=Paper=
{{Paper
|id=Vol-3282/icaiw_aiesd_3
|storemode=property
|title=Cost of Capital and Finance Evaluation for a Family SME Enterprise of an Ecuadorian Ecotourism Resort in San Carlos Parish, Los Ríos Province
|pdfUrl=https://ceur-ws.org/Vol-3282/icaiw_aiesd_3.pdf
|volume=Vol-3282
|authors=Carlos Arturo San Andrés Fuentes,Pablo Ricardo San Andrés Reyes,Ivonne Elizabeth Paredes Chévez,César Santana Moncayo
|dblpUrl=https://dblp.org/rec/conf/icai2/FuentesRCM22
}}
==Cost of Capital and Finance Evaluation for a Family SME Enterprise of an Ecuadorian Ecotourism Resort in San Carlos Parish, Los Ríos Province==
Cost of Capital and Finance Evaluation for a Family SME Enterprise of an Ecuadorian Ecotourism Resort in San Carlos Parish, Los Ríos Province Carlos Arturo San Andrés Fuentes1 , Pablo Ricardo San Andrés Reyes2,* , Ivonne Elizabeth Paredes Chévez3 and César Santana Moncayo2 1 Universidad Técnica Particular de Loja, Loja, Ecuador 2 Universidad Ecotec, Samborondón, Ecuador 3 Universidad Nacional del Rosario, Rosario, Argentina Abstract The entrepreneurs of family SMEs allow innovation, and economic growth, mainly in the ecotourism sector. The objective is to analyze the entrepreneurship finance of an Ecuadorian ecotourism resort in San Carlos Parish, Los Ríos province for the next five years. The methodology is descriptive and quantitative. An experimental design and analytical and bibliographic methods were applied in this research. The study shows the viability, comparing risk (discount rate) and profitability. Keywords Finance, Ecotourism, Entrepreneurship, SMEs, Discount Rate and Risk. 1. Introduction The entrepreneurship of family businesses in the ecotourism sector worldwide has created new opportunities for economic and sustainable growth and development. Silveira et al., [1] indicates that entrepreneurs in Latin America have micro, small and medium-sized companies that are competitive and even have export capacity. Rodríguez [2] points out that for classical economic theory, authors such as Cantillon, Thunen, and Baudeau consider the entrepreneur as a risk, but also indicate they can be very intelligent when developing strategies, while Bentham and Smith say that they can take an innovative risk. Castillo 1999 clarifies that entrepreneurs manage to make the goods market more efficient by creating new wealth. In fact, Schumpeter, within the theory of entrepreneurship, mentions technical and financial innovation motivates competitors to take risks in irregular economic growth [2]. ICAIW 2022: Workshops at the 5th International Conference on Applied Informatics 2022, October 27–29, 2022, Arequipa, Peru * Corresponding author $ carlossanandresf@icloud.com (C. A. San Andrés Fuentes); psanandres@ecotec.edu.ec (P. R. San Andrés Reyes); ivonnelizabeth.paredes@gmail.com (I. E. Paredes Chévez); csantana@ecotec.edu.ec (C. Santana Moncayo) 0000-0002-2227-6011 (C. A. San Andrés Fuentes); 0000-0003-3322-0926 (P. R. San Andrés Reyes); 0000-0002-9541-9933 (I. E. Paredes Chévez); 0000-0002-1593-4784 (C. Santana Moncayo) © 2022 Copyright for this paper by its authors. Use permitted under Creative Commons License Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0). CEUR Workshop Proceedings http://ceur-ws.org ISSN 1613-0073 CEUR Workshop Proceedings (CEUR-WS.org) 77 Carlos Arturo San Andrés Fuentes et al. CEUR Workshop Proceedings 77–86 Rodríguez [2] agrees that entrepreneurship, in addition to the ability to take risks, new com- panies can be developed. In fact, business development tests the capabilities of the entrepreneur for the implementation of project ideas. 90% of the world’s companies are family-owned. Olvera [3] indicates that they contribute to employment and global GDP and remarks that job creation is one of the objectives pursued by society, and the new expectations of small and medium-sized companies. Silveira et al. [1] consider entrepreneurship in the tourism context. In fact, ecotourism in Ecuador can be an alternative for sustainable development over time. The World Tourism Organization establishes the importance of the sector that satisfy the needs of tourists, and provides opportunities for the future, respecting cultural integrity and the ecosystem that sustains life for sustainable tourism development [4]. Silveira et al. [1] highlight that besides profits, tourism entrepreneurs stand out in improving lifestyles and getting contact with the environment in order to benefit client expectations. Gessa et al. [4] point out that responsible and sustainable entrepreneurship serves to solve social problems in the environment. Torraleja et al. [5] say that family tourism businesses located in strategic geographic areas stimulate economic growth and social development. On the other hand, in the San Carlos Parish, the labor force is