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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Analysis of Circadian Rhythm Estimation Process for Improving the Accuracy of Alzheimer Dementia Detection</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Naoya Matsuda</string-name>
          <email>matsuda.naoya@cas.lab.uec.ac.jp</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Taiki Senju</string-name>
          <email>senju@cas.lab.uec.ac.jp</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Iko Nakari</string-name>
          <email>iko0528@cas.lab.uec.ac.jp</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Keiki Takadama</string-name>
          <email>keiki@inf.uec.ac.jp</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>The University of Electro-Communications 1-5-1 Chofugaoka</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Chofu, Tokyo</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="JP">Japan</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <fpage>81</fpage>
      <lpage>87</lpage>
      <abstract>
        <p>For early detection of Alzheimer dementia (AD), this paper analyzes the features of circadian rhythm of heart rate between healthy people and AD patients, focusing on the circadian rhythm disorder in AD (i.e., unstable circadian rhythm). Focusing on the circadian rhythm estimating log of ADDUCRRaH (the AD detection method based on the stability of estimated circadian rhythms), we analyzed experiments with an elderly AD patient in five months and 21 non-AD people (age from 20-70). Through the experiments confirmed the following implications have been revealed: (1) AD and healthy people show three types of features (cancellation between the rhythms, crossing the sign of the rhythms coefficients and summation of transitions of rhythms coefficients) between unstable and stable circadian rhythms during the estimation in the one day estimated log as well as the final estimated output; (2) the features can be quantified as accumulated values and used together with existing AD detection methods to improve the accuracy of detection.</p>
      </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>Introduction</title>
      <p>
        Recently, World Health Organization reported that the
number of elderly people with dementia is more than 55
million people. In addition, the report estimates that the number
of new patients 10 million
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">(Organization 2012)</xref>
        each year.
And more than half of these dementias are classified as
Alzheimer dementia (AD). However, no treatment for AD
is currently available other than medication to slow its
progression. And when the symptoms (due to wandering,
violence, and so on) become so severe that it is difficult to care
for the patient, the patient has to be hospitalized and stay in
bed. For the facts, early detection is essential to slow down
the progression of dementia. However, it is difficult to detect
dementia early because it takes a long time (e.g., ten years)
for the symptoms to appear
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">(Mioshi et al. 2010)</xref>
        .
      </p>
      <p>
        For earlier symptom recognition, the global standard
method of dementia detection called Mini-Mental State
Examination (MMSE)
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">(Folstein, Folstein, and McHugh 1975)</xref>
        ,
which is a questionnaire-based screening test, is widely
employed. However, this method has problems in that the
detection accuracy may decrease due to habituation when the
test is taken many times. In addition, people who others have
pointed out that they may have dementia are difficult to
accept the fact and the test result, or are possible not to take
the test.
___________________________________
In T. Kido, K. Takadama (Eds.), Proceedings of the AAAI 2022 Spring Symposium
“How Fair is Fair? Achieving Wellbeing AI”, Stanford University, Palo Alto, California,
USA, March 21–23, 2022. Copyright © 2022 for this paper by its authors. Use permitted
under Creative Commons License Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0).
      </p>
      <p>
        To tackle these problems, the method that can detect AD
by the biometric data from daily life can be used as the
substitute for the questionnaires tests. In line with this
perspective, the, we proposed the novel AD detection method,
named AD Detection based on Unstable Circadian Rhythm
Ratio of Heart rate (ADDUCRRaH), which focused on the
circadian rhythm (approximately 24 hours cycle) of the
melatonin secretion.
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">(Matsuda, Nakari, and Takadama 2021)</xref>
        Concretely, the melatonin secretion of the healthy people
(including the non-AD elderly persons) have stable (i.e.,
clear) circadian rhythm while the AD patients have unstable
circadian rhythm (e.g., a phase shift of the circadian rhythm,
a change of the circadian rhythm period, and a reduction
of circadian rhythm amplitude)
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">(Zhdanova and Tucci 2003)</xref>
        .
However, the melatonin secretion is hard to be obtained in
the daily life. So our method focused on the fact that the
circadian rhythm is also represented in heart rate (Boudreau
et al. 2012)
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">(Massin et al. 2000)</xref>
        . Since heart rate is easily
to acquire from the mattress sensor (placed under the
mattress) in the daily life, it can be used to measure its circadian
rhythm instead of melatonin. From these perspectives,
ADDUCRRaH detects AD from the instability of the circadian
rhythm estimated from the heart rate. For detail, circadian
rhythms are estimated by the regression of a trigonometric
function which have waves with a period of around 24 hours
with the maximum likelihood estimation.
