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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>An Exploratory Data Analytics of Multivariate Observational Metrics on Generative AI</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Wilson Ahiara</string-name>
          <email>ahiara.wilson@mouau.edu.ng</email>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Temitope Abioye</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Tochukwu Chiagunye</string-name>
          <email>tchiagunye@yahoo.com</email>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Taiwo Olaleye</string-name>
          <email>agsobaolaleyetaiwo@gmail.com</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>Computer Science and Information Technology Department, Bells University of Technology</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Ota</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="NG">Nigeria</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>Department of Computer Science, Federal University of Agriculture.</institution>
          <addr-line>Abeokuta</addr-line>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>The level of traction recently gained by the family of generative artificial intelligence tools has amplified calls for an inclusive training set of the language models in order to ensure the tools serves the purpose of less-popular languages as the English language. It is therefore important to ascertain the level of interest in the intelligent tools by societies across the globe. The purpose of this study is to explore the interest of Nigerians in the generative AI tools, as well as the potential socioeconomic factors that may influence their awareness of its use cases. A multivariate metrics containing both socioeconomic and demographic data and as well as Nigeria's web analytics metrics from Google Trends are used for the study. An exploratory data analysis is implemented on the data attributes using python programming to infer actionable insights. Experimental result showed that there is no positive correlation between the literacy level, poverty index, population distribution of Nigerians and their awareness and interest in generative AI tools. The study also revealed that the most popular keywords related to generative AI tools in Nigeria were "Generative AI" and "ChatGPT" even in the northern region with lower literacy level, just as only Lagos returned inquiries on language models.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>1 Artificial Intelligence</kwd>
        <kwd>Generative AI</kwd>
        <kwd>Language Model</kwd>
        <kwd>ChatGPT</kwd>
        <kwd>Nigeria</kwd>
        <kwd>Data Science</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <p>People all across the world have been fascinated by and interested in artificial intelligence (AI).
However, different cultures and geographical areas may have varying level of interest in and
involvement with the technology. As a branch of artificial intelligence that deals with the production of
original content, such as literature, images, and music, generative AI (gAI) has attracted a lot of
attention in recent years. Investigating the degree of interest and involvement in this technology over
time across cultures and countries is crucial given its potential effects on creative sectors and the larger
society. In recent past, both Language Models (LM) and gAI have gained traction with varying use case
perceptions. Indeed, an AI algorithm known as a LM is trained to forecast the likelihood of the
subsequent word in a string of words [1]. A LM’s training data often comprise of text from sources like
books, papers, and websites. In order to produce convincing and cohesive text, a LM learns the patterns
and structures of language from the training data. However, any AI system that can produce new
content, such as text, graphics, or music, depending on a collection of input data is referred to as a gAI
[2]. One use case of gAI is the LM, but there are other kinds of gAI systems that work with other kinds
of input data. A gAI is therefore a broader context of the family of human language-based AI use cases.
These AI use cases, especially gAI, have a complex and multifaceted impact on digital literacy across
cultures and regions. These technologies provides potent tools for enhancing communication,
education, and access to information [3]. Functionalities of chatbots and virtual assistants that can
interact with users in natural language, answering questions and offering content-generation assistants,
are some of the important utilitarian values. There are also concerns that these technologies may worsen
existing inequalities and biases in the global society [4]. A LM trained on a textual data written in
English or other languages spoken by more privileged populations may not be as effective at generating
text in other languages or dialects that are less well-represented in the training data. Whatever
improvement that can scale the representations of less-represented languages in its training set should
stem from the popularity of the AI tools in affected world regions. The aim of this study therefore is to
analyze and compare the level of awareness and interest in gAI, over time, in different cultures and
regions that makes up Nigeria. The adoption of Nigeria serves the tripod purpose of being the most
populated country in Africa [5], the largest economy in Africa [6], and the world’s largest black nation
[7]. Nigeria’s socioeconomic and demographic data are acquired for this study, alongside its web
analytics metrics on gAI. Thereby, the problem statement is to investigate the relationship between
demographic, socioeconomic, and digital indicators of Nigeria ethnicities as it relates to their level of
gAI awareness and interest. By analyzing these data sets, the observational study would infer insights
into how factors such as population, poverty index, literacy level, and digital connectivity metrics
relates to Nigerian gAI utility. The rest of the paper is structured in the following ways; section II
discusses existing literature while section III explained the EDA methodology. Experimental result is
discussed in section IV and the study is concluded with recommendations in section VI.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>2. Review of Existing Studies</title>