maintained by the agriculture that occurs at the beginning and end of the harvest, affecting the economy of its inhabitants for the rest of the year, that´s why it is important to have new sources of revenue. The problem is the lack of initiative of family SMEs in natural environments for responsible eco-friendly and sustainable tourism exploitation in the Province of Los Ríos, mainly in the San Carlos Parish, where tourism is not developed yet. The objective is to analyze the finance of the Ecuadorian ecotourism resort start-up business in San Carlos Parish, Los Ríos Province for the next five years. This study is justified due to the climatological, topographical, and ecological conditions that make it the right place to start the ecotourism resort, improving the economy through the creation of new jobs for its inhabitants, and developing new business opportunities. The study was developed before the pandemic. However, after a massive global vaccination plan, economic reactivation with innovative projects, such as the development of an ecotourism resort in the San Carlos Parish, Los Ríos Province is the perfect way to inject resources into the State through tourism, as developed countries do. So, this is a clear example of how the tourist can affect in a positive way the economy of a country. 2. Theoretical Framework Entrepreneurship is a socioeconomic phenomenon for the development of society to contribute to the growth and effective performance of companies [2]. Additionally, Schumpeter considers the entrepreneur as the founder of a new company with innovation [6]. In 1982, Verin mentioned that during the 17th and 18th centuries, entrepreneurship was attributed to those who were in charge of construction projects, later Richard Cantillón in France clarified it as the ability to take risks in situations of uncertainty for obtaining variable profits [2]. Adam Smith emphasized the role of the entrepreneur in the economy and recognized inno- 78 Carlos Arturo San Andrés Fuentes et al. CEUR Workshop Proceedings 77–86 vation. However, in the German school, analyzing the theory of marginal productivity, Von Mangoldt relates the entrepreneur with profit, risk, and ingenuity used. Silveira et al. [1] considers the entrepreneur as the person who sees an opportunity and creates a new business, while authors such as Rauch, Wiklund, Lumpkin, and Frese consider they are necessary for economic development [7]. On the other hand, Rodríguez [2] indicates that for the neoclassical school, there are 2 types of entrepreneurs: the traditionalists who are mercantilists, and the capitalists with a business mentality, focused on increasing and multiplying their wealth, becoming, in the long run, an innovative entrepreneur. While Jackson 2001 cited by the same author indicated that Marshall considered the entrepreneur as a superior worker with leadership and industrial organization. Olvera [3] considers that the entrepreneurial spirit implies: creativity, innovation, flexibility, growth, and risk, for the generation of new ideas. In fact, in the sense of American neoclassical theory, authors such as John Bates Clark, consider the entrepreneur as the director of economic activity (Theory of risk takers), while Frank Night, emphasizes that risks are not important if the uncertainty can be assured (Theory of profits) [2]. In another aspect, Silveira et al [1] point out that in countries such as Mexico or Cuba, their main source of economic income is tourism, where the role of the entrepreneur plays an important role in generating employment and offering services to international tourists. Gessa et al. [4] indicate that small and medium-sized companies have the capacity to generate wealth, development, and well-being. While family businesses, during the time they consolidate, set clear rules and criteria, including the entrepreneurial spirit and innovation from the family to the company [8]. Olvera [3] highlights the role of the family business in the construction of new projects or studies with collective goals, in order to get family development and well-being. In Mexico, Micro, small and medium enterprises, known as Mypyme represent 99.7% of the total GDP in the country. According to the Intersecretarial Commission for Industrial Policy, 65% of Mexican companies are family-owned. In fact, in a study of 122 MSMEs in the tourism sector of the state of Quintana, 72 are family businesses, and 50 are non-family businesses. It was found that family businesses are the oldest and generate the highest profitability [9]. Esparza et al. [9] agree that there is clear evidence in empirical studies of differential manage- ment between family and non-family businesses, being that financial management is important for family business because it is necessary to keep the company