      </p>
      <p>However, ADDUCRRaH has misdetected data with
specific patterns in both AD patients and healthy people.
Concretely, the patterns are that when misdetecting the AD
patients / the healthy people, at the end of the estimation of the
trigonometric function, the condition was suddenly to satisfy
the conditions which the AD patients / the healthy people
detected as healthy people / AD. This is because the estimation
is more sensitive to the end stage (i.e., just before waking)
heart rate data inputed as a time series. To avoid the
misdetection, it is necessary to consider data with long-term. And
so this paper additionally analyzes the AD detection prosess
to improve the accuracy of the AD detection of
ADDUCRRaH. In particular, we will focus on the estimation
transitions for the entire of data (one day sleep) in estimating the
trigonometric functions and the differences in the features of
those AD patients and healthy subjects.</p>
      <p>This paper is organized as follows. The next Section “AD
Detection based on Unstable Circadian Rhythm Ratio of
Heart rate” describes the principle and the problems of
ADDUCRRaH. The two analytical experiments and a human
subject experiment with AD and healthy people are
conducted and the results are discussed in Section “Analytical
Experiment 1”, “Analytical Experiment 2” and “Subject
Experiment”. Finally, our conclusion is given in Section
“Conclusion”.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>AD Detection based on Unstable Circadian</title>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>Rhythm Ratio of Heart rate</title>
      <sec id="sec-3-1">
        <title>Overview</title>
        <p>The AD detection method, AD Detection based on
Unstable Circadian Rhythm Ratio of Heart rate (ADDUCRRaH),
detects AD based on the hypothesis which the circadian
rhythm of the heart rate in AD patients tends to be
unstable in comparison with healthy people described in Section
“Introduction”. This method has two steps. First, the
circadian rhythm is estimated by the modified version of the
realtime sleep stage estimation from heart rate data (in Section
“Estimation of Circadian Rhythm of Heart rate”). Second is
judging whether the estimated circadian rhythm is stable or
not (described in Section “Stability of Circadian Rhythm of
Heart rate” in detail). At the end of this chapter, We
summarize the problems of this method as the arguments against
the analysis in this paper (in Section “Problem”).</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-3-2">
        <title>Estimation of Circadian Rhythm of Heart rate</title>
        <p>
          Real-time Sleep Stage Estimation (RSSE)
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">(Harada et al.
2016)</xref>
          estimates six sleep stages (i.e., Wake, REM,
NonREM1, 2, 3, and 4) by the regression of the heart rate.This
method is based on the fact that there is a correlation
between sleep stages and heart rate. The regression model f (t)
is computed by synthesizing the frequency waves as shown
in Eq. (1), where al;i(i.e.; i 2 fc; sg) is a coefficients of
cos/sin waves, l is the period of the frequency waves (i.e.,
l 2 L = f214=1; :::; 214=13; 214=14g second), and C is
constant term of f (t).
        </p>
        <p>fal;c cos mlt + al;s sin mltg + C
(1)
f (t) = X
ml =
l2L
2
l
the likelihood function used for the maximum
likelihood estimation is defined in Eq.(2), where the first term
T1 PtT=1fHR(t) f (t)g2 indicates the difference between
f (t) and HR(t) (i.e., the heart rate at the time t), and the
second term suppresses the overfitting of al;i (coefficients of
sine and cosine waves defined from L ) by avoiding a large
separation from the one time previous coefficient a^l;i (i.e.,
the coefficient when time is t 1). The weights the second
term (in this paper, = 1:0 in all cases). The coefficients al;i
and the constant term C are updated by minimizing J . The
value (T ) weights the second term during T (= 600)
seconds by changing from 0 (=2) to 1 (i.e., (T ) is set to
0 (=2), decreases until T second, converges to 1 after
T second). This is because the initial value of al;i is zero
and thus the value may be updated sensitively especially in
the first several time during T second. The value d(l; L)
is the index of l in L.</p>
        <p>fHR(t)</p>
        <p>f (t)g2
J =
+</p>
        <p>T
1 X
T
t=1</p>
        <p>X
L
j j l2L
T = jHRj
d(l; L) = the index of l in L
(T ) = max(1; (1
0)</p>
        <p>+ 0)
T</p>
        <p>T
(T )d(l;L) 1f(al;c
a^l;c)2 + (al;s
a^l;s)2g
(2)</p>
        <p>To estimate the circadian rhythm of heart rate, the periods
of frequency waves L in this research is set to f25, 24, 23g
hours which covers approximately 24 hours, instead of L set
to f214=1; :::; 214=14g. Figure 1 shows the example of
estimated f (t), where the vertical and horizontal axes
respectively indicate the heart rate and time, the blue line indicates
the heart rate, and the orange line indicates the estimated
f (t) composed of the frequency waves with the L periods.