      <p>
        Artificial intelligence is not new to the global information technology lexicon, as well as its use
cases of machine learning, expert system, natural language processing, fuzzy logic, etc. The sudden
interest in data science is not also completely lost on the less-developed societies across in this
generation of Internet of Things, and an improved discussions on the importance of smart cities. These
tools and their unprecedented functionalities continue to shape global discuss in the academia and
industries. Researchers believe their perceived ease of use and usefulness has helped gain traction in
academia [8]. The entry of Cha
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">tGPT by OpenAI in November 2022</xref>
        is believed to be a watershed in the
developmental history of generative artificial intelligence [9]. Interchangeably described as either a
Generative Artificial Intelligence (gAI) [10], Language Model (LM) [11], or Generic Artificial
Intelligence (GAI) [12], ChatGPT and its likes has triggered research interest in recent past. The gAI
models are trained to create new data that is equivalent in structure and content to existing data [13], in
contrast to standard AI models trained to classify or recognize current data [14]. For software
engineering, the tool has been used to create test cases in the testing phase of the software development
life cycle, and as well as producing artificial data for training machine learning models [11]. Other
studies on ChatGPT include a study that investigated the sentiment about the gAI tool. The study
identified concerns on plagiarism, referencing, citation, and literature reviews as expressed by reviewers
of gAI [1]. The appropriateness of Google Trend data for nowcasting the growth of a new concept was
established by Kohnsand Bhattachrjee [15]. The study revealed that a high dimensional collection of
search keywords on Google Trend could return a reliable perspective on the future of a search term at
its formative stage like the ChatGPT. The Google trend data was likewise employed in [16] to
investigate the awareness and interest of inbound tourists. The web analytics data was employed to find
terms associated with foreign travels into China thereby generating monthly search frequency for each
of the keywords.
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>3. Methods and Materials</title>
      <p>
        This study involves two phases of data acquisition and the exploratory data analytics. Observational
metrics on Nigeria, referring to quantitative indicators including population, poverty index, literacy
level, and internet subscription, are used in this study. The data attributes of each state of the country
include their Multidimensional Poverty Index (MDI), the Population Size (POP), the Internet
Subscription rate (INT_SUB), their Male gender literacy level (M_LIT_L), the Female gender literacy
level (F_LIT_L), their actual literacy level (LIT_RATE); their search rate for keywords ‘chatgpt’
(CHATGPT), ‘generative AI’ (gAI), ‘artificial intelligence’ (AI), and ‘language model’ (LM). These
data are acquired from the National Bureau of Statistics [17] and the Nigeria Communication
Commission [18], and represent observations within the last one year. The observational data is used
with web analytics data about Nigeria from GT, within the last 12 mon
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">ths (April 2022</xref>
        – April 2023).
Search words including ‘generative AI’, ‘chatgpt’, ‘artificial intelligence’, and ‘language model’ are
used to query GT real time. The EDA, implemented using Python programming, helps to condense the
observational metrics towards gaining insights on the awareness and interest of Nigerians and as well
as the factors that influences their gAI awareness or interest. The EDA is an efficient data science tool
for data mining functionalities [19] and the following tools will be implemented in this study.
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>3.1 Interquartile Range (IQR)</title>
      <p>A dataset's IQR is a measure of variability that sheds light on the distribution of the middle 50% of
the data [20]. The IQR is specifically the variation between a dataset's third and first quartiles (Q3 and
Q1, respectively). Compared to the range or standard deviation, it is a reliable measure of dispersion
that is less susceptible to outliers. The amount of variability inside the middle 50% of the data is one
insight that may be obtained from the IQR. A lower IQR indicates that the data are closely grouped
around the median, whereas a higher IQR indicates that the data are spread out more widely. The IQR
can also be used to spot probable outliers in a dataset, which are often identified as observations that
are more than 1.5 times the IQR below Q1 or above Q3 in the dataset.</p>
      <p>depicts the most centered value in the 1st half of the rank-organized dataset;</p>
      <p>Q1 = { +1}th</p>
      <p>4
Q3 = {3 +1}th
4
(1)
(2)
is the most centered value in the 2nd half of the rank- organized dataset, while Q2 is the median and
computed as:</p>
      <p>Q2 = Q3 – Q1
(3)</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-5">
      <title>3.2 Correlation Coefficient</title>
      <p>The correlation coefficient is a statistical indicator that displays the strength and direction of the
linear relationship between two variables [21]. It is a number between -1 and 1, where a value of
1 implies an idealized absence of correlation between the variables, a value of 1 denotes an idealized
presence of correlation, and a value of 0 denotes an idealistic negative correlation. When a variable
where x and y are the attributes being investigated for likely positive or negative correlative
relationship. The COV is the covariance and  is the standard deviation of the two attributes. The heat
plot will be employed to display the correlation coefficient matrix of the multivariate data set of this
study. Standard deviation and other measures of dispersion including the mean and median will be
computed.</p>
      <p>3.3 Standard Deviation
 = √∑( − )2

(4)
(5)
rises, the other variable also tends to climb if the correlation coefficient is positive. A low
correlation value indicates that the other variable tends to decline when the first variable increases.
