                                                  1. An increase in the volume of water
ensuring safe navigation. Despite such
                                                                                                  transport
cooperation, a high percentage of ship accidents
                                                                                                  2. The increasing traffic intensity in areas of
at sea is an objective reality that cannot be denied
                                                                                                  busy shipping leads to a constant increase in
and is primarily due to the peculiarities of external
                                                                                                  the workload on boat masters

III International Scientific And Practical Conference “Information
Security And Information Technologies”, September 13–19, 2021,
Odesa, Ukraine
EMAIL: vict141174@gmail.com (A. 1); iioonn24@rambler.ru
(A. 2); aleksandra.tsyra@gmail.com (A. 3)
ORCID: 0000-0001-7027-9498 (A. 1); 0000-0003-1382-4490
(A. 2); 0000-0003-3552-2039 (A. 3)
              ©️ 2021 Copyright for this paper by its authors. Use permitted under Creative
              Commons License Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0).

              CEUR Workshop Proceedings (CEUR-WS.org)
                                                     British Isles. From the analysis of catastrophes,
                                                     the existing problems of the safety of navigation
                                                     becomes acute in limited waters and cramped
                                                     navigation conditions. As a result, special
                                                     methods of preventing collisions of ships,
                                                     introduced into complex technical navigation
                                                     systems, are in great demand [4,5]. The legal
                                                     framework at this stage, despite the emergence of
                                                     unmanned navigation, regulates that the
                                                     management of a ship is the exclusive right of its
                                                     captain. In his actions, the boat master is only
                                                     guided by the information provided by various
                                                     navigation aids, but the final decision on the
                                                     movement of the vessel is made only by the boat
                                                     master. And because of this, it has led to the fact
                                                     that in navigation, extraordinary approaches to
                                                     traffic management have developed and are used.
                                                     Because of this, the methods of ensuring the
                                                     navigation safety of vessel traffic can be divided
                                                     into three categories: methods of early detection
                                                     of the collision possibility (collision risk
                                                     assessment), methods of maneuvering to avoid a
Figure 1: Water transport                            collision (collision avoidance), and planning
                                                     trajectory methods of the safe movement of the
    Experimental studies show that the largest       vessel. Brief comparative characteristic these
number of accidents in water transport occur in      methods:
the areas of responsibility of ports and on the          Method 1. On-board radio and computer
approaches to them. In this regard, the problem of   systems, which are called on-board collision
safe movement at sea becomes most acute in           avoidance systems, have been recognized as
limited waters and cramped navigation conditions     highly effective means of preventing collisions in
[2].                                                 shipping. The English name for these complexes
                                                     is Collision Avoidance System. The on-board
2. Aspects of the tasks for ensuring                 collision avoidance system is a proven system
                                                     based on the use of surveillance radar signals and
   the navigation safety                             other navigational aids. It operates independently
                                                     of ground equipment and provides information on
   One of the seven ancient man-made wonders         situations that other vessels can create in various
of the world - the Pharos lighthouse, and the        navigational conditions. The collision avoidance
miraculous miracle - the Pillars of Hercules were    system provides information to the officer of the
navigational landmarks on the approaches to          watch on the situation in the navigation area
Alexandria and Gibraltar and helped mariners         through the provision of visual and voice
prevent their ships from aground. And this is one    information, ensures the timely detection of
of the proofs that at that time the knowledge,       threatening vessels, classifies vessels according to
experience and intuition of the navigator was not    their     degree    of     danger,    and     issues
enough to guarantee the safety of navigation. In     recommendations for the appropriate maneuver.
modern conditions when the main cause of             The collision avoidance system monitors vessels
maritime accidents is breakdown, damage, or          in the surrounding water area within a radius of up
equipment failure. The worst regions in terms of     to 24 miles from own vessel [3]. Such observation
maritime accidents, according to the AGCS            makes it possible to determine the trajectory of the
report, are the waters of southern China,            relative movement of each oncoming object, to
Indonesia, and the Philippines. Every fourth         assess the risk of collision of own ship with other
incident occurs in those areas. Even though Asia     objects. With the help of communication
remains the most unfavorable region due to the       facilities, coordination of planned maneuvers can
busiest routes and the old fleet. Next come the      be carried out with other vessels.