fraction and (ii) the simple sum of the coefficients ai;l in the
denominator. In the case of the stable estimated circadian
rhythm which coefficients tend to have the same sign, the
two types of sum values are expected to be the same, which
means that Ri is expected to be 1.0. In the case of unstable
ones which coefficients tend to have the different sign, on
the other hands, the absolute sum is expected to be larger
than the simple sum, which means that Ri is expected to be
larger than 1.0. Considering that R is calculated by the
average of Rc for the cosine wave and Rs for the sine wave,
the proposed AD detection method judges as the non-AD
person when R is 1.0 because of having the stable circadian
rhythm of heart rate, while it judges as the AD patient when
if R &gt; 1.0 because of having the unstable circadian rhythm
of heart rate.</p>
        <p>Ri =
R =</p>
        <p>P</p>
        <p>l2L jal;ij
P</p>
        <p>l2L al;i
Rc + Rs
2
(3)</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Analytical Experiment 1</title>
      <sec id="sec-4-1">
        <title>Experimental Setup</title>
        <p>As mentioned in the “Introduction”, the factor for
ADDUCRRaH misdetection of AD patients / healthy people is
found to be that when misdetecting the healthy people, at the
end of the estimation of the trigonometric function, the
condition was suddenly to detect the AD patients / the healthy
people as healthy people / AD satisfied. For this perspective,
we focused not only on the end of the estimation, but also
on the its transitions, and conducted an analytical
experiment on the differences in features between AD and healthy
subjects. Specifically, we use the trajectory of the estimation
as shown in Figure 5 and Figure 4, where the horizontal and
vertical axes respectively indicate the time and the value of
the estimated sine/cosine waves coefficients ai;l for 23, 24,
and 25 hours. The upper/lower graphs are the coefficients of
the sine/cosine (as;25; as;24 and as;23/ac;25; ac;24 and ac;23).
Figure 5/4 is the example of the AD patient/healthy person
which detected as AD/healthy person (true
positive/negative). The coefficients at the last time of the graph (red line
on the right side of the graph) are used for f (t) (described
in “Estimation of Circadian Rhythm of Heart rate”) which
is used for AD detection (described in “Stability of
Circadian Rhythm of Heart rate”). Figure 6 shows the relationship
between the estimation transition and f (t). It is possible to
draw f (t) from the coefficients ai;l at each time. Basically,
f (t) will follow the heart rate that you input.</p>
        <p>This experiment employs the heart rate data of the
following subjects: (a) one elderly AD patient in the care house (72
days); (b) 21 healthy (i.e., non-AD) persons (20s 70s, 30
days in total). The ethics community of St.Marianna
University and the University of Electro-Communications
approved this study, and all the subjects signed their consent.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-2">
        <title>Result</title>
        <p>Figure 8 and Figure 9 represent respectively the examples
of AD patients / the healthy person data which detected as
healthy people / AD because the coefficients (of the cosine
waves) are emphasized each other / cancelled out at the end
of the estimation (red circle on the right side of the figure).
However, when focusing on the transition of the estimation,
it can be seen that the coefficients crosses positive and
negative many times (as shown blue circle) and occurs
cancellation for a long time (as shown green arrow) in Figure 8, and
the coefficients of sine waves in particular is negative and
stable over a long period of time in Figure 9.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-3">
        <title>Discussion</title>
        <p>In Figure 8, the reason why the coefficients crosses positive
and negative many times and occurs long cancellation is that
cancellation occurs for unstable heart rate and can occur
periodically even during estimation (i.e., a part of heart rate).</p>
        <p>While, in Figure 9, the reason why the coefficient of the
sine wave is negative and stable can be explained as shown
in Figure 7. The top graph shows the estimated f (t) for one
day of a healthy person, where the blue and orange lines in
the graphs respectively indicate the heart rate and the
estimated f (t), and the equations under the graphs indicates the
sine and cosine waves in f (t). The sine and cosine portions
of f (t) are respectively represented by the red and yellow
lines in the bottom figure. The heart rate of healthy people
decreases monotonically from the time they fall asleep until
dawn, and the amount of decrease is gradually reduced to
zero. For such the transitions, it is easy to improve the
likelihood of the entire f(t) by combining cosine waves based
on sine waves with negative coefficients that has the form
represented by the red line. As a result, the sine waves
transitions are more likely to be negative and stable for healthy
people.
