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  <front>
    <journal-meta />
    <article-meta>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>UnScientify: Detecting Scientific Uncertainty in Scholarly Full Text</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Panggih Kusuma Ningrum</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Philipp Mayr</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff0">0</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Iana Atanassova</string-name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff0">
          <label>0</label>
          <institution>GESIS - Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>Cologne</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="DE">Germany</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff1">
          <label>1</label>
          <institution>Institut Universitaire de France (IUF)</institution>
          ,
          <country country="FR">France</country>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2">
          <label>2</label>
          <institution>Université de Franche-Comté, CRIT</institution>
          ,
          <addr-line>F-25000 Besancon</addr-line>
          ,
          <country country="FR">France</country>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <abstract>
        <p>This demo paper presents UnScientify (https://bit.ly/unscientify-demo), an interactive system designed to detect scientific uncertainty in scholarly full text. The system utilizes a weakly supervised technique that employs a fine-grained annotation scheme to identify verbally formulated uncertainty at the sentence level in scientific texts. The pipeline for the system includes a combination of pattern matching, complex sentence checking, and authorial reference checking. Our approach automates labeling and annotation tasks for scientific uncertainty identification, taking into account diferent types of scientific uncertainty, that can serve various applications such as information retrieval, text mining, and scholarly document processing. Additionally, UnScientify provides interpretable results, aiding in the comprehension of identified instances of scientific uncertainty in text.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>eol&gt;Scholarly document processing</kwd>
        <kwd>text mining</kwd>
        <kwd>scientific uncertainty</kwd>
        <kwd>fine-grained annotation</kwd>
        <kwd>pattern matching</kwd>
        <kwd>label automation</kwd>
        <kwd>authorial reference</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec id="sec-1">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <p>Joint Workshop of the 4th Extraction and Evaluation of Knowledge
Entities from Scientific Documents and the 3rd AI + Informetrics
(EEKEAII2023), June 26, 2023, Santa Fe, New Mexico, USA and Online
* Corresponding author.
$ panggih_kusuma.ningrum@univ-fcomte.fr (P. K. Ningrum);
philipp.mayr@gesis.org (P. Mayr); iana.atanassova@univ-fcomte.fr
(I. Atanassova)</p>
      <p>0000-0002-8630-6603 (P. K. Ningrum); 0000-0002-6656-1658
(P. Mayr); 0000-0003-3571-4006 (I. Atanassova)</p>
      <p>
        © 2023 Copyright for this paper by its authors. Use permitted under Creative Commons License biological events with negation [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">6</xref>
        ]. Therefore, there is a
CPWrEooUrckReshdoinpgs IhStpN:/c1e6u1r3-w-0s.o7r3g ACttEribUutRion W4.0oInrtekrnsahtioonpal (PCCroBYce4.0e).dings (CEUR-WS.org) need for more diverse corpora that capture a wider range
of uncertainty types and domains, to facilitate a more Medicine (STM) as well as Social Sciences and
Humanicomprehensive understanding of uncertainty in natural ties (SSH). The corpora consist of 1001 randomly selected
language processing. English sentences from 312 articles across 59 journals.
      </p>
      <p>
        Secondly, identifying scientific uncertainty in text in- These sentences were annotated to identify uncertainty
volves complex linguistic features as it is often conveyed expressions and authorial references. By utilizing
multhrough a combination of linguistic cues, including the tiple corpora from diferent disciplines, this study aims
use of modal verbs (e.g. may, could, might), hedging to capture a diverse range of uncertainty expressions
devices (e.g. seems, appears, suggests), and epistemic and improve the generalizability of the results. Table 1
adverbs (e.g. possibly, probably, perhaps) [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7 ref8">7, 8</xref>
        ]. Identify- illustrates the distribution of the data in the corpora and
ing such linguistic markers of uncertainty is not always Table 2 shows the sample of annotated sentences.
straightforward, as they can be expressed in a variety
of ways depending on the writing style or stance of the
scientist. 3. Approach
      </p>
      <p>
        Another challenge concerns scientists’ discourse in
scientific writing. A typical scientific text contains vari- Identifying scientific uncertainty in academic texts is a
ous statements and information which not only discuss complex task due to various reasons. Previous research
the current or present study but also the former studies indicates that relying solely on cues or markers such as
[
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">9</xref>
        ]. While writing the article, scientists can use uncer- hedging words or modal verbs may not accurately
identainty claims from other studies as a rhetorical tool to tify scientific uncertainty [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">10</xref>
        ]. The natural language and
persuade others or to describe and organize some state writing styles used by scientists, along with variations
of knowledge. As a result, distinguishing the reference of in domain-specific terminology, add to the complexity of
the uncertainty feature – whether the statement actually identifying uncertainty in scientific text. Moreover, the
demonstrates uncertainty in the current study or in the lack of clear boundaries for expressions of uncertainty
former study, is a crucial factor in better understanding makes n-gram-based approaches too inflexible to
capthe context of scientific uncertainty. A study conducted ture the various forms and expressions of uncertainty
by Bongelli et al. [
        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">8</xref>
        ] is one of few that was aware of this in scientific language. To address these limitations, our
concern. In more detail, this study only focused on the research proposes a fine-grained annotation scheme for
certainty and uncertainty expressed by the speakers/writ- identifying uncertainty in scientific texts.