sustainable and competitive. Ecological entrepreneurship according to Gessa et al. [4], business activity is focused on preserving the natural environment of the earth, biodiversity, and the ecosystem. Rural commu- nities have historically suffered exclusion from economic progress. Various private initiatives carry out responsible ventures, mainly with tourism, associated with the enjoyment of natural and cultural attractions of the locality, in order to generate employment for the communities and promote their development [10]. Burgos [11] emphasizes the approach to new markets with eco-humanistic awareness, to guar- antee tourism with responsible use of natural resources. Tourism as a source of socioeconomic revitalization has grown and contributes to the Gross Domestic Product of countries in the world. The support of Public administration has influence in a positive way. Family businesses are pioneers in starting business opportunities with minimal risks and higher profitability, so the increase in quality of goods and services in ecotourism are the new resources to serve the market [5]. 79 Carlos Arturo San Andrés Fuentes et al. CEUR Workshop Proceedings 77–86 There is a European study in Jaén, in which the Kolmogorov-Smirnov quality test was applied. It was affirmed that family businesses have different expectations about the quality of the tourist service they offer, unlike non-businesses ones, which take into consideration some aspects, such as employees who know the business and have a good presence, quality products, optimal facilities with hygiene, a pleasant environment of interest, cordiality, good personalized attention, and guaranteed reservations [5]. However, SMEs sustain tourism activity, especially with accommodation offers, and the creation of vacation centers that allow sustainable development of the activity [12]. Silveira et al. [1] highlight the intervention of governments in entrepreneurial activities through public policies and the support of state banks that can make ecotourism entrepreneurship their main economic source. External factors are necessary to analyze at the time of developing new projects, because they can affect the sales and liquidity of companies, even in some cases they can provoke unemployment in some organizations. There are different variables that could influence a business’s profitability, such as the Ukraine-Russia war that caused inflation and limitation of services debt increase [13]. 2.1. Finances of family SMEs in ecotourism Esparza et al. [9] point out that within the theory of the hierarchy of financial preferences, there is an order in the sources to finance new investments, with own funds, low-risk bank debt, and stock emission. Manzanera [14] indicates that the entrepreneurial vocation begins with an idea. The en- trepreneur matures with projects and will become an entrepreneur, in which the biggest obstacle is the lack of financing, and his great challenge is to find partners and investors. There is corpo- rate financial management, which involves 3 important aspects: managing the capital budget, analysis of the capital structure, and working capital. In fact, the management of working capital is an activity that guarantees the company resources to continue operations [15]. Esparza et al. [9] indicate that 10% of family businesses fail due to a lack of financial resources. In fact, Hussain, 2006 cited by Esparza, et al., indicates that SMEs in the United Kingdom primarily prefer banks to finance themselves, while in China they support themselves with family loans. De Sousa [16] points out that the Capital Asset Valuation Method, known by its acronym in English as CAPM is the best alternative for investment purposes because it refers to the rate of return required by investors. In fact, the CAPM allows companies to guide financial decisions [17]. That is why the function of the administrator leads him/her to carry out financial activities, mainly the planning of capital investments and identifying investment opportunities, which depend on the nature or type of business [15]. Financial management includes important decisions in investment, financing, and asset management [18]. In this sense, CAPM financial asset valuation method is very useful, because it is a technique to estimate the return on investments. Additionally, due to the acceptance in the estimation of working capital costs, it is considered an evolution in the theory of finance [16]. 