The magnitude of the correlation coefficient, with larger absolute values indicating stronger
correlations, determines the strength of the association. In this study, the correlation coefficient will
be computed to investigate the linear relationship between the multivariate metrics. The correlation
is computed thus:</p>
      <p>Correlation = P =</p>
      <p>( , )</p>
      <p>The rate of deviation of variables contained in the multivariate data from the mean is captured by
the value of the standard deviation. Evaluating the variability or dispersion of each variable (such as
population, poverty index, literacy level, and internet penetration indices) throughout the Nigerian states
with respect to their interest in gAI would be instructive for this study.
where  is the population standard deviation, N is the population size, xi is each value from the
population, and  is the the population mean</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-6">
      <title>4. Result and Discussion</title>
      <p>The eleven (11) attributes represented in the study data, as described earlier in section 3, are for the 36
states and the Federal Capital Territory of Nigeria. The instances describes the socioeconomic and
demographic metrics of each of the thirty-seven (37) federating units of the country. The data is further
analyzed along the six geo-political zones of the country in order to fully domesticate the findings across
Nigeria’s multi-ethnic regions. The statistical summary of the data is presented in Table 1 and Table 2
for the entire multivariate metrics with respect to their measures of dispersion as well as the IQR. Figure
1 shows the rate at which Nigerians enquire about the keywords ‘chatgpt’, ‘generative AI’. ‘language
model’, and ‘artificial intelligence’ within the last 12 months on Google search engine. As could be
observed, the line plot summed all search per month for the various keywords. The degree of the
keyword search per thirty seven federating units is plotted in Figure 2, while Figure 3 shows the plot of
Nigeria’s population, multidimensional poverty index, and the literacy level in terms of the geo-political
zones. The geo political zone-based plot is likewise presented in Figure 4 for searches on the keywords.
The correlation coefficient matrix of the attributes is presented in the heat plot of Figure 5 where the
correlation value of each attribute pair is presented across the rows and columns.
Line Chart of enquiry on the AI tools</p>
      <p>Weekly distribution within the last 12 months</p>
      <p>CHATGPT
gAI</p>
      <p>AI</p>
      <p>LM</p>
      <p>
        The statistical summary table is revealing of the spread of data points across critical points. The
multidimensional poverty index of the Nigerian states returns a mean value of 0.2634 for a population
with an average of 5 million people per state. The literacy level of the country within the last one year
is put an average of 50 and their internet subscription average 3.7. With the somewhat high literacy and
internet subscription rate, an average of 81%, 10%, 0.027% and 0.027% enquiries were made on
‘chatgpt’, ‘generative AI’, ‘language model’ and ‘artificial intelligence’ itself respectively. ChatGPT
keyword is the most popular across the country returning a maximum search percentage of 100% per
time with artificial intelligence having a maximum of 28% search enquiry per time. The 25% or less of
total search per time is 80% about chatgpt only. Considering 50% of search history per time, 85% are
about chatgpt while 14% will be about artificial intelligence. Not more than 75% of the entire search
entries are 100% of chatgpt and some 18% of them focused on artificial intelligence keyword. The data
indicates that until the Q2 (median) of the IQR, there are no traces of generative AI, artificial
intelligence, and language model keywords in the enquiry efforts of Nigerian within the last year. As
observed from the statistical summary table, the mean poverty index per a state in Nigeria is 0.264 with
an average population of 5 million people. The mean literacy rate is 50.338, with an average internet
subscription rate of 3 million people per state. Given this, a substantial number of Nigerians has had
internet access in the last one year across each state with over 85% of their search enquiries on ‘chatgpt’,
10% on ‘artificial intelligence’ and an insignificant part of the population on ‘language model’ and
‘generative AI’ keywords. As observed from Figure 1, there was no record of ‘chatgpt’ in the search
history of Nigerians until Nove
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2 ref9">mber 2023</xref>