ers in the here-and-now of communication and excluded
those that were expressed by the other party. 3.1. Fine-grained SU annotation scheme
      </p>
      <p>To overcome these challenges, we propose a weakly and patterns formulation
supervised technique that employs a fine-grained
annotation scheme to construct a system for scientific
uncertainty identification from scientific text focusing on the
sentence level. Our approach can be used to automate
labeling or annotating tasks for scientific uncertainty
identification. Moreover, our annotation scheme provides
interpretable results, which can aid in the
understanding of the identified instances of scientific uncertainty
in text. We anticipate that our approach will contribute
to the development of more accurate and eficient
scientific uncertainty identification systems, and facilitate
the analysis and interpretation of scholarly documents
in NLP.</p>
      <p>The present study adopts a span-based approach for
identifying scientific uncertainty in academic text. Rather
than relying solely on linguistic cues, the scheme
classiifes spans of text into several groups based on their
linguistic features, including Part of Speech (POS) tags,
morphology, and dependency. The scheme is also informed
by a comprehensive analysis of scientific language,
allowing for a more nuanced and accurate understanding
of uncertainty expression.</p>
      <p>During the annotation process, a list of annotated
spans was created and classified into twelve groups of
scientific uncertainty (SU) patterns based on their
semantic meaning and characteristics. The groups include
conditional expressions, hypotheses, predictions, and
subjectivity, among others. In other words, the
classification is based on the types of expressions used to convey
uncertainty and the context in which they are used.
Additionally, the scheme considers spans of text that signal
disagreement statements as one of SU groups, despite
ongoing debate regarding whether disagreement
expressions should be considered as such. The justification for
this approach is rooted in the idea that uncertainty in</p>
      <sec id="sec-1-1">
        <title>The present study employs three annotated corpora as</title>
        <p>the training set. These corpora consist of 59 journals from
four diferent disciplines: Medicine, Biochemistry,
Genetics &amp; Molecular Biology, Multidisciplinary, and Empirical
Social Science1 which represent Science, Technology, and</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-1-2">
        <title>1All social science articles are from SSOAR (https://www.ssoar.info/);</title>
        <p>we selected articles from 53 social science journals indexed in</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-2">
      <title>2. Data</title>
      <sec id="sec-2-1">
        <title>Medicine</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-2">
        <title>Biochemistry, Genetics &amp; Molecular Biology</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-3">
        <title>Multidisciplinary</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-4">
        <title>Empirical Social Science</title>
        <p>BMC Med</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-5">
        <title>Cell Mol Gastroenterol Hepatol</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-6">
        <title>Nucleic Acids Res</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-7">
        <title>Cell Rep Med</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-8">
        <title>Nature</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-9">
        <title>PLoS One</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-10">
        <title>SSOAR (53 journals)</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-11">
        <title>It is possible that corticosteroids prevent some acute gastrointestinal complications.</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-12">
        <title>However, we find no evidence to support this hypothesis either.</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-13">
        <title>But, how this kind of coverage might influence the "we" feeling among Europeans, still remains somehow an open question.</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-14">
        <title>Previous meta-analyses have shown a significant benefit for NaHCO3 in comparison to normal saline (NS) infusion [6,7], although they highlighted the possibility of publication bias. Yes</title>
        <p>
          No
Yes
Yes
research can stem from conflicting information or data, tiple labels assigned to diferent SU pattern groups, as
where multiple sources provide contradictory knowledge seen in the second example, where labels for both
condi[
          <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">11</xref>
          ]. This type of uncertainty cannot be reduced by in- tional expression and modality are present. This feature
creasing the amount of information. Once the annotated of our annotation scheme enables the identification of
spans are classified, Scientific Uncertainty Span Patterns complex expressions of uncertainty in scientific text.
Ta(SUSP) are formulated based on the word patterns of each ble 3 shows more details about the list of SU pattern
span and its linguistic features. Figure 1 illustrates the groups and samples from each group and more detailed
output from the spans annotation process. information about the pattern formulation process can
be seen in the demo’s documentation 2.