80 Carlos Arturo San Andrés Fuentes et al. CEUR Workshop Proceedings 77–86 De Sousa [16] mentions that the CAPM method, where allows investors to choose the highest expected return for a given level of risk. Silveira et al. [1] emphasize the education of the entrepreneur as a characteristic of the evolution of the company. In this sense, Manzanera et al. [14] indicate that the entrepreneur must have knowledge of finance for the analysis of sensible financial planning, giving peace of mind to the investor through financial strategies that lead to business success. Esparza et al. [9] say that family businesses use resources efficiently, also have lower debts, higher levels of liquidity, and obtain higher returns of profitability on capital investments. 3. Methodology The methodology used is the descriptive and quantitative, non-experimental cross-sectional design, with probabilistic sampling and analytical methods. It was developed a survey of the inhabitants of San Carlos Parish, which belong to a middle socioeconomic class, in order to know the level of acceptance of the resort in the area. Below is the calculation of sample size, taking into account a 95% confidence level. • N= 17,000 (population size according to INEC) • Z= 1.96 (confidence level, 95%) • P= 0.5 (percentage of success) • Q= 0.5 (percentage of failure) • D= 0.05 (percent error) (17000 * 1.962 * 0.5 * 0.50) 𝑛= (17000 − 1) + 1.962 * 0.50 * 0.50 17000 * 3.8416 * 0.50 * 0.50 𝑛= 42.50 + 0.9604 (1) 16326.80 𝑛= 43.46 𝑛 = 376 𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑝𝑜𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑠 The 376 people in the survey correspond to the representative sample of the target market. In this investigation, it was necessary bibliographic research, in order to gather information about Entrepreneurship theories, Finance Management, Capital Asset Valuation Method, and Finance of family SMEs in ecotourism. Investment appraisal methods were used to develop financial analysis, such as Net Present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), and Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) for the cost of capital estimation. 4. Results Based on the objective of the investigation, the following results were found: 90% like to travel to tourist places in their free time, 65% of those surveyed would be willing to take the service if 81 Carlos Arturo San Andrés Fuentes et al. CEUR Workshop Proceedings 77–86 Table 1 Profit and loss statement projection Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Recreational activities 30% 389,451 447,873 507,789 578,442 657,753 Restaurant 30% 389,451 447,873 507,789 578,442 657,753 Accommodation 30% 389,451 447,873 507,789 578,442 657,753 Others 10% 129,817 149,291 172,933 192,814 219,251 Incomes 1,298,170 1,492,910 1,696,300 1,928,140 2,192,510 Administrative expenses 20% 180,000 185,000 190,000 195,000 200,000 Operational expenses 50% 450,000 462,500 475,000 487,500 500,000 Advertising expenses 30% 270,000 277,500 285,000 292,500 300,000 Total expenses 900,000 925,000 950,000 975,000 1,000,000 Profit before taxes 398,17 567,91 746,3 953,14 1,192,510 Employee participation 59,726 85,187 111,945 142,971 178,877 Income tax 84,611 120,681 158,589 202,542 253,408 Net profit 253,833 362,043 475,766 607,627 760,225 Source: Elaborated by authors there were the creation of an ecotourism resort in the San Carlos Parish with various facilities of recreational activities, accommodation, and restaurant. 69% would go five times a year, 12% twice a year, 8% once a month, 7% every weekend, and 4% once a week. On the other hand, 30% of those surveyed prefer swimming pools, 20% comfortable facilities, 19% restaurants, 15% sports activities, 11% horseback riding, and 5% events. Subsequently, the potential demand for the ecotourism resort was calculated (amount of tickets), taking into consideration the size of the market of 17,000 inhabitants; 65% of clients are willing to visit the ecotourism resort; 11050 potential clients, number of units per customer (1); the number of units demanded on each occasion; the number of times of visits during the year (5). As a result, the potential demand in one year is 55250. Potential demand in the first year (55250) was multiplied by a competitive price ($23.49 dollars), below the main competitors as a strategy. The income Statement for the first 5 years of the enterprise was developed (see Table 1). 4.1. Finance analysis The Capital Asset Valuation method has been used, where it is necessary to know the cost of debt = (Effective Bank Interest * (1-tax)). Being the Effective Banking Interest 9.33%, obtained from the credit simulator of the National Financial Corporation CFN (Annex 1), and the tax weight is 36.25% for which companies in Ecuador pay 25% Income Tax and 15% Employee Participation. So, the cost of debt is 5.95%. The financing represents 60% by external banking via CFN and 40% by contribution from partners, so the level of leverage is 1.5 times higher than the contribution from partners, which is 150%. 