Eastern Mediterranean and the Black Sea and the
    Method 2. The problem of divergence of                   Method 3. Get answers to the questions:
vessels in the water area is a priority in the           determination of the current coordinates of the
management of the vessel. Without disregarding           vessel in the coordinate system - bearing and
the increasing intensity of traffic on all               distance relative to a given point; determination of
international water communications, it is possible       the actual trajectory of the vessel's movement, the
to ensure a satisfactory level of traffic safety in      actual elements of movement, is possible with the
recent years using innovative means of radio             help of navigation methods for monitoring the
navigation. For this reason, the problem of              position and movement of the vessel. Evaluation
divergence of ships should be considered only in         of the trend of the vessel's movement to predict
accordance with the section "Use of automatic            the current coordinates in time, control of the
radar plotting means".                                   lateral deviation of the vessel from and calculation
    The main document among the normative ones           of the course correction. The listed monitoring
that determine the reliability of the divergence of      tasks are referred to as “Real-time tasks”. The
ships is the "International rules for preventing         more difficult the navigation conditions are, the
collisions of ships at sea" (IRPCSS-72) [6].             shorter the “real time clock” should be. The
    These Rules oblige each vessel to carry the          advantage of each navigation method is
appropriate lights and signs, to sound the               determined by the main features of the
appropriate sound signals, to use all available          characteristics: the accuracy of determining the
means in accordance with the prevailing                  current coordinates of the vessel, the duration of
circumstances and conditions to enable each of           navigation determination and the discreteness of
them to:                                                 the definitions [7]. Methods of control over the
    1. To detect in advance the presence of other        position and movement of the vessel are divided
vessels;                                                 into two groups: "navigational" and "pilotage".
    2. To determine the degree of danger in order        With “navigator” control methods based on
to identify the existence of a collision hazard;         navigation measurements, the point at which the
    3. Take into account the mutual obligations          vessel was located, and depending on the position
when maneuvering the gap;                                of this point relative to the line of the given path,
    4. Ensure safe divergence in all visibility          solve the remaining navigation problems. The
conditions.                                              navigational methods include the reckoning of the
    Method 3. The lack of a quantitative                 ship's coordinates, its refinement along one line of
description of the concept of "limited visibility" in    position, navigational observations, as well as
the IRPCSS-72 causes a contradiction between             methods formed by their combinations, including
R. 19 ("Swimming with limited visibility") and           "corrected dead reckoning"
R. 15 ("Situation of intersecting courses in sight
of each other") in cases where the visibility range      2.1.    Security Domains
is of the same order of magnitude with D. Having
detected in such conditions with the help of the
                                                             The area around a ship of a certain radius,
radar an approaching vessel from the right side, a
                                                         shape, and size, not considering geometry, actual
prudent navigator will make way for him, without
                                                         dimensions, the current course, into which the
waiting for this vessel to come within the distance
of visual visibility and he will have to act in          oncoming ship should not enter is called the ship's
                                                         domain. The ship's heading is determined by
conditions: the short period of time and minimal
                                                         evaluating the speed vector from radar
space.
                                                         observations during several turns of the antenna.
    In addition, the International Maritime
                                                         This definition indicates that the information is
Organization at the United Nations (IMO) in 1978
                                                         not received in real time, but nevertheless this area
adopted the Convention on the Training,
Certification and Watchkeeping of Seafarers. This        is called the "navigation safety zone". In methods
                                                         for assessing the risk of dangerous approach by
Convention defines the minimum requirements
                                                         the foundation, there is a point of the shortest
for the knowledge and practical skills of boat
                                                         approach of ships (closest point of approach). For
masters in relation to ship divergence and the use
                                                         navigational safety, the shortest distance is greater
of radar information. IMO has also formulated
requirements for programs for radar surveillance,        than the critical value. The following values are
                                                         provided: "time of movement to the point of the
laying and use of automatic radar laying facilities.
                                                         shortest approach of ships" (time of closest point
All this is aimed at increasing the reliability of the
                                                         of approach), "distance to the point of the shortest
divergence of ships.
approach of ships" (distance to closest point of
approach).
    Research groups that study the issue of ship
collision avoidance use a variety of domains:
circular, elliptical, and other complex shapes. The
domain boundary is interpreted as a function of
the ship's heading angle. At this point in time, to
use the security domain, each domain is analyzed
separately. Based on this, we can conclude that the
domain cannot fully solve all the problems of
discrepancy due to strictly defined domain
boundaries.
    The Goodwin domain model is divided into 3
sectors. The dimensions of the free zone from
other objects are different. Depends on the
situation in a certain period. The radius of the
sectors corresponds to the critical values of the
closest approach of ships for each scenario
                                                       Figure 3: Davis domain
Figure 2.
                                                           The      ship     domain      proposed        by
                                                       S. V. Smolentsev, A. E. Filyakov considers the
                                                       navigation features of the navigation area and the
                                                       hydrometeorological situation. Eliminates the
                                                       occurrence of false alarms when a vessel enters
                                                       the safety domain that is moving in the opposite
                                                       direction in its lane [9]. The position of the
                                                       security domain boundary is parameterized and
                                                       depends on the value of one parameter, which is
                                                       convenient for performing calculations. In
                                                       addition, the border of the proposed safety zone is
                                                       smooth, which excludes jumps in solutions for
                                                       different course angles of entry of targets into this
                                                       zone [10].