        </p>
        <p>3.2. Authorial Reference Checking
group. It should be noted that a sentence can have mul- 2Demo’s documentation: https://bit.ly/unscientify-demo
1</p>
        <p>Explicit SU
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-15">
        <title>Modality</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-16">
        <title>Conditional</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-17">
        <title>Expression</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-18">
        <title>Hypothesis</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-19">
        <title>Prediction</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-20">
        <title>Interrogative</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-21">
        <title>Expression</title>
        <p>Nongeneralizable
statement</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-22">
        <title>Adverbial SU</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-23">
        <title>Negation</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-24">
        <title>Subjectivity</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-25">
        <title>Conjectural</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-26">
        <title>Disagreement</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-27">
        <title>Description</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-28">
        <title>Examples</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-29">
        <title>Explicit SU group displays expressions with 1) In addition, the role of the public is often</title>
        <p>obvious scientific uncertainty keywords, unclear.
indicating direct and explicit uncertainty 2) ... the functional relevance of G4 in vivo in
expression mammalian cells remains controversial.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-30">
        <title>The modality group comprises expressions that 1) Diferent voters might have diferent inter</title>
        <p>indicate uncertainty through the use of modal pretations about ...
language 2) There may also be behavioral efects.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-31">
        <title>The conditional expression group includes 1) If persons perceive the media as hostile, it</title>
        <p>expressions that indicate uncertainty by is probable that the mere-exposure efect is
presenting a condition or circumstance that weakened thus we hypothesize...
must be met for a certain outcome to occur 2) If there are any violations, subsequent
inferential procedures may be invalid, and if so,
the conclusions would be faulty.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-32">
        <title>The hypothesis group encompasses 1) Hypotheses predict that aggregate support</title>
        <p>expressions that indicate uncertainty by for markets should be stronger...
proposing a tentative explanation or 2) We assume that post-materialistic
individassumption that requires further testing and uals may have difering attitudes towards
docverification to be confirmed tors than those...</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-33">
        <title>The prediction group comprises expressions 1) In July 2017, the National Grid’s Future En</title>
        <p>that indicate uncertainty by proposing a ergy Scenarios projected that the UK
governforecast or projection that may or may not ment...
come to fruition, thereby introducing an 2) Since aging leads to decreased Sir2, we
preelement of uncertainty dicted that, in young cells...</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-34">
        <title>The interrogative expression group includes 1) The study aims to determine whether the</title>
        <p>expressions that indicate uncertainty by posing observed results can be replicated across
difa question or series of questions, which may ferent populations.
suggest doubt or uncertainty about a 2) ...this research literature has also contested
particular concept or phenomenon whether or not citizens’ knowledge about
these issues is accurate...</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-35">
        <title>The non-generalizable statement group 1) Our study ... thus cannot be directly gen</title>
        <p>expresses uncertainty with limited scope or eralized to low-income nations nor
extrapoapplicability, which may not represent a lated into the long-term future.
broader context or population 2) ...estimates may not be generalisable to
women in other to women in other ancestry
groups...</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-36">
        <title>The scientific uncertainty group includes 1) ...direct and indirect readout during the</title>
        <p>adverbs that modify or shift the sentence’s transition from search to recognition mode
meaning, introducing uncertainty is poorly understood.</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-37">
        <title>2) It will be quite certain that they belong to</title>
        <p>the subpopulation of gender heterogenous...</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-38">
        <title>The negation group comprises expressions that 1) The identity of C34 modification in... is not</title>
        <p>indicate uncertainty through the use of clear.
negation which may alter the meaning of the 2) There was no consistent evidence for a
sentence and introduce an element of causal relationship between age at menarche
uncertainty and lifetime number of sexual partners...</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-39">
        <title>The subjectivity group includes expressions 1) We believe that there are good reasons for</title>
        <p>indicating uncertainty through subjective voters to care about...
language like opinions, beliefs, or personal 2) To our knowledge, this is the first study
experiences to provide global...</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-40">
        <title>The conjectural group expresses uncertainty 1) This belief seems to be typical for moderate</title>
        <p>through conjecture or speculation, using religiosity.
guessing or suppositions without concrete 2) Better performance seems to be linked to
evidence life satisfaction...</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-2-41">
        <title>The disagreement group includes expressions 1) In contrast to previous studies, our re</title>
        <p>that express uncertainty through disagreement sults did not show a significant efect...
or contradiction, often indicating opposing 2) On the one hand, some researchers argue
viewpoints or conflicting evidence that the use of technology in the classroom
can enhance...
sentence was annotated based on the citation &amp; co- as ’Non-SU expression’. To optimize the matching
procitation patterns, and the use of personal &amp; impersonal au- cess, we customized a rule-based matcher from Spacy,
thorial references. Furthermore, sentences were labeled which considers both keyword matches and patterns and
into three groups including 1) author(s) of the present ar- linguistic features.
ticle, or 2) author(s) of previous research. The last group, The second step, Complex Sentence Checking,
deter3) both, is intended to accommodate complex sentences mines whether there are any rebuttal or confirmation
that may refer to both the author(s) and the previous statements that can cancel the uncertainty expressed in
study(s). Here, we present some examples of typical au- the sentence. If no such statements are detected, the
thorial reference mentions in context: system labels the sentence as ’SU Expression’ and
provides a list of final SU spans that provide information on
1. &lt;I/We/Our study...&gt; &lt;text&gt; the reason why a particular sentence is considered a ’SU
2. &lt;Author/The former study...&gt; &lt;text&gt; expression’.