82 Carlos Arturo San Andrés Fuentes et al. CEUR Workshop Proceedings 77–86 Table 2 Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Weighing of Cost of Weighted Ways of financing Amount $ contributions Capital average cost Credit bank (CFN) 568.074 60% 5,95% 3,57% Capital 378.716 40% 11,32% 4,53% Total 946790 100% 8,10% Source: Elaborated by authors To calculate the leveraged beta, the following formula is used: Leveraged beta = ((sector beta * project leverage)* (1- tax weight)) + sector beta. The beta of the sector was obtained from the hotel sector of the table of comparable betas of the United States (Damodaran, 2019), reaching 71%. Using the data and the formula, a leveraged beta of 1.39 is obtained, which will be used to calculate the cost of capital contributed by the partners. Subsequently, the CAPM formula is applied = (Risk-free rate + (Leveraged Beta * Risk premium)) + Country Risk. The risk-free rate of North American bonds [19] is 1.74%. Leveraged beta is 1.39, the yield of the hotel market is 7.75% [20], risk premium is 6.01%, obtained from the difference between the market rate of return and the risk-free rate. The country risk that is 1,223% [21]. As a result, the cost of invested capital of the partners is 11.32%. Previously, the cost of debt was calculated at 5.95% and the CAPM at 11.32%, and the WACC = (Weighting of contributions * Cost of capital) is calculated, which is a rate that is used to show a valuation of business-type investment studies (see Table 2). Therefore, the discount rate of the study is 8.10%, which was used to calculate the Net Present Value with the flows weighted over time, resulting in $419,672.59 dollars, and the Internal Rate of Return of 25%, obtaining a return on investment of 3.08 times more, considering an excellent hotel ecotourism financial proposal study for the San Carlos parish in the province of Los Ríos, Ecuador, so the financial risks are minimal (see Table 3). 5. Conclusion The role of the entrepreneur at a global level has transcended not only with the contribution to the GDP, but also through the development of SMEs, some of them funded by family members in the tourism sector. Viable results have been obtained by these businesses, such as countries like Mexico and Cuba because this sector is their main economic source of income. Due to the climatological conditions and geographical location, the San Carlos Parish, Los Ríos Province is the right place for the installation of an ecotourism resort. The support of sustainable development through environmental processes promotes employment in the region. Taking into consideration that the business is going to be financed through public bank CFN with 60% (the lowest SME rate in the country), and a partner contribution of 40%, additionally a discount rate of 8,10% (WACC estimation), as a result, the Net Present Value (NPV) is $419,672.59, and the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 25%, obtaining 3.08 times more than the value invested 83 Carlos Arturo San Andrés Fuentes et al. CEUR Workshop Proceedings 77–86 Table 3 Cash Flow Forecasting Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Recreational activities 389,451 447,873 507,789 578,442 657,753 Restaurant 389,451 447,873 507,789 578,442 657,753 Accommodation 389,451 447,873 507,789 578,442 657,753 Others 129,817 149,291 172,933 192,814 219,251 Incomes 1,298,170 1,492,910 1,696,300 1,928,140 2,192,510 Accounts Receivable Initial cash 0 0 228,693 228,956 237,870 275,233 Operative incomes 1,298,170 1,492,910 1,696,300 1,928,140 2,192,510 Total 1,298,170 1,721,603 1,925,256 2,166,010 2,467,743 Non-Operating Income Own financing from 378,716 partners External credit (CFN) 568,074 Total Non-Operating In- 946,790 come Total 946,790 1,298,170 1,721,603 1,925,256 2,166,010 2,467,743 Expenses Investment -726,290 Administrative ex- -180,000 -185,000 -190,000 -195,000 -200,000 penses Operational expenses -450,000 -462,500 -475,000 -487,500 -500,000 Publicity expenses -270,000 -277,500 -285,000 -292,500 -300,000 Capital payment -123,624 -135,153 -147,758 -161,539 Interest payment -45,853 -34,323 -21,718 -7,938 Employee participation -59,726 -85,187 -111,945 -142,971 Tax payment -84,611 -120,681 -158,589 -202,542 Dividend payment -253,833 -362,043 -475,766 -607,627 Total expenses -1,069,477 -1,492,647 -1,687,387 -1,890,777 -1,953,140 Net cash flow -726,290 228,693 228,956 237,870 275,233 514,603 Ending cash balance 228,693 457,650 466,826 513,103 789,836 Source: Elaborated by authors The main result obtained was to carry out an analysis through the CAPM financial method, in fact, the financial structure is thanks to the contribution of the CFN Public Bank in 60% with the lowest SME rate in the country, and the contribution of the partners in 40%. The discount rate was 8.10%, the NPV $419,672.59 dollars, and the IRR 25%, obtaining 3.08 times more than the value invested. The