        , with ‘artificial intelligence’ having a relative enquiry check
by Nigerians. This is followed by ‘language model’ search. The unprecedented surge of interest in
‘chatgpt’ peaked in
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2 ref9">March 2023</xref>
        after initial plunge in Dece
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2 ref9">mber 2023</xref>
        a
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">nd late February 2023</xref>
        . Trying
to establish the linear relationship between Nigerians’ internet savviness and their socioeconomic
indices can be inferred from the heat map of Figure 5. As can be observed, there exist a positive
correlation between the internet subscription (INT_SUB) figure of the states with their respective
population (POP) [0.68], and with rate of search enquiry on gAI (0.77) and LM (0.77). This implies
that increase in population increases the rate of internet subscription and enquiry on gAI and LM
expectedly. Whereas, enquiries on gAI during the period under review came from Lagos only (Figure
2b). Notwithstanding the surge on ‘chatgpt’ enquiry across the states except for Kebbi, Zamfara, and
Katsina (Figure 2c), there exist almost an insignificant relationship between the variable and MPI
(0.11), POP (-0.23), and the INT_SUB rate (-0.02) as seen on Figure 5. The population of each states
shows a somewhat positive correlation with the gAI and LM (0.49) enquiry respectively. This could
mean that states with higher population ordinarily will experience higher research enquiry into the AI
tools, though the matrix shows a weak association. The literacy level of the states shows a similar
pattern of insights as observed on the heat plot with some upsets. There is a negative correlation of
0.68 and -0.69 between the poverty index of states and their respective male and female literacy levels
(M_LIT_L &amp; F_LIT_L) which does not necessarily affect the level of enquiries into ‘chatgpt’ (0.25
and 0.28); ‘gAI’ (0.17 and 0.15); ‘AI’ (0.45 and 0.44), and the ‘LM’ (0.17 and 0,15) search. Observation
of non-existence of negative correlation between the literacy level of the states and their level of enquiry
into ‘chatgpt’ (0.18); ‘gAI’ (0.36); ‘AI’ (0.51) and ‘LM’ (0.36) indicates that literacy level may not
necessarily determine the level of awareness or interest in the AI technologies. This is further observed
in Figure 2a and 2c where supposed less literate state researched more into ‘chatgpt’ and ‘AI’. Majority
of the less literate states are located in the North East and North West of the country plotted in Figure
3c., with the highest rate of multidimensional poverty index as plotted in Figure 3b. With the high
population of the North Central, North East and North West, and its towering poverty index and low
literacy rate, the search for ‘chatgpt’ (Figure 4a) and ‘gAI’ (figure 4b) is high in the regions (except for
the North East region with no enquiry on AI), which is indicative of their awareness level and interest
in the AI tools. Their internet subscription rate is likewise relatively encouraging when compared with
other literate states as plotted in Figure 4c. On the different search keywords, there is a strong positive
relationship (1.00) between ‘gAI’ and ‘LM’ search words respectively. This shows aside the ‘chatgpt’
search keyword, the two words are used more interchangeably by Nigerians on the search engines. On
the basis of Nigeria’s geo-political zoning.
      </p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-7">
      <title>5. Conclusion and Recommendation</title>
      <p>The study employed Nigeria’s socioeconomic and demographic data together with web analytics
metrics from Google Trend for an exploratory data analysis. The aim is to discover the relationship
between the awareness and interest levels on Nigerians on generative artificial intelligence tools and
the various factors that could influence the predisposition of different cultures towards the AI tools.
Experimental result reveals the popularity of ChatGPT over other keywords like generative AI and
language models and as well as the awareness of the intelligent tools even at regions with low literacy
and high multidimensional poverty index.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-8">
      <title>6. Acknowledgements</title>
      <p>Authors profoundly appreciate the painstaking efforts of the reviewers.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-9">
      <title>7. References</title>
    </sec>
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