3. (Author) (Year) &lt;Text&gt; The third step, Authorial Reference Checking,
iden4. &lt;Text&gt; (Author1, Year1; Author2, Year2 tifies the authorship of the uncertainty expression,
. . .) whether it belongs to the authors, to a previous study, or
5. &lt;Text&gt; [Ref-No1, Ref-No2 . . . ] both. The output of this step is the authorial reference of
the sentence.
4. Demo System Figure 3 provides an overview of the functioning of</p>
        <sec id="sec-2-41-1">
          <title>UnScientify. The input sentence is annotated as an SU ex</title>
          <p>The demo system3 for identifying SU expressions op- pression, matching the ’Hypothesis group’ pattern. This
erates at the sentence level and consists of three main demonstrates that UnScientify not only detects
uncercomponents: 1) Pattern Matching, 2) Complex Sen- tainty expressions in sentences but also provides
informatence Checking, and 3) Authorial Reference Checking, as tion about which sentence elements support the outcome
shown in Figure 2. as well as descriptive information about why the
sen</p>
          <p>The first step, Pattern Matching, employs a list of pat- tence is considered an SU expression. In this case, the
terns derived from 12 SU pattern groups (see Table 3). output identifies the sentence as an SU expression due
The input sentence is matched against these patterns, to the occurrence of the "Hypothesis group’ pattern in
and if a match is found, a list of SU span candidates is the sentence, indicating a tentative explanation or
asgenerated. If there is no match, the sentence is labeled sumption that requires further testing for confirmation.</p>
        </sec>
        <sec id="sec-2-41-2">
          <title>Additionally, UnScientify checks for authorial references,</title>
        </sec>
        <sec id="sec-2-41-3">
          <title>3The demo is publicly available on https://bit.ly/unscientify-demo.</title>
          <p>labeling this instance as ’Author(s)’, suggesting that the
sentence originates from the author rather than being
cited from other sources or previous studies. As a
result, it provides more contextual and interpretable results.</p>
        </sec>
        <sec id="sec-2-41-4">
          <title>Further demonstrations of UnScientify can be viewed in</title>
        </sec>
        <sec id="sec-2-41-5">
          <title>Appendix A.1.</title>
        </sec>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-3">
      <title>5. Conclusion</title>
      <p>Our demonstration system ofers a comprehensive
approach to identifying uncertainty expressions in scientific
text. By utilizing pattern matching, complex sentence
checking, and authorial reference checking, we provide
clear and interpretable output that explains why a
sentence is flagged as expressing uncertainty, addresses the
element of SU expression, and verifies authorship
reference.</p>
      <p>We firmly believe that our approach holds great
potential for enhancing information retrieval, text mining, and
broader scientific article processing. Moreover, it lays the
groundwork for further research on scientific uncertainty
and epistemology. While our system currently operates
at the sentence level, it can be expanded to process text
at the document level.</p>
      <p>To further enhance the UnScientify system, we
acknowledge the need for improvements to identify
additional dimensions of scientific uncertainty, including its
nature, context, timeline, and communication
characteristics. Nonetheless, we are confident that our scheme
serves as a promising starting point for an in-depth
exploration of how scientific knowledge is constructed and
communicated.</p>
    </sec>
    <sec id="sec-4">
      <title>Acknowledgments</title>
      <sec id="sec-4-1">
        <title>This research was funded by the French ANR InSciM</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-2">
        <title>Project (2021-2024) under grant number ANR-21-CE38</title>
        <p>0003-01, and the Chrysalide Mobilité Internationale des</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-3">
        <title>Doctorants (MID) mobility grant from the University of</title>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-4">
        <title>Bourgogne Franche-Comté, France. Our appreciation</title>
        <p>extends to the GESIS – Leibniz Institute for the Social</p>
      </sec>
      <sec id="sec-4-5">
        <title>Sciences for providing the dataset and invaluable assistance, and to Nina Smirnova for her unwavering support throughout this project.</title>
        <p>(a) Demo 1: Detecting Explicit SU with multiple SU
spans
(b) Demo 2: Detecting a sentence containing an
interrogative expression
(c) Demo 3: A sentence showing a Non-SU expression</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
  </body>
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