outcomes show viability with minimal risks. The business initiatives that operate in the tourism sector can work with the efforts of public institutions, in conjunction with the private ones, channeling resources into society more 84 Carlos Arturo San Andrés Fuentes et al. CEUR Workshop Proceedings 77–86 committed to its environment [4]. In this sense, the state, the participation of private companies, families, and tourists, each with their role and contribution, make ecotourism projects lead to sustainable development. The business system and market with the awareness of the social system and the biosphere, imply harmonizing support schemes and conservation of life, even with business activity, known as pro-sustainable entrepreneurship [4]. Analyzing external variables such as the pandemic, in fact, it has been favorable, since financial institutions currently grant SME loans to businessmen and entrepreneurs, making the realization of this project more effective. If we analyze the war of Russia-Ukraine as an external variable, it does not directly affect the project, because it is evidenced by an economic recovery in Ecuador, from the perspective that the development of an ecotourism resort in the San Carlos Parish, Los Ríos Province is a local project, and national and foreign tourists can visit the resort, without any inconvenience, being a safe and reliable place. 6. Acknowledgements We thank the inhabitants of San Carlos Parish, Los Ríos Province that helped researchers to develop surveys; because with those outcomes, it was possible to forecast loss and profit statements and cash flow. References [1] Y. Silveira-Pérez, D. Cabeza-Pullés, V. Fernández-Pérez, Emprendimiento: perspectiva cubana en la creación de empresas familiares, European Research on Management and Business Economics 22 (2016) 70–77. [2] A. Rodríguez Ramírez, Nuevas perspectivas para entender el emprendimiento empresarial, Pensamiento & gestión (2009) 94–119. [3] S. G. Olvera, Emprendimiento en las empresas familiares, Revista Iberoamericana de Contaduría, Economía y Administración: RICEA 4 (2015) 163–181. [4] A. Gessa, N. Toledano, Turismo, emprendimiento y sostenibilidad en los espacios naturales protegidos: El caso de andalucía-españa, Estudios y perspectivas en turismo 20 (2011) 1154–1174. [5] F. A. G. Torraleja, M. C. V. Martos, La empresa familiar como instrumento de desarrollo económico-social: el caso de las zonas turísticas de interior, Investigaciones Europeas de dirección y economía de la empresa 9 (2003) 129–146. [6] J. A. Schumpeter, Capitalism, socialism and democracy, routledge, 2013. [7] A. Rauch, J. Wiklund, G. T. Lumpkin, M. Frese, Entrepreneurial orientation and business performance: An assessment of past research and suggestions for the future, Entrepreneur- ship theory and practice 33 (2009) 761–787. [8] E. Ogliastri, Empresa familiar emprendedora, Incae Business Review 2 (2011) 4–12. [9] J. L. Esparza, D. G.-P. de Lema, G. A. Duréndez, Diferencias de gestión financiera entre empresas familiares y no familiares del sector turístico mexicano, Actualidad Contable FACES 13 (2010) 29–48. 85 Carlos Arturo San Andrés Fuentes et al. CEUR Workshop Proceedings 77–86 [10] A. M. H. Alfaro, Ecoturismo y desarrollo humano. el caso de una asociación privada con la comunidad de infierno, Turismo y patrimonio (2012) 23–31. [11] R. Burgos, O turismo comunitário como iniciativa de desenvolvimento local: Caso locali- dades de ciudad bolívar e usme zona rural de bogotá, Hallazgos 13 (2016) 193–214. [12] M. F. Aranda, Diagnóstico de las alianzas público privadas para el desarrollo turístico local en el cantón santiago de píllaro, tungurahua-ecuador, in: Memoria Científicas del VIII Congreso Internacional Turismo, Hotelería, Ambiente, 2017, p. 11. [13] M. Khudaykulova, H. Yuanqiong, A. Khudaykulov, et al., Economic consequences and implications of the ukraine-russia war, International Journal of Management Science and Business Administration 8 (2022) 44–52. [14] A. Manzanera, Finanzas para emprendedores, 2010. [15] S. A. Ross, et al., Fundamentos de finanzas corporativas, McGraw-Hill (2018). [16] F. de Sousa Santana, Modelo de valoración de activos financieros (capm) y teoría de valoración por arbitraje (apt): Un test empírico en las empresas del sector eléctrico brasileño, Cuadernos de contabilidad 14 (2013) 731–746. [17] F. Gómez-Bezares, Capm versus variables" fundamentales", Boletin de Estudios Económicos 47 (1992) 337. [18] J. C. H. Van, J. M. Wachowics, Fundamentos de administración financiera, 2010. [19] Datosmacro, Boletín de economía y datos de los países: Bonos estados unidos, tasa libre de riesgo, 2019. [20] Bolsa de Valores de Guayaquil, Tasa de rendimiento del mercado hotelero, 2019. [21] Banco Central del Ecuador, Cifras económicas: riesgo país, 2019. 86