                                                           There are groups of our and foreign researchers
                                                       who are working towards assessing the risk of
Figure 2: Goodwin domain                               collision and improving ship domains. An
                                                       unconventional method for clarifying the situation
    Deepening the idea of Goodwin is carried out       of approaching ships at sea based on information
by the Davis domain, presented in the form of an       from an automatic identification system was
ellipse with an offset center, divided into sectors.   proposed by Bukaty Vitaly Mikhailovich,
For the navigator, this is an indicator for deciding   Morozova Svetlana Yurievna. Titov A.V., Zaikova
to perform an evasive maneuver when other              S.N., Volynskiy I.A., Khmelnitskaya A.A. in their
objects intrude into the active domain Figure 3.       work the current state and problems of using inland
    Caldwell's ship domain is a different              waterways (on the example of the Volga-Caspian
configuration depending on the ship's                  Sea shipping canal) and Nitsevich A.A., Melnikov
approaching scenario. With oncoming traffic in         N.V., Khristich D.Yu., Lebedev V.P. in work
the domain, the stern part is completely absent.       Collision of ships use the method of M.A.
When overtaking, the domain has an ellipsoidal         Konoplev, who presents the risk assessment in the
shape.                                                 form of a fuzzy system.
    Tszyu's ship domain is based on neural
networks trained by the backpropagation method,        3. Conclusions
which makes it possible to partially consider the
influence of the external environment without
resorting to complex classical deterministic             One of the main problems of navigation,
mathematical models of its description [8].            namely the navigation safety, remains unresolved,
although the work is carried out by all groups              Processes of the Far Eastern Branch of the
according to the law of a conical spiral.                   Russian Academy of Sciences], 2017.- 297 p.
    The article presents a brief overview of           [3] Vagushchenko L.L., Vagushchenko A.L.
methods for ensuring the navigation safety of               Support for decisions on disagreement with
vessel traffic, which are divided into three                the courts: Fenix, 2010. − 229 p.
categories: methods of early detection of the          [4] Punchenko N., Korchenko O., Kazakova N.,
possibility of collision of ships, methods of               Tsyra O., Warwas K. Cognitive technologies
maneuvering to avoid a collision and methods of             in the profession-al knowledge as a means of
planning the trajectory of the safe movement of
                                                            the optimizing management decisions XIX
the ship. A detailed theoretical review of methods
                                                            International Mul-tidisciplinary Scientific
for assessing the risk of a dangerous approach of
ships, associated with ensuring the navigation              GeoConference SGEM 2019 28 June - 7
safety of ship traffic, is carried out in detail. To        July, 2019 Albena, Bulgaria ISSN 1314–
assess the risk of a dangerous approach of ships,           2704, doi:10.5593/sgem 2019/2.1 pp. 161-
the presentation of ship domains of complex                 166.
figures is given - a dangerous approach of ships.      [5] Trotsyshyn, I., Shokotko, G., Strelbitskiy, V.
    The work provides links to sources that clarify         New Technologies and Precision Measuring
the presented material.                                     Transformations Radiosignals and the
                                                            Perspectives of Use of their use for Systems
4. Acknowledgements                                         of Control with safe Literal Appliances
                                                            (UAVs)       (2019)      2018     International
                                                            Scientific-Practical Conference on Problems
   We wish to thank V. Kychak, prof., I.
                                                            of Infocommunications Science and
Trotsyshyn, prof., O. Punchenko, prof., G.
                                                            Technology, PIC S and T 2018 – Proceedin,
Bortnyk, prof. for their insightful comments on
earlier drafts.                                             pp. 685-690.
   We would also like to thank Vinnitsa National       [6] International regulations for preventing
Technical University for the application of                 collisions at sea, 1972 Moscow 2013
theoretical and practical research in the R&D               International rules for the prevention of
"Development of the theory and methodology of               collisions of ships at sea, 1972 (IRPCSS-72).
digital radio signal processing in real time"               - 5th ed., Rev. - M: Morkniga, 2013.- 156 p.,
(Ministry of Education and Science of Ukraine,              ISBN 978-5-030033-73-0
Vinnitsa National Technical University);               [7] A. V. Matokhin Application of expert
   R&D "Development of methods for designing                assessments to analysis of risks associated
a fiber-optic transmission system" (Ltd                     with navigation methods of control of the
"Budivelnik-3", Vinnitsa National Technical                 position and movement of vessels while
University).                                                navigation in confirmed water / Journal:
                                                            Science of the 21st century: Questions,
5. References                                               hypotheses, answers (Taganrog), № 2, 2013,
                                                            pp. 95-109 ISSN: 2307-5902
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