(7)
(8)
(9)
(10)
(11)
al;i(x) are the extenstion of al;i as the coefficients at the
time x in the estimation transition. Eq.(9) is the time
average of the count that cancelation (i.e., i the signs of i group
coefficients are different between plus and minus signs)
occurred. Eq.(10) is the count that the coefficients crossed
zero line (i.e., the sign of the sum of i group coefficients
switches). Eq.(11) is the approximately area of the red and
blue regions represented in Figure 9. al;i(t) is the
coefficient during estimation at the time t. Si(i 2 fs; cg) is the
area average of the sum of the coefficients divided
respectively by the time T on the horizontal axes and the standard
deviation (PT</p>
        <p>x=0 A(x; i)) with the time series coefficients
al;i(x) (l 2 L; x = f0; 1; :::; T g) on the vertical axes. A
large positive value of Si means that the coefficients are
positive for a long time, and a large negative value means that
they are negative for a long time.</p>
        <p>This experiment employs the same heart rate data of
“Analysis Experiment 1”. And, the differences of Ci, Oi and
Si between healthy people and AD patients were analyzed.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-4">
        <title>Result</title>
        <p>The results were as shown in Figure 10, Figure 11 and
Figure 12. The horizontal axis represents each data, and the left
and right sides from the black line are respectively for AD
patients and healthy people, and the vertical axis represents
the value of Ci (, Oi and Si). The blue and orange bars
represent respectively the C (, O and S) value of the sine waves
Cs (, Os and Ss) and that of cosine waves Cc (, Oc and Sc).</p>
        <p>Both of Ci have large values in about half of AD patients,
At least one of Oi has a possibility to reach over ten, and
Ss has a large negative value in most of the data of healthy
people.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-5">
        <title>Discussion</title>
        <p>Ci and Oi tend to be higher in AD, but not enough to clearly
separate it from healthy people. It is clear that Ss is able
to visualize the feature of healthy people obtained from the
analysis experiment as numerical values. In particular, Ss
smaller than -500 was obtained only for the healthy people,
which suggests that this feature can be used for AD
detection. However, these features were not found in all healthy
people and must be used in conjunction with other AD
detection.</p>
        <p>In addition, this feature-based detection can be added to
or replaced by the second mechanism “Stability of
Circadian Rhythm of Heart rate” of ADDUCRRaH. And that
means that the detection by the second mechanism is also
the features-based detection of the final coefficients of f (t).</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>Subjects Experiment</title>
      <sec id="sec-5-1">
        <title>Experimental Setup</title>
        <p>Focusing on the features obtained from “Analysis
Experiment 1” and “Analysis Experiment 2”, we examine an
example of an AD detection method that combines the obtained
features (C , O and S) and that of the second mechanism
of ADDUCRRaH R. Specifically, the following procedure
is used to detect AD.</p>
        <p>To investigate the effectiveness of this AD detection
method the human subject experiments were conducted by
comparing with our previous method, ADDUCRRaH. This
experiment employs the same heart rate data of “Analysis
Experiment 1” and “Analysis Experiment 2”. As the
evaluation criteria, this experiment employs the accuracy of AD
detection (i.e., the percentage of AD detection for AD
patients and that of the non-AD detection for healthy subjects).</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-5-2">
        <title>Result</title>
        <p>Figure 13 shows the accuracy of AD detection of healthy
people (blue bar) and ADDUCRRaH (orange bar). Note that
the accuracy of the AD patients is the percentage of AD
detection, while that of the healthy subjects is the percentage
of non-AD detection. From this figure, we found that both
of the features-based accuracies of AD and healthy people
(76.4% and 83.3%) is higher than those of ADDUCRRaH
(66.7% and 76.7%) and the accuracies are improved.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>Conclusion</title>
      <p>In this paper, since the misdetection of ADDUCRRaH
occurred at the end of the estimation of f (t), we focused on
the transition of the estimation of its coefficients al;i(t) and
analyzed the difference between healthy people and AD
patients. The analysis experiments revealed the following
implications: (1) unstable heart rate in AD patients causes
continuous censoring and zero line crossing; (2) the coefficients
of the sine waves continue to be negative because they fit
the stable heart rate of healthy people; and (3) it is
possible that these features can be quantified and utilized for AD
detection.</p>
      <p>The future works include that (1) an analysis of new
features of coefficient transitions; and (2) a consideration of an
AD detection method that summarize the obtained features,
especially non-threshold detection.</p>
    </sec